2020 Chilean national plebiscite

The 2020 Chilean national plebiscite is scheduled to be held in Chile on 25 October 2020.[1][2][3] The planned referendum will determine whether a new constitution will be drafted, and whether it will be drafted by a constitutional convention, made up by members elected directly for this convention, or a mixed constitutional convention, made up in halves by currently-sitting members of Parliament and directly elected citizens.[2] A second vote, which will be held alongside municipal and gubernatorial elections on 11 April 2021, would elect the members of the constitutional convention. A third vote, which is expected to occur in 2022, would accept or reject the new constitution after it is drafted.[1]

Chilean national plebiscite, 2020
Date25 October 2020

The plebiscite is a response to the 2019 Chilean protests.[2]

PostponementEdit

Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, on 24 March 2020 the Congress agreed to reschedule the plebiscite originally set for 26 April 2020 to 25 October 2020 and the subsequent Convention election from 25 October 2020 to 11 April 2021. The change —which required a constitutional reform— was promulgated by the President and published in the country's Official Gazette on 26 March 2020.[4][1]

CampaignEdit

Parties supporting ApproveEdit

Parties supporting RejectEdit

Opinion pollingEdit

National polls for the first question: Do you want a New Constitution?
Do you want a New Constitution?
  Approve
  Reject
  Don't know/No answer
Line represents 3-week moving average for each option.
National polls for the second question: What kind of body should write the New Constitution?
What kind of body should write the New Constitution?
  Constitutional Convention
  Mixed Constitutional Convention
  Don't know/No answer
Line represents 3-week moving average for each option.
Field dates Pollster Question 1: Do you want a New Constitution? Question 2: What kind of body should write the New Constitution? Notes
Approve Reject DK/NA Constitutional Convention Mixed Constitutional Convention DK/NA
15-Nov to 16-Nov Cadem 82% 16% 2% 60% 35% 5%
15-Nov to 17-Nov Activa 81.1% 8.2% 4.4% 63.5% 24.4% 5.9% "Approve" voters only.
21-Nov to 22-Nov Cadem 85% 12% 3% 62% 33% 5%
19-Nov to 26-Nov Criteria 72% 13% 10% 51% 32% 10%
22-Nov to 26-Nov Activa 77.2% 6.6% 6% 47.4% 22.8% 12.3%
28-Nov to 12-Dec DESOC-COES 85.5% 8.1% 6.4% 51.4% 38.8% 9.8%
28-Nov to 6-Jan CEP 67% 13% 20% 44% 37% 19%
18-Dec to 20-Dec Cadem 86% 12% 1% 61% 36% 3%
17-Dec to 26-Dec Activa 75.8% 10.0% 8.8% 53.7% 23.7% 12.2%
2-Jan to 3-Jan Cadem 72% 20% 6% 51% 43% 6%
8-Jan to 10-Jan Cadem 74% 19% 5% 52% 43% 5%
6-Jan to 15-Jan MORI-FIEL 68% 17% 15% 42% 32% 26%
10-Jan to 16-Jan Activa 77.9% 8.8% 13.2% 57.2% 24.4% 8.6%
18-Jan to 21-Jan Data Influye 73% 22% 0% 54% 29% 17%
22-Jan to 24-Jan Cadem 66% 25% 6% 47% 45% 8%
21-Jan to 28-Jan Criteria 71% 21% 2% 56% 35% 2%
24-Jan to 30-Jan Activa 69.1% 14.5% 8.6% 50.3% 24.4% 15.4%
29-Jan to 31-Jan Cadem 72% 22% 4% 50% 42% 8%
5-Feb to 7-Feb Cadem 67% 27% 4% 51% 42% 7%
6-Feb to 13-Feb Activa 69.7% 14.2% 4.4% 44.1% 27.2% 14.2%
15-Feb to 18-Feb Data Influye 75% 19% 0% 58% 27% 15%
19-Feb to 29-Feb Criteria 67% 22% 4% 52% 34% 2%
20-Feb to 28-Feb Activa 69.6% 13.1% 7.8% 51.2% 24.4% 14.6%
26-Feb to 28-Feb Cadem 67% 25% -% 53% 36% -%
4-Mar to 6-Mar Cadem 66% 24% -% 58% 33% -%
5-Mar to 12-Mar Activa 65.3% 14.4% -% 50.8% 22.8% -%
11-Mar to 13-Mar Cadem 68% 21% -% 52% 38% -%
14-Mar to 15-Mar StatKnows 55.49% 34.72% -% 53.7% 28.8% -%
14-Mar to 16-Mar Data Influye 74% 18% -% 65% 24% -%
18-Mar to 20-Mar Cadem 62% 25% -% 51% 39% -%
20-Mar to 27-Mar Activa 68.7% 17.1% -% 54.6% 26.5% -%
3-Abr to 9-Abr Activa 70.0% 16.9% -% 46.9% 29.9% -%
27-Abr to 28-Abr Activa 74.2% 10.8% -% 53.1% 23.5% -%
29-Abr to 30-Abr Cadem 65% 26% -% 50% 42% -%
11-May to 12-May Activa 69.9% 16.6% -% 51.5% 26.9% -%
28-May to 30-May Activa 70.2% 13.2% -% 45.2% 31.0% -%
11-Jun to 13-Jun Activa 73.0% 10.9% -% 49.6% 27.7% -%
26-Jun to 28-Jun Activa 68.1% 12.6% -% 46.5% 26.9% -%
9-Jul to 11-Jul Activa 71.9% 11.9% -% 48.4% 26.5% -%
10-Jul to 17-Jul Numen 61.6% 27.7% -% 48.8% 28.8% -% Commissioned by the "Reject" campaign team.
22-Jul to 24-Jul Cadem 71% 20% -% 55% 35% -%
30-Jul to 1-Aug Activa 77.0% 9.9% -% 48.7% 31.6% -%
13-Aug to 15-Aug Activa 68.0% 10.3% -% 49.0% 25.8% -%
14-Aug to 21-Aug Numen 42.3% 34.6% -% N/A N/A N/A Commissioned by the "Reject" campaign team.
20-Aug to 24-Aug StatKnows 55.4% 43.09% -% 54% 33% -%
27-Aug to 29-Aug Activa 71% 11.5% -% 46.5% 28% -%
26-Aug to 31-Aug Criteria 74% 17% -% N/A N/A N/A
10-Sep to 12-Sep Activa 75.1% 11.2% -% 57% 23% -%


ReferencesEdit

  1. ^ a b c Romero, María Cristina (26 March 2020). "Presidente promulga reforma que posterga el Plebiscito para el 25 de octubre". Emol (in Spanish). Retrieved 27 March 2020.
  2. ^ a b c Krygier, Rachelle. "Chile to hold referendum on new constitution". Washington Post. Retrieved 16 November 2019.
  3. ^ "Chile agrees to hold referendum on constitution: 5 things to know". www.aljazeera.com. Retrieved 16 November 2019.
  4. ^ https://www.camara.cl/cms/noticias/2020/03/24/aprueban-en-sala-proyecto-que-posterga-fecha-del-plebiscito-constituyente/
  5. ^ ""Evópoli decide pasar del apruebo a la libertad de acción ante plebiscito"". El Líbero (in Spanish). 29 August 2020. Retrieved 22 October 2020.
  6. ^ Rodrigo Caramori en Radio Portales: proceso constituyente y al plebiscito de abril 2020
  7. ^ ""Así No": la facción de Evópoli que este sábado defenderá su opción por rechazar el plebiscito". El Líbero (in Spanish). 21 January 2020. Retrieved 22 January 2020.

External linksEdit