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In the run-up to the next United Kingdom general election, various organisations are expected to carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed in this list. Most of the pollsters listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. Opinion polling about attitudes to the leaders of various political parties can be found in a separate article.

2010 general election Opinion polls
2015 general election Opinion polls
2017 general election Opinion polls
Next general election Opinion polls

The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 8 June 2017, to the present day. Under the Fixed-term Parliaments Act 2011, the next general election is scheduled to be held no later than 5 May 2022.[1]

Most opinion polls cover only Great Britain and leave Northern Ireland out, as its 18 seats are contested by a different set of political parties.

Contents

Graphical summaryEdit

The chart below depicts opinion polls conducted for the next United Kingdom general election using a 28-day moving average. As discussed below, most of these polls do not include Northern Ireland.

 

National poll resultsEdit

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order. Most pollsters only include responses from within Great Britain, excluding Northern Ireland; however, some, such as Survation, do include Northern Ireland. The table below indicates whether a poll is Great Britain (GB)-only or United Kingdom (UK)-wide.

In Kantar and Ipsos MORI polls, Change UK and the Brexit Party were spontaneous responses and not prompted by the pollster.[2][3] In YouGov polls before June 2019, only the Conservatives, Labour, and Liberal Democrats were prompted, the names of other parties being listed when "other" was selected.[4] YouGov polls conducted since June 2019 prompt for both the Greens and the Brexit Party alongside the earlier list.[5] BMG polls also use two-stage questions in which the Conservatives, Labour, Liberal Democrats, SNP, and Plaid Cymru are included on the initial prompt and the remaining parties provided after "another party" is selected.[6]

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Area Sample
size
Con Lab Lib Dem SNP Plaid Cymru UKIP Green Change UK Brexit Other Lead
Kantar 15–19 Aug GB 1,133 42% 28% 15% 5% 0% 0% 3% 1% 5% 1% 14%
YouGov/The Times 13–14 Aug GB 1,625 30% 21% 20% 4% 1% 1% 8% 0% 14% 2% 9%
BMG/The Independent 12-14 Aug GB 1,532 31% 25% 19% 3% 1% 1% 6% 0% 12% 2% 6%
ComRes/The Daily Telegraph 9–11 Aug GB 2,011 31% 27% 16% 3% 0% 1% 4% 0% 16% 2% 4%
Survation 6–11 Aug UK 2,040 28% 24% 21% 4% 0% 0% 3% 0% 15% 4% 4%
10 Aug Richard Braine becomes leader of UKIP[7]
Opinium/The Observer 8–9 Aug GB 2,003 31% 28% 13% 4% 1% 1% 5% 0% 16% 0% 3%
YouGov/The Times 5–6 Aug GB 1,628 31% 22% 21% 4% 0% 0% 7% 0% 14% 1% 9%
1 Aug Brecon and Radnorshire by-election[8]
YouGov/The Times 29–30 Jul GB 2,066 32% 22% 19% 4% 1% 0% 8% 0% 13% 1% 10%
Ipsos MORI 26–30 Jul GB 1,007 34% 24% 20% 4% 1% 1% 6% 0% 9% 1% 10%
ComRes/Britain Elects 26–28 Jul GB 2,004 29% 30% 16% 3% 1% 1% 5% 0% 15% 2% 1%
Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday 25–27 Jul GB 2,001 30% 25% 18% 4% 1% 1% 4% 2% 14% 1% 5%
YouGov/The Sunday Times 25–26 Jul GB 1,697 31% 21% 20% 5% 1% 0% 8% 0% 13% 1% 10%
Opinium/The Observer 24–26 Jul GB 2,006 30% 28% 16% 5% 1% 1% 5% 0% 15% 1% 2%
ComRes/Sunday Express 24–25 Jul GB 2,029 28% 27% 19% 3% 1% 1% 4% 0% 16% 0% 1%
YouGov/The Times 23–24 Jul GB 1,715 25% 19% 23% 4% 1% 1% 9% 0% 17% 1% 2%
23 Jul Boris Johnson becomes leader of the Conservative Party, and Prime Minister the next day
22 Jul Jo Swinson becomes leader of the Liberal Democrats[9]
YouGov/The Times 16–17 Jul GB 1,749 25% 21% 20% 4% 1% 0% 8% 0% 19% 1% 4%
ComRes/Britain Elects 15–16 Jul GB 2,038 25% 28% 17% 4% 0% 1% 5% 1% 19% 1% 3%
ComRes/Sunday Express 10–11 Jul GB 1,791 24% 28% 15% 3% 1% 1% 5% 1% 20% 2% 4%
Survation 10–11 Jul GB 1,012 23% 29% 19% 4% 1% 0% 3% 0% 20% 1% 6%
YouGov/The Times 9–10 Jul GB 1,671 24% 20% 19% 5% 1% 0% 9% 0% 21% 1% 3%
ComRes/The Daily Telegraph 5–7 Jul GB 2,010 25% 28% 16% 3% 0% 1% 5% 0% 19% 1% 3%
Opinium/The Observer 3–5 Jul GB 2,002 23% 25% 15% 5% 1% 1% 8% 1% 22% 0% 2%
BMG/The Independent 2–5 Jul GB 1,532 28% 27% 18% 2% 1% 2% 6% 1% 14% 0% 1%
YouGov/The Times 2–3 Jul GB 1,605 24% 18% 20% 4% 1% 0% 9% 0% 23% 1% 1%
YouGov/The Times 24–25 Jun GB 2,059 22% 20% 19% 4% 1% 1% 10% 0% 22% 1% Tie
Ipsos MORI 21–25 Jun GB 1,043 26% 24% 22% 4% 1% 1% 8% 0% 12% 0% 2%
Opinium/The Observer 19–20 Jun GB 2,009 20% 26% 16% 4% 1% 2% 6% 1% 23% 1% 3%
Survation/The Mail on Sunday 19–20 Jun GB 2,016 24% 26% 18% 3% 1% 1% 6% 1% 20% 1% 2%
YouGov/The Times 18–19 Jun GB 1,641 20% 20% 21% 4% 1% 1% 9% 0% 23% 0% 2%
YouGov/The Sunday Times 13–14 Jun GB 1,672 21% 21% 19% 3% 1% 0% 9% 0% 24% 1% 3%
YouGov/The Times 9–10 Jun GB 1,702 17% 19% 22% 4% 1% 0% 8% 1% 26% 1% 4%
ComRes/The Daily Telegraph 7–9 Jun GB 2,017 23% 27% 17% 3% 1% 1% 5% 1% 22% 1% 4%
BMG/The Independent 4–7 Jun GB 1,520 26% 27% 17% 3% 1% 1% 6% 1% 18% 1% 1%
6 Jun Peterborough by-election[8]
YouGov/The Times 5–6 Jun GB 1,670 18% 20% 20% 5% 0% 1% 9% 0% 26% 0% 6%
YouGov 4–5 Jun GB 1,663 18% 19% 22% 4% 0% 0% 9% 25% 3% 3%
4 Jun Anna Soubry becomes leader of Change UK after six of its MPs leave the party[10]
YouGov 31 May–1 Jun GB 1,644 18% 19% 23% 5% 0% 10% 23% 2% Tie
Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday 29–30 May GB 2,449 20% 26% 16% 4% 1% 1% 5% 4% 24% 1% 2%
Opinium/The Observer 28–30 May GB 2,005 17% 22% 16% 4% 1% 1% 11% 1% 26% 1% 4%
YouGov/The Times 28–29 May GB 1,763 19% 19% 24% 6% 1% 8% 1% 22% 0% 2%
23 May European Parliament election[11]
Survation/Daily Mail 22 May UK 2,029 28% 33% 13% 3% 0% 3% 3% 2% 12% 3% 5%
Number Cruncher Politics 18–21 May GB 1,005 27% 31% 15% 5% 1% 1% 4% 2% 14% 0% 4%
Panelbase/The Sunday Times 14–21 May GB 2,033 21% 31% 13% 4% 0% 3% 5% 4% 19% 0% 10%
Opinium 17–20 May GB 2,005 22% 26% 12% 4% 1% 2% 4% 2% 25% 0% 1%
Survation/Daily Mail 17 May UK 1,000 27% 32% 13% 5% 0% 2% 3% 2% 13% 4% 5%
YouGov/Best for Britain/Hope Not Hate 8–17 May GB 9,260 24% 24% 18% 4% 1% 2% 6% 2% 18% 1% Tie
Opinium/The Observer 14–16 May GB 2,009 22% 29% 11% 4% 0% 2% 3% 3% 24% 1% 5%
YouGov/The Times 13–14 May GB 1,655 25% 25% 16% 5% 2% 7% 2% 18% 1% Tie
Ipsos MORI 10–14 May GB 1,072 25% 27% 15% 4% 1% 3% 7% 2% 16% 1% 2%
Hanbury Strategy/Politico 9–13 May GB 2,000 21% 30% 13% 4% 2% 5% 6% 19% 1% 9%
Kantar 9–13 May GB 1,152 25% 34% 15% 5% 2% 4% 3% 1% 10% 2% 9%
ComRes/The Daily Telegraph 10–12 May GB 2,028 20% 27% 13% 3% 0% 4% 4% 6% 20% 1% 7%
Opinium/The Observer 8–10 May GB 2,004 22% 28% 11% 4% 0% 4% 6% 4% 21% 0% 6%
BMG/The Independent 7–10 May GB 1,541 27% 30% 18% 2% 0% 3% 6% 3% 10% 1% 3%
ComRes/Brexit Express 9 May GB 2,034 19% 27% 14% 3% 1% 3% 5% 7% 20% 1% 7%
YouGov/The Times 8–9 May GB 2,212 24% 24% 16% 5% 2% 7% 2% 18% 1% Tie
Opinium/People's Vote 3–7 May GB 2,000 25% 30% 11% 3% 1% 4% 5% 2% 17% 1% 5%
2 May Local elections in England and Northern Ireland[12][13]
YouGov 29–30 Apr GB 1,630 29% 29% 13% 4% 2% 5% 3% 15% 1% Tie
YouGov/The Times 23–24 Apr GB 1,787 27% 30% 11% 5% 4% 5% 3% 14% 1% 3%
Panelbase/The Sunday Times 18–24 Apr GB 2,030 27% 36% 8% 4% 5% 3% 4% 13% 1% 9%
Opinium/The Observer 21–23 Apr GB 2,004 26% 33% 6% 5% 1% 4% 4% 4% 17% 1% 7%
OnePoll/The Sun on Sunday 17 Apr UK 2,000 24% 33% 9% 4% 5% 5% 5% 14% 3% 9%
ORB/The Daily Telegraph 16–17 Apr UK 1,546 26% 29% 8% 4% 1% 5% 4% 5% 14% 4%[a] 3%
YouGov/The Times 16–17 Apr GB 1,755 29% 30% 10% 5% 4% 5% 3% 12% 2% 1%
ComRes/Brexit Express 16 Apr GB 1,061 23% 33% 7% 3% 1% 5% 3% 9% 14% 1% 10%
Opinium/The Observer 9–12 Apr GB 2,007 29% 36% 8% 5% 1% 11% 4% 6% 7%
YouGov/The Times 10–11 Apr GB 1,843 28% 32% 11% 5% 6% 5% 3% 8% 2% 4%
Hanbury Strategy/Open Europe 5–8 Apr GB 2,000 31% 40% 8% 4% 1% 8% 5% 4% 9%
Kantar 4–8 Apr GB 1,172 32% 35% 11% 5% 1% 7% 4% 6% 3%
Survation 3–8 Apr E+W 6,062 37% 41% 10% 1% 7% 2% 1% 2% 4%
ComRes/The Daily Telegraph 5–7 Apr GB 2,018 32% 32% 7% 3% 0% 9% 3% 9% 3% Tie
BMG/The Independent 2–5 Apr GB 1,500 29% 31% 8% 3% 1% 7% 4% 8% 6% 1% 2%
35% 34% 11% 4% 1% 6% 5% 3% 1%
4 Apr Newport West by-election[8]
YouGov/The Times 2–3 Apr GB 1,771 32% 31% 12% 6% 7% 4% 5% 3% 1%
Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday 28–30 Mar GB 1,010 32% 35% 7% 2% 1% 6% 2% 9% 6% 1% 3%
36% 41% 7% 3% 1% 7% 3% 3% 5%
Opinium/The Observer 28–29 Mar GB 2,008 35% 35% 9% 4% 0% 9% 5% 3% Tie
YouGov/The Times 24–25 Mar GB 2,110 36% 33% 11% 5% 4% 4% 5% 2% 3%
ComRes/Leave Means Leave 22–24 Mar GB 2,030 33% 33% 8% 3% 1% 7% 3% 9% 3% Tie
Opinium/The Observer 20–22 Mar GB 2,002 36% 35% 7% 5% 1% 9% 4% 3% 1%
ComRes/Daily Express 20–21 Mar GB 2,063 34% 35% 8% 3% 1% 7% 4% 6% 3% 1%
Ipsos MORI 15–19 Mar GB 1,050 38% 34% 8% 5% 1% 7% 4% 2% 1% 0% 4%
ComRes/The Daily Telegraph 15–17 Mar GB 2,033 34% 35% 8% 3% 1% 6% 3% 7% 3% 1%
Survation/Daily Mail 15 Mar UK 1,007 35% 39% 10% 3% 0% 12% 4%
YouGov/People's Vote 14–15 Mar GB 1,823 35% 33% 11% 21% 2%
YouGov/The Times 14–15 Mar GB 1,756 35% 31% 12% 4% 6% 4% 4% 2% 4%
Opinium/The Observer 13–15 Mar GB 2,003 35% 35% 7% 5% 0% 8% 4% 4% 2% Tie
12–15 Mar GB 2,008 38% 34% 8% 5% 1% 8% 3% 3% 4%
Kantar 7–11 Mar GB 1,152 41% 31% 8% 5% 0% 6% 6% 2% 10%
BMG/The Independent 4–8 Mar GB 1,510 37% 31% 10% 3% 1% 6% 5% 5% 1% 6%
39% 34% 12% 3% 1% 5% 4% 2% 5%
ComRes/Brexit Express 4–5 Mar GB 2,042 36% 34% 8% 3% 0% 6% 3% 8% 2% 2%
YouGov/The Times 3–4 Mar GB 2,172 40% 31% 11% 5% 3% 4% 3% 3% 9%
Opinium/The Observer 26 Feb–1 Mar GB 2,004 37% 33% 7% 4% 1% 7% 4% 5% 2% 4%
GB 2,003 40% 34% 9% 4% 1% 7% 3% 3% 6%
YouGov/The Times 22–23 Feb GB 1,672 41% 30% 10% 5% 5% 4% 2% 3% 11%
36% 23% 6% 18% 16% 13%
Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday 21–23 Feb GB 1,027 39% 31% 5% 5% 0% 4% 3% 11% 1% 8%
43% 36% 6% 4% 0% 5% 3% 2% 7%
Opinium/The Observer 20–22 Feb GB 2,008 40% 32% 5% 4% 1% 7% 4% 6% 2% 8%
Sky Data 19 Feb UK 1,034 32% 26% 9% 4% 1% 6% 4% 10% 7% 6%
YouGov/The Times 18–19 Feb GB 1,861 38% 26% 7% 14% 15% 12%
YouGov/The Times 41% 33% 10% 5% 4% 4% 3% 8%
Survation/Daily Mail 18 Feb UK 1,023 40% 36% 10% 3% 5% 2% 5% 4%
18 Feb Eight Labour MPs, soon joined by three Conservatives, quit their party to form Change UK[14]
Opinium/The Observer 13–15 Feb GB 2,005 37% 37% 8% 4% 0% 7% 4% 2% Tie
Kantar 7–11 Feb GB 1,145 40% 35% 10% 4% 1% 3% 4% 3% 5%
8 Feb The Brexit Party is registered with the Electoral Commission[15]
BMG 4–8 Feb GB 1,503 38% 35% 13% 3% 1% 5% 5% 1% 3%
Ipsos MORI 1–5 Feb GB 1,005 38% 38% 10% 4% 1% 4% 3% 3% Tie
YouGov/The Times 3–4 Feb GB 1,851 41% 34% 10% 4% 0% 4% 4% 2% 7%
Opinium/The Observer 30 Jan–1 Feb GB 2,008 41% 34% 8% 4% 1% 7% 4% 1% 7%
Survation/Daily Mail 30 Jan UK 1,029 38% 39% 9% 3% 0% 4% 2% 4% 1%
Opinium/People's Vote 23–25 Jan GB 2,001 40% 36% 7% 3% 0% 7% 4% 1% 4%
ICM 16–18 Jan GB 2,046 39% 40% 9% 3% 0% 5% 3% 1% 1%
Opinium/The Observer 16–18 Jan GB 2,006 37% 40% 7% 5% 1% 7% 4% 1% 3%
ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Sunday Express 16–17 Jan GB 2,031 38% 37% 10% 3% 1% 6% 3% 1% 1%
Number Cruncher Politics 10–17 Jan UK 1,030 41% 39% 8% 3% 1% 4% 2% 1% 2%
ComRes/Daily Express 14–15 Jan GB 2,010 37% 39% 8% 3% 0% 7% 3% 1% 2%
YouGov/The Times 13–14 Jan GB 1,701 39% 34% 11% 4% 1% 6% 4% 1% 5%
Kantar 10–14 Jan GB 1,106 35% 38% 9% 4% 1% 6% 4% 3% 3%
Survation/Daily Mail 10–11 Jan UK 1,013 38% 41% 10% 3% 0% 4% 2% 3% 3%
BMG/The Independent 8–11 Jan GB 1,514 36% 36% 12% 3% 1% 6% 5% 1% Tie
YouGov/The Times 6–7 Jan GB 1,656 41% 35% 11% 4% 0% 4% 3% 1% 6%
YouGov/People's Vote 21 Dec–4 Jan UK 25,537 40% 34% 10% 4% 0% 4% 4% 2% 6%

2018Edit

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Area Sample
size
Con Lab Lib Dem SNP Plaid Cymru UKIP Green Other Lead
Opinium/The Observer 18–20 Dec GB 2,000 39% 39% 6% 4% 0% 6% 4% 1% Tie
YouGov/The Times 16–17 Dec GB 1,660 41% 39% 7% 5% 4% 3% 1% 2%
YouGov/Hope Not Hate 14–15 Dec GB 1,660 38% 35% 10% 6% 4% 5% 2% 3%
Opinium/The Observer 13–14 Dec GB 2,016 38% 39% 8% 4% 1% 6% 4% 1% 1%
YouGov/People's Vote 12–14 Dec GB 5,043 40% 36% 10% 5% 4% 3% 1% 4%
Populus/Best for Britain 10–11 Dec GB 2,002 37% 40% 7% 3% 1% 6% 3% 1% 3%
YouGov 9–10 Dec GB 2,008 39% 38% 9% 5% 5% 4% 1% 1%
YouGov/The Sunday Times 6–7 Dec GB 1,652 38% 37% 10% 5% 3% 4% 1% 1%
BMG/The Independent 4–7 Dec GB 1,508 37% 38% 12% 3% 1% 4% 4% 1% 1%
Kantar 5–6 Dec GB 1,178 38% 38% 9% 4% 1% 5% 5% 1% Tie
Ipsos MORI 30 Nov–5 Dec GB 1,049 38% 38% 9% 4% 1% 4% 5% 1% Tie
YouGov/The Times 3–4 Dec GB 1,624 40% 38% 9% 5% 4% 4% 1% 2%
ComRes/Daily Express 30 Nov–2 Dec GB 2,035 37% 39% 9% 3% 0% 6% 3% 1% 2%
YouGov/The Times 26–27 Nov GB 1,737 40% 35% 10% 4% 6% 3% 1% 5%
YouGov/The Times 18–19 Nov GB 1,671 39% 36% 8% 6% 4% 4% 1% 3%
ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Sunday Express 14–15 Nov GB 2,000 36% 40% 9% 3% 1% 7% 3% 1% 4%
Opinium/The Observer 14–15 Nov GB 2,003 36% 39% 7% 5% 1% 8% 3% 1% 3%
Kantar 8–12 Nov GB 1,147 40% 39% 8% 4% 1% 3% 3% 2% 1%
BMG/The Independent 6–9 Nov GB 1,506 36% 37% 12% 3% 1% 6% 4% 1% 1%
Panelbase/Constitutional Commission 2–7 Nov GB 2,016 40% 40% 8% 4% 1% 5% 3% Tie
YouGov/The Times 4–5 Nov GB 1,637 41% 37% 8% 4% 4% 4% 1% 4%
Survation/Channel 4 20 Oct–2 Nov UK 20,090 39% 40% 8% 3% 3% 2% 3% 1%
YouGov/The Times 29–30 Oct GB 1,648 41% 39% 7% 4% 5% 2% 0% 2%
ICM 26–28 Oct GB 2,048 40% 38% 9% 3% 1% 5% 3% 0% 2%
Deltapoll/Daily Mirror 24–26 Oct GB 1,017 43% 40% 6% 4% 0% 5% 2% 0% 3%
YouGov/The Times 22–23 Oct GB 1,802 41% 36% 8% 6% 4% 4% 1%[b] 5%
Ipsos MORI 19–22 Oct GB 1,044 39% 37% 10% 4% 1% 5% 5% 0% 2%
YouGov/The Times 14–15 Oct GB 1,649 41% 36% 9% 4% 4% 3% 1% 5%
Kantar 11–15 Oct GB 1,128 41% 36% 10% 4% 1% 3% 4% 2% 5%
Opinium/The Observer 11–12 Oct GB 2,010 41% 37% 8% 4% 1% 6% 3% 1% 4%
Survation 10 Oct UK 1,009 40% 39% 7% 4% 6% 5% 1%
YouGov/The Times 8–9 Oct GB 1,647 41% 37% 9% 5% 4% 3% 2%[c] 4%
BMG/The Independent 3–5 Oct GB 1,503 38% 39% 10% 4% 1% 4% 4% 0% 1%
Opinium/The Observer 3–5 Oct GB 2,007 39% 39% 7% 3% 1% 6% 3% 1% Tie
YouGov/The Times 30 Sep–1 Oct GB 1,607 42% 36% 9% 4% 5% 2% 2%[b] 6%
BMG/HuffPost UK 28–29 Sep GB 1,203 35% 40% 12% 4% 1% 5% 3% 1% 5%
28 Sep Adam Price officially becomes leader of Plaid Cymru[16]
Opinium/The Observer 26–28 Sep GB 2,008 39% 36% 9% 4% 0% 6% 3% 1% 3%
ComRes/Daily Express 26–27 Sep GB 2,036 39% 40% 9% 3% 1% 5% 2% 1% 1%
YouGov/The Times 24–25 Sep GB 1,625 42% 36% 11% 4% 4% 2% 0% 6%
ICM/The Guardian 21–24 Sep GB 2,006 41% 40% 9% 3% 0% 4% 3% 0% 1%
BMG/HuffPost UK 21–22 Sep GB 1,006 38% 38% 10% 4% 0% 5% 4% 0% Tie
Opinium/The Observer 18–20 Sep GB 2,003 37% 39% 9% 4% 1% 8% 2% 1% 2%
YouGov/The Times 18–19 Sep GB 2,509 40% 36% 11% 5% 5% 2% 1% 4%
Ipsos MORI 14–18 Sep GB 1,070 39% 37% 13% 3% 0% 2% 5% 1% 2%
YouGov/The Times 12–13 Sep GB 1,620 40% 36% 11% 4% 4% 3% 1% 4%
Opinium/The Observer 11–13 Sep GB 2,011 39% 38% 7% 4% 1% 6% 3% 1% 1%
Kantar 6–10 Sep GB 1,119 40% 35% 10% 4% 0% 5% 4% 1% 5%
ICM/The Guardian 7–9 Sep GB 2,051 42% 39% 8% 3% 0% 4% 3% 0% 3%
Survation/Daily Mail 7 Sep UK 1,039 38% 37% 10% 3% 1% 4% 1% 5% 1%
BMG/The Independent 4–7 Sep GB 1,533 37% 38% 11% 2% 1% 7% 4% 1% 1%
YouGov/The Times 3–4 Sep GB 1,883 39% 35% 11% 5% 5% 4% 1% 4%
Survation 31 Aug–1 Sep UK 1,017 37% 41% 6% 3% 1% 7% 2% 3% 4%
YouGov/The Times 28–29 Aug GB 1,664 39% 37% 10% 4% 5% 3% 2%[b] 2%
YouGov/The Times 20–21 Aug GB 1,697 40% 37% 9% 5% 6% 2% 2%[b] 3%
ICM/The Guardian 17–19 Aug GB 2,021 40% 40% 8% 3% 0% 6% 2% 1% Tie
Opinium/The Observer 14–17 Aug GB 2,003 39% 38% 7% 4% 1% 7% 3% 1% 1%
Deltapoll/The Sun on Sunday 14–16 Aug GB 1,904 37% 40% 8% 3% 1% 6% 5% 1% 3%
YouGov/The Times 13–14 Aug GB 1,660 41% 38% 8% 4% 6% 3% 1% 3%
Kantar 9–13 Aug GB 1,119 40% 39% 9% 4% 1% 4% 3% 1% 1%
Number Cruncher Politics 9–13 Aug UK 1,036 38% 40% 8% 4% 1% 5% 2% 1% 2%
BMG/The Independent 6–10 Aug GB 1,481 37% 39% 10% 3% 0% 5% 5% 0% 2%
YouGov/The Times 8–9 Aug GB 1,675 39% 35% 10% 5% 7% 3% 1% 4%
ICM/The Guardian 3–5 Aug GB 2,049 39% 40% 7% 4% 0% 6% 3% 0% 1%
YouGov/The Times 30–31 Jul GB 1,718 38% 38% 10% 4% 6% 3% 1% Tie
Ipsos MORI 20–24 Jul GB 1,023 38% 38% 10% 4% 1% 6% 3% 1% Tie
YouGov/The Times 22–23 Jul GB 1,650 38% 38% 10% 4% 6% 3% 0% Tie
ICM/The Guardian 20–22 Jul GB 2,010 40% 41% 8% 3% 0% 5% 3% 1% 1%
YouGov/The Sunday Times 19–20 Jul GB 1,668 38% 39% 9% 5% 6% 2% 1% 1%
YouGov/The Times 16–17 Jul GB 1,657 36% 41% 9% 4% 7% 2% 0% 5%
Deltapoll/The Sun on Sunday 12–14 Jul GB 1,484 37% 42% 7% 3% 1% 6% 3% 1% 5%
Opinium/The Observer 10–13 Jul GB 2,005 36% 40% 8% 4% 1% 8% 3% 1% 4%
YouGov/The Times 10–11 Jul GB 1,732 37% 39% 10% 4% 6% 3% 1% 2%
YouGov/The Times 8–9 Jul GB 1,669 39% 39% 9% 4% 5% 3% 1% Tie
ICM/The Guardian 6–9 Jul GB 2,013 41% 39% 9% 3% 0% 4% 3% 1% 2%
Kantar 5–9 Jul GB 1,086 40% 38% 9% 4% 1% 3% 3% 2% 2%
Survation/The Mail on Sunday 7 Jul UK 1,007 38% 40% 10% 3% 1% 8% 2%
BMG/The Independent 3–5 Jul GB 1,511 39% 37% 10% 3% 1% 3% 4% 1% 2%
YouGov/The Times 3–4 Jul GB 1,641 41% 40% 9% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1%
Ipsos MORI 22–27 Jun GB 1,026 41% 38% 7% 4% 1% 4% 4% 1% 3%
YouGov/The Times 25–26 Jun GB 1,645 42% 37% 9% 5% 3% 3% 1% 5%
ICM/The Guardian 22–24 Jun GB 2,013 41% 40% 9% 3% 1% 3% 3% 1% 1%
Survation/Good Morning Britain 19–20 Jun UK 1,022 41% 38% 7% 4% 1% 3% 3% 3% 3%
YouGov/The Times 18–19 Jun GB 1,606 42% 40% 9% 4% 3% 2% 0% 2%
14 Jun Lewisham East by-election[8]
YouGov/The Times 11–12 Jun GB 1,638 42% 39% 8% 4% 3% 2% 1% 3%
ICM/The Guardian 8–10 Jun GB 2,021 42% 40% 8% 3% 0% 3% 3% 0% 2%
BMG/The Independent 5–8 Jun GB 1,490 38% 41% 11% 2% 0% 4% 2% 1% 3%
Opinium/The Observer 5–7 Jun GB 2,005 42% 40% 7% 6% 1% 3% 2% 1% 2%
YouGov/The Times 4–5 Jun GB 1,619 44% 37% 8% 4% 3% 3% 0% 7%
Survation 31 May–4 Jun UK 2,012 41% 40% 9% 3% 1% 2% 2% 3% 1%
Deltapoll/The Sun on Sunday 30 May–1 Jun GB 1,013 41% 41% 6% 4% 0% 5% 2% 1% Tie
YouGov/The Times 28–29 May GB 1,670 42% 39% 9% 5% 3% 2% 1% 3%
ICM/The Guardian 25–29 May GB 2,002 43% 40% 8% 3% 1% 3% 2% 1% 3%
Ipsos MORI 18–22 May GB 1,015 40% 40% 7% 5% 0% 2% 5% 0% Tie
YouGov/The Times 20–21 May GB 1,660 42% 38% 9% 4% 2% 3% 1% 4%
ComRes/We, The People 16–17 May GB 2,045 41% 41% 7% 3% 1% 3% 3% 1% Tie
Opinium/The Observer 15–16 May GB 2,009 43% 39% 6% 4% 1% 4% 3% 1% 4%
YouGov/The Times 13–14 May GB 1,634 43% 38% 9% 3% 3% 3% 1% 5%
ICM/The Guardian 11–13 May GB 2,050 43% 40% 8% 3% 0% 3% 3% 1% 3%
Survation 8–10 May UK 1,585 41% 40% 8% 3% 1% 3% 2% 2% 1%
YouGov/The Times 8–9 May GB 1,648 43% 38% 9% 4% 2% 2% 1% 5%
BMG/The Independent 1–4 May GB 1,441 39% 39% 10% 4% 1% 4% 3% 1% Tie
3 May English local and mayoral elections and West Tyrone by-election[17][8]
YouGov/The Times 30 Apr–1 May GB 1,585 42% 38% 7% 4% 3% 3% 1% 4%
ComRes/Daily Express 27–29 Apr GB 2,030 40% 40% 9% 3% 0% 5% 3% 1% Tie
ICM/The Guardian 27–29 Apr GB 2,026 42% 39% 8% 3% 0% 4% 3% 1% 3%
YouGov/The Times 24–25 Apr GB 1,668 43% 38% 8% 4% 3% 3% 0% 5%
Ipsos MORI 20–24 Apr GB 1,004 41% 40% 10% 3% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1%
YouGov/The Times 16–17 Apr GB 1,631 43% 38% 8% 4% 3% 3% 1% 5%
Survation/The Mail on Sunday 14 Apr UK 2,060 40% 40% 9% 3% 1% 3% 1% 3% Tie
14 Apr Gerard Batten officially becomes leader of the UK Independence Party[18]
BMG 11–13 Apr GB 1,500 39% 38% 11% 4% 0% 3% 4% 1% 1%
ComRes/Sunday Express 11–12 Apr GB 2,038 40% 41% 7% 3% 1% 4% 2% 1% 1%
Opinium/The Observer 10–12 Apr GB 2,008 40% 40% 7% 4% 1% 5% 2% 1% Tie
YouGov/The Times 9–10 Apr GB 1,639 40% 40% 9% 4% 4% 2% 1% Tie
ICM/The Guardian 6–8 Apr GB 2,012 42% 41% 7% 3% 0% 4% 3% 0% 1%
YouGov/The Times 4–5 Apr GB 1,662 42% 41% 7% 4% 4% 2% 1% 1%
Number Cruncher Politics 27 Mar–5 Apr UK 1,037 43% 38% 8% 4% 1% 3% 3% 0% 5%
YouGov/The Times 26–27 Mar GB 1,659 43% 39% 8% 3% 3% 2% 1% 4%
ICM/The Guardian 16–18 Mar GB 2,013 44% 41% 8% 3% 1% 1% 2% 1% 3%
BMG 13–16 Mar GB 2,065 38% 40% 10% 4% 0% 4% 3% 1% 2%
YouGov/The Times 14–15 Mar GB 1,986 42% 39% 7% 5% 3% 3% 1% 3%
Opinium/The Observer 13–15 Mar GB 2,001 42% 40% 6% 4% 1% 4% 3% 0% 2%
Survation/GMB 7–8 Mar UK 1,038 37% 44% 9% 3% 0% 3% 2% 3% 7%
Ipsos MORI 2–7 Mar GB 1,012 43% 42% 6% 4% 1% 2% 2% 0% 1%
YouGov/The Times 5–6 Mar GB 1,641 41% 43% 7% 4% 2% 2% 1% 2%
ICM/The Guardian 2–4 Mar GB 2,030 43% 42% 7% 3% 0% 2% 3% 0% 1%
YouGov/The Times 26–27 Feb GB 1,622 41% 42% 7% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1%
YouGov/The Times 19–20 Feb GB 1,650 40% 42% 8% 4% 4% 2% 0% 2%
ICM/The Guardian 16–19 Feb GB 2,027 42% 43% 7% 3% 0% 3% 2% 0% 1%
YouGov/The Times 12–13 Feb GB 1,639 40% 41% 8% 3% 4% 2% 1% 1%
Kantar 6–12 Feb GB 2,448 39% 39% 8% 4% 1% 4% 2% 2% Tie
BMG 6–9 Feb GB 1,507 40% 40% 8% 2% 0% 5% 4% 1% Tie
Opinium/The Observer 6–8 Feb GB 2,002 42% 39% 7% 4% 1% 5% 2% 1% 3%
YouGov/The Times 5–6 Feb GB 2,000 43% 39% 8% 3% 3% 3% 1% 4%
ICM/The Guardian 2–4 Feb GB 2,021 41% 40% 8% 3% 0% 4% 3% 1% 1%
YouGov/The Times 28–29 Jan GB 1,669 42% 42% 6% 4% 2% 3% 1% Tie
Survation 26–29 Jan UK 1,059 40% 43% 8% 2% 0% 3% 1% 3% 3%
Ipsos MORI 19–23 Jan GB 1,031 39% 42% 9% 4% 0% 3% 2% 1% 3%
ICM/The Guardian 10–19 Jan GB 5,075 41% 41% 7% 3% 0% 4% 3% 0% Tie
YouGov/The Times 16–17 Jan GB 1,672 41% 42% 7% 4% 3% 2% 0% 1%
ICM/The Guardian 12–14 Jan GB 2,027 40% 41% 7% 3% 1% 4% 3% 0% 1%
Opinium/The Observer 11–12 Jan GB 2,008 40% 40% 6% 4% 0% 5% 3% 1% Tie
BMG 9–12 Jan GB 1,513 40% 41% 8% 3% 1% 4% 2% 1% 1%
YouGov/The Times 7–8 Jan GB 1,663 40% 41% 9% 4% 3% 2% 0% 1%

2017Edit

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Area Sample
size
Con Lab Lib Dem SNP Plaid Cymru UKIP Green Other Lead
YouGov/The Times 19–20 Dec GB 1,610 40% 42% 7% 5% 4% 1% 0% 2%
ICM/The Sun on Sunday 12–14 Dec GB 2,004 41% 42% 7% 3% 0% 4% 3% 0% 1%
Opinium/The Observer 12–14 Dec GB 2,005 39% 41% 7% 4% 1% 6% 2% 1% 2%
YouGov/The Times 10–11 Dec GB 1,680 42% 41% 7% 4% 4% 2% 2%[b] 1%
ICM/The Guardian 8–10 Dec GB 2,006 42% 40% 8% 3% 1% 5% 2% 0% 2%
BMG/The Independent 5–8 Dec GB 1,509 37% 40% 9% 3% 1% 5% 3% 1% 3%
YouGov/The Times 4–5 Dec GB 1,638 40% 41% 7% 4% 3% 2% 2%[b] 1%
Survation/The Mail on Sunday 30 Nov–1 Dec UK 1,003 37% 45% 6% 3% 0% 4% 1% 3% 8%
ICM/The Sun on Sunday 29 Nov–1 Dec GB 2,050 40% 41% 8% 3% 0% 4% 3% 0% 1%
Ipsos MORI 24–28 Nov GB 1,003 37% 39% 9% 4% 1% 4% 4% 1% 2%
ICM/The Guardian 24–26 Nov GB 2,029 41% 41% 7% 3% 0% 5% 3% 0% Tie
YouGov/The Times 22–23 Nov GB 1,644 39% 41% 7% 4% 4% 3% 1% 2%
YouGov/The Times 19–20 Nov GB 1,677 40% 43% 7% 4% 3% 2% 0% 3%
Kantar 14–20 Nov GB 2,437 42% 38% 9% 2% 0% 5% 3% 1% 4%
BMG 14–17 Nov GB 1,507 40% 41% 8% 4% 7% 1%
Opinium/The Observer 14–16 Nov GB 2,032 40% 42% 6% 4% 1% 5% 2% 0% 2%
ICM/The Guardian 10–12 Nov GB 2,010 41% 41% 7% 4% 0% 4% 2% 0% Tie
YouGov/The Times 7–8 Nov GB 2,012 40% 43% 6% 4% 4% 2% 1% 3%
Ipsos MORI 27 Oct–1 Nov GB 1,052 38% 40% 9% 4% 1% 4% 3% 1% 2%
YouGov/The Times 23–24 Oct GB 1,637 41% 43% 7% 4% 3% 2% 0% 2%
ICM/The Guardian 20–23 Oct GB 2,022 42% 42% 7% 3% 0% 3% 2% 0% Tie
BMG 17–20 Oct GB 1,506 37% 42% 10% 4% 7% 5%
YouGov/The Times 18–19 Oct GB 1,648 40% 42% 8% 4% 4% 2% 1% 2%
YouGov/The Times 10–11 Oct GB 1,680 39% 42% 8% 4% 4% 2% 0% 3%
ICM/The Guardian 6–8 Oct GB 2,052 41% 41% 7% 4% 1% 4% 2% 0% Tie
Opinium/The Observer 4–6 Oct GB 2,009 40% 42% 5% 4% 0% 5% 2% 1% 2%
Survation 4–5 Oct UK 2,047 38% 44% 7% 3% 1% 4% 1% 2% 6%
YouGov/The Times 4–5 Oct GB 1,615 40% 42% 7% 4% 4% 2% 1% 2%
29 Sep Henry Bolton officially becomes leader of the UK Independence Party[19]
BMG/The Independent 26–29 Sep GB 1,910 37% 42% 10% 3% 0% 4% 3% 1% 5%
ICM/The Guardian 22–24 Sep GB 1,968 40% 42% 8% 3% 1% 4% 2% 1% 2%
YouGov/The Times 22–24 Sep GB 1,716 39% 43% 7% 4% 4% 2% 0% 4%
Survation/The Mail on Sunday 22 Sep UK 1,174 38% 42% 8% 4% 1% 4% 2% 2% 4%
Opinium/The Observer 19–22 Sep GB 2,004 42% 40% 6% 4% 1% 4% 2% 1% 2%
Survation/LabourList 15–20 Sep UK 1,614 40% 41% 7% 3% 1% 5% 2% 1% 1%
Ipsos MORI 15–18 Sep GB 1,023 40% 44% 9% 4% 0% 2% 1% 0% 4%
BMG/The Independent 12–15 Sep GB 1,447 39% 38% 8% 3% 0% 6% 4% 1% 1%
Opinium/The Observer 12–15 Sep GB 2,009 41% 41% 5% 4% 1% 5% 3% 0% Tie
YouGov/The Times 12–13 Sep GB 1,660 41% 42% 7% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1%
ICM/The Guardian 8–10 Sep GB 2,052 42% 42% 7% 3% 0% 4% 3% 0% Tie
Survation/The Mail on Sunday 31 Aug–1 Sep UK 1,046 38% 43% 7% 3% 1% 4% 3% 5%
YouGov/The Times 30–31 Aug GB 1,658 41% 42% 6% 4% 4% 2% 0% 1%
ICM/The Guardian 25–28 Aug GB 1,972 42% 42% 7% 2% 0% 3% 3% 0% Tie
YouGov/The Times 21–22 Aug GB 1,664 41% 42% 8% 4% 4% 1% 0% 1%
Opinium/The Observer 15–18 Aug GB 2,006 40% 43% 6% 4% 1% 4% 2% 1% 3%
BMG/The Independent 7–11 Aug GB 1,512 42% 39% 7% 2% 0% 6% 3% 0% 3%
YouGov/The Times 31 Jul–1 Aug GB 1,665 41% 44% 7% 3% 3% 2% 0% 3%
20 Jul Vince Cable officially becomes leader of the Liberal Democrats[20]
YouGov/The Times 18–19 Jul GB 1,593 41% 43% 6% 4% 3% 2% 0% 2%
Ipsos MORI 14–18 Jul GB 1,071 41% 42% 9% 3% 0% 3% 2% 1% 1%
ICM/The Guardian 14–16 Jul GB 2,046 42% 43% 7% 3% 1% 3% 2% 0% 1%
Survation/The Mail on Sunday 14–15 Jul UK 1,024 39% 41% 8% 3% 1% 6% 1% 1% 2%
BMG 11–14 Jul GB 1,518 37% 42% 10% 4% 7% 5%
Opinium/The Observer 11–14 Jul GB 2,013 41% 43% 5% 3% 0% 5% 2% 0% 2%
YouGov/The Times 10–11 Jul GB 1,700 40% 45% 7% 4% 2% 1% 0% 5%
YouGov/The Times 5–6 Jul GB 1,648 38% 46% 6% 4% 4% 1% 1% 8%
ICM/The Guardian 30 Jun–3 Jul GB 2,044 41% 43% 7% 3% 0% 3% 3% 0% 2%
Survation 28–30 Jun UK 1,017 41% 40% 7% 2% 0% 2% 2% 6%[d] 1%
Opinium/The Observer 27–29 Jun GB 2,010 39% 45% 5% 3% 1% 5% 2% 0% 6%
Panelbase/The Sunday Times 16–21 Jun GB 5,481 41% 46% 6% 3% <1% 2% 1% <1% 5%
Survation/Good Morning Britain 16–17 Jun UK 1,005 41% 44% 6% 3% 1% 2% 1% 3%[e] 3%
Survation/The Mail on Sunday 10 Jun UK 1,036 39% 45% 7% 3% 1% 3% 2% 6%
2017 general election 8 Jun GB 43.4% 41.0% 7.6% 3.1% 0.5% 1.9% 1.7% 0.8% 2.4%
UK 42.3% 40.0% 7.4% 3.0% 0.5% 1.8% 1.6% 3.3% 2.4%

MRP estimatesEdit

As in the 2017 United Kingdom general election, YouGov employed multilevel regression and poststratification (MRP) to model voting behavior in every constituency in Great Britain using large numbers of survey interviews on voting intentions (an approach described by YouGov as identifying "patterns in responses across constituencies that have similar characteristics, and then work[ing] out the implications of those patterns for each constituency").[21] This same approach has been also been used by another British pollster, ComRes, which released both standard voting intention polls and MRP estimates in advance of the 2019 European Parliament elections.[22]

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Area Sample
size
Con Lab Lib Dem SNP UKIP Green Plaid Cymru Other Lead
YouGov/The Times 2–7 Feb 2019 GB 40,119 39% 34% 11% 3% 5% 4% 1% 2% 5%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 GB 43.4% 41.0% 7.6% 3.1% 1.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.8% 2.4%
UK 42.3% 40.0% 7.4% 3.0% 1.8% 1.6% 0.5% 3.3% 2.4%

Polling in Scotland, Wales and Northern IrelandEdit

ScotlandEdit

Graphical summaryEdit

The chart below depicts opinion polls conducted for the next United Kingdom general election in Scotland; trendlines are local regressions (LOESS).

 

Poll resultsEdit

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
SNP Con Lab Lib Dem Green UKIP Change UK Brexit Other Lead
Panelbase/The Sunday Times 18–20 Jun 2019 1,024 38% 18% 17% 13% 2% <1% <1% 9% 20%
Panelbase/The Sunday Times 14–17 May 2019 1,021 38% 18% 19% 10% 3% 1% 2% 9% <1% 19%
YouGov/The Times 24–26 Apr 2019 1,029 43% 20% 17% 9% 3% 1% 2% 4% 0% 23%
Panelbase/The Sunday Times 18–24 Apr 2019 1,018 38% 22% 21% 6% 2% 2% 3% 5% <1% 16%
Survation/Scotland in Union 18–23 Apr 2019 1,012 41% 22% 24% 8% 5% 17%
Panelbase/Wings Over Scotland 28 Feb–6 Mar 2019 1,002 37% 27% 22% 7% 2% 2% 2% <1% 10%
Survation/Scottish Daily Mail 1–4 Mar 2019 1,011 40% 24% 23% 8% 4% 16%
Panelbase/The Sunday Times 30 Nov–5 Dec 2018 1,028 37% 26% 26% 6% 2% 2% <1% 11%
Survation/Scotland in Union 9–13 Nov 2018 1,013 39% 26% 24% 8% 3% 13%
Panelbase/Constitutional Commission 2–7 Nov 2018 1,050 37% 28% 25% 7% 2% 2% 3% 9%
Survation/Channel 4 20 Oct–2 Nov 2018 1,734 40% 27% 23% 7% 1% 1% 1% 13%
Survation/Daily Record 18–21 Oct 2018 1,017 36% 27% 26% 7% 1% 1% 9%
Survation/SNP 3–5 Oct 2018 1,013 37% 28% 26% 6% 2% 9%
Panelbase/The Sunday Times 28 Sep–4 Oct 2018 1,024 38% 27% 24% 6% 2% 2% <1% 11%
Survation/The Sunday Post 28 Sep–2 Oct 2018 1,036 41% 26% 24% 7% 3% 15%
Survation/Daily Record 5–10 Jul 2018 1,004 42% 24% 23% 8% 3% 18%
Panelbase/Wings Over Scotland 21–26 Jun 2018 1,018 38% 27% 25% 7% 2% <1% <1% 11%
Panelbase/The Sunday Times 8–13 Jun 2018 1,021 38% 27% 27% 6% 2% <1% <1% 11%
YouGov/The Times 1–5 Jun 2018 1,075 40% 27% 23% 7% 2% 1% 1% 13%
Panelbase/The Sunday Times 23–28 Mar 2018 1,037 36% 28% 27% 6% 2% 1% <1% 8%
Ipsos MORI/STV 5–11 Mar 2018 1,050 39% 25% 26% 6% 4% 0% 0% 13%
Survation/Daily Record 24–28 Jan 2018 1,029 39% 24% 27% 7% 3% 12%
YouGov/The Times 12–16 Jan 2018 1,002 36% 23% 28% 6% 3% 3% 0% 8%
Survation/The Sunday Post 1–5 Dec 2017 1,006 38% 24% 29% 7% 3% 9%
Survation/Daily Record 27–30 Nov 2017 1,017 37% 25% 28% 7% 3% 9%
18 Nov 2017 Richard Leonard officially becomes leader of the Scottish Labour Party[23]
YouGov/The Times 2–5 Oct 2017 1,135 40% 23% 30% 5% 1% 1% 0% 10%
Survation/Scottish Daily Mail 8–12 Sep 2017 1,016 39% 26% 26% 7% 2% 13%
Panelbase/The Sunday Times 31 Aug–7 Sep 2017 1,021 41% 27% 24% 6% 2% 14%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 36.9% 28.6% 27.1% 6.8% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 8.3%

WalesEdit

Graphical summaryEdit

The chart below depicts opinion polls conducted for the next United Kingdom general election in Wales; trendlines are local regressions (LOESS).

 

Poll resultsEdit

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
Lab Con Plaid Cymru Lib Dem UKIP Green Change UK Brexit Other Lead
1 Aug 2019 Brecon and Radnorshire by-election[8]
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 23–28 July 2019 1,071 22% 24% 15% 16% 3% 18% 1% 2%
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 16–20 May 2019 1,009 25% 17% 13% 12% 1% 5% 2% 23% 2% 2%
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 2–5 Apr 2019 1,025 33% 26% 15% 7% 3% 2% 9% 4% 1% 7%
4 Apr 2019 Newport West by-election[8]
ICM/BBC Wales 7–23 Feb 2019 1,000 42% 33% 13% 6% 3% 1% 2% 9%
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 19–22 Feb 2019 1,025 35% 29% 14% 8% 6% 3% 4% 6%
Sky Data/Cardiff University 7–14 Dec 2018 1,014 45% 32% 14% 3% 4% 2% 1% 13%
6–13 Dec 2018 Mark Drakeford officially becomes leader of Welsh Labour and First Minister[24][25]
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 4–7 Dec 2018 1,024 43% 31% 13% 6% 3% 3% 1% 12%
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 30 Oct–2 Nov 2018 1,031 42% 33% 10% 7% 4% 2% 1% 9%
Survation/Channel 4 20 Oct–2 Nov 2018 1,177 47% 30% 13% 6% 3% 2% 0% 17%
28 Sep 2018 Adam Price officially becomes leader of Plaid Cymru[26]
6 Sep 2018 Paul Davies officially becomes leader of the Welsh Conservatives[27]
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 28 Jun–2 Jul 2018 1,031 44% 31% 13% 5% 3% 2% 1% 13%
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 12–15 Mar 2018 1,015 46% 33% 11% 4% 4% 2% 1% 13%
ICM/BBC Wales 8–25 Feb 2018 1,001 49% 32% 11% 5% 2% 1% 0% 17%
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 21–24 Nov 2017 1,016 47% 31% 11% 5% 3% 2% 1% 16%
3 Nov 2017 Jane Dodds officially becomes leader of the Welsh Liberal Democrats[28]
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 4–7 Sep 2017 1,011 50% 32% 8% 4% 3% 1% 1% 18%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 48.9% 33.6% 10.4% 4.5% 2.0% 0.3% 0.2% 15.4%

Northern IrelandEdit

Poll resultsEdit

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
DUP Sinn Féin SDLP UUP Alliance Other Lead
Survation/Channel 4 20 Oct–2 Nov 2018 555 31% 27% 11% 15% 12% 4% 4%
3 May 2018 West Tyrone by-election[8]
10 Feb 2018 Mary Lou McDonald officially becomes leader of Sinn Féin[29]
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 36.0% 29.4% 11.7% 10.3% 7.9% 4.6% 6.6%

Regional polling in EnglandEdit

LondonEdit

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
Lab Con Lib Dem Green UKIP Change UK Brexit Other Lead
YouGov/Queen Mary University of London 7–10 May 2019 1,015 35% 23% 21% 7% 0% 2% 10% 1% 12%
YouGov/Queen Mary University of London 3–6 Dec 2018 1,020 49% 33% 11% 3% 3% 1% 16%
YouGov/Queen Mary University of London 3–7 Sep 2018 1,218 48% 26% 15% 5% 4% 2% 22%
14 Jun 2018 Lewisham East by-election[8]
3 May 2018 2018 London local elections[17]
YouGov/Queen Mary University of London 20–24 Apr 2018 1,099 52% 31% 10% 3% 2% 1% 21%
YouGov/Queen Mary University of London 12–15 Feb 2018 1,155 53% 33% 8% 3% 2% 0% 20%
YouGov/Queen Mary University of London 25–29 Sep 2017 1,044 55% 30% 8% 2% 3% 1% 25%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 54.5% 33.1% 8.8% 1.8% 1.3% 0.5% 21.4%

Polling in groups of marginal constituenciesEdit

Number Cruncher Politics polled adults living in the 60 English marginal constituencies with a Labour or Conservative majority of less than five per cent. 2017 results are for the same 60 seats.

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
Con Lab Lib Dem Green UKIP Other Lead
Number Cruncher Politics/Shelter 1–19 Sep 2018 1,247 40% 42% 10% 2% 5% 2% 2%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 46% 44% 7% 1% 2% - 2%

Polling in individual constituenciesEdit

BathEdit

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
Lib Dem Con Lab Other Lead
Survation/Bath Labour 7–14 Sep 2017 555 46% 32% 17% 5% 14%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 47.3% 35.8% 14.7% 2.3% 11.5%

Brecon and RadnorshireEdit

Note: Voting intention figures are for the by-election.

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
Con Lib Dem Lab UKIP Brexit MRLP Other Lead
By-election 1 Aug 2019 39.0% 43.5% 5.3% 0.8% 10.5% 1.0% 4.5%
Number Cruncher Politics 10–18 Jul 2019 509 28% 43% 8% 1% 20% 1% 0% 15%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 48.6% 29.1% 17.7% 1.4% N/A N/A 3.1% 19.5%

CheltenhamEdit

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
Con Lib Dem Lab Other Lead
Populus/YouGov/People's Vote 1–13 Dec 2018 505 49% 32% 15% 4% 17%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 46.7% 42.2% 9.5% 1.7% 4.5%

Leadership approval pollingEdit

See alsoEdit

NotesEdit

  1. ^ Including the Democratic Unionist Party and Sinn Féin with 1%
  2. ^ a b c d e f Including the British National Party with 1%
  3. ^ Including the Women's Equality Party with 1%
  4. ^ Including Alliance, Democratic Unionist Party, Social Democratic and Labour Party and Sinn Féin with 1%
  5. ^ Including the Democratic Unionist Party with 2%

ReferencesEdit

  1. ^ "Fixed-term Parliaments Act 2011". Legislation.gov.uk. Archived from the original on 12 June 2017. Retrieved 12 June 2017.
  2. ^ Luke Taylor (14 May 2019). "Latest Brexit Barometer: Labour 9 points ahead of Conservatives". Kantar. Retrieved 31 May 2019.
  3. ^ Gideon Skinner; Glenn Gottfried; Cameron Garrett; Keiran Pedley (21 March 2019). "Worst public satisfaction ratings for any government since John Major". Ipsos MORI. Retrieved 31 May 2019.
  4. ^ Anthony Wells (31 May 2019). "Here's how we prompt for the Brexit Party, and why it's more accurate". YouGov. Retrieved 31 May 2019.
  5. ^ Matt Chorley (7 June 2019). "Brexit Party increases lead as Tories struggle". The Times. Retrieved 7 June 2019. The emergence of new political forces has prompted YouGov to adapt the way it runs its surveys. The Brexit Party and the Green Party are now included when asking for voting intention alongside the established parties such as the Conservatives, Labour, Liberal Democrats, SNP and Plaid Cymru. YouGov carried out testing this week and found similar levels of support regardless of method used.
  6. ^ Andrew Price (12 June 2019). "BMG's Westminster Voting Intention Results: June 2019". BMG Research. Retrieved 12 June 2019.
  7. ^ "UKIP: Richard Braine elected as party leader". BBC News. 10 August 2019. Retrieved 14 August 2019.
  8. ^ a b c d e f g h i "By-elections since the 2017 General Election". UK Parliament. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  9. ^ "Lib Dems: Jo Swinson elected new leader". BBC News. 22 July 2019. Retrieved 22 July 2019.
  10. ^ "Change UK loses six of its 11 MPs". BBC News. 4 June 2019. Retrieved 4 June 2019.
  11. ^ "European elections 2019: Polls take place across the UK". BBC News. 23 May 2019. Retrieved 23 May 2019.
  12. ^ "England local elections 2019". BBC News. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  13. ^ "Northern Ireland local elections 2019". BBC News. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  14. ^ "Independent Group: Three MPs quit Tory party to join". BBC News. 20 February 2019. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  15. ^ Jim Packard (8 February 2019). "New 'Brexit Party' backed by Nigel Farage launches". Financial Times. Retrieved 23 June 2019.
  16. ^ "Plaid Cymru leadership contest: Adam Price wins". BBC News. 28 September 2018. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  17. ^ a b "England local elections 2018". BBC News. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  18. ^ "UKIP confirms Gerard Batten as new leader". Sky News. 14 April 2018. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  19. ^ "Henry Bolton elected UKIP leader". BBC News. 29 September 2017. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  20. ^ "Vince Cable is new Lib Dem leader". BBC News. 20 July 2017. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  21. ^ "YouGov UK General Election MRP Estimates - February 2019" (PDF). YouGov. 11 February 2019. Retrieved 22 May 2019.
  22. ^ "ComRes / Remain United / Electoral Calculus – EP Elections Poll – May 2019". ComRes. 21 May 2019. Retrieved 22 May 2019.
  23. ^ "Richard Leonard to lead Scottish Labour". BBC News. 18 November 2017. Retrieved 21 May 2017.
  24. ^ "Welsh Labour leadership: Mark Drakeford set to be Wales' first minister". BBC News. 6 December 2018. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  25. ^ "Wales new First Minister Mark Drakeford is sworn in". BBC News. 13 December 2018. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  26. ^ "Plaid Cymru leadership contest: Adam Price wins". BBC News. 28 September 2018. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  27. ^ "Paul Davies wins Welsh Tory assembly group leadership poll". BBC News. 6 September 2018. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  28. ^ "Jane Dodds is new Welsh Liberal Democrat leader". BBC News. 3 November 2017. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  29. ^ "Mary Lou McDonald confirmed as new leader of Sinn Féin". Irish Times. 20 January 2018. Retrieved 4 August 2019.

External linksEdit