The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Louisiana will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the six U.S. representatives from the state of Louisiana, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.
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All 6 Louisiana seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||
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Background
editDuring the 2020 redistricting cycle, Louisiana's congressional map faced legal challenges for alleged violations of the Voting Rights Act of 1965. Roughly one-third of Louisiana's population is African American, but only one of Louisiana's six districts was drawn with a Black majority. Legislators overrode Governor John Bel Edwards' veto to enact the districts. The NAACP Legal Defense and Educational Fund sued the state on behalf of Black Louisianan voters. In Robinson v. Ardoin, a U.S. District Judge found that the maps were illegally racially gerrymandered, first ordering the legislature to reconvene to redraw compliant maps, then suggesting that she would enforce court-ordered maps following legislators' "disingenuous" and "insincere" attempts to do so on their own.[1][2]
The State appealed the case to the Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals to attempt to keep the discriminatory map in place. The Fifth Circuit first placed a stay on the court-ordered redrawing process pending review, then reversed its decision.[3][4] The State then appealed to the Supreme Court of the United States, which granted the state's application, stayed the district court's injunction, and allowed the 2022 elections to take place with the discriminatory district map in effect. The Court indicated that it would first review a similar case concerning racial gerrymandering in Alabama, Allen v. Milligan, before dealing with Robinson v. Ardoin.
The Court was widely expected to side with both Alabama and Louisiana, weakening the anti-discrimination protections of the Voting Rights Act. However, the Court upheld a lower court decision in Allen v. Milligan that Alabama's maps were in fact racially gerrymandered, suggesting that it may also decide against Louisiana. On June 26, 2023, the Court decided not to intervene in Robinson v. Ardoin, rescinding its stay and allowing the case to continue in the Fifth Circuit. On November 10, 2023, a decision made by the 5th circuit panel gave the Louisiana state legislature until January 15, 2024 to redraw its congressional maps, with a second majority Black district, in advance of the 2024 election cycle.[5][6][7] Because newly-elected Governor Jeff Landry was not sworn in until January 8, and a special session of the assembly cannot be convened until at least seven days after the governor calls for one, the Court extended the deadline for the legislature to approve new maps to January 30.[8]
District 1
editThe 1st district is based in the suburbs of New Orleans, spanning from the northern shore of Lake Pontchartrain south to the Mississippi River delta. The incumbent is Republican Steve Scalise, who was re-elected with 72.8% of the vote in 2022.[9]
Candidates
editDeclared
edit- Mel Manuel (Democratic), teacher[10]
- Steve Scalise (Republican), incumbent U.S. Representative[11]
Endorsements
edit- Organizations
Fundraising
editCampaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Steve Scalise (R) | $9,421,337 | $9,988,273 | $4,085,263 |
Mel Manuel (D) | $9,741 | $4,588 | $4,133 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[16] |
General election
editPredictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Cook Political Report[17] | Solid R | January 23, 2024 |
Inside Elections[18] | Solid R | January 22, 2024 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[19] | Safe R | January 22, 2024 |
Elections Daily[20] | Safe R | June 8, 2023 |
CNalysis[21] | Solid R | January 23, 2024 |
District 2
editThe 2nd district stretches from New Orleans to inner Baton Rouge. The incumbent is Democrat Troy Carter, who was re-elected with 77.1% of the vote in 2022.[9]
Candidates
editDeclared
edit- Devin Davis (Democratic), political organizer[22]
Filed paperwork
edit- Uloma Ekpete (Democratic), physician[23]
Potential
edit- Troy Carter (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative
Fundraising
editCampaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Troy Carter (D) | $848,486 | $742,951 | $471,722 |
Uloma Ekpete (D) | $54,191 | $23,086 | $9,422 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[24] |
General election
editPredictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Cook Political Report[17] | Solid D | January 23, 2024 |
Inside Elections[18] | Solid D | January 22, 2024 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[19] | Safe D | January 22, 2024 |
Elections Daily[20] | Safe D | June 8, 2023 |
CNalysis[21] | Solid D | January 23, 2024 |
District 3
editThe 3rd district encompasses southwestern Louisiana, taking in Lake Charles and Lafayette. The incumbent is Republican Clay Higgins, who was re-elected with 64.3% of the vote in 2022.[9]
Candidates
editPotential
edit- Clay Higgins (Republican), incumbent U.S. Representative
Declined
edit- Garret Graves (Republican), U.S. Representative from the 6th district[25][26]
Endorsements
edit- Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States[27]
- Organizations
- Political parties
Fundraising
editCampaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Clay Higgins (R) | $446,953 | $273,938 | $200,532 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[28] |
General election
editPredictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Cook Political Report[17] | Solid R | January 23, 2024 |
Inside Elections[18] | Solid R | January 22, 2024 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[19] | Safe R | January 22, 2024 |
Elections Daily[20] | Safe R | June 8, 2023 |
CNalysis[21] | Solid R | January 23, 2024 |
District 4
editThe 4th district encompasses northwestern Louisiana, taking in the Shreveport–Bossier City metropolitan area. The incumbent is Republican and current Speaker of the House Mike Johnson, who ran unopposed in 2022.[9]
Candidates
editPotential
edit- Mike Johnson (Republican), incumbent U.S. Representative and Speaker of the House
Endorsements
editFundraising
editCampaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Mike Johnson (R) | $8,984,766 | $5,473,098 | $4,396,247 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[30] |
General election
editPredictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Cook Political Report[17] | Solid R | January 23, 2024 |
Inside Elections[18] | Solid R | January 22, 2024 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[19] | Safe R | January 22, 2024 |
Elections Daily[20] | Safe R | June 8, 2023 |
CNalysis[21] | Solid R | January 23, 2024 |
District 5
editThe 5th district encompasses rural northeastern Louisiana, central Louisiana, as well as the northern part of Louisiana's Florida parishes in southeast Louisiana, taking in Monroe, Alexandria, Opelousas, Amite and Bogalusa, Louisiana. The incumbent is Republican Julia Letlow, who was re-elected with 67.6% of the vote in 2022.[9]
Candidates
editDeclared
edit- Julia Letlow (Republican), incumbent U.S. Representative[31]
- Rivule Sykes (Green), activist[32]
Declined
edit- Garret Graves (Republican), U.S. Representative from the 6th district[26]
Endorsements
edit- Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States[33]
- U.S. Representatives
- Mike Johnson, U.S. Representative from Louisiana's 4th congressional district and Speaker of the House[34]
- Steve Scalise, U.S. Representative from Louisiana's 1st congressional district[35]
- Statewide officials
- Organizations
- Political parties
Polling
editPoll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Garret Graves (R) |
Julia Letlow (R) |
Rivule Sykes (G) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Victory Insights (R) | May 24–26, 2024 | 375 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 35% | 38% | 6% | 2%[b] | 19% |
Fundraising
editCampaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Julia Letlow (R) | $1,514,096 | $694,447 | $1,606,349 |
Jeffrey Sykes (G) | $130 | $96 | $34 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[37] |
General election
editPredictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Cook Political Report[17] | Solid R | January 23, 2024 |
Inside Elections[18] | Solid R | January 22, 2024 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[19] | Safe R | January 22, 2024 |
Elections Daily[20] | Safe R | June 8, 2023 |
CNalysis[21] | Solid R | January 23, 2024 |
District 6
editThe 6th district has been reformed after the decision of Allen v. Milligan into the second majority Black district, giving it a stronger lean to the Democratic Party. It encompasses much of Baton Rouge, Shreveport, and Lafayette.[38] The incumbent, Republican Garret Graves, declined to seek re-election as the modified seat was upheld by the Supreme Court for this election cycle.[26] He was re-elected with 80.4% of the vote in 2022.[9]
Candidates
editDeclared
edit- Quentin Anderson (Democratic), consultant[39]
- Cleo Fields (Democratic), state senator from the 14th district (2020–present)[c], former U.S. Representative from the 4th district (1993–1997), and runner-up for Governor of Louisiana in 1995[40]
Publicly expressed interest
edit- Gerald Boudreaux (Democratic), minority leader of the Louisiana Senate (2021–present) from the 24th district (2016–present)[41]
- Gary Chambers (Democratic), community organizer, runner-up for U.S. Senate in 2022, and candidate for the 2nd district in 2021[41]
- Jeff Hall (Democratic), former mayor of Alexandria (2018–2022) and former state representative from the 26th district (2015–2018)[41]
- Gregory Tarver (Democratic), former state senator from the 39th district (1984–2004, 2012–2024) and runner-up for mayor of Shreveport in 2022[41]
Potential
edit- Davante Lewis (Democratic), Louisiana Public Service Commissioner from the 3rd district (2022–present)[42]
Declined
edit- Sharon Weston Broome (Democratic), mayor-president of Baton Rouge (2017–present) (running for re-election)[41]
- Garret Graves (Republican), incumbent U.S. Representative[26]
- Ted James (Democratic), former regional administrator for the U.S. Small Business Administration (2022–2024) and former state representative from the 101st district (2011–2022)[41] (running for mayor of Baton Rouge)[43]
- Sam Jenkins (Democratic), state senator from the 39th district (2024–present)[41]
Endorsements
edit- U.S. Representatives
- Mike Johnson, U.S. Representative from Louisiana's 4th congressional district and Speaker of the House[34]
- Organizations
- Political parties
Polling
editFundraising
editCampaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Cleo Fields (D) | $601,637 | $5,477 | $596,161 |
Garret Graves (R) | $2,670,104 | $916,591 | $4,273,992 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[44] |
General election
editPredictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Cook Political Report[17] | Solid D (flip) | January 23, 2024 |
Inside Elections[18] | Likely D (flip) | January 22, 2024 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[19] | Safe D (flip) | January 22, 2024 |
Elections Daily[20] | Safe D (flip) | January 23, 2024 |
CNalysis[21] | Solid D (flip) | January 23, 2024 |
Notes
editReferences
edit- ^ Muller, Wesley (June 6, 2022). "Federal court rejects Louisiana congressional map". Louisiana Illuminator.
- ^ Hilburn, Greg (June 16, 2022). "Judge calls effort of Louisiana Legislature to draw new map 'disingenuous' and 'insincere'". The Daily Advertiser.
- ^ McConnaughey, Janet (June 10, 2022). "Order for Louisiana to redraw US House districts put on hold". AP News.
- ^ McConnaughey, Janet (June 13, 2022). "Appeals court lifts hold on Louisiana congressional remap". AP News.
- ^ McGill, Kevin; Sherman, Mark; Cline, Sara (June 26, 2023). "Supreme Court unfreezes Louisiana redistricting case that could boost Black voting power before 2024". ABC News.
- ^ Sneed, Tierney (June 26, 2023). "Supreme Court allows for Louisiana congressional map to be redrawn to add another majority-Black district". CNN Politics.
- ^ "DocumentCloud". www.documentcloud.org. Retrieved November 10, 2023.
- ^ Mueller, Wesley (December 15, 2023). "5th Circuit denies Louisiana's appeal in congressional redistricting case". Louisiana Illuminator.
- ^ a b c d e f "2022 National House Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report. Retrieved November 28, 2023.
- ^ Frisk, Garrett (May 19, 2023). "Louisiana Has Its First Congressional Candidate for 2024". Diamond Eye Candidate Report.
- ^ Cohen, Max; Soellner, Mica (November 29, 2023). "The House Republicans who may head for the exits". Punchbowl News. Retrieved November 29, 2023.
House Majority Leader Steve Scalise is running for reelection, per spokesperson Lauren Fine.
- ^ "2023 Endorsements | Freethought Equality Fund". freethoughtequality.org. Retrieved August 23, 2023.
- ^ a b c d e "- AIPAC Political Portal". candidates.aipacpac.org. Retrieved May 13, 2024.
- ^ "Pro-Israel America Announces Twenty Candidate Endorsements". Pro Israel America. March 7, 2024. Retrieved March 12, 2024.
- ^ a b c d e LAGOP (May 23, 2024). "LAGOP Endorses Incumbent Republican Members of Congress". LAGOP. Retrieved June 3, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Election United States House - Louisiana 1st". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved December 11, 2023.
- ^ a b c d e f "2024 House Race Ratings: Another Competitive Fight for Control". Cook Political Report. February 2, 2023. Retrieved February 3, 2023.
- ^ a b c d e f "First 2024 House Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved March 10, 2023.
- ^ a b c d e f "Initial House Ratings: Battle for Majority Starts as a Toss-up". Sabato's Crystal Ball. February 23, 2023. Retrieved February 23, 2023.
- ^ a b c d e f "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 9, 2023. Retrieved August 9, 2023.
- ^ a b c d e f "2024 House Forecast". November 20, 2023. Retrieved December 11, 2023.
- ^ Friedmann, Meghan (May 14, 2024). "Troy Carter will get at least one challenger in Congress. See who". The Times-Picayune/The New Orleans Advocate. Retrieved May 15, 2024.
- ^ "Uloma Ekpete FEC Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). Federal Elections Commission. May 28, 2024. Retrieved June 1, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Election United States House - Louisiana 2nd". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved December 11, 2023.
- ^ Brufke, Juliegrace (June 4, 2024). "Graves' threats to run against colleagues roil GOP". Axios. Retrieved June 6, 2024.
- ^ a b c d Hilburn, Greg (June 14, 2024). "Louisiana Congressman Garret Graves won't run for reelection". Shreveport Times. Retrieved June 14, 2024.
- ^ "Congressman Clay Higgins receives endorsement from former President Trump". KADN-TV. February 7, 2024. Retrieved February 20, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Election United States House - Louisiana 3rd". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved December 11, 2023.
- ^ "Pro-Israel America Re-Launches with New Mission, Leadership, and Endorsements". Pro Israel America. January 9, 2024. Retrieved January 31, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Election United States House - Louisiana 4th". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved December 11, 2023.
- ^ Hilburn, Greg (January 22, 2024). "Julia Letlow emphasizes her reelection bid in Louisiana's new congressional boundaries". The Times. Retrieved January 22, 2024.
- ^ Adamczeski, Ryan (February 1, 2024). "Meet the Gen Z trans woman running for Congress in Louisiana". The Advocate. Retrieved February 1, 2024.
- ^ Hilburn, Greg (February 21, 2024). "Trump endorses Louisiana Congresswoman Julia Letlow: Here's what he had to say". The Times. Retrieved February 22, 2024.
- ^ a b Singer, Jeff (May 20, 2024). "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 5/20". Daily Kos. Retrieved May 21, 2024.
- ^ a b Singer, Jeff (May 21, 2024). "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 5/21". Daily Kos. Retrieved May 21, 2024.
- ^ "The Messenger: A PAC Dedicated to Electing GOP Women Issues First Wave of 2024 Endorsements (Exclusive)". maggieslist.org. Retrieved September 6, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Election United States House - Louisiana 5th". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved December 11, 2023.
- ^ Hutchinson, Piper (January 19, 2024). "Graves to lose U.S. House seat under Louisiana redistricting plan that adds minority seat". Louisiana Illuminator. Retrieved January 19, 2024.
- ^ Johnson, Da'Shawn (March 18, 2024). "New candidate from Baton Rouge announces he's running for US Congress in Louisiana". WVLA-TV. Retrieved March 18, 2024.
- ^ Bridges, Tyler (January 23, 2024). "Cleo Fields to run for new Black-majority congressional seat approved by Gov. Jeff Landry". The Times-Picayune/The New Orleans Advocate. Retrieved January 23, 2024.
- ^ a b c d e f g Hilburn, Greg (January 24, 2024). "Who's in, who's out of race for Louisiana's new majority Black congressional district seat". The Times. Retrieved January 24, 2024.
- ^ "Primary School 1/20". Primary School. January 20, 2024. Retrieved January 20, 2024.
- ^ "Ex-state lawmaker Ted James challenges Sharon Weston Broome in mayor-president's race". WBRZ-TV. February 29, 2024. Retrieved March 29, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Election United States House - Louisiana 6th". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved May 15, 2024.
External links
edit- Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 5th district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 6th district candidates