Open main menu

Wikipedia β

Opinion polling for the French presidential election, 2017

This page lists public opinion polls in connection with the 2017 French presidential election, which was held on 23 April 2017 with a run-off on 7 May 2017.

Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the national polling commission (Commission nationale des sondages) and utilize the quota method.

Contents

Opinion polls for the second round of votingEdit

After the first round of the 2002 presidential election, in which opinion polls failed to anticipate Jean-Marie Le Pen advancing to the second round, the French polling commission (Commission nationale des sondages) recommended that pollsters not publish second-round surveys before the results of the first round. However, understanding that polling institutes would nevertheless be likely to do so, it also recommended that second-round scenarios be tested based on first-round polling, and to test several plausible scenarios, broadly construed.

Graphical summaryEdit

The averages in the graphs below were constructed using polls listed below conducted by the eight major French pollsters. The graphs, updated daily with the release of new polls, are 14-day weighted moving averages, using only the most recent poll conducted by any given pollster within that range (each poll weighted based on recency).

 

Macron–Le PenEdit

The publication of second-round polls was prohibited in France after midnight on 5 May.

After the first round
Poll source Fieldwork date Sample size Abstention    
Emmanuel Macron
EM
Marine Le Pen
FN
2nd round result 7 May 2017 25.44% 66.10% 33.90%
Ipsos 5 May 2017 5,331 24% 63% 37%
Harris 4–5 May 2017 2,270 62% 38%
Ifop-Fiducial 2–5 May 2017 1,861 24.5% 63% 37%
Odoxa 4 May 2017 959 25% 62% 38%
Ipsos 4 May 2017 1,605 24% 61.5% 38.5%
Elabe 4 May 2017 1,009 32% 62% 38%
OpinionWay 2–4 May 2017 2,264 62% 38%
Ifop-Fiducial 1–4 May 2017 1,400 25% 61% 39%
Harris 2–3 May 2017 2,349 61% 39%
OpinionWay 1–3 May 2017 2,264 61% 39%
Ifop-Fiducial 30 Apr–3 May 2017 1,405 26% 60% 40%
BVA 1–2 May 2017 1,435 20% 60% 40%
OpinionWay 30 Apr–2 May 2017 1,936 60% 40%
Elabe 28 Apr–2 May 2017 3,817 32% 59% 41%
Ifop-Fiducial 28 Apr–2 May 2017 1,388 27% 59.5% 40.5%
Ipsos 30 Apr–1 May 2017 8,936 24% 59% 41%
OpinionWay 29 Apr–1 May 2017 1,764 60% 40%
Ifop-Fiducial 27 Apr–1 May 2017 1,385 28% 59% 41%
Kantar Sofres 28–30 Apr 2017 1,539 59% 41%
OpinionWay 28–30 Apr 2017 1,488 61% 39%
Ipsos 28–29 Apr 2017 918 25% 60% 40%
BVA 26–28 Apr 2017 1,438 22% 59% 41%
Ifop-Fiducial 25–28 Apr 2017 1,399 29% 60% 40%
Odoxa 26–27 Apr 2017 968 59% 41%
OpinionWay 25–27 Apr 2017 1,790 60% 40%
Harris 25–27 Apr 2017 940 61% 39%
Ifop-Fiducial 24–27 Apr 2017 1,407 29% 60.5% 39.5%
OpinionWay 24–26 Apr 2017 1,800 59% 41%
Ifop-Fiducial 23–26 Apr 2017 1,893 28% 60.5% 39.5%
Odoxa 24–25 Apr 2017 1,000 63% 37%
OpinionWay 23–25 Apr 2017 2,828 60% 40%
Ifop-Fiducial 23–25 Apr 2017 1,416 27% 61% 39%
Elabe 24 Apr 2017 967 31% 64% 36%
OpinionWay 23–24 Apr 2017 2,222 61% 39%
Ifop-Fiducial 23–24 Apr 2017 846 26% 60% 40%
OpinionWay 23–24 Apr 2017 1,461 61% 39%
Ipsos 23 Apr 2017 1,379 32% 62% 38%
Harris 23 Apr 2017 2,684 64% 36%
1st round result 23 Apr 2017 22.23% 24.01% 21.30%
Voting intention by first-round vote
Poll source Fieldwork date Sample size Jean-Luc Mélenchon
(19.58% in the first round)
Benoît Hamon
(6.36% in the first round)
François Fillon
(20.01% in the first round)
Macron Le Pen Abs. Macron Le Pen Abs. Macron Le Pen Abs.
Ipsos 5 May 2017 5,331 55% 10% 35% 74% 3% 23% 48% 28% 24%
Harris 4–5 May 2017 2,270 46% 13% 41% 73% 7% 20% 44% 26% 30%
Ifop-Fiducial 2–5 May 2017 1,861 52% 10% 38% 71% 7% 22% 51% 22% 27%
Odoxa 4 May 2017 959 47% 14% 39% 81% 2% 17% 54% 21% 25%
Ipsos 4 May 2017 1,605 51% 11% 38% 76% 3% 21% 46% 28% 26%
Elabe 4 May 2017 1,009 54% 14% 32% 72% 7% 21% 45% 32% 23%
OpinionWay 2–4 May 2017 2,264 45% 17% 38% 74% 6% 20% 45% 27% 28%
Ifop-Fiducial 1–4 May 2017 1,400 53% 11% 36% 78% 4% 18% 49% 29% 22%
OpinionWay 1–3 May 2017 2,264 45% 16% 39% 77% 5% 18% 45% 28% 27%
Ifop-Fiducial 30 Apr–3 May 2017 1,405 52% 11% 37% 76% 5% 19% 48% 28% 24%
BVA 1–2 May 2017 1,435 44% 18% 38% 72% 7% 21% 46% 31% 23%
OpinionWay 30 Apr–2 May 2017 1,936 48% 15% 37% 76% 3% 21% 39% 27% 34%
Elabe 28 Apr–2 May 2017 3,817 44% 23% 33% 76% 8% 16% 46% 30% 24%
Ifop-Fiducial 28 Apr–2 May 2017 1,388 50% 13% 37% 75% 7% 18% 44% 30% 26%
Ipsos 30 Apr–1 May 2017 8,936 48% 14% 38% 75% 4% 21% 42% 32% 26%
OpinionWay 29 Apr–1 May 2017 1,764 42% 17% 41% 72% 6% 22% 42% 27% 31%
Ifop-Fiducial 27 Apr–1 May 2017 1,385 51% 14% 35% 73% 6% 21% 41% 31% 28%
Kantar Sofres 28–30 Apr 2017 1,539 52% 17% 31% 73% 8% 19% 49% 29% 22%
OpinionWay 28–30 Apr 2017 1,488 40% 15% 45% 74% 8% 18% 39% 26% 35%
Ipsos 28–29 Apr 2017 918 47% 19% 34% 76% 5% 19% 49% 25% 26%
BVA 26–28 Apr 2017 1,438 41% 18% 41% 71% 4% 25% 41% 26% 33%
Ifop-Fiducial 25–28 Apr 2017 1,399 49% 15% 36% 80% 1% 19% 41% 29% 30%
Odoxa 26–27 Apr 2017 968 40% 19% 41% 63% 8% 29% 50% 21% 29%
OpinionWay 25–27 Apr 2017 1,790 40% 15% 45% 68% 3% 29% 43% 29% 28%
Harris 25–27 Apr 2017 940 45% 13% 42% 69% 5% 26% 42% 28% 30%
Ifop-Fiducial 24–27 Apr 2017 1,407 45% 16% 39% 81% 2% 17% 45% 24% 31%
OpinionWay 24–26 Apr 2017 1,800 45% 17% 38% 64% 4% 32% 45% 29% 26%
Ifop-Fiducial 23–26 Apr 2017 1,893 47% 18% 35% 81% 6% 13% 43% 28% 29%
OpinionWay 23–25 Apr 2017 2,828 50% 18% 32% 72% 2% 26% 43% 31% 26%
Ifop-Fiducial 23–25 Apr 2017 1,416 48% 19% 33% 83% 7% 10% 47% 26% 27%
Elabe 24 Apr 2017 967 53% 16% 31% 75% 6% 19% 49% 28% 23%
OpinionWay 23–24 Apr 2017 2,222 50% 17% 33% 71% 1% 28% 41% 32% 27%
Ifop-Fiducial 23–24 Apr 2017 846 51% 19% 30% 80% 8% 12% 41% 33% 26%
OpinionWay 23–24 Apr 2017 1,461 55% 22% 23% 83% 3% 14% 44% 38% 18%
Ipsos 23 Apr 2017 1,379 62% 9% 29% 79% 4% 17% 48% 33% 19%
Harris 23 Apr 2017 2,684 52% 12% 36% 76% 3% 21% 47% 23% 30%
Before the first round
Poll source Fieldwork date Sample size Abstention    
Emmanuel Macron
EM
Marine Le Pen
FN
Odoxa 21 Apr 2017 953 25% 62% 38%
Ifop-Fiducial 18–21 Apr 2017 2,823 60.5% 39.5%
Odoxa 20 Apr 2017 1,433 65% 35%
Elabe 19–20 Apr 2017 1,445 20% 65% 35%
OpinionWay 18–20 Apr 2017 2,269 64% 36%
Harris 18–20 Apr 2017 962 67% 33%
Ifop-Fiducial 17–20 Apr 2017 2,810 61% 39%
Harris 18–19 Apr 2017 2,812 66% 34%
BVA 18–19 Apr 2017 1,427 16% 65% 35%
OpinionWay 17–19 Apr 2017 2,394 65% 35%
Ifop-Fiducial 16–19 Apr 2017 2,792 60.5% 39.5%
OpinionWay 16–18 Apr 2017 2,417 65% 35%
Ifop-Fiducial 14–18 Apr 2017 2,804 60.5% 39.5%
Ipsos 16–17 Apr 2017 8,274 18% 61% 39%
Elabe 16–17 Apr 2017 1,438 22% 62% 38%
OpinionWay 15–17 Apr 2017 2,423 64% 36%
Kantar Sofres 14–17 Apr 2017 1,530 61% 39%
Ifop-Fiducial 13–17 Apr 2017 2,796 60% 40%
OpinionWay 14–16 Apr 2017 2,168 64% 36%
Le Terrain 13–15 Apr 2017 1,139 71% 29%
BVA 12–14 Apr 2017 1,439 18% 64% 36%
Ifop-Fiducial 11–14 Apr 2017 2,776 59% 41%
Odoxa 12–13 Apr 2017 950 26% 61% 39%
Ipsos 12–13 Apr 2017 927 24% 63% 37%
OpinionWay 11–13 Apr 2017 1,443 62% 38%
Harris 11–13 Apr 2017 904 67% 33%
Ifop-Fiducial 10–13 Apr 2017 2,797 58.5% 41.5%
Elabe 11–12 Apr 2017 1,010 19% 65% 35%
OpinionWay 10–12 Apr 2017 1,423 63% 37%
Ifop-Fiducial 9–12 Apr 2017 2,800 58.5% 41.5%
OpinionWay 9–11 Apr 2017 1,395 62% 38%
Ifop-Fiducial 7–11 Apr 2017 2,806 58.5% 41.5%
Elabe 9–10 Apr 2017 1,002 20% 64% 36%
OpinionWay 8–10 Apr 2017 1,498 63% 37%
Ifop-Fiducial 6–10 Apr 2017 2,616 58% 42%
Ipsos 7–9 Apr 2017 1,002 24% 62% 38%
OpinionWay 7–9 Apr 2017 1,565 62% 38%
Kantar Sofres 5–7 Apr 2017 1,515 61% 39%
BVA 5–7 Apr 2017 1,421 21% 61% 39%
Ifop-Fiducial 4–7 Apr 2017 2,246 59% 41%
Harris 5–6 Apr 2017 928 63% 37%
OpinionWay 4–6 Apr 2017 1,589 62% 38%
Ifop-Fiducial 3–6 Apr 2017 2,243 60% 40%
Odoxa 5 Apr 2017 955 25% 61% 39%
Harris 5 Apr 2017 2,097 62% 38%
Elabe 5 Apr 2017 995 21% 62% 38%
Harris 3–4 Apr 2017 3,639 62% 38%
OpinionWay 3–5 Apr 2017 1,553 60% 40%
Ifop-Fiducial 2–5 Apr 2017 2,245 59.5% 40.5%
OpinionWay 2–4 Apr 2017 1,541 60% 40%
Ifop-Fiducial 31 Mar–4 Apr 2017 2,254 60.5% 39.5%
OpinionWay 1–3 Apr 2017 1,583 61% 39%
Ifop-Fiducial 30 Mar–3 Apr 2017 2,232 60% 40%
Ipsos 31 Mar–2 Apr 2017 9,460 20% 61% 39%
OpinionWay 31 Mar–2 Apr 2017 1,624 63% 37%
Ifop-Fiducial 28–31 Mar 2017 2,204 60% 40%
BVA 29–30 Mar 2017 1,418 20% 60% 40%
Odoxa 29–30 Mar 2017 969 22.5% 59% 41%
OpinionWay 28–30 Mar 2017 1,609 63% 37%
Ifop-Fiducial 27–30 Mar 2017 2,215 60% 40%
Elabe 28–29 Mar 2017 998 20% 63% 37%
OpinionWay 27–29 Mar 2017 1,636 64% 36%
Ifop-Fiducial 26–29 Mar 2017 2,241 60% 40%
OpinionWay 26–28 Mar 2017 1,618 64% 36%
Ifop-Fiducial 24–28 Mar 2017 2,231 60% 40%
Ipsos 25–27 Mar 2017 1,005 62% 38%
OpinionWay 25–27 Mar 2017 1,599 62% 38%
Le Terrain 23–27 Mar 2017 1,106 70% 30%
Ifop-Fiducial 23–27 Mar 2017 2,235 60.5% 39.5%
OpinionWay 24–26 Mar 2017 1,676 61% 39%
BVA 22–24 Mar 2017 1,431 17% 62% 38%
Ifop-Fiducial 21–24 Mar 2017 2,225 61.5% 38.5%
OpinionWay 21–23 Mar 2017 1,675 63% 37%
Ifop-Fiducial 20–23 Mar 2017 2,245 61.5% 38.5%
Harris 21–22 Mar 2017 6,383 65% 35%
OpinionWay 20–22 Mar 2017 1,672 63% 37%
Ifop-Fiducial 19–22 Mar 2017 1,974 61% 39%
Elabe 21 Mar 2017 997 16% 64% 36%
OpinionWay 19–21 Mar 2017 1,676 62% 38%
Ifop-Fiducial 18–21 Mar 2017 1,695 60.5% 39.5%
OpinionWay 18–20 Mar 2017 1,667 61% 39%
Ifop-Fiducial 18–20 Mar 2017 935 60% 40%
Elabe 17–19 Mar 2017 2,847 18% 63% 37%
OpinionWay 17–19 Mar 2017 1,593 60% 40%
BVA 15–17 Mar 2017 1,425 19% 62% 38%
Ifop-Fiducial 14–17 Mar 2017 1,376 61% 39%
Odoxa 15–16 Mar 2017 964 25% 64% 36%
OpinionWay 14–16 Mar 2017 1,571 59% 41%
Ifop-Fiducial 13–16 Mar 2017 1,386 61% 39%
Ipsos 14–15 Mar 2017 8,205 18% 61% 39%
OpinionWay 13–15 Mar 2017 1,554 60% 40%
Ifop-Fiducial 12–15 Mar 2017 1,399 61.5% 38.5%
OpinionWay 12–14 Mar 2017 1,529 61% 39%
Ifop-Fiducial 10–14 Mar 2017 1,413 60.5% 39.5%
OpinionWay 11–13 Mar 2017 1,528 60% 40%
Ifop-Fiducial 9–13 Mar 2017 1,397 60.5% 39.5%
OpinionWay 10–12 Mar 2017 1,610 62% 38%
BVA 8–10 Mar 2017 1,419 20% 61% 39%
Ifop-Fiducial 7–10 Mar 2017 1,379 60.5% 39.5%
OpinionWay 7–9 Mar 2017 1,571 65% 35%
Ifop-Fiducial 6–9 Mar 2017 1,395 60.5% 39.5%
OpinionWay 6–8 Mar 2017 1,509 64% 36%
Harris 6–8 Mar 2017 4,533 65% 35%
Ifop-Fiducial 5–8 Mar 2017 1,394 60.5% 39.5%
OpinionWay 5–7 Mar 2017 1,574 62% 38%
Ifop-Fiducial 3–7 Mar 2017 1,390 61.5% 38.5%
Elabe 5–6 Mar 2017 1,000 20% 60% 40%
OpinionWay 4–6 Mar 2017 1,559 60% 40%
Ifop-Fiducial 2–6 Mar 2017 1,381 61% 39%
OpinionWay 3–5 Mar 2017 1,671 60% 40%
Ipsos 1–5 Mar 2017 10,854 18% 62% 38%
Ifop-Fiducial 2–4 Mar 2017 1,822 61% 39%
Ifop-Fiducial 28 Feb–3 Mar 2017 1,383 61% 39%
BVA 28 Feb–2 Mar 2017 1,413 17% 62% 38%
OpinionWay 28 Feb–2 Mar 2017 1,654 62% 38%
Elabe 28 Feb–2 Mar 2017 1,507 18% 62% 38%
Ifop-Fiducial 27 Feb–2 Mar 2017 1,394 61% 39%
OpinionWay 27 Feb–1 Mar 2017 1,639 63% 37%
Ifop-Fiducial 26 Feb–1 Mar 2017 1,392 62% 38%
OpinionWay 26–28 Feb 2017 1,629 63% 37%
Ifop-Fiducial 24–28 Feb 2017 1,398 62% 38%
OpinionWay 25–27 Feb 2017 1,624 61% 39%
Ifop-Fiducial 23–27 Feb 2017 1,404 62% 38%
OpinionWay 24–26 Feb 2017 1,631 62% 38%
Kantar Sofres 23–24 Feb 2017 1,005 58% 42%
Ifop-Fiducial 21–24 Feb 2017 1,417 61.5% 38.5%
Odoxa 22–23 Feb 2017 920 27% 61% 39%
OpinionWay 21–23 Feb 2017 1,431 61% 39%
Ifop-Fiducial 20–23 Feb 2017 1,395 61% 39%
Harris 20–22 Feb 2017 5,249 60% 40%
OpinionWay 20–22 Feb 2017 1,615 60% 40%
Ifop-Fiducial 19–22 Feb 2017 1,399 60% 40%
OpinionWay 19–21 Feb 2017 1,545 59% 41%
Ifop-Fiducial 17–21 Feb 2017 1,386 61% 39%
BVA 19–20 Feb 2017 940 20% 61% 39%
Elabe 18–20 Feb 2017 995 24% 59% 41%
OpinionWay 18–20 Feb 2017 1,535 58% 42%
Ifop-Fiducial 16–20 Feb 2017 1,397 61.5% 38.5%
OpinionWay 17–19 Feb 2017 1,534 58% 42%
Ifop-Fiducial 14–17 Feb 2017 1,399 62% 38%
OpinionWay 14–16 Feb 2017 1,605 60% 40%
Ifop-Fiducial 13–16 Feb 2017 1,396 62.5% 37.5%
OpinionWay 13–15 Feb 2017 1,602 62% 38%
Ifop-Fiducial 12–15 Feb 2017 1,394 62% 38%
OpinionWay 12–14 Feb 2017 1,456 62% 38%
Ifop-Fiducial 10–14 Feb 2017 1,402 62.5% 37.5%
OpinionWay 11–13 Feb 2017 1,422 64% 36%
Ifop-Fiducial 9–13 Feb 2017 1,392 62% 38%
OpinionWay 10–12 Feb 2017 1,590 63% 37%
Ifop-Fiducial 7–10 Feb 2017 1,396 62.5% 37.5%
OpinionWay 7–9 Feb 2017 1,496 65% 35%
Ifop-Fiducial 6–9 Feb 2017 1,407 63% 37%
Elabe 7–8 Feb 2017 961 22% 63% 37%
OpinionWay 6–8 Feb 2017 1,454 65% 35%
Ifop-Fiducial 5–8 Feb 2017 1,409 64% 36%
OpinionWay 5–7 Feb 2017 1,487 66% 34%
Ifop-Fiducial 3–7 Feb 2017 1,424 64% 36%
OpinionWay 4–6 Feb 2017 1,568 66% 34%
Ifop-Fiducial 2–6 Feb 2017 1,433 63% 37%
OpinionWay 3–5 Feb 2017 1,700 65% 35%
Ifop-Fiducial 31 Jan–3 Feb 2017 1,430 63% 37%
BVA 1–2 Feb 2017 955 19% 66% 34%
Ifop-Fiducial 30 Jan–2 Feb 2017 1,414 63% 37%
Ifop-Fiducial 29 Jan–1 Feb 2017 1,409 63% 37%
Elabe 30–31 Jan 2017 993 20% 65% 35%
Kantar Sofres 26–27 Jan 2017 1,032 65% 35%
Ipsos 20 Jan 2017 1,443 20% 64% 36%
Ifop-Fiducial 3–6 Jan 2017 1,860 65% 35%
Ifop-Fiducial 28 Nov–3 Dec 2016 1,401 62% 38%
Odoxa* 14–15 Apr 2016 949 34% 61% 39%
Odoxa* 14–15 Jan 2016 1,011 28% 65% 35%
* tested as Socialist Party (PS) candidate

By regionEdit

Poll
source
Fieldwork date Sample
size
   
Macron
EM
Le Pen
FN
Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes
Ipsos 30 Apr–2 May 2017 1,156 60% 40%
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 1,154 61% 39%
Ipsos 14–17 Mar 2017 1,180 59% 41%
Bourgogne-Franche-Comté
Ipsos 30 Apr–2 May 2017 429 54.5% 45.5%
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 421 56% 44%
Ipsos 14–17 Mar 2017 423 56% 44%
Brittany
Ipsos 30 Apr–2 May 2017 566 69% 31%
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 567 70% 30%
Ipsos 14–17 Mar 2017 588 72% 28%
Centre-Val de Loire
Ipsos 30 Apr–2 May 2017 449 57% 43%
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 451 65% 35%
Ipsos 14–17 Mar 2017 476 64% 36%
Grand Est
Ipsos 30 Apr–2 May 2017 944 52.5% 47.5%
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 914 55% 45%
Ipsos 14–17 Mar 2017 976 56% 44%
Hauts-de-France
Ipsos 30 Apr–2 May 2017 1,034 52.5% 47.5%
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 986 56% 44%
Ipsos 14–17 Mar 2017 1,019 55% 45%
Île-de-France
Ipsos 30 Apr–2 May 2017 1,602 69% 31%
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 1,689 68% 32%
Ipsos 14–17 Mar 2017 1,621 68% 32%
Normandy
Ipsos 30 Apr–2 May 2017 511 56.5% 43.5%
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 504 63% 37%
Ipsos 14–17 Mar 2017 545 62% 38%
Nouvelle-Aquitaine
Ipsos 30 Apr–2 May 2017 827 63% 37%
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 846 61% 39%
Ipsos 14–17 Mar 2017 853 63% 37%
Occitanie
Ipsos 30 Apr–2 May 2017 856 56.5% 43.5%
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 891 55% 45%
Ipsos 14–17 Mar 2017 928 56% 44%
Pays de la Loire
Ipsos 30 Apr–2 May 2017 692 64% 36%
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 684 68% 32%
Ipsos 14–17 Mar 2017 703 67% 33%
Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur
Ipsos 30 Apr–2 May 2017 708 49.5% 50.5%
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 723 49% 51%
Ipsos 14–17 Mar 2017 755 51% 49%

Hypothetical pollingEdit

The polls listed below include candidates who decided not to run, failed to secure their party's nomination, or did not advance past the first round of the election.

Graphical summary

 

Fillon–Le Pen
Poll source Fieldwork date Sample size Abstention    
François Fillon
LR
Marine Le Pen
FN
Odoxa 21 Apr 2017 953 37% 57% 43%
Odoxa 20 Apr 2017 1,433 56% 44%
Elabe 19–20 Apr 2017 1,445 35% 59% 41%
OpinionWay 18–20 Apr 2017 2,269 59% 41%
Harris 18–20 Apr 2017 962 59% 41%
Harris 18–19 Apr 2017 2,812 58% 42%
BVA 18–19 Apr 2017 1,427 35% 57% 43%
OpinionWay 17–19 Apr 2017 2,394 57% 43%
OpinionWay 16–18 Apr 2017 2,417 58% 42%
Ipsos 16–17 Apr 2017 8,274 36% 55% 45%
Elabe 16–17 Apr 2017 1,438 36% 57% 43%
OpinionWay 15–17 Apr 2017 2,423 58% 42%
Kantar Sofres 14–17 Apr 2017 1,530 56% 44%
OpinionWay 14–16 Apr 2017 2,168 60% 40%
Le Terrain 13–15 Apr 2017 1,139 64% 36%
BVA 12–14 Apr 2017 1,439 34% 58% 42%
Ifop-Fiducial 11–14 Apr 2017 2,776 54% 46%
Odoxa 12–13 Apr 2017 950 36% 52.5% 47.5%
Ipsos 12–13 Apr 2017 927 39% 56% 44%
OpinionWay 11–13 Apr 2017 1,443 58% 42%
Harris 11–13 Apr 2017 904 58% 42%
Ifop-Fiducial 10–13 Apr 2017 2,797 54% 46%
Elabe 11–12 Apr 2017 1,010 35% 58% 42%
OpinionWay 10–12 Apr 2017 1,423 59% 41%
Ifop-Fiducial 9–12 Apr 2017 2,800 55% 45%
OpinionWay 9–11 Apr 2017 1,395 58% 42%
Ifop-Fiducial 7–11 Apr 2017 2,806 54.5% 45.5%
Elabe 9–10 Apr 2017 1,002 35% 58% 42%
OpinionWay 8–10 Apr 2017 1,498 57% 43%
Ifop-Fiducial 6–10 Apr 2017 2,616 54% 46%
OpinionWay 7–9 Apr 2017 1,565 57% 43%
Kantar Sofres 5–7 Apr 2017 1,515 55% 45%
Ifop-Fiducial 4–7 Apr 2017 2,246 53% 47%
OpinionWay 4–6 Apr 2017 1,589 57% 43%
Ifop-Fiducial 3–6 Apr 2017 2,243 53.5% 46.5%
Elabe 5 Apr 2017 995 36% 57% 43%
OpinionWay 3–5 Apr 2017 1,553 56% 44%
Ifop-Fiducial 2–5 Apr 2017 2,245 53.5% 46.5%
OpinionWay 2–4 Apr 2017 1,541 56% 44%
Ifop-Fiducial 31 Mar–4 Apr 2017 2,254 54% 46%
OpinionWay 1–3 Apr 2017 1,583 56% 44%
Ifop-Fiducial 30 Mar–3 Apr 2017 2,232 53% 47%
Ipsos 31 Mar–2 Apr 2017 9,460 54% 46%
OpinionWay 31 Mar–2 Apr 2017 1,624 58% 42%
Ifop-Fiducial 28–31 Mar 2017 2,204 53% 47%
OpinionWay 28–30 Mar 2017 1,609 58% 42%
Ifop-Fiducial 27–30 Mar 2017 2,215 53.5% 46.5%
Elabe 28–29 Mar 2017 998 35% 54% 46%
OpinionWay 27–29 Mar 2017 1,636 60% 40%
Ifop-Fiducial 26–29 Mar 2017 2,241 54% 46%
OpinionWay 26–28 Mar 2017 1,618 60% 40%
Ifop-Fiducial 24–28 Mar 2017 2,231 54.5% 45.5%
OpinionWay 25–27 Mar 2017 1,599 58% 42%
Le Terrain 23–27 Mar 2017 1,106 62% 38%
Ifop-Fiducial 23–27 Mar 2017 2,235 55% 45%
OpinionWay 24–26 Mar 2017 1,676 58% 42%
Ifop-Fiducial 21–24 Mar 2017 2,225 56.5% 43.5%
OpinionWay 21–23 Mar 2017 1,675 57% 43%
Ifop-Fiducial 20–23 Mar 2017 2,245 55.5% 44.5%
Harris 21–22 Mar 2017 6,383 58% 42%
OpinionWay 20–22 Mar 2017 1,672 57% 43%
Ifop-Fiducial 19–22 Mar 2017 1,974 55.5% 44.5%
Elabe 21 Mar 2017 997 35% 54% 46%
OpinionWay 19–21 Mar 2017 1,676 56% 44%
Ifop-Fiducial 18–21 Mar 2017 1,695 55% 45%
OpinionWay 18–20 Mar 2017 1,667 55% 45%
Ifop-Fiducial 18–20 Mar 2017 935 55.5% 44.5%
Elabe 17–19 Mar 2017 2,847 35% 56% 44%
OpinionWay 17–19 Mar 2017 1,593 55% 45%
Ifop-Fiducial 14–17 Mar 2017 1,376 56% 44%
Odoxa 15–16 Mar 2017 964 38% 57% 43%
OpinionWay 14–16 Mar 2017 1,571 55% 45%
Ifop-Fiducial 13–16 Mar 2017 1,386 56% 44%
OpinionWay 13–15 Mar 2017 1,554 56% 44%
Ifop-Fiducial 12–15 Mar 2017 1,399 57% 43%
OpinionWay 12–14 Mar 2017 1,529 56% 44%
Ifop-Fiducial 10–14 Mar 2017 1,413 57% 43%
OpinionWay 11–13 Mar 2017 1,528 57% 43%
Ifop-Fiducial 9–13 Mar 2017 1,397 57% 43%
OpinionWay 10–12 Mar 2017 1,610 58% 42%
Ifop-Fiducial 7–10 Mar 2017 1,379 57% 43%
OpinionWay 7–9 Mar 2017 1,571 60% 40%
Ifop-Fiducial 6–9 Mar 2017 1,395 56.5% 43.5%
OpinionWay 6–8 Mar 2017 1,509 62% 38%
Harris 6–8 Mar 2017 4,533 59% 41%
Ifop-Fiducial 5–8 Mar 2017 1,394 57% 43%
OpinionWay 5–7 Mar 2017 1,574 60% 40%
Ifop-Fiducial 3–7 Mar 2017 1,390 56.5% 43.5%
Elabe 5–6 Mar 2017 1,000 33% 60% 40%
OpinionWay 4–6 Mar 2017 1,559 58% 42%
Ifop-Fiducial 2–6 Mar 2017 1,381 57% 43%
OpinionWay 3–5 Mar 2017 1,671 56% 44%
Ipsos 1–5 Mar 2017 10,854 36% 55% 45%
Ifop-Fiducial 28 Feb–3 Mar 2017 1,383 57% 43%
OpinionWay 28 Feb–2 Mar 2017 1,654 57% 43%
Elabe 28 Feb–2 Mar 2017 1,507 33% 58% 42%
Ifop-Fiducial 27 Feb–2 Mar 2017 1,394 57.5% 42.5%
OpinionWay 27 Feb–1 Mar 2017 1,639 60% 40%
Ifop-Fiducial 26 Feb–1 Mar 2017 1,392 58% 42%
OpinionWay 26–28 Feb 2017 1,629 60% 40%
Ifop-Fiducial 24–28 Feb 2017 1,398 58.5% 41.5%
OpinionWay 25–27 Feb 2017 1,624 58% 42%
Ifop-Fiducial 23–27 Feb 2017 1,404 58% 42%
OpinionWay 24–26 Feb 2017 1,631 58% 42%
Kantar Sofres 23–24 Feb 2017 1,005 55% 45%
Ifop-Fiducial 21–24 Feb 2017 1,417 58% 42%
Odoxa 22–23 Feb 2017 920 37% 57.5% 42.5%
OpinionWay 21–23 Feb 2017 1,431 58% 42%
Ifop-Fiducial 20–23 Feb 2017 1,395 58% 42%
Harris 20–22 Feb 2017 5,249 57% 43%
OpinionWay 20–22 Feb 2017 1,615 58% 42%
Ifop-Fiducial 19–22 Feb 2017 1,399 57% 43%
OpinionWay 19–21 Feb 2017 1,545 58% 42%
Ifop-Fiducial 17–21 Feb 2017 1,386 57% 43%
BVA 19–20 Feb 2017 940 35% 55% 45%
Elabe 18–20 Feb 2017 995 32% 56% 44%
OpinionWay 18–20 Feb 2017 1,535 57% 43%
Ifop-Fiducial 16–20 Feb 2017 1,397 56% 44%
OpinionWay 17–19 Feb 2017 1,534 56% 44%
Ifop-Fiducial 14–17 Feb 2017 1,399 56% 44%
OpinionWay 14–16 Feb 2017 1,605 57% 43%
Ifop-Fiducial 13–16 Feb 2017 1,396 56.5% 43.5%
OpinionWay 13–15 Feb 2017 1,602 57% 43%
Ifop-Fiducial 12–15 Feb 2017 1,394 56% 44%
OpinionWay 12–14 Feb 2017 1,456 58% 42%
Ifop-Fiducial 10–14 Feb 2017 1,402 56.5% 43.5%
OpinionWay 11–13 Feb 2017 1,422 59% 41%
Ifop-Fiducial 9–13 Feb 2017 1,392 56% 44%
OpinionWay 10–12 Feb 2017 1,590 58% 42%
Ifop-Fiducial 7–10 Feb 2017 1,396 55% 45%
OpinionWay 7–9 Feb 2017 1,496 60% 40%
Ifop-Fiducial 6–9 Feb 2017 1,407 56% 44%
Elabe 7–8 Feb 2017 961 34% 56% 44%
OpinionWay 6–8 Feb 2017 1,454 60% 40%
Ifop-Fiducial 5–8 Feb 2017 1,409 55% 45%
OpinionWay 5–7 Feb 2017 1,487 62% 38%
Ifop-Fiducial 3–7 Feb 2017 1,424 56% 44%
OpinionWay 4–6 Feb 2017 1,568 60% 40%
Ifop-Fiducial 2–6 Feb 2017 1,433 55% 45%
OpinionWay 3–5 Feb 2017 1,700 61% 39%
Ifop-Fiducial 31 Jan–3 Feb 2017 1,430 58% 42%
BVA 1–2 Feb 2017 955 34% 60% 40%
Ifop-Fiducial 30 Jan–2 Feb 2017 1,414 59% 41%
Ifop-Fiducial 29 Jan–1 Feb 2017 1,409 60% 40%
Elabe 30–31 Jan 2017 993 29% 59% 41%
Kantar Sofres 26–27 Jan 2017 1,032 60% 40%
Ipsos 20 Jan 2017 1,443 29% 62% 38%
BVA 6–8 Jan 2017 946 28% 63% 37%
Ifop-Fiducial 3–6 Jan 2017 1,860 64% 36%
BVA 2–4 Dec 2016 934 33% 67% 33%
Ifop-Fiducial 28 Nov–3 Dec 2016 1,401 65% 35%
Elabe 28–29 Nov 2016 941 66% 34%
Kantar Sofres 28 Nov 2016 1,011 66% 34%
Harris 27 Nov 2016 6,093 67% 33%
Odoxa 25 Nov 2016 998 21% 71% 29%
BVA 9–11 Sep 2016 912 36% 61% 39%
Ifop-Fiducial 14–17 Jun 2016 1,858 60% 40%
BVA 10–12 Jun 2016 910 32% 65% 35%
BVA 13–16 May 2016 927 30% 65% 35%
BVA 15–17 Apr 2016 949 33% 64% 36%
Ifop-Fiducial 12–14 Apr 2016 1,876 63% 37%
Ifop 3–4 Sep 2014 994 57% 43%
Macron–Fillon
Poll source Fieldwork date Sample size Abstention    
Emmanuel Macron
EM
François Fillon
LR
Odoxa 21 Apr 2017 953 32% 65% 35%
Elabe 19–20 Apr 2017 1,445 27% 65% 35%
Harris 18–20 Apr 2017 962 66% 34%
Harris 18–19 Apr 2017 2,812 68% 32%
BVA 18–19 Apr 2017 1,427 27% 67% 33%
Ipsos 16–17 Apr 2017 8,274 28% 64% 36%
Elabe 16–17 Apr 2017 1,438 30% 65% 35%
Kantar Sofres 14–17 Apr 2017 1,530 65% 35%
Le Terrain 13–15 Apr 2017 1,139 67% 33%
BVA 12–14 Apr 2017 1,439 27% 64% 36%
Odoxa 12–13 Apr 2017 950 32.5% 67% 33%
Ipsos 12–13 Apr 2017 927 37% 64% 36%
Harris 11–13 Apr 2017 904 70% 30%
Elabe 11–12 Apr 2017 1,010 27% 65% 35%
Elabe 9–10 Apr 2017 1,002 28% 65% 35%
Kantar Sofres 5–7 Apr 2017 1,515 66% 34%
Le Terrain 23–27 Mar 2017 1,106 72% 28%
Ipsos 1–5 Mar 2017 10,854 30% 66% 34%
Kantar Sofres 26–27 Jan 2017 1,032 58% 42%
Ipsos 20 Jan 2017 1,443 25% 54% 46%
Ifop-Fiducial 3–6 Jan 2017 1,860 52% 48%
Mélenchon–Macron
Poll source Fieldwork date Sample size Abstention    
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
FI
Emmanuel Macron
EM
Odoxa 21 Apr 2017 953 32% 40% 60%
Elabe 19–20 Apr 2017 1,445 25% 41% 59%
Harris 18–20 Apr 2017 962 41% 59%
Harris 18–19 Apr 2017 2,812 40% 60%
BVA 18–19 Apr 2017 1,427 25% 40% 60%
Ipsos 16–17 Apr 2017 8,274 26% 43% 57%
Elabe 16–17 Apr 2017 1,438 28% 41% 59%
Kantar Sofres 14–17 Apr 2017 1,530 42% 58%
Le Terrain 13–15 Apr 2017 1,139 42% 58%
BVA 12–14 Apr 2017 1,439 25% 42% 58%
Odoxa 12–13 Apr 2017 950 33% 40% 60%
Ipsos 12–13 Apr 2017 927 32% 45% 55%
Harris 11–13 Apr 2017 904 42% 58%
Elabe 11–12 Apr 2017 1,010 26% 46% 54%
Elabe 9–10 Apr 2017 1,002 30% 45% 55%
Kantar Sofres 5–7 Apr 2017 1,515 47% 53%
Le Terrain 23–27 Mar 2017 1,106 43% 57%
Mélenchon–Fillon
Poll source Fieldwork date Sample size Abstention    
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
FI
François Fillon
LR
Elabe 19–20 Apr 2017 1,445 23% 56% 44%
Harris 18–20 Apr 2017 962 56% 44%
Harris 18–19 Apr 2017 2,812 58% 42%
BVA 18–19 Apr 2017 1,427 25% 58% 42%
Ipsos 16–17 Apr 2017 8,274 24% 58% 42%
Elabe 16–17 Apr 2017 1,438 24% 57% 43%
Kantar Sofres 14–17 Apr 2017 1,530 57% 43%
Le Terrain 13–15 Apr 2017 1,139 60% 40%
BVA 12–14 Apr 2017 1,439 25% 58% 42%
Ipsos 12–13 Apr 2017 927 30% 60% 40%
Elabe 11–12 Apr 2017 1,010 22% 59% 41%
Elabe 9–10 Apr 2017 1,002 25% 59% 41%
Le Terrain 23–27 Mar 2017 1,106 63% 37%
Mélenchon–Le Pen
Poll source Fieldwork date Sample size Abstention    
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
FI
Marine Le Pen
FN
Odoxa 21 Apr 2017 953 28% 54% 46%
Odoxa 20 Apr 2017 1,433 59% 41%
Elabe 19–20 Apr 2017 1,445 27% 60% 40%
Harris 18–20 Apr 2017 962 61% 39%
Harris 18–19 Apr 2017 2,812 60% 40%
BVA 18–19 Apr 2017 1,427 26% 60% 40%
Ipsos 16–17 Apr 2017 8,274 24% 57% 43%
Elabe 16–17 Apr 2017 1,438 27% 58% 42%
Kantar Sofres 14–17 Apr 2017 1,530 57% 43%
Le Terrain 13–15 Apr 2017 1,139 64% 36%
BVA 12–14 Apr 2017 1,439 26% 60% 40%
Odoxa 12–13 Apr 2017 950 29% 58% 42%
Ipsos 12–13 Apr 2017 927 28% 60% 40%
Harris 11–13 Apr 2017 904 64% 36%
Elabe 11–12 Apr 2017 1,010 27% 63% 37%
Elabe 9–10 Apr 2017 1,002 22% 61% 39%
Kantar Sofres 5–7 Apr 2017 1,515 57% 43%
Le Terrain 23–27 Mar 2017 1,106 68% 32%
By region
Poll
source
Fieldwork date Sample
size
                   
Fillon
LR
Le Pen
FN
Macron
EM
Fillon
LR
Mélenchon
FI
Macron
EM
Mélenchon
FI
Fillon
LR
Mélenchon
FI
Le Pen
FN
Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 1,154 54% 46% 64% 36% 40% 60% 56% 44% 56% 44%
Bourgogne-Franche-Comté
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 421 51% 49% 59% 41% 42% 58% 54% 46% 51% 49%
Brittany
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 567 66% 34% 68% 32% 42% 58% 59% 41% 69% 31%
Centre-Val de Loire
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 451 55% 45% 67% 33% 42% 58% 58% 42% 60% 40%
Grand Est
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 914 52% 48% 62% 38% 44% 56% 56% 44% 49% 51%
Hauts-de-France
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 986 46% 54% 68% 32% 44% 56% 63% 37% 54% 46%
Île-de-France
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 1,689 64% 36% 64% 36% 40% 60% 57% 43% 63% 37%
Normandy
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 504 57% 43% 67% 33% 47% 53% 60% 40% 58% 42%
Nouvelle-Aquitaine
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 846 57% 43% 62% 38% 44% 56% 58% 42% 60% 40%
Occitanie
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 891 47% 53% 66% 34% 43% 57% 63% 37% 53% 47%
Pays de la Loire
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 684 64% 36% 64% 36% 37% 63% 53% 47% 61% 39%
Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 723 47% 53% 55% 45% 46% 54% 51% 49% 45% 55%
Valls–Le Pen
Poll source Fieldwork date Sample size Abstention    
Manuel Valls
PS
Marine Le Pen
FN
Odoxa 29–30 Apr 2015 1,021 27% 55% 45%
CSA 27–29 Jan 2015 951 32% 60% 40%
Ifop 21–23 Jan 2015 983 61% 39%
Hollande–Le Pen
Poll source Fieldwork date Sample size Abstention    
François Hollande
PSIncumbent
Marine Le Pen
FN
Odoxa 14–15 Apr 2016 949 42% 47% 53%
Ifop-Fiducial 12–14 Apr 2016 1,876 47% 53%
Odoxa 14–15 Jan 2016 1,011 35% 54% 46%
Harris 13 Dec 2015 1,020 60% 40%
Odoxa 29–30 Apr 2015 1,021 30% 48% 52%
OpinionWay 15–16 Apr 2015 1,016 33% 52% 48%
CSA 27–29 Jan 2015 951 37% 51% 49%
Ifop 21–23 Jan 2015 983 55% 45%
Ifop 3–4 Sep 2014 994 46% 54%
OpinionWay 11–13 Apr 2014 1,023 36% 54% 46%
Hollande–Fillon
Poll source Fieldwork date Sample size Abstention    
François Hollande
PSIncumbent
François Fillon
UMP/LR
Ifop 3–4 Sep 2014 994 38% 62%
Juppé–Le Pen
Poll source Fieldwork date Sample size Abstention    
Alain Juppé
UMP/LR
Marine Le Pen
FN
BVA 14–16 Oct 2016 916 24% 68% 32%
BVA 9–11 Sep 2016 912 29% 66% 34%
BVA 8–10 Jul 2016 936 20% 68% 32%
Ifop-Fiducial 14–17 Jun 2016 1,858 67% 33%
BVA 10–12 Jun 2016 910 25% 70% 30%
BVA 13–16 May 2016 927 20% 70% 30%
BVA 15–17 Apr 2016 949 23% 70% 30%
Odoxa 14–15 Apr 2016 949 27% 66% 34%
Ifop-Fiducial 12–14 Apr 2016 1,876 67% 33%
Odoxa 14–15 Jan 2016 1,011 24% 70% 30%
TNS Sofres 14–15 Dec 2015 1,000 33% 70% 30%
Harris 13 Dec 2015 1,020 71% 29%
Odoxa 21–22 May 2015 911 27% 67% 33%
OpinionWay 15–16 Apr 2015 1,016 26% 70% 30%
CSA 27–29 Jan 2015 951 32% 62% 38%
Ifop 3–4 Sep 2014 994 64% 36%
Hollande–Juppé
Poll source Fieldwork date Sample size Abstention    
François Hollande
PSIncumbent
Alain Juppé
UMP/LR
Odoxa 14–15 Jan 2016 1,011 34% 30% 70%
Odoxa 21–22 May 2015 911 37% 29% 71%
OpinionWay 15–16 Apr 2015 1,016 35% 30% 70%
Ifop 21–23 Jan 2015 983 40% 60%
Ifop 3–4 Sep 2014 994 34% 66%
Macron–Juppé
Poll source Fieldwork date Sample size Abstention    
Emmanuel Macron
PS
Alain Juppé
UMP/LR
Odoxa 14–15 Jan 2016 1,011 36% 39% 61%
Sarkozy–Le Pen
Poll source Fieldwork date Sample size Abstention    
Nicolas Sarkozy
UMP/LR
Marine Le Pen
FN
BVA 14–16 Oct 2016 916 40% 58% 42%
BVA 9–11 Sep 2016 912 46% 56% 44%
BVA 8–10 Jul 2016 936 38% 58% 42%
Ifop-Fiducial 14–17 Jun 2016 1,858 57% 43%
BVA 10–12 Jun 2016 910 40% 61% 39%
BVA 13–16 May 2016 927 39% 56% 44%
BVA 15–17 Apr 2016 949 38% 60% 40%
Odoxa 14–15 Apr 2016 949 45% 55% 45%
Ifop-Fiducial 12–14 Apr 2016 1,876 58% 42%
Odoxa 14–15 Jan 2016 1,011 43% 56% 44%
TNS Sofres 14–15 Dec 2015 1,000 44% 64% 36%
Harris 13 Dec 2015 1,020 62% 38%
Odoxa 21–22 May 2015 911 43% 59% 41%
Odoxa 29–30 Apr 2015 1,021 34% 59% 41%
OpinionWay 15–16 Apr 2015 1,016 39% 63% 37%
CSA 27–29 Jan 2015 951 43% 57% 43%
Ifop 21–23 Jan 2015 983 60% 40%
Ifop 3–4 Sep 2014 994 60% 40%
OpinionWay 11–13 Apr 2014 1,023 37% 60% 40%
CSA 26–28 Apr 2013 1,027 36% 69% 31%
Hollande–Sarkozy
Poll source Fieldwork date Sample size Abstention    
François Hollande
PSIncumbent
Nicolas Sarkozy
UMP/LR
Odoxa 14–15 Jan 2016 1,011 44% 46% 54%
Odoxa 21–22 May 2015 911 41% 42% 58%
Odoxa 29–30 Apr 2015 1,021 35% 40% 60%
OpinionWay 15–16 Apr 2015 1,016 40% 40% 60%
Ifop 21–23 Jan 2015 983 43% 57%
Ifop 3–4 Sep 2014 994 39% 61%
OpinionWay 11–13 Apr 2014 1,023 36% 39% 61%
CSA 26–28 Apr 2013 1,027 27% 39% 61%
OpinionWay 16–17 Apr 2013 1,022 28% 47% 53%
Ifop 9–12 Oct 2012 1,607 50% 50%
2nd round election 6 May 2012 N/A 24.3% 51.6% 48.4%
Valls–Sarkozy
Poll source Fieldwork date Sample size Abstention    
Manuel Valls
PS
Nicolas Sarkozy
UMP/LR
Odoxa 29–30 Apr 2015 1,021 32% 48% 52%
Macron–Sarkozy
Poll source Fieldwork date Sample size Abstention    
Emmanuel Macron
PS
Nicolas Sarkozy
UMP/LR
Odoxa 14–15 Jan 2016 1,011 36% 64% 36%
Le Maire–Le Pen
Poll source Fieldwork date Sample size Abstention    
Bruno Le Maire
UMP/LR
Marine Le Pen
FN
BVA 9–11 Sep 2016 912 41% 58% 42%
Ifop-Fiducial 14–17 Jun 2016 1,858 57% 43%
BVA 10–12 Jun 2016 910 36% 63% 37%
BVA 13–16 May 2016 927 38% 58% 42%
BVA 15–17 Apr 2016 949 39% 61% 39%
Ifop-Fiducial 12–14 Apr 2016 1,876 60% 40%

Opinion polls for the first round of votingEdit

Graphical summaryEdit

The averages in the graphs below were constructed using polls containing the candidates listed below conducted by the eight major French pollsters, depending on whether they included the potential candidacy of François Bayrou of the Democratic Movement (MoDem). Bayrou renounced his candidacy on 22 February 2017 and instead proposed an alliance with Emmanuel Macron, which he accepted.[1] Yannick Jadot of Europe Ecology – The Greens (EELV) announced that he would withdraw his candidacy and endorsed Benoît Hamon on 23 February after negotiating a common platform with the Socialist nominee;[2] the agreement was approved by the EELV primary voters on 26 February.[3] The graphs, updated daily with the release of new polls, are smoothed 14-day weighted moving averages, using only the most recent poll conducted by any given pollster within that range (each poll weighted based on recency).

Verified candidatesEdit

This table below lists polls completed since the publication of the official list of candidates on 18 March until the first round vote on 23 April 2017.[4] The publication of first-round polls was prohibited in France after midnight on 21 April.[5]

Poll source Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abstention                      
Arthaud
LO
Poutou
NPA
Mélenchon
FI
Hamon
PS
Macron
EM
Lassalle
Résistons!
Fillon
LR
Dupont-Aignan
DLF
Asselineau
UPR
Le Pen
FN
Cheminade
S&P
1st round result 23 Apr 2017 22.23% 0.64% 1.09% 19.58% 6.36% 24.01% 1.21% 20.01% 4.70% 0.92% 21.30% 0.18%
Odoxa 21 Apr 2017 953 30% 0% 1% 19% 7.5% 24.5% 0.5% 19% 4.5% 1% 23% 0%
BVA 20–21 Apr 2017 1,494 20% 0.5% 1.5% 19.5% 8% 23% 1% 19% 4% 0.5% 23% <0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 18–21 Apr 2017 2,823 27% 0.5% 1.5% 18.5% 7% 24.5% 1% 19.5% 4% 1% 22.5% <0.5%
Odoxa 20 Apr 2017 1,433 0.5% 1.5% 19.5% 6% 25% 1% 19.5% 4% 1% 22% 0%
Ipsos 19–20 Apr 2017 1,401 27% 0.5% 1.5% 19% 7.5% 24% 1.5% 19% 4% 1% 22% <0.5%
Elabe 19–20 Apr 2017 1,445 29% 0.5% 1.5% 19.5% 7% 24% 1% 20% 4% 1% 21.5% <0.5%
OpinionWay 18–20 Apr 2017 2,269 0% 2% 18% 8% 23% 1% 21% 4% 1% 22% 0%
Harris 18–20 Apr 2017 962 0.5% 1.5% 19% 7.5% 24.5% 1% 20% 4% 1% 21% <0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 17–20 Apr 2017 2,810 27% 0.5% 1.5% 18.5% 7% 24% 1.5% 19.5% 4% 1% 22.5% <0.5%
Harris 18–19 Apr 2017 2,812 0.5% 1.5% 19% 7.5% 25% 1% 19% 4% 0.5% 22% <0.5%
BVA 18–19 Apr 2017 1,427 20% 0.5% 1.5% 19% 8.5% 24% 0.5% 19% 3.5% 0.5% 23% <0.5%
OpinionWay 17–19 Apr 2017 2,394 0% 2% 19% 8% 23% 1% 20% 4% 1% 22% 0%
Ifop-Fiducial 16–19 Apr 2017 2,792 28% 0.5% 1.5% 18.5% 7.5% 23.5% 1.5% 19.5% 4% 1% 22.5% <0.5%
OpinionWay 16–18 Apr 2017 2,417 0% 2% 19% 8% 23% 1% 20% 4% 1% 22% 0%
Ifop-Fiducial 14–18 Apr 2017 2,804 29% 0.5% 1.5% 19% 7.5% 23.5% 1% 19.5% 4% 1% 22.5% <0.5%
Ipsos 16–17 Apr 2017 8,274 28% 0.5% 1.5% 19% 8% 23% 1% 19.5% 4% 1% 22.5% <0.5%
Elabe 16–17 Apr 2017 1,438 32% 0.5% 2% 18% 8% 24% 0.5% 19.5% 4% 0.5% 23% <0.5%
OpinionWay 15–17 Apr 2017 2,423 0% 2% 19% 8% 23% 1% 20% 4% 1% 22% 0%
Kantar Sofres 14–17 Apr 2017 1,530 22% 0.5% 2% 18% 8% 24% 1% 18.5% 4% 1% 23% <0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 13–17 Apr 2017 2,796 30% 0.5% 1.5% 19.5% 7.5% 23% 1% 19.5% 4% 1% 22.5% <0.5%
OpinionWay 14–16 Apr 2017 2,168 1% 2% 18% 8% 22% 2% 21% 3% 1% 22% 0%
Ifop-Fiducial* 14–15 Apr 2017 1,851 0.5% 2% 19.5% 8% 23% 1% 19% 4% 1% 22% 0%
Le Terrain** 13–15 Apr 2017 1,139 25% 1% 1.5% 22% 8% 24% 0.5% 17.5% 3.5% 0.5% 21.5% 0%
BVA 12–14 Apr 2017 1,439 23% 1% 1.5% 20% 7.5% 23% 1% 20% 3% 1% 22% <0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 11–14 Apr 2017 2,776 31% 0.5% 2% 19% 8% 22.5% 1% 19% 4% 1% 23% <0.5%
Odoxa 12–13 Apr 2017 950 21% 0% 1.5% 19% 8% 24.5% 1.5% 18.5% 3.5% 0.5% 23% 0%
Ipsos 12–13 Apr 2017 927 34% 0.5% 2% 20% 7.5% 22% 1.5% 19% 3.5% 1.5% 22% 0.5%
OpinionWay 11–13 Apr 2017 1,443 0% 2% 17% 9% 22% 2% 20% 3% 2% 23% 0%
Harris 11–13 Apr 2017 904 <0.5% 1% 19% 8% 24% 1% 20% 4% 1% 22% <0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 10–13 Apr 2017 2,797 31% 0.5% 2% 19% 8.5% 22.5% 1% 19% 3.5% 0.5% 23.5% <0.5%
Elabe 11–12 Apr 2017 1,010 37% 0.5% 2% 18.5% 9% 23.5% 0.5% 20% 3% 0.5% 22.5% <0.5%
OpinionWay 10–12 Apr 2017 1,423 0% 2% 17% 8% 23% 2% 20% 3% 1% 24% 0%
Ifop-Fiducial 9–12 Apr 2017 2,800 32% 0.5% 2% 18.5% 8.5% 22.5% 1.5% 19% 3.5% 0.5% 23.5% <0.5%
OpinionWay 9–11 Apr 2017 1,395 0% 2% 18% 7% 23% 2% 20% 3% 1% 24% 0%
Ifop-Fiducial 7–11 Apr 2017 2,806 32% 0.5% 1.5% 18.5% 8.5% 23% 1% 19% 3.5% 0.5% 24% <0.5%
Elabe 9–10 Apr 2017 1,002 37% 0.5% 2.5% 17% 10% 23% 0.5% 19% 4% 0.5% 23% <0.5%
OpinionWay 8–10 Apr 2017 1,498 0% 2% 18% 8% 23% 2% 19% 3% 1% 24% 0%
Ifop-Fiducial 6–10 Apr 2017 2,616 33% 0.5% 2% 18% 9% 23% 1% 18.5% 4% <0.5% 24% <0.5%
Ipsos 7–9 Apr 2017 1,002 34% 1% 1.5% 18.5% 8% 24% 0.5% 18% 3.5% 1% 24% <0.5%
OpinionWay 7–9 Apr 2017 1,565 0% 2% 18% 9% 23% 1% 19% 3% 1% 24% 0%
Ifop-Fiducial* 7–8 Apr 2017 1,845 32% 1% 2% 19% 8% 23% 1% 18.5% 3.5% 0% 24% 0%
Kantar Sofres 5–7 Apr 2017 1,515 28% 0.5% 2.5% 18% 9% 24% 0.5% 17% 3.5% 1% 24% <0.5%
BVA 5–7 Apr 2017 1,421 23% 1% 1.5% 19% 8.5% 23% 1% 19% 3.5% 0.5% 23% <0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 4–7 Apr 2017 2,246 35% 0.5% 1% 17% 9.5% 23.5% 1% 18.5% 4.5% <0.5% 24.5% <0.5%
Harris 5–6 Apr 2017 928 1% 1% 18% 9% 24% 1% 19% 3% 1% 23% <0.5%
OpinionWay 4–6 Apr 2017 1,589 0% 2% 16% 10% 24% 0% 20% 3% 0% 25% 0%
Ifop-Fiducial 3–6 Apr 2017 2,243 35% 0.5% 1% 16.5% 9.5% 24% 1% 18.5% 4.5% <0.5% 24.5% <0.5%
Odoxa 5 Apr 2017 955 16% 0.5% 2% 18% 9% 23.5% 0.5% 18.5% 4% 1% 23% 0%
Harris 5 Apr 2017 2,097 1% 1% 17% 9% 25% 1% 18% 3% 1% 24% <0.5%
Elabe 5 Apr 2017 995 36% 1% 1.5% 17% 9% 23.5% 1% 19% 4.5% <0.5% 23.5% <0.5%
OpinionWay 3–5 Apr 2017 1,553 0% 1% 16% 10% 24% 0% 20% 3% 1% 25% 0%
Ifop-Fiducial 2–5 Apr 2017 2,245 35% 0.5% 1% 16% 9.5% 24.5% 1% 18% 4.5% <0.5% 25% <0.5%
Harris 3–4 Apr 2017 3,639 1% <0.5% 16% 10% 26% <0.5% 18% 4% 1% 24% <0.5%
OpinionWay 2–4 Apr 2017 1,541 0% 1% 15% 10% 24% 0% 20% 3% 1% 26% 0%
Ifop-Fiducial 31 Mar–4 Apr 2017 2,254 34% 0.5% 0.5% 15.5% 10% 25% 1% 17.5% 4.5% 0.5% 25% <0.5%
OpinionWay 1–3 Apr 2017 1,583 0% 1% 15% 10% 24% 1% 20% 3% 0% 26% 0%
Ifop-Fiducial 30 Mar–3 Apr 2017 2,232 34% 0.5% 0.5% 15% 10% 26% 1% 17% 4% 0.5% 25.5% <0.5%
Ipsos 31 Mar–2 Apr 2017 9,460 34% 1% 1% 15% 10% 25% 1% 17.5% 4% 0.5% 25% <0.5%
OpinionWay 31 Mar–2 Apr 2017 1,624 0% 1% 15% 11% 24% 1% 19% 4% 0% 25% 0%
Ifop-Fiducial 28–31 Mar 2017 2,204 35% 0.5% 1% 15% 10% 26% 0.5% 17.5% 4% 0.5% 25% <0.5%
BVA 29–30 Mar 2017 1,418 24% 1% 0.5% 15% 11.5% 25% 0.5% 19% 3% 0.5% 24% <0.5%
Odoxa 29–30 Mar 2017 969 19% 0% 1.5% 16% 8% 26% 1% 17% 5% 0.5% 25% 0%
OpinionWay 28–30 Mar 2017 1,609 0% 1% 15% 11% 24% 1% 19% 4% 1% 24% 0%
Ifop-Fiducial 27–30 Mar 2017 2,215 36% 0.5% 1% 14.5% 10% 26% 1% 17.5% 4% <0.5% 25.5% <0.5%
Elabe 28–29 Mar 2017 998 41% 0.5% 0.5% 15% 10% 25.5% 1% 18% 4.5% 0.5% 24% 0.5%
OpinionWay 27–29 Mar 2017 1,636 0% 1% 15% 10% 25% 1% 20% 3% 0% 25% 0%
Ifop-Fiducial 26–29 Mar 2017 2,241 37% 0.5% 0.5% 14% 10% 26% 1% 17.5% 4.5% 0.5% 25.5% <0.5%
OpinionWay 26–28 Mar 2017 1,618 0% 1% 15% 10% 25% 1% 20% 3% 0% 25% 0%
Ifop-Fiducial 24–28 Mar 2017 2,231 38% 1% 0.5% 14% 10.5% 25.5% 1% 17.5% 4.5% 0.5% 25% <0.5%
Ipsos 25–27 Mar 2017 1,005 35% 1% 1% 14% 12% 24% 1% 18% 3.5% 0.5% 25% <0.5%
OpinionWay 25–27 Mar 2017 1,599 1% 1% 14% 10% 24% 1% 20% 3% 0% 26% 0%
Le Terrain** 23–27 Mar 2017 1,106 30% 0.8% 2% 19.5% 9% 24.5% 0.3% 15.5% 4% 0.2% 24% 0.2%
Ifop-Fiducial 23–27 Mar 2017 2,235 38% 1% 0.5% 14% 10.5% 25.5% 0.5% 17.5% 5% 0.5% 25% <0.5%
OpinionWay 24–26 Mar 2017 1,676 1% 1% 13% 11% 24% 1% 20% 3% 0% 26% 0%
BVA 22–24 Mar 2017 1,431 24% 0.5% 0.5% 14% 11.5% 26% 1% 17% 4% 0.5% 25% <0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 21–24 Mar 2017 2,225 37% 0.5% 0.5% 13% 10.5% 26% 1% 18% 5% 0.5% 25% <0.5%
OpinionWay 21–23 Mar 2017 1,675 1% 1% 14% 11% 24% 1% 19% 4% 0% 25% 0%
Ifop-Fiducial 20–23 Mar 2017 2,245 36.5% 0.5% 0.5% 12.5% 11% 26% 1% 18% 5.5% <0.5% 25% <0.5%
Harris 21–22 Mar 2017 6,383 <0.5% <0.5% 13.5% 12.5% 26% 1% 18% 4% <0.5% 25% <0.5%
OpinionWay 20–22 Mar 2017 1,672 1% 0% 13% 12% 25% 1% 19% 3% 1% 25% 0%
Ifop-Fiducial 19–22 Mar 2017 1,974 36.5% 0.5% 0.5% 12% 11% 25.5% 1% 18% 5.5% 0.5% 25.5% <0.5%
Elabe 21 Mar 2017 997 38% 0.5% 0.5% 13.5% 11.5% 26% 1% 17% 5% 0.5% 24.5% <0.5%
OpinionWay 19–21 Mar 2017 1,676 1% 1% 12% 13% 24% 1% 19% 3% 0% 26% 0%
Ifop-Fiducial 18–21 Mar 2017 1,695 37% 1% 0.5% 11.5% 11.5% 25.5% 1% 17.5% 5% 0.5% 26% <0.5%
OpinionWay 18–20 Mar 2017 1,667 1% 1% 11% 14% 24% 1% 18% 3% 0% 27% 0%
Ifop-Fiducial 18–20 Mar 2017 935 37.5% 1% 0.5% 11.5% 12.5% 25% 0.5% 18% 4.5% 0.5% 26% <0.5%
Elabe 17–19 Mar 2017 2,847 41% 0.5% 0.5% 13% 13.5% 25.5% 1% 17.5% 3% 0.5% 25% <0.5%
OpinionWay 17–19 Mar 2017 1,593 1% 1% 12% 13% 23% 1% 18% 3% 1% 27% 0%
Ifop-Fiducial and OpinionWay polls in this table are rolling unless otherwise denoted by an asterisk (*); see methodology: Ifop-Fiducial, OpinionWay
Continuous results can be viewed here: Ifop-Fiducial, OpinionWay. Historical data and demographic breakdowns can be viewed here: Ifop-Fiducial
** Uses CATI/random number dialing, unlike all other pollsters, which conduct online surveys; see notices published by the polling commission for March and April

Older pollsEdit

Graphs

2017Edit

March 2017
Poll source Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abstention                        
Arthaud
LO
Poutou
NPA
Mélenchon
FI
Hamon
PS
Macron
EM
Lassalle
Résistons!
Fillon
LR
Juppé
LR
Dupont-Aignan
DLF
Asselineau
UPR
Le Pen
FN
Cheminade
S&P
Kantar Sofres 15–17 Mar 2017 1,508 27% 1.5% 1% 12% 12% 26% 0.5% 17% 3% 1% 26% <0.5%
BVA 15–17 Mar 2017 1,425 27% 1% 0% 12% 12.5% 25% 19.5% 3% 1% 26%
Ifop-Fiducial 14–17 Mar 2017 1,376 37.5% 1% 0.5% 10.5% 13.5% 26% 18% 3.5% 0.5% 26.5% <0.5%
Odoxa 15–16 Mar 2017 964 30% 1% 1% 10.5% 12.5% 26.5% 0% 19% 3% 0.5% 26% 0%
OpinionWay 14–16 Mar 2017 1,571 1% 0% 11% 12% 25% 20% 3% 28%
Ifop-Fiducial 13–16 Mar 2017 1,386 37% 1% 0.5% 11% 13.5% 25.5% 18% 3.5% 0.5% 26.5% <0.5%
Ipsos 14–15 Mar 2017 8,205 34% 1% 0.5% 11.5% 12.5% 26% 17.5% 3.5% 0.5% 27% <0.5%
OpinionWay 13–15 Mar 2017 1,554 1% 0% 12% 13% 25% 19% 3% 27%
Ifop-Fiducial 12–15 Mar 2017 1,399 36.5% 0.5% 0.5% 11.5% 13.5% 25.5% 18.5% 3.5% <0.5% 26.5% <0.5%
OpinionWay 12–14 Mar 2017 1,529 1% 0% 12% 13% 25% 19% 3% 27%
Ifop-Fiducial 10–14 Mar 2017 1,413 36% 0.5% 0.5% 11.5% 14% 25% 19% 3% <0.5% 26.5% <0.5%
OpinionWay 11–13 Mar 2017 1,528 1% 0% 11% 14% 24% 20% 3% 27%
Ifop-Fiducial 9–13 Mar 2017 1,397 37% 0.5% 0.5% 11.5% 14% 25% 19% 3% <0.5% 26.5% <0.5%
OpinionWay 10–12 Mar 2017 1,610 1% 0% 11% 14% 25% 20% 2% 27%
BVA 8–10 Mar 2017 1,419 26% 0.5% 0.5% 11.5% 13.5% 26% 20% 2% 26%
Ifop-Fiducial 7–10 Mar 2017 1,379 36.5% 0.5% 0.5% 12% 13.5% 25.5% 19.5% 2.5% 26% <0.5%
OpinionWay 7–9 Mar 2017 1,571 1% 0% 11% 14% 26% 20% 2% 26%
Ifop-Fiducial 6–9 Mar 2017 1,395 36.5% 1% 0.5% 12% 13.5% 25% 19% 3% 26% <0.5%
OpinionWay 6–8 Mar 2017 1,509 1% 0% 10% 15% 25% 21% 2% 26%
Harris 6–8 Mar 2017 4,533 1% <0.5% 12% 13% 26% 20% 3% 25%
Ifop-Fiducial 5–8 Mar 2017 1,394 36% 1% 0.5% 11.5% 13.5% 24.5% 19.5% 3.5% 26% <0.5%
Ipsos 6–7 Mar 2017 1,000 36% 1% 1% 12% 13.5% 23% 19.5% 2.5% 27% 0.5%
OpinionWay 5–7 Mar 2017 1,574 0% 0% 10% 16% 25% 21% 2% 26%
Ifop-Fiducial 3–7 Mar 2017 1,390 36% 0.5% 0.5% 11.5% 14% 25% 19% 3.5% 26% <0.5%
Elabe 5–6 Mar 2017 1,000 41% 0.5% 0.5% 12% 13.5% 25.5% 19% 3% 26%
OpinionWay 4–6 Mar 2017 1,559 0% 0% 10% 16% 25% 20% 3% 26%
Ifop-Fiducial 2–6 Mar 2017 1,381 35.5% 0.5% 0.5% 11.5% 13.5% 25.5% 19% 3% 26.5% <0.5%
OpinionWay 3–5 Mar 2017 1,671 0% 1% 11% 15% 24% 19% 3% 27%
Ipsos 1–5 Mar 2017 10,854 34% 1% 1% 11.5% 14% 25% 17.5% 3% 27% <0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial* 2–4 Mar 2017 1,822 35% 0.5% 0.5% 12% 14% 25.5% 18.5% 2.5% 26.5% 0%
0.5% 0.5% 11.5% 13% 23% 20% 3% 28.5% 0%
Kantar Sofres 2–4 Mar 2017 1,027 31% 1% 1% 12% 16% 25% 17% 2% 26% <0.5%
1% 1% 11% 13% 20% 24.5% 2.5% 27% <0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 28 Feb–3 Mar 2017 1,383 35% 0.5% 0.5% 11% 14% 24.5% 20% 2.5% 27% <0.5%
Odoxa 1–2 Mar 2017 907 19% 0.5% 1% 10% 14% 27% 19% 3% 25.5%
19% 0.5% 1% 8% 11% 25% 26.5% 4% 24%
BVA 28 Feb–2 Mar 2017 1,413 28% 0.5% 1% 11.5% 15.5% 24% 19% 2.5% 26%
OpinionWay 28 Feb–2 Mar 2017 1,654 0% 1% 11% 15% 24% 19% 3% 27%
Elabe 28 Feb–2 Mar 2017 1,507 41% 1% 1% 12.5% 12.5% 24% 19% 3% 27%
Ifop-Fiducial 27 Feb–2 Mar 2017 1,394 37% 0.5% 0.5% 11% 14.5% 24% 21% 2.5% 26% <0.5%
OpinionWay 27 Feb–1 Mar 2017 1,639 0% 1% 11% 16% 23% 21% 3% 25%
Ifop-Fiducial 26 Feb–1 Mar 2017 1,392 37.5% 1% 0.5% 11% 14% 24% 21% 3% 25.5% <0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial and OpinionWay polls in this table are rolling unless otherwise denoted by an asterisk (*); see methodology: Ifop-Fiducial, OpinionWay
Continuous results can be viewed here: Ifop-Fiducial, OpinionWay. Historical data and demographic breakdowns can be viewed here: Ifop-Fiducial
Note: Alain Juppé, who lost the primary of the right and centre to Fillon, was floated to replace him as a result of the Fillon affair (Penelopegate).
Though tested in some hypothetical polls, Juppé announced on 6 March that he would not be a candidate, regardless of what happened with Fillon.[6]
Poll testing additional potential candidates
Poll source Fieldwork date Sample
size
                               
LO NPA FI ND LP PS EM R DVD LR DVD DVD DLF UPR FN S&P
Ifop-Fiducial 1–4 Mar 2017 1,392 1% 0.5% 10.5% <0.5% 0.5% 14% 23% 1% 1% 20% 1% <0.5% 2.5% <0.5% 25% <0.5%
February 2017
Poll source Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abstention                      
LO NPA FI EELV PS EM MoDem LR DLF FN S&P
OpinionWay 26–28 Feb 2017 1,629 0% 0% 11% 16% 24% 21% 3% 25%
Ifop-Fiducial 24–28 Feb 2017 1,398 37% 1% 0.5% 11.5% 14% 24% 20.5% 3% 25.5% <0.5%
OpinionWay 25–27 Feb 2017 1,624 0% 0% 11% 15% 24% 21% 3% 26%
Ifop-Fiducial 23–27 Feb 2017 1,404 38% 1% 0.5% 11.5% 13.5% 24.5% 20% 2.5% 26% 0.5%
OpinionWay 24–26 Feb 2017 1,631 0% 0% 11% 15% 24% 21% 3% 26%
Kantar Sofres 23–24 Feb 2017 1,005 30% 1% 0.5% 10% 14% 25% 20% 2.5% 27% <0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 21–24 Feb 2017 1,417 39% 0.5% 0.5% 11% 2% 13% 23.5% 20.5% 2.5% 26% 0.5%
Odoxa 22–23 Feb 2017 920 21% 0% 1% 12% 1% 13% 25% 19% 2% 27%
OpinionWay 21–23 Feb 2017 1,431 0% 1% 11% 2% 13% 23% 21% 3% 26%
Ifop-Fiducial 20–23 Feb 2017 1,395 39% 0.5% 1% 11% 2% 13.5% 22.5% 20.5% 2% 26.5% 0.5%
Harris 20–22 Feb 2017 5,249 1% 1% 13% 2% 14% 20% 21% 3% 25%
OpinionWay 20–22 Feb 2017 1,615 0% 1% 11% 2% 13% 22% 21% 4% 26%
Ifop-Fiducial 19–22 Feb 2017 1,399 38% 0.5% 1% 11% 1.5% 14% 19% 5.5% 19% 2% 26.5% <0.5%
OpinionWay 19–21 Feb 2017 1,545 0% 0% 11% 2% 14% 22% 21% 4% 26%
Ifop-Fiducial 17–21 Feb 2017 1,386 38% 0.5% 1% 11.5% 1.5% 14% 19% 5.5% 19% 2% 26% <0.5%
BVA 19–20 Feb 2017 940 26% 0.5% 0.5% 10.5% 2% 17% 21% 19% 2% 27.5%
Elabe 18–20 Feb 2017 995 43% 1% 1% 12% 1% 12% 17% 6% 20% 3% 27%
1% 1% 13% 1% 13% 18.5% 21% 3.5% 28%
OpinionWay 18–20 Feb 2017 1,535 0% 1% 11% 1% 15% 21% 21% 4% 26%
Ifop-Fiducial* 17–20 Feb 2017 1,838 0.5% 0.5% 12% 2% 15.5% 22% 20% 2% 25.5% 0%
Ifop-Fiducial 16–20 Feb 2017 1,397 38% 0.5% 1% 11.5% 1.5% 14% 19% 5.5% 18.5% 2.5% 26% <0.5%
OpinionWay 17–19 Feb 2017 1,534 0% 0% 12% 2% 16% 20% 20% 3% 27%
Ifop-Fiducial 14–17 Feb 2017 1,399 38% 0.5% 0.5% 11.5% 2% 14% 18.5% 5.5% 18.5% 3% 26% <0.5%
OpinionWay 14–16 Feb 2017 1,605 0% 0% 13% 2% 16% 20% 20% 3% 26%
Ifop-Fiducial 13–16 Feb 2017 1,396 37% 0.5% 0.5% 11% 2% 14% 19.5% 5% 18.5% 3% 26% <0.5%
OpinionWay 13–15 Feb 2017 1,602 0% 0% 12% 2% 16% 21% 20% 3% 26%
Ifop-Fiducial 12–15 Feb 2017 1,394 37% 0.5% 0.5% 11.5% 1.5% 14% 19.5% 5% 18.5% 3% 26% <0.5%
OpinionWay 12–14 Feb 2017 1,456 0% 1% 11% 2% 15% 21% 20% 3% 27%
Dedicated Research** 10–14 Feb 2017 2,066 23.7% 1.4% 0.6% 12.7% 2.1% 16.4% 21.3% 4.9% 16.7% 1.9% 22.1%
24.9% 1.4% 0.7% 13.1% 2.3% 17.0% 23.0% 17.8% 2.2% 22.6%
Ifop-Fiducial 10–14 Feb 2017 1,402 37% 0.5% 0.5% 11.5% 1.5% 14.5% 19.5% 5% 18.5% 3% 25.5% <0.5%
OpinionWay 11–13 Feb 2017 1,422 0% 0% 11% 2% 15% 22% 20% 3% 27%
Ifop-Fiducial 9–13 Feb 2017 1,392 38% 0.5% 0.5% 11.5% 1.5% 14.5% 19.5% 5.5% 18% 2.5% 26% <0.5%
OpinionWay 10–12 Feb 2017 1,590 0% 0% 11% 2% 15% 22% 21% 3% 26%
Ipsos 7–12 Feb 2017 11,020 31% 0.5% 0.5% 11.5% 2% 14% 20% 6% 17.5% 3% 25% <0.5%
0.5% 0.5% 12% 2% 14.5% 23% 18.5% 3% 26% <0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 7–10 Feb 2017 1,396 38.5% 0.5% 0% 11% 1.5% 15% 20.5% 5.5% 17.5% 2.5% 26% <0.5%
OpinionWay 7–9 Feb 2017 1,496 0% 1% 13% 1% 16% 21% 20% 3% 25%
Ifop-Fiducial 6–9 Feb 2017 1,407 38.5% 0.5% 0% 10.5% 1.5% 15% 21% 5.5% 17.5% 2.5% 26% <0.5%
Elabe 7–8 Feb 2017 961 36% 0.5% 0.5% 12% 1% 15% 22% 5% 17% 1.5% 25.5%
0.5% 0.5% 13% 1.5% 15.5% 23.5% 18% 2% 26%
Harris 6–8 Feb 2017 5,432 <0.5% 1% 12% 2% 14% 21% 5% 19% 2% 24%
OpinionWay 6–8 Feb 2017 1,454 0% 1% 13% 1% 16% 21% 20% 4% 24%
Ifop-Fiducial 5–8 Feb 2017 1,409 38% 0.5% 0.5% 10.5% 1.5% 14.5% 21% 5.5% 18% 2% 26% <0.5%
OpinionWay 5–7 Feb 2017 1,487 0% 2% 12% 1% 15% 22% 20% 3% 25%
Ifop-Fiducial 3–7 Feb 2017 1,424 38.5% 0.5% 1% 10.5% 1% 14.5% 21% 5% 18.5% 2% 26% <0.5%
OpinionWay 4–6 Feb 2017 1,568 0% 1% 12% 1% 14% 23% 20% 4% 25%
Ifop-Fiducial 2–6 Feb 2017 1,433 39.5% 0.5% 1% 10% 1% 15.5% 20.5% 5% 18.5% 2.5% 25.5% <0.5%
OpinionWay 3–5 Feb 2017 1,700 0% 1% 11% 2% 14% 23% 20% 3% 26%
Ifop-Fiducial 31 Jan–3 Feb 2017 1,430 39.5% 0.5% 1% 10% 1% 16.5% 20.5% 4.5% 18.5% 2.5% 25% <0.5%
BVA 1–2 Feb 2017 955 25% 0.5% 0.5% 11% 1% 16% 21% 5% 18% 2% 25%
0.5% 0.5% 11.5% 1.5% 17% 22% 20% 2% 25%
Ifop-Fiducial 30 Jan–2 Feb 2017 1,414 38% 0.5% 1% 9.5% 1% 17% 20% 4% 20% 2.5% 24.5% <0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 29 Jan–1 Feb 2017 1,409 37% 0% 0.5% 9% 1% 18% 20% 4.5% 21% 2% 24% <0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial and OpinionWay polls in this table are rolling unless otherwise denoted by an asterisk (*); see methodology: Ifop-Fiducial, OpinionWay
Continuous results can be viewed here: Ifop-Fiducial, OpinionWay. Historical data and demographic breakdowns can be viewed here: Ifop-Fiducial
** Poll conducted by Belgian pollster not subject to French regulations; commissioned by La Libre Belgique/RTBF and published 20 Feb 2017
January 2017
Poll source Fieldwork date Sample
size
                           
LO NPA FI EELV PS PS PS PS EM MoDem LR DLF FN S&P
Elabe 30–31 Jan 2017 993 0.5% 0.5% 10% 1% 17% 23% 20% 1% 27%
0.5% 0.5% 10% 1% 16% 22% 4% 19% 1% 26%
Kantar Sofres 26–27 Jan 2017 1,032 0.5% 0.5% 10% 2% 15% 21% 22% 3.5% 25% 0.5%
0.5% 0.5% 10% 2% 13% 20% 5% 21% 3% 25% <0.5%
Ipsos 20 Jan 2017 1,443 1% 1% 13% 2% 8% 20% 26% 2% 27% <0.5%
1% 1% 14% 2% 7% 20% 26% 2% 27% <0.5%
1% 1% 15% 2% 9% 18% 25% 2% 27% <0.5%
Ipsos 10–15 Jan 2017 15,921 1% 1% 14% 2.5% 7% 21% 25% 2.5% 26% <0.5%
1% 1% 14% 2.5% 7% 21% 25% 2.5% 26% <0.5%
1% 1% 13% 2.5% 6% 19% 5% 24% 2.5% 26% <0.5%
1% 1% 15% 2.5% 10% 19% 24% 2.5% 25% <0.5%
1% 1% 14% 2.5% 9% 17% 5% 23% 2.5% 25% <0.5%
BVA 6–8 Jan 2017 946 1% 1% 13% 2.5% 5% 20% 6% 24% 1.5% 26%
1% 0.5% 12.5% 2.5% 6% 20% 6% 24% 1.5% 26%
1.5% 1% 12.5% 3% 6.5% 20% 5% 24% 1.5% 25%
1% 1% 13% 2.5% 11% 16% 5% 24% 1.5% 25%
Ifop-Fiducial 3–6 Jan 2017 1,860 1% 1.5% 13% 2.5% 2.5% 20% 7% 25% 1.5% 26% 0%
1% 1% 11.5% 2% 6% 19% 7% 24.5% 1.5% 26% 0.5%
1% 1% 11.5% 2% 5.5% 19% 7% 24.5% 2% 26.5% 0%
0.5% 1% 12% 2% 10.5% 17% 5.5% 24% 1.5% 26% 0%
Elabe 3–4 Jan 2017 995 1% 2% 15% 1.5% 3% 24% 28% 1.5% 24%
1.5% 1.5% 14.5% 1.5% 6% 23% 26% 2% 24%
0.5% 2% 14% 1.5% 9% 24% 26% 1% 22%
1% 2% 14% 1.5% 13% 18% 26% 1.5% 23%
0.5% 2% 14% 1% 3% 22% 7% 25% 1.5% 24%
0.5% 2% 13% 1% 6% 21% 8% 24% 1.5% 23%
1% 2% 13% 1% 7% 20% 7% 24% 2% 23%
1% 2.5% 14% 1% 12% 16% 7.5% 23% 1% 22%

2016Edit

December 2016
Poll source Fieldwork date Sample
size
                           
LO NPA FI EELV PS PS PS PRG EM MoDem LR DLF FN S&P
Ipsos 2–7 Dec 2016 18,013 1% 1% 14% 2.5% 7% <0.5% 18% 29% 2.5% 25% <0.5%
1% 1% 13% 2.5% 6% <0.5% 16% 7% 27% 2.5% 24% <0.5%
1% 1% 14% 2.5% 12% <0.5% 15% 27% 2.5% 25% <0.5%
1% 1% 13% 2.5% 11% <0.5% 13% 6% 26% 2.5% 24% <0.5%
BVA 2–4 Dec 2016 934 0.5% 1% 17% 2.5% 21% 0.5% 29% 2.5% 26%
1% 1% 13% 2% 6.5% 0.5% 19% 8% 23% 2% 24%
0.5% 0.5% 14% 2% 13% 0.5% 14% 6% 24% 1.5% 24%
Ifop 2–3 Dec 2016 1,401 1% 1% 13.5% 1.5% 4% 0% 16% 9% 28% 2% 24%
0.5% 1% 12.5% 1.5% 6% 0.5% 16% 8% 28% 2% 24%
0.5% 1% 12.5% 2% 10% 0% 13.5% 7% 27.5% 2% 24%
November 2016
Poll source Fieldwork date Sample
size
                           
LO NPA FI EELV PS PS PS PRG EM MoDem LR DLF FN S&P
Ifop 28–30 Nov 2016 1,882 0.5% 1% 11.5% 1.5% 6% 1% 17% 6% 29% 2.5% 24%
1% 1% 11% 2% 10% 0.5% 15% 5.5% 28% 2% 24%
Elabe 28–29 Nov 2016 941 0.5% 1% 12% 1.5% 5% 17% 5% 31% 2% 25%
0.5% 1% 12% 1.5% 9% 14% 5% 31% 2% 24%
0.5% 1% 12% 1.5% 7% 16% 6% 30% 2% 24%
Kantar Sofres 28 Nov 2016 1,011 1% 1% 12.5% 2% 7% 1% 17.5% 31% 2.5% 24% 0.5%
1% 1% 12% 1.5% 6% 1% 16% 6% 29% 2% 24% 0.5%
1.5% 1% 11.5% 2.5% 11% 0.5% 15% 29% 2.5% 25% 0.5%
1.5% 1% 12% 2% 9.5% 0.5% 13% 6% 28% 2% 24% 0.5%
2% 1.5% 15% 3% 14% 1% 34% 3% 26% 0.5%
0.5% 1% 13% 2% 8.5% 1% 17% 30% 2.5% 24% 0.5%
0.5% 1% 12% 2% 7.5% 1% 15% 6% 29% 2.5% 23% 0.5%
Harris 27 Nov 2016 6,093 1% 1% 15% 2% 9% 13% 7% 26% 2% 24%
1% 1% 13% 3% 9% 14% 6% 26% 3% 24%
Odoxa 25 Nov 2016 998 2% 1% 12% 2% 8% 13% 6% 32% 2% 22%
September–November 2016
Poll source Fieldwork date Sample
size
                                 
LO NPA FI EELV EELV PS PS PS EM MoDem LR LR LR LR DLF FN S&P
Ifop 16–17 Nov 2016 979 1% 1.5% 13% 3% 10% 15% 5.5% 20% 2% 29% 0%
0.5% 1.5% 13% 2.5% 9% 14% 26% 3% 30% 0.5%
1% 1.5% 13% 2.5% 9% 16% 8.5% 17.5% 3% 28% 0%
Ipsos 8–13 Nov 2016 18,200 1.5% 1.5% 13% 3% 9% 10% 31% 4% 27% <0.5%
1.5% 1.5% 14% 4% 12% 34% 4% 29% <0.5%
1.5% 1.5% 14% 4% 14% 11% 21% 4% 29% <0.5%
1.5% 1.5% 14% 4% 10% 36% 4% 29% <0.5%
1.5% 1.5% 14% 4% 12% 12% 22% 4% 29% <0.5%
Kantar Sofres 21–23 Oct 2016 1,005 1.5% 2% 15% 2% 13% 33% 4% 29% 0.5%
1.5% 1.5% 13% 1.5% 9% 14% 28% 3% 28% 0.5%
1% 2% 14% 2% 11% 18% 21% 4% 27% <0.5%
1% 2% 14.5% 2% 12% 34% 5% 29% 0.5%
1.5% 1.5% 15.5% 2% 13% 11.5% 22% 4.5% 28% 0.5%
0.5% 2% 13% 1.5% 9% 14% 28% 4% 28% <0.5%
0.5% 1.5% 13.5% 1.5% 10% 15% 8% 20% 4% 26% <0.5%
BVA 14–16 Oct 2016 916 1% 2% 13% 2% 9% 39% 5% 29%
1% 1% 15% 3% 10% 15% 22% 5% 28%
1% 2% 12% 2% 9% 11% 33% 4% 26%
1% 2% 12% 2.5% 9.5% 14% 10% 20% 4% 25%
1% 2% 12.5% 2.5% 11% 37% 5% 29%
1% 1.5% 14% 3% 13% 14% 22% 4% 27.5%
Elabe 20–21 Sep 2016 922 1% 1.5% 14% 2% 7% 16% 29.5% 2% 27%
0.5% 1% 14% 2% 7% 18% 9% 19% 3% 26.5%
1% 1% 14% 2.5% 9% 14% 28% 3.5% 27%
1% 1% 15% 2% 9% 15% 10% 18% 3% 26%
1% 1% 13% 3% 12% 14% 26% 3% 27%
0.5% 0.5% 15% 2.5% 12.5% 15% 8% 18% 3% 25%
1% 1% 15% 3% 15% 34% 3% 28%
1% 1% 14% 3% 16% 12% 23% 3% 27%
Ipsos 9–18 Sep 2016 18,659 1.5% 1.5% 11.5% 2.5% 10% 12% 28% 5% 28% <0.5%
1.5% 1.5% 11.5% 2.5% 10% 14% 9% 18% 5% 27% <0.5%
1.5% 1.5% 12.5% 3% 12.5% 34% 5% 30% <0.5%
1.5% 1.5% 13% 3% 13% 12% 22% 5% 29% <0.5%
BVA 9–11 Sep 2016 912 0.5% 1.5% 12% 2% 9% 38% 7% 30%
1% 0.5% 13.5% 2.5% 9% 14% 24% 6.5% 29%
1% 0.5% 10% 3% 9% 16.5% 26% 6% 28%
1% 1% 11% 3% 9% 18.5% 7% 19% 5% 25.5%
1% 1% 13% 3.5% 14% 12.5% 16% 7% 32%
1% 1% 13% 3% 13% 12% 18.5% 5.5% 33%
1% 1% 12% 3% 11% 36% 6% 30%
0.5% 1% 12.5% 3.5% 13% 13% 22% 5% 29.5%
Ifop 5–7 Sep 2016 1,903 1% 1% 13.5% 3% 8% 16% 27% 4% 26% 0.5%
1% 1% 11.5% 3% 7% 5% 14% 27% 4% 26% 0.5%
1% 1.5% 12.5% 2.5% 10% 15% 27% 4% 26% 0.5%
1% 1.5% 11% 2.5% 10% 3.5% 14% 26% 4% 26% 0.5%
1% 1.5% 11% 2.5% 10% 4% 15% 9% 18% 4% 24% 0%
1% 1.5% 14.5% 3% 15.5% 12% 17% 5% 30% 0.5%
1% 1.5% 13.5% 3% 14% 33% 5% 29% 0%
1% 1.5% 14% 3% 14.5% 13% 22% 5% 26% 0%
TNS Sofres 2–5 Sep 2016 1,006 1.5% 2% 11% 3.5% 6% 16% 27% 5% 27.5% 0.5%
2% 2% 11% 4% 7% 20% 22% 4% 27% 1%
1.5% 1% 10% 3% 5% 18% 8% 22% 4% 27% 0.5%
1.5% 1.5% 12% 3% 14% 33% 6% 29% <0.5%
1.5% 2.5% 13% 4.5% 15% 27% 7% 29% 0.5%
1% 2% 12% 2% 13% 13% 25% 5% 27% <0.5%
1% 1.5% 11.5% 3% 11% 15% 25% 3.5% 28.5% <0.5%
1% 1% 12% 3% 12% 18% 22% 4% 27% <0.5%
1% 1% 11% 2% 11% 16% 9% 20% 3% 26% <0.5%
June–August 2016
Poll source Fieldwork date Sample
size
                                       
LO NPA FI EELV Hulot PS PS PS MoDem MoDem DVD LR LR LR LR LR DLF UPR FN S&P
BVA 8–10 Jul 2016 936 1% 1.5% 13.5% 2% 13.5% 36% 4.5% 28%
1% 1% 13% 2% 13% 13% 23% 5% 29%
Elabe 20–21 Jun 2016 926 1% 1.5% 10% 11% 13.5% 10% 21% 4% 28%
0.5% 1% 11% 3.5% 15% 12% 22% 5% 30%
1% 1% 11% 10% 13% 9.5% 23% 4.5% 27%
1% 1% 12% 3% 15% 10% 24% 5% 29%
1% 1% 10% 9% 12% 37% 4% 26%
1% 1% 11% 3% 14% 39% 5% 26%
0.5% 1% 10% 10% 14% 10% 25% 3.5% 26%
0.5% 1% 12% 3.5% 15% 11.5% 25% 4.5% 27%
Ifop 14–17 Jun 2016 1,858 1% 14% 15% 36% 5% 1% 28%
0.5% 1% 12% 1% 14.5% 4.5% 11% 0.5% 1% 21% 1% 4% 0.5% 27.5% 0%
1% 1.5% 12% 2% 5% 12% 33% 4.5% 28.5% 0.5%
1% 1% 12.5% 5.5% 13% 34% 4.5% 28% 0.5%
0.5% 1% 11.5% 2% 14% 4.5% 34% 4.5% 28% 0%
0.5% 1% 14% 2.5% 16% 12.5% 17% 5.5% 30.5% 0.5%
0.5% 1.5% 14.5% 2.5% 15% 12% 18% 5.5% 30% 0.5%
0.5% 1.5% 12.5% 2.5% 14% 35% 4.5% 29% 0.5%
1% 1.5% 13% 2% 15% 12.5% 22% 4.5% 28% 0.5%
BVA 10–12 Jun 2016 910 2% 1% 15% 2% 15% 12% 19% 5% 29%
1.5% 1.5% 15% 2% 14% 12% 19% 6% 29%
1.5% 1.5% 14% 2% 14% 36% 5% 26%
2% 1% 14% 3% 13% 13% 21% 5% 28%
January–May 2016
Poll source Fieldwork date Sample
size
                                 
LO NPA FI EELV Hulot PS PS PS PS MoDem LR LR LR LR DLF FN S&P
Ipsos 13–22 May 2016 19,455 1.5% 1.5% 12% 3% 14% 35% 5% 28% <0.5%
1.5% 1.5% 12% 3% 14% 13% 21% 6% 28% <0.5%
BVA 13–16 May 2016 927 0.5% 2% 13% 3.5% 16% 16% 17% 5% 27%
0.5% 1.5% 13% 3.5% 15% 14% 21% 4.5% 27%
0.5% 1.5% 12% 4% 13.5% 38% 5.5% 25%
0.5% 1.5% 12% 3.5% 15% 13.5% 22% 5% 27%
Ifop 25–28 Apr 2016 1,419 1.5% 1% 14% 2.5% 20% 29% 6% 26% 0%
1% 1% 13% 3% 22% 10% 18% 6% 26% 0%
Elabe 26–27 Apr 2016 911 1.5% 1% 11.5% 2.5% 25.5% 11.5% 18% 3.5% 25%
1.5% 2% 12% 2% 19% 12% 19% 4% 28.5%
1% 1% 12% 2% 21% 36% 4% 23%
1.5% 2% 12% 2.5% 25% 11% 18% 4% 24%
1% 1% 11.5% 2% 15.5% 38% 5% 26%
1% 1% 12% 2% 18.5% 13% 22% 5.5% 25%
1% 1% 11% 2% 15% 39% 5% 26%
1% 1% 10% 2% 18% 14% 23% 5% 26%
BVA 15–17 Apr 2016 949 2% 2% 13% 3% 15% 11% 18% 6% 30%
1.5% 2.5% 13% 3% 14% 11% 21% 5% 29%
1% 2% 13.5% 3% 13.5% 35% 5% 27%
1% 2% 12% 3% 14% 12% 22% 6% 28%
TNS Sofres 15–16 Apr 2016 1,011 2% 3% 16% 5% 15% 21% 8% 30%
2% 3% 14% 4% 14% 23% 8% 32%
2% 2% 12% 4% 13% 35% 6% 26%
2% 3% 14% 4% 16% 24% 8% 29%
1.5% 2.5% 13% 3% 14% 12% 23% 6% 25%
Odoxa 14–15 Apr 2016 949 1% 2% 12% 2% 18% 29% 5% 31%
1% 2% 11% 2% 21% 10% 19% 4% 30%
1% 2% 11% 1% 14% 34% 5% 32%
1% 2% 11% 2% 15% 13% 20% 5% 31%
Ifop 12–14 Apr 2016 1,876 1% 2% 12% 1% 4% 16% 33% 4.5% 26% 0.5%
1% 1% 11% 1% 14% 3.5% 36% 5% 27% 0.5%
0.5% 1.5% 10.5% 7% 14% 36% 4% 26% 0.5%
1% 1% 12.5% 1.5% 16% 36% 4.5% 27% 0.5%
1% 1% 13.5% 1.5% 17% 12.5% 21% 5% 27% 0.5%
1% 1% 13.5% 1.5% 16% 13% 20% 5.5% 28% 0.5%
1% 1.5% 12.5% 1.5% 16% 12% 21% 6% 28% 0.5%
1% 1% 12% 1.5% 15% 37% 5% 27% 0.5%
1% 1% 11% 1% 14% 7% 34% 4% 26.5% 0.5%
1% 1% 12.5% 1.5% 16% 14% 21% 5% 27.5% 0.5%
Harris 11–13 Apr 2016 1,535 2% 1% 11% 2% 11% 13% 26% 5% 29%
1% 1% 10% 1% 9% 14% 12% 19% 6% 27%
Ipsos 11–20 Mar 2016 20,319 1.5% 1.5% 11% 3% 15% 36% 5% 27%
1.5% 1.5% 10% 3% 14% 8% 31% 5% 26%
1.5% 1.5% 11% 3% 16% 13% 21% 6% 27%
Ifop 11–14 Mar 2016 1,026 1.5% 2.5% 15% 2.5% 14% 32% 3% 29.5%
1% 2% 15% 2.5% 17% 11% 19% 4.5% 28%
Ifop 17–19 Feb 2016 1,843 2% 3.5% 22% 18% 21.5% 5% 28%
1% 1.5% 12% 18% 15.5% 21% 5% 26%
1% 1% 11% 2% 18% 35% 4% 28%
1% 1% 12% 3% 18% 15% 17% 5% 28%
1% 1% 12% 2.5% 18% 14.5% 18% 5% 28%
1% 1% 10% 2.5% 16% 8.5% 30% 4% 27%
1% 1.5% 11.5% 2% 18% 15% 21% 5% 25%
Ipsos 22–31 Jan 2016 21,326 1.5% 1.5% 9% 3% 20% 12% 19% 5% 29%
1.5% 1.5% 8.5% 2.5% 18% 8% 31% 4% 25%
1.5% 1.5% 9% 3% 20% 13% 21% 5% 26%
Odoxa 14–15 Jan 2016 1,011 2% 2% 11% 2% 19% 32% 4% 28%
2% 1% 12% 2% 22% 12% 18% 4% 27%
1% 2% 9% 3% 16% 34% 5% 30%
1% 1% 11% 2% 19% 13% 20% 5% 28%

2012–2015Edit

2015
Poll source Fieldwork date Sample
size
                               
LO NPA NPA FG EELV PS PS PS MoDem LR LR LR DLF MPF FN S&P
Ifop 14–17 Dec 2015 1,800 1% 1% 9% 2% 22.5% 12% 22% 3% 27.5%
1% 1% 9% 2% 23% 10% 19.5% 5.5% 29%
1% 1% 9.5% 2.5% 20.5% 34% 5% 26.5%
1% 1% 8.5% 2% 20.5% 6.5% 30% 4.5% 26%
1% 1% 9% 2% 22% 12% 21% 5% 27%
TNS Sofres 14–15 Dec 2015 1,000 1% 1.5% 11% 3% 20% 31% 4.5% 28%
1% 1.5% 12% 3% 22% 26% 7% 27.5%
1% 1.5% 10.5% 3% 19% 10.5% 24% 4.5% 26%
Harris 13 Dec 2015 1,020 1% 1% 10% 3% 22% 29% 7% 27%
1% 1% 10% 3% 21% 12% 21% 4% 27%
Ifop 31 Oct–4 Nov 2015 937 1% 2% 9% 3% 20.5% 31.5% 4% 29%
1% 2% 8% 2% 19% 9% 27% 3% 29%
1% 1.5% 8% 2% 21% 12% 23% 3.5% 28%
Ifop 3–4 Sep 2015 1,002 1% 1% 10% 2% 19% 10% 25% 3% 29%
1% 1.5% 10% 2% 19% 11.5% 25% 3% 27%
Ifop 17–19 Aug 2015 950 1% 1% 13% 4% 8% 17% 25% 4% 27%
1.5% 1.5% 10% 2% 22% 11% 23% 3% 26%
1.5% 1.5% 9% 3% 20% 11% 24% 4% 26%
Ifop 17–21 Jul 2015 944 1% 1% 9% 3% 18% 9% 28% 4% 27%
1% 1% 9% 3% 21% 12% 23% 3% 27%
Odoxa 21–22 May 2015 911 1% 2% 11% 2% 16% 34% 3% 31%
1% 1% 10% 2% 17% 12% 25% 2% 30%
Odoxa 29–30 Apr 2015 1,021 1% 1% 8% 2% 20% 10% 26% 3% 29%
1% 1% 10% 2% 17% 9% 28% 3% 29%
OpinionWay 15–16 Apr 2015 979 1% 0% 11% 2% 15% 6% 32% 4% 29% 0%
1% 0% 12% 2% 16% 12% 28% 3% 26% 0%
CSA 27–29 Jan 2015 951 0.5% 2.5% 10% 3% 21% 8% 19% 3% 33%
0.5% 3% 9% 2% 22.5% 10% 21.5% 2.5% 29%
0.5% 3% 11% 2% 18% 9% 22% 2.5% 32%
0.5% 3% 10% 2.5% 19% 11% 22.5% 2.5% 29%
Ifop 21–23 Jan 2015 983 1.5% 1.5% 8% 3% 23% 7% 22% 3% 31%
1% 1% 8% 4% 23% 7% 23% 3% 30%
1% 2% 8% 4% 21% 7% 23% 3% 31%
1% 2% 8% 3% 21% 9% 23% 4% 29%
2012–2014
Poll source Fieldwork date Sample
size
                                 
LO NPA FG EELV EELV PS PS PS PS MoDem UMP UMP UMP UMP DLF FN S&P
Ifop 28–30 Oct 2014 1,382 2% 1.5% 8.5% 3% 15% 13% 27% 3% 27%
1.5% 1.5% 9% 2% 13% 10% 30% 4% 29%
2% 1.5% 8% 3% 14% 14% 27% 3.5% 27%
1.5% 1.5% 9% 15% 14% 26% 4% 29%
1.5% 1.5% 9% 4% 14% 16% 18% 5% 31%
1.5% 1.5% 10% 4% 15% 32% 4% 32%
1.5% 1.5% 9% 3% 13% 10% 28% 4% 30%
1.5% 1.5% 9% 3% 14% 13% 26% 3% 29%
Ifop 3–4 Sep 2014 994 1% 1% 10% 3% 17% 14% 17% 5% 32%
1% 1% 10% 3% 16% 11% 24% 4% 30%
1% 1% 10% 3% 16% 12% 25% 4% 28%
Ifop 21–22 Jul 2014 947 2% 1% 11% 4% 10% 16% 26% 3% 27%
2% 1% 11% 3% 17% 12% 25% 3% 26%
2% 1% 10% 3% 17% 13% 25% 3% 26%
Ifop 15–18 Apr 2014 998 1% 1.5% 9% 3% 19% 13% 22% 2.5% 29% 0%
0.5% 1.5% 9% 3% 18% 10% 30% 2% 26% 0%
0.5% 1.5% 9% 3% 18% 11% 31% 2% 24% 0%
OpinionWay 11–13 Apr 2014 988 1% 2% 11% 2% 19% 8% 29% 3% 25% 0%
BVA 2–3 May 2013 1,086 1% 1% 11% 2% 20% 10% 29% 2% 24% 0%
Future Thinking 26–29 Apr 2013 1,000 1% 1% 16% 3% 18% 14% 11% 4% 31% 1%
<0.5% 1% 16% 2% 18% 13% 16% 3% 29% 1%
<0.5% 1% 15% 2% 15% 10% 32% 3% 22% <0.5%
CSA 26–28 Apr 2013 993 <0.5% 1% 12% 2% 19% 7% 34% 1% 23% 1%
OpinionWay 16–17 Apr 2013 971 0.5% 0.5% 11% 3% 23% 11% 28% 2% 21% 0%
Ifop 11–15 Apr 2013 1,967 0.5% 1% 11% 1.5% 22% 10% 30% 2% 22% <0.5%
Ifop 9–12 Oct 2012 1,607 0.5% 1.5% 10% 2% 28% 7% 29.5% 2% 19.5% 0%
1st round result 22 Apr 2012 N/A 0.6% 1.1% 11.1% 2.3% 28.7% 9.1% 27.2% 1.8% 17.9% 0.2%

By regionEdit

Poll source Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abstention                          
Arthaud
LO
Poutou
NPA
Mélenchon
FI
Jadot
EELV
Hamon
PS
Macron
EM
Bayrou
MoDem
Lassalle
Résistons!
Fillon
LR
Dupont-Aignan
DLF
Asselineau
UPR
Le Pen
FN
Cheminade
S&P
Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes
1st round result 23 Apr 2017 20.66% 0.59% 1.04% 19.24% 6.13% 24.50% 1.27% 20.20% 5.16% 0.99% 20.72% 0.18%
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 1,154 32% 0.5% 1.5% 18.5% 8.5% 24% 1% 18.5% 4% 0.5% 23% <0.5%
Ipsos 14–17 Mar 2017 1,180 35% 1% 1% 10% 12.5% 26.5% 18% 3% 0.5% 27% 0.5%
Ipsos 7–12 Feb 2017 1,327 33% 0.5% 0.5% 11% 2% 14% 23% 20% 3% 26% <0.5%
0.5% 0.5% 10% 2% 14% 19.5% 6% 19.5% 3% 25% <0.5%
Bourgogne-Franche-Comté
1st round result 23 Apr 2017 20.63% 0.74% 1.20% 17.93% 5.66% 21.89% 1.03% 19.70% 5.65% 0.93% 25.09% 0.18%
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 421 34% 0.5% 1% 18% 5.5% 22.5% 0.5% 20% 4% 1% 27% <0.5%
Ipsos 14–17 Mar 2017 423 37% 1% 1% 11% 11% 24.5% 17.5% 2.5% 0.5% 31% <0.5%
Ipsos 7–12 Feb 2017 463 35% 0.5% 0.5% 12% 1% 14% 20.5% 20.5% 2% 29% <0.5%
0.5% 0.5% 12% 1% 13% 17.5% 6% 19.5% 2% 28% <0.5%
Brittany
1st round result 23 Apr 2017 16.51% 0.71% 1.35% 19.28% 9.04% 29.05% 0.95% 19.04% 4.40% 0.67% 15.33% 0.17%
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 567 28% 1.5% 2% 17.5% 10.5% 28.5% 2% 20% 3% 1% 14% <0.5%
Ipsos 14–17 Mar 2017 588 31% 1.5% 0.5% 11% 17.5% 30.5% 18% 2.5% 0.5% 18% <0.5%
Ipsos 7–12 Feb 2017 650 29% 1% 1% 9% 2% 21% 27.5% 20% 2% 16% <0.5%
1% 1% 8.5% 2% 19.5% 24% 7.5% 19.5% 2% 15% <0.5%
Centre-Val de Loire
1st round result 23 Apr 2017 19.71% 0.80% 1.14% 17.67% 5.85% 22.68% 0.95% 21.04% 5.75% 0.85% 23.08% 0.20%
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 451 28% 1% 2% 17.5% 9.5% 26.5% 0.5% 18% 2% 1% 22% <0.5%
Ipsos 14–17 Mar 2017 476 31% 1% 0.5% 11% 12% 27.5% 17% 3% 0.5% 27.5% <0.5%
Ipsos 7–12 Feb 2017 508 31% 0.5% 0.5% 12% 2.5% 14% 22.5% 18% 3% 27% <0.5%
0.5% 0.5% 11.5% 2% 13.5% 19% 7.5% 17% 2% 26.5% <0.5%
Grand Est
1st round result 23 Apr 2017 21.33% 0.82% 1.16% 16.31% 5.09% 20.72% 1.03% 19.73% 6.13% 1.02% 27.78% 0.20%
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 914 30% 1.5% 1.5% 16% 5.5% 21.5% 0.5% 19.5% 5.5% 1% 27.5% <0.5%
Ipsos 14–17 Mar 2017 976 31% 1% 0.5% 10% 8% 26.5% 17% 3.5% 0.5% 33% <0.5%
Ipsos 7–12 Feb 2017 1,044 30% 1% 0.5% 11% 1.5% 10% 23.5% 17% 2.5% 33% <0.5%
1% 0.5% 10.5% 1.5% 9.5% 20% 6.5% 16.5% 2% 32% <0.5%
Hauts-de-France
1st round result 23 Apr 2017 21.80% 0.90% 1.04% 19.59% 5.15% 19.50% 0.69% 16.13% 4.97% 0.81% 31.03% 0.18%
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 986 28% 0.5% 2% 19% 6.5% 21% 0.5% 16.5% 3.5% 0.5% 30% <0.5%
Ipsos 14–17 Mar 2017 1,019 31% 1% 1% 11% 11% 24% 14.5% 2% 0.5% 35% <0.5%
Ipsos 7–12 Feb 2017 1,141 29% 0.5% 1% 12% 1% 12% 22% 14.5% 2% 35% <0.5%
0.5% 1% 11.5% 1% 11.5% 19.5% 5% 14% 2% 34% <0.5%
Île-de-France
1st round result 23 Apr 2017 20.11% 0.42% 0.81% 21.75% 7.64% 28.63% 0.65% 22.19% 4.02% 1.14% 12.57% 0.17%
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 1,689 32% 0.5% 1% 19% 8% 23% 1% 23.5% 5.5% 1% 17.5% <0.5%
Ipsos 14–17 Mar 2017 1,621 35% 0.5% 0.5% 14% 14.5% 27% 18.5% 4.5% 0.5% 20% <0.5%
Ipsos 7–12 Feb 2017 1,790 33% 0.5% 0.5% 14.5% 2% 16% 24.5% 19% 4% 19% <0.5%
0.5% 0.5% 13.5% 2% 15% 21% 7% 18% 4% 18.5% <0.5%
Normandy
1st round result 23 Apr 2017 19.11% 0.80% 1.26% 19.16% 6.01% 22.36% 0.73% 19.57% 5.23% 0.76% 23.93% 0.19%
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 504 28% 0.5% 1% 22% 6.5% 24% 1% 19% 2% 0.5% 23% 0.5%
Ipsos 14–17 Mar 2017 545 29% 1% 0.5% 11.5% 12% 26% 17.5% 3% 0.5% 28% <0.5%
Ipsos 7–12 Feb 2017 576 30% 0.5% 0.5% 13.5% 1% 14% 22% 19% 3.5% 26% <0.5%
0.5% 0.5% 13% 1% 12.5% 19% 7% 17.5% 3% 26% <0.5%
Nouvelle-Aquitaine
1st round result 23 Apr 2017 19.53% 0.63% 1.46% 20.75% 7.09% 25.12% 2.71% 17.79% 4.59% 0.79% 18.89% 0.18%
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 846 28% 1% 1.5% 21.5% 8.5% 20.5% 3% 19.5% 3.5% 0.5% 20.5% <0.5%
Ipsos 14–17 Mar 2017 853 31% 1% 0.5% 13.5% 13.5% 26.5% 18% 3% 0.5% 23% 0.5%
Ipsos 7–12 Feb 2017 938 30% 0.5% 1% 13.5% 3% 16.5% 22% 19.5% 2% 22% <0.5%
0.5% 1% 13.5% 2.5% 16.5% 19% 6% 18.5% 1.5% 21% <0.5%
Occitanie
1st round result 23 Apr 2017 18.96% 0.51% 1.06% 22.14% 6.53% 22.32% 2.28% 17.07% 4.08% 0.86% 22.98% 0.17%
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 891 27% 1% 1.5% 17.5% 9.5% 22.5% 1% 16% 5% 1% 25% <0.5%
Ipsos 14–17 Mar 2017 928 29% 1% 0.5% 11.5% 13.5% 24% 15% 4.5% 1% 29% <0.5%
Ipsos 7–12 Feb 2017 1,008 28% 0.5% 1% 13% 1% 15.5% 22% 15.5% 3.5% 28% <0.5%
0.5% 1% 12.5% 1% 14.5% 20.5% 5% 14.5% 3.5% 27% <0.5%
Pays de la Loire
1st round result 23 Apr 2017 16.73% 0.73% 1.20% 18.41% 6.55% 26.27% 0.78% 23.56% 5.01% 0.71% 16.62% 0.17%
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 684 25% 1.5% 2% 18% 8% 26% <0.5% 22% 5.5% 1% 16% <0.5%
Ipsos 14–17 Mar 2017 703 30% 1.5% 0.5% 10% 12.5% 30% 20% 2.5% 1% 22% <0.5%
Ipsos 7–12 Feb 2017 759 29% 0.5% 0.5% 9% 2.5% 15.5% 25% 23% 3% 21% <0.5%
0.5% 0.5% 8.5% 2.5% 14.5% 22.5% 6.5% 22% 2.5% 20% <0.5%
Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur
1st round result 23 Apr 2017 21.22% 0.38% 0.77% 18.74% 4.12% 18.94% 1.07% 22.37% 4.33% 0.94% 28.17% 0.17%
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 723 27% 0.5% 1% 18.5% 5.5% 16% 0.5% 20.5% 5% 0.5% 31.5% 0.5%
Ipsos 14–17 Mar 2017 755 30% 0.5% 0.5% 11% 9% 20% 19% 3.5% 0.5% 35.5% 0.5%
Ipsos 7–12 Feb 2017 816 30% 0.5% 0.5% 10.5% 1% 11% 19.5% 18% 3% 36% <0.5%
0.5% 0.5% 10% 1% 10.5% 17% 4% 17.5% 3% 36% <0.5%

By constituencyEdit

Poll source Fieldwork date Sample
size
               
Arthaud
LO
Poutou
NPA
Mélenchon
FI
Hamon
PS
Macron
EM
Fillon
LR
Dupont-Aignan
DLF
Le Pen
FN
Constituencies for French residents overseas
BVA 3–11 Mar 2017 2,213 0.5% 0.5% 8% 13% 36% 31% 2% 9%
1st constituency for French residents overseas (Canada, United States)
BVA 3–11 Mar 2017 281 2% 4% 10% 34.5% 36.5% 1% 12%
5th constituency for French residents overseas (Spain, Portugal, Monaco, Andorra)
BVA 3–11 Mar 2017 283 1.5% 7.5% 15.5% 33.5% 29% 2.5% 10.5%
11th constituency for French residents overseas (Asia, Eastern Europe, Oceania)
BVA 3–11 Mar 2017 380 0.5% 7% 8% 33.5% 32% 3% 16%

See alsoEdit

ReferencesEdit

  1. ^ "Présidentielle : Bayrou et Macron, une alliance sous conditions". Le Monde. Agence France-Presse. 22 February 2017. Retrieved 6 March 2017. 
  2. ^ "Yannick Jadot se retire de la course à la présidentielle et rallie Benoît Hamon". Le Monde. Agence France-Presse. 23 February 2017. Retrieved 6 March 2017. 
  3. ^ "Présidentielle : les électeurs écologistes approuvent l’accord entre Hamon et Jadot". Le Monde. 26 February 2017. Retrieved 6 March 2017. 
  4. ^ "Liste officielle des candidats à l'élection présidentielle". Conseil constitutionnel présidentielle 2017. 18 March 2017. Retrieved 18 March 2017. 
  5. ^ "Communiqué commun avec la Commission nationale de Contrôle de la Campagne électorale en vue de l’élection présidentielle". Commission des sondages. 13 April 2017. Retrieved 17 April 2017. 
  6. ^ Alexandre Lemarié; Matthieu Goar (6 March 2017). "Juppé renonce, la droite au bord de la rupture". Le Monde. Retrieved 21 March 2017. 

External linksEdit