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2004 United States presidential election in South Dakota

The 2004 United States presidential election in South Dakota took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose 3 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

United States presidential election in South Dakota, 2004

← 2000 November 2, 2004 2008 →
  George-W-Bush.jpeg John F. Kerry.jpg
Nominee George W. Bush John Kerry
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Texas Massachusetts
Running mate Dick Cheney John Edwards
Electoral vote 3 0
Popular vote 232,584 149,244
Percentage 59.91% 38.44%

NorthDakotaPresidentialElection2004.svg
County Results

President before election

George W. Bush
Republican

Elected President

George W. Bush
Republican

South Dakota was won by incumbent President George W. Bush by a 21.5% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state. Since 1940, the state has voted for the Republican nominee in every presidential election, except 1964.

PrimariesEdit

CampaignEdit

PredictionsEdit

There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.[1]

  1. D.C. Political Report: Solid Republican
  2. Associated Press: Solid Bush
  3. CNN: Bush
  4. Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
  5. Newsweek: Solid Bush
  6. New York Times: Solid Bush
  7. Rasmussen Reports: Bush
  8. Research 2000: Solid Bush
  9. Washington Post: Bush
  10. Washington Times: Solid Bush
  11. Zogby International: Bush
  12. Washington Dispatch: Bush

PollingEdit

Bush won every pre-election by a double-digit margin. The final 3 poll average showed Bush with 55% to Kerry at 39%.[2]

FundraisingEdit

Bush raised $399,805.[3] Kerry raised $71,553.[4]

Advertising and visitsEdit

Neither campaign advertised or visited this state during the fall campaign season.[5][6]

AnalysisEdit

South Dakota politics are generally dominated by the Republican Party, and the state has not supported a Democratic presidential candidate since 1964 — even George McGovern, the Democratic nominee in 1972 and himself a South Dakotan, did not carry the state.[7][8] Additionally, a Democrat has not won the governorship since 1978. As of 2006, Republicans hold a 10% voter registration advantage over Democrats[9] and hold majorities in both the state House of Representatives[10] and Senate.[11]

Despite the state's general Republican and conservative leanings, Democrats have found success in various statewide elections, most notably in those involving South Dakota's congressional representatives in Washington. Two of the three members of the state's congressional delegation at the time were Democrats, and until his electoral defeat in 2004 Senator Tom Daschle was the Senate minority leader (and briefly its majority leader during Democratic control of the Senate in 2001–02).[12]

ResultsEdit

Presidential Candidate Running Mate Party Electoral Vote (EV) Popular Vote (PV)
George W. Bush Richard Cheney Republican 3 232,584 59.91%
John Kerry John Edwards Democrat 0 149,244 38.44%
Ralph Nader Peter Camejo Reform 0 4,320 1.11%
Michael Peroutka Chuck Baldwin Constitution 0 1,103 0.28%
Michael Badnarik Richard Campagna Libertarian 0 964 0.25%

Results breakdownEdit

By countyEdit

County Kerry% Kerry# Bush% Bush# Others% Others# Total
Aurora County 37.60% 620 61.19% 1,009 1.21% 20 1,649
Beadle County 40.60% 3,443 57.98% 4,917 1.42% 120 8,480
Bennett County 46.56% 759 51.10% 833 2.33% 38 1,630
Bon Homme County 37.94% 1,293 60.53% 2,063 1.53% 52 3,408
Brookings County 40.70% 5,443 57.29% 7,662 2.02% 270 13,375
Brown County 42.71% 7,943 55.84% 10,386 1.45% 270 18,599
Brule County 39.56% 1,040 58.73% 1,544 1.71% 45 2,629
Buffalo County 71.70% 603 26.52% 223 1.78% 15 841
Butte County 23.62% 1,009 74.13% 3,166 2.25% 96 4,271
Campbell County 24.92% 239 73.83% 708 1.25% 12 959
Charles Mix County 44.91% 2,155 53.27% 2,556 1.81% 87 4,798
Clark County 37.60% 875 61.67% 1,435 0.73% 17 2,327
Clay County 54.03% 3,315 43.87% 2,692 2.10% 129 6,136
Codington County 37.67% 4,803 61.00% 7,778 1.33% 170 12,751
Corson County 56.38% 972 41.76% 720 1.86% 32 1,724
Custer County 29.55% 1,272 67.89% 2,922 2.56% 110 4,304
Davison County 36.45% 3,263 62.12% 5,561 1.43% 128 8,952
Day County 51.33% 1,817 47.20% 1,671 1.47% 52 3,540
Deuel County 39.84% 961 58.29% 1,406 1.87% 45 2,412
Dewey County 62.64% 1,606 35.92% 921 1.44% 37 2,564
Douglas County 19.53% 393 79.32% 1,596 1.14% 23 2,012
Edmunds County 34.24% 765 64.19% 1,434 1.57% 35 2,234
Fall River County 34.49% 1,326 62.76% 2,413 2.76% 106 3,845
Faulk County 30.53% 418 69.03% 945 0.44% 6 1,369
Grant County 39.93% 1,633 58.48% 2,392 1.59% 65 4,090
Gregory County 31.93% 813 66.18% 1,685 1.89% 48 2,546
Haakon County 17.66% 219 81.21% 1,007 1.13% 14 1,240
Hamlin County 33.71% 1,015 64.63% 1,946 1.66% 50 3,011
Hand County 30.54% 668 67.76% 1,482 1.69% 37 2,187
Hanson County 34.65% 745 64.14% 1,379 1.21% 26 2,150
Harding County 11.53% 94 86.38% 704 2.09% 17 815
Hughes County 30.53% 2,697 68.10% 6,017 1.37% 121 8,835
Hutchinson County 28.38% 1,177 69.91% 2,899 1.71% 71 4,147
Hyde County 28.78% 259 70.11% 631 1.11% 10 900
Jackson County 39.97% 508 57.12% 726 2.91% 37 1,271
Jerauld County 39.00% 482 59.55% 736 1.46% 18 1,236
Jones County 18.69% 134 78.80% 565 2.51% 18 717
Kingsbury County 38.59% 1,163 59.85% 1,804 1.56% 47 3,014
Lake County 41.77% 2,509 55.92% 3,359 2.31% 139 6,007
Lawrence County 33.20% 3,857 64.45% 7,489 2.35% 273 11,619
Lincoln County 33.42% 5,703 65.40% 11,161 1.18% 202 17,066
Lyman County 44.95% 872 53.04% 1,029 2.01% 39 1,940
Marshall County 46.49% 1,099 52.54% 1,242 0.97% 23 2,364
McCook County 36.72% 1,201 61.66% 2,017 1.62% 53 3,271
McPherson County 23.37% 369 74.73% 1,180 1.90% 30 1,579
Meade County 25.57% 2,941 72.56% 8,347 1.88% 216 11,504
Mellette County 38.78% 361 59.40% 553 1.83% 17 931
Miner County 43.61% 641 55.10% 810 1.29% 19 1,470
Minnehaha County 41.62% 32,314 56.92% 44,189 1.45% 1,129 77,632
Moody County 46.62% 1,609 51.87% 1,790 1.51% 52 3,451
Oglala Lakota County 84.62% 3,566 12.48% 526 2.90% 122 4,214
Pennington County 31.61% 14,213 66.66% 29,976 1.73% 779 44,968
Perkins County 23.06% 418 73.30% 1,329 3.64% 66 1,813
Potter County 28.62% 463 70.64% 1,143 0.74% 12 1,618
Roberts County 50.72% 2,527 48.09% 2,396 1.18% 59 4,982
Sanborn County 40.74% 581 57.29% 817 1.96% 28 1,426
Spink County 39.16% 1,478 59.86% 2,259 0.98% 37 3,774
Stanley County 28.59% 464 69.56% 1,129 1.85% 30 1,623
Sully County 21.92% 201 76.55% 702 1.53% 14 917
Todd County 72.16% 2,543 25.23% 889 2.61% 92 3,524
Tripp County 29.95% 972 68.72% 2,230 1.33% 43 3,245
Turner County 34.05% 1,646 63.80% 3,084 2.15% 104 4,834
Union County 42.57% 3,000 56.57% 3,987 0.87% 61 7,048
Walworth County 30.49% 878 68.30% 1,967 1.22% 35 2,880
Yankton County 40.62% 4,237 57.55% 6,003 1.83% 191 10,431
Ziebach County 57.44% 641 40.05% 447 2.51% 28 1,116

By congressional districtEdit

Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated. This district, called the At-Large district, because it covers the entire state, and thus is equivalent to the statewide election results.

District Bush Kerry Representative
At-large 59.9% 38.4% Stephanie Herseth Sandlin

ElectorsEdit

Technically the voters of SD cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. SD is allocated 3 electors because it has 1 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 3 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 3 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 3 were pledged for Bush/Cheney.[13]

  1. Dennis Daugaard
  2. Larry Long
  3. Mike Rounds

ReferencesEdit

  1. ^ [1] Archived 2016-03-03 at the Wayback Machine
  2. ^ "Archived copy". Archived from the original on 2008-11-16. Retrieved 2009-10-24.CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  3. ^ "George W Bush - $374,659,453 raised, '04 election cycle, Republican Party, President". Campaignmoney.com. Retrieved 2015-05-20.
  4. ^ "John F Kerry - $345,826,176 raised, '04 election cycle, Democratic Party, President". Campaignmoney.com. Retrieved 2015-05-20.
  5. ^ "CNN.com Specials". CNN.com. Retrieved 2015-05-20.
  6. ^ "CNN.com Specials". CNN.com. Retrieved 2015-05-20.
  7. ^ "McGOVERN, George Stanley, (1922-)". Biographical Directory of the United States Congress. Retrieved 2007-10-05.
  8. ^ "Presidential General Election Graph Comparison - South Dakota". www.uselectionatlas.org. Retrieved 2007-10-05.
  9. ^ "South Dakota Voter Registration Statistics". South Dakota Secretary of State. Retrieved 2007-04-10.
  10. ^ "Official List of South Dakota Representatives". State of South Dakota. Retrieved 2007-04-10.
  11. ^ "Official List of South Dakota Senators". State of South Dakota. Retrieved 2007-04-10.
  12. ^ "Daschle Loses S.D. Senate Seat to Thune". www.foxnews.com. 2004-11-03. Archived from the original on 2007-05-23. Retrieved 2007-04-10.
  13. ^ "NARA | Federal Register | U.S. Electoral College". Archives.gov. Retrieved 2015-05-20.