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2012 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania

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The 2012 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania was held on November 6, 2012, alongside a presidential election, other elections to the United States Senate in other states, as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Bob Casey, Jr. ran for and won re-election to a second term, defeating Republican nominee Tom Smith, and Libertarian nominee Rayburn Smith.

2012 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania
← 2006 November 6, 2012 2018 →
Turnout59.4% (voting eligible)[1]
 
Nominee Bob Casey Jr. Tom Smith
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 3,021,364 2,509,132
Percentage 53.69% 44.59%
Casey:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Smith:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
U.S. senator before election

Bob Casey Jr.
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Bob Casey Jr.
Democratic

The requisite primary elections occurred on April 24, 2012, during which the Republicans and Democrats selected nominees for the general election. The Republican primary was a five-way contest. Tom Smith, the eventual nominee, faced David A. Christian, Sam Rohrer, Marc Scaringi, and Steve Welch. The Democratic primary was not heavily contested. Incumbent Bob Casey, Jr., defeated Joseph Vodvarka by a wide margin. The Libertarian Party nominated Rayburn Smith.

Casey led most pre-election polls and eventually defeated his opponents to win re-election to a second term in the U.S. Senate. The election was the first time a Democrat won re-election to the U.S. Senate from Pennsylvania since the 1962 election. As of 2024, this is the last time that Fayette County and Luzerne County voted Democratic in a Senate election.

Background

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On November 7, 2006, Bob Casey, Jr., the State Treasurer and son of former Governor Bob Casey, Sr., defeated two-term incumbent Republican senator Rick Santorum with 58.64% of votes cast. Santorum's margin of defeat was the largest for an incumbent Republican senator in Pennsylvania history; it was also the first time a Democrat was elected to a full Senate term from Pennsylvania since Joseph Clark was re-elected in 1962.

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Results

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Democratic primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Bob Casey, Jr. (incumbent) 565,488 80.9
Democratic Joseph Vodvarka 133,683 19.1
Total votes 699,171 100.0

Republican primary

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Candidates

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On ballot

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Withdrew

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Declined

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Campaign

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In January 2012, the Pennsylvania Republican Party officially endorsed Steve Welch for U.S. Senate.[23] The largest state newspaper, The Philadelphia Inquirer, also endorsed Welch. He was also endorsed by the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. However, he was criticized for changing his party registration. In 2008, he became a Democrat so he could vote for Barack Obama in the 2008 Democratic presidential primary. In 2006, he donated money to Democratic Congressman Joe Sestak.

Tom Smith spent nearly $3 million in the first three months of 2012, outspending Welch 2–1. Smith has spent a wide majority of it in television advertising.[24] Like Welch, Smith has also registered as a Democrat. However, unlike Welch who was a registered Democrat for only a few years, Smith was a Democrat for 42 years.[25] Smith was a Plumcreek Township Supervisor and allegedly raised taxes 9 times (including the real estate, earned income, and per capita taxes).[26] Over the past decade, he donated over $185,000 to Republican candidates. The only Democrat he donated to was Congressman Jason Altmire, a moderate Blue Dog.[27]

Sam Rohrer, a former state representative, ran for statewide office again after losing to State Attorney General Tom Corbett in the 2010 Republican primary for Pennsylvania Governor. Rohrer was endorsed by various tea party organizations, as well as U.S. Congresswoman Michele Bachmann and 2012 Republican presidential candidate Herman Cain.[28]

David Christian, a Vietnam war veteran and businessman, also ran. He previously ran for congress in 1984 and 1986. He was endorsed by the Pittsburgh Tribune-Review.[29]

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Tim
Burns 		David
Christian 		Laureen
Cummings 		John
Kensinger 		Sam
Rohrer 		Marc
Scaringi 		Tom
Smith 		John
Vernon 		Steve
Welch 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[30] November 17–20, 2011 400 ±4.9% 15% — 2% — 25% 0% 3% 1% 1% 8% 43%
Tribune-Review/WPXI-TV[31] February 2–6, 2012 500 ±4.4% — 1% — 3% 10% 1% 8% — 1% — 72%
Public Policy Polling[32] March 8–11, 2012 564 ±4.1% — 10% — — 16% 8% 12% — 5% — 48%
Franklin & Marshall College[33] March 20–25, 2012 505 ±4.2% — 1% — — 7% 1% 9% — 1% — 81%

Results

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Republican primary results[5][34]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Tom Smith 299,726 39.5
Republican Sam Rohrer 169,118 22.3
Republican Steve Welch 158,181 20.9
Republican David Christian 79,581 10.5
Republican Marc Scaringi 51,908 6.8
Total votes 758,514 100.0

General election

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Candidates

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Debates

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Fundraising

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Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt
Bob Casey, Jr. (D) $7,664,686 $2,754,060 $6,226,560 $5,261
Tom Smith (R) $7,954,211 $5,673,558 $2,280,655 $6,475,000
Source: Federal Election Commission[36]

Top contributors

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[37]

Bob Casey, Jr. Contribution Tom Smith Contribution
Comcast Corp $95,175 Rosebud Mining $26,000
Blank Rome LLP $65,500 Tj Smith Trucking $15,000
Reed Smith LLP $61,800 Penneco Oil Co $12,500
Cozen O'Connor $44,975 Transportation Equipment Supply Co $11,500
University of Pennsylvania $44,450 R&S Machine Co $10,250
Buchanan, Ingersoll & Rooney $43,098 Citizens United $10,000
K&L Gates $42,650 Mepco LLC $10,000
Pride Mobility Products $40,250 Snyder Armclar Gas $10,000
Blue Cross & Blue Shield $39,950 Stitt Management $10,000
National Amusements Inc. $39,250 Penn Waste $10,000

Top industries

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[38]

Bob Casey, Jr. Contribution Tom Smith Contribution
Lawyers/Law Firms $2,095,026 Retired $104,725
Lobbyists $407,472 Mining $87,800
Real Estate $389,559 Republican/Conservative $43,500
Health Professionals $336,023 Oil & Gas $40,750
Financial Institutions $335,998 Misc Business $35,300
Retired $329,132 Financial Institutions $25,500
Pharmaceuticals/Health Products $313,597 Misc Manufacturing & Distributing $19,650
Hospitals/Nursing Homes $296,737 Leadership PACs $19,000
Entertainment Industry $237,825 Misc Energy $18,000
Insurance $221,750 Trucking $15,250

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[39] Lean D November 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[40] Lean D November 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political Report[41] Likely D November 2, 2012
Real Clear Politics[42] Lean D November 5, 2012

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Bob
Casey, Jr. (D) 		Tom
Smith (R) 		Other Undecided
Angus Reid Public Opinion[43] November 2–4, 2012 507 ± 4.2% 53% 46% 1% —
Public Policy Polling[44] November 2–3, 2012 790 ± 3.5% 52% 44% — 3%
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call[45] November 1–3, 2012 430 ± 5% 48% 42% 2% 9%
Tribune-Review/Susquehanna[46] October 29–31, 2012 800 ± 3.4% 46% 45% 2% 8%
Franklin & Marshall College[47] October 23–28, 2012 547 ± 4.2% 46% 36% 4% 13%
Philadelphia Inquirer[48] October 23–25, 2012 600 ± 4% 49% 42% — 9%
Rasmussen Reports[49] October 24, 2012 500 ± 4.5% 46% 45% — 9%
Pharos Research[50] October 19–21, 2012 760 ± 3.6% 52% 42% — 6%
Muhlenberg College Poll[51] October 17–21, 2012 444 ± 5% 45% 37% 2% 16%
Angus Reid Public Opinion[52] October 18–20, 2012 559 ± 4.2% 51% 45% 4% —
Quinnipiac[53] October 12–14, 2012 1,519 ± 2.5% 48% 45% — 7%
Public Policy Polling[54] October 12–14, 2012 500 ± 4.4% 50% 39% — 11%
Muhlenberg[55] October 10–14, 2012 438 ± 5% 41% 39% 1% 18%
Susquehanna Polling[56] October 11–13, 2012 1,376 ± 2.6% 46% 48% 1% 5%
Rasmussen Reports[57] October 9, 2012 500 ± 4.5% 49% 45% 1% 5%
Philadelphia Inquirer[58] October 4–8, 2012 600 ± 4% 48% 38% — 14%
Susquehanna Polling[59] October 4–6, 2012 725 ± 3.7% 46% 44% — 9%
Siena Poll[60] October 1–5, 2012 545 ± 4.2% 44% 35% — 16%
Muhlenberg College[61] September 22–26, 2012 427 ± 5% 44% 36% 7% 13%
Quinnipiac/CBS/NYT Poll[62] September 18–24, 2012 1,180 ± 3% 49% 43% — —
Franklin & Marshall[63] September 18–23, 2012 392 ± 4.9% 48% 38% — 8%
Rasmussen Reports[49] September 19, 2012 500 ± 4.5% 49% 42% 2% 7%
Muhlenberg College[64] September 10–16, 2012 640 ± 4% 45% 33% 5% 18%
Philadelphia Inquirer[65] August 21–23, 2012 601 ± 4% 53% 34% — 13%
MCall/Muhlenberg Poll[66] August 20–22, 2012 422 ± 5% 49% 30% — 18%
Franklin & Marshall College[67] August 7–12, 2012 681 ± 3.8% 35% 23% 2% 39%
Quinnipiac[68] July 24–30, 2012 1,168 ± 2.9% 55% 37% — 8%
Public Policy Polling[69] July 21–23, 2012 758 ± 3.6% 46% 36% — 18%
Rasmussen Reports[49] July 18, 2012 500 ± 4.5% 49% 38% — 9%
We Ask America[70] July 9–10, 2012 1,227 ± 2.8% 53% 39% — 8%
Quinnipiac[71] June 19–25, 2012 1,252 ± 2.8% 49% 32% 1% 17%
Quinnipiac[72] June 5–10, 2012 997 ± 3.1% 51% 32% 1% 14%
Franklin & Marshall College[73] May 29–June 4, 2012 412 ± 4.8% 42% 21% 2% 35%
Rasmussen Reports[49] May 21, 2012 500 ± 4.5% 48% 41% 3% 7%
Public Policy Polling[74] May 17–20, 2012 671 ± 3.8% 49% 33% — 19%
Public Policy Polling[32] March 8–11, 2012 689 ± 3.7% 49% 31% — 20%
Public Policy Polling[75] November 17–20, 2011 500 ± 4.4% 48% 32% — 20%
Hypothetical polling

Republican primary

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Jake
Corman 		Laureen
Cummings 		Charlie
Dent 		Jim
Gerlach 		Tim
Murphy 		Rick
Santorum 		Marc
Scaringi 		Mark
Schweiker 		Kim
Ward 		Other/
Undecided
Public Policy Polling[76] June 30 – July 5, 2011 376 ± 5.1% 9% 5% 4% 7% 9% 47% 1% — 0% 18%
Public Policy Polling[77] January 3–5, 2011 400 ± 4.9% 3% — 8% 9% 7% 45% 1% 8% 1% 19%
9% — 10% 14% 13% — 1% 18% 2% 33%

General election

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Bob
Casey, Jr. (D) 		Generic
Republican 		Depends on
the candidate 		Undecided
Quinnipiac[78] March 7–12, 2012 1256 ± 2.8% 46% 34% 8% 12%
Morning Call[79] February 15–21, 2012 625 ± 4% 40% 25% 20% 14%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Bob
Casey, Jr. (D) 		Tim
Burns (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[75] November 17–20, 2011 500 ± 4.4% 49% 34% — 17%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Bob
Casey, Jr. (D) 		David
Christian (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[32] March 8–11, 2012 689 ± 3.7% 50% 32% — 18%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Bob
Casey, Jr. (D) 		Jake
Corman (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[80] June 30 – July 5, 2011 545 ± 4.2% 51% 35% — 14%
Public Policy Polling[81] April 7–10, 2011 593 ± 4.0% 51% 35% — 14%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Bob
Casey, Jr. (D) 		Laureen
Cummings (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[80] June 30 – July 5, 2011 545 ± 4.2% 51% 31% — 18%
Public Policy Polling[81] April 7–10, 2011 593 ± 4.0% 51% 32% — 17%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Bob
Casey, Jr. (D) 		Charlie
Dent (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[81] April 7–10, 2011 593 ± 4.0% 51% 31% — 18%
Municipoll [82] February 21–23, 2011 670 ± 3.79.% 51% 32% — 17%
Public Policy Polling [83] January 3–5, 2011 547 ± 4.2% 51% 31% — 18%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Bob
Casey, Jr. (D) 		Jim
Gerlach (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[80] June 30 – July 5, 2011 545 ± 4.2% 49% 33% — 17%
Public Policy Polling[81] April 7–10, 2011 593 ± 4.0% 50% 32% — 19%
Municipoll [82] February 21–23, 2011 670 ± 3.79.% 48% 34% — 17%
Public Policy Polling [83] January 3–5, 2011 547 ± 4.2% 49% 33% — 18%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Bob
Casey, Jr. (D) 		Tim
Murphy (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[80] June 30 – July 5, 2011 545 ± 4.2% 47% 35% — 18%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Bob
Casey, Jr. (D) 		Sam
Rohrer (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[32] March 8–11, 2012 689 ± 3.7% 49% 34% — 17%
Public Policy Polling[75] November 17–20, 2011 500 ± 4.4% 47% 36% — 16%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Bob
Casey, Jr. (D) 		Rick
Santorum (R) 		Other Undecided
Morning Call[79] February 15–21, 2012 625 ± 4% 44% 36% 7% 12%
Public Policy Polling[75] November 17–20, 2011 500 ± 4.4% 49% 39% — 11%
Public Policy Polling[80] June 30 – July 5, 2011 545 ± 4.2% 48% 39% — 13%
Public Policy Polling[81] April 7–10, 2011 593 ± 4.0% 49% 37% — 13%
Municipoll [82] February 21–23, 2011 670 ± 3.79.% 50% 38% — 12%
Public Policy Polling [83] January 3–5, 2011 547 ± 4.2% 48% 41% — 10%
Public Policy Polling [84] June 19–21, 2010 609 ± 4.0% 51% 39% — 10%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Bob
Casey, Jr. (D) 		Marc
Scaringi (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[32] March 8–11, 2012 689 ± 3.7% 49% 29% — 22%
Public Policy Polling[80] June 30 – July 5, 2011 545 ± 4.2% 47% 29% — 24%
Public Policy Polling[81] April 7–10, 2011 593 ± 4.0% 51% 28% — 21%
Public Policy Polling [83] January 3–5, 2011 547 ± 4.2% 50% 27% — 22%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Bob
Casey, Jr. (D) 		Mark
Schweiker (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling [83] January 3–5, 2011 547 ± 4.2% 47% 34% — 18%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Bob
Casey, Jr. (D) 		Kim
Ward (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[81] April 7–10, 2011 593 ± 4.0% 50% 29% — 21%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Bob
Casey, Jr. (D) 		Steve
Welch (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[32] March 8–11, 2012 689 ± 3.7% 49% 31% — 22%
Public Policy Polling[75] November 17–20, 2011 500 ± 4.4% 47% 33% — 20%

Results

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Despite many predictions of a close race, the election was not close. Casey, despite being seen as somewhat vulnerable, went into election night with most analysts thinking he could win. Casey did win by more than expected, which can be traced to several factors. Casey trounced Smith in Philadelphia County, home of Philadelphia. Casey also won the surrounding collar counties of Bucks, Chester, Delaware, and Montgomery, which are seen as vital in statewide elections in Pennsylvania. Casey also performed well in Allegheny County, home of Pittsburgh. Casey also performed well in Erie. Casey also performed strongly in the Scranton area. Smith did well in rural counties, but it wasn't enough to overcome the lead Casey had built in the huge population centers. Casey was sworn in for his second term beginning at noon on January 3, 2013.

United States Senate election in Pennsylvania, 2012[85]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Bob Casey, Jr. (incumbent) 3,021,364 53.69% −4.95%
Republican Tom Smith 2,509,132 44.59% +3.31%
Libertarian Rayburn Smith 96,926 1.72% N/A
Total votes 5,627,422 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

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By congressional district

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Casey won 9 of the 18 congressional districts, including four that elected Republicans.[86]

District Smith Casey Representative
1st 15.85% 83.36% Bob Brady
2nd 8.61% 90.74% Chaka Fattah
3rd 53.94% 43.87% Mike Kelly
4th 54.81% 42.78% Jason Altmire
Scott Perry
5th 55.83% 41.46% Glenn Thompson
6th 48.56% 49.72% Jim Gerlach
7th 48.23% 50.58% Pat Meehan
8th 47.74% 50.94% Mike Fitzpatrick
9th 58.99% 38.94% Bill Shuster
10th 58.12% 39.84% Tom Marino
11th 51.35% 46.54% Lou Barletta
12th 52.79% 45.31% Mark Critz
Keith Rothfus
13th 30.84% 68.37% Allyson Schwartz
14th 27.74% 70.02% Mike Doyle
15th 48.2% 50.02% Charlie Dent
16th 51.6% 46.52% Joe Pitts
17th 40.96% 57.28% Tim Holden
Matt Cartwright
18th 53.4% 44.81% Tim Murphy

See also

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References

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  1. ^ Dr. Michael McDonald (February 9, 2013). "2012 General Election Turnout Rates". George Mason University. Archived from the original on April 24, 2013. Retrieved April 6, 2013.
  2. ^ Itkowitz, Colby (November 21, 2010). "Mellow Casey has to up profile for re-election". The Morning Call. Archived from the original on September 5, 2012. Retrieved November 25, 2010.
  3. ^ a b c d e Malloy, Daniel (November 26, 2010). "Murrysville native planning for 2010 run against Casey". Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. Retrieved November 26, 2010.
  4. ^ Itkowitz, Colby (February 15, 2012). "Petitions filed for Pa. primary". The Allentown Morning Call. Archived from the original on September 9, 2012. Retrieved February 22, 2012.
  5. ^ a b "2012 General Primary: United States Senator". PA Department of State. Retrieved April 25, 2012.
  6. ^ "2012: David Christian Enters U.S. Senate Race". Pike County Republican Committee. Archived from the original on November 15, 2011. Retrieved September 24, 2011.
  7. ^ Reabuck, Sandra K. (September 28, 2011). "New Paris pharmacist seeks GOP nomination". The Tribune-Democrat. Retrieved September 30, 2011.
  8. ^ Levy, Marc (November 4, 2011). "Sam Rohrer to run for Casey's Senate seat". MSNBC. Retrieved November 6, 2011.[dead link]
  9. ^ Guerriero, John (September 29, 2011). "Armstrong County Republican announces candidacy for U.S. Senate in Erie". Erie Times-News. Retrieved September 30, 2011.
  10. ^ Gibson, Keegan (September 13, 2011). "Welch to Enter Senate Race". PoliticsPA. Retrieved September 14, 2011.
  11. ^ "Burns Exits Senate Race". PoliticsPA. February 2, 2012. Retrieved February 2, 2011.
  12. ^ Gibson, Keegan (January 14, 2012). "Cummings Drops Out of Senate Race, Endorses Burns". Politics PA. Retrieved January 16, 2012.
  13. ^ Jerry, Tara (January 16, 2012). "Vernon Endorses Burns for Senate". Politics PA. Retrieved January 17, 2012.
  14. ^ "State College, PA - Corman Not Running for U.S. Senate in 2012, He Says". www.statecollege.com. Archived from the original on July 4, 2011.
  15. ^ a b Itkowitz, Colby (December 10, 2010). "Dent versus Casey?". The Morning Call. Archived from the original on July 22, 2013. Retrieved December 10, 2010.
  16. ^ a b Jacobs, Jeremy P. (November 16, 2010). "GOP Looking For A Casey Challenger". National Journal. Archived from the original on February 12, 2012. Retrieved November 25, 2010.
  17. ^ a b "Is Casey closer to a serious challenger?". Politico. August 4, 2011. Retrieved August 8, 2011.
  18. ^ "GOP wooing U.S. Rep. Pat Meehan to seek nod to run against Sen. Casey - delcotimes.com". www.delcotimes.com. Archived from the original on September 13, 2012.
  19. ^ Hundt, Brad (August 31, 2011). "U.S. Rep. Murphy says he won't run for Senate next year". Observer-Reporter. Retrieved September 2, 2011.[permanent dead link]
  20. ^ Sullivan, Sean (December 5, 2011). "Pileggi Won't Challenge Casey in Pa". National Journal. Archived from the original on December 23, 2011. Retrieved December 5, 2011.
  21. ^ "not-in-the-cards"/20152 "Schweiker: Senate Run "Not in the Cards"". PoliticsPA. January 14, 2011. Retrieved January 15, 2011.
  22. ^ "EXCLUSIVE: State Senator Kim Ward Emerges as Potential Challenger to Bob Casey". PoliticsPA. December 8, 2010. Retrieved December 9, 2010.
  23. ^ Levy, Mark (January 29, 2012). "Pa. GOP endorses Welch to challenge Sen. Casey". Associated Press. Archived from the original on February 7, 2012. Retrieved April 28, 2012.
  24. ^ "Smith outspends, outraises Welch in US Senate race". Associated Press. April 13, 2012. Retrieved April 28, 2012.
  25. ^ Gibson, Keegan (April 16, 2012). "Where's Tom Smith?". PoliticsPA. Retrieved April 28, 2012.
  26. ^ Gibson, Keegan (March 26, 2012). "Smith Tax Votes Play in Senate Campaign". PoliticsPA. Retrieved April 28, 2012.
  27. ^ Gibson, Keegan (August 17, 2011). "Sen. Candidate Smith a Heavyweight GOP Donor". PoliticsPA. Retrieved April 28, 2012.
  28. ^ Gibson, Keegan (March 28, 2012). "Bachmann Endorses Rohrer". PoliticsPA. Retrieved April 28, 2012.
  29. ^ "Primary 2012: Nominate Christian". Pittsburgh Tribune-Review. Archived from the original on September 8, 2012. Retrieved April 28, 2012.
  30. ^ Public Policy Polling
  31. ^ Tribune-Review/WPXI-TV
  32. ^ a b c d e f Public Policy Polling
  33. ^ Franklin & Marshall College
  34. ^ Brennan, Kevin (April 24, 2012). "Smith Wins Pennsylvania Senate Primary". National Journal. Archived from the original on April 27, 2012. Retrieved April 25, 2012.
  35. ^ "11/6/2012 2012 GENERAL ELECTION GENERAL CANDIDATE LIST" (PDF). Pennsylvania Department of State. Archived from the original (PDF) on March 4, 2016. Retrieved August 27, 2012.
  36. ^ "Browse data". FEC.gov.
  37. ^ "Congressional Races". OpenSecrets.
  38. ^ "Kansas District 04 2012 Race". OpenSecrets.
  39. ^ "2012 Senate Race Ratings for November 1, 2012". The Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on August 29, 2018. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  40. ^ "2012 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  41. ^ "2012 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  42. ^ "2012 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2012". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  43. ^ Angus Reid Public Opinion Archived March 11, 2013, at the Wayback Machine
  44. ^ Public Policy Polling
  45. ^ Muhlenberg College/Morning Call Archived November 6, 2012, at the Wayback Machine
  46. ^ Tribune-Review/Susquehanna
  47. ^ Franklin & Marshall College
  48. ^ Philadelphia Inquirer
  49. ^ a b c d Rasmussen Reports
  50. ^ Pharos Research Archived October 31, 2012, at the Wayback Machine
  51. ^ Muhlenberg College Poll [permanent dead link]
  52. ^ Angus Reid Public Opinion [permanent dead link]
  53. ^ Quinnipiac
  54. ^ Public Policy Polling
  55. ^ Muhlenberg Archived October 18, 2012, at the Wayback Machine
  56. ^ Susquehanna Polling [permanent dead link]
  57. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  58. ^ Philadelphia Inquirer
  59. ^ Susquehanna Polling
  60. ^ Siena Poll
  61. ^ Muhlenberg College Archived October 21, 2012, at the Wayback Machine
  62. ^ Quinnipiac/CBS/NYT Poll
  63. ^ Franklin & Marshall Archived October 6, 2012, at the Wayback Machine
  64. ^ Muhlenberg College Archived September 22, 2012, at the Wayback Machine
  65. ^ Philadelphia Inquirer
  66. ^ MCall/Muhlenberg Poll
  67. ^ Franklin & Marshall College
  68. ^ Quinnipiac Archived August 1, 2012, at the Wayback Machine
  69. ^ Public Policy Polling
  70. ^ We Ask America
  71. ^ Quinnipiac Archived October 8, 2012, at the Wayback Machine
  72. ^ Quinnipiac Archived October 8, 2012, at the Wayback Machine
  73. ^ Franklin & Marshall College
  74. ^ Public Policy Polling
  75. ^ a b c d e Public Policy Polling
  76. ^ Public Policy Polling
  77. ^ Public Policy Polling
  78. ^ Quinnipiac Archived September 13, 2012, at the Wayback Machine
  79. ^ a b Morning Call
  80. ^ a b c d e f Public Policy Polling
  81. ^ a b c d e f g Public Policy Polling
  82. ^ a b c Municipoll
  83. ^ a b c d e Public Policy Polling
  84. ^ Public Policy Polling
  85. ^ "Pennsylvania Elections - Summary Results". electionreturns.pa.gov.
  86. ^ "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts". Daily Kos. Retrieved August 11, 2020.
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Official campaign websites (Archived)

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