Portage—Lisgar

Portage—Lisgar
Manitoba electoral district
	Portage—Lisgar in relation to other Manitoba federal electoral districts as of the 2013 Representation Order.
Federal electoral district
Legislature	House of Commons
MP	Branden Leslie; Conservative
;
District created	1996
First contested	1997
Last contested	2023 by-election
District webpage	profile, map
Demographics
Population (2021)	100,417
Electors (2021)	68,241
Area (km²)	12,559.18
Pop. density (per km²)	8
Census division(s)	Division No. 3, Division No. 4, Division No. 8, Division No. 9, Division No. 10
Census subdivision(s)	Altona, Carman, Cartier, Dakota Plains 6A, Dakota Tipi 1, Dufferin, Grey, Long Plain 6, Lorne, Macdonald, Morden, Morris (RM), Morris (town), Norfolk-Treherne, Pembina, Portage la Prairie (city), Portage la Prairie (RM), Rhineland, Roland, Stanley, St. François Xavier, Swan Lake 7, Thompson (RM), Winkler

Portage—Lisgar is a federal electoral district in Manitoba, Canada, that has been represented in the House of Commons of Canada since 1997.

Demographics

Population, 2021 census^[2]	100,417
Electors	68,241
Area (km²)	12,559.18
Population density (people per km²)	8

According to the 2021 Canadian census^[3]

Ethnic groups: 82.3% White, 11.5% Indigenous, 2.2% Filipino, 1.5% South Asian
Languages: 70.5% English, 11.7% German, 7.7% Plautdietsch/Low German/Low Saxon, 3.5% French, 1.5% Russian, 1.2% Tagalog
Median income: $37,200 (2020)
Average income: $45,560 (2020)

Panethnic groups in Portage—Lisgar (2011−2021)
Panethnic group	2021^[4]		2016^[5]		2011^[6]
Panethnic group	Pop.	%	Pop.	%	Pop.	%
European^[a]	77,810	82.3%	78,120	85.34%	75,645	88.41%
Indigenous	10,835	11.46%	10,475	11.44%	7,870	9.2%
Southeast Asian^[b]	2,170	2.3%	975	1.07%	510	0.6%
South Asian	1,425	1.51%	555	0.61%	340	0.4%
African	750	0.79%	430	0.47%	435	0.51%
Latin American	605	0.64%	220	0.24%	245	0.29%
East Asian^[c]	395	0.42%	390	0.43%	70	0.08%
Middle Eastern^[d]	310	0.33%	235	0.26%	280	0.33%
Other/multiracial^[e]	265	0.28%	155	0.17%	15	0.02%
Total responses	94,550	94.16%	91,545	94.03%	85,565	94.01%
Total population	100,417	100%	97,354	100%	91,019	100%
Notes: Totals greater than 100% due to multiple origin responses. Demographics based on 2012 Canadian federal electoral redistribution riding boundaries.

According to the 2011 Census, Portage—Lisgar was the riding with the highest percentage of native German speakers (23.6% of the population at the time) in all of Canada.^[7] Only Inuktitut (Nunavut: 66.8%) and Panjabi (Punjabi) (Newton—North Delta, in British Columbia: 33.4%) exceed this concentration of native speakers of a non-official language in a single riding.

Geography

This is a rural district that encompasses most of Central Manitoba. It includes the cities of Portage la Prairie, Winkler, and Morden, and the towns of Carman, Morris and Altona.

As a rural Western riding, the Conservatives dominate this riding, except for in First Nations areas. In 2021, due to opposition to COVID-19 restrictions, the People's Party broke through and were able to do strongly in areas with large Mennonite populations like the Rural Municipality of Stanley, the Municipality of Rhineland and Winkler, municipalities that went heavily Conservative in 2019. Because of this shift in 2021, the Conservatives did best in rural areas with fewer Mennonites, such as the Municipality of Norfolk Treherne. In 2021, the NDP was able to win both the Swan Lake First Nation and Long Plain First Nation. The Liberals are also strong in the Long Plain First Nation, which they won in 2019, and also have some residual strength in the Rural Municipality of St. François Xavier.

History

The electoral district was created in 1996 from the former districts of Lisgar—Marquette and Portage—Interlake. It originally consisted of the rural municipalities of Argyle, Cartier, Dufferin, Grey, Lakeview, Lorne, Louise, Macdonald, North Cypress, North Norfolk, Pembina, Portage la Prairie (except for the northeast corner), Roblin, Roland, South Norfolk, Stanley, Thompson, Victoria and Westbourne; the cities of Portage la Prairie and Winkler; the towns of Carberry, Carman, Gladstone, Manitou, Morden, Pilot Mound, and Treherne; the villages of Cartwright, Crystal City, MacGregor, Notre Dame de Lourdes, Somerset, and St. Claude; and the Indian reserves of Dakota Plains 6A, Long Plain 6, and Swan Lake 7.

In the 2003 redistribution, it lost the rural municipalities of Lakeview and Westbourne and the town of Gladstone to Dauphin—Swan River; and the rural municipalities of Argyle, North Cypress and Roblin, the town of Carberry, and the village of Cartwright to the riding of Brandon—Souris. It gained the rural municipalities of Rhineland and St. François Xavier; and the towns of Altona, Gretna and Plum Coulee from Provencher.

In the 2012 electoral redistribution, this riding lost the rural municipality of North Norfolk and the town of MacGregor to Dauphin—Swan River—Neepawa and the rural municipalities of Victoria, and Louise and the town of Pilot Mound and the village of Crystal City to Brandon—Souris. It gained the rural municipality and the town of Morris from Provencher and remainder of the rural municipality of Portage la Prairie from Selkirk—Interlake.

Members of Parliament

This riding has elected the following members of Parliament:

Parliament	Years		Party
Portage—Lisgar Riding created from Lisgar—Marquette, and Portage—Interlake
36th	1997–2000	Jake Hoeppner	Reform
36th	2000–2000	Jake Hoeppner	Alliance
37th	2000–2003	Brian Pallister	Alliance
37th	2003–2004		Conservative
38th	2004–2006
39th	2006–2008
40th	2008–2011	Candice Bergen
41st	2011–2015
42nd	2015–2019
43rd	2019–2021
44th	2021–2023
44th	2023–present	Branden Leslie

Current member of Parliament

Its most recent member of Parliament was Candice Bergen, who resigned on February 1, 2023. She was first elected in the 2008 Canadian federal election.

Election results

Graph of election results in Portage—Lisgar (minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)

v t e Canadian federal by-election, June 19, 2023 Resignation of Candice Bergen
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Branden Leslie	20,250	64.95	+12.43
	People's	Max Bernier	5,352	17.16	−4.42
	Liberal	Kerry Smith	2,666	8.55	−2.40
	New Democratic	Lisa Tessier-Burch	2,208	7.08	−6.30
	Green	Nicolas Geddert	704	2.26	–
Total valid votes			31,180	99.40
Total rejected ballots			188	0.60	−0.15
Turnout			31,368	45.47	−20.77
Eligible voters			68,988
	Conservative hold		Swing		+8.42
Source: Elections Canada^[8]

v t e 2021 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Conservative	Candice Bergen	23,819	52.52	–18.28	$75,005.66
	People's	Solomon Wiebe	9,790	21.58	+18.97	$12,104.29
	New Democratic	Ken Friesen	6,068	13.38	+4.70	$2,822.40
	Liberal	Andrew Carrier	4,967	10.95	+0.24	$14,348.06
	Christian Heritage	Jerome Dondo	712	1.57	–0.36	$7,509.16
Total valid votes/expense limit			45,356	99.25	–	$111,667.24
Total rejected ballots			341	0.75	+0.13
Turnout			45,697	66.24	–0.40
Eligible voters			68,991
	Conservative hold		Swing		–18.62
Source: Elections Canada^[9]

2021 federal election redistributed results^[10]
Party		Vote	%
	Conservative	22,445	52.15
	People's	9,418	21.88
	New Democratic	5,778	13.42
	Liberal	4,720	10.97
	Others	681	1.58

v t e 2019 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Conservative	Candice Bergen	31,600	70.79	+9.95	$60,166.75
	Liberal	Ken Werbiski	4,779	10.71	−15.08	$18,673.74
	New Democratic	Cindy Friesen	3,872	8.67	+2.47	$0.00
	Green	Beverley Eert	2,356	5.28	+1.30	$6,945.06
	People's	Aaron Archer	1,169	2.62		$1,048.91
	Christian Heritage	Jerome Dondo	860	1.93	−1.27	$21,830.60
Total valid votes/expense limit			44,636	99.39
Total rejected ballots			275	0.61	+0.23
Turnout			44,911	68.64	+1.19
Eligible voters			67,397
	Conservative hold		Swing		+12.52
Source: Elections Canada^[11]^[12]

v t e 2015 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Conservative	Candice Bergen	25,060	60.84	−14.95	$91,365.21
	Liberal	Ken Werbiski	10,621	25.79	+19.81	$12,481.25
	New Democratic	Dean Harder	2,554	6.20	−4.01	$7,315.22
	Green	Bev Eert	1,637	3.97	−1.67	$7,832.39
	Christian Heritage	Jerome Dondo	1,315	3.19		$20,134.89
Total valid votes/expense limit			41,187	99.62		$208,924.52
Total rejected ballots			159	0.38	–
Turnout			41,346	65.44	–
Eligible voters			63,180
	Conservative hold		Swing		−17.38
Source: Elections Canada^[13]^[14]

^ Change is from redistributed results

2011 federal election redistributed results^[15]
Party		Vote	%
	Conservative	25,738	75.79
	New Democratic	3,467	10.21
	Liberal	2,031	5.98
	Green	1,916	5.64
	Others	807	2.38

v t e 2011 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Conservative	Candice Hoeppner	26,899	75.99	+7.72	–
	New Democratic	Mohamed Alli	3,478	9.83	+2.54	–
	Liberal	MJ Willard	2,221	6.27	−7.28	–
	Green	Matthew Friesen	1,996	5.64	−2.43	–
	Christian Heritage	Jerome Dondo	805	2.27	−0.55	–
Total valid votes/expense limit			35,399	99.59		–
Total rejected ballots			147	0.41	+0.06
Turnout			35,546	59.44	+5.67
Eligible voters			59,799	–	–
	Conservative hold		Swing		+2.59

v t e 2008 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Conservative	Candice Hoeppner	22,036	68.27	−1.52	$57,186
	Liberal	Ted Klassen	4,374	13.55	+2.16	$19,807
	Green	Charlie Howatt	2,606	8.07	+2.97	$3,649
	New Democratic	Mohamed Alli	2,353	7.29	−3.76	$2,873
	Christian Heritage	Len Lodder	911	2.82	+0.14	$8,429
Total valid votes/expense limit			32,280	99.64		$83,296
Total rejected ballots			116	0.36	+0.03
Turnout			32,396	53.77	–7.89
Eligible voters			60,246	–	–
	Conservative hold		Swing		−1.84

v t e 2006 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Conservative	Brian Pallister	25,719	69.78	+3.85	$44,321.83
	Liberal	Garry McLean	4,199	11.39	−6.35	$13,875.88
	New Democratic	Daren Van Den Bussche	4,072	11.05	+1.70	$2,450.07
	Green	Charlie Howatt	1,880	5.10	+2.64	$4,073.82
	Christian Heritage	David Reimer	987	2.68	−1.51	$9,372.57
Total valid votes			36,857	99.67
Total rejected ballots			123	0.33	−0.09
Turnout			36,890	61.66	+4.31
Eligible voters			59,970	–	–
	Conservative hold		Swing		+5.10
Sources: Official Results, Elections Canada and Financial Returns, Elections Canada.

v t e 2004 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Conservative	Brian Pallister	22,939	65.93	−0.02	$55,524.92
	Liberal	Don Kuhl	6,174	17.74	−1.75	$70,773.27
	New Democratic	Daren Van Den Bussche	3,251	9.34	+3.89	$13,159.49
	Christian Heritage	David Reimer	1,458	4.19		$12,986.64
	Green	Marc Payette	856	2.46		$649.69
	Communist	Allister Cucksey	117	0.34		$741.52
Total valid votes			34,795	99.58
Total rejected ballots			146	0.42
Turnout			34,941	57.35
Eligible voters			60,922	–	–
	Conservative notional hold		Swing		+0.87
Percentage change figures are compared to redistributed results from 2000. Conservative Party percentages are contrasted with the combined Canadian Alliance and Progressive Conservative percentages.
Sources: Official Results, Elections Canada and Financial Returns, Elections Canada.

2000 federal election redistributed results^[16]
Party		Vote	%
	Canadian Alliance	17,680	51.63
	Liberal	6,676	19.50
	Progressive Conservative	4,902	14.32
	Independents	3,118	9.11
	New Democratic	1,866	5.45

v t e 2000 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Alliance	Brian Pallister	17,318	50.31	+10.07	$44,417.63
	Liberal	Gerry J.E. Gebler	6,133	17.82	+3.21	$44,267.57
	Progressive Conservative	Morley McDonald	5,339	15.51	−20.42	$16,872.28
	Independent	Jake Hoeppner	3,558	10.34		$40,395.49
	New Democratic	Diane Beresford	2,073	6.02	−1.17	$3,880.73
Total valid votes			34,421	99.71
Total rejected ballots			101	0.29	−0.15
Turnout			34,522	61.56	+0.93
Eligible voters			56,082	–	–
	Alliance hold		Swing		+3.43
Sources: Official Results, Elections Canada, Official Voting Results and Financial Returns, Elections Canada.

^ Canadian Alliance results compared to Reform

v t e 1997 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	Expenditures
	Reform	Jake Hoeppner	13,532	40.25	$55,221
	Progressive Conservative	Brian Pallister	12,083	35.94	$52,473
	Liberal	Heather Mack	4,913	14.61	$14,412
	New Democratic	Glen Hallick	2,420	7.20	$9,391
	Christian Heritage	Martin Dewit	517	1.54	$2,674
	Canadian Action	Roy Lyall	159	0.47	$1,210
Total valid votes			33,624	99.56
Total rejected ballots			149	0.44
Turnout			33,773	60.63
Eligible voters			55,706	–
Sources: Official Results, Elections Canada, Official Voting Results and Financial Returns, Elections Canada.

References

"Portage—Lisgar (Code 46007) Census Profile". 2011 census. Government of Canada - Statistics Canada. Retrieved March 3, 2011.
Riding history for Portage—Lisgar (1996– ) from the Library of Parliament
Expenditure – 2008
Expenditures – 2004
Expenditures – 2000
Expenditures – 1997
2008 Results

Notes

^ Statistic includes all persons that did not make up part of a visible minority or an indigenous identity.
^ Statistic includes total responses of "Filipino" and "Southeast Asian" under visible minority section on census.
^ Statistic includes total responses of "Chinese", "Korean", and "Japanese" under visible minority section on census.
^ Statistic includes total responses of "West Asian" and "Arab" under visible minority section on census.
^ Statistic includes total responses of "Visible minority, n.i.e." and "Multiple visible minorities" under visible minority section on census.

^ ^a ^b Statistics Canada: 2023
^ "Census Profile, 2021 Census: Portage--Lisgar [Federal electoral district], Manitoba". Statistics Canada. Retrieved February 22, 2023.
^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (February 1, 2023). "Profile table, Census Profile, 2021 Census of Population - Portage--Lisgar [Federal electoral district (2013 Representation Order)], Ontario". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved March 29, 2023.
^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (October 26, 2022). "Census Profile, 2021 Census of Population". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved October 22, 2023.
^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (October 27, 2021). "Census Profile, 2016 Census". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved October 22, 2023.
^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (November 27, 2015). "NHS Profile". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved October 22, 2023.
^ "2011 Census of Canada: Topic-based tabulations | Detailed Mother Tongue (232), Knowledge of Official Languages (5), Age Groups (17A) and Sex (3) for the Population Excluding Institutional Residents of Canada, Provinces, Territories and Federal Electoral Districts (2003 Representation Order), 2011 Census". 2.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved November 16, 2012.
^ "June 19, 2023, by-elections—Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved November 13, 2023.
^ "Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved June 2, 2023.
^ "Transposition of Votes from the 44th General Election to the 2023 Representation Orders". Elections Canada. Retrieved April 9, 2024.
^ "List of confirmed candidates". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 4, 2019.
^ "Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved June 2, 2023.
^ Official Voting Results
^ Elections Canada – Preliminary Election Expenses Limits for Candidates
^ Pundits' Guide to Canadian Elections
^ Election Prediction Project

49°40′01″N 98°18′18″W / 49.667°N 98.305°W / 49.667; -98.305

[euro-7] Statistic includes all persons that did not make up part of a visible minority or an indigenous identity.

[SoutheastAsian-8] Statistic includes total responses of "Filipino" and "Southeast Asian" under visible minority section on census.

[EastAsian-9] Statistic includes total responses of "Chinese", "Korean", and "Japanese" under visible minority section on census.

[MiddleEastern-10] Statistic includes total responses of "West Asian" and "Arab" under visible minority section on census.

[Other-11] Statistic includes total responses of "Visible minority, n.i.e." and "Multiple visible minorities" under visible minority section on census.

[ReferenceA-1] Statistics Canada: 2023

[2] "Census Profile, 2021 Census: Portage--Lisgar [Federal electoral district], Manitoba". Statistics Canada. Retrieved February 22, 2023.

[3] Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (February 1, 2023). "Profile table, Census Profile, 2021 Census of Population - Portage--Lisgar [Federal electoral district (2013 Representation Order)], Ontario". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved March 29, 2023.

[2021censusB-4] Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (October 26, 2022). "Census Profile, 2021 Census of Population". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved October 22, 2023.

[2016censusB-5] Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (October 27, 2021). "Census Profile, 2016 Census". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved October 22, 2023.

[2011censusB-6] Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (November 27, 2015). "NHS Profile". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved October 22, 2023.

[12] "2011 Census of Canada: Topic-based tabulations | Detailed Mother Tongue (232), Knowledge of Official Languages (5), Age Groups (17A) and Sex (3) for the Population Excluding Institutional Residents of Canada, Provinces, Territories and Federal Electoral Districts (2003 Representation Order), 2011 Census". 2.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved November 16, 2012.

[13] "June 19, 2023, by-elections—Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved November 13, 2023.

[14] "Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved June 2, 2023.

[15] "Transposition of Votes from the 44th General Election to the 2023 Representation Orders". Elections Canada. Retrieved April 9, 2024.

[16] "List of confirmed candidates". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 4, 2019.

[vote2019-17] "Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved June 2, 2023.

[18] Official Voting Results

[19] Elections Canada – Preliminary Election Expenses Limits for Candidates

[20] Pundits' Guide to Canadian Elections

[21] Election Prediction Project

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