2020 Maine Democratic presidential primary

The 2020 Maine Democratic presidential primary took place in Maine, United States, on March 3, 2020, as one of 14 contests scheduled on Super Tuesday in the Democratic Party primaries for the 2020 presidential election, following the South Carolina primary the weekend before. The Maine primary was a closed primary, meaning that only registered Democrats could vote in this primary. The state awarded 32 delegates towards the 2020 Democratic National Convention, 24 of which are pledged delegates allocated based on the results of the primary. Although the primary was only open to party members, unenrolled voters were permitted to enroll in a party at the polls with same day registration.

2020 Maine Democratic presidential primary

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32 Democratic National Convention delegates (24 pledged, 8 unpledged)
The number of pledged delegates won is determined by the popular vote
  Joe Biden February 2020 crop.jpg Bernie Sanders March 2020 (cropped).jpg
Candidate Joe Biden Bernie Sanders
Home state Delaware Vermont
Delegate count 11 9
Popular vote 68,729 66,826
Percentage 33.37% 32.45%

  Elizabeth Warren by Gage Skidmore (cropped).jpg Michael Bloomberg by Gage Skidmore (cropped).jpg
Candidate Elizabeth Warren Michael Bloomberg
Home state Massachusetts New York
Delegate count 4 0
Popular vote 32,055 24,294
Percentage 15.57% 11.80%

Maine Democratic presidential primary election results by county, 2020.svg
Election results by county
  Joe Biden
  Bernie Sanders

The primary election coincided with a people's veto referendum to reject changes to Maine's vaccination laws.

In a result described as a "stunning upset", the Bangor Daily News called the primary for Joe Biden, with Bernie Sanders at a close second.[1] The Associated Press also called the race in Biden's favor.[2]

Biden's win in Maine heavily contrasted Sanders' in 2016, where he won its caucus with over 60% of the vote against Hillary Clinton.[3][4]

CandidatesEdit

The following candidates were on the ballot in Maine:

Running

Withdrawn

ProcedureEdit

Maine is one of 14 states holding primaries on March 3, 2020, also known as "Super Tuesday",[5] following the signing of a bill changing the state's nominating contest from a caucus to a primary on the first Tuesday in March by Governor Janet Mills on June 20, 2019. Although a bill expanding the use of ranked choice voting to presidential primary and general elections was passed by the legislature, Governor Mills delayed implementation until after the 2020 primary.[6]

Voting is expected to take place throughout the state from 6:00 a.m. until 8:00 p.m. in much of the state, with some precincts opening as late as 10:00 a.m. In the closed primary, candidates must meet a threshold of 15 percent at the congressional district or statewide level in order to be considered viable. The 24 pledged delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention will be allocated proportionally on the basis of the results of the primary. Of the 24 pledged delegates, between 7 and 9 are allocated to each of the state's 2 congressional districts and another 3 are allocated to party leaders and elected officials (PLEO delegates), in addition to 5 at-large pledged delegates. Bonus delegates will be allocated as Maine shares a primary date with numerous other states on Super Tuesday; these numbers do not yet account for these delegates.[7]

The state convention will subsequently be held on Saturday, May 30, 2020 to vote on the 16 pledged district, 5 pledged at-large, and 3 PLEO delegates to send to the Democratic National Convention. The 24 pledged delegates Maine sends to the national convention will be joined by 8 unpledged PLEO delegates (4 members of the Democratic National Committee; 2 members of Congress, of which both are U.S. Representatives; the governor; and former U.S. Senate majority leader George J. Mitchell).[7]

PollingEdit

Polling Aggregation
Source of poll aggregation Date updated Dates polled Bernie
Sanders
Joe
Biden
Michael
Bloomberg
Elizabeth
Warren
Tulsi
Gabbard
Undecided[a]
270 to Win Mar 3, 2020 Feb 10–Mar 2, 2020 28.7% 19.7% 20.0% 13.3% 1.3% 17.0%
RealClear Politics Mar 3, 2020 Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020 38.5% 24.5% 14.0% 18.0% [b] 5.0%
FiveThirtyEight Mar 3, 2020 until Mar 2, 2020 [c] 31.1% 21.7% 17.2% 14.2% 0.7% 19.6%
Average 32.8% 22.0% 17.1% 15.2% 1.0% 11.9%
Maine primary results (March 3, 2020) 32.4% 33.4% 11.8% 15.6% 0.9% 5.9%
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Maine Democratic Primary
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Michael
Bloomberg
Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Andrew
Yang
Other Undecided
Mar 2, 2020 Klobuchar withdraws from the race
Swayable Mar 1–2, 2020 209 (LV) ± 9.0% 22% 28% 10% 27% 11% 3%[d]
Change Research Mar 1–2, 2020 507 (LV) 24% 10% 43% 16% 7%[e]
Data for Progress Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020 385 (LV) ± 4.9% 25% 18% 1% 34% 20% 2%[f]
Mar 1, 2020 Buttigieg withdraws from the race
SocialSphere/Colby College Feb 10–13, 2020 350 (LV) 12% 14% 16% 25% 9% 2% 10%[g] 12%
Feb 11, 2020 Yang withdraws from the race
Dec 3, 2019 Harris withdraws from the race
Maine People's Resource Center Oct 14–21, 2019 728 (LV) ± 3.63% 26.8% 9.1% 5.0% 15.4% 22.1% 1.7% 11.4%[h] 4.4%
Public Policy Polling Oct 11–13, 2019 366 (LV) ± 5.1% 19% 9% 4% 12% 31% 3% 20%[i] [j]
Gravis Marketing Jun 24, 2019 243 ± 6.3% 25% 8% 2% 15% 17% 5% 15%[k] 11%

ResultsEdit

2020 Maine Democratic presidential primary[8]
Candidate Votes % Delegates[9]
Joe Biden 68,729 33.37 11
Bernie Sanders 66,826 32.45 9
Elizabeth Warren 32,055 15.57 4
Michael Bloomberg 24,294 11.80
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn†) 4,364 2.12
Amy Klobuchar(withdrawn†) 2,826 1.37
Tulsi Gabbard 1,815 0.88
Andrew Yang (withdrawn†) 696 0.34
Tom Steyer (withdrawn†) 313 0.15
Deval Patrick (withdrawn†) 218 0.11
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) 201 0.10
Cory Booker (withdrawn) 183 0.09
Blank ballots 3,417 1.66
Total 205,937 100% 24

† Candidate withdrew after early voting started.

Results by countyEdit

2020 Maine Democratic primary

(results per county)[8]

County Joe Biden Bernie Sanders Elizabeth Warren Michael Bloomberg Pete Buttigieg Amy Klobuchar Tulsi Gabbard Andrew Yang Tom Steyer Deval Patrick Marianne Williamson Cory Booker Blank ballots Total votes cast
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Androscoggin 4,076 34.20 3,639 30.54 1,431 12.01 1,762 14.79 246 2.06 139 1.17 160 1.34 47 0.39 22 0.18 35 0.29 20 0.17 14 0.12 326 2.74 11,917
Aroostook 2,558 46.15 1,256 22.66 361 6.51 851 15.35 88 1.59 50 0.90 34 0.61 28 0.51 14 0.25 11 0.20 11 0.20 16 0.29 265 4.78 5,543
Cumberland 20,555 31.18 22,187 33.66 12,701 19.27 6,766 10.26 1,521 2.31 957 1.45 413 0.63 149 0.23 63 0.10 37 0.06 32 0.05 43 0.07 500 0.76 65,924
Franklin 1,226 33.93 1,329 36.78 414 11.46 390 10.79 49 1.36 40 1.11 40 1.11 18 0.50 11 0.30 16 0.44 7 0.19 5 0.14 68 1.88 3,613
Hancock 2,988 31.28 3,328 34.84 1,756 18.39 1,005 10.52 171 1.79 125 1.31 32 0.34 31 0.32 19 0.20 2 0.02 10 0.10 8 0.08 76 0.80 9,551
Kennebec 5,651 35.59 4,775 30.07 2,222 13.99 2,062 12.99 314 1.98 208 1.31 185 1.17 65 0.41 29 0.18 17 0.11 20 0.13 13 0.08 318 2.00 15,879
Knox 2,586 32.44 2,611 32.75 1,486 18.64 892 11.19 106 1.33 102 1.28 65 0.82 22 0.28 1 0.01 9 0.11 4 0.05 5 0.06 83 1.04 7,972
Lincoln 2,138 34.21 2,020 32.33 979 15.67 753 12.05 117 1.87 86 1.38 47 0.75 17 0.27 5 0.08 21 0.34 2 0.03 4 0.06 60 0.96 6,249
Oxford 2,282 35.52 2,199 34.23 739 11.50 736 11.46 99 1.54 66 1.03 93 1.45 30 0.47 8 0.12 3 0.05 10 0.16 6 0.09 154 2.40 6,425
Penobscot 5,392 33.24 5,526 34.07 2,138 13.18 2,045 12.61 265 1.63 216 1.33 125 0.77 89 0.55 27 0.17 23 0.14 22 0.14 20 0.12 332 2.05 16,220
Piscataquis 520 36.31 425 29.68 147 10.27 234 16.34 22 1.54 17 1.19 8 0.56 7 0.49 2 0.14 2 0.14 4 0.28 3 0.21 41 2.86 1,432
Sagadahoc 2,274 32.15 2,054 29.04 1,245 17.60 830 11.74 128 1.81 94 1.33 69 0.98 14 0.20 10 0.14 3 0.04 3 0.04 1 0.01 347 4.91 7,072
Somerset 1,553 36.46 1,225 28.76 360 8.45 699 16.41 86 2.02 45 1.06 53 1.24 38 0.89 12 0.28 5 0.12 12 0.28 6 0.14 166 3.90 4,260
Waldo 1,902 29.64 2,469 38.48 1,038 16.18 664 10.35 101 1.57 69 1.08 44 0.69 18 0.28 8 0.12 4 0.06 9 0.14 7 0.11 83 1.29 6,416
Washington 1,131 36.41 892 28.72 389 12.52 410 13.20 61 1.96 48 1.55 30 0.97 10 0.32 4 0.13 5 0.16 4 0.13 8 0.26 114 3.67 3,106
York 11,781 35.42 10,454 31.43 4,286 12.88 4,154 12.49 904 2.72 523 1.57 414 1.24 109 0.33 77 0.23 25 0.08 31 0.09 24 0.07 483 1.45 33,265
UOCAVA 116 10.61 437 39.98 363 33.21 41 3.75 86 7.87 41 3.75 3 0.27 4 0.37 1 0.09 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.09 1,093
Total 68,729 33.37 66,826 32.45 32,055 15.57 24,294 11.80 4,364 2.12 2,826 1.37 1,815 0.88 696 0.34 313 0.15 218 0.11 201 0.10 183 0.09 3,417 1.66 205,937

See alsoEdit

NotesEdit

Additional candidates
  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined
  2. ^ Gabbard not averaged
  3. ^ FiveThirtyEight aggregates polls with a trendline regression of polls rather than a strict average of recent polls.
  4. ^ Klobuchar with 2%; Steyer with 0%; Gabbard with no voters; "Other" with 1%
  5. ^ Not yet released
  6. ^ Klobuchar and Gabbard with 1%
  7. ^ Klobuchar with 4%; Gabbard with 3%; Steyer with 2%; Bennet with 1%; Patrick and "Someone else" with no voters
  8. ^ "Other" with 6.5%; Booker with 2.7% and O'Rourke with 2.2%
  9. ^ Booker with 2%; Castro and O'Rourke with 1%; "someone else/undecided" with 16%
  10. ^ The poll did not announce this result separately; it is listed as part of 'Other'.
  11. ^ Ryan with 4%; Booker and Williamson with 3%; Bennet with 2%; Gillibrand, O'Rourke, and Swalwell with 1%; Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Gabbard, Hickenlooper Inslee, and Klobuchar with 0%

ReferencesEdit

  1. ^ Jessica Piper (4 March 2020). "Joe Biden wins Maine's Democratic presidential primary". Bangor Daily News. Retrieved 4 March 2020.
  2. ^ Patrick Whittle (4 March 2020). "Biden squeezes by Sanders in Maine, extends sweep of wins". Associated Press. Retrieved 4 March 2020.
  3. ^ "Maine Primary Results 2016". The New York Times. 2016-09-29. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 2020-07-08.
  4. ^ Burns, Katelyn (2020-03-04). "Joe Biden wins Maine primary, defeating Bernie Sanders". Vox. Retrieved 2020-07-08.
  5. ^ Putnam, Josh. "The 2020 Presidential Primary Calendar". Frontloading HQ. Retrieved June 22, 2019.
  6. ^ Thistle, Scott (2019-09-06). "Gov. Mills allows ranked-choice voting in Maine's presidential elections". Press Herald. Retrieved 2019-09-06.
  7. ^ a b "Maine Democratic Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. June 20, 2019. Retrieved June 22, 2019.
  8. ^ a b "March 3, 2020 Presidential Primary Election: Tabulation of Votes". State of Maine Department of the Secretary of State, Bureau of Corporations, Elections & Commissions. Retrieved 14 October 2020.
  9. ^ "Maine Election Results 2020". PBS NewsHour. Retrieved March 11, 2020.

External linksEdit