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2020 United States presidential election in Wyoming

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Main article: 2020 United States presidential election

The 2020 United States presidential election in Wyoming was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states and the District of Columbia participated.[2] Wyoming voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump and running mate Vice President Mike Pence, against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Wyoming has three electoral votes in the Electoral College.[3] Trump, the Republican nominee and incumbent president of the United States, won the state's three electoral votes.

2020 United States presidential election in Wyoming
← 2016 November 3, 2020 2024 →
Turnout62.6% Increase 4.79 pp[1]
 
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris
Electoral vote 3 0
Popular vote 193,559 73,491
Percentage 69.94% 26.55%
President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

Elected President

Joe Biden
Democratic

Trump routed Biden in Wyoming, with his 69.94% vote share there making it his strongest win in the election. He won the sparsely populated state by a margin of 43.39%, down from his 46.29% four years earlier. Prior to the election, all news organizations declared Wyoming a safe red state, therefore justifying its status as one of the safest red states in the country, not being won by a Democrat since Lyndon B. Johnson's 1964 landslide victory. Trump's 69.94% of the vote is the second-highest ever by a presidential candidate in Wyoming, only surpassed by Ronald Reagan during his 1984 landslide.

Despite his loss, Biden scored a landslide win in Teton County, garnering a larger vote share in it than any nominee since 1984. He also narrowly flipped the bellwether of Albany County, anchored by the college town of Laramie, which had supported Obama in 2008 before returning to the Republican Party in 2012 and 2016, albeit by a narrow margin.[4] Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Trump's strength in Wyoming came from whites, who comprised 89% of the electorate, and from voters prioritizing energy policy, with 62% believing the government should focus on expanding production of fossil fuels such as oil, gas, or coal.[5]

Caucuses

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Democratic caucuses

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Further information: 2020 Wyoming Democratic presidential caucuses

The Democratic caucuses were originally scheduled for April 4, 2020. On March 22, due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic, the Wyoming Democratic Party canceled in-person voting in favor of mail-in voting. The deadline was also extended to April 17.[6]

2020 Wyoming Democratic presidential caucuses[7]
Candidate Votes % Delegates[8]
Joe Biden 10,912 72.2% 12
Bernie Sanders (suspended) 4,206 27.8% 2
Total 15,118 100% 14

Republican caucuses

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The Republican state party convention was held in May to officially select the final delegates to the national convention. Trump won all 29 delegates from Wyoming: 12 at the county conventions and 17 at the state convention.[9]

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Safe R November 3, 2020
Inside Elections[11] Safe R November 3, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe R November 3, 2020
Politico[13] Safe R November 3, 2020
RCP[14] Safe R November 3, 2020
Niskanen[15] Safe R November 3, 2020
CNN[16] Safe R November 3, 2020
The Economist[17] Safe R November 3, 2020
CBS News[18] Likely R November 3, 2020
270towin[19] Safe R November 3, 2020
ABC News[20] Safe R November 3, 2020
NPR[21] Likely R November 3, 2020
NBC News[22] Safe R November 3, 2020
538[23] Safe R November 3, 2020

Polling

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Graphical summary

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Aggregate polls

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Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
updated 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other/
Undecided
[a] 		Margin
FiveThirtyEight[24] November 3, 2020 30.8% 62.3% 6.9% Trump +31.5

Polls

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Polls with a sample size of <100 have their sample size entries marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Jo
Jorgensen
Libertarian 		Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios[25] Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 367 (LV) ± 7% 66%[c] 33% – – –
University of Wyoming[26] Oct 8–28, 2020 614 (LV) ± 4% 59% 31% 5% – –
SurveyMonkey/Axios[25] Oct 1–28, 2020 739 (LV) – 68% 31% – – –
SurveyMonkey/Axios[25] Sep 1–30, 2020 236 (LV) – 65% 34% – – 1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[25] Aug 1–31, 2020 211 (LV) – 74% 25% – – 1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[25] Jul 1–31, 2020 246 (LV) – 70% 28% – – 2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[25] Jun 8–30, 2020 98 (LV) – 78% 22% – – 0%

Electoral slates

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These slates of electors were nominated by each party in order to vote in the Electoral College should their candidate win the state:[27]

Donald Trump and
Mike Pence
Republican Party 		Joe Biden and
Kamala Harris
Democratic Party 		Jo Jorgensen and
Spike Cohen
Libertarian Party 		Don Blankenship and
William Mohr
Constitution Party 		Brock Pierce and
Karla Ballard
Independent
Marti Halverson
Doug Chamberlain
Karl Allred 		Kelly Tamblyn
Andrea Clifford
Milward Simpson 		Shawn Johnson
Jared Baldes
Richard Brubaker 		Cindy Haggett
Michael O'Brien
Nanette Hinck 		Luke Onderko
Joann Dawn Grisham
Elizabeth Batton

Results

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2020 United States presidential election in Wyoming[28]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Donald Trump (incumbent)
Mike Pence (incumbent) 		193,559 69.94% +2.54%
Democratic Joe Biden
Kamala Harris 		73,491 26.55% +4.92%
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen 		5,768 2.08% −3.05%
Independent Brock Pierce
Karla Ballard 		2,208 0.80% N/A
Write-in 1,739 0.63% −2.04%
Total votes 276,765 100.00%
Republican win

By county

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County Donald Trump
Republican 		Joe Biden
Democratic 		Various candidates
Other parties 		Margin Total votes cast
# % # % # % # %
Albany 8,579 46.08% 9,092 48.84% 946 5.09% -513 -2.76% 18,617
Big Horn 4,806 83.55% 788 13.70% 158 2.75% 4,018 69.85% 5,752
Campbell 16,975 86.76% 1,935 9.89% 656 3.35% 15,040 76.87% 19,566
Carbon 5,014 75.24% 1,427 21.41% 223 3.35% 3,587 53.83% 6,664
Converse 5,917 84.89% 861 12.35% 192 2.76% 5,056 72.54% 6,970
Crook 3,651 88.64% 378 9.18% 90 2.18% 3,273 79.46% 4,119
Fremont 12,007 66.30% 5,519 30.47% 585 3.23% 6,488 35.83% 18,111
Goshen 4,878 78.16% 1,203 19.28% 160 2.57% 3,675 58.88% 6,241
Hot Springs 1,999 77.57% 482 18.70% 96 3.73% 1,517 58.87% 2,577
Johnson 3,881 78.98% 897 18.25% 136 2.77% 2,984 60.73% 4,914
Laramie 27,891 62.00% 15,217 33.83% 1,874 4.16% 12,674 28.17% 44,982
Lincoln 8,643 82.57% 1,509 14.42% 316 3.03% 7,134 68.15% 10,468
Natrona 25,271 71.79% 8,530 24.23% 1,401 3.98% 16,741 47.56% 35,202
Niobrara 1,118 85.47% 155 11.85% 35 2.68% 963 73.62% 1,308
Park 12,813 76.65% 3,410 20.40% 494 2.96% 9,403 56.25% 16,717
Platte 3,898 79.18% 890 18.08% 135 2.75% 3,008 61.10% 4,923
Sheridan 11,843 72.09% 4,043 24.61% 542 3.29% 7,800 47.48% 16,428
Sublette 3,957 79.62% 882 17.75% 131 2.63% 3,075 61.87% 4,970
Sweetwater 12,229 73.66% 3,823 23.03% 551 3.32% 8,406 50.63% 16,603
Teton 4,341 29.58% 9,848 67.10% 488 3.33% -5,507 -37.52% 14,677
Uinta 7,496 79.73% 1,591 16.92% 315 3.35% 5,905 62.81% 9,402
Washakie 3,245 80.88% 651 16.23% 116 2.89% 2,594 64.65% 4,012
Weston 3,107 87.72% 360 10.16% 75 2.11% 2,747 77.56% 3,542
Total 193,559 69.94% 73,491 26.55% 9,715 3.51% 120,068 43.39% 276,765
 
 
 
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
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By congressional district

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Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated. This district is called the At-Large district, because it covers the entire state, and thus is equivalent to the statewide election results.

District Trump Biden Representative
At-large 69.94% 26.55% Liz Cheney

See also

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Notes

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  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size

References

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  1. ^ "Wyoming Voter Registration and Voter Turnout Statistics" (PDF). sos.wyo.gov/. Retrieved November 11, 2020.
  2. ^ Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Archived from the original on August 2, 2018. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  3. ^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  4. ^ "County winners, 1836-2016". Google Docs. Retrieved November 20, 2020.
  5. ^ "Wyoming Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved November 17, 2020.
  6. ^ "Wyoming Democratic Caucus moves to only mail-in voting". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. March 22, 2020.
  7. ^ "2020 Caucus Results". www.wyodems.org. Wyoming Democratic Party. Archived from the original on September 13, 2020. Retrieved April 19, 2020.
  8. ^ "Delegate Tracker". interactives.ap.org. Associated Press. Retrieved April 19, 2020.
  9. ^ "Wyoming Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved February 21, 2020.
  10. ^ "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  11. ^ "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  12. ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  13. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  14. ^ "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  15. ^ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Archived April 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.
  16. ^ David Chalian; Terence Burlij (June 11, 2020). "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
  17. ^ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
  18. ^ "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
  19. ^ "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
  20. ^ "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
  21. ^ Montanaro, Domenico (August 3, 2020). "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved August 3, 2020.
  22. ^ "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. August 6, 2020. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
  23. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. August 12, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
  24. ^ Best, Ryan; Bycoffe, Aaron; King, Ritchie; Mehta, Dhrumil; Wiederkehr, Anna (June 28, 2018). "Wyoming : President: general election Polls". FiveThirtyEight.
  25. ^ a b c d e f "Candidate preference". www.tableau.com.
  26. ^ "UW Survey: Wyoming Voters Prefer Trump to Biden | News | University of Wyoming". UWYO News.
  27. ^ "2020 Presidential Electors Information" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved December 6, 2020.
  28. ^ "Statewide Candidates Official Summary Wyoming General Election - November 3, 2020" (PDF). sos.wyo.gov/. Retrieved November 11, 2020.
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