2002 Irish general election
The 2002 Irish general election was held on Friday, 17 May just over three weeks after the dissolution of the 28th Dáil on Thursday, 25 April by President Mary McAleese, at the request of the Taoiseach, Bertie Ahern. The newly elected members of the 29th Dáil assembled on Thursday, 6 June.
165 of 166 seats in Dáil Éireann
84 seats needed for a majority
Percentage of seats gained by each of the five biggest parties, and number of seats gained by smaller parties and independents.
The general election was significant for a number of reasons:
- The election was considered a success for Fianna Fáil, with the party coming within a handful of seats from achieving an overall majority (the nearest the country came to a one party majority government since 1987). The only high-profile loss was Mary O'Rourke losing her seat in Westmeath.
- The re-election of the Fianna Fáil–Progressive Democrats government, the first occasion since 1969 that an Irish government won re-election.
- The meltdown in Fine Gael support, which saw the main opposition party drop from 54 to 31 seats, and lose all but three seats in Dublin.
- The failure of the Labour Party, contrary to all expectations, to increase its seat total. Later in the year, Ruairi Quinn stepped down as leader of the Labour Party. He was replaced by Pat Rabbitte, who was one of four Democratic Left TDs who joined in a merger with Labour in 1999. The most high-profile loss for the party was the defeat of former leader Dick Spring in Kerry.
- The success of the Green Party, which increased its TDs from two to six, including its first Teachta Dála (TD) outside of Dublin.
- The electoral success of Sinn Féin, which increased its seat number from one to five.
- The election of a large number of independent candidates.
- Contrary to what opinion polls and political pundits were predicting, the Progressive Democrats kept all of their seats, and picked up four more.
- It was the first time electronic voting machines were used in an Irish election. They were used in three constituencies: Dublin North, Dublin West and Meath.
The most noticeable feature of the election was the collapse in Fine Gael's vote. It suffered its second worst electoral result ever (after the 1948 general election), with several prominent members failing to get re-elected, including:
- Alan Dukes – former party leader
- Jim Mitchell – deputy leader
- Nora Owen – former deputy leader and former Minister for Justice
- Austin Currie – former presidential candidate
- Jim Higgins – former Chief Whip
- Alan Shatter – front bench member
- Deirdre Clune – front bench member
- Michael Creed – front bench member
- Frances Fitzgerald – front bench member
The party's losses were especially pronounced in Dublin, where just three TDs (Richard Bruton, Gay Mitchell and Olivia Mitchell) were returned, fewer than Fianna Fáil, Labour, the Progressive Democrats or the Greens. The reasons for the drop in support for Fine Gael are many and varied:
- There was an element of bad luck in some losses, and the proportion of seats they lost (42.6%) was much greater than the proportion of votes (5.2%).
- In 2002, the Irish economy was booming, unemployment was low, and the outgoing government was a stable one that had lasted its full term.
- No other opposition party, noticeably Labour, would agree to a pre-election pact with Fine Gael, sensing the unpopularity of the party. This meant that no-one felt that Fine Gael would be able to lead a government after the election. In contrast, the two parties of the outgoing government fought the election on a united front.
- The Fine Gael party was poorly organised in Dublin, and morale was low.
- The political landscape had changed in Ireland since Fine Gael's heyday in the 1980s. The Progressive Democrats and the Green Party in particular ate into Fine Gael's middle class support, and anti-Fianna Fáil voters had a much wider range of parties to choose from. All 4 of the extra seats won by the Green Party were at the expense of Fine Gael, as were 3 out of 4 of the Progressive Democrats' gains.
- Toward the end of the campaign, Michael McDowell warned that because Fianna Fáil were so high in the opinion polls, they could form a government by themselves. This led to a significant shift to the Progressive Democrats at the last minute, and many Fine Gael voters voted strategically for the Progressive Democrats to avoid a single-party Fianna Fáil government.
|Party||Fianna Fáil||Fine Gael||Labour Party||Sinn Féin||Progressive Democrats||Green Party||Socialist Party|
|Leader||Bertie Ahern||Michael Noonan||Ruairi Quinn||Gerry Adams||Mary Harney||Trevor Sargent||Joe Higgins|
|Votes||41.5%, 770,748||22.5%, 417,619||10.8%, 200,130||6.5%, 121,020||4.0%, 73,628||3.8%, 71,470||0.8%, 14,896|
|Seats||81 (48.8%)||31 (18.7%)||20 (12.7%)||5 (3.0%)||8 (4.8%)||6 (3.6%)||1 (0.6%)|
|Fianna Fáil||PDs||Inds||Fine Gael||Labour Party||Green Party||Sinn Féin|
|29th Irish general election – 17 May 2002|
|Fianna Fáil||Bertie Ahern||81||8||48.8||770,748||41.5||2.2|
|Fine Gael||Michael Noonan||31||23||18.7||417,619||22.5||5.4|
|Labour Party||Ruairi Quinn||20||3||12.7||200,130||10.8||0.3|
|Sinn Féin||Gerry Adams||5||4||3.0||121,020||6.5||4.0|
|Progressive Democrats||Mary Harney||8||4||4.8||73,628||4.0||0.7|
|Green Party||Trevor Sargent||6||4||3.6||71,470||3.8||1.0|
|Socialist Party||Joe Higgins||1||0||0.6||14,896||0.8||0.1|
|Workers' Party||Seán Garland||0||0||0||4,012||0.2||0.2|
- Fianna Fáil and Progressive Democrats majority coalition government formed.
Democratic Left, which won 4 seats in 1997, merged with the Labour Party in 1999. Independents include Independent Health Alliance candidates (12,296 votes, 1 seat) and Independent Fianna Fáil (6,124 votes, 1 seat).
Dáil membership changesEdit
The following changes took place as a result of the election:
- 22 outgoing TDs retired
- 143 TDs stood for re-election (plus the Ceann Comhairle, Séamus Pattison who was automatically returned)
- 110 of those were re-elected
- 33 failed to be re-elected
- 55 successor TDs were elected
- 47 were elected for the first time
- 8 had previously been TDs
- There were 7 successor female TDs, replacing 6 outgoing, increasing the total number by 1 to 22
- There were changes in 38 of 42 constituencies contested
Outgoing TDs are listed in the constituency they constested in the election. For some, such as Marian McGennis, this differs from the constituency they represented in the outgoing Dáil. Where more than one change took place in a constituency the concept of successor is an approximation for presentation only.
A summary of the cross-party seat transfers is:
|Lost by||To||Seats||—||Won by||From||Seats|
|Fine Gael (23)||Fianna Fáil||7||Fianna Fáil (9)||Fine Gael||7|
|Sinn Féin||1||Independent (7)||Fine Gael||5|
|Labour Party||2||Fianna Fáil||1|
|Green Party||4||Progressive Democrats (4)||Fine Gael||4|
|Labour Party (3)||Sinn Féin||2||Sinn Féin (4)||Fine Gael||1|
|Independent (3)||Fianna Fáil||2||Fianna Fáil||1|
|Labour Party||1||Green Party (4)||Fine Gael||4|
|Fianna Fáil (2)||Sinn Féin||1||Labour Party (3)||Fine Gael||2|
- "29th DAIL GENERAL ELECTION May, 2002 Election Results and Transfer of Votes". oireachtas.ie. Retrieved 10 June 2020.
- "29th Dáil – General Election: 17 May 2002". ElectionsIreland.org. Retrieved 9 April 2009.
- Dieter Nohlen & Philip Stöver (2010) Elections in Europe: A data handbook, pp1009-1017 ISBN 978-3-8329-5609-7