Talk:Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election
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Lord Ashcroft poll January edit
This needs a much more explicit caveat than it has been given. Quoting from Lord Ashcroft's web site: Rather than ask them how they intended to vote, we asked how likely they currently thought they were to end up voting for each party on a 100-point scale. Looking at those who give one party a highest score of 50 or above out of 100, we find Labour on 44%, the Conservatives on 27%, Reform UK third on 10%, and the Lib Dems and Greens on 6% each. If we compare the proportion of Don't Knows & Won't Votes with another pollster: Ashcroft has 37% DK/WV compared with 24% (17% DK, 7% WV) for R&W, or 29% (17% DK, 12% WV) for YouGov. This makes simply correcting for DK/WV problematic. I suggest moving Ashcroft's polling to a separate series from other polling. LarryJayCee (talk) 14:21, 18 January 2024 (UTC)
Polls started on last election day edit
"Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election is being carried out continually by various organisations to gauge voting intention. [...] The dates for these opinion polls range from the 2019 general election on 12 December to the present day."
To me, this reads as if one or more polls for the next election were carried out actually on the last election day, 12 December 2019, which seems a bit unlikely. If in fact this is not meant then perhaps the wording could be improved. 2A00:23C8:7B0C:9A01:543C:A619:5528:AB57 (talk) 18:33, 25 March 2024 (UTC)
New seat prediction edit
Electoral Calculus has a new seat predicition (at the 29th of March): https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/prediction_main.html
I don't know how to insert it correctly, so maybe someone else can help. Tulpenliebhaber (talk) 19:48, 6 April 2024 (UTC)
Labour Together? Really??? edit
Get this poll off this site forthwith. We should not be including internal polls or party-sponsored polls in any form. 2603:7000:603A:342B:4964:A243:AFC1:71EF (talk) 03:11, 2 May 2024 (UTC)
- The name makes clear its origin. Readers can decide how much weight to give their results, which are in line with others. The layout of their tables is almost exactly like YouGov. I wouldn't be surprised if it was contracted out to them. Speaking of YouGov, their founders were Conservatives, Nadhim Zahawi and Stephan Shakespeare, an owner of ConservativeHome. I doubt we can ever exclude all political bias in polls, especially given the ownership of the UK press. --Cavrdg (talk) 08:20, 2 May 2024 (UTC)
- It is not an internal poll; it was done using standard polling methodology. It is not a party-sponsored poll; Labour Together are a think tank and not part of the Labour Party (although they are Labour supporting). We include all polls done by pollsters who are members of the British Polling Council. Bondegezou (talk) 08:22, 2 May 2024 (UTC)
- Labour Together are not a member of the BPC. 38.96.180.251 (talk) 00:01, 4 May 2024 (UTC)