1944 United States presidential election
The 1944 United States presidential election was the 40th quadrennial presidential election. It was held on Tuesday, November 7, 1944. The election took place during World War II. Incumbent Democratic President Franklin D. Roosevelt defeated Republican Thomas E. Dewey to win an unprecedented fourth term. Until 1996, this would be the last time in which an incumbent Democratic president would win re-election after serving a full term in office.
531 members of the Electoral College
266 electoral votes needed to win
|Turnout||55.9% 6.6 pp|
Presidential election results map. Blue denotes those won by Roosevelt/Truman, red denotes states won by Dewey/Bricker. Numbers indicate the number of electoral votes allotted to each state.
Roosevelt had become the first president to win a third term with his victory in the 1940 presidential election, and there was little doubt that he would seek a fourth term. Unlike in 1940, Roosevelt faced little opposition within his own party, and he easily won the presidential nomination of the 1944 Democratic National Convention. Concerned that Roosevelt's ill-health would mean the Vice President would likely become President, the convention dropped Roosevelt's running mate Henry A. Wallace in favor of Senator Harry S. Truman of Missouri. Governor Dewey of New York emerged as the front-runner for the Republican nomination after his victory in the Wisconsin primary, and he defeated conservative Governor John W. Bricker at the 1944 Republican National Convention.
As World War II was going well for the United States and its Allies, Roosevelt remained popular despite his long tenure. Dewey campaigned against the New Deal and for a smaller government, but was ultimately unsuccessful in convincing the country to change course. The election was closer than Roosevelt's other presidential campaigns, but Roosevelt still won by a comfortable margin in the popular vote and by a wide margin in the Electoral College. Rumors of Roosevelt's ill health, though somewhat dispelled by his vigorous campaigning, proved to be prescient; Roosevelt died less than three months into his fourth term and was succeeded by Truman.
As of 2021, this is the most recent presidential election to have a Democrat win every state of the former Confederacy and the entire southern region. In 1976, all Southern states except Oklahoma and Virginia voted for Democratic nominee Jimmy Carter, who was from Georgia. Roosevelt is the only president to serve for more than two terms; in 1951, the Twenty-second Amendment was ratified, limiting the number of terms a person may be president.
Democratic Party nominationEdit
|Franklin D. Roosevelt||Harry S. Truman|
|for President||for Vice President|
President of the United States
|U.S. Senator from Missouri|
President Roosevelt was the popular, wartime incumbent and faced little formal opposition. Although many Southern Democrats mistrusted Roosevelt's racial policies, he brought enormous war activities to the region and the end of its marginal status was in sight. No major figure opposed Roosevelt publicly, and he was re-nominated easily when the Democratic Convention met in Chicago. Some pro-segregationist delegates tried to unite behind Virginia senator Harry F. Byrd, but he refused to campaign actively against Roosevelt, and did not get enough delegates to seriously threaten the President's chances.
The obvious physical decline in the president's appearance, as well as rumors of secret health problems, led many delegates and party leaders to strongly oppose Vice President Henry A. Wallace for a second term. Opposition to Wallace came especially from Catholic leaders in big cities and moderate Democrats. Wallace, who had been Roosevelt's vice president since January 1941, was regarded by most conservatives as being too left-wing and personally eccentric to be next in line for the presidency. He had performed so poorly as economic coordinator that Roosevelt had to remove him from that post. Numerous moderate party leaders privately sent word to Roosevelt that they would fight Wallace's re-nomination as vice president and proposed instead Senator Harry S. Truman, a moderate from Missouri. Truman was highly visible as the chairman of a Senate wartime committee investigating fraud and inefficiency in the war program. Roosevelt, who personally liked Wallace and knew little about Truman, agreed reluctantly to accept Truman as his running mate to preserve party unity. Even so, many delegates on the left refused to abandon Wallace, and they voted for him on the first ballot. However, enough large Northern, Midwestern, and Southern states supported Truman to give him victory on the second ballot. The fight over the vice-presidential nomination proved to be consequential; the ticket won and Roosevelt died in April 1945, and Truman instead of Wallace became the nation's thirty-third President.
|Thomas E. Dewey||John W. Bricker|
|for President||for Vice President|
Governor of New York
Governor of Ohio
Businessman Wendell Willkie from New York
As 1944 began, the frontrunners for the Republican nomination appeared to be Wendell Willkie, the party's 1940 nominee, Senator Robert A. Taft from Ohio, the leader of the party's conservatives, New York Governor Thomas E. Dewey, the leader of the party's moderate eastern establishment, General Douglas MacArthur, then serving as an Allied commander in the Pacific theater of the war, and former Minnesota Governor Harold Stassen, then serving as a U.S. naval officer in the Pacific. Taft surprised many by declining to run for president as he wanted to remain in the Senate; instead, he voiced his support for a fellow Ohio conservative, Governor John W. Bricker.
With Taft out of the race some Republican conservatives favored General MacArthur. However, MacArthur's chances were limited by the fact that he was leading Allied forces against Japan, and thus could not campaign for the nomination. His supporters entered his name in the Wisconsin primary nonetheless. The Wisconsin primary proved to be the key contest, as Dewey won by a surprisingly wide margin. He took fourteen delegates to four for Harold Stassen, while MacArthur won the three remaining delegates. Willkie was shut out in the Wisconsin primary; he did not win a single delegate. His unexpectedly poor showing in Wisconsin forced him to withdraw as a candidate for the nomination. However, at the time of his sudden death in early October 1944, Willkie had endorsed neither Dewey nor Roosevelt. At the 1944 Republican National Convention in Chicago, Dewey easily overcame Bricker and was nominated for president on the first ballot. Dewey, a moderate to liberal Republican, chose the conservative Bricker as his running mate. Dewey originally preferred fellow liberal California Governor Earl Warren, but agreed on Bricker to preserve party unity (Warren would go on to run with Dewey in the 1948 election). Bricker was nominated for vice president by acclamation.
|Poll Source||Field Date(s)||Sample Size||Franklin Roosevelt
|Election Results||November 7, 1944||53.4%||45.9%||0.7%||-||7.5|
|Fortune||November 5, 1944||50.9%||44.1%||-||5.0%||~7|
|Gallup Poll News Service||November 3, 1944||3,085 (A)||46.5%||45.6%||0.4%||7.6%||0.9|
|Fortune||October 20, 1944||?||?||-||?||7.0|
|Gallup Poll News Service||October 17, 1944||2,404 (A)||47.8%||42.5%||0.3%||9.5%||5.2|
|Gallup Poll News Service||October 12, 1944||2,743 (A)||46.1%||43.1%||0.4%||10.3%||3.0|
|Gallup Poll News Service||October 6, 1944||2,616 (A)||48.6%||40.0%||0.3%||11.1%||8.6|
|Gallup Poll News Service||October 3, 1944||2,601 (A)||44.2%||44.4%||0.4%||9.8%||0.2|
|Gallup Poll News Service||September 20, 1944||2,988 (A)||47.0%||43.2%||-||9.8%||3.9|
|Gallup Poll News Service||September 14, 1944||2,917 (A)||48.6%||40.7%||0.7%||10.1%||7.8|
|Gallup Poll News Service||September 6, 1944||615 (A)||44.6%||34.6%||-||20.8%||9.9|
|Gallup Poll News Service||August 29, 1944||3,021 (A)||46.4%||42.3%||-||11.3%||4.1|
|Gallup Poll News Service||August 16, 1944||1,171 (A)||48.8%||38.2%||-||13.1%||10.6|
|Gallup Poll News Service||August 1, 1944||1,231 (A)||46.8%||41.7%||-||11.5%||5.1|
|Fortune||July 20, 1944||50.8%||42.2%||-||7.0%||8.6|
|Gallup Poll News Service||July 18, 1944||3,020 (A)||49.5%||41.0%||-||9.6%||8.5|
|Gallup Poll News Service||June 20, 1944||2,910 (A)||51.0%||43.5%||-||5.5%||7.5|
|Gallup Poll News Service||June 7, 1944||2,718 (A)||50.6%||45.1%||-||4.3%||5.4|
|Gallup Poll News Service||May 23, 1944||3,009 (A)||50.3%||44.7%||-||5.0%||5.6|
|Gallup Poll News Service||May 9, 1944||2,631 (A)||51.2%||42.9%||-||5.9%||8.3|
|Gallup Poll News Service||April 25, 1944||1,566 (A)||48.0%||46.2%||-||5.8%||1.9|
|Gallup Poll News Service||March 29, 1944||2,982 (A)||51.2%||41.2%||-||7.6%||10.1|
|Gallup Poll News Service||March 15, 1944||1,400 (A)||53.4%||42.4%||-||4.2%||11.0|
|Gallup Poll News Service||March 1, 1944||1,643 (A)||53.1%||42.2%||-||4.7%||11.0|
|Gallup Poll News Service||February 1, 1944||2,980 (A)||48.8%[a]||44.6%[b]||-||6.6%||4.2|
|Gallup Poll News Service||January 4, 1944||3,006 (A)||54.3%||37.3%||-||8.4%||17.0|
|Gallup Poll News Service||November 9, 1943||3,026 (A)||53.9%||39.9%||-||6.2%||14.0|
|Gallup Poll News Service||October 26, 1943||2,918 (A)||48.5%[c]||43.4%[d]||-||8.1%||5.1|
|Gallup Poll News Service||September 14, 1943||2,645 (A)||58.0%||33.7%||-||8.3%||24.3|
|Gallup Poll News Service||July 7, 1943||3,033 (A)||52.3%||38.3%||-||9.5%||14.0|
|Gallup Poll News Service||June 2, 1943||1,442 (A)||51.9%[e]||40.2%[f]||-||7.9%||11.8|
|Gallup Poll News Service||May 12, 1943||1,497 (A)||47.1%[g]||36.3%[h]||-||16.6%||10.8|
|Gallup Poll News Service||April 27, 1943||1,486 (A)||51.6%[i]||36.8%[j]||-||11.6%||14.7|
|Gallup Poll News Service||January 7, 1943||2,808 (A)||49.7%||32.7%||-||17.6%||17.0|
|Gallup Poll News Service||December 15, 1942||1,380 (A)||41.1%||35.8%||-||23.1%||5.3|
The Republicans campaigned against the New Deal, seeking a smaller government and less-regulated economy as the end of the war seemed in sight. Nonetheless, Roosevelt's continuing popularity was the main theme of the campaign. To quiet rumors of his poor health, Roosevelt insisted on making a vigorous campaign swing in October and rode in an open car through city streets.
A high point of the campaign occurred when Roosevelt, speaking to a meeting of labor union leaders, gave a speech carried on national radio in which he ridiculed Republican claims that his administration was corrupt and wasteful with tax money. He particularly derided a Republican claim that he had sent a US Navy warship to pick up his Scottish Terrier Fala in Alaska, noting that "Fala was furious" at such rumors. The speech was met with loud laughter and applause from the labor leaders. In response, Governor Dewey gave a blistering partisan speech in Oklahoma City a few days later on national radio, in which he accused Roosevelt of being "indispensable" to corrupt big-city Democratic organizations and American Communists; he also referred to members of Roosevelt's cabinet as a "motley crew". However, American battlefield successes in Europe and the Pacific during the campaign, such as the liberation of Paris in August 1944 and the successful Battle of Leyte Gulf in the Philippines in October 1944, made President Roosevelt unbeatable.
Throughout the campaign, Roosevelt led Dewey in all the polls by varying margins. On election day, the Democratic incumbent scored a fairly comfortable victory over his Republican challenger. Roosevelt took 36 states for 432 electoral votes (266 were needed to win), while Dewey won twelve states and 99 electoral votes. In the popular vote, Roosevelt won 25,612,916 (53.4%) votes to Dewey's 22,017,929 (45.9%). Dewey conceded in a radio address the following morning, but declined personally call or send a telegram to President Roosevelt. Roosevelt sent Dewey a telegram reading, "I thank you for your statement, which I heard over the air a few minutes ago." Roosevelt's victory made him the only person ever to win the presidential popular vote four times, and neither party would win the popular vote four consecutive times until the Democrats did so in all four elections from 2008 to 2020.
The important question had been which leader, Roosevelt or Dewey, should be chosen for the critical days of peacemaking and reconstruction following the war's conclusion. Most American voters concluded that they should retain the governing party, and particularly the president who represented it. They also felt it unsafe to do so in "wartime", in view of ever-increasing domestic disagreements.
Dewey did better against Roosevelt than any of Roosevelt's previous three Republican opponents: Roosevelt's percentage and margin of the total vote were both less than in 1940. Dewey also gained the personal satisfaction of finishing ahead of Roosevelt in his hometown of Hyde Park, New York, and ahead of Truman in his hometown of Independence, Missouri. Dewey would again become the Republican presidential nominee in 1948, challenging President Truman (who had assumed that office on FDR's death), and would again lose, though by somewhat smaller popular- and electoral-vote margins.
Of the 3,095 counties/independent cities making returns, Roosevelt won the most popular votes in 1,751 (56.58%) while Dewey carried 1,343 (43.39%). The Texas Regular ticket carried one county (0.03%).
In New York, only the combined support of the American Labor and Liberal parties (pledged to Roosevelt but otherwise independent of the Democrats to maintain their identities) enabled Roosevelt to win the electoral votes of his home state.
In 1944, the constantly growing Southern protest against Roosevelt's leadership became clearest in Texas, where 135,553 people voted against Roosevelt but not for the Republican ticket. The Texas Regular ticket resulted from a split in the Democratic Party in its two state conventions, May 23 and September 12, 1944. This ticket, which represented the Democratic element opposing the re-election of President Roosevelt, called for the "restoration of states' rights which have been destroyed by the Communist New Deal" and "restoration of the supremacy of the white race". Its electors were uninstructed.
As he had in 1940, Roosevelt won re-election with a lower percentage of both the electoral vote and the popular vote than he had received in the prior elections—the second of only three American presidents to do so, preceded by James Madison in 1812 and followed by Barack Obama in 2012. Andrew Jackson in 1832 and Grover Cleveland in 1892 had received more electoral votes but fewer popular votes, while Woodrow Wilson in 1916 had received more popular votes but fewer electoral votes.
This is the last election in which New Hampshire and Oregon voted Democratic until 1964 and the last in which Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Michigan, New Jersey, New York, and Pennsylvania did so until 1960.
|Presidential candidate||Party||Home state||Popular vote||Electoral
|Count||Percentage||Vice-presidential candidate||Home state||Electoral vote|
|Franklin Delano Roosevelt (Incumbent)||Democratic||New York||25,612,916||53.39%||432||Harry S. Truman||Missouri||432|
|Thomas Edmund Dewey||Republican||New York||22,017,929||45.89%||99||John William Bricker||Ohio||99|
|Norman Mattoon Thomas||Socialist||New York||79,017||0.16%||0||Darlington Hoopes||Pennsylvania||0|
|Claude A. Watson||Prohibition||California||74,758||0.16%||0||Andrew Nathan Johnson||Kentucky||0|
|Edward A. Teichert||Socialist Labor||Pennsylvania||45,188||0.09%||0||Arla Arbaugh||Ohio||0|
|Needed to win||266||266|
Source (Popular Vote): Leip, David. "1944 Presidential Election Results". Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. Retrieved August 1, 2005.Source (Electoral Vote): "Electoral College Box Scores 1789–1996". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved August 1, 2005.
Geography of resultsEdit
Gallery of mapsEdit
Results by stateEdit
|States/districts won by Roosevelt/Truman|
|States/districts won by Dewey/Bricker|
|Franklin D. Roosevelt
|Thomas E. Dewey
Margin of victory less than 1% (25 electoral votes):
- Ohio, 0.37% (11,530 votes)
Margin of victory less than 5% (165 electoral votes):
- Michigan, 1.02% (22,476 votes)
- New Jersey, 1.35% (26,539 votes)
- Wisconsin, 1.80% (24,119 votes)
- Wyoming, 2.47% (2,502 votes)
- Pennsylvania, 2.78% (105,425 votes)
- Missouri, 2.94% (46,280 votes)
- Illinois, 3.47% (140,165 votes)
- Idaho, 3.49% (7,262 votes)
- Maryland, 3.70% (22,541 votes)
- New Hampshire, 4.24% (9,747 votes)
- Iowa, 4.50% (47,391 votes)
- Oregon, 4.85% (23,270 votes)
- Maine, 4.99% (14,803 votes)
Margin of victory between 5% and 10% (138 electoral votes):
- New York, 5.01% (316,591 votes) (tipping point state)
- Connecticut, 5.36% (44,619 votes)
- Minnesota, 5.55% (62,448 votes)
- Indiana, 5.65% (94,488 votes)
- Massachusetts, 5.81% (113,946 votes)
- Colorado, 6.81% (34,400 votes)
- New Mexico, 7.03% (10,701 votes)
- North Dakota, 8.35% (18,391 votes)
- Delaware, 9.11% (11,419 votes)
- Kentucky, 9.23% (80,141 votes)
- Nevada, 9.24% (5,012 votes)
- Montana, 9.35% (19,393 votes)
- West Virginia, 9.78% (69,958 votes)
Counties with Highest Percent of Vote (Democratic)
- Armstrong County, South Dakota 100.00%
- Leake County, Mississippi 99.15%
- Chesterfield County, South Carolina 98.77%
- Taliaferro County, Georgia 98.48%
- Barnwell County, South Carolina 98.41%
Counties with Highest Percent of Vote (Republican)
- With Henry Wallace
- With Douglas MacArthur
- With Henry Wallace
- With Douglas MacArthur
- With Henry Wallace
- With Douglas MacArthur
- With Henry Wallace
- With Douglas MacArthur
- With Henry Wallace
- With Douglas MacArthur
- "Voter Turnout in Presidential Elections". The American Presidency Project. UC Santa Barbara.
- Smith, Jean Edward (2007). FDR. New York: Random House. pp. 617–619. ISBN 978-1-4000-6121-1. OCLC 71350593.
- Alonzo L. Hamby, Man of the People: A Life of Harry S. Truman (1995) ch 17
- Miles S. Richards, “The Progressive Democrats in Chicago, July 1944,” South Carolina Historical Magazine, 102 (July 2001), 219–37.
- Weintraub, Stanley. Final Victory: FDR's Extraordinary World War II Presidential Campaign, pp. 29-59 ISBN 0306821133
- Taft, Robert Alphonso and Wunderlin, Clarence E.; The Papers of Robert A. Taft: 1939-1944, p. 397 ISBN 0873386795
- "Roosevelt Is Favored In Final Fortune Poll". timesmachine.nytimes.com.
- "FORTUNE POLL GIVES EDGE TO ROOSEVELT". timesmachine.nytimes.com.
- "Sharp Drop in Popularity of Roosevelt Sequel to Liberation of Paris, Poll Finds". timesmachine.nytimes.com.
- "ROOSEVELT GAINS IN FORTUNE'S POLL; Re-election Is Found Favored by 52.5%, Against 43.9% for Governor Dewey". timesmachine.nytimes.com.
- Jordan, David M.; FDR, Dewey, and the Election of 1944, pp. 119 ISBN 0253356830
- Nash, Gerald D.; Franklin Delano Roosevelt, p. 66 ISBN 0133305147
- Weintraub; Final Victory, pp. 144-149 ISBN 0306821133
- Jordan; FDR, Dewey and the Election of 1944, p. 266
- "No modern presidential candidate has refused to concede. Here's why that matters". History & Culture. November 8, 2020. Retrieved November 14, 2020.
- Jordan; FDR, Dewey and the Election of 1944; pp. 111, 214
- "Franklin D. Roosevelt: Campaigns and Elections | Miller Center". October 4, 2016.
- Cunningham, Sean; Cowboy Conservatism and the Rise of the Modern Right; p. 26 ISBN 081317371X
- "1944 Presidential General Election Data - National". Retrieved April 14, 2013.
- Davis, Michael. Politics as Usual: Thomas Dewey, Franklin Roosevelt, and the Wartime Presidential Campaign of 1944 (Cornell UP, 2014).
- Divine, Robert A. Foreign policy and U.S. presidential elections, 1940-1948 (1974) online free to borrow pp 91 to 166 on 1944.
- Evans, Hugh E. The Hidden Campaign: FDR's Health and the 1944 Election (ME Sharpe, 2002).
- Ferrell, Robert H. (1994). Choosing Truman: The Democratic Convention of 1944. University of Missouri Press. ISBN 978-0-8262-7298-0.
- Hamby, Alonzo L. Man of the People: A Life of Harry S. Truman (1995), chapter 17
- Jordan, David M. (2011). FDR, Dewey, and the Election of 1944. Bloomington, Indiana: Indiana University Press.
- Kennedy, Patrick D. "Chicago's Irish Americans and the Candidacies of Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932-1944." Illinois Historical Journal 88.4 (1995): 263-278 online.
- Luconi, Stefano. "The Impact of World War II on the Political Behavior of the Italian-American Electorate in New York City." New York History (2002): 404-417 online.
- Norpoth, Helmut. Unsurpassed: The Popular Appeal of Franklin Roosevelt (Oxford University Press, 2018).
- Savage, Sean J. "The 1936-1944 Campaigns," in William D. Pederson, ed. A Companion to Franklin D. Roosevelt (2011) pp 96–113 online
- Smith, Richard Norton. Thomas E. Dewey and His Times (1984), the standard scholarly biography
- Cantril, Hadley and Mildred Strunk, eds.; Public Opinion, 1935–1946 (1951), massive compilation of many public opinion polls from USA
- Gallup, George H. ed. The Gallup Poll, Volume One 1935–1948 (1972) statistical reports on each poll
- Chester, Edward W A Guide to Political Platforms (1977) online
- Porter, Kirk H. and Donald Bruce Johnson, eds. National Party Platforms, 1840-1964 (1965) online 1840-1956
- Tuesday In November: The 1944 Presidential Election
- 1944 popular vote by counties
- How close was the 1944 election? — Michael Sheppard, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
- Election of 1944 in Counting the Votes[permanent dead link]