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United States presidential election in Kansas, 2016

The 2016 United States presidential election in Kansas was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 General Election in which all 50 states plus The District of Columbia participated. Kansas voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her running mate, Virginia Senator Tim Kaine.

United States presidential election in Kansas, 2016

← 2012 November 8, 2016 2020 →
Turnout 67.40% Increase

 
Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg
Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg
Nominee Donald Trump Hillary Clinton
Party Republican Democratic
Home state New York New York
Running mate Mike Pence Tim Kaine
Electoral vote 6 0
Popular vote 671,018 427,005
Percentage 56.6% 36.0%

Kansas Presidential Election Results 2016.svg
County Results


President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Treemap of the popular vote by county.

On March 5, 2016, in the presidential primaries, voters expressed their preferences for the Democratic and Republican parties' respective nominees for president.

Donald Trump won the election in Kansas with 56.6% of the vote. Hillary Clinton received 36.0% of the vote.[1] Kansas was among the eleven states in which Hillary Clinton outperformed Barack Obama's margin in 2012 (though her percentage was lower than Obama's 38% of the vote), largely due to a significant shift towards Democrats in Johnson County.[2]

Contents

BackgroundEdit

The incumbent President of the United States, Barack Obama, a Democrat and former U.S. Senator from Illinois, was first elected president in the 2008 election, running with then-Senator Joe Biden of Delaware. Defeating the Republican nominee, Senator John McCain of Arizona, with 52.9% of the popular vote and 68% of the electoral vote,[3][4] Obama succeeded two-term Republican President George W. Bush, the former Governor of Texas. Obama and Biden were reelected in the 2012 presidential election, defeating former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney with 51.1% of the popular vote and 61.7% of electoral votes.[5] Although Barack Obama's approval rating in the RealClearPolitics poll tracking average remained between 40 and 50 percent for most of his second term, it has experienced a surge in early 2016 and reached its highest point since 2012 during June of that year.[6][7] Analyst Nate Cohn has noted that a strong approval rating for President Obama would equate to a strong performance for the Democratic candidate, and vice versa.[8]

Following his second term, President Obama is not eligible for another reelection. In October 2015, Obama's running-mate and two-term Vice President Biden decided not to enter the race for the Democratic presidential nomination either.[9] With their term expiring on January 20, 2017, the electorate is asked to elect a new president, the 45th president and 48th vice president of the United States, respectively.

Political landscape in KansasEdit

The state of Kansas has given its electoral votes to the Republican ticket since 1968, and only once to the Democrats (1964) since 1940. All current statewide officials are Republicans, as are all four members of the state's U.S. House delegation. Mitt Romney defeated Barack Obama by a margin of 60% to 38% in 2012. However, Kansas has been considered a state that could be picked up by Hillary Clinton, due to Donald Trump's unpopularity amongst conservatives. A poll conducted by John Zogby found Clinton leading Trump by 7 points in June.[10] In addition, an internal poll for Representative Kevin Yoder, a Republican from Kansas' 3rd congressional district, released an internal poll showing Clinton leading Trump by 6 points in his district.[11] This district voted for Mitt Romney by a 10-point margin in 2012 and has a PVI of R+6. This result, coupled with Clinton's gains in national polls, caused Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball to move the Kansas race from "Safe Republican" to "Likely Republican" on August 18.[12]

Primary electionsEdit

Democratic caucusesEdit

 
Results of the Democratic caucuses by Congressional District
  Bernie Sanders
Kansas Democratic caucuses, March 5, 2016
Candidate District delegates Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Bernie Sanders 26,637 67.90% 23 0 23
Hillary Clinton 12,593 32.10% 10 4 14
Uncommitted N/A 0 0 0
Total 39,230 100% 33 4 37
Source: The Green Papers

Republican caucusesEdit

 
Results of the Republican caucuses by Congressional District
  Ted Cruz
Kansas Republican precinct caucuses, March 5, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
  Ted Cruz 37,512 47.50% 24 0 24
Donald Trump 18,443 23.35% 9 0 9
Marco Rubio 13,295 16.83% 6 0 6
John Kasich 8,741 11.07% 1 0 1
Ben Carson (withdrawn) 582 0.74% 0 0 0
Uncommitted 279 0.35% 0 0 0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn) 84 0.11% 0 0 0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn) 42 0.05% 0 0 0
Unprojected delegates: 0 0 0
Total: 78,978 100.00% 40 0 40
Source: The Green Papers

General electionEdit

PollingEdit

Minor candidatesEdit

The following received write-in status:[13]

  • President: Andrew D. Basiago; Vice President: Karen D. Kinnison
  • President: Darrell L Castle; Vice President: Scott N. Bradley
  • President: “Rocky” Roque De La Fuente, Vice President: Michael Steinberg
  • President: Rocky Giordani; Vice President: Farley M Anderson
  • President: James A Hedges; Vice President: Bill V Bayes
  • President: Tom Hoefling; Vice President: Steve Schulin
  • President: Lynn Kahn; Vice President: Kathy Monahan
  • President: Gloria La Riva; Vice President: Eugene Puryer
  • President: Michael S. Levinson; Vice President: Perry E. Wharton, II
  • President: Michael A Maturen; Vice President: Juan A Munoz
  • President: Evan McMullin; Vice President: Nathan D Johnson
  • President: Monica G. Moorehead; Vice President: Lamont G. Lilly
  • President: Darryl Perry; Vice President: Conan Salada
  • President: Marshall R. Schoenke; Vice President: James C. Mitchell, Jr.
  • President: Joe C Schriner; Vice President: Joe Moreaux
  • President: Mike Smith; Vice President: Daniel White

ResultsEdit

Candidate Popular vote Percentage
Donald Trump 671,018 56.2%
Hillary Clinton 427,005 35.7%
Gary Johnson 55,406 4.6%
Jill Stein 23,506 2.0%
Total 100%
Source: 2016 Unofficial Kansas General Election Results, Secretary of State

By congressional districtEdit

Trump won 3 of the 4 congressional districts.[14]

District Trump Clinton Representative
1st 69% 24% Tim Huelskamp
Roger Marshall
2nd 56% 37% Lynn Jenkins
3rd 46% 47% Kevin Yoder
4th 60% 33% Mike Pompeo

By countyEdit

County Clinton% Clinton# Trump% Trump# Others% Others# Total
Allen County 26.27% 1,433 66.94% 3,651 6.78% 370 5,454
Anderson County 20.06% 672 72.69% 2,435 7.25% 243 3,350
Atchison County 30.25% 1,989 61.58% 4,049 8.17% 537 6,575
Barber County 12.70% 286 82.15% 1,850 5.15% 116 2,252
Barton County 17.91% 1,839 76.82% 7,888 5.27% 541 10,268
Bourbon County 21.93% 1,336 72.61% 4,424 5.47% 333 6,093
Brown County 21.38% 863 72.00% 2,906 6.62% 267 4,036
Butler County 23.77% 6,573 68.96% 19,073 7.27% 2,011 27,657
Chase County 23.08% 316 70.78% 969 6.14% 84 1,369
Chautauqua County 13.30% 197 83.46% 1,236 3.24% 48 1,481
Cherokee County 23.26% 2,005 71.72% 6,182 5.02% 433 8,620
Cheyenne County 12.86% 181 83.37% 1,173 3.77% 53 1,407
Clark County 11.94% 120 82.09% 825 5.97% 60 1,005
Clay County 17.72% 677 75.68% 2,891 6.60% 252 3,820
Cloud County 19.36% 761 74.27% 2,919 6.36% 250 3,930
Coffey County 17.87% 727 74.98% 3,050 7.15% 291 4,068
Comanche County 11.76% 102 82.47% 715 5.77% 50 867
Cowley County 28.14% 3,551 65.53% 8,270 6.34% 800 12,621
Crawford County 34.91% 5,199 57.91% 8,624 7.17% 1,068 14,891
Decatur County 12.26% 178 83.33% 1,210 4.41% 64 1,452
Dickinson County 19.60% 1,609 73.43% 6,029 6.97% 572 8,210
Doniphan County 17.38% 587 77.15% 2,606 5.48% 185 3,378
Douglas County 62.28% 31,195 29.32% 14,688 8.39% 4,204 50,087
Edwards County 16.07% 212 78.62% 1,037 5.31% 70 1,319
Elk County 12.71% 160 83.24% 1,048 4.05% 51 1,259
Ellis County 22.95% 2,742 70.86% 8,466 6.19% 739 11,947
Ellsworth County 19.45% 521 73.50% 1,969 7.05% 189 2,679
Finney County 31.45% 3,195 62.51% 6,350 6.04% 614 10,159
Ford County 27.84% 2,149 66.26% 5,114 5.90% 455 7,718
Franklin County 26.37% 2,892 65.53% 7,185 8.10% 888 10,965
Geary County 36.27% 2,722 56.96% 4,274 6.77% 508 7,504
Gove County 11.09% 149 84.88% 1,140 4.02% 54 1,343
Graham County 14.64% 188 79.83% 1,025 5.53% 71 1,284
Grant County 18.46% 441 75.51% 1,804 6.03% 144 2,389
Gray County 12.73% 263 82.19% 1,698 5.08% 105 2,066
Greeley County 12.77% 83 82.15% 534 5.08% 33 650
Greenwood County 17.08% 485 76.06% 2,160 6.87% 195 2,840
Hamilton County 13.81% 121 80.48% 705 5.71% 50 876
Harper County 15.24% 393 77.42% 1,996 7.33% 189 2,578
Harvey County 33.98% 5,068 58.11% 8,668 7.91% 1,180 14,916
Haskell County 18.09% 245 76.81% 1,040 5.10% 69 1,354
Hodgeman County 12.19% 124 84.07% 855 3.74% 38 1,017
Jackson County 25.99% 1,512 67.70% 3,939 6.31% 367 5,818
Jefferson County 30.20% 2,518 62.53% 5,213 7.27% 606 8,337
Jewell County 12.05% 180 81.86% 1,223 6.09% 91 1,494
Johnson County 44.76% 129,852 47.40% 137,490 7.84% 22,748 290,090
Kearny County 13.22% 174 81.69% 1,075 5.09% 67 1,316
Kingman County 17.97% 599 75.88% 2,530 6.15% 205 3,334
Kiowa County 10.57% 114 83.41% 900 6.02% 65 1,079
Labette County 28.26% 2,291 65.81% 5,335 5.93% 481 8,107
Lane County 12.17% 106 82.43% 718 5.40% 47 871
Leavenworth County 33.69% 10,209 58.21% 17,638 8.10% 2,454 30,301
Lincoln County 14.69% 215 80.53% 1,179 4.78% 70 1,464
Linn County 16.63% 736 78.70% 3,484 4.68% 207 4,427
Logan County 10.98% 149 83.42% 1,132 5.60% 76 1,357
Lyon County 37.83% 4,649 53.32% 6,552 8.85% 1,087 12,288
Marion County 21.41% 1,204 71.18% 4,003 7.41% 417 5,624
Marshall County 22.94% 1,072 70.77% 3,307 6.29% 294 4,673
McPherson County 25.32% 3,226 67.09% 8,549 7.59% 967 12,742
Meade County 12.21% 210 82.27% 1,415 5.52% 95 1,720
Miami County 26.57% 3,991 66.59% 10,003 6.84% 1,028 15,022
Mitchell County 16.21% 477 78.45% 2,308 5.34% 157 2,942
Montgomery County 21.97% 2,637 72.30% 8,679 5.73% 688 12,004
Morris County 22.90% 601 69.36% 1,820 7.74% 203 2,624
Morton County 12.33% 147 83.47% 995 4.19% 50 1,192
Nemaha County 14.15% 725 80.52% 4,124 5.33% 273 5,122
Neosho County 23.77% 1,501 70.18% 4,431 6.05% 382 6,314
Ness County 11.14% 162 84.46% 1,228 4.40% 64 1,454
Norton County 12.58% 281 82.36% 1,840 5.06% 113 2,234
Osage County 24.88% 1,753 68.49% 4,826 6.63% 467 7,046
Osborne County 13.03% 233 81.66% 1,460 5.31% 95 1,788
Ottawa County 14.61% 424 78.64% 2,283 6.75% 196 2,903
Pawnee County 21.76% 579 71.55% 1,904 6.69% 178 2,661
Phillips County 11.26% 300 83.82% 2,233 4.92% 131 2,664
Pottawatomie County 20.81% 2,225 71.19% 7,612 8.01% 856 10,693
Pratt County 20.07% 771 73.87% 2,838 6.06% 233 3,842
Rawlins County 11.07% 163 82.88% 1,220 6.05% 89 1,472
Reno County 28.24% 6,837 64.08% 15,513 7.68% 1,860 24,210
Republic County 14.83% 375 80.03% 2,024 5.14% 130 2,529
Rice County 18.27% 695 74.58% 2,837 7.15% 272 3,804
Riley County 43.38% 9,341 46.94% 10,107 9.68% 2,084 21,532
Rooks County 11.37% 275 83.96% 2,031 4.67% 113 2,419
Rush County 15.50% 233 79.64% 1,197 4.86% 73 1,503
Russell County 14.44% 461 80.61% 2,574 4.95% 158 3,193
Saline County 28.63% 6,317 62.67% 13,828 8.70% 1,919 22,064
Scott County 10.72% 236 84.70% 1,865 4.59% 101 2,202
Sedgwick County 36.88% 69,627 55.28% 104,353 7.84% 14,803 188,783
Seward County 32.31% 1,628 62.70% 3,159 4.98% 251 5,038
Shawnee County 44.99% 33,926 47.65% 35,934 7.35% 5,546 75,406
Sheridan County 09.24% 127 87.12% 1,197 3.64% 50 1,374
Sherman County 13.28% 347 79.98% 2,089 6.74% 176 2,612
Smith County 14.54% 297 81.34% 1,661 4.11% 84 2,042
Stafford County 16.03% 304 78.59% 1,490 5.38% 102 1,896
Stanton County 18.05% 115 77.24% 492 4.71% 30 637
Stevens County 11.63% 220 84.56% 1,599 3.81% 72 1,891
Sumner County 21.35% 2,076 71.84% 6,984 6.81% 662 9,722
Thomas County 13.23% 473 81.32% 2,908 5.45% 195 3,576
Trego County 13.36% 198 82.79% 1,227 3.85% 57 1,482
Wabaunsee County 22.96% 776 70.18% 2,372 6.86% 232 3,380
Wallace County 05.76% 46 90.35% 721 3.88% 31 798
Washington County 14.00% 387 79.35% 2,194 6.65% 184 2,765
Wichita County 14.64% 140 80.44% 769 4.92% 47 956
Wilson County 16.54% 594 77.64% 2,788 5.82% 209 3,591
Woodson County 18.92% 273 74.98% 1,082 6.10% 88 1,443
Wyandotte County 61.80% 30,146 32.40% 15,806 5.80% 2,829 48,781

See alsoEdit

ReferencesEdit

  1. ^ "Kansas Election Results 2016 – The New York Times". Retrieved November 11, 2016. 
  2. ^ http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/data.php?year=2016&def=swg&datatype=national&f=0&off=0&elect=0
  3. ^ "United States House of Representatives floor summary for Jan 8, 2009". Clerk.house.gov. Retrieved January 30, 2009. 
  4. ^ "Federal elections 2008" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. Retrieved May 11, 2015. 
  5. ^ "President Map". The New York Times. November 29, 2012. Retrieved May 11, 2015. 
  6. ^ "Election Other – President Obama Job Approval". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved December 24, 2015. 
  7. ^ Byrnes, Jesse (2016-06-15). "Poll: Obama approval rating highest since 2012". TheHill. Retrieved 2016-06-19. 
  8. ^ Cohn, Nate (2015-01-19). "What a Rise in Obama's Approval Rating Means for 2016". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 2016-06-19. 
  9. ^ "Joe Biden Decides Not to Enter Presidential Race". The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved October 21, 2015. 
  10. ^ "KANSAS STATEWIDE POLL FOR THE KANSAS HEALTH FOUNDATION" (PDF). Retrieved 22 August 2016. 
  11. ^ Wingerter, Justin. "Republican poll shows Clinton beating Trump in eastern Kansas". CJ Online. The Topeka Capital-Journal. Retrieved 22 August 2016. 
  12. ^ Kondik, Kyle; Sabato, Larry; Skelley, Geoffrey. "Clinton Rises to 348 Electoral Votes, Trump Drops to 190". Sabato's Crystal Ball. University of Virginia Center for Politics. Retrieved 22 August 2016. 
  13. ^ http://www.sos.ks.gov/elections/16elec/2016_General_Election-Write-In_Presidential_Candidates.pdf
  14. ^ http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/4161/

External linksEdit