2022 United States Senate election in Louisiana

The 2022 United States Senate election in Louisiana was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Louisiana. Incumbent Republican U.S. senator John Kennedy was first elected in 2016. He ran for re-election to a second term.[1] Kennedy was reelected after receiving a majority of votes in the first round.[2]

2022 United States Senate election in Louisiana

← 2016 November 8, 2022 2028 →
  John Neely Kennedy, official portrait, 115th Congress.jpg Gary Chambers Jr mirror.png 3x4.svg
Nominee John Kennedy Gary Chambers Luke Mixon
Party Republican Democratic Democratic
Popular vote 851,527 246,928 182,877
Percentage 61.6% 17.9% 13.2%

2022 United States Senate election in Louisiana results map by parish.svg
Parish results

Kennedy:      30–40%      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      90–100%

Chambers:      40–50%

U.S. senator before election

John Kennedy
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

John Kennedy
Republican

Kennedy won White voters (79% to 9%), while Chambers and Mixon had a split majority of African Americans (48% to 24% to 16%).[3]

CandidatesEdit

Republican PartyEdit

DeclaredEdit

  • Devin Lance Graham, business owner and real estate broker
  • John Kennedy, incumbent U.S. Senator[1]

Democratic PartyEdit

DeclaredEdit

DeclinedEdit

Libertarian PartyEdit

  • Aaron C. Sigler, neurosurgeon and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020

Non-Partisans and IndependentsEdit

DeclaredEdit

  • Beryl A. Billiot, businessman and perennial candidate
  • Alexander "Xan" John, businessman, law student and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020[10]
  • Bradley McMorris, realtor
  • W. Thomas La Fontaine Olson, an author, advocate and 2020 U.S. House candidate in Illinois[11]
  • Thomas Wenn

EndorsementsEdit

Gary Chambers (D)
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Newspapers
Organizations
Luke Mixon (D)
State officials
State legislators
Organizations
Syrita Steib (D)
Organizations

General electionEdit

PredictionsEdit

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[34] Solid R November 19, 2021
Inside Elections[35] Solid R January 7, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[36] Safe R November 3, 2021
Politico[37] Solid R April 1, 2022
RCP[38] Safe R January 10, 2022
Fox News[39] Solid R May 12, 2022
DDHQ[40] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[41] Solid R
(Kennedy)
June 30, 2022
The Economist[42] Safe R September 7, 2022

PollingEdit

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Gary
Chambers
(D)
John
Kennedy
(R)
Luke
Mixon
(D)
Syrita
Steib
(D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) October 10–11, 2022 633 (RV) 8% 53% 16% 6% 2%[b] 14%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 506 (RV) ± 6.5% 16% 51% 8% 6% 19%
JMC Analytics (R) March 21–23, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 14% 53% 7% 3% 23%
Hypothetical polling
Runoff election
Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
Undecided
JMC Analytics (R) March 21–23, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 33% 16%

ResultsEdit

2022 United States Senate election in Louisiana
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Kennedy (incumbent) 851,527 61.6
Democratic Gary Chambers 246,928 17.9
Democratic Luke Mixon 182,877 13.2
Democratic Syrita Steib 31,567 2.3
Republican Devin Lance Graham 25,275 1.8
Democratic MV "Vinny" Mendoza 11,910 0.9
Independent Beryl Billiot 9,378 0.7
Democratic Salvador P. Rodriguez 7,766 0.6
Independent Bradley McMorris 5,388 0.4
Libertarian Aaron C. Sigler 4,863 0.4
Independent Alexander "Xan" John 2,752 0.2
Independent W. Thomas La Fontaine Olson 1,676 0.1
Independent Thomas Wenn 1,322 0.1
Total votes 1,383,229 100

See alsoEdit

NotesEdit

  1. ^ a b Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ "Someone else" with 2%

ReferencesEdit

  1. ^ a b "Sen. John Kennedy launches 2022 re-election bid: 'I will not let you down. I'd rather drink weed killer.'". foxnews.com. June 2021. Retrieved 2021-06-01.
  2. ^ writer, MARK BALLARD | Staff. "John Kennedy wins second term in the U.S. Senate". NOLA.com. Retrieved 2022-11-09.
  3. ^ "Fox News Voter Analysis". Fox News. 18 November 2022.
  4. ^ "Democrats rally around new personalities".
  5. ^ "Baton Rouge community activist Gary Chambers launches campaign for U.S. Senate".
  6. ^ "Sen. John Kennedy draws a challenger: Navy veteran Luke Mixon".
  7. ^ "KALB Exclusive: Syrita Steib seeking U.S. Senate seat".
  8. ^ "Here's what 5 governors have to say on Covid, climate change and campaign plans". Politico. 2022-01-28.
  9. ^ a b c d Bridges, Tyler. "New Orleans City Council members back Gary Chambers' bid to unseat Sen. John Kennedy". The Advocate. Retrieved 4 April 2022.
  10. ^ "Louisiana Senate Candidate Rips Enormous Blunt in First Campaign Ad". Rolling Stone. January 18, 2022. Retrieved July 13, 2022.
  11. ^ "Who is William Olson, Democratic candidate for 8th Congressional District?". Chicago Tribune. Retrieved 2022-10-12.
  12. ^ "Carter throws support behind Chambers run for Senate". www.brproud.com. September 17, 2022. Retrieved October 11, 2022.
  13. ^ "Senate candidate Gary Chambers gets first endorsement from La. elected official". BRProud.com. 2022-01-27. Retrieved 2022-01-29.
  14. ^ "The New Orleans Tribune Endorses the Following Candidates in the Nov. 8 Primary". The New Orleans Tribune. October 20, 2022. Retrieved November 6, 2022.
  15. ^ a b c "Closer look at La. Democratic Party's controversial senatorial endorsement". www.kalb.com. August 15, 2022. Retrieved October 12, 2022.
  16. ^ "Endorsements – Our Black Party". www.ourblackparty.com. Retrieved November 6, 2022.
  17. ^ Barrabi, Thomas (2021-03-06). "Trump endorses Louisiana Sen. John Kennedy in 2022 reelection bid". Fox News. Retrieved 2021-03-06.
  18. ^ "Sen. Kennedy, Rep. Letlow hold campaign rally in Bastrop". www.kalb.com. October 24, 2022. Retrieved November 7, 2022.
  19. ^ "Vote Freedom First. Vote John Kennedy for U.S. Senate!". www.nrapvf.org. Retrieved October 11, 2022.
  20. ^ "Louisiana Small Business Community Endorses Senator John Kennedy for Re-Election". www.nfib.com. September 19, 2022. Retrieved October 11, 2022.
  21. ^ "U.S. Chamber of Commerce Endorses Kennedy for Senate". johnkennedy.com. 3 February 2021. Retrieved October 11, 2022.
  22. ^ "Republican Party Endorses Senator John Kennedy for Re-Election". 14 August 2021.
  23. ^ a b c "John Kennedy's Ratings and Endorsements". justfacts.votesmart.org. Retrieved October 11, 2022.
  24. ^ "CCAGW PAC Endorses Sen. John Kennedy and Five Louisiana House Candidates". www.businesswire.com. October 13, 2022. Retrieved November 3, 2022.
  25. ^ "Senator John Kennedy Earns Endorsement from Animal Wellness Action in Re-Election Campaign". www.wjhl.com. October 26, 2022. Retrieved November 3, 2022.
  26. ^ Bridges, Tyler (June 2, 2022). "John Bel Edwards endorses Luke Mixon in uphill Senate race against John Kennedy". The Advocate. Archived from the original on June 2, 2022. Retrieved June 12, 2022.
  27. ^ "Louisiana House Democratic chairman endorses Luke Mixon in US Senate race".
  28. ^ "I'm honored to have the endorsement of Representative C. Denise Marcelle. She's a fierce advocate for the people of Baton Rouge. I'll fight for Louisiana everyday in the Senate. We've got 23 days until Election Day. Let's win this! 🗳 Vote Luke Mixon #9 on your ballot". Twitter. October 16, 2022. Retrieved November 7, 2022.
  29. ^ "Rep. Kenny Cox Endorses Luke Mixon for U.S. Senate". www.lukemixon.com. May 31, 2022. Retrieved November 7, 2022.
  30. ^ "Our Recommended Candidates".
  31. ^ "VOTE: November 8th - Louisiana Federation of Teachers". la.aft.org. 25 October 2022. Retrieved November 7, 2022.
  32. ^ "The Steady State Endorses Luke Mixon for Senate". thesteadystate.org. July 7, 2022. Retrieved October 12, 2022.
  33. ^ "Endorsed Candidates - VoteVets". votevets.org.
  34. ^ "2022 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
  35. ^ "Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
  36. ^ "2022 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved January 28, 2021.
  37. ^ "Louisiana Senate Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
  38. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2022". RCP. January 10, 2022.
  39. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. 12 May 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
  40. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
  41. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
  42. ^ "Economist's 2022 Senate forecast". The Economist. September 7, 2022. Retrieved September 7, 2022.

External linksEdit

Official campaign websites