2020 United States Senate special election in Arizona
The 2020 United States Senate special election in Arizona will be held on November 3, 2020. Following the death in office of incumbent Republican U.S. senator John McCain on August 25, 2018, Governor Doug Ducey was required by Arizona law to appoint a Republican[1] to fill the vacant seat.[2] In September 2018, Ducey appointed former U.S. senator Jon Kyl to fill McCain's seat until after the special election, which will determine who will serve the remainder of the term until January 2023. Kyl did not complete his interim appointment, and resigned on December 31, 2018.[3] On December 18, 2018, Ducey announced that outgoing U.S. Representative Martha McSally would be appointed to fill the seat following Kyl's resignation.[4] McSally was sworn in as Arizona's junior senator on January 3, 2019. She had been the Republican nominee for Arizona’s Class I U.S. Senate seat in 2018, but lost that race to Democrat Kyrsten Sinema.
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Interim appointmentsEdit
AppointeesEdit
- Jon Kyl, former U.S. senator, former U.S. Representative for Arizona's 4th congressional district and former Senate Minority Whip, resigned December 31, 2018[4][5]
- Martha McSally, former U.S. Representative for Arizona's 2nd congressional district, 2018 Republican nominee for U.S. Senate, assumed office January 3, 2019[6]
Potential candidates not appointedEdit
- Kirk Adams, incumbent chief of staff to incumbent Governor of Arizona Doug Ducey and former Speaker of the Arizona House of Representatives[7]
- Barbara Barrett, former 1994 gubernatorial candidate and former United States Ambassador to Finland[7]
- Jan Brewer, former Governor of Arizona and former Secretary of State of Arizona[8]
- Paul Gosar, incumbent U.S. Representative for Arizona's 4th congressional district[9]
- Eileen Klein, former Treasurer of Arizona and former Chief of Staff to former Governor of Arizona Jan Brewer[7]
- Cindy McCain, widow of former U.S. senator John McCain[7]
- Meghan McCain, daughter of former U.S. senator John McCain[10]
- Michael McGuire, incumbent Adjutant General of the Arizona National Guard[9]
- Karrin Taylor Robson, businesswoman and incumbent member of the Arizona Board of Regents[7]
- Matt Salmon, former U.S. Representative, 2002 gubernatorial nominee and former Chairperson of the Arizona Republican Party[7]
- David Schweikert, incumbent U.S. Representative for Arizona's 6th congressional district[11]
- John Shadegg, former U.S. Representative for Arizona's 3rd congressional district[7]
- Kelli Ward, former candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016 and 2018[9]
- Grant Woods, former Republican Arizona Attorney General and former congressional Chief of Staff to former U.S. senator John McCain[9]
Republican primaryEdit
CandidatesEdit
DeclaredEdit
- Ann Griffin, former teacher[12]
- Daniel McCarthy, skincare company executive[13]
- Martha McSally, incumbent U.S. senator and former U.S. Representative for Arizona's 2nd congressional district[14][15]
PotentialEdit
- Kirk Adams, incumbent Chief of Staff to incumbent Governor of Arizona Doug Ducey and former Speaker of the Arizona House of Representatives[16]
- Fife Symington, former Governor of Arizona[17][18]
DeclinedEdit
- Joe Arpaio, former Sheriff of Maricopa County and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018 (running for Maricopa County Sheriff)[19][20]
- Doug Ducey, Governor of Arizona[21]
- Paul Gosar, U.S. Representative for Arizona's 4th congressional district[22]
- Jon Kyl, former U.S. senator, former U.S. Representative for Arizona's 4th congressional district and former Senate Minority Whip[5][23][24]
- Curt Schilling, former Major League Baseball player and Blaze Media commentator[25]
EndorsementsEdit
| Martha McSally |
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Democratic primaryEdit
CandidatesEdit
DeclaredEdit
- Mohammad Arif, businessman, former Gubernatorial candidate, economist and green investment organizer[27]
- Mark Kelly, retired American astronaut, engineer, retired U.S. Navy Captain and husband of former U.S. Representative Gabby Giffords[28][29]
PotentialEdit
- Chris Deschene, former state representative[30]
- Katie Hobbs, Secretary of State of Arizona[31]
- Greg Stanton, incumbent U.S. Representative for Arizona's 9th congressional district and former Mayor of Phoenix[32]
DeclinedEdit
- Ruben Gallego, incumbent U.S. Representative for Arizona's 7th congressional district[33]
- Grant Woods, former Republican Arizona Attorney General and former congressional Chief of Staff to former U.S. senator John McCain[34]
EndorsementsEdit
General electionEdit
PredictionsEdit
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[41] | Tossup | April 19, 2019 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[42] | Tossup | March 25, 2019 |
| Inside Elections[43] | Tossup | May 17, 2019 |
PollingEdit
- with Mark Kelly
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Martha McSally (R) |
Mark Kelly (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bendixen & Amandi International | September 9–12, 2019 | 520 | ± 4.3% | 42% | 42% | 12% | 4% |
| OH Predictive Insights | August 13–14, 2019 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 41% | 46% | – | 13% |
| Fabrizio Ward/AARP | July 29–31, 2019 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 44% | – | 9% |
| OH Predictive Insights | May 1–2, 2019 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 44% | – | 10% |
| OH Predictive Insights | February 12–13, 2019 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 46% | 44% | – | 10% |
Hypothetical polling
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ReferencesEdit
- ^ "What happens next to John McCain's Senate seat". Politico. August 25, 2018. Retrieved August 26, 2018.
- ^ "Who could be appointed to replace John McCain in the Senate, and the process behind it, explained". Vox. Retrieved August 26, 2018.
- ^ Sanchez, Yvonne Wingett (December 14, 2018). "Jon Kyl will resign from the U.S. Senate on Dec. 31, setting up another appointment by Ducey to John McCain's seat". Arizona Republic. Retrieved December 14, 2018.
- ^ a b Sanchez, Yvonne Wingett; Hansen, Ronald J. (December 18, 2018). "Martha McSally will be appointed to John McCain's Senate seat". Arizona Republic. Retrieved December 18, 2018.
- ^ a b Fedschun, Travis (September 4, 2018). "Jon Kyl named to succeed John McCain in the Senate". Fox News. Retrieved September 4, 2018.
- ^ Isenstadt, Alex. "Arizona Governor to Appoint Martha McSally to Senate". Politico. Retrieved November 18, 2018.
- ^ a b c d e f g "Who could be appointed to John McCain's Senate seat?". azcentral. August 24, 2018. Retrieved August 26, 2018.
- ^ Ethan Epstein (August 30, 2018). "She's Mavericky! What If Jan Brewer Took Over McCain's Senate Seat?". Weekly Standard.
- ^ a b c d Conradis, Brandon (August 26, 2018). "Arizona governor faces pressure over McCain replacement". The Hill. Retrieved November 9, 2018.
- ^ "Meghan McCain would be a great Senate replacement for her father". Washington Examiner. August 27, 2018. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
- ^ Katie Reilly; Philip Elliott (August 26, 2018). "Here's What Happens to John McCain's Senate Seat". Time. Retrieved November 9, 2018.
- ^ Bacon, Jake (July 9, 2019). "Former Flagstaff teacher Ann Griffin challenges Sen. McSally in Republican primary". Arizona Daily Sun. Retrieved July 12, 2019.
- ^ Archer, Garrett (August 28, 2019). "Martha McSally picks up primary challenge from Daniel McCarthy". ABC 15. Retrieved August 28, 2019.
- ^ Schor, Elana (November 13, 2018). "Kyl: No decision on how long to serve in Senate". Politico. Retrieved November 14, 2018.
- ^ KTAR.com, KTAR.com (March 26, 2019). "Martha McSally confirms 2020 Senate run, likely to face Democrat Mark Kelly". KTAR. Retrieved May 8, 2019.
- ^ Sullivan, Sean (December 13, 2018). "For Arizona governor, McSally's star dims as possible choice for Senate seat". The Washington Post. Retrieved December 14, 2018.
- ^ Forman, Carmen (October 3, 2018). "Fife Symington considering 2020 Senate run". The Arizona Capitol Times. Retrieved October 3, 2018.
- ^ "Former Arizona Gov. Symington Considering 2020 Senate Run". Associated Press. Arizona Public Media. October 5, 2018. Retrieved October 6, 2018.
- ^ Dani Coble; Robert Angelen (October 17, 2018). "Arpaio sues New York Times, claims column damages 2020 Senate chances". The Arizona Republic. Retrieved November 9, 2018.
- ^ Duerig, Molly. "Joe Arpaio running for Maricopa County sheriff in 2020". azcentral. Retrieved August 26, 2019.
- ^ "Arizona Gov. Ducey promises to finish term, won't run for Senate in 2020". KTAR. December 3, 2018. Retrieved December 5, 2018.
- ^ Hansen, Richard J. (February 12, 2019). "With Mark Kelly in the Senate race, will other candidates jump in?". azcentral.com. Retrieved February 13, 2019.
- ^ "Jon Kyl appointed to take John McCain's Senate seat". CBS News.
- ^ Cleary, Tom (September 4, 2018). "How Long Will Jon Kyl Serve in the Senate in John McCain's Seat?". Heavy.com.
- ^ Molina, Daniel (August 13, 2019). "Curt Schilling flirts with 2020 congressional run in AZ". HardballTalk. Retrieved August 13, 2019.
- ^ Tal Axelrod (June 25, 2019). "Trump endorses McSally in Arizona Senate race". The Hill. Retrieved June 25, 2019.
- ^ Albanese Jr., Giovanni (July 15, 2019). "Mohammad Arif Running for U.S. Senate Seat from Arizona, Hopes to 'Make a Difference'". indiawest.com. Retrieved July 25, 2019.
- ^ "Mark Kelly Announcement Video". Mark Kelly. February 12, 2019.
- ^ Stracqualursi, Veronica (February 12, 2019). "NASA astronaut Mark Kelly launches Senate campaign". CNN. Retrieved February 12, 2019.
- ^ Resnik, Brahm [@brahmresnik] (March 26, 2019). "JUST IN Chris Deschene is a Naval Academy grad, Marine veteran, former AZ lawmaker & SoS candidate & member of Navajo Nation. He could be a compelling U.S. Senate candidate for progressive Dems in 2020. #AZSEN" (Tweet). Retrieved March 28, 2019 – via Twitter.
- ^ Singiser, Steve. "Here's our ultimate Democratic wishlist for Senate in 2020. Who's on yours?". Daily Kos. Retrieved February 19, 2019.
- ^ "Will former Phoenix mayor run for McCain's Senate seat?". 3TV/CBS 5. February 22, 2019. Retrieved February 26, 2019.
- ^ "Rep. Ruben Gallego, averting primary bloodbath, won't run for the Senate". azcentral. Retrieved March 25, 2019.
- ^ Squires, Michael (February 8, 2019). "Grant Woods says he won't run for U.S. Senate in 2020". Arizona Republic. Retrieved February 8, 2019.
- ^ Schatz, Brian [@brianschatz] (May 2, 2019). "I'm sending Mark 1k tomorrow. Can anyone else help? Let me know" (Tweet). Retrieved May 2, 2019 – via Twitter.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag Kelly, Mark [@ShuttleCDRKelly] (March 18, 2019). "These Arizona leaders have said that they are #FullSpeedAhead on our Mission for Arizona. Retweet to thank them for their support!" (Tweet). Retrieved March 19, 2019 – via Twitter.
- ^ Hale, Jennifer [@jhaletweets] (September 6, 2019). "anyone in Arizona REGISTER TO #VOTE people like this aren't leaders, they're bullies and tyrants who deserve to be #Voted out. support @ShuttleCDRKelly" (Tweet). Retrieved September 7, 2019 – via Twitter.
- ^ "End Citizens United Endorses Mark Kelly for U.S. Senate". End Citizens United. April 15, 2019. Retrieved June 20, 2019.
- ^ "LCV Action Fund Endorses Mark Kelly for Senate". League of Conservation Voters. June 6, 2019. Retrieved June 20, 2019.
- ^ "NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Mark Kelly for U.S. Senate - NARAL Pro-Choice America". NARAL Pro-Choice America. July 15, 2019.
- ^ "2020 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
- ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 Senate". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
- ^ "Senate Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
External linksEdit
- Official campaign websites