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Statewide opinion polling for the 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries

This is a list of statewide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the Democratic primaries for the 2020 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.

Given the large number of potential candidates, the scores of certain low-polling and infrequently-polled candidates have been combined within the "other" column; their exact scores may be viewed by viewing the footnotes associated with each poll. The polls included are among Democrats or Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents, and do not include Republican-leaning independents. The statewide polls are ordered by the scheduled date of the state's primary or caucus. Open-ended polls are included and marked with an asterisk (*), but closed-ended versions of such polls are listed where possible. If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version used for debate qualification is prioritized, then the version among likely voters, then registered voters, then adults.

Contents

BackgroundEdit

The Democratic National Committee has determined that candidates may qualify for the first two Democratic primary debates either by polling at 1% or higher in at least three national or early-state (Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina) polls sponsored or conducted by designated organizations (in different regions if by the same organization) published after January 1, 2019 up until June 12, 2019, or by a fundraising threshold requiring at least 65,000 unique donors with at least 200 in 20 different states. Should more than 20 candidates meet either threshold, then candidates meeting both thresholds will be given highest priority for entry into the debates, followed by those with the highest polling average and those with the most donors. The pollsters and sponsors of polls designated for consideration by the DNC are the Associated Press, ABC News, CBS News, CNN, The Des Moines Register, Fox News, the Las Vegas Review-Journal, Monmouth University, NBC News, The New York Times, National Public Radio, Quinnipiac University, Reuters, the University of New Hampshire, USA Today, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and Winthrop University.[1] Open-ended polls do not count towards the polling threshold.[2]

For the third and fourth primary debates, candidates will be required to meet both polling and fundraising thresholds, with the prior considering only polls between June 28 and August 28, 2019 and increased to 4 qualifying polls at 2% support, now excluding surveys sponsored by the Las Vegas Review-Journal and Reuters; the latter requirement has also been increased, to 130,000 unique donors with at least 400 in 20 different states.[3]

Active
campaign
Exploratory
committee
Withdrawn
candidate
Midterm
elections
Debate
Iowa
caucuses
Super
Tuesday
Democratic
convention
Richard Ojeda 2020 presidential campaignAndrew Yang 2020 presidential campaignMarianne Williamson 2020 presidential campaignElizabeth Warren 2020 presidential campaignEric Swalwell 2020 presidential campaignJoe Sestak 2020 presidential campaignBernie Sanders 2020 presidential campaignTim Ryan 2020 presidential campaignBeto O'Rourke 2020 presidential campaignSeth Moulton 2020 presidential campaignWayne Messam 2020 presidential campaignAmy Klobuchar 2020 presidential campaignJay Inslee 2020 presidential campaignJohn Hickenlooper 2020 presidential campaignKamala Harris 2020 presidential campaignMike Gravel 2020 presidential campaignKirsten Gillibrand 2020 presidential campaignTulsi Gabbard 2020 presidential campaignJohn Delaney 2020 presidential campaignBill de Blasio 2020 presidential campaignJulian Castro 2020 presidential campaignPete Buttigieg 2020 presidential campaignSteve Bullock 2020 presidential campaignCory Booker 2020 presidential campaignJoe Biden 2020 presidential campaignMichael Bennet 2020 presidential campaign 

Stacey Abrams has been included in national Democratic primary polls and expressed interest in running. Other individuals who have been included in national Democratic primary polls but have either ruled out their candidacy or not expressed interest in running include Michael Avenatti, Michael Bloomberg, Sherrod Brown, Hillary Clinton, Mark Cuban, Andrew Cuomo, Al Franken, Eric Garcetti, Eric Holder, Tim Kaine, Jason Kander, Joe Kennedy III, John Kerry, Mitch Landrieu, Terry McAuliffe, Chris Murphy, Gavin Newsom, Michelle Obama, Deval Patrick, Howard Schultz, Tom Steyer, Oprah Winfrey, and Mark Zuckerberg.

Primary and caucus calendarEdit

 
Democratic primary and caucus calendar by currently scheduled date
  February
  March 3 (Super Tuesday)
  March 10
  March 17
  March 24
  April 4–7
  April 28
  May
  June
  No scheduled 2020 date

The following dates reflect either the confirmed or expected dates of Democratic primaries and caucuses in 2020. Those for contests in U.S. territories with no date yet set are based on dates estimated by The Green Papers based on past years. The pledged delegate numbers listed below are based on the presidential votes in 2008, 2012, and 2016, as well as the number of electoral votes of each state in 2020. The number of DNC members and distinguished party leaders in the count of unpledged PLEO (party leaders and elected officials) delegates is based on the 2016 Democratic National Convention, while the number of unpledged officeholders (governors, members of Congress, and their equivalents in non-state jurisdictions) reflects their current total. The numbers of pledged delegates do not yet account for delegate bonuses or penalties from timing or clustering.[4][5][6]

States listed with a lavender background and an asterisk (*) do not yet have a date set by existing statute. States with a light yellow background and a dagger (†) are set to shift their primary or caucus date following the expected passage of legislation moving the dates of their contests. If not already listed as such, the date to which the contest is expected to be moved is listed in parentheses. Party-run primaries (also described as either a firehouse primary or caucus in some jurisdictions) are listed with two asterisks (**).[4][5][6]

Date State/territory Type Eligibility P U T
Feb 3 Iowa Caucus Closed 41 8 49
Feb 11 New Hampshire Primary Mixed 24 9 33
Feb 22 Nevada Caucus Closed 36 12 48
Feb 29 South Carolina Primary Open 54 9 63
Mar 3 Alabama Primary Open 52 9 61
American Samoa* Caucus Open 6 5 11
Arkansas Primary Open 31 5 36
California Primary Mixed 416 79 495
Colorado Primary Mixed 67 13 80
Maine Primary Closed 24 8 32
Massachusetts Primary Mixed 91 23 114
Minnesota Primary Closed 75 17 92
North Carolina Primary Mixed 110 12 122
Oklahoma Primary Mixed 37 5 42
Tennessee Primary Open 64 9 73
Texas Primary Closed 228 34 262
Utah Primary Closed 29 6 35
Vermont Primary Open 16 7 23
Virginia Primary Open 99 25 124
Mar 3–10 Democrats Abroad Caucus** Open 13 4 17
Mar 10 Idaho Primary Closed 20 5 25
Michigan Primary Open 125 22 147
Mississippi Primary Open 36 5 41
Missouri Primary Open 68 10 78
North Dakota Caucus** Open 14 4 18
Ohio Primary Mixed 136 17 153
Washington Primary Closed 89 18 107
Mar 14 Northern Marianas* Caucus Closed 6 5 11
Mar 17 Arizona Primary Closed 67 11 78
Florida Primary Closed 219 29 248
Illinois Primary Open 155 29 184
Mar 24 Georgia Primary Open 105 15 120
Mar Wyoming* Caucus Closed 13 4 17
Apr 4 Alaska Primary** Closed 14 4 18
Hawaii Primary** Closed 22 9 31
Louisiana Primary Closed 50 7 57
Apr 7 Wisconsin Primary Open 77 13 90
Apr 28 Connecticut Primary Closed 49 15 64
Delaware Primary Closed 17 11 28
Maryland Primary Closed 79 23 102
New York Primary Closed 224 46 270
Pennsylvania Primary Closed 153 23 176
Rhode Island Primary Mixed 21 9 30
May 2 Guam* Caucus Closed 6 5 11
Kansas Primary** Closed 33 6 39
May 5 Indiana Primary Open 70 7 77
May 12 Nebraska Primary Mixed 25 4 29
West Virginia Primary Mixed 24 6 30
May 19 Kentucky Primary Closed 46 6 52
Oregon Primary Closed 52 14 66
Jun 2 District of Columbia Primary Closed 17 26 43
Montana Primary Open 16 6 22
New Jersey Primary Mixed 107 21 128
New Mexico Primary Closed 29 11 40
South Dakota Primary Mixed 14 5 19
Jun 6 Virgin Islands* Caucus Closed 6 5 11
Jun 7 (Mar 29) Puerto Rico Primary Open 51 8 59
Jul Unassigned 1 1
Total delegates 3,768 764 4,532

Iowa caucusEdit

The Iowa Democratic caucus will take place on Monday, February 3, 2020.[6]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Cory
Booker
Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Amy
Klobuchar
Beto
O'Rourke
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Other Undecided
Change Research Jun 17–20, 2019 308 27% 5% 17% 4% 2% 1% 18% 20% 7%[a]
Selzer/CNN/Des Moines Register Jun 2–5, 2019 600 ± 4.0% 24% 1% 14% 7% 2% 2% 16% 15% 6%[b] 6%
Change Research May 15–19, 2019 615 ± 3.9% 24% 1% 14% 10% 2% 5% 24% 12% 9%[c]
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Apr 30 – May 2, 2019 576 ± 4.1% 35% 2% 11% 5% 4% 3% 14% 10% 16%
Gravis Marketing Apr 17–18, 2019 590 ± 4.0% 19% 4% 14% 6% 4% 5% 19% 6% 7%[d] 16%
Monmouth University Apr 4–9, 2019 351 ± 5.2% 27% 3% 9% 7% 4% 6% 16% 7% 7%[e] 12%
David Binder Research Mar 21–24, 2019 500 ± 4.4% 25% 7% 6% 9% 6% 6% 17% 8% 9%[f] 7%
Emerson College Mar 21–24, 2019 249 ± 6.2% 25% 6% 11% 10% 2% 5% 24% 9% 8%[g]
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] Mar 14–15, 2019 678 29% 4% 5% 6% 7% 15% 8% 4% 22%
Selzer/CNN/Des Moines Register Mar 3–6, 2019 401 ± 4.9% 27% 3% 1% 7% 3% 5% 25% 9% 5%[h] 10%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Jan 31 – Feb 2, 2019 558 ± 3.6% 25% 4% 17% 5% 4% 10% 11% 1%[i] 25%
Emerson College Jan 30 – Feb 2, 2019 260 ± 6.0% 29% 4% 0% 18% 3% 6% 15% 11% 15%[j]
Change Research Dec 13–17, 2018 1,291 20% 4% 7% 5% 19% 20% 7% 18%[k]
Selzer/CNN/Des Moines Register Dec 10–13, 2018 455 ± 4.6% 32% 4% 5% 3% 11% 19% 8% 7%[l] 6%
David Binder Research Dec 10–11, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 30% 6% 7% 10% 11% 13% 9% 8%[m] 6%
David Binder Research Sep 20–23, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 37% 8% 10% 12% 16% 6%[n] 9%
Public Policy Polling (D)[B] Mar 3–6, 2017 1,062 17% 3% 11% 34%[o] 32%

NotesEdit

Partisan clients
  1. ^ Poll sponsored by End Citizens United
  2. ^ Poll sponsored by O'Say Can You See PAC, the PAC that supported O'Malley in 2016
Additional candidates
  1. ^ Delaney with 2%; Castro, Gabbard, Gravel, Moulton, and Yang with 1%; Bullock, de Blasio, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
  2. ^ Bennet, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Inslee, and Yang with 1%; Bullock, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with <1%; de Blasio and Messam with 0%
  3. ^ Yang with 2%; Abrams, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, and Swalwell with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Ryan, and Williamson with 0%
  4. ^ Delaney with 2%; Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, and Yang with 1%; Castro and Inslee with 0%
  5. ^ Castro with 2%; Delaney, Gillibrand, Ryan, Swalwell, and Yang with 1%; Bullock, de Blasio, Gabbard, and Inslee with <1%; Bennet, Hickenlooper, McAuliffe, Messam, Moulton, and Williamson with 0%
  6. ^ Delaney with 3%; Castro, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Inslee, Swalwell, and Yang with 1%; Bullock, Hickenlooper, and Williamson with <1%; Bennet and McAuliffe with 0%; others with <1%
  7. ^ Castro, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, and Inslee with 1%; Gillibrand and Yang with 0%; others with 4%
  8. ^ Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, and Inslee with 1%; Bloomberg, de Blasio, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Holder, Swalwell, Williamson, and Yang with <1%
  9. ^ Gillibrand with 1%
  10. ^ Brown with 4%; Castro with 2%; Delaney and Gillibrand with 1%; Gabbard and Yang with 0%; others with 8%
  11. ^ Kennedy with 5%; Clinton with 4%; Brown with 2%; Bloomberg, Castro, Cuomo, Delaney, Gillibrand, Kerry, and Swalwell with 1%; Holder, McAuliffe, Schultz, and Steyer with 0%
  12. ^ Bloomberg with 3%; Brown, Castro, Delaney, and Hickenlooper with 1%; Bullock, Garcetti, Gillibrand, Holder, Inslee, Steyer, Swalwell, and Yang with <1%
  13. ^ Brown with 3%; Bloomberg and Kerry with 2%; Delaney with 1%; Garcetti with 0%; others with <1%
  14. ^ Gillibrand and Holder with 2%; Avenatti and Delaney with 1%; Bullock, Garcetti, Landrieu, and Patrick with <1%; others with 1%
  15. ^ O'Malley with 18%; Cuomo with 8%; Castro and Sandberg with 4%; Gillibrand with 3%; Schultz with 1%

New Hampshire primaryEdit

The New Hampshire Democratic primary will take place on Tuesday, February 11, 2020.[6]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Cory
Booker
Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Amy
Klobuchar
Beto
O'Rourke
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Other Undecided
Change Research Jun 17–20, 2019 308 24% 0% 14% 3% 1% 4% 28% 21% 5%[a]
YouGov/CBS News May 31 – Jun 12, 2019 502 ± 4.9% 33% 3% 10% 7% 1% 4% 20% 17% 4%[b]
Tel Opinion Research* May 20–22, 2019 600 ± 4.0% 33% 7% 7% 1% 12% 11% 28%
Monmouth University May 2–7, 2019 376 ± 5.1% 36% 2% 9% 6% 2% 2% 18% 8% 3%[c] 11%
Change Research May 3–5, 2019 864 ± 3.3% 26% 2% 12% 8% 1% 3% 30% 9% 7%[d]
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Apr 30 – May 2, 2019 551 ± 4.0% 34% 1% 10% 7% 1% 3% 16% 9% 19%
Suffolk University Apr 25–28, 2019 429 ± 4.7% 20% 3% 12% 6% 1% 3% 12% 8% 6%[e] 27%
University of New Hampshire Apr 10–18, 2019 241 ± 6.3% 18% 3% 15% 4% 2% 3% 30% 5% 8%[f] 12%
Saint Anselm College Apr 3–8, 2019 326 ± 5.4% 23% 4% 11% 7% 2% 6% 16% 9% 9%[g] 13%
University of New Hampshire Feb 18–26, 2019 240 ± 6.3% 22% 3% 1% 10% 4% 5% 26% 7% 7%[h] 14%
Emerson College Feb 21–22, 2019 405 ± 4.8% 25% 5% 1% 12% 8% 5% 27% 9% 10%[i]
YouGov/UMass Amherst Feb 7–15, 2019 337 ± 6.4% 28% 3% 14% 1% 6% 20% 9% 9%[j] 9%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Jan 31 – Feb 2, 2019 518 ± 4.1% 22% 4% 13% 2% 2% 13% 9% 0%[k] 35%
Change Research Jan 2–3, 2019 1,162 24% 3% 4% 2% 9% 26% 11% 22%[l]
University of New Hampshire Aug 2–19, 2018 198 ± 7.0% 19% 6% 3% 30% 17% 12%[m] 12%
Suffolk University Apr 26–30, 2018 295 ± 5.7% 20% 8% 4% 13% 26% 8%[n] 18%
30% 10% 6% 25% 14%[o] 12%
University of New Hampshire Apr 13–22, 2018 188 ± 7.1% 26% 5% 6% 1% 28% 11% 9%[p] 13%
University of New Hampshire Jan 28 – Feb 10, 2018 219 ± 6.6% 35% 3% 1% 0% 24% 15% 7%[q] 15%
University of New Hampshire Oct 3–15, 2017 212 ± 6.7% 24% 6% 1% 1% 31% 13% 14%[r] 11%

Head-to-head pollsEdit

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Pete
Buttigieg
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Undecided
Tel Opinion Research May 20–22, 2019 600 ± 4.0% 63% 21% 15%
66% 22% 13%
58% 29% 13%
American Research Group Mar 21–27, 2018 400 ± 5.0% 47% 45% 7%
58% 33% 8%

NotesEdit

Additional candidates
  1. ^ Delaney, Gabbard, Gravel, Inslee, and Yang with 1%; Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
  2. ^ Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard, Gravel, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%; others with 1%
  3. ^ Hickenlooper, Ryan, and Yang with 1%; Bullock, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, and Williamson with <1%; Bennet, Castro, de Blasio, Gravel, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, and Swalwell with 0%
  4. ^ Delaney and Yang with 2%; Gabbard, Moulton, and Ryan with 1%; Abrams, Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
  5. ^ Delaney, Gabbard, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%; others with 0%
  6. ^ Ryan and Yang with 2%; Gabbard, Gillibrand, Messam, and Swalwell with 1%; Castro, Delaney, Hickenlooper, Inslee, and Williamson with 0%; others with 0%
  7. ^ Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, and Hickenlooper with 1%; Inslee with 0%; others with 6%
  8. ^ Bloomberg, Brown, Gabbard, and Gillibrand with 1%; Delaney and Hickenlooper with 0%; others with 3%
  9. ^ Bloomberg with 2%; Brown, Delaney, and Gillibrand with 1%; Castro and Gabbard with 0%; others with 5%
  10. ^ Gillibrand with 3%; Bloomberg with 2%; Castro with 1%; others with 3%
  11. ^ Gillibrand with 0%
  12. ^ Kennedy with 9%; Clinton with 3%; Bloomberg, Kerry, and Klobuchar with 2%; Brown, Bullock, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Ojeda, and Steyer with 1%; Castro, Cuomo, Delaney, Holder, Inslee, McAuliffe, Schultz, and Swalwell with 0%
  13. ^ Kennedy with 7%; Holder with 2%; O'Malley with 1%; Delaney, Gillibrand, and Hickenlooper with 0%; others with 2%
  14. ^ Patrick with 4%; Gillibrand and McAuliffe with 2%
  15. ^ Patrick with 8%; Gillibrand with 3%; McAuliffe with 2%; others with 1%
  16. ^ Kennedy with 3%; O'Malley with 2%; Gillibrand and Hickenlooper with 1%; Ryan with 0%; others with 2%
  17. ^ Gillibrand with 2%; O'Malley with 1%; others with 4%
  18. ^ O'Malley with 3%; Hickenlooper and Zuckerberg with 2%; Gillibrand, and Ryan with 1%; Delaney with 0%; others with 5%

Nevada caucusEdit

The Nevada Democratic caucus will take place on Saturday, February 22, 2020.[6]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Cory
Booker
Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Beto
O'Rourke
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Andrew
Yang
Other Undecided
Monmouth University Jun 6–11, 2019 370 ± 5.1% 36% 2% 7% 6% 2% 13% 19% 2% 4%[a] 8%
Change Research May 9–12, 2019 389 29% 2% 13% 11% 4% 24% 12% 1% 5%[b]
Emerson College Mar 28–30, 2019 310 ± 5.5% 26% 2% 5% 9% 10% 23% 10% 3% 11%[c]

NotesEdit

Additional candidates
  1. ^ Castro, Gabbard, Klobuchar, and Williamson with 1%; Bullock, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, and Ryan with <1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Delaney, Gillibrand, Gravel, Moulton, and Swalwell with 0%
  2. ^ Abrams, Castro, Gabbard, Klobuchar, and Swalwell with 1%; Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, and Ryan with 0%
  3. ^ Gabbard and Klobuchar with 2%; Castro and Gillibrand with 1%; Hickenlooper and Inslee with 0%; others with 6%

South Carolina primaryEdit

The South Carolina Democratic primary will take place on Saturday, February 29, 2020.[6]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Cory
Booker
Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Beto
O'Rourke
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Other Undecided
Change Research Jun 17–20, 2019 308 39% 5% 11% 9% 5% 13% 15% 5%[a]
Change Research Jun 11–14, 2019 933 ± 3.2% 37% 5% 11% 9% 4% 9% 17% 8%[b]
YouGov/CBS News May 31 – Jun 12, 2019 552 45% 4% 6% 7% 4% 18% 8% 8%[c]
Zogby Analytics May 23–29, 2019 183 ± 7.2% 36% 4% 7% 4% 2% 13% 12% 4%[d]
Tel Opinion Research* May 22–24, 2019 600 ± 4.0% 37% 2% 3% 7% 10% 8% 32%
Crantford Research May 14–16, 2019 381 ± 5.0% 42% 4% 8% 10% 7% 8%
Change Research May 6–9, 2019 595 ± 4.0% 46% 4% 8% 10% 2% 15% 8% 5%[e]
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Apr 30 – May 2, 2019 568 ± 4.5% 48% 4% 5% 4% 1% 12% 5% 1%[f] 20%
Change Research Mar 31 – Apr 4, 2019 744 ± 3.6% 32% 9% 7% 10% 9% 14% 6% 12%[g]
12% 12% 15% 16% 24% 11% 12%[h]
Emerson College Feb 28 – Mar 2, 2019 291 ± 5.7% 37% 6% 0% 9% 5% 21% 5% 16%[i]
Change Research Feb 15–18, 2019 600 ± 4.0% 36% 10% 13% 8% 14% 9% 12%[j]
28% 1% 35% 20% 18%[k]
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Jan 31 – Feb 2, 2019 557 ± 4.0% 36% 5% 12% 2% 8% 4% 2%[l] 31%

Head-to-head pollsEdit

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Pete
Buttigieg
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Undecided
Tel Opinion Research May 22–24, 2019 600 ± 4.0% 71% 10% 19%
70% 15% 16%
67% 15% 18%

NotesEdit

Additional candidates
  1. ^ Yang with 2%; Bullock, de Blasio, and Ryan with 1%; Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Klobuchar, Messam, Moulton, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
  2. ^ Yang with 3%; de Blasio, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Klobuchar, and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, and Swalwell with 0%
  3. ^ Gillibrand, Gravel, Klobuchar, Messam, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%; others with 3%
  4. ^ Gillibrand with 2%; Castro, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, and Inslee with 1%; Delaney, Klobuchar, and Yang with 0%
  5. ^ Yang with 2%; Abrams, Klobuchar, and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Ryan, and Swalwell with 0%
  6. ^ Klobuchar with 1%
  7. ^ Abrams with 7%; Castro, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Klobuchar, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, Gabbard, Inslee, McAuliffe, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
  8. ^ Castro, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, and Klobuchar with 2%; Delaney, Inslee, Messam, and Yang with 1%; Gabbard and Williamson with 0%
  9. ^ Gillibrand with 3%; Bloomberg and Gabbard with 2%: Brown and Klobuchar with 1%; Castro, and Delaney with 0%; others with 8%
  10. ^ Brown and Holder with 2%; Bloomberg, Castro, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Klobuchar, Swalwell, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Cuomo, de Blasio, Delaney, McAuliffe, and Williamson with 0%
  11. ^ Klobuchar with 5%; Castro with 4%; Delaney with 3%; Gabbard and Williamson with 2%; Gillibrand and Yang with 1%
  12. ^ Klobuchar with 1%; Gillibrand with 0%

Alabama primaryEdit

The Alabama Democratic primary will take place on Tuesday, March 3, 2020.[6]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Cory
Booker
Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Beto
O'Rourke
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Other Undecided
Change Research Mar 20–23, 2019 1,200 ± 2.8% 42% 9% 3% 12% 10% 13% 6% 4%[a]
14% 4% 16% 17% 27% 12% 9%[b]

NotesEdit

Additional candidates
  1. ^ Castro, Klobuchar, Moulton, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Cuomo, de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
  2. ^ Klobuchar with 2%; Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, and Yang with 1%; Messam and Williamson with 0%

California primaryEdit

The California Democratic primary will take place on Tuesday, March 3, 2020.[6]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Cory
Booker
Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Beto
O'Rourke
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Other Undecided
UC Berkeley Jun 4–10, 2019 2,131 ± 3.0% 22% 1% 10% 13% 3% 17% 18% 4%[a] 11%
Change Research May 25–28, 2019 1,649 ± 2.4% 30% 1% 12% 15% 3% 23% 12% 3%[b]
Change Research Apr 6–9, 2019 2,003 ± 2.2% 21% 3% 9% 19% 10% 22% 8% 8%[c]
5% 11% 27% 16% 28% 9% 6%[d]
Quinnipiac University Apr 3–8, 2019 482 ± 5.9% 26% 2% 7% 17% 4% 18% 7% 7%[e] 13%
Change Research Feb 9–11, 2019 948 26% 3% 1% 26% 8% 20% 7% 7%[f]
7% 2% 53% 23% 16%[g]

NotesEdit

Additional candidates
  1. ^ Castro, Klobuchar, and Yang with 1%; Bullock, Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
  2. ^ Castro, Gabbard, and Yang with 1%; Abrams, Bennet, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Klobuchar, Inslee, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
  3. ^ Castro with 2%; Abrams, Gabbard, Inslee, Klobuchar, Swalwell, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Messam, Ryan, and Williamson with 0%
  4. ^ Castro with 2%; Gabbard, Klobuchar, Ryan, and Yang with 1%; Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, and Williamson with 0%
  5. ^ Castro and Klobuchar with 2%; Gabbard, Inslee, and Yang with 1%; Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Messam, and Williamson with <1%; others with <1%
  6. ^ Castro with 2%; Brown, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Holder, and Klobuchar with 1%; Bloomberg, Bullock, Cuomo, Delaney, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Swalwell, Williamson, and Yang with 0%
  7. ^ Castro with 6%; Gabbard with 4%; Delaney and Gillibrand with 2%; Yang and Williamson with 1%

Massachusetts primaryEdit

The Massachusetts Democratic primary will take place on Tuesday, March 3, 2020.[6]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Cory
Booker
Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Amy
Klobuchar
Beto
O'Rourke
Deval
Patrick
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Other Undecided
Suffolk University Jun 5–9, 2019 370 ± 5.1% 22% 1% 8% 5% 0% 1% 6% 10% 5%[a] 42%
Emerson College Apr 4–7, 2019 371 ± 5.0% 23% 2% 11% 7% 2% 8% 26% 14% 8%[b]
YouGov/UMass Amherst Nov 7–14, 2018 655 19% 3% 6% 3% 10% 6% 14% 11% 1%[c] 27%

NotesEdit

Additional candidates
  1. ^ Gabbard, Moulton, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Delaney, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Klobuchar, Messam, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%; others with 1%
  2. ^ Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, and Yang with 1%; Gillibrand and Inslee with 0%; others with 5%
  3. ^ Moulton with 1%

Minnesota primaryEdit

The Minnesota Democratic primary will take place on Tuesday, March 3, 2020.[6]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Amy
Klobuchar
Beto
O'Rourke
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Other Undecided
Change Research Jun 8–12, 2019 772 ± 3.7% 20% 11% 4% 16% 3% 19% 21% 5%[a]

NotesEdit

Additional candidates
  1. ^ Yang with 2%; Booker, Castro, and Inslee with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, and Williamson with 0%

North Carolina primaryEdit

The North Carolina Democratic primary will take place on Tuesday, March 3, 2020.[6]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Beto
O'Rourke
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Other Undecided
Emerson College May 31 – Jun 3, 2019 397 ± 4.9% 39% 8% 5% 3% 22% 15% 8%[a]

NotesEdit

Additional candidates
  1. ^ Booker, de Blasio, Gillibrand, Klobuchar, Ryan, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%; others with 2%

Texas primaryEdit

The Texas Democratic primary will take place on Tuesday, March 3, 2020.[6]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Cory
Booker
Pete
Buttigieg
Julian
Castro
Kamala
Harris
Beto
O'Rourke
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Other Undecided
YouGov/University of Texas May 31 – Jun 9, 2019 483 ± 5.0% 23% 1% 8% 3% 5% 15% 12% 14% 9%[a] 7%
Quinnipiac University May 29 – Jun 4, 2019 407 ± 5.8% 30% 1% 3% 4% 4% 16% 15% 11% 6%[b] 8%
Change Research May 30 – Jun 3, 2019 1,218 ± 2.8% 24% 1% 8% 2% 8% 27% 13% 12% 4%[c]
Emerson College Apr 25–28, 2019 342 ± 5.3% 23% 1% 8% 4% 3% 22% 17% 7% 16%[d]
Change Research Apr 18–22, 2019 1,578 ± 2.5% 20% 2% 15% 4% 5% 25% 19% 5% 4%[e]
4% 21% 5% 8% 33% 23% 5% 1%[f]

NotesEdit

Additional candidates
  1. ^ Gabbard with 3%; Delaney, Gillibrand, Inslee, Klobuchar, and Swalwell with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, de Blasio, Hickenlooper, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Williamson, and Yang with 0%; others with 1%
  2. ^ Delaney with 2%; Hickenlooper, Ryan, Williamson, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, de Blasio, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Inslee, Klobuchar, Messam, Moulton, and Swalwell with <1%
  3. ^ Abrams with 2%; Klobuchar and Yang with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, McAuliffe, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
  4. ^ Klobuchar and Yang with 3%; Delaney, Gillibrand, Gravel, and Hickenlooper with 1%; Gabbard, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%; others with 7%
  5. ^ Abrams, Klobuchar, Swalwell, and Yang with 1%; Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, and Ryan with 0%
  6. ^ Klobuchar with 1%; Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Ryan, Williamson, and Yang with 0%

Virginia primaryEdit

The Virginia Democratic primary will take place on Tuesday, March 3, 2020.[6]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Cory
Booker
Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Beto
O'Rourke
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Other Undecided
Hampton University May 29 – Jun 6, 2019 1,126 ± 4.3% 36% 2% 11% 7% 3% 17% 13% 10%[a]
Change Research Apr 26–30, 2019 551 ± 4.2% 41% 3% 12% 5% 4% 20% 10% 6%[b]

NotesEdit

Additional candidates
  1. ^ Castro with 2%; Bullock, Gillibrand, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Klobuchar, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with <1%; Messam with 0%; others with 5%
  2. ^ Castro with 2%; Abrams, Klobuchar, Swalwell, and Yang with 1%; Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Inslee, Ryan, and Williamson with 0%

Michigan primaryEdit

The Michigan Democratic primary will take place on Tuesday, March 10, 2020.[6]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Cory
Booker
Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Amy
Klobuchar
Beto
O'Rourke
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Other Undecided
Zogby Analytics May 23–29, 2019 268 ± 6.0% 27% 1% 9% 7% 1% 4% 18% 8% 7%[a]
Denno Research May 8–10, 2019 235 37% 3% 5% 4% 1% 1% 16% 9% 4%[b] 23%
Emerson College Mar 7–10, 2019 317 ± 5.5% 40% 3% 0% 12% 5% 2% 23% 11% 4%[c]

NotesEdit

Additional candidates
  1. ^ Yang with 2%; Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, and Hickenlooper with 1%; Inslee with 0%
  2. ^ Bennet, Gabbard, Gillibrand, and Swalwell with 1%; Castro, Delaney, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Williamson, and Yang with 0%
  3. ^ Gillibrand and Hickenlooper with 1%; Castro, Gabbard, and Inslee with 0%; others with 3%

Mississippi primaryEdit

The Mississippi Democratic primary will take place on Tuesday, March 10, 2020.[6]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Cory
Booker
Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Other Undecided
Chism Strategies/Millsaps College Jun 20–21, 2019 523 ± 4.3% 50% 2% 2% 5% 7% 7% 6%[a] 21%

NotesEdit

Additional candidates
  1. ^ Bennet, de Blasio, Delaney, Klobuchar, O'Rourke, and Swalwell with 1%; Bullock, Hickenlooper, Williamson, and Yang with 0%

Ohio primaryEdit

The Ohio Democratic primary will take place on Tuesday, March 10, 2020.[6]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Cory
Booker
Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Beto
O'Rourke
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Andrew
Yang
Other Undecided
Zogby Analytics May 23–29, 2019 222 ± 6.6% 29% 3% 6% 5% 2% 19% 12% 3% 4%[a]

NotesEdit

Additional candidates
  1. ^ Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, and Klobuchar with 1%; Castro and Inslee with 0%

Arizona primaryEdit

The Arizona Democratic primary will take place on Tuesday, March 17, 2020.[6]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Other Undecided
Zogby Analytics May 23–29, 2019 197 ± 7.0% 35% 6% 4% 16% 10% 11%[a]

NotesEdit

Additional candidates
  1. ^ Booker, Castro, Delaney, and O'Rourke with 2%; Gabbard, Gillibrand, and Hickenlooper with 1%; Inslee, Klobuchar, and Yang with 0%

Florida primaryEdit

The Florida Democratic primary will take place on Tuesday, March 17, 2020.[6]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Cory
Booker
Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Beto
O'Rourke
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Other Undecided
St. Pete Polls Jun 22–23, 2019 2,022 ± 2.2% 47% 3% 8% 6% 2% 8% 12% 7% 6%
Change Research Jun 16–17, 2019 1,130 ± 2.9% 33% 2% 15% 7% 3% 20% 15% 7%[a]
Quinnipiac University Jun 12–17, 2019 417 ± 5.8% 41% 1% 8% 6% 1% 14% 12% 2%[b] 12%
Climate Nexus Jun 7–11, 2019 676 32% 2% 6% 6% 2% 16% 10% 11%[c] 14%
Zogby Analytics May 23–29, 2019 228 ± 6.5% 34% 2% 6% 2% 4% 18% 7% 8%[d]
Florida Atlantic University May 16–19, 2019 403 ± 4.9% 39% 1% 9% 7% 5% 12% 12% 16%[e]
Tel Opinion Research* May 8, 2019 800 ± 3.5% 39% 1% 3% 5% 1% 16% 5% 1%[f] 28%
Tel Opinion Research* Mar 21, 2019 800 ± 3.5% 37% 2% 4% 5% 13% 6% 1%[f] 31%
Bendixen & Amandi International Mar 1–4, 2019 300 26% 1% 0% 9% 1% 11% 4% 2%[g] 46%
Saint Leo University May 25–31, 2018 21% 3% 4% 11% 7% 34%[h] 17%

NotesEdit

Additional candidates
  1. ^ Yang with 3%; Klobuchar with 2%; Castro and Messam with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Moulton, Ryan, and Williamson with 0%
  2. ^ Klobuchar with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, Williamson, and Yang with <1%; others with 1%
  3. ^ Delaney and Yang with 2%; Bennet, de Blasio, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Klobuchar, Ryan, and Swalwell with 1%; Bullock, Castro, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Messam, Moulton, and Williamson with 0%
  4. ^ Gabbard and Gillibrand with 2%; Castro, Inslee, Klobuchar, and Yang with 1%; Delaney and Hickenlooper with 0%
  5. ^ Castro with 2%; Gillibrand, Gravel, Klobuchar, Moulton, and Yang with 1%; Delaney, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%; others with 9%
  6. ^ a b Klobuchar with 1%
  7. ^ Bloomberg and Klobuchar with 1%; Brown, Castro, Delaney, Gillibrand, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, Inslee, and Yang with 0%
  8. ^ Winfrey with 17%; Holder with 5%; Brown with 3%; Cuomo, Gillibrand, and Murphy with 2%; Bullock, Landrieu, Patrick, and McAuliffe with 1%; others with 2%

Wisconsin primaryEdit

The Wisconsin Democratic primary will take place on Tuesday, April 7, 2020.[6]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Cory
Booker
Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Amy
Klobuchar
Beto
O'Rourke
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Other Undecided
Zogby Analytics May 23–29, 2019 238 ± 6.4% 28% 2% 7% 7% 3% 1% 13% 14% 2%[a]
Zogby Analytics Apr 15–18, 2019 485 ± 4.5% 24% 4% 10% 7% 4% 5% 20% 6% 7%[b] 14%
Emerson College Mar 15–17, 2019 324 ± 5.4% 24% 2% 1% 5% 4% 6% 39% 14% 5%[c]

NotesEdit

Additional candidates
  1. ^ Castro, Gabbard, and Gillibrand with 1%; Delaney, Hickenlooper, Inslee, and Yang with 0%
  2. ^ Hickenlooper with 2%; Castro, Gillibrand, and Yang with 1%; Delaney, Gabbard, and Inslee with 0%; others with 2%
  3. ^ Gillibrand, and Yang with 1%; Castro, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, and Inslee with 0%; others with 3%

Delaware primaryEdit

The Delaware Democratic primary will take place on Tuesday, April 28, 2020.[6]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Cory
Booker
Kamala
Harris
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Other Undecided
Gravis Marketing Jul 24–29, 2018 354 ± 5.2% 47% 5% 3% 5% 9% 2%[a] 29%

NotesEdit

Additional candidates
  1. ^ Castro and Cuomo with 1%; Delaney with 0%

New York primaryEdit

The New York Democratic primary is expected to take place on Tuesday, April 28, 2020.[6]

Head-to-head pollsEdit

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Bill
de Blasio
Kirsten
Gillibrand
Other Undecided
Siena College Jun 2–6, 2019 385 25% 56% 11% 8%

Pennsylvania primaryEdit

The Pennsylvania Democratic primary will take place on Tuesday, April 28, 2020.[6]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Cory
Booker
Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Beto
O'Rourke
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Other Undecided
Zogby Analytics May 23–29, 2019 246 ± 6.3% 46% 2% 9% 3% 2% 15% 8% 2%[a]
Quinnipiac University May 9–14, 2019 431 ± 6.2% 39% 5% 6% 8% 2% 13% 8% 3%[b] 12%
Muhlenberg College Apr 3–10, 2019 405 ± 5.5% 28% 3% 4% 8% 3% 16% 8% 9%[c] 20%
Emerson College Mar 26–28, 2019 359 ± 5.1% 39% 4% 6% 5% 5% 20% 11% 10%[d]

NotesEdit

Additional candidates
  1. ^ Castro, Gillibrand, and Yang with 1%; Delaney, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, Inslee, and Klobuchar with 0%
  2. ^ Klobuchar with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, Williamson, and Yang with <1%; others with 2%
  3. ^ Klobuchar with 3%; others with 6%
  4. ^ Gabbard with 3%; Gillibrand with 2%; Castro and Yang with 1%; Hickenlooper, Inslee, and Klobuchar with 0%; others with 4%

Indiana primaryEdit

The Indiana Democratic primary will take place on Tuesday, May 5, 2020.[6]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Beto
O'Rourke
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Other Undecided
We Ask America Apr 29 – May 5, 2019 280 ± 5.9% 33% 20% 3% 2% 23% 2% 1%[a] 15%

NotesEdit

Additional candidates
  1. ^ Booker with 1%; Klobuchar with <1%; others with <1%

Oregon primaryEdit

The Oregon Democratic primary will take place on Tuesday, May 19, 2020.[6]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Cory
Booker
Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Beto
O'Rourke
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Andrew
Yang
Other Undecided
Zogby Analytics Mar 18–19, 2019 238 ± 6.4% 26% 4% 3% 6% 8% 27% 6% 4% 7%[a] 11%

NotesEdit

Additional candidates
  1. ^ Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, and McAuliffe with 1%

See alsoEdit

ReferencesEdit

  1. ^ "DNC Announces Details For The First Two Presidential Primary Debates". Democratic National Committee. February 14, 2019. Retrieved March 9, 2019.
  2. ^ Montellaro, Zach (June 6, 2019). "Who's in — and out — of the first Democratic debates". Retrieved June 7, 2019.
  3. ^ Verhovek, John (May 29, 2019). "ABC News to host 3rd Democratic primary debate in September as DNC announces higher qualifying threshold". ABC News. Retrieved May 29, 2019.
  4. ^ a b "2020 Democratic Hard and Soft Count Delegate Summary". The Green Papers. Retrieved June 24, 2019.
  5. ^ a b "Democratic Delegate Pledging and Voter Eligibility". The Green Papers. Retrieved June 24, 2019.
  6. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x Putnam, Josh. "The 2020 Presidential Primary Calendar". Frontloading HQ. Retrieved June 24, 2019.

External linksEdit