Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election

Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election has been carried out by various organisations to gauge voting intention. Results of these polls are displayed in this article. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules.

The dates for these opinion polls range from the previous general election on 12 December 2019 to the present day. Under current fixed-term legislation, the next general election would take place in May 2024, though the government has proposed legislation to repeal this law.[1][2]

Graphical summaryEdit

The chart below shows opinion polls conducted for the next United Kingdom general election. The trend lines are local regressions (LOESS).

National poll resultsEdit

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order. The highest percentage figure in each poll is displayed in bold, and its background is shaded in the leading party's colour. The "party lead" column shows the percentage point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a poll result is a tie, the figures with the highest percentages are shaded and displayed in bold. Some opinion polls do not cover Northern Ireland, which has different major political parties to the rest of the United Kingdom. This distinction is made in the table below in the area column, where "GB" means mainland Great Britain, not including Northern Ireland, and "UK" means the whole United Kingdom, including Northern Ireland.

The parties with the greatest numbers of votes in the 2019 general election are listed here. Other parties are listed in the "Others" column.

2021Edit

Dates
conducted
Pollster Client Area Sample
size
Con Lab Lib Dem SNP Green Others Lead
18 Oct Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,000 40% 37% 9% 4% 5%
5%
Reform UK on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
3%
11–18 Oct Number Cruncher Politics N/A UK 1,000 40% 32% 6% 6% 9%
6%
Reform UK on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
8%
15 Oct Killing of MP David Amess[3]
13–15 Oct Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday GB 3,043 38% 37% 9% 4% 6%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 2%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 1%
1%
13–15 Oct Opinium The Observer GB 2,000 41% 37% 7% 5% 5%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 4%
4%
12–13 Oct YouGov N/A GB 1,659 41% 31% 9% 4% 8%
7%
Reform UK on 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
10%
11 Oct Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,000 40% 36% 9% 4% 6%
5%
Reform UK on 4%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 1%
4%
8–10 Oct SavantaComRes N/A UK 2,103 40% 35% 8% 5% 5% 7% 5%
6–7 Oct Survation Sunday Mirror UK 1,040 39% 35% 9% 4% 5%
8%
Reform UK on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 4%
4%
5–6 Oct YouGov The Times GB 1,667 39% 31% 9% 6% 9%
7%
Reform UK on 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
8%
4 Oct Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,000 40% 37% 10% 4% 4%
4%
Reform UK on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 1%
3%
1–3 Oct SavantaComRes N/A UK 2,095 40% 35% 9% 5% 4% 8% 5%
1 Oct Carla Denyer and Adrian Ramsay are elected co-leaders of the Green Party of England and Wales[4]
29 Sep1 Oct Opinium The Observer GB 2,004 39% 35% 8% 6% 6%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 5%
4%
29 Sep Survation N/A UK 1,001 41% 36% 8% 5% 5%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 4%
5%
28–29 Sep YouGov The Times GB 1,833 39% 31% 8% 5% 9%
7%
Reform UK on 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
8%
27 Sep Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,000 41% 35% 10% 4% 5%
5%
Reform UK on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 2%
6%
23–27 Sep Kantar Public N/A GB 1,089 43% 30% 11% 4% 6%
6%
Reform UK on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 1%
Other on 1%
13%
22–23 Sep YouGov The Times GB 1,690 39% 32% 10% 4% 9%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 2%
7%
17–23 Sep Ipsos MORI Evening Standard GB 1,008 39% 36% 9% 6% 6%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Reform UK on 0%
Other on 2%
3%
21–22 Sep Survation N/A UK 1,060 40% 35% 8% 4% 4%
9%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 8%
5%
20 Sep Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,000 41% 35% 8% 4% 7%
5%
Reform UK on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 2%
6%
17–19 Sep SavantaComRes N/A UK 2,112 40% 35% 9% 4% 5%
7%
Reform UK on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 4%
5%
16–17 Sep Opinium The Observer GB 2,000 40% 37% 7% 5% 6%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 4%
3%
15–16 Sep YouGov The Times GB 1,635 39% 35% 7% 5% 7%
6%
Reform UK on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
4%
9–16 Sep Panelbase N/A GB 3,938 41% 36% 10% 4% 5%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 4%
5%
10–14 Sep Survation N/A UK 2,164 40% 36% 9% 4% 5%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 4%
4%
13 Sep Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,000 39% 35% 9% 4% 6%
8%
Reform UK on 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
4%
10–12 Sep SavantaComRes N/A UK 2,097 39% 35% 9% 4% 6%
9%
Reform UK on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 5%
4%
9–11 Sep Opinium The Observer GB 2,059 38% 38% 8% 5% 6%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 5%
Tie
8–9 Sep YouGov The Times GB 1,657 33% 35% 10% 5% 9%
8%
Reform UK on 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
2%
6–8 Sep Find Out Now (MRP) The Sunday Telegraph GB 10,673 37% 33% 12% 5% 8%
10%
Reform UK on 4%
Other on 6%
4%
6 Sep Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,000 41% 32% 11% 4% 6%
7%
Reform UK on 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
9%
3–5 Sep SavantaComRes N/A UK 2,087 40% 36% 9% 4% 4% 8% 4%
2–3 Sep YouGov The Times GB 1,653 38% 34% 8% 5% 10%
7%
Reform UK on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 3%
4%
2–3 Sep Deltapoll The Sun on Sunday GB 1,589 41% 33% 9% 3% 7%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 3%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 0%
8%
2–3 Sep Opinium The Observer GB 2,014 40% 35% 7% 6% 6%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 6%
5%
29 Aug Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,000 41% 33% 9% 4% 5%
7%
Reform UK on 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
8%
27–29 Aug SavantaComRes N/A UK 2,062 40% 34% 10% 4% 5%
6%
Reform UK on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 3%
6%
25–26 Aug YouGov The Times GB 1,703 39% 31% 8% 5% 9%
8%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 4%
Other on 3%
8%
23 Aug Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,000 43% 33% 10% 3% 6%
4%
Reform UK on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 1%
10%
19–23 Aug Kantar Public N/A GB 1,094 37% 34% 14% 4% 5%
6%
Reform UK on 2%
UKIP on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
3%
20–22 Aug SavantaComRes N/A UK 2,083 41% 34% 9% 4% 4%
7%
Reform UK on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 4%
7%
19–20 Aug Opinium The Observer GB 2,003 39% 36% 8% 6% 6%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 4%
3%
17–18 Aug YouGov The Times GB 1,703 40% 32% 9% 5% 8%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 3%
8%
16 Aug Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,000 40% 36% 10% 5% 5%
5%
Reform UK on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 2%
4%
13–15 Aug SavantaComRes N/A UK 2,075 41% 34% 9% 4% 4%
7%
Reform UK on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 4%
7%
11–12 Aug YouGov The Times GB 2,169 40% 32% 9% 5% 7%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 3%
8%
9 Aug Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,000 40% 37% 9% 4% 6%
5%
Reform UK on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
3%
30 Jul9 Aug Ipsos MORI Evening Standard GB 1,113 41% 30% 13% 6% 8%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Reform UK on 0%
Other on 2%
11%
6–8 Aug SavantaComRes N/A UK 2,047 41% 33% 10% 4% 4%
7%
Reform UK on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 4%
8%
5–6 Aug Opinium The Observer GB 2,000 42% 35% 7% 6% 5%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 4%
7%
5–6 Aug YouGov The Times GB 1,730 41% 33% 8% 5% 7%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 2%
8%
2 Aug Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,000 41% 34% 11% 4% 6%
5%
Reform UK on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 2%
7%
30 Jul1 Aug SavantaComRes N/A UK 2,100 40% 34% 10% 4% 6%
5%
Reform UK on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 4%
6%
28–29 Jul YouGov The Times GB 1,637 39% 34% 8% 4% 9%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 2%
5%
23–26 Jul Deltapoll N/A GB 1,590 42% 37% 6% 3% 6%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 3%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 1%
5%
25 Jul Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,000 40% 36% 9% 4% 6%
6%
Reform UK on 4%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 2%
4%
23–25 Jul SavantaComRes N/A UK 2,161 40% 34% 10% 4% 4%
7%
Reform UK on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 4%
6%
23 Jul Survation N/A UK 1,013 39% 37% 10% 4% 5%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 4%
2%
22–23 Jul Opinium The Observer GB 2,000 43% 35% 8% 5% 5%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 3%
8%
20–21 Jul YouGov The Times GB 1,667 38% 34% 9% 5% 8%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 2%
4%
19–20 Jul Survation N/A UK 1,032 39% 35% 11% 4% 5%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 5%
4%
19 Jul Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,000 42% 33% 10% 4% 5%
5%
Reform UK on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 2%
9%
16–18 Jul SavantaComRes N/A UK 2,127 41% 34% 8% 4% 5%
7%
Reform UK on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 4%
7%
15–16 Jul YouGov The Times GB 1,761 44% 31% 8% 4% 6%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 2%
13%
5–13 Jul Survation N/A UK 2,119 43% 32% 9% 5% 6%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 5%
11%
12 Jul Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,000 41% 33% 12% 4% 6%
4%
Reform UK on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 1%
8%
7–12 Jul Kantar Public N/A GB 1,057 44% 31% 12% 6% 4%
4%
Reform UK on 1%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
13%
9–11 Jul SavantaComRes N/A UK 2,137 40% 35% 9% 4% 6%
7%
Reform UK on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 4%
5%
8–9 Jul Opinium The Observer GB 2,001 43% 35% 6% 5% 6%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 2%
Other on 3%
8%
7–8 Jul YouGov The Times GB 2,054 42% 30% 9% 5% 7%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 3%
12%
2–8 Jul Ipsos MORI Evening Standard GB 1,053 40% 31% 13% 6% 6%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 1%
Reform UK on 0%
Other on 2%
9%
5 Jul Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,000 43% 34% 8% 4% 6%
6%
Reform UK on 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
9%
2–4 Jul SavantaComRes N/A UK 2,176 41% 35% 8% 3% 4%
9%
Reform UK on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 5%
6%
18 Jun2 Jul Panelbase Sunday Times GB 3,391 44% 33% 10% 5% 5%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 3%
11%
1 Jul Batley and Spen by-election[5]
29–30 Jun YouGov The Times GB 1,762 42% 31% 10% 5% 6%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 2%
11%
28 Jun Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,000 41% 34% 9% 5% 5%
5%
Reform UK on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 2%
7%
25–27 Jun SavantaComRes N/A GB 2,148 42% 33% 9% 4% 5%
8%
Reform UK on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 5%
9%
25–26 Jun Survation N/A UK 1,001 41% 35% 10% 3% 5%
6%
Other on 6%
6%
23–25 Jun Opinium The Observer GB 2,000 43% 35% 7% 5% 5%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 4%
8%
23–24 Jun YouGov The Times GB 1,758 42% 30% 9% 5% 7%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 4%
Other on 2%
12%
21 Jun Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,000 44% 33% 10% 4% 4%
6%
Reform UK on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
11%
18–20 Jun SavantaComRes N/A UK 2,191 44% 30% 10% 4% 5%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 1%
Other on 4%
14%
17–20 Jun Deltapoll N/A GB 2,343 41% 35% 10% 2% 5%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
UKIP on 3%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 2%
6%
17 Jun Chesham and Amersham by-election[6]
16–17 Jun YouGov The Times GB 1,642 45% 31% 6% 5% 7%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 4%
Other on 2%
14%
11–15 Jun Survation N/A UK 2,024 41% 33% 8% 4% 7%
6%
Other on 6%
9%
7–14 Jun Number Cruncher Politics N/A UK 1,517 45% 34% 5% 5% 7%
5%
Reform UK on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
11%
13 Jun Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,000 44% 34% 9% 4% 5%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 1%
10%
11–13 Jun SavantaComRes N/A UK 2,108 41% 34% 8% 5% 6%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 4%
7%
10–12 Jun Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday GB 1,608 46% 34% 7% 2% 5%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 3%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 0%
12%
10–11 Jun Opinium The Observer GB 2,002 43% 34% 6% 6% 7%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 4%
9%
9–10 Jun YouGov The Times GB 1,630 44% 31% 7% 5% 9%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 2%
13%
9–10 Jun Survation N/A UK 2,017 42% 35% 9% 4% 5%
5%
Other on 5%
7%
7 Jun Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,000 43% 36% 7% 5% 5%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Reform UK on 1%
Other on 2%
7%
3–7 Jun Kantar Public N/A GB 1,122 45% 32% 8% 4% 6%
5%
Reform UK on 2%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
13%
4–6 Jun SavantaComRes N/A UK 2,089 44% 32% 8% 4% 5%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 4%
12%
2–3 Jun YouGov The Times GB 1,703 46% 30% 6% 4% 9%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 2%
16%
28 May3 Jun Ipsos MORI Evening Standard GB 1,002 44% 35% 6% 5% 7%
1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Reform UK on 0%
Other on 0%
9%
1–2 Jun Survation N/A UK 1,533 41% 33% 9% 4% 6%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 5%
8%
31 May Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,000 45% 34% 8% 4% 5%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 2%
11%
28–30 May SavantaComRes N/A UK 2,180 42% 32% 9% 4% 5%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 4%
10%
27–28 May Opinium The Observer GB 2,004 42% 36% 6% 5% 5%
5%
UKIP on 1%
Reform UK on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
6%
27–28 May YouGov The Times GB 1,705 43% 29% 8% 5% 8%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 2%
14%
27–28 May Survation Daily Mail UK 1,010 43% 33% 10% 5% 5%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 5%
10%
27–28 May Number Cruncher Politics N/A UK 1,001 44% 32% 7% 5% 8%
4%
Reform UK on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
12%
25–26 May Survation N/A UK 1,041 44% 33% 8% 4% 6%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 4%
11%
24 May Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,000 43% 33% 10% 4% 5%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 2%
10%
21–23 May SavantaComRes N/A UK 2,215 43% 34% 9% 4% 4%
8%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 5%
9%
19–20 May YouGov The Times GB 1,699 46% 28% 8% 5% 8%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 1%
18%
17 May Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,000 42% 33% 10% 4% 6%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 2%
9%
14–16 May SavantaComRes N/A UK 2,131 43% 32% 8% 4% 5%
8%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 5%
11%
13–15 May Find Out Now (MRP) The Sunday Telegraph GB 14,715 43% 30% 11% 5% 9%
3%
13%
13–14 May Opinium The Observer GB 2,004 44% 31% 8% 5% 7%
6%
UKIP on 2%
Reform UK on 0%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 3%
13%
13 May Airdrie and Shotts by-election[7]
11–12 May YouGov The Times GB 1,647 45% 30% 7% 5% 8%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 2%
15%
10 May Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,000 45% 34% 8% 4% 5%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 2%
11%
7–9 May SavantaComRes N/A UK 2,152 42% 34% 8% 5% 4%
8%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 5%
8%
6 May Local elections in England and Wales, Scottish and Welsh parliament elections, and the Hartlepool by-election[8][9][10][11]
4–5 May YouGov The Times GB 1,683 43% 33% 7% 5% 6%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 2%
10%
4–5 May Panelbase N/A GB 1,003 45% 36% 6% 4% 5%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 3%
9%
3 May Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,000 40% 38% 7% 4% 5%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 1%
2%
30 Apr2 May SavantaComRes N/A UK 2,242 40% 36% 8% 4% 4%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 4%
4%
29–30 Apr Focaldata The Sunday Times GB 1,555 40% 39% 6% 4% 4%
6%
Reform UK on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
1%
28–30 Apr Opinium The Observer GB 2,001 42% 37% 7% 5% 4%
5%
UKIP on 2%
Reform UK on 0%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
5%
28–29 Apr Number Cruncher Politics N/A UK 1,001 43% 34% 5% 5% 7%
5%
Reform UK on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
9%
27–29 Apr Survation Daily Mail UK 1,077 39% 38% 9% 4% 6%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 5%
1%
27–28 Apr YouGov The Times GB 1,803 44% 33% 7% 4% 7%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 1%
11%
26 Apr Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,000 44% 34% 8% 5% 4%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 1%
10%
22–26 Apr Kantar Public N/A GB 1,115 41% 33% 10% 5% 7%
5%
Reform UK on 3%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 1%
8%
22–26 Apr BMG The Independent GB 1,500 39% 35% 9% 4% 6%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 2%
4%
23–25 Apr SavantaComRes N/A UK 2,144 42% 35% 8% 5% 3%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 4%
7%
21–23 Apr Opinium The Observer GB 2,000 44% 33% 7% 6% 5%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 2%
Reform UK on 0%
Other on 3%
11%
21–22 Apr YouGov The Times GB 1,730 44% 34% 5% 5% 7%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 2%
10%
16–22 Apr Ipsos MORI Evening Standard GB 1,090 40% 37% 8% 6% 5%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 1%
3%
19 Apr Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,000 44% 34% 10% 4% 4%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 2%
10%
15–19 Apr Survation N/A UK 1,008 40% 34% 9% 4% 7%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 6%
6%
16–18 Apr SavantaComRes N/A UK 2,094 43% 34% 7% 5% 4%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 1%
Other on 5%
9%
13–14 Apr YouGov The Times GB 1,689 43% 29% 8% 5% 8%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 2%
14%
12 Apr Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,000 43% 36% 7% 4% 5%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 2%
7%
9–11 Apr SavantaComRes N/A UK 2,174 42% 35% 7% 5% 4%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 4%
7%
8–10 Apr Survation N/A UK 1,009 43% 35% 8% 3% 4%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 5%
8%
8–10 Apr Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday GB 1,608 45% 36% 6% 2% 4%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
UKIP on 2%
Reform UK on 4%
Other on 1%
9%
8–9 Apr Opinium The Observer GB 2,006 45% 36% 6% 6% 4%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 1%
Reform UK on 0%
Other on 2%
9%
7–8 Apr YouGov The Times GB 1,708 41% 34% 6% 5% 6%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 3%
7%
5 Apr Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,000 44% 34% 9% 4% 5%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 2%
10%
2–4 Apr SavantaComRes N/A UK 2,065 42% 35% 8% 4% 3%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 4%
7%
31 Mar1 Apr YouGov The Times GB 1,736 42% 34% 7% 5% 6%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 2%
8%
29 Mar Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,000 44% 36% 7% 4% 4%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 2%
8%
25–29 Mar Kantar Public N/A GB 1,102 42% 34% 9% 7% 4%
5%
Reform UK on 2%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
8%
25–27 Mar Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday GB 1,610 44% 36% 6% 2% 4%
8%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
UKIP on 4%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 1%
8%
25–26 Mar YouGov The Times GB 1,742 42% 32% 8% 5% 7%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 2%
10%
25–26 Mar Opinium The Observer GB 2,002 41% 37% 6% 6% 5%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 2%
Reform UK on 1%
Other on 2%
4%
22 Mar Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,000 42% 36% 9% 4% 6%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 1%
6%
19–21 Mar SavantaComRes N/A UK 2,098 42% 38% 6% 4% 3%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 4%
4%
18–19 Mar YouGov The Times GB 1,692 43% 34% 5% 5% 7%
6%
Reform UK on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
9%
16–19 Mar BMG The Independent GB 1,498 39% 37% 9% 4% 6%
5%
Reform UK on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
2%
12–16 Mar Number Cruncher Politics N/A UK 1,001 42% 37% 7% 5% 5%
5%
Reform UK on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
5%
15 Mar Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,000 43% 36% 7% 4% 5%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 1%
7%
12–14 Mar SavantaComRes N/A UK 2,092 39% 37% 8% 4% 4%
8%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 4%
2%
11–12 Mar Opinium The Observer GB 2,001 43% 37% 6% 5% 4%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 1%
Reform UK on 0%
Other on 2%
6%
5–12 Mar Ipsos MORI Evening Standard GB 1,009 45% 38% 6% 5% 5%
1%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Reform UK on 0%
Other on 1%
7%
9–10 Mar YouGov The Times GB 1,680 42% 33% 7% 4% 6%
6%
Reform UK on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
9%
9–10 Mar Survation Sunday Mirror UK 1,037 43% 33% 9% 5% 5%
5%
Reform UK on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 4%
10%
8 Mar Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,000 45% 36% 7% 4% 4%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 1%
9%
5–7 Mar SavantaComRes N/A UK 2,129 42% 36% 8% 4% 4%
8%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 4%
6%
6 Mar Richard Tice becomes leader of Reform UK[12]
3–4 Mar YouGov The Times GB 1,715 45% 32% 6% 5% 7%
5%
Reform UK on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
13%
1 Mar Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 1,500 44% 38% 7% 4% 3%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 1%
6%
26–28 Feb SavantaComRes N/A UK 2,182 43% 36% 7% 4% 3%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 3%
7%
25–26 Feb YouGov The Times GB 1,637 41% 36% 5% 5% 7%
5%
Reform UK on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
5%
24–26 Feb Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday GB 1,527 42% 38% 6% 2% 4%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
UKIP on 3%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 1%
4%
24–26 Feb Opinium The Observer GB 2,003 43% 36% 7% 6% 4%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 1%
Reform UK on 0%
Other on 2%
7%
23–25 Feb Survation N/A UK 1,002 42% 34% 7% 5% 6%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 5%
8%
22 Feb Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,000 43% 37% 7% 4% 5%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 1%
6%
18–22 Feb Kantar Public N/A GB 1,114 40% 33% 11% 4% 6%
7%
Reform UK on 3%
UKIP on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
7%
19–21 Feb SavantaComRes N/A UK 2,189 40% 38% 7% 4% 3%
9%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 5%
2%
17–18 Feb YouGov The Times GB 1,663 40% 37% 7% 5% 6%
5%
Reform UK on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
3%
15 Feb Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,000 41% 39% 8% 5% 5%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 1%
2%
12–14 Feb SavantaComRes N/A UK 2,170 42% 37% 7% 4% 3%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 4%
5%
11–12 Feb Opinium The Observer UK 2,006 42% 37% 6% 5% 5%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 1%
Reform UK on 0%
Other on 3%
5%
9–10 Feb YouGov The Times GB 1,660 41% 36% 6% 5% 7%
7%
Reform UK on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 3%
5%
8 Feb Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,000 43% 38% 7% 5% 4%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 1%
5%
5–7 Feb SavantaComRes N/A UK 2,119 41% 37% 8% 4% 4%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 4%
4%
5–6 Feb Survation N/A UK 1,003 39% 33% 9% 5% 7%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 5%
6%
29 Jan4 Feb Ipsos MORI Evening Standard GB 1,056 42% 38% 7% 5% 8%
0%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Reform UK on 0%
Other on 0%
4%
2–3 Feb YouGov The Times GB 1,684 41% 37% 6% 5% 6%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 2%
4%
2 Feb Find Out Now N/A GB 5,002 39% 38% 7% 6%[a] 6%
4%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 1%
1%
1 Feb Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,000 40% 38% 8% 5% 4%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 1%
2%
25 Jan1 Feb Number Cruncher Politics ITV UK 2,001 43% 37% 5% 5% 5%
5%
Reform UK on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
6%
29–31 Jan SavantaComRes N/A UK 2,288 41% 38% 6% 5% 3%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 4%
3%
28–29 Jan Opinium The Observer UK 2,002 41% 38% 7% 5% 4%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 2%
Reform UK on 1%
Other on 1%
3%
26–27 Jan YouGov The Times GB 1,721 37% 41% 6% 5% 4%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 3%
4%
25 Jan Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,000 42% 37% 8% 5% 4%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 2%
5%
21–25 Jan Kantar Public N/A GB 1,100 40% 37% 10% 4% 5%
4%
Reform UK on 2%
UKIP on 1%
Other on 1%
3%
22–24 Jan SavantaComRes N/A UK 2,070 40% 37% 8% 5% 3%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 4%
3%
21–23 Jan Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday GB 1,632 41% 39% 7% 4% 3%
6%
Reform UK on 2%
UKIP on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 1%
2%
21–22 Jan YouGov The Times GB 1,703 39% 38% 5% 5% 6%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 4%
Other on 2%
1%
18 Jan Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,000 40% 38% 8% 4% 5%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 2%
2%
15–17 Jan SavantaComRes N/A UK 1,914 39% 37% 7% 5% 3%
7%
Reform UK on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 5%
2%
14–15 Jan Opinium The Observer UK 2,003 37% 41% 6% 6% 4%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 1%
Other on 3%
4%
13–14 Jan YouGov The Times GB 1,702 38% 39% 5% 5% 6%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 2%
1%
12–13 Jan Survation N/A UK 1,033 40% 38% 7% 4% 5%
7%
Brexit Party on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 6%
2%
11 Jan Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,000 41% 37% 8% 5% 5%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 1%
4%
8–10 Jan SavantaComRes N/A UK 1,550 40% 37% 8% 4% 4%
7%
Reform UK on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 4%
3%
6–7 Jan Opinium The Observer UK 2,003 39% 40% 6% 5% 4%
6%
UKIP on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 3%
1%
6 Jan The Brexit Party is re-registered as Reform UK[13]
4–5 Jan YouGov The Times GB 1,704 39% 39% 6% 5% 6%
6%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
Tie

2020Edit

Dates
conducted
Pollster Client Area Sample
size
Con Lab Lib Dem SNP Green Others Lead
26–30 Dec Deltapoll Daily Mirror GB 1,608 43% 38% 4% 5% 5%
6%
Brexit Party on 3%
UKIP on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 1%
5%
4–29 Dec Focaldata (MRP) N/A GB 22,186 36% 38% 9% 4% 7%
7%
Brexit Party on 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
2%
22 Dec Survation N/A UK 1,011 39% 38% 8% 5% 4%
7%
Brexit Party on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 6%
1%
21–22 Dec YouGov The Times GB 1,713 37% 41% 5% 5% 5%
6%
Brexit Party on 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
4%
18–21 Dec SavantaComRes Daily Express UK 1,433 41% 39% 8% 5% 4%
4%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
2%
16–17 Dec Opinium The Observer UK 2,001 39% 39% 6% 5% 4%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 3%
Other on 3%
Tie
15–16 Dec YouGov The Times GB 1,898 39% 37% 6% 5% 6%
7%
Brexit Party on 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
2%
10–14 Dec Kantar Public N/A GB 1,137 38% 37% 10% 5% 3%
6%
Brexit Party on 3%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
1%
11–13 Dec SavantaComRes N/A UK 1,295 38% 37% 8% 5% 5%
7%
Brexit Party on 4%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 3%
1%
4–10 Dec Ipsos MORI Evening Standard GB 1,027 41% 41% 6% 5% 5%
2%
Brexit Party on 0%
UKIP on 0%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
Tie
4–10 Dec Survation N/A UK 3,452 39% 37% 8% 5% 5%
6%
Brexit Party on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 5%
2%
8–9 Dec YouGov The Times GB 1,699 37% 37% 8% 5% 6%
7%
Brexit Party on 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
Tie
27 Nov8 Dec Opinium The Observer UK 6,949 40% 38% 6% 5% 4%
5%
Brexit Party on 0%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 2%
Other on 2%
2%
3–4 Dec Opinium The Observer UK 2,002 38% 40% 6% 6% 3%
8%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 3%
Other on 4%
2%
2–3 Dec YouGov The Times GB 1,706 38% 38% 6% 5% 5%
7%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 3%
Tie
2 Dec Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,000 40% 37% 9% 5% 6%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 3%
3%
27–29 Nov SavantaComRes N/A UK 1,428 39% 38% 8% 5% 3%
8%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 4%
1%
26–28 Nov Deltapoll Daily Mail GB 1,525 37% 38% 9% 4% 4%
8%
Brexit Party on 3%
UKIP on 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 0%
1%
20–28 Nov Number Cruncher Politics N/A GB 1,001 39% 37% 7% 5% 5%
6%
Reform UK/Brexit Party on 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
2%
26–27 Nov YouGov The Times GB 1,696 37% 40% 5% 6% 5%
8%
Brexit Party on 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
3%
20–22 Nov SavantaComRes N/A UK 1,272 39% 37% 7% 5% 4%
8%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 4%
2%
19–20 Nov Opinium The Observer UK 2,001 41% 38% 6% 6% 4%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 2%
Other on 2%
3%
19 Nov Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,500 40% 39% 8% 5% 4%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 4%
1%
17–18 Nov YouGov The Times GB 1,700 38% 37% 7% 6% 6%
7%
Brexit Party on 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
1%
13–15 Nov SavantaComRes N/A UK 2,075 41% 38% 5% 5% 4%
6%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 4%
3%
11–12 Nov YouGov The Times GB 1,632 38% 40% 5% 5% 5%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Brexit Party on 4%
Other on 1%
2%
11 Nov Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,500 40% 40% 7% 5% 5%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 3%
Tie
6–9 Nov SavantaComRes N/A UK 2,130 40% 36% 8% 5% 5%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Brexit Party on 2%
Other on 3%
4%
5–9 Nov Kantar Public N/A GB 1,141 40% 36% 8% 5% 5%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
UKIP on 1%
Brexit Party on 2%
Other on 1%
4%
5–6 Nov Opinium The Observer UK 2,003 38% 42% 7% 5% 3%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 2%
Other on 3%
4%
5–6 Nov Survation N/A UK 1,034 39% 37% 9% 5% 4%
6%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 4%
2%
4–5 Nov YouGov The Times GB 1,665 35% 40% 7% 5% 4%
9%
Brexit Party on 6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
5%
30 Oct2 Nov SavantaComRes N/A UK 2,126 40% 40% 7% 5% 3%
4%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 2%
Tie
28–29 Oct YouGov The Times GB 1,658 38% 38% 6% 5% 5%
7%
Brexit Party on 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
Tie
28 Oct Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 3,000 39% 41% 7% 4% 4%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 4%
2%
22–28 Oct Ipsos MORI Evening Standard GB 1,007 37% 42% 8% 6% 5%
3%
Brexit Party on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
5%
23–26 Oct SavantaComRes N/A UK 2,111 42% 39% 7% 4% 3%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Brexit Party on 2%
Other on 2%
3%
22–24 Oct Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday GB 1,589 42% 39% 7% 3% 3%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Brexit Party on 3%
UKIP on 2%
Other on 2%
3%
22–23 Oct Opinium The Observer UK 2,002 38% 40% 6% 5% 5%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 2%
Other on 3%
2%
21–22 Oct YouGov The Times GB 1,665 40% 39% 7% 5% 5%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Brexit Party on 3%
Other on 2%
1%
21 Oct Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 3,000 40% 40% 7% 5% 4%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 3%
Tie
16–18 Oct SavantaComRes N/A UK 2,274 42% 36% 8% 4% 3%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Brexit Party on 2%
Other on 4%
6%
9–17 Oct Number Cruncher Politics Peston GB 2,088 41% 38% 5% 5% 6%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Brexit Party on 4%
Other on 1%
3%
14–15 Oct YouGov The Times GB 1,675 39% 38% 6% 5% 6%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Brexit Party on 5%
Other on 1%
1%
9–11 Oct SavantaComRes N/A UK 2,123 39% 39% 7% 5% 4%
7%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 3%
Tie
8–9 Oct Opinium The Observer UK 2,001 40% 40% 6% 6% 3%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 3%
Other on 2%
Tie
6–7 Oct Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 3,000 41% 39% 8% 4% 4%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 3%
2%
6–7 Oct YouGov The Times GB 1,673 41% 38% 5% 5% 6%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Brexit Party on 3%
Other on 1%
3%
5–6 Oct Survation N/A UK 1,022 41% 37% 7% 4% 4%
7%
Brexit Party on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 5%
4%
2–4 Oct SavantaComRes N/A UK 2,081 42% 39% 7% 4% 3%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Brexit Party on 2%
Other on 2%
3%
30 Sep1 Oct Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 4,000 39% 39% 8% 5% 5%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 3%
Tie
29–30 Sep YouGov The Times GB 1,700 39% 39% 6% 5% 5%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Brexit Party on 4%
Other on 1%
Tie
25–28 Sep SavantaComRes N/A UK 2,112 41% 38% 8% 5% 3%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Brexit Party on 2%
Other on 2%
3%
24–25 Sep Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday GB 1,583 42% 38% 6% 5% 4%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Brexit Party on 3%
UKIP on 2%
Other on 0%
4%
23–25 Sep Opinium The Observer UK 2,002 39% 42% 5% 6% 4%
4%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
3%
23–24 Sep YouGov The Times GB 1,623 41% 38% 6% 4% 5%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Brexit Party on 3%
Other on 2%
3%
22–23 Sep Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,500 40% 40% 7% 4% 5%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 3%
Tie
17–21 Sep Kantar Public N/A GB 1,125 40% 38% 9% 4% 4%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Brexit Party on 3%
UKIP on 2%
Other on 1%
2%
18–20 Sep SavantaComRes N/A UK 2,109 40% 37% 8% 5% 3%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Brexit Party on 3%
Other on 4%
3%
11–18 Sep Ipsos MORI Evening Standard GB 1,013 40% 37% 8% 7% 5%
2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
UKIP on 1%
Other on 1%
3%
16–17 Sep YouGov The Times GB 1,618 40% 40% 6% 4% 5%
5%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
Tie
15–16 Sep Survation N/A UK 1,003 40% 38% 7% 5% 4%
6%
Brexit Party on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 4%
2%
15–16 Sep Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,500 41% 39% 8% 5% 5%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 3%
2%
9–11 Sep Opinium The Observer GB 2,001 42% 39% 6% 5% 4%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 1%
Other on 1%
3%
8–9 Sep YouGov The Times GB 1,615 42% 37% 6% 5% 4%
5%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
5%
4–8 Sep Number Cruncher Politics Bloomberg GB 1,001 42% 38% 6% 5% 5%
4%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 2%
4%
3–4 Sep YouGov The Times GB 1,633 43% 37% 6% 6% 4%
5%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
6%
2–4 Sep Survation N/A UK 1,047 40% 38% 8% 5% 4%
5%
Brexit Party on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 3%
2%
1–2 Sep Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,500 43% 37% 8% 4% 4%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 3%
6%
26–28 Aug Opinium The Observer GB 2,002 40% 40% 6% 5% 3%
2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
UKIP on 2%
Tie
27 Aug Ed Davey is elected leader of the Liberal Democrats[14]
24–25 Aug YouGov The Times GB 1,669 43% 36% 6% 5% 4%
5%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
7%
24 Aug Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,000 42% 37% 9% 4% 5%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 3%
5%
21 Aug Survation N/A UK 1,005 41% 37% 9% 5% 4%
4%
Brexit Party on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 3%
4%
19 Aug Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,000 44% 37% 7% 4% 4%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 3%
7%
18–19 Aug YouGov The Times GB 1,652 40% 38% 6% 5% 6%
6%
Brexit Party on 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
2%
14–16 Aug SavantaComRes N/A UK 2,083 42% 37% 7% 4% 3%
7%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 4%
5%
13–14 Aug Opinium The Observer GB 2,005 42% 39% 5% 5% 3%
6%
UKIP on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
3%
12 Aug Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,000 43% 36% 9% 4% 4%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 3%
7%
11–12 Aug YouGov The Times GB 1,634 44% 35% 5% 6% 5%
5%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
9%
6–10 Aug Kantar Public N/A GB 1,161 42% 35% 8% 6% 3%
6%
Brexit Party on 3%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
7%
4–5 Aug YouGov The Times GB 1,606 42% 36% 8% 5% 5%
4%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Other on 1%
6%
30 Jul4 Aug Ipsos MORI Evening Standard GB 1,019 45% 37% 6% 5% 5%
2%
Brexit Party on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 1%
8%
31 Jul3 Aug Survation N/A UK 1,019 44% 35% 8% 4% 5%
3%
Brexit Party on 0%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 3%
9%
30–31 Jul YouGov The Times GB 1,623 43% 35% 6% 5% 5%
5%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Other on 1%
8%
30–31 Jul Opinium The Observer GB 2,002 41% 38% 6% 6% 4%
6%
UKIP on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 3%
3%
29 Jul Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,000 43% 38% 7% 4% 4%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 3%
5%
23–24 Jul Opinium The Observer GB 2,002 42% 38% 6% 5% 4%
5%
UKIP on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
4%
22–23 Jul YouGov The Times GB 1,648 44% 35% 7% 5% 4%
5%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Other on 1%
9%
22 Jul Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,000 44% 36% 8% 4% 5%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 3%
8%
17–19 Jul SavantaComRes N/A UK 2,085 43% 37% 6% 5% 2%
7%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 4%
6%
15–17 Jul Opinium The Observer GB 2,003 44% 36% 6% 6% 4%
4%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
8%
15 Jul Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,000 44% 37% 8% 4% 4%
2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 2%
7%
9–13 Jul Kantar Public N/A GB 1,131 45% 35% 9% 5% 2%
5%
Brexit Party on 2%
UKIP on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
10%
10–12 Jul Survation N/A UK 2,022 42% 36% 8% 4% 5%
5%
Brexit Party on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 3%
6%
9–10 Jul Opinium The Observer GB 2,002 42% 38% 6% 6% 4%
4%
UKIP on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
4%
9–10 Jul Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday GB 1,541 44% 38% 7% 3% 3%
5%
Brexit Party on 3%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 1%
6%
8–9 Jul YouGov The Times GB 1,614 46% 36% 6% 5% 3%
4%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Other on 1%
10%
8 Jul Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,000 44% 39% 7% 4% 4%
2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 2%
5%
3–6 Jul Survation N/A UK 1,012 44% 37% 7% 4% 4%
3%
Brexit Party on 0%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 3%
7%
2–3 Jul Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday GB 1,549 41% 36% 7% 3% 5%
8%
Brexit Party on 4%
UKIP on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 1%
5%
1–3 Jul Opinium The Observer GB 2,002 41% 37% 8% 5% 4%
5%
UKIP on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
4%
1 Jul Redfield & Wilton Strategies Election Maps UK GB 2,000 42% 38% 8% 4% 5%
2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 2%
4%
26–28 Jun YouGov The Times GB 1,626 45% 37% 5% 5% 4%
3%
Brexit Party on 2%
UKIP on 0%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
8%
25–26 Jun Opinium The Observer GB 2,001 43% 39% 6% 5% 4%
4%
UKIP on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
4%
25 Jun Redfield & Wilton Strategies Election Maps UK GB 2,000 44% 38% 7% 4% 4%
2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 2%
6%
24–25 Jun Survation N/A UK 2,003 43% 36% 8% 5% 4%
4%
Brexit Party on 0%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 4%
7%
18–19 Jun Opinium The Observer GB 2,001 44% 40% 5% 5% 3%
3%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
4%
18 Jun Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 2,000 43% 38% 8% 4% 4%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 3%
5%
11–15 Jun Kantar Public N/A GB 1,124 43% 35% 8% 5% 4%
3%
Brexit Party on 2%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
8%
12–14 Jun SavantaComRes The Daily Telegraph UK 2,106 40% 36% 9% 5% 3%
8%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 4%
4%
11–12 Jun Opinium The Observer GB 2,001 44% 39% 6% 5% 2%
2%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 1%
5%
11–12 Jun YouGov The Times GB 1,693 45% 37% 6% 5% 4%
3%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
8%
11 Jun Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 1,500 41% 39% 9% 5% 4%
2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 2%
2%
9–10 Jun Survation N/A UK 1,062 42% 36% 8% 5% 4%
5%
Brexit Party on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 3%
6%
5–10 Jun Ipsos MORI Evening Standard GB 1,059 43% 38% 10% 4% 1%
4%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 1%
5%
4–5 Jun Opinium The Observer GB 2,002 43% 40% 6% 5% 3%
3%
UKIP on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
3%
4–5 Jun Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday GB 1,547 41% 38% 8% 2% 4%
6%
Brexit Party on 3%
UKIP on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 1%
3%
3 Jun Survation N/A UK 1,018 41% 39% 7% 4% 4%
5%
Brexit Party on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 3%
2%
3 Jun Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 1,500 43% 36% 9% 4% 5%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 3%
7%
29–30 May YouGov The Times GB 1,650 45% 35% 6% 5% 5%
3%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
UKIP on 0%
Other on 1%
10%
28–29 May Opinium The Observer GB 2,012 43% 39% 6% 5% 3%
4%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
4%
27–28 May Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday GB 1,557 43% 38% 8% 3% 4%
4%
Brexit Party on 2%
UKIP on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
5%
27 May Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 1,500 43% 37% 9% 5% 3%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 3%
6%
26–27 May YouGov DatapraxisEU GB 2,029 43% 38% 6% 5% 4%
5%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Other on 1%
5%
25–26 May YouGov The Times GB 1,629 44% 38% 6% 5% 4%
4%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Other on 1%
6%
22–26 May Survation N/A UK 1,040 46% 33% 8% 5% 4%
4%
Brexit Party on 0%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 4%
13%
21–22 May Opinium The Observer GB 2,008 47% 35% 6% 5% 3%
3%
UKIP on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 1%
12%
18–19 May YouGov The Times GB 1,718 48% 33% 6% 5% 5%
4%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Other on 1%
15%
15–17 May SavantaComRes N/A GB 2,079 46% 33% 7% 4% 4%
4%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
13%
15 May Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 1,500 47% 35% 9% 4% 3%
2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 2%
12%
13–14 May Opinium The Observer GB 1,062 49% 34% 6% 5% 3%
3%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
15%
5–11 May Kantar Public N/A GB 1,130 51% 32% 7% 5% 2%
4%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Other on 1%
19%
5–7 May Opinium The Observer GB 1,053 49% 33% 6% 5% 5%
3%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Brexit Party on 0%
Other on 1%
16%
6 May Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 1,500 50% 31% 7% 4% 5%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 3%
19%
5–6 May YouGov The Times GB 1,667 50% 30% 7% 4% 5%
5%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Other on 1%
20%
27 Apr1 May Opinium The Observer GB 1,072 51% 33% 6% 5% 3%
3%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Brexit Party on 0%
Other on 1%
18%
27–28 Apr Survation N/A UK 1,023 48% 31% 8% 4% 5%
5%
Brexit Party on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 3%
17%
26 Apr Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 1,500 50% 33% 7% 5% 4%
1%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 1%
17%
21–23 Apr Opinium The Observer GB 2,000 50% 33% 7% 5% 3%
2%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Brexit Party on 0%
Other on 1%
17%
16–20 Apr Kantar Public N/A GB 1,118 54% 28% 9% 4% 4%
2%
Brexit Party on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
26%
17 Apr Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 1,500 52% 31% 8% 4% 3%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
21%
16–17 Apr YouGov The Times GB 2,015 53% 32% 5% 4% 3%
3%
Brexit Party on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Other on 1%
21%
15–17 Apr Opinium The Observer GB 2,000 51% 32% 6% 5% 3%
2%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Brexit Party on 0%
Other on 1%
19%
7–9 Apr Opinium The Observer GB 2,005 55% 29% 5% 5% 4%
2%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Brexit Party on 0%
Other on 1%
26%
7–9 Apr BMG The Independent GB 1,541 46% 29% 10% 3% 6%
5%
Brexit Party on 2%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
17%
4 Apr Keir Starmer is elected leader of the Labour Party[15]
1–3 Apr Opinium The Observer GB 2,000 53% 30% 7% 5% 3%
3%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Brexit Party on 0%
Other on 1%
23%
1–2 Apr Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A UK 2,000 49% 29% 8% 4% 4%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 5%
20%
1–2 Apr YouGov The Times GB 1,631 52% 28% 8% 5% 5%
3%
Brexit Party on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Other on 1%
24%
26–27 Mar Opinium The Observer GB 2,006 54% 28% 6% 5% 3%
3%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Brexit Party on 0%
Other on 1%
26%
24–26 Mar Number Cruncher Politics Bloomberg GB 1,010 54% 28% 7% 4% 4% 26%
23 Mar Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 1,500 47% 29% 8% 5% 5%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 5%
18%
19–20 Mar Opinium The Observer GB 2,005 51% 31% 7% 5% 3%
3%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Brexit Party on 0%
Other on 1%
20%
13–16 Mar Ipsos MORI Evening Standard GB 1,003 52% 30% 9% 4% 4% 22%
12–13 Mar Opinium The Observer GB 2,005 49% 32% 6% 5% 5%
4%
UKIP on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Brexit Party on 0%
Other on 1%
17%
5–9 Mar Kantar Public N/A GB 1,171 50% 29% 11% 4% 1%
5%
Brexit Party on 2%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
21%
3–6 Mar BMG The Independent GB 1,498 45% 28% 11% 3% 6%
6%
Brexit Party on 3%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
17%
19–20 Feb SavantaComRes Sunday Express GB 2,005 47% 31% 9% 4% 4% 16%
12–14 Feb Opinium The Observer GB 2,007 47% 32% 7% 6% 4%
4%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Other on 1%
15%
12 Feb Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A GB 1,216 49% 31% 9% 4% 4%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
18%
9–10 Feb YouGov The Times GB 1,694 48% 28% 10% 4% 6%
4%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Other on 1%
20%
4–7 Feb BMG The Independent GB 1,503 41% 29% 11% 5% 8%
7%
Brexit Party on 3%
UKIP on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
12%
31 Jan3 Feb Ipsos MORI Evening Standard GB 1,001 47% 30% 11% 4% 5%
3%
Brexit Party on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
17%
31 Jan2 Feb YouGov The Times GB 1,575 49% 30% 8% 4% 5%
4%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Other on 1%
19%
30–31 Jan Survation N/A UK 1,015 44% 33% 10% 5% 3%
5%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 2%
11%
24–26 Jan YouGov The Times GB 1,628 49% 29% 10% 5% 4%
3%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
20%
15–17 Jan Opinium The Observer GB 1,978 47% 30% 9% 5% 4%
6%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Other on 2%
17%
8–10 Jan BMG The Independent GB 1,508 44% 29% 11% 3% 5%
6%
Brexit Party on 4%
UKIP on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
15%
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election UK 43.6% 32.1% 11.6% 3.9% 2.7% 6.7% 11.5%
12 Dec 2019 GB 44.7% 32.9% 11.8% 4.0% 2.8% 4.3% 11.8%

Seat predictionsEdit

Most polls are reported in terms of the overall popular vote share, and the pollsters do not typically project how these shares would equate to numbers of seats in the House of Commons. Other organisations including Electoral Calculus make rolling projections based on an aggregate of publicly available polls.

A small number of large polls have been carried out in order to run multilevel regression with poststratification (MRP) models, which output predictions for each constituency.[16]

Dates
conducted
Pollster Client Sample
size
Area Con Lab SNP Lib Dem DUP SF Plaid Cymru Green Alliance SDLP Others Majority
6–8 Sep 2021 Find Out Now/Electoral Calculus (MRP) The Daily Telegraph 10,673 GB 311 244 59 12 N/A N/A 5 1 N/A N/A N/A −28
13–15 May 2021 Find Out Now/Electoral Calculus (MRP) The Sunday Telegraph 14,715 GB 386 172 58 9 N/A N/A 5 2 N/A N/A N/A 122
4–29 Dec 2020 Focaldata (MRP) Best for Britain 22,186 N/A 284 282 57 2 N/A N/A 5 1 N/A N/A 19[b] −82
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election UK 365 202 48 11 8 7 4 1 1 2 1 80

Polling in the nations and regionsEdit

England and WalesEdit

Graph of opinion polls conducted
Date(s)
conducted
Pollster Client Sample
size
Con Lab Lib Dem Green Others Lead
4–6 Jun 2021 Find Out Now The Constitution Society 14,596 45% 36% 6% 1% 11% 9%
1 Jul 2021 Batley and Spen by-election[5]
6 May 2021 Local elections in England, Welsh Parliament election, and the Hartlepool by-election[8][10][11]
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election 46.6% 34.3% 12.1% 2.9% 4.1% 12.3%

LondonEdit

 
Graph of opinion polls conducted in London
Date(s)
conducted
Pollster Client Sample
size
Lab Con Lib Dem Green Others Lead
6 May 2021 Elections to the Mayoralty and London Assembly[17]
4–5 May 2021 Panelbase N/A 1,002 47% 32% 12% 6% 4% 15%
2–4 May 2021 YouGov N/A 1,141 51% 33% 7% 7%
2%
Reform UK on 1%
Other on 1%
18%
28 Apr3 May 2021 Opinium N/A 1,005 47% 32% 11% 6%
4%
UKIP on 2%
Reform UK on 0%
Other on 2%
15%
7–10 Apr 2021 Opinium N/A 1,093 49% 33% 9% 6%
4%
UKIP on 2%
Reform UK on 0%
Other on 2%
16%
29 Mar1 Apr 2021 YouGov Queen Mary University of London 1,192 50% 31% 8% 7%
4%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 2%
19%
17–20 Mar 2021 Opinium N/A 1,100 49% 34% 9% 6%
3%
UKIP on 2%
Reform UK on 0%
Other on 1%
15%
13–14 Jan 2021 Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 1,500 48% 27% 14% 8%
5%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 3%
21%
16–19 Nov 2020 YouGov Queen Mary University of London 1,192 55% 30% 7% 5%
4%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 1%
25%
15–17 Oct 2020 Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 2,000 53% 26% 12% 6% 3% 27%
7–8 Sep 2020 Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 2,000 50% 29% 12% 6% 3% 21%
5–7 Aug 2020 Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 2,500 48% 29% 14% 7% 2% 19%
2–6 Mar 2020 YouGov Queen Mary University of London 1,002 46% 34% 11% 7%
2%
Reform UK on 1%
Other on 1%
12%
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election 48.1% 32.0% 14.9% 3.1% 1.9% 16.1%

ScotlandEdit

 
Graph of opinion polls conducted in Scotland
Date(s)
conducted
Pollster Client Sample
size
SNP Con Lab Lib Dem Others Lead
6–10 Sep 2021 Panelbase The Sunday Times 2,003 47% 23% 19% 7% 4% 24%
3–8 Sep 2021 Opinium Sky News 1,014 51% 21% 17% 5%
5%
Scottish Greens on 2%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 1%
30%
20 Aug 2021 Alex Cole-Hamilton becomes leader of the Scottish Liberal Democrats[18]
16–24 Jun 2021 Panelbase The Sunday Times 1,287 47% 25% 18% 6% 4% 22%
13 May 2021 Airdrie and Shotts by-election[7]
6 May 2021 Election to the Scottish Parliament[9]
2–4 May 2021 YouGov The Times 1,144 48% 22% 19% 5%
7%
Scottish Greens on 4%
Reform UK on 1%
Other on 2%
26%
30 Apr4 May 2021 Survation DC Thomson 1,008 48% 22% 20% 7%
2%
Scottish Greens on 1%
Other on 1%
26%
28 Apr3 May 2021 Opinium Sky News 1,015 47% 25% 20% 6%
2%
Scottish Greens on 1%
Reform UK on 0%
Other on 1%
22%
27–30 Apr 2021 BMG Research The Herald 1,023 48% 20% 20% 7%
4%
Scottish Greens on 3%
Reform UK on 0%
Other on 1%
28%
23–26 Apr 2021 Survation Good Morning Britain 1,008 46% 22% 22% 8% 2% 24%
21–26 Apr 2021 Panelbase Scot Goes Pop 1,075 45% 22% 19% 7%
7%
Scottish Greens on 4%
Reform UK on 0%
Other on 3%
23%
20–22 Apr 2021 Survation DC Thomson 1,037 47% 21% 22% 8%
1%
Scottish Greens on 1%
Other on 1%
25%
16–20 Apr 2021 YouGov The Times 1,204 48% 24% 19% 4%
6%
Scottish Greens on 3%
Reform UK on 1%
Other on 2%
24%
1–6 Apr 2021 Opinium Sky News 1,023 50% 24% 19% 4%
2%
Scottish Greens on 1%
Other on 1%
26%
29–30 Mar 2021 Survation The Courier 1,021 49% 21% 21% 8%
1%
Scottish Greens on 1%
Other on 0%
28%
19–22 Mar 2021 YouGov The Times TBA 49% 24% 17% 4%
6%
Scottish Greens on 4%
Reform UK on 1%
Other on 1%
25%
16–19 Mar 2021 BMG Research The Herald 1,021 47% 21% 19% 7%
6%
Scottish Greens on 3%
Reform UK on 1%
Other on 2%
26%
11–18 Mar 2021 Survation The Courier 1,452 49% 21% 21% 7%
2%
Scottish Greens on 1%
Other on 1%
28%
11–16 Mar 2021 Opinium Sky News 1,096 50% 23% 19% 5%
4%
Scottish Greens on 3%
Reform UK on 1%
Other on 0%
27%
4–8 Mar 2021 YouGov The Times 1,100 50% 23% 17% 5%
5%
Scottish Greens on 3%
Reform UK on 1%
Other on 1%
27%
27 Feb 2021 Anas Sarwar is elected leader of Scottish Labour[19]
25–26 Feb 2021 Survation Daily Record 1,011 48% 23% 21% 6% 2% 25%
11–13 Jan 2021 Survation Scot Goes Pop 1,020 48% 19% 23% 7% 3% 25%
4–9 Dec 2020 Survation N/A 1,009 51% 20% 21% 6% 30%
5–11 Nov 2020 Panelbase Scot Goes Pop 1,020 50% 21% 20% 5% 29%
6–10 Nov 2020 YouGov The Times 1,089 53% 19% 17% 4% 34%
28 Oct4 Nov 2020 Survation N/A 1,059 52% 18% 20% 8% 2% 32%
17–21 Sep 2020 JL Partners Politico 1,016 56% 18% 15% 7%
3%
Scottish Greens on 3%
Reform UK on 0%
Other on 0%
38%
2–7 Sep 2020 Survation N/A 1,018 51% 20% 21% 6% 3% 30%
6–10 Aug 2020 YouGov The Times 1,142 54% 20% 16% 5%
4%
Scottish Greens on 2%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 0%
34%
5 Aug 2020 Douglas Ross becomes leader of the Scottish Conservatives[20]
30 Jun3 Jul 2020 Panelbase The Sunday Times 1,026 53% 21% 19% 6% 2% 32%
1–5 Jun 2020 Panelbase Scot Goes Pop 1,022 51% 21% 19% 6%
2%
Scottish Greens on 2%
Reform UK on 0%
Other on <1%
30%
1–5 May 2020 Panelbase Wings Over Scotland 1,086 50% 26% 17% 5%
2%
Scottish Greens on 2%
Reform UK on 0%
Other on <1%
24%
24–27 Apr 2020 YouGov N/A 1,095 51% 25% 15% 6%
3%
Scottish Greens on 2%
Other on 1%
26%
24–26 Mar 2020 Panelbase The Sunday Times 1,023 48% 27% 16% 5%
3%
21%
14 Feb 2020 Jackson Carlaw becomes leader of the Scottish Conservatives[21]
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election 45.0% 25.1% 18.6% 9.5% 1.8% 19.9%

WalesEdit

 
Graph of opinion polls conducted in Wales
Dates
conducted
Pollster Client Sample
size
Lab Con Plaid Cymru Lib Dem Reform Others Lead
13–16 Sep 2021 YouGov ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 1,071 37% 31% 15% 4% 6%
7%
Greens on 5%
Other on 2%
6%
6 May 2021 Election to the Welsh Parliament[10]
2–4 May 2021 YouGov ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 1,071 37% 36% 14% 3% 4%
6%
Greens on 3%
Other on 3%
1%
18–21 Apr 2021 YouGov ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 1,142 37% 33% 18% 2% 3%
7%
Greens on 4%
Other on 3%
4%
9–19 Apr 2021 Opinium Sky News 2,005 42% 33% 14% 3%
8%
Greens on 3%
UKIP on 3%
Other on 2%
9%
16–19 Mar 2021 YouGov ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 1,174 35% 35% 17% 4% 2%
6%
Greens on 3%
Other on 3%
Tie
24 Jan 2021 Andrew RT Davies becomes leader of the Welsh Conservatives[22]
11–14 Jan 2021 YouGov ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 1,018 36% 33% 17% 3% 5%
6%
Greens on 4%
Other on 2%
3%
26–30 Oct 2020 YouGov ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 1,013 43% 32% 13% 3% 5%
5%
Greens on 3%
Other on 2%
11%
28 Aug4 Sep 2020 YouGov ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 1,110 41% 33% 15% 2% 4%
5%
Greens on 3%
Other on 2%
8%
29 May1 Jun 2020 YouGov ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 1,021 39% 35% 15% 5% 2%
4%
Greens on 3%
Other on 1%
4%
3–7 Apr 2020 YouGov ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 1,008 34% 46% 11% 4% 3%
2%
Greens on 2%
Other on 0%
12%
20–26 Jan 2020 YouGov ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 1,037 36% 41% 13% 5% 3%
3%
Greens on 2%
Other on 1%
5%
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election 40.9% 36.1% 9.9% 6.0% 5.4% 1.7% 4.8%

Other pollingEdit

Selected Conservative seats gained from Labour in 2019Edit

Different pollsters may have differing views on what constituencies are considered part of the "red wall", therefore comparing results from different pollsters and/or the 2019 election estimate should be exercised with caution. YouGov and JL Partners specify the red wall to be constituencies the Conservative Party gained from the Labour Party across the North of England, Midlands, and Wales in the 2019 election.

Graph of opinion polls conducted
Dates
conducted
Pollster Client Sample
size
Con Lab Lib Dem Other Lead
17–28 Sep 2021 YouGov (MRP) The Times 9,931 41% 40% 5% 14% 1%
6–18 Sep 2021 YouGov N/A 794 44% 38% 4% 14% 6%
29–30 Apr 2021 Focaldata The Times 573 44% 45% 1% 3% 1%
17–25 Mar 2021 JL Partners Channel 4 News 500 47% 43% 4% 6% 4%
19–30 Nov 2020 JL Partners Channel 4 News 499 41% 47% 3% 8% 6%
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election 47.7% 39.1% 4.8% 8.3% 8.6%

Selected remain-voting Conservative seatsEdit

Different pollsters may have differing views on what constituencies are considered part of the "blue wall", therefore comparing results from different pollsters and/or the 2019 election estimate should be exercised with caution. YouGov specifies the blue wall to be constituencies held by the Conservative Party in the South or East of England in the 2019 election, with a population which by majority voted to remain in the European Union and have a higher level of graduates than the country at large.[23]

Graph of opinion polls conducted
Dates
conducted
Pollster Client Sample
size
Con Lib Dem Lab Green Other Lead
6–18 Sep 2021 YouGov N/A 841 45% 15% 26% 11% 4% 19%
20–28 Jul 2021 YouGov N/A 1,141 44% 18% 24% 9% 6% 20%
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election 52% 24% 20% 2% 2% 28%

Ethnic minority votersEdit

Graph of opinion polls conducted
Dates
conducted
Pollster Client Area Sample
size
Lab Con Lib Dem SNP Green Others Lead
7–14 Jun 2021 Number Cruncher Politics ITV N/A 501 51% 28% 7% 3% 9%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 1%
23%
25 Jan1 Feb 2021 Number Cruncher Politics ITV N/A 1,000 58% 22% 6% 2% 8%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 1%
36%
9–17 Oct 2020 Number Cruncher Politics ITV UK 1,000 60% 22% 5% 3% 5%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Brexit Party on 2%
Other on 1%
38%
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election (Ipsos MORI)[24] GB 27,591 64% 20% 12% 2% 1% 1% 44%

See alsoEdit

NotesEdit

  1. ^ SNP and Plaid Cymru listed together.
  2. ^ Includes the speaker and the parties of Northern Ireland

ReferencesEdit

  1. ^ Tufft, Ben (8 May 2015). "When will the next UK General Election be held?". The Independent. Retrieved 29 December 2019. The act specifies that future elections will be held on the first Thursday of May, every five years.
  2. ^ "Johnson to restore power to choose general election date". Shropshire Star. Retrieved 13 May 2021.
  3. ^ Lee, Joseph (15 October 2021). "Sir David Amess: Conservative MP stabbed to death". BBC News. Retrieved 16 October 2021.
  4. ^ "Green Party's new leadership team to focus on power not protests". BBC News. 1 October 2021. Retrieved 1 October 2021.
  5. ^ a b "Batley and Spen: Labour hold seat in by-election". BBC News. 2 July 2021. Retrieved 2 July 2021.
  6. ^ "Chesham and Amersham by-election won by Lib Dems". BBC News. 18 June 2021. Retrieved 18 June 2021.
  7. ^ a b "SNP holds Airdrie and Shotts seat in by-election". BBC News. 14 May 2021. Retrieved 15 May 2021.
  8. ^ a b "England local elections 2021 - BBC News". BBC News. Retrieved 15 May 2021.
  9. ^ a b "Scottish Parliament election 2021". BBC News. Retrieved 15 May 2021.
  10. ^ a b c "Welsh Parliament election 2021". BBC News. Retrieved 15 May 2021.
  11. ^ a b "Elections 2021: Conservatives hail historic Labour defeat in Hartlepool by-election". BBC News. 7 May 2021. Retrieved 15 May 2021.
  12. ^ "Nigel Farage: Brexit-backing politician to quit as leader of Reform UK". BBC News. 6 March 2021. Retrieved 8 March 2021.
  13. ^ "Party registration decisions". Electoral Commission. 6 January 2021. Retrieved 6 January 2021.
  14. ^ "Davey wins Liberal Democrat leadership race". BBC News. 27 August 2020. Retrieved 29 August 2020.
  15. ^ "Labour leadership winner: Sir Keir Starmer". BBC News. 4 April 2020. Retrieved 4 April 2020.
  16. ^ "YouGov UK General Election MRP Estimates – February 2019" (PDF). YouGov. 11 February 2019. Archived (PDF) from the original on 12 February 2019. Retrieved 22 May 2019.
  17. ^ "London elections 2021". BBC News. 9 May 2021. Retrieved 2 October 2021.
  18. ^ "Alex Cole-Hamilton confirmed as new Lib Dem leader". BBC News. 20 August 2020. Retrieved 21 August 2021.
  19. ^ "Anas Sarwar elected as new leader of Scottish Labour Party". Labour List. 27 February 2021. Retrieved 8 March 2021.
  20. ^ "Douglas Ross confirmed as Scottish Conservative leader". BBC News. 5 August 2020. Retrieved 8 March 2021.
  21. ^ "Scottish Conservatives: Jackson Carlaw succeeds Ruth Davidson as leader". BBC News. 14 February 2020. Retrieved 8 March 2021.
  22. ^ "Andrew RT Davies returns as Welsh Conservatives leader". BBC News. 24 January 2021. Retrieved 15 May 2021.
  23. ^ English, Patrick (30 July 2021). "Conservative vote share down 8pts in 'Blue Wall', with party potentially losing up to 16 seats". YouGov. Retrieved 5 October 2021.
  24. ^ "How Britain voted in the 2019 election". Ipsos MORI. 20 December 2019. Retrieved 5 February 2021.