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2022 New York gubernatorial election

(Redirected from Draft:2022 New York gubernatorial election)

For related races, see 2022 United States gubernatorial elections.

The 2022 New York gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of New York. Kathy Hochul ascended to the governorship in August 2021, upon Andrew Cuomo's resignation following allegations of sexual harassment. She sought a full term as governor. She appointed Brian Benjamin to the position of lieutenant governor and planned to run alongside him until he too resigned in April 2022. Congressman Antonio Delgado was appointed to replace Benjamin as lieutenant governor. Hochul defeated Jumaane Williams and Tom Suozzi in the Democratic primary for governor, while Delgado defeated Ana Maria Archila and Diana Reyna in the Democratic primary for lieutenant governor.

2022 New York gubernatorial election
← 2018 November 8, 2022 2026 →
Turnout47.74% Decrease 0.3 pp
 
Nominee Kathy Hochul Lee Zeldin
Party Democratic Republican
Alliance Working Families Conservative
Running mate Antonio Delgado Alison Esposito
Popular vote 3,140,415 2,762,581
Percentage 53.12% 46.73%
Hochul:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Zeldin:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%      No votes
Governor before election

Kathy Hochul
Democratic

Elected Governor

Kathy Hochul
Democratic

Lee Zeldin ran as the Republican nominee, having defeated Rob Astorino, Andrew Giuliani, and Harry Wilson in the Republican primary. Zeldin selected Alison Esposito, an NYPD officer, as his running mate, and she won unopposed in the primary. Esposito was the first openly gay major party nominee for statewide office in New York.[1]

Hochul won a full term in office, defeating Zeldin in the closest New York gubernatorial election since 1994 and the closest Democratic victory since 1982. Hochul's election marked the first time that a woman was elected to the state's governorship.[2] Hochul's margin of victory of 6.4 percentage points was significantly worse than Cuomo's margin of 23.4 percentage points that he achieved in 2018. While Hochul was able to flip Schenectady and Columbia counties in Upstate New York, Zeldin made gains in the New York metropolitan area, flipping Rockland, Richmond (Staten Island), Nassau, and Suffolk counties. Hochul won the city of New York with 69.8% to 30.2%, the latter being the highest vote percentage for a Republican since 2002. Zeldin carried the state outside of the Five Boroughs 54.1% to 45.9% and carried the 52 counties of Upstate (the counties outside of the New York metropolitan area–the Five Boroughs, Long Island, and Putnam, Rockland, and Westchester counties) 54.6% to 45.4%.

This was the first New York gubernatorial election in over 80 years not featuring any third-party candidates after the New York State Board of Elections rejected the petitions of all the minor parties that put forward candidates.[3] Hochul became the first elected New York governor from outside New York City and its immediate suburbs since 1932 when Franklin D. Roosevelt left office. Hochul also became the first elected governor from north of Hyde Park since Nathan L. Miller in 1922, in addition to being the first from Western New York since Horace White in 1910 and the first from Buffalo since Grover Cleveland in 1885.[4]

Zeldin received the highest percentage of the vote for a Republican gubernatorial nominee since 2002 and the highest raw vote total for a Republican gubernatorial nominee since 1970.

Democratic primary

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In August 2021, after New York Governor Andrew Cuomo announced his resignation, then-Lieutenant Governor Kathy Hochul announced that she would run for governor in 2022.[5] Hochul was sworn in as governor of New York on August 24, 2021.[6] Hochul was elected to the position of lieutenant governor in 2014, and was re-elected in 2018; in both elections, she was Cuomo's running mate.[7]

New York Attorney General Letitia James garnered attention for releasing a report on her office's investigation into alleged sexual harassment by Cuomo; the release of this report helped lead to Cuomo's resignation in August 2021.[8] James announced her gubernatorial campaign in October 2021 and was considered a formidable challenger to Hochul.[8]

On November 12, 2021, Newsday reported that Hochul had raised $10 million in campaign donations since taking office as governor.[9] On November 16, 2021, New York City Public Advocate Jumaane Williams, described by CNN as "a progressive favorite from Brooklyn", announced his 2022 gubernatorial bid. Williams ran for lieutenant governor against Hochul in 2018, losing a close race.[10] On November 29, 2021, U.S. Rep. Tom Suozzi of Long Island announced that he was running for governor. According to The New York Times, Suozzi was known as a "vocal centrist" and announced an intent to bill himself as a "'common-sense Democrat'".[11] Suozzi was considered to have the potential to siphon votes away from Hochul.[12]

In early December, James withdrew her candidacy and chose to seek re-election as attorney general instead.[13] James' withdrawal from the race was seen as a positive development for Hochul, as James had been considered the second-strongest candidate in the race.[12] The exit of James boosted the campaign of Williams, who became the only major candidate from New York City and the clear choice for the left wing of the Democratic Party.[12]

On February 17, 2022, at the New York State Democratic Convention, Hochul was selected as the preferred Democratic candidate for governor of New York in 2022. At the convention, Hochul received 85.6% of the weighted vote, while Williams received 12.5%. Neither Williams nor Suozzi received sufficient support to obtain automatic ballot access and force a primary election; however, both candidates were "expected to work the alternate method of gathering the 15,000 signatures to get on the ballot for the June primary".[14][15]

Although the candidates for governor and lieutenant governor are nominated separately, those running for governor may choose to endorse a candidate for lieutenant governor as their unofficial running mate. All three candidates did so (Hochul had initially chosen Brian Benjamin, but switched to Antonio Delgado after Benjamin's arrest).

Hochul won the primary with 67.64% of the vote, a margin of 48% over Jumaane Williams, who came in second.

Governor

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Lost in primary
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Disqualified
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  • Paul Nichols, lawyer and legislative staffer (running with David Englert)[23]
Withdrew
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Declined
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Endorsements

edit
Kathy Hochul

U.S. executive branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State officials

State senators

State assemblymembers

Local officials

Individuals

Organizations

Media

Labor unions

Letitia James (withdrawn)

State officials

State senators

State assemblymembers

Local officials

Labor unions

Tom Suozzi

Local officials

Labor unions

Media

Jumaane Williams

State senators

State assemblymembers

  • Ron Kim, state assemblyman from the 40th district (2013–present)[81]
  • Yuh-Line Niou, state assemblywoman from the 65th district (2017–2022)[81]

Local officials

Individuals

Organizations

Debates

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2022 New York gubernatorial Democratic primary debates
Date Host Location Moderator Link Participants
Kathy Hochul Tom Suozzi Jumaane Williams
June 7, 2022 CBS New York
WCBS Newsradio 880 		New York, New York Maurice DuBois
Marcia Kramer 		[92] P P P
June 20, 2022 NBC New York
Telemundo 47 		New York, New York David Ushery [93] P P P

Polling

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Graphical summary

Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Kathy
Hochul 		Tom
Suozzi 		Jumaane
Williams 		Other
[b] 		Margin
Real Clear Politics[94] June 6–20, 2022 June 22, 2022 58.5% 18.0% 14.5% 9.0% Hochul +40.5
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Steven
Bellone 		Preet
Bharara 		Alessandra
Biaggi 		Andrew
Cuomo 		Bill
de Blasio 		Thomas
DiNapoli 		Kathryn
Garcia 		Kirsten
Gillibrand 		Kathy
Hochul 		Letitia
James 		Sean Patrick
Maloney 		Alexandria
Ocasio-Cortez 		Tom
Suozzi 		Scott
Stringer 		Jumaane
Williams 		Other Undecided
Siena College[95] March 20–24, 2022 369 (RV) ± 5.5% – – – 30% – – – – 38% – – – 10% – 7% 1% 14%
Emerson College[96] March 9–10, 2022 504 (LV) ± 4.3% – – – 33% – – – – 37% – – – 7% – 4% 9%[d] 9%
Zogby Analytics[97] January 21–24, 2022 413 (LV) ± 4.8% – – – 20% – – – – 41% – – – 7% – 13% 5% 14%
Data for Progress (D)[98][A] November 16–17, 2021 528 (LV) ± 4.0% – – – 15% 3% – – – 36% 22% – – 6% – 7% – 11%
– – – 27% – – – – 64% – – – – – – – 9%
Siena College[99] October 10–14, 2021 419 (RV) ± 5.4% – – – 17% 6% – – – 31% 14% – – – – 7% 2% 23%
Marist College[100] October 4–7, 2021 389 (RV) ± 6.9% – – – 19% – – – 36% 24% – – – – – 9% – 12%
co/efficient (R)[101] August 15–16, 2021 814 (LV) ± 3.4% – – – – – – – – 45% – – 26% – – – 30%
Slingshot Strategies (D)[102] August 6–7, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 2% 4% 1% 26% 3% 3% 6% 6% 4% 9% 2% 8% 2% 3% 2% – 19%
3% 6% 2% – 5% 3% 8% 10% 6% 13% 3% 10% 2% 4% 4% – 22%
Zogby Analytics[103] February 3–5, 2021 316 (LV) ± 5.5% – – – 65% – – – – – 22% – – – – – – 13%
– – – 67% – – – – – – – 24% – – – – 9%

Results

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Results by county
  Hochul
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Democratic gubernatorial primary results[104][105]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kathy Hochul (incumbent) 607,928 67.64%
Democratic Jumaane Williams 173,872 19.35%
Democratic Tom Suozzi 116,972 13.01%
Total votes 898,772 100.0%

Lieutenant governor

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On April 12, 2022, incumbent lieutenant governor Brian Benjamin resigned from office after being arrested for campaign finance violations. Despite this, he did not officially withdraw from the race, so under the laws of the time, he could only be removed if he moved out of New York, ran for a different office, or died.[106] On May 3, 2022, Hochul announced her intent to appoint Representative Antonio Delgado to the position of lieutenant governor after a bill passed the New York State Assembly allowing Benjamin to be removed from the ticket.[48][107] Delgado won the primary by a large margin.

Candidates

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Nominee
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Lost in primary
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Disqualified
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Withdrawn
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Declined
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Endorsements

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Ana María Archila

U.S. representatives

State senators

State assemblymembers

Local officials

Individuals

Organizations

Labor unions

Brian Benjamin (withdrawn)

State officials

Antonio Delgado

U.S. representatives

State officials

State senators

State assemblymembers

Local officials

Newspapers

Organizations

Labor unions

David Englert (disqualified)

Individuals

  • Paul Nichols, lawyer and legislative staffer[109]
Diana Reyna

U.S. representatives

Local officials

Labor unions

Declined to endorse

Local officials

Newspapers

Results

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Results by county
  Delgado
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   >90%
Democratic lieutenant gubernatorial primary results[104][105]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Antonio Delgado (incumbent) 522,069 60.93%
Democratic Ana Maria Archila 213,210 24.88%
Democratic Diana Reyna 121,589 14.19%
Total votes 856,868 100.0%

Republican primary

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In June 2020, Lewis County sheriff Mike Carpinelli became the first Republican to enter the race.[122] He was the only announced challenger until Long Island congressman Lee Zeldin announced his own campaign in April 2021; he announced by the end of the month that the Erie and Niagara counties' Republican Party chairs had endorsed his campaign, giving him the necessary 50% of state committee support to gain the Republican nomination.[123][124] Trump administration official Andrew Giuliani and 2014 New York gubernatorial nominee Rob Astorino made campaign announcements the following month.[125][126][127] Contractor and podcast host Derrick Gibson was also in the race.[128]

In June 2021, Zeldin was named the 'presumed nominee' of the New York's Republican Party by state chairman Nick Langworthy after he earned 85 percent of a straw poll vote of county leaders, and was also called the 'presumptive nominee' of New York's Conservative Party by Conservative state chairman Gerard Kassar.[129] As of February 2022, Zeldin had the endorsement of 59 of New York's 62 county Republican committees.[130]

In February 2022, shortly before the Republican convention, businessman Harry Wilson announced his candidacy for governor of New York.[131] Wilson stated that he intended to invest $12 million of his own money in the race.[132]

At the Republican convention in Nassau County, Zeldin received 85 percent support from the party's voting committee members, with Astorino and Wilson receiving 7 percent of the vote each, and Giuliani receiving less than one percent of the vote.[133]

On June 28, 2022, the primary election was held. Astorino's strongest performance was in his native Westchester County, Giuliani performed well across New York City (although Manhattan was won by Zeldin), and Wilson performed best in his native Fulton County. It was Zeldin who won the Republican nomination, receiving the most votes in 48 of New York's 62 counties, including earning 76% of the vote in his native Suffolk County.[134]

Governor

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Lost in primary
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Disqualified
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  • Derrick Gibson, contractor and podcast host[128][142]
Withdrawn
edit
Declined
edit

Endorsements

edit
Andrew Giuliani

Individuals

  • Mike Carpinelli, Lewis County sheriff and former candidate in this primary[153]
  • Michael Flynn, retired United States Army lieutenant general and former U.S. National Security Advisor[154]

Organizations

Lee Zeldin

Executive officials

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Local officials

Individuals

Media

Organizations

Declined to endorse

Media

Debates

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2022 New York gubernatorial Republican primary debates
Date Host Location Moderator Link Participants
Lee Zeldin Andrew Giuliani Rob Astorino Harry Wilson
June 13, 2022 CBS New York New York, New York Maurice DuBois
Marcia Kramer 		Video[178] P P P P
June 20, 2022 NY1 New York, New York Susan Arbetter
Errol Louis 		Video[179] P P P P
June 21, 2022 Newsmax Rochester, New York Eric Bolling Video[180] P P P P

Polling

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Graphical summary

Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Lee Zeldin Andrew Giuliani Rob Astorino Harry Wilson Other
[e] 		Margin
Real Clear Politics[181] June 6–20, 2022 June 22, 2022 32.5% 20.0% 15.5% 16.5% 24.3% Zeldin +12.5
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Rob
Astorino 		Michael
Carpinelli 		Derrick
Gibson 		Andrew
Giuliani 		Harry
Wilson 		Lee
Zeldin 		Other Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[182] June 20–22, 2022 400 (LV) ± 5.0% 16% – – 28% 14% 35% – 8%
SurveyUSA[183] June 15–20, 2022 538 (LV) ± 5.4% 8% – – 23% 13% 25% – 31%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[184] June 16–19, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 17% – – 17% 16% 38% – 12%
Emerson College[185] June 9–10, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.3% 16% – – 13% 15% 34% – 22%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[186] May 24–25, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 17% – – 18% 13% 41% – 12%
John Zogby Strategies[187] May 18–20, 2022 408 (LV) ± 5.0% 17% – – 35% 12% 25% – 11%
May 4, 2022 Gibson does not qualify for primary ballot
Emerson College[188] May 1–3, 2022 192 (LV) ± 7.0% 16% 3% 1% 18% 8% 26% 10%[f] 19%
April 22, 2022 Carpinelli withdraws from the race
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[189] April 11–12, 2022 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 17% – – 15% 7% 47% – 14%
John Zogby Strategies[190] April 10, 2022 267 (LV) ± 6.1% 15% – – 29% 11% 28% – 17%
Emerson College[96] March 9–10, 2022 225 (LV) ± 6.5% 11% 5% 3% 17% 6% 27% 8%[g] 23%
John Zogby Strategies[191] March 3, 2022 266 (LV) ± 6.1% 21% 9% – 31% 5% 23% – 12%
Zogby Analytics[97] January 21–24, 2022 243 (LV) ± 6.3% 12% 8% 7% 18% – 16% 5% 33%
John Zogby Strategies[192] January 20–21, 2022 251 (LV) ± 6.3% 13% 4% 5% 26% 2% 28% 2%[h] 21%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Rob
Astorino 		Andrew
Giuliani 		Harry
Wilson 		Lee
Zeldin 		Undecided
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[189] April 11–12, 2022 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 20% – 9% 53% 18%
– – 13% 64% 24%

Results

edit
 
Results by county
  Zeldin
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   70–80%
  Giuliani
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Astorino
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Wilson
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
Republican gubernatorial primary results[104][105]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Lee Zeldin 196,874 43.62%
Republican Andrew Giuliani 103,267 22.88%
Republican Rob Astorino 84,464 18.71%
Republican Harry Wilson 66,736 14.79%
Total votes 451,341 100.0%

Lieutenant governor

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Nominee

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  • Alison Esposito, former NYPD Deputy Inspector and commanding officer of Brooklyn's 70th Precinct[193]

Conservative primary

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At the 2022 Conservative Party convention, the party endorsed Congressman Lee Zeldin for governor and NYPD deputy inspector Alison Esposito for Lieutenant Governor.[194]

Governor

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Candidates

edit
Official designee
edit

Lieutenant governor

edit

Candidates

edit
Official designee
edit

Working Families primary

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On February 8, 2022, the Working Families Party endorsed New York City Public Advocate Jumaane Williams for the governorship.[196] On February 28, 2022, the party announced that their preferred candidate for lieutenant governor was activist Ana María Archila.[197]

Following Hochul and Delgado's respective wins in the Democratic gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial primary, the party filed to put the two Democratic nominees on the Working Families ballot line.[198]

Governor

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Official designee

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Withdrawn

edit

Lieutenant governor

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Official designee

edit

Withdrawn

edit

Other parties

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In an unprecedented decision, the New York State Board of Elections rejected all petitions for non-qualified party ballot access in July 2022.[3] Among the parties who submitted rejected petitions:

Libertarian Party

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On February 16, 2022, Larry Sharpe, the Libertarian Party's candidate for governor of New York in 2018, officially announced his campaign to run for governor of New York on Kennedy.[197] He received his party's nomination at the convention in Albany on February 19, 2022.[200] In July 2022, the New York State Board of Elections disqualified Sharpe for not meeting the qualifications for ballot access.[3]

Governor

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Disqualified
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Endorsements
edit
Larry Sharpe (disqualified)

Individuals

Organizations

Lieutenant governor

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Disqualified
edit
  • Andrew Hollister, Libertarian nominee for lieutenant governor in 2018[202][3]

Green Party

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On April 25, 2022, Howie Hawkins, who had run for numerous elected offices including Governor of New York, launched his campaign.[205] In July 2022, the New York State Board of Elections disqualified Hawkins for not meeting the qualifications for ballot access.[3]

Governor

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Disqualified
edit

Lieutenant governor

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Disqualified
edit
  • Jia Lee, special education teacher[3]

Additional parties

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  • Freedom Party – a petition was filed with the New York State Board of Elections with Skiboky Stora, a 2021 candidate for Mayor of New York City, running for governor.[207] On June 27, 2022, Stora's petition was ruled invalid at the New York State Board of Elections Commissioners' meeting.[208] In July 2022, the Board of Elections rejected the party's petitions for ballot access.[3]
  • Independence Party of New York – a petition was filed with the New York State Board of Elections, with the Republican slate seeking to restore the Independence Party line.[207] The party had lost ballot status in 2020. On July 14, 2022, the Board of Elections denied the petitions submitted by the Zeldin campaign, due to contested signatures.[3][209]
  • New Visions Party – a petition was filed with the New York State Board of Elections, with Carol Seidelman running for governor and Benjamin Azah running for lieutenant governor.[207] In July 2022, the Board of Elections rejected the party's petitions for ballot access.[3]
  • Parent Party – a petition was filed with the New York State Board of Elections, with the Republican slate seeking to create the Parent Party line. The Parent Party endorsed Lee Zeldin and the Republican slate in May 2022. In July 2022, the Board of Elections rejected the party's petitions for ballot access.[3]
  • Unite Party – a petition was filed with the New York State Board of Elections, with Harry Wilson running for governor and John Bullis running for lieutenant governor. In July 2022, the Board of Elections rejected the party's petitions for ballot access.[3]

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
FiveThirtyEight[210] Solid D August 26, 2022
RealClearPolitics[211] Tossup October 15, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[212] Likely D October 19, 2022
The Cook Political Report[213] Likely D October 28, 2022
Fox News[214] Lean D November 1, 2022
Inside Elections[215] Likely D November 3, 2022
Politico[216] Lean D November 4, 2022
Elections Daily[217] Safe D November 7, 2022

Endorsements

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Kathy Hochul (D)

U.S. presidents

U.S. executive branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State officials

State senators

State Assemblymembers

Local officials

Individuals

Organizations

Newspapers

Labor unions

Lee Zeldin (R)

U.S. presidents

Executive officials

U.S. representatives

State officials

State legislators

  • Fred Akshar, New York state senator from the 52nd district (2015–present)[247]
  • Joe Angelino, New York state assemblyman from the 122nd district (2021–present)[160]
  • William Barclay, Minority Leader of the New York State Assembly (2020–present), New York state assemblyman from the 120th district (2003–present)[161]
  • George Borrello, New York state senator from the 57th district (2019–present)[162]
  • Keith Brown, New York state assemblyman from the 12th district (2021–present)[160]
  • Marjorie Byrnes, New York state assemblywoman from the 133rd district (2019–present)[163]
  • Rubén Díaz Sr., New York state senator from the 32nd district (2003–2017), New York City Councilman from the 18th district (2002–2003, 2018–2021)[248] (Democrat)
  • Michael Fitzpatrick, New York state assemblyman from the 8th district (2003–present)[160]
  • Patrick Gallivan, New York state senator from the 59th district (2011–present)[164]
  • Joseph Giglio, New York state assemblyman from the 148th district (2013–present)[165]
  • Andy Goodell, New York state assemblyman from the 150th district (2011–present)[163]
  • Stephen Hawley, New York state assemblyman from the 139th district (2006–present)[160]
  • Dov Hikind, New York assemblyman from the 48th district (1983–2018)[249] (Democrat)
  • Josh Jensen, New York state assemblyman from the 134th district (2021–present)[160]
  • Stephen Kaufman, New York assemblyman from the 82nd district (1998–2004)[250] (Democrat)
  • John Lemondes Jr., New York state assemblyman from the 126th district (2021–present)[160]
  • Mike Martucci, New York state senator from the 42nd district (2021–present)[162]
  • Brian Miller, New York state assemblyman from the 101st district (2017–present)[163]
  • Angelo Morinello, New York state assemblyman from the 145th district (2017–present)[165]
  • Mike Norris, New York state assemblyman from the 148th district (2017–present)[165]
  • Rob Ortt, Minority Leader of the New York State Senate (2020–present), New York state senator from the 62nd district (2015–present)[166]
  • Edward Rath III, New York state senator from the 61st district (2021–present)[162]
  • Michael Reilly, New York state assemblyman from the 62nd district (2019–present)[160]
  • Matt Simpson, New York state assemblyman from the 114th district (2021–present)[160]
  • Robert Smullen, New York state assemblyman from the 118th district (2019–present)[160]
  • Christopher Tague, New York state assemblyman from the 102nd district (2018–present)[157]
  • Mark Walczyk, New York state assemblyman from the 116th district (2019–present)[160]
  • Mary Beth Walsh, New York state assemblywoman from the 112th district (2017–present)[163]

Local officials

Individuals

Media

Organizations

Labor unions

Larry Sharpe (L) (disqualified)

Individuals

Organizations

Howie Hawkins (G) (disqualified, running as a write-in)

Individuals

Organizations

No endorsement

Newspapers

Debate

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2022 New York gubernatorial debate
No. Date Host Location Moderator Link Republican Democratic
Key:  P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Lee Zeldin Kathy Hochul
1 Oct. 25, 2022 Spectrum News Pace University
Manhattan, New York 		Errol Louis
Susan Arbetter 		[279] P P

Polling

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Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Kathy
Hochul (D) 		Lee
Zeldin (R) 		Undecided
[i] 		Margin
Real Clear Politics[280] October 26–31, 2022 November 8, 2022 52.0% 45.0% 3.0% Hochul +7.0
FiveThirtyEight[281] October 20 – November 8, 2022 November 8, 2022 51.7% 43.9% 4.4% Hochul +7.8
Average 51.8% 44.5% 3.7% Hochul +7.4
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kathy
Hochul (D) 		Lee
Zeldin (R) 		Other Undecided
Research Co.[282] November 4–6, 2022 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 49% 41% – 11%
ActiVote (D)[283] August 8 – November 6, 2022 260 (LV) ± 6.0% 55% 45% – –
Patriot Polling[284] October 31 – November 3, 2022 826 (RV) – 49% 44% – 7%
Emerson College[285][B] October 28–31, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 52% 44% 1%[j] 3%
54% 45% 2%[k] –
The Trafalgar Group (R)[286] October 27–31, 2022 1,198 (LV) ± 2.9% 48% 48% – 4%
KAConsulting (R)[287][C] October 27–29, 2022 501 (LV) ± 4.4% 46% 45% 3%[l] 5%
Data for Progress (D)[288] October 26–28, 2022 818 (LV) ± 3.0% 54% 42% – 4%
Slingshot Strategies (D)[289] October 25–26, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 48% 42% – 10%
Civiqs[290] October 22–25, 2022 593 (LV) ± 5.0% 54% 43% 2%[m] 2%
Emerson College[285][B] October 20–24, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 44% 2%[n] 4%
52% 44% 4%[o] –
Bold Decision[291] October 16–20, 2022 1,204 (LV) ± 2.8% 52% 37% – 12%
co/efficient (R)[292] October 18–19, 2022 1,056 (LV) ± 3.3% 45% 46% – 9%
SurveyUSA[293] October 14–18, 2022 702 (LV) ± 5.4% 47% 41% 4% 8%
Quinnipiac University[294] October 12–16, 2022 1,617 (LV) ± 2.4% 50% 46% 1%[p] 2%
Siena College[295] October 12–14, 2022 707 (LV) ± 4.9% 52% 41% 1%[q] 6%
Marist College[296] October 3–6, 2022 900 (LV) ± 4.4% 52% 44% 1%[r] 3%
1,117 (RV) ± 4.0% 51% 41% 1%[s] 7%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[297] September 30 – October 3, 2022 1,087 (LV) ± 2.9% 45% 43% 3%[t] 10%
Siena College[298] September 16–25, 2022 655 (LV) ± 3.9% 54% 37% 2%[u] 7%
Data for Progress (D)[299] September 9–13, 2022 931 (LV) ± 3.0% 52% 39% – 9%
Public Policy Polling (D)[300][D] September 8–9, 2022 510 (LV) – 54% 39% – 7%
co/efficient (R)[301] September 5–7, 2022 1,194 (LV) ± 3.3% 49% 43% – 8%
Emerson College[302] September 4–6, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 35% 6%[v] 9%
The Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage (R)[303] August 31 – September 1, 2022 1,091 (LV) ± 2.9% 48% 43% 2%[w] 7%
SurveyUSA[304] August 17–21, 2022 715 (LV) ± 4.6% 55% 31% – 14%
Emerson College[305] July 26–28, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 51% 35% 7% 7%
Siena College[306] July 24–28, 2022 806 (LV) ± 3.5% 53% 39% 0% 7%
July 7, 2022 Sharpe is disqualified from the ballot
SurveyUSA[307] June 15–20, 2022 2,152 (LV) ± 2.8% 52% 28% – 20%
John Zogby Strategies[308] May 18–20, 2022 1,007 (LV) ± 3.2% 52% 32% 6%[x] 10%
54% 36% – 10%
John Zogby Strategies[309] April 10, 2022 1,001 (LV) ± 3.2% 49% 34% 3%[y] 14%
Data for Progress (D)[310] March 30 – April 4, 2022 947 (LV) ± 3.0% 51% 36% – 13%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[311] March 9–11, 2022 800 (LV) ± 3.4% 44% 46% – 11%
John Zogby Strategies[312] March 3, 2022 1,003 (LV) ± 3.2% 47% 33% 6%[z] 14%
50% 35% – 15%
Zogby Analytics[97] January 21–24, 2022 869 (LV) ± 3.3% 44% 27% 6%[aa] 23%
John Zogby Strategies[313] January 20–21, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.2% 50% 29% 6%[ab] 15%
51% 33% – 16%
Hypothetical polling

Kathy Hochul vs. Rob Astorino

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kathy
Hochul (D) 		Rob
Astorino (R) 		Larry
Sharpe (L) 		Undecided
SurveyUSA[307] June 15–20, 2022 2,152 (LV) ± 2.7% 55% 28% – 17%
John Zogby Strategies[308] May 18–20, 2022 1,007 (LV) ± 3.2% 54% 35% – 11%
John Zogby Strategies[309] April 10, 2022 1,001 (LV) ± 3.2% 51% 34% – 16%
John Zogby Strategies[312] March 3, 2022 1,003 (LV) ± 3.2% 49% 35% – 16%
Zogby Analytics[97] January 21–24, 2022 869 (LV) ± 3.3% 45% 27% 6% 22%

Kathy Hochul vs. Andrew Giuliani

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kathy
Hochul (D) 		Andrew
Giuliani (R) 		Undecided
SurveyUSA[307] June 15–20, 2022 2,152 (LV) ± 2.7% 56% 30% 15%
John Zogby Strategies[308] May 18–20, 2022 1,007 (LV) ± 3.2% 54% 35% 11%
John Zogby Strategies[312] March 3, 2022 1,003 (LV) ± 3.2% 52% 33% 15%

Kathy Hochul vs. Harry Wilson

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kathy
Hochul (D) 		Harry
Wilson (R) 		Larry
Sharpe (L) 		Undecided
SurveyUSA[307] June 15–20, 2022 2,152 (LV) ± 2.8% 54% 29% – 17%
John Zogby Strategies[308] May 18–20, 2022 1,007 (LV) ± 3.2% 51% 32% 5% 12%
53% 36% – 11%
John Zogby Strategies[309] April 10, 2022 1,001 (LV) ± 3.2% 50% 30% 4% 16%
51% 32% – 17%
John Zogby Strategies[312] March 3, 2022 1,003 (LV) ± 3.2% 50% 34% – 16%

Tom Suozzi vs. Harry Wilson

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Tom
Suozzi (D) 		Harry
Wilson (R) 		Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[308] May 18–20, 2022 1,007 (LV) ± 3.2% 50% 34% 17%
John Zogby Strategies[309] April 10, 2022 1,001 (LV) ± 3.2% 45% 31% 24%
John Zogby Strategies[312] March 3, 2022 1,003 (LV) ± 3.2% 44% 32% 25%

Tom Suozzi vs. Lee Zeldin

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Tom
Suozzi (D) 		Lee
Zeldin (R) 		Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[308] May 18–20, 2022 1,007 (LV) ± 3.2% 48% 36% 16%
John Zogby Strategies[312] March 3, 2022 1,003 (LV) ± 3.2% 43% 34% 23%

Jumaane Williams vs. Rob Astorino

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Jumaane
Williams (D) 		Rob
Astorino (R) 		Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[308] May 18–20, 2022 1,007 (LV) ± 3.2% 48% 36% 17%
John Zogby Strategies[309] April 10, 2022 1,001 (LV) ± 3.2% 43% 33% 24%
John Zogby Strategies[312] March 3, 2022 1,003 (LV) ± 3.2% 43% 35% 22%

Jumaane Williams vs. Andrew Giuliani

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Jumaane
Williams (D) 		Andrew
Giuliani (R) 		Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[308] May 18–20, 2022 1,007 (LV) ± 3.2% 49% 36% 15%
John Zogby Strategies[309] April 10, 2022 1,001 (LV) ± 3.2% 45% 35% 20%
John Zogby Strategies[312] March 3, 2022 1,003 (LV) ± 3.2% 46% 33% 22%

Jumaane Williams vs. Harry Wilson

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Jumaane
Williams (D) 		Harry
Wilson (R) 		Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[308] May 18–20, 2022 1,007 (LV) ± 3.2% 45% 37% 18%
John Zogby Strategies[309] April 10, 2022 1,001 (LV) ± 3.2% 41% 34% 25%
John Zogby Strategies[312] March 3, 2022 1,003 (LV) ± 3.2% 42% 34% 24%

Jumaane Williams vs. Lee Zeldin

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Jumaane
Williams (D) 		Lee
Zeldin (R) 		Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[308] May 18–20, 2022 1,007 (LV) ± 3.2% 47% 37% 16%
John Zogby Strategies[309] April 10, 2022 1,001 (LV) ± 3.2% 43% 36% 21%
John Zogby Strategies[312] March 3, 2022 1,003 (LV) ± 3.2% 43% 36% 22%

Andrew Cuomo vs. Rob Astorino

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Andrew
Cuomo (D) 		Rob
Astorino (R) 		Larry
Sharpe (L) 		Undecided
Zogby Analytics[97] January 21–24, 2022 869 (LV) ± 3.3% 34% 31% 7% 28%

Andrew Cuomo vs. Elise Stefanik

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Andrew
Cuomo (D) 		Elise
Stefanik (R) 		Undecided
Zogby Analytics[103] February 3–5, 2021 810 (LV) ± 3.4% 49% 37% 14%

Andrew Cuomo vs. Lee Zeldin

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Andrew
Cuomo (D) 		Lee
Zeldin (R) 		Larry
Sharpe (L) 		Undecided
Trafalgar Group (R)[314] October 27–31, 2022 1198 (LV) ± 2.9% 55% 45% – –
Data for Progress (D)[310] March 30 – April 4, 2022 947 (LV) ± 3.0% 44% 41% – 15%
Zogby Analytics[97] January 21–24, 2022 869 (LV) ± 3.3% 34% 31% 7% 28%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez vs. Elise Stefanik

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Alexandria
Ocasio-Cortez (D) 		Elise
Stefanik (R) 		Undecided
Zogby Analytics[103] February 3–5, 2021 810 (LV) ± 3.4% 48% 40% 12%

Andrew Cuomo vs. generic Republican

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Andrew
Cuomo (D) 		Generic
Republican 		Undecided
Siena College[315] May 16–20, 2021 793 (RV) ± 4% 48% 38% 14%

Letitia James vs. generic Republican

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Letitia
James (D) 		Generic
Republican 		Undecided
Siena College[315] May 16–20, 2021 793 (RV) ± 4% 46% 29% 25%

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Generic
Democrat 		Generic
Republican 		Undecided
Siena College[315] May 16–20, 2021 793 (RV) ± 4% 55% 29% 16%

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican with Andrew Cuomo as an independent

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Generic
Democrat 		Generic
Republican 		Andrew
Cuomo (I) 		Undecided
Emerson College[188] May 1–3, 2022 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 33% 33% 16% 18%
Emerson College[96] March 9–10, 2022 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 39% 33% 12% 17%

Kathy Hochul vs. generic opponent

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kathy
Hochul (D) 		Generic
Opponent 		Undecided
Siena College[316] June 7–13, 2022 802 (RV) ± 3.9% 46% 44% 10%
Siena College[317] April 18–21, 2022 806 (RV) ± 3.9% 40% 45% 15%
Siena College[95] March 20–24, 2022 804 (RV) ± 4.2% 43% 43% 14%
Siena College[318] February 14–17, 2022 803 (RV) ± 3.9% 47% 38% 15%

Antonio Delgado vs. Alison Esposito[E]

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Antonio
Delgado (D) 		Alison
Esposito (R) 		Undecided
Data for Progress (D)[288] October 26–28, 2022 818 (LV) ± 3.0% 52% 41% 7%

Results

edit
 
 
2022 New York gubernatorial election[319]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic
  • Kathy Hochul
  • Antonio Delgado
 2,879,092 48.77% −7.39%
Working Families
  • Kathy Hochul
  • Antonio Delgado
 261,323 4.43% +2.55%
Total
3,140,415 53.12% −6.43%
Republican
  • Lee Zeldin
  • Alison Esposito
 2,449,394 41.49% +9.89%
Conservative
  • Lee Zeldin
  • Alison Esposito
 313,187 5.31% +1.15%
Total
2,762,581 46.73% +10.57%
Write-in 9,290 0.16% +0.04%
Total votes 5,798,092 100.0%
Turnout 5,902,996 47.74%
Registered electors 12,124,242
Democratic hold

By county

edit
By county
County Kathy Hochul Lee Zeldin Margin Total
votes
Democratic WFP Total Republican Conservative Total
# % # % # % # % # % # % # %
Albany 62,327 53.46 6,708 5.75 69,035 59.22 40,416 34.67 7,129 6.12 47,545 40.78 21,490 18.43 116,580
Allegany 3,613 22.81 255 1.61 3,868 24.42 10,862 68.56 1,112 7.02 11,974 75.58 -8,106 -51.17 15,842
Bronx 148,131 73.88 7,433 3.71 155,564 77.58 41,685 20.79 3,263 1.63 44,948 22.42 110,616 55.17 200,512
Broome 27,272 40.02 2,527 3.71 29,799 43.73 34,542 50.69 3,801 5.58 38,343 56.27 -8,544 -12.54 68,142
Cattaraugus 7,291 27.98 504 1.93 7,795 29.91 16,219 62.24 2,046 7.85 18,265 70.09 -10,470 -40.18 26,060
Cayuga 9,505 35.33 670 2.49 10,175 37.83 14,465 53.77 2,260 8.40 16,725 62.17 -6,550 -24.35 26,900
Chautauqua 14,180 32.59 1,057 2.43 15,237 35.02 24,668 56.70 3,600 8.27 28,268 64.98 -13,031 -29.95 43,505
Chemung 8,998 32.32 476 1.71 9,474 34.03 16,781 60.28 1,583 5.69 18,364 65.97 -8,890 -31.93 27,838
Chenango 4,623 27.45 345 2.05 4,968 29.50 10,911 64.80 960 5.70 11,871 70.50 -6,903 -40.99 16,839
Clinton 11,124 40.47 770 2.80 11,894 43.28 14,223 51.75 1,367 4.97 15,590 56.72 -3,696 -13.45 27,484
Columbia 14,400 48.51 1,679 5.66 16,079 54.17 11,697 39.41 1,908 6.43 13,605 45.83 2,474 8.33 29,684
Cortland 6,299 39.11 513 3.19 6,812 42.29 8,349 51.84 945 5.87 9,294 57.71 -2,482 -15.41 16,106
Delaware 5,869 31.58 621 3.34 6,490 34.92 11,076 59.60 1,019 5.48 12,095 65.08 -5,605 -30.16 18,585
Dutchess 50,967 44.32 4,552 3.96 55,519 48.28 52,803 45.91 6,683 5.81 59,486 51.72 -3,967 -3.45 115,005
Erie 166,539 48.89 14,087 4.14 180,626 53.03 128,008 37.58 31,996 9.39 160,004 46.97 20,622 6.05 340,630
Essex 6,484 41.79 508 3.27 6,992 45.07 7,878 50.78 644 4.15 8,522 54.93 -1,530 -9.86 15,514
Franklin 5,628 37.07 375 2.47 6,003 39.54 8,385 55.23 795 5.24 9,180 60.46 -3,177 -20.92 15,183
Fulton 4,915 26.08 340 1.80 5,255 27.88 12,342 65.49 1,249 6.63 13,591 72.12 -8,336 -44.23 18,846
Genesee 5,823 26.14 451 2.02 6,274 28.16 13,558 60.86 2,445 10.98 16,003 71.84 -9,729 -43.67 22,277
Greene 6,730 33.41 921 4.57 7,651 37.98 10,722 53.23 1,770 8.79 12,492 62.02 -4,841 -24.03 20,143
Hamilton 770 26.72 61 2.12 831 28.83 1,871 64.92 180 6.25 2,051 71.17 -1,220 -42.33 2,882
Herkimer 5,389 24.19 364 1.63 5,753 25.82 14,984 67.25 1,545 6.93 16,529 74.18 -10,776 -48.36 22,282
Jefferson 8,690 27.39 514 1.62 9,204 29.01 20,488 64.58 2,035 6.41 22,523 70.99 -13,319 -41.98 31,727
Kings 340,206 60.16 61,908 10.95 402,114 71.10 151,740 26.83 11,690 2.07 163,430 28.90 238,684 42.20 565,544
Lewis 1,933 18.15 135 1.27 2,068 19.42 7,876 73.97 704 6.61 8,580 80.58 -6,512 -61.16 10,648
Livingston 7,551 31.07 585 2.41 8,136 33.48 13,922 57.28 2,246 9.24 16,168 66.52 -8,032 -33.05 24,304
Madison 9,438 36.07 754 2.88 10,192 38.95 13,693 52.34 2,279 8.71 15,972 61.05 -5,780 -22.09 26,164
Monroe 137,598 49.97 11,153 4.05 148,751 54.02 105,694 38.38 20,943 7.60 126,637 45.98 22,114 8.03 275,388
Montgomery 4,708 29.64 320 2.01 5,028 31.65 9,457 59.53 1,401 8.82 10,858 68.35 -5,830 -36.70 15,886
Nassau 222,305 42.90 9,731 1.88 232,036 44.78 264,736 51.09 21,411 4.13 286,147 55.22 -54,111 -10.44 518,183
New York 336,737 74.45 35,412 7.83 372,149 82.28 74,592 16.49 5,567 1.23 80,159 17.72 291,990 64.56 452,308
Niagara 27,791 36.43 1,878 2.46 29,669 38.89 38,338 50.25 8,289 10.86 46,627 61.11 -16,958 -22.23 76,296
Oneida 23,658 31.40 1,700 2.26 25,358 33.65 44,685 59.30 5,306 7.04 49,991 66.35 -24,633 -32.69 75,349
Onondaga 85,144 50.19 6,266 3.69 91,410 53.88 66,148 38.99 12,091 7.13 78,239 46.12 13,171 7.76 169,649
Ontario 18,945 41.06 1,221 2.65 20,166 43.70 22,154 48.01 3,825 8.29 25,979 56.30 -5,813 -12.60 46,145
Orange 51,397 41.47 2,989 2.41 54,386 43.88 62,845 50.70 6,713 5.42 69,558 56.12 -15,172 -12.24 123,944
Orleans 3,086 22.58 206 1.51 3,292 24.09 8,988 65.76 1,388 10.16 10,376 75.91 -7,084 -51.83 13,668
Oswego 12,217 30.38 898 2.23 13,115 32.62 23,935 59.53 3,159 7.86 27,094 67.38 -13,979 -34.77 40,209
Otsego 8,104 36.75 691 3.13 8,795 39.89 11,833 53.66 1,422 6.45 13,255 60.11 -4,460 -20.23 22,050
Putnam 15,108 36.57 1,305 3.16 16,413 39.73 22,195 53.73 2,703 6.54 24,898 60.27 -8,485 -20.54 41,311
Queens 252,652 57.74 24,628 5.63 277,280 63.37 148,466 33.93 11,813 2.70 160,279 36.63 117,001 26.74 437,559
Rensselaer 25,411 40.81 3,110 4.99 28,521 45.80 27,702 44.49 6,047 9.71 33,749 54.20 -5,228 -8.40 62,270
Richmond 44,481 31.56 2,654 1.88 47,135 33.44 87,263 61.91 6,555 4.65 93,818 66.56 -46,683 -33.12 140,953
Rockland 45,258 41.57 2,596 2.38 47,854 43.95 51,462 47.27 9,556 8.78 61,018 56.05 -13,164 -12.09 108,872
Saratoga 45,052 43.32 3,131 3.01 48,183 46.33 48,463 46.60 7,361 7.08 55,824 53.67 -7,641 -7.35 104,007
Schenectady 25,310 46.52 2,322 4.27 27,632 50.79 22,557 41.46 4,215 7.75 26,772 49.21 860 1.58 54,404
Schoharie 3,560 27.74 363 2.83 3,923 30.57 7,651 59.62 1,259 9.81 8,910 69.43 -4,987 -38.86 12,833
Schuyler 2,436 31.42 225 2.90 2,661 34.32 4,613 59.50 479 6.18 5,092 65.68 -2,431 -31.36 7,753
Seneca 4,226 36.58 325 2.81 4,551 39.39 6,267 54.25 735 6.36 7,002 60.61 -2,451 -21.22 11,553
St. Lawrence 10,811 31.54 780 2.28 11,591 33.81 20,167 58.83 2,520 7.35 22,687 66.19 -11,096 -32.37 34,278
Steuben 9,053 26.20 613 1.77 9,666 27.98 22,815 66.03 2,071 5.99 24,886 72.02 -15,220 -44.05 34,552
Suffolk 223,688 39.52 12,048 2.13 235,736 41.64 289,077 51.07 41,260 7.29 330,337 58.36 -94,601 -16.71 566,073
Sullivan 8,912 35.98 847 3.42 9,759 39.40 13,363 53.95 1,646 6.65 15,009 60.60 -5,250 -21.20 24,768
Tioga 5,723 30.14 394 2.07 6,117 32.22 11,863 62.48 1,008 5.31 12,871 67.78 -6,754 -35.57 18,988
Tompkins 20,685 59.19 4,634 13.26 25,319 72.45 8,639 24.72 991 2.84 9,630 27.55 15,689 44.89 34,949
Ulster 38,207 49.03 6,376 8.18 44,583 57.21 28,938 37.13 4,409 5.66 33,347 42.79 11,236 14.42 77,930
Warren 11,601 41.23 772 2.74 12,373 43.98 14,131 50.23 1,630 5.79 15,761 56.02 -3,388 -12.04 28,134
Washington 7,361 33.31 585 2.65 7,946 35.95 12,655 57.26 1,500 6.79 14,155 64.05 -6,209 -28.09 22,101
Wayne 10,074 29.95 740 2.20 10,814 32.15 19,081 56.73 3,742 11.12 22,823 67.85 -12,009 -35.70 33,637
Westchester 187,342 57.08 10,860 3.31 198,202 60.38 119,352 36.36 10,683 3.25 130,035 39.62 68,167 20.77 328,237
Wyoming 3,041 19.91 251 1.64 3,292 21.56 10,376 67.95 1,602 10.49 11,978 78.44 -8,686 -56.88 15,270
Yates 2,715 32.86 186 2.25 2,901 35.11 4,729 57.23 633 7.66 5,362 64.89 -2,461 -29.78 8,263
Totals 2,879,092 48.77 261,323 4.43 3,140,415 53.20 2,449,394 41.49 313,187 5.31 2,762,581 46.80 377,834 6.40 5,902,996

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

New York City results

edit
2022 gubernatorial election in New York City Manhattan The Bronx Brooklyn Queens Staten Island Total
Democratic-
Working Families 		Kathy Hochul 372,149 155,564 402,114 277,280 47,135 1,254,242 69.8%
82.3% 77.6% 71.1% 63.4% 33.4%
Republican-
Conservative 		Lee Zeldin 80,159 44,948 163,430 160,279 93,818 542,634 30.2%
17.7% 22.4% 28.9% 36.6% 66.6%
By New York City council district
edit
 
2022 New York gubernatorial election New York City Council map

Hochul won 42 of 51 city council districts, while Zeldin won 9 of 51 city council districts, including three held by Democrats.[320][321]

District Hochul Zeldin City-Council Member
1st 76.7% 23.2% Christopher Marte
2nd 83.0% 16.8% Carlina Rivera
3rd 84.0% 15.8% Erik Bottcher
4th 73.1% 26.7% Keith Powers
5th 77.2% 22.7% Julie Menin
6th 85.1% 14.8% Gale Brewer
7th 88.6% 11.2% Shaun Abreu
8th 84.8% 15.1% Diana Ayala
9th 92.9% 6.9% Kristin Richardson Jordan
10th 82.2% 17.7% Carmen De La Rosa
11th 74.4% 25.5% Eric Dinowitz
12th 90.3% 9.7% Kevin Riley
13th 53.1% 46.9% Marjorie Velázquez
14th 78.3% 21.7% Pierina Sanchez
15th 80.7% 19.2% Oswald Feliz
16th 84.8% 15.2% Althea Stevens
17th 83.1% 16.8% Rafael Salamanca
18th 86.7% 12.6% Amanda Farías
19th 43.0% 57.0% Vickie Paladino
20th 50.1% 49.9% Sandra Ung
21st 70.1% 29.9% Francisco Moya
22nd 70.9% 29.0% Tiffany Cabán
23rd 59.4% 40.6% Linda Lee
24th 56.0% 44.0% James F. Gennaro
25th 66.6% 33.3% Shekar Krishnan
26th 75.9% 24.0% Julie Won
27th 91.2% 8.8% Nantasha Williams
28th 81.7% 18.3% Adrienne Adams
29th 60.3% 39.6% Lynn Schulman
30th 42.0% 58.0% Robert Holden
31st 82.2% 17.8% Selvena Brooks-Powers
32nd 41.6% 58.4% Joann Ariola
33rd 74.3% 25.6% Lincoln Restler
34th 84.8% 15.2% Jennifer Gutiérrez
35th 90.0% 9.9% Crystal Hudson
36th 94.2% 5.6% Chi Ossé
37th 84.9% 15.1% Sandy Nurse
38th 69.8% 30.1% Alexa Avilés
39th 83.0% 16.9% Shahana Hanif
40th 91.0% 8.9% Rita Joseph
41st 92.1% 7.9% Darlene Mealy
42nd 91.7% 8.3% Charles Barron
43rd 47.5% 52.4% Justin Brannan
44th 15.2% 84.8% Kalman Yeger
45th 76.2% 23.8% Farah Louis
46th 65.3% 34.7% Mercedes Narcisse
47th 36.7% 63.3% Ari Kagan
48th 26.7% 73.2% Inna Vernikov
49th 58.9% 41.1% Kamillah Hanks
50th 29.7% 70.3% Steven Matteo
51st 19.3% 80.6% Joe Borelli

By congressional district

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Hochul won 14 of 26 congressional districts with the remaining 12 going to Zeldin, including one that elected a Democrat.[322][323]

District Hochul Zeldin Representative
1st 43% 57% Lee Zeldin (117th Congress)
Nick LaLota (118th Congress)
2nd 39% 61% Andrew Garbarino
3rd 44% 56% Tom Suozzi (117th Congress)
George Santos (118th Congress)
4th 47% 53% Kathleen Rice (117th Congress)
Anthony D'Esposito (118th Congress)
5th 73% 27% Gregory Meeks
6th 55% 45% Grace Meng
7th 76% 24% Nydia Velázquez
8th 69% 30% Hakeem Jeffries
9th 68% 32% Yvette Clarke
10th 81% 19% Jerry Nadler (117th Congress)
Dan Goldman (118th Congress)
11th 36% 64% Nicole Malliotakis
12th 80% 20% Carolyn Maloney (117th Congress)
Jerry Nadler (118th Congress)
13th 86% 14% Adriano Espaillat
14th 70% 30% Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
15th 80% 20% Ritchie Torres
16th 64% 36% Jamaal Bowman
17th 48% 52% Mondaire Jones (117th Congress)
Mike Lawler (118th Congress)
18th 49% 51% Sean Patrick Maloney (117th Congress)
Pat Ryan (118th Congress)
19th 47% 53% Pat Ryan (117th Congress)
Marc Molinaro (118th Congress)
20th 53% 47% Paul Tonko
21st 36% 64% Elise Stefanik
22nd 47% 53% Claudia Tenney (117th Congress)
Brandon Williams (118th Congress)
23rd 36% 64% Joe Sempolinski (117th Congress)
Nick Langworthy (118th Congress)
24th 34% 66% John Katko (117th Congress)
Claudia Tenney (118th Congress)
25th 53% 47% Joe Morelle
26th 57% 43% Brian Higgins

Analysis

edit

New York has been a solidly Democratic state, and has not elected a Republican to statewide office since George Pataki's win in 2002. Despite this, polls showed the race narrowing, with the main focus of the election being crime.[324] Zeldin accused Hochul of being weak on crime and education issues, promising to declare a statewide crime emergency and to repeal cashless bail,[325] while Hochul attacked him for his ties to former president Donald Trump and the anti-abortion movement.[326]

By October, analysts viewed the race as tightening, although Hochul was still favored. The Associated Press stated that Zeldin's focus on crime was persuasive, leading to a closer race.[324] Hochul's campaign ramped up in the final weeks in an effort to prevent an upset loss. She pivoted her messaging to focus more on crime.[327] She also reached out to the Working Families Party and campaigned with Democrats such as Hillary Clinton.[328]

Ultimately, Hochul defeated Zeldin by a margin of 6.4%, making her the first woman to be elected governor of New York. Despite his loss, Zeldin's performance was the best a Republican had done since George Pataki's victory in 2002, the closest gubernatorial race since 1994, and the most votes a Republican had received for the position in 52 years, since Nelson Rockefeller in 1970. Additionally, Zeldin's coattails significantly narrowed other statewide races, with Democratic senator Chuck Schumer, who last won by over 43 points in 2016, only winning by just over 14 points in 2022. Republicans also flipped 4 congressional seats in the state, contributing to them winning the House of Representatives. Due to his overperformance, Zeldin was considered to be a challenger to Ronna McDaniel as chair of the Republican National Committee; however, he later declined though he stated that he would remain in politics.[329][330]

Fox News Voter Analysis showed in their exit polls that Zeldin won White voters (54%-46%) while Hochul won African Americans (82%-17%), Latinos (64%-35%) including Puerto Rican Americans (66%-33%) and other minorities (58%-41%). [1]

Notes

edit
  1. ^ Hochul became governor in 2021 when her predecessor, Andrew Cuomo, resigned. Prior to that, she was the Lieutenant Governor of New York.
  2. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  3. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. ^ "Someone else" with 7%, Nichols with 2%
  5. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  6. ^ "Someone else" with 9%, Lord with 1%
  7. ^ "Someone else" with 7%, Lord with 1%
  8. ^ Lord with 2%
  9. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  10. ^ "Someone else" with 1%
  11. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
  12. ^ "Other/Refused" with 3%
  13. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
  14. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
  15. ^ "Someone else" with 4%
  16. ^ "Someone else" with 1%
  17. ^ "Another candidate" with 1%; "Not going to vote" with 0%
  18. ^ "Another party's candidate" with 1%
  19. ^ "Another party's candidate" with 1%
  20. ^ Sharpe (L) with 3%
  21. ^ "Another candidate" with 1%; "Not going to vote" with 1%
  22. ^ "Someone else" with 6%
  23. ^ Sharpe (L) with 2%
  24. ^ Sharpe (L) with 6%
  25. ^ Sharpe (L) with 3%
  26. ^ Sharpe (L) with 6%
  27. ^ Sharpe (L) with 6%
  28. ^ Sharpe (L) with 6%

Partisan clients

  1. ^ This poll was sponsored by Neal Kwatra on behalf of an unnamed donor.
  2. ^ a b Poll conducted for PIX11 and The Hill.
  3. ^ Poll conducted for Citizens United, a conservative non-profit organization.
  4. ^ Poll sponsored by the AFL-CIO
  5. ^ This poll was conducted as a lieutenant governor poll, but is included here due to the candidates running on the same ticket.

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Official campaign websites

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