Wikipedia

Potential re-accession of the United Kingdom to the European Union

Following a 2016 referendum, the United Kingdom exited from the European Union at the end of January 2020. Since leaving the EU, numerous polling organisations have conducted surveys to gauge public opinion on rejoining the organisation. The trend of the poll data shows that, over time, support for Brexit has waned, while public opinion in the UK has gradually moved in favour of rejoining the EU (either totally, or partially, such as joining the European single market).[1]

The United Kingdom in orange; the European Union (27 member states) in blue

History

edit

A referendum on the United Kingdom's membership of the European Union took place in 2016, following the European Union Referendum Act being approved by parliament the previous year.[2][3] Most political parties, including Labour and the Liberal Democrats, supported remaining in the European Union while the governing Conservative Party remained neutral, with the prime minister, David Cameron, supporting the UK remaining in the European Union. A majority of voters supported the UK leaving the European Union, with 51.9% voting in favour of leaving and 48.1% in favour of remaining. Cameron resigned, and was succeeded by Theresa May and, later, Boris Johnson, both of whom negotiated the terms of the UK's departure. The UK's departure from the European Union led to two early general elections in 2017 and 2019, and dominated British politics until 31 January 2020, when the country's membership of the European Union ended.

In September 2023, thousands of people participated in a march in London campaigning for the United Kingdom to rejoin the EU.[4] Also in September 2023, France and Germany proposed a restructuring of the membership of the EU to allow the UK to rejoin as an associate member, rather than a full member.[5] Associate membership would include membership of the European single market but not the EU customs union, in exchange for participation in the European Court of Justice and making contributions to the EU budget.[6] The president of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, expressed her support for the UK eventually rejoining the EU.[7] In September 2023 Keir Starmer, leader of the Labour Party and the now-Prime Minister of the UK, ruled out the possibility of the UK rejoining the EU under a Starmer-led Labour government.[8]

Process

edit
 
Countries that could join the European Union
  Current members
  Candidate countries
  Applicant / potential candidate countries
  Membership possible
  Membership not possible

Potential enlargement of the European Union is governed by Article 49 of the Maastricht Treaty. If the UK applied to rejoin the EU, it would need to apply and have its application terms supported unanimously by the EU member states.[9] In January 2020, the political scientist Anthony Salamone wrote that member state support would seek "significant, stable and long-lasting majority public opinion in favour of rejoining", suggesting sustained 60% support would be a plausible minimum.[9] New negotiated terms may also require the UK's participation in the Eurozone and Schengen Area, as well as offering fewer concessions than the UK received as a member.[9] Any concessions sought when joining would need unanimous support from member states and a majority in the European Parliament.[10]

Political positions

edit

Some UK political parties have policy proposals for the United Kingdom, or its member countries, to rejoin the European Union in the future, while others have ruled out supporting it.

Political party Position
Alba Party EFTA and EEA[a]
Alliance Rejoin
Conservative Party Stay out
Green Party of England and Wales Rejoin
Labour Party Stay out
Liberal Democrats Rejoin
Plaid Cymru Rejoin[11]
Rejoin EU Party Rejoin
Reform UK Stay out
Scottish Greens Rejoin[a]
Scottish National Party (SNP) Rejoin[a]
Workers Party Stay out[12]
  1. ^ a b c As an independent Scotland

Opinion polling

edit

Graphical summary

edit

The chart below shows opinion polls conducted about whether the United Kingdom should rejoin the European Union. The trend lines are local regressions (LOESS).

The blue line is rejoin and the red is stay out.

 

National polls

edit

Polling of British voters on whether the United Kingdom should rejoin the European Union. Polling includes only those that explicitly ask how the responder would vote in a hypothetical referendum on the United Kingdom rejoining the European Union, rather than repeating the remain/leave question of the 2016 referendum.

2024

edit
Dates
conducted 		Pollster Client Sample
size 		Rejoin Stay out Neither Lead
26–27 Nov 2024 BMG Research The i 1,531 44% 40% 17% 4%
14–18 Nov 2024 Deltapoll N/A 1,749 48% 35% 17% 13%
30–31 Oct 2024 BMG Research The i 1,511 44% 38% 19% 6%
4–7 Oct 2024 Deltapoll N/A 2,108 47% 38% 15% 9%
2–3 Oct 2024 BMG Research The i 1,562 43% 39% 17% 4%
29 Aug 2024 BMG Research The i 1,560 46% 37% 17% 9%
19 Aug 2024 Redfield & Wilton Strategies UK in a Changing Europe 2,000 51% 40% 8% 11%
12–13 Aug 2024 YouGov Eurotrack 2,189 46% 33% 20% 13%
7–8 Aug 2024 Omnisis N/A 1,278 43% 32% 25% 11%
5–7 Aug 2024 BMG Research The i 1,523 44% 37% 19% 7%
25–26 Jul 2024 Omnisis N/A 2,012 39% 33% 28% 6%
23–24 Jul 2024 YouGov N/A 2,032 48% 33% 19% 15%
18–19 Jul 2024 YouGov Eurotrack 2,074 49% 32% 18% 17%
11–12 Jul 2024 Omnisis N/A 2,005 40% 35% 25% 5%
2–3 Jul 2024 Omnisis N/A 1,325 47% 35% 18% 12%
29 Jun – 3 Jul 2024 Deltapoll N/A 1,737 49% 38% 14% 11%
30 Jun – 2 Jul 2024 BMG Research The i 1,854 46% 37% 18% 9%
27–29 Jun 2024 Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday 1,645 47% 39% 13% 8%
27–28 Jun 2024 Omnisis N/A 1,210 47% 34% 19% 13%
24–26 Jun 2024 Deltapoll The National 2,077 46% 37% 16% 9%
24–26 Jun 2024 BMG Research The i 1,522 47% 38% 14% 9%
21–24 Jun 2024 Deltapoll N/A 1,568 50% 35% 16% 15%
20–21 Jun 2024 Omnisis N/A 1,270 50% 31% 18% 19%
18–19 Jun 2024 BMG Research The i 1,627 47% 38% 15% 9%
14–17 Jun 2024 Deltapoll N/A 1,383 45% 41% 13% 4%
13–14 Jun 2024 YouGov Eurotrack 2,292 48% 33% 19% 15%
12–13 Jun 2024 Redfield & Wilton Strategies UK in a Changing Europe 2,000 55% 35% 10% 20%
12–13 Jun 2024 Omnisis N/A 1,297 49% 33% 18% 16%
11–12 Jun 2024 BMG Research The i 1,546 47% 39% 15% 8%
6–8 Jun 2024 Deltapoll Mail on Sunday 2,010 50% 35% 15% 15%
6–7 Jun 2024 Omnisis N/A 1,198 50% 31% 19% 19%
4–5 Jun 2024 BMG Research The i 1,534 45% 38% 17% 7%
31 May – 3 Jun 2024 Deltapoll N/A 1,077 51% 34% 15% 17%
30 May – 3 Jun 2024 Verian N/A 1,405 56% 28% 17% 28%
30–31 May 2024 Omnisis N/A 1,328 47% 34% 19% 13%
28–29 May 2024 BMG Research The i 1,500 44% 41% 15% 3%
23–25 May 2024 Deltapoll Mail on Sunday 1,517 51% 35% 13% 16%
23–24 May 2024 Omnisis N/A 1,242 48% 31% 21% 17%
17–20 May 2024 Deltapoll N/A 1,968 49% 36% 16% 13%
16–17 May 2024 Omnisis N/A 1,064 49% 31% 20% 18%
10–13 May 2024 Deltapoll N/A 1,031 45% 36% 19% 9%
9–10 May 2024 Omnisis N/A 1,183 48% 32% 20% 16%
3–7 May 2024 Deltapoll N/A 1,993 48% 38% 15% 10%
2–5 May 2024 JL Partners The Rest is Politics 2,001 47% 36% 16% 11%
2–3 May 2024 Omnisis N/A 1,177 46% 33% 21% 13%
26–29 Apr 2024 Deltapoll N/A 1,577 47% 36% 17% 11%
25–26 Apr 2024 Omnisis N/A 1,265 48% 31% 21% 17%
22–23 Apr 2024 BMG Research The i 1,500 47% 39% 14% 8%
19–22 Apr 2024 Deltapoll N/A 1,525 49% 35% 16% 14%
18–19 Apr 2024 Omnisis N/A 1,266 48% 33% 19% 15%
17–18 Apr 2024 YouGov Eurotrack 2,147 49% 32% 20% 17%
16–17 Apr 2024 Redfield & Wilton Strategies UK in a Changing Europe 2,000 55% 38% 8% 17%
12–15 Apr 2024 Deltapoll N/A 1,944 51% 35% 14% 16%
11–12 Apr 2024 Omnisis N/A 1,271 50% 31% 19% 19%
4–7 Apr 2024 JL Partners The Rest is Politics 2,011 48% 36% 15% 12%
4–5 Apr 2024 Omnisis N/A 1,280 49% 32% 19% 17%
2–3 Apr 2024 BMG Research The i 1,530 46% 40% 14% 6%
27–28 Mar 2024 Omnisis N/A 1,285 48% 32% 20% 16%
22–25 Mar 2024 Deltapoll N/A 1,589 47% 37% 16% 10%
21–22 Mar 2024 Omnisis N/A 1,270 48% 32% 19% 16%
15–18 Mar 2024 Deltapoll N/A 2,072 49% 36% 16% 13%
14–15 Mar 2024 Omnisis N/A 1,270 49% 34% 17% 15%
12–13 Mar 2024 YouGov Eurotrack 2,047 49% 30% 21% 19%
8–11 Mar 2024 Deltapoll N/A 1,502 47% 40% 14% 7%
7–8 Mar 2024 Omnisis N/A 1,216 46% 34% 20% 12%
6–7 Mar 2024 BMG Research The i 1,541 45% 41% 14% 4%
1–4 Mar 2024 Deltapoll N/A 1,500 46% 39% 15% 7%
29 Feb – 1 Mar 2024 Omnisis N/A 1,240 50% 33% 17% 17%
23–26 Feb 2024 Deltapoll N/A 1,490 49% 36% 15% 13%
22–23 Feb 2024 Omnisis N/A 1,243 50% 31% 19% 19%
16–19 Feb 2024 Deltapoll N/A 1,519 45% 38% 16% 7%
15–16 Feb 2024 Omnisis N/A 1,246 47% 33% 20% 14%
15–16 Feb 2024 YouGov Eurotrack 2,186 47% 32% 21% 15%
13–14 Feb 2024 Redfield & Wilton Strategies UK in a Changing Europe 2,000 55% 36% 8% 19%
9–12 Feb 2024 Deltapoll N/A 1,977 46% 39% 15% 7%
8–9 Feb 2024 Omnisis N/A 1,171 50% 31% 19% 19%
2–5 Feb 2024 Deltapoll N/A 2,004 47% 37% 15% 10%
1–2 Feb 2024 Omnisis N/A 1,283 52% 31% 18% 21%
30–31 Jan 2024 BMG Research The i 1,505 46% 41% 13% 5%
26–29 Jan 2024 Deltapoll N/A 2,064 47% 38% 14% 9%
25–26 Jan 2024 Omnisis N/A 1,264 50% 33% 18% 17%
19–22 Jan 2024 Deltapoll N/A 2,176 47% 37% 16% 10%
18–19 Jan 2024 Omnisis N/A 1,163 50% 31% 19% 19%
12–15 Jan 2024 Deltapoll N/A 2,136 46% 38% 15% 8%
11–12 Jan 2024 Omnisis N/A 1,161 50% 33% 17% 17%
11–12 Jan 2024 YouGov Eurotrack 2,058 47% 31% 22% 16%
4–5 Jan 2024 Omnisis N/A 1,226 48% 32% 20% 16%
2–3 Jan 2024 YouGov N/A 2,016 51% 36% 13% 15%

2023

edit
Dates
conducted 		Pollster Client Sample
size 		Rejoin Stay out Neither Lead
29–31 Dec 2023 YouGov Eurotrack 2,194 46% 31% 23% 15%
28–30 Dec 2023 Omnisis N/A 1,181 49% 33% 18% 16%
22–29 Dec 2023 Deltapoll Daily Mirror 1,642 47% 39% 14% 8%
20–22 Dec 2023 Omnisis N/A 1,177 48% 34% 18% 14%
14–15 Dec 2023 Omnisis N/A 1,065 46% 34% 20% 12%
10–11 Dec 2023 Redfield & Wilton Strategies UK in a Changing Europe 2,000 52% 40% 8% 12%
8–11 Dec 2023 Deltapoll N/A 1,005 44% 41% 15% 3%
7–8 Dec 2023 Omnisis N/A 1,201 46% 34% 20% 12%
1–4 Dec 2023 Deltapoll N/A 1,000 45% 40% 15% 5%
30 Nov – 1 Dec 2023 Omnisis N/A 1,123 46% 31% 23% 15%
28–30 Nov 2023 BMG Research The i 1,502 42% 43% 15% 1%
24–27 Nov 2023 Deltapoll N/A 1,996 48% 36% 15% 12%
23–24 Nov 2023 We Think N/A 1,119 50% 33% 17% 17%
16–20 Nov 2023 Deltapoll N/A 1,565 46% 37% 17% 9%
16–17 Nov 2023 Omnisis N/A 1,150 47% 34% 19% 13%
15–16 Nov 2023 YouGov Eurotrack 2,007 46% 32% 22% 14%
10–13 Nov 2023 Deltapoll N/A 1,840 48% 37% 15% 11%
9–10 Nov 2023 Omnisis N/A 1,147 49% 33% 18% 16%
3–6 Nov 2023 Deltapoll N/A 1,021 48% 38% 14% 10%
2–3 Nov 2023 Omnisis N/A 1,155 49% 32% 19% 17%
27–30 Oct 2023 Deltapoll N/A 1,546 46% 36% 18% 10%
26–27 Oct 2023 Omnisis N/A 1,189 45% 35% 20% 10%
21 Oct 2023 Redfield & Wilton Strategies UK in a Changing Europe 2,000 55% 38% 8% 17%
19–20 Oct 2023 Omnisis N/A 1,185 48% 33% 19% 15%
19–20 Oct 2023 Deltapoll N/A 1,036 49% 39% 11% 10%
13–16 Oct 2023 Deltapoll N/A 1,568 46% 37% 17% 9%
12–13 Oct 2023 Omnisis N/A 1,198 52% 30% 18% 22%
11–12 Oct 2023 BMG Research The i 1,591 44% 41% 16% 3%
11–12 Oct 2023 YouGov Eurotrack 2,067 47% 34% 19% 13%
5–6 Oct 2023 Omnisis N/A 1,261 46% 33% 21% 13%
5–6 Oct 2023 Deltapoll N/A 1,517 46% 39% 14% 7%
4–5 Oct 2023 BMG Research The i 1,502 44% 40% 16% 4%
29 Sep – 2 Oct 2023 Deltapoll N/A 1,516 49% 38% 13% 11%
28–29 Sep 2023 Omnisis N/A 1,285 48% 36% 17% 12%
22–25 Sep 2023 Deltapoll N/A 1,507 48% 36% 16% 12%
21–22 Sep 2023 Omnisis N/A 1,313 48% 31% 22% 17%
14–15 Sep 2023 Omnisis N/A 1,268 50% 31% 18% 19%
11–15 Sep 2023 Deltapoll N/A 2,039 49% 38% 12% 11%
7–8 Sep 2023 Omnisis N/A 1,268 47% 32% 20% 15%
24–25 Aug 2023 Deltapoll N/A 1,061 48% 35% 17% 13%
22–23 Aug 2023 BMG Research The i 1,562 47% 39% 14% 8%
22–23 Aug 2023 Omnisis N/A 1,356 48% 31% 21% 17%
19–20 Aug 2023 Redfield & Wilton Strategies UK in a Changing Europe 2,000 57% 35% 8% 22%
17–21 Aug 2023 Deltapoll N/A 1,520 46% 34% 21% 12%
17–18 Aug 2023 Omnisis N/A 1,315 48% 31% 21% 17%
10–11 Aug 2023 Omnisis N/A 1,345 50% 30% 20% 20%
10–11 Aug 2023 YouGov Eurotrack 2,066 49% 32% 18% 17%
9–11 Aug 2023 Deltapoll Mail on Sunday 1,504 48% 34% 17% 14%
8–9 Aug 2023 YouGov N/A 2,101 50% 30% 20% 20%
4–7 Aug 2023 Deltapoll N/A 1,023 50% 35% 15% 15%
3–4 Aug 2023 Omnisis N/A 1,420 48% 31% 20% 17%
27–28 Jul 2023 Omnisis N/A 1,339 50% 31% 19% 19%
20–21 Jul 2023 Omnisis N/A 1,380 48% 32% 20% 16%
19–20 Jul 2023 YouGov Eurotrack 2,069 49% 33% 18% 16%
14–17 Jul 2023 Deltapoll N/A 1,000 48% 38% 15% 10%
13–14 Jul 2023 YouGov N/A 2,151 51% 31% 18% 20%
13–14 Jul 2023 Omnisis N/A 1,312 48% 34% 18% 14%
6–7 Jul 2023 Omnisis N/A 1,312 49% 32% 19% 17%
29–30 Jun 2023 Omnisis N/A 1,351 47% 32% 22% 15%
27–29 Jun 2023 BMG Research The i 1,500 45% 40% 15% 5%
25–26 Jun 2023 BMG Research The i 1,524 46% 39% 15% 7%
22–23 Jun 2023 Omnisis N/A 1,336 50% 31% 20% 19%
17–19 Jun 2023 YouGov Eurotrack 1,961 45% 32% 23% 13%
16–19 Jun 2023 Deltapoll N/A 1,554 47% 37% 15% 10%
15–16 Jun 2023 Omnisis N/A 1,306 47% 31% 21% 16%
8–9 Jun 2023 Omnisis N/A 1,296 47% 32% 20% 15%
1–2 Jun 2023 Omnisis N/A 1,351 49% 31% 20% 18%
30–31 May 2023 BMG Research The i 1,529 49% 36% 14% 13%
26–27 May 2023 Omnisis N/A 1,361 47% 33% 20% 14%
19–22 May 2023 Deltapoll N/A 1,575 48% 38% 14% 10%
17–18 May 2023 Omnisis N/A 1,361 47% 33% 20% 14%
15–16 May 2023 YouGov Eurotrack 2,037 46% 33% 22% 13%
12–15 May 2023 Deltapoll N/A 1,511 46% 39% 15% 7%
12–13 May 2023 Omnisis N/A 1,355 47% 33% 9% 14%
5–9 May 2023 Deltapoll N/A 1,550 48% 38% 14% 10%
4–5 May 2023 Omnisis N/A 1,210 50% 30% 20% 20%
3–4 May 2023 BMG Research The i 1,534 45% 38% 16% 7%
28 Apr – 2 May 2023 Deltapoll N/A 1,561 46% 37% 18% 9%
26–27 Apr 2023 Omnisis N/A 1,193 48% 31% 20% 17%
24–26 Apr 2023 Deltapoll N/A 1,576 48% 37% 16% 11%
19–20 Apr 2023 Omnisis N/A 1,318 49% 31% 21% 18%
18 Apr 2023 Redfield & Wilton Strategies UK in a Changing Europe 2,000 56% 37% 7% 19%
13–17 Apr 2023 Deltapoll N/A 1,567 48% 38% 14% 10%
12–13 Apr 2023 Omnisis N/A 1,204 46% 35% 19% 11%
11–12 Apr 2023 YouGov Eurotrack 1,985 47% 33% 20% 14%
5–6 Apr 2023 Omnisis N/A 1,204 46% 34% 20% 12%
31 Mar – 3 Apr 2023 Deltapoll N/A 1,587 48% 38% 14% 10%
28–29 Mar 2023 Omnisis N/A 1,344 49% 32% 19% 17%
24–27 Mar 2023 Deltapoll N/A 1,344 42% 41% 17% 1%
22–23 Mar 2023 Omnisis N/A 1,382 48% 33% 19% 15%
17–20 Mar 2023 Deltapoll N/A 1,054 47% 39% 14% 8%
15–16 Mar 2023 Omnisis N/A 1,126 48% 32% 20% 16%
15–16 Mar 2023 BMG Research The i 1,546 45% 40% 14% 5%
10–13 Mar 2023 Deltapoll N/A 1,561 48% 38% 13% 10%
9–10 Mar 2023 YouGov Eurotrack 2,004 45% 33% 23% 12%
8–9 Mar 2023 Omnisis N/A 1,323 52% 30% 18% 22%
2–6 Mar 2023 Deltapoll N/A 1,063 51% 37% 12% 14%
1–2 Mar 2023 Omnisis N/A 1,284 47% 32% 22% 15%
24–27 Feb 2023 Deltapoll N/A 1,060 48% 38% 13% 10%
22–23 Feb 2023 Omnisis N/A 1,248 43% 35% 21% 8%
21–23 Feb 2023 BMG Research The i 1,500 45% 41% 14% 4%
20 Feb 2023 Redfield & Wilton Strategies UK in a Changing Europe 2,000 56% 36% 8% 20%
17–20 Feb 2023 Deltapoll N/A 1,079 50% 38% 12% 12%
15–16 Feb 2023 Omnisis N/A 1,204 49% 33% 18% 16%
11–15 Feb 2023 YouGov Eurotrack 2,062 48% 32% 20% 16%
9–10 Feb 2023 Omnisis N/A 1,234 45% 32% 23% 13%
2–3 Feb 2023 Omnisis N/A 1,255 49% 30% 21% 19%
26–27 Jan 2023 Omnisis N/A 1,257 49% 29% 22% 20%
24–26 Jan 2023 BMG Research The i 1,502 43% 41% 17% 2%
19–20 Jan 2023 Omnisis N/A 1,217 47% 31% 22% 16%
11–12 Jan 2023 Omnisis N/A 1,247 44% 31% 25% 13%
5–6 Jan 2023 Omnisis N/A 1,285 49% 30% 21% 19%

2022

edit
Dates
conducted 		Pollster Client Sample
size 		Rejoin Stay out Neither Lead
21–22 Dec 2022 Omnisis N/A 1,243 45% 32% 23% 13%
15–16 Dec 2022 Omnisis N/A 1,216 45% 32% 23% 13%
14–15 Dec 2022 YouGov The Times 1,690 47% 34% 18% 13%
8–9 Dec 2022 Omnisis N/A 1,294 44% 34% 22% 10%
7–8 Dec 2022 Redfield & Wilton Strategies UK in a Changing Europe 2,000 52% 41% 7% 11%
1–2 Dec 2022 Omnisis N/A 1,172 45% 33% 22% 12%
29 Nov – 1 Dec 2022 BMG Research The i 1,571 45% 41% 14% 4%
23–24 Nov 2022 Omnisis N/A 1,172 49% 37% 14% 12%
17–18 Nov 2022 Omnisis N/A 1,159 53% 34% 14% 19%
14–15 Nov 2022 YouGov Eurotrack 1,689 48% 33% 18% 15%
10–11 Nov 2022 Omnisis N/A 1,181 48% 37% 16% 11%
3–4 Nov 2022 Omnisis N/A 1,352 48% 35% 17% 13%
27–28 Oct 2022 Omnisis N/A 1,568 51% 35% 14% 16%
24–26 Oct 2022 BMG Research The i 1,353 44% 40% 14% 4%
21–22 Oct 2022 Omnisis N/A 1,353 50% 32% 18% 18%
20 Oct 2022 Omnisis N/A 1,382 49% 37% 13% 12%
19 Oct 2022 Redfield & Wilton Strategies UK in a Changing Europe 1,500 52% 39% 8% 13%
13–14 Oct 2022 Omnisis N/A 1,403 51% 35% 14% 16%
6–7 Oct 2022 Omnisis N/A 1,328 47% 33% 20% 14%
29–30 Sep 2022 Omnisis N/A 1,320 42% 36% 22% 6%
23–26 Sep 2022 Omnisis N/A 1,307 49% 31% 19% 18%
20–21 Sep 2022 YouGov Eurotrack 1,704 46% 36% 19% 10%
19 Aug 2022 Redfield & Wilton Strategies UK in a Changing Europe 1,500 49% 42% 9% 7%
4–5 Aug 2022 YouGov Eurotrack 1,669 45% 37% 19% 8%
10–11 Jul 2022 YouGov Eurotrack 1,684 45% 38% 17% 7%
19–20 Jun 2022 Redfield & Wilton Strategies UK in a Changing Europe 2,000 48% 43% 9% 5%
9–10 Jun 2022 YouGov Eurotrack 1,739 45% 36% 20% 9%
16–17 May 2022 YouGov N/A 1,669 41% 38% 21% 3%
19 Apr 2022 Redfield & Wilton Strategies UK in a Changing Europe 2,000 45% 47% 8% 2%
13–14 Apr 2022 Deltapoll Mail on Sunday 1,550 47% 40% 14% 7%
9–11 Apr 2022 YouGov Eurotrack 1,915 43% 38% 19% 5%
16–17 Mar 2022 YouGov N/A 1,761 43% 35% 22% 8%
20 Feb 2022 Redfield & Wilton Strategies UK in a Changing Europe 2,000 41% 50% 9% 9%
10–11 Feb 2022 YouGov Eurotrack 1,720 44% 36% 19% 8%
17–18 Jan 2022 YouGov N/A 1,695 42% 39% 19% 3%

2021

edit
Dates
conducted 		Pollster Client Sample
size 		Rejoin Stay out Neither Lead
23 Dec 2021 Opinium The Observer 1,904 41% 42% 17% 1%
13 Dec 2021 Kantar N/A 1,074 36% 33% 30% 3%
10–12 Dec 2021 Savanta ComRes The Independent 2,096 44% 43% 10% 1%
2–3 Dec 2021 YouGov Eurotrack 1,703 45% 37% 18% 8%
22 Nov 2021 Kantar N/A 1,119 34% 32% 34% 2%
16–17 Nov 2021 YouGov Eurotrack 1,712 44% 39% 16% 5%
9 Nov 2021 Redfield & Wilton Strategies UK in a Changing Europe 1,500 44% 50% 6% 6%
5–7 Nov 2021 ComRes N/A 1,687 48% 41% 12% 7%
12–13 Oct 2021 YouGov Eurotrack 1,659 41% 37% 22% 4%
15–16 Sep 2021 YouGov Eurotrack 1,635 41% 39% 21% 2%
12–13 Aug 2021 YouGov Eurotrack 1,767 41% 41% 18% Tie
20–21 Jul 2021 YouGov Eurotrack 1,767 39% 41% 20% 2%
22–23 Jun 2021 YouGov Eurotrack 1,711 39% 41% 20% 2%
18–20 Jun 2021 ComRes N/A 2,191 42% 42% 16% Tie
24–25 May 2021 YouGov Eurotrack 1,622 39% 44% 17% 5%
22–26 Apr 2021 Kantar N/A 1,115 31% 37% 32% 6%
21–22 Apr 2021 YouGov Eurotrack 1,730 38% 43% 19% 5%
16–19 Mar 2021 BMG Research The Independent 1,498 43% 49% 8% 6%
15–16 Mar 2021 YouGov Eurotrack 1,672 40% 41% 18% 1%
18–22 Feb 2021 Kantar N/A 1,114 33% 33% 35% Tie
16–17 Feb 2021 YouGov Eurotrack 1,697 39% 41% 20% 2%
21–25 Jan 2021 Kantar N/A 1,100 34% 37% 29% 3%
19–25 Jan 2021 YouGov The Times 3,312 42% 40% 18% 2%
18–19 Jan 2021 YouGov Eurotrack 1,697 42% 40% 18% 2%

2020

edit
Dates
conducted 		Pollster Client Sample
size 		Rejoin Stay out Neither Lead
10–14 Dec 2020 Kantar N/A 1,137 32% 34% 34% 2%
5–9 Nov 2020 Kantar N/A 1,141 37% 33% 30% 4%
17–21 Sep 2020 Kantar N/A 1,125 31% 38% 31% 7%
10–11 Aug 2020 YouGov N/A 1,595 43% 39% 18% 4%
6–10 Aug 2020 Kantar N/A 1,161 37% 33% 30% 4%
2–26 Jul 2020 NatCen The UK in a Changing Europe 2,413 47% 39% 14% 8%
9–13 Jul 2020 Kantar N/A 1,131 33% 39% 28% 6%
21–22 May 2020 YouGov Handelsblatt 1,669 42% 41% 18% 1%
7–9 Apr 2020 BMG Research The Independent 1,371 43% 47% 10% 4%
24–26 Mar 2020 Number Cruncher Politics Bloomberg 1,010 38% 47% 14% 9%
3–6 Mar 2020 BMG Research The Independent 1,337 40% 48% 12% 8%
4–7 Feb 2020 BMG Research The Independent 1,503 42% 46% 12% 4%
4–5 Feb 2020 YouGov Handelsblatt 1,578 42% 40% 20% 2%

Specialist opinion polling

edit

Conditioning Accession on Euro Adoption

edit

During the United Kingdom's membership of the European Union, it did not seek to adopt the Euro and attained an opt-out as a part of the Maastricht Treaty negotiations.

WeThink, the public polling arm of Omnisis, began including a supplementary question as a part of its Brexit polling assessing how Euro adoption would influence voting intentions on a hypothetical referendum on re-joining the European Union.

Question: A condition of rejoining might be the adoption of the euro as currency. If the UK did have to adopt the euro how do you think you would vote if there was a referendum on EU membership tomorrow?
Dates
conducted 		Pollster Client Sample
size 		Re-Join the EU Stay out Neither Lead
7–8 Aug 2024 Omnisis N/A 1,278 34% 41% 26% 7%
25–26 Jul 2024 Omnisis N/A 2,012 31% 41% 28% 10%
11–12 Jul 2024 Omnisis N/A 2,005 34% 39% 27% 5%
2–3 Jul 2024 Omnisis N/A 1,325 37% 43% 20% 6%
27–28 Jun 2024 Omnisis N/A 1,210 39% 42% 19% 3%
20–21 Jun 2024 Omnisis N/A 1,270 39% 40% 20% 1%
12–13 Jun 2024 Omnisis N/A 1,297 37% 43% 20% 6%
6–7 Jun 2024 WeThink N/A 1,198 39% 41% 20% 2%
30–31 May 2024 Omnisis N/A 1,328 38% 43% 20% 5%
23–24 May 2024 Omnisis N/A 1,242 38% 39% 24% 1%
16–17 May 2024 Omnisis N/A 1,064 39% 39% 22% Tie
9–10 May 2024 Omnisis N/A 1,183 39% 41% 20% 2%
2–3 May 2024 Omnisis N/A 1,177 35% 43% 21% 8%
25–26 Apr 2024 Omnisis N/A 1,265 38% 38% 23% Tie
18–19 Apr 2024 Omnisis N/A 1,266 38% 42% 20% 4%
11–12 Apr 2024 Omnisis N/A 1,271 37% 42% 20% 5%
4–5 Apr 2024 WeThink N/A 1,280 37% 40% 23% 3%
21–22 Mar 2024 Omnisis N/A 1,270 38% 41% 21% 3%
14–15 Mar 2024 Omnisis N/A 1,270 35% 45% 19% 10%
7–8 Mar 2024 Omnisis N/A 1,216 38% 40% 21% 2%
29 Feb – 1 Mar 2024 Omnisis N/A 1,240 39% 42% 20% 3%
22–23 Feb 2024 Omnisis N/A 1,243 39% 42% 20% 3%
15–16 Feb 2024 Omnisis N/A 1,246 36% 41% 23% 5%
8–9 Feb 2024 Omnisis N/A 1,171 37% 42% 21% 5%
1–2 Feb 2024 Omnisis N/A 1,283 39% 42% 19% 3%
25–26 Jan 2024 Omnisis N/A 1,264 39% 42% 19% 3%
18–19 Jan 2024 Omnisis N/A 1,163 39% 40% 21% 1%

Prior to January 2024,[13] Opinium, as published by WeThink, asked the following two questions;

Would the requirement to adopt the Euro as currency change your decision? Would the requirement to adopt the Euro as currency change your decision to rejoin the EU if you would vote to rejoin? referendum on EU membership tomorrow?

The available responses were;

I would still want the UK to rejoin the EU if adopting the Euro was a requirement

I would not want the UK to rejoin the EU if adopting the Euro was a requirement

I would only want the UK to rejoin the EU if we were able to keep Sterling as our currency

Young voters

edit

Starting in April 2023, Savanta – commissioned by Peston, ITV's flagship political discussion programme – conducts polls of young people aged 18 to 25 on a range of issues, including their views on the UK rejoining the European Union.[14]

Question: If there was a referendum now on whether the UK should or should not join the EU tomorrow with the question, 'Should the United Kingdom become a member of the European Union or not become a member of the European Union?', how would you vote?
Dates
conducted 		Pollster Client Sample
size 		Join the EU Stay out Neither Lead
22–26 Sep 2023 Savanta Peston 1,021 66% 15% 18% 51%
28 Apr – 3 May 2023 Savanta Peston 1,021 77% 13% 11% 64%

Holding a referendum

edit

In January 2023, Savanta published a poll of 2,065 British adults, which included a question regarding support for a referendum on the UK rejoining the EU. A combined total of 65% were in favour of such a referendum now or at some point in the future and 24% were opposed to such a referendum.[15]

Question: When do you think, if at all, there should next be a referendum on whether or not the UK should re-join or stay out of the European Union?

Now 22%
In the next five years 24%
In the next 6–10 years 11%
In the next 11–20 years 4%
In more than 20 years time 4%
Never 24%
Don't know 11%

In the European Union

edit

Fifth anniversary polling

edit

In 2021, for the fifth anniversary of the UK's EU membership referendum, Euronews commissioned an opinion poll conducted by Redfield & Wilton Strategies of attitudes to the European Union and Brexit in the EU's four largest countries. Redfield & Wilton polled 1,500 people in each member-state between the 6th and 7th of June 2021. The poll included the following question about how responders would feel about the UK re-joining the EU:[16]

Question: Would you support or oppose the UK re-joining the EU?
Member states Support Oppose Neither Don't know Lead
  France 36% 18% 34% 12% 18%
  Germany 40% 19% 30% 11% 21%
  Italy 43% 14% 34% 8% 29%
  Spain 46% 16% 31% 7% 30%

Polling on a Franco-German four-tier EU Structure

edit

Following reports in 2023 of a Franco-German proposal for a four-tiered EU structure, YouGov Eurotrack conducted polling in several EU Member States. This polling included attitudes towards further EU enlargement. People from Denmark, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, and Sweden were asked;

Question: “Do you think each of the following countries should or should not be allowed to join the European Union at this time?”
Member
states 		Sample
size 		UK should be allowed
to join 		UK should not be
allowed to join 		Don't know Lead
  France 1,026 46% 30% 24% 16%
  Germany 2,457 60% 22% 17% 38%
  Denmark 1,008 68% 13% 19% 55%
  Sweden 1,008 70% 10% 20% 60%
  Spain 1,056 49% 30% 21% 19%
  Italy 1,022 48% 29% 27% 19%

Fieldwork was conducted between the 6th and 26th of October 2023.[17]

See also

edit

References

edit
  1. ^ Stone, Jon (22 June 2023). "Brexit: This is how Britain could actually rejoin the EU". The Independent. Retrieved 25 November 2023.
  2. ^ "EU referendum: MPs support plan for say on Europe". BBC News. 9 June 2015. Retrieved 7 April 2016.
  3. ^ "The Public Whip — European Union Referendum Bill — Third Reading - 7 Sep 2015 at 24:28". www.publicwhip.org.uk. Retrieved 2 February 2019.
  4. ^ Davis, Barney (23 September 2023). "Brexit, berets and interpretive dance - how thousands marched to demand UK rejoin the EU". Independent.
  5. ^ Barnes, Joe (19 September 2023). "Britain touted as future 'associate member' of EU". The Telegraph. Retrieved 25 November 2023.
  6. ^ "Brexit: UK could rejoin EU as an 'associate member'". The Independent. 20 September 2023. Retrieved 20 March 2024.
  7. ^ Bounds, Andy; Parker, George (29 November 2023). "Rishi Sunak dismisses talk of Britain rejoining the EU". Financial Times. Retrieved 20 March 2024.
  8. ^ Sykes, Selena (23 September 2023). "Pro-EU supporters march for Britain to rejoin the European Union". France24. Retrieved 25 November 2023.
  9. ^ a b c "Membership 2.0: what the UK rejoining the EU would involve". LSE BREXIT. 23 January 2020. Retrieved 20 March 2024.
  10. ^ "Article 49: rejoining the EU". Institute for Government. 17 July 2020. Retrieved 20 March 2024.
  11. ^ Morris, Steven (30 May 2024). "Greens and Plaid Cymru pledge to push Labour on climate, housing and poverty". The Guardian.
  12. ^ "George Galloway: What is the Workers Party of Britain?". BBC News. 1 March 2024. Retrieved 1 March 2024.
  13. ^ Ltd, Omnisis. "VI-69 Voter Intention". www.omnisis.co.uk. Retrieved 28 March 2024.
  14. ^ "Youth Political Tracker – ITV Peston / ITV News – 3 May 2023 - Savanta". 3 May 2023.
  15. ^ "Brexit Poll – Independent – 1 January 2023 - Savanta". savanta.com. 1 January 2023. Retrieved 21 July 2023.
  16. ^ Tidey, Alice (23 June 2021). "Brexit 5 years on: 'We would have you back,' says Europe, in new poll". Euronews. Retrieved 14 December 2021.
  17. ^ "Western Europeans support Franco-German four-tier Europe structure | YouGov". yougov.co.uk. Retrieved 8 December 2023.
Retrieved from "https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Potential_re-accession_of_the_United_Kingdom_to_the_European_Union&oldid=1261346250"