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Opinion polling for the French presidential election, 2017

This page lists public opinion polls in connection with the 2017 French presidential election, which was held on 23 April 2017 with a run-off on 7 May 2017.

Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the national polling commission (Commission nationale des sondages) and utilize the quota method.

Contents

Opinion polls for the second round of votingEdit

After the first round of the 2002 presidential election, in which opinion polls failed to anticipate Jean-Marie Le Pen advancing to the second round, the French polling commission (Commission nationale des sondages) recommended that pollsters not publish second-round surveys before the results of the first round. However, understanding that polling institutes would nevertheless be likely to do so, it also recommended that second-round scenarios be tested based on first-round polling, and to test several plausible scenarios, broadly construed.

Graphical summaryEdit

The averages in the graphs below were constructed using polls listed below conducted by the eight major French pollsters. The graphs, updated daily with the release of new polls, are 14-day weighted moving averages, using only the most recent poll conducted by any given pollster within that range (each poll weighted based on recency).

 

Macron–Le PenEdit

The publication of second-round polls was prohibited in France after midnight on 5 May.

After the first round
Poll source Fieldwork date Sample size Abstention    
Emmanuel Macron
EM
Marine Le Pen
FN
2nd round result 7 May 2017 25.44% 66.10% 33.90%
Ipsos 5 May 2017 5,331 24% 63% 37%
Harris 4–5 May 2017 2,270 62% 38%
Ifop-Fiducial 2–5 May 2017 1,861 24.5% 63% 37%
Odoxa 4 May 2017 959 25% 62% 38%
Ipsos 4 May 2017 1,605 24% 61.5% 38.5%
Elabe 4 May 2017 1,009 32% 62% 38%
OpinionWay 2–4 May 2017 2,264 62% 38%
Ifop-Fiducial 1–4 May 2017 1,400 25% 61% 39%
Harris 2–3 May 2017 2,349 61% 39%
OpinionWay 1–3 May 2017 2,264 61% 39%
Ifop-Fiducial 30 Apr–3 May 2017 1,405 26% 60% 40%
BVA 1–2 May 2017 1,435 20% 60% 40%
OpinionWay 30 Apr–2 May 2017 1,936 60% 40%
Elabe 28 Apr–2 May 2017 3,817 32% 59% 41%
Ifop-Fiducial 28 Apr–2 May 2017 1,388 27% 59.5% 40.5%
Ipsos 30 Apr–1 May 2017 8,936 24% 59% 41%
OpinionWay 29 Apr–1 May 2017 1,764 60% 40%
Ifop-Fiducial 27 Apr–1 May 2017 1,385 28% 59% 41%
Kantar Sofres 28–30 Apr 2017 1,539 59% 41%
OpinionWay 28–30 Apr 2017 1,488 61% 39%
Ipsos 28–29 Apr 2017 918 25% 60% 40%
BVA 26–28 Apr 2017 1,438 22% 59% 41%
Ifop-Fiducial 25–28 Apr 2017 1,399 29% 60% 40%
Odoxa 26–27 Apr 2017 968 59% 41%
OpinionWay 25–27 Apr 2017 1,790 60% 40%
Harris 25–27 Apr 2017 940 61% 39%
Ifop-Fiducial 24–27 Apr 2017 1,407 29% 60.5% 39.5%
OpinionWay 24–26 Apr 2017 1,800 59% 41%
Ifop-Fiducial 23–26 Apr 2017 1,893 28% 60.5% 39.5%
Odoxa 24–25 Apr 2017 1,000 63% 37%
OpinionWay 23–25 Apr 2017 2,828 60% 40%
Ifop-Fiducial 23–25 Apr 2017 1,416 27% 61% 39%
Elabe 24 Apr 2017 967 31% 64% 36%
OpinionWay 23–24 Apr 2017 2,222 61% 39%
Ifop-Fiducial 23–24 Apr 2017 846 26% 60% 40%
OpinionWay 23–24 Apr 2017 1,461 61% 39%
Ipsos 23 Apr 2017 1,379 32% 62% 38%
Harris 23 Apr 2017 2,684 64% 36%
1st round result 23 Apr 2017 22.23% 24.01% 21.30%
Voting intention by first-round vote
Poll source Fieldwork date Sample size Jean-Luc Mélenchon
(19.58% in the first round)
Benoît Hamon
(6.36% in the first round)
François Fillon
(20.01% in the first round)
Macron Le Pen Abs. Macron Le Pen Abs. Macron Le Pen Abs.
Ipsos 5 May 2017 5,331 55% 10% 35% 74% 3% 23% 48% 28% 24%
Harris 4–5 May 2017 2,270 46% 13% 41% 73% 7% 20% 44% 26% 30%
Ifop-Fiducial 2–5 May 2017 1,861 52% 10% 38% 71% 7% 22% 51% 22% 27%
Odoxa 4 May 2017 959 47% 14% 39% 81% 2% 17% 54% 21% 25%
Ipsos 4 May 2017 1,605 51% 11% 38% 76% 3% 21% 46% 28% 26%
Elabe 4 May 2017 1,009 54% 14% 32% 72% 7% 21% 45% 32% 23%
OpinionWay 2–4 May 2017 2,264 45% 17% 38% 74% 6% 20% 45% 27% 28%
Ifop-Fiducial 1–4 May 2017 1,400 53% 11% 36% 78% 4% 18% 49% 29% 22%
OpinionWay 1–3 May 2017 2,264 45% 16% 39% 77% 5% 18% 45% 28% 27%
Ifop-Fiducial 30 Apr–3 May 2017 1,405 52% 11% 37% 76% 5% 19% 48% 28% 24%
BVA 1–2 May 2017 1,435 44% 18% 38% 72% 7% 21% 46% 31% 23%
OpinionWay 30 Apr–2 May 2017 1,936 48% 15% 37% 76% 3% 21% 39% 27% 34%
Elabe 28 Apr–2 May 2017 3,817 44% 23% 33% 76% 8% 16% 46% 30% 24%
Ifop-Fiducial 28 Apr–2 May 2017 1,388 50% 13% 37% 75% 7% 18% 44% 30% 26%
Ipsos 30 Apr–1 May 2017 8,936 48% 14% 38% 75% 4% 21% 42% 32% 26%
OpinionWay 29 Apr–1 May 2017 1,764 42% 17% 41% 72% 6% 22% 42% 27% 31%
Ifop-Fiducial 27 Apr–1 May 2017 1,385 51% 14% 35% 73% 6% 21% 41% 31% 28%
Kantar Sofres 28–30 Apr 2017 1,539 52% 17% 31% 73% 8% 19% 49% 29% 22%
OpinionWay 28–30 Apr 2017 1,488 40% 15% 45% 74% 8% 18% 39% 26% 35%
Ipsos 28–29 Apr 2017 918 47% 19% 34% 76% 5% 19% 49% 25% 26%
BVA 26–28 Apr 2017 1,438 41% 18% 41% 71% 4% 25% 41% 26% 33%
Ifop-Fiducial 25–28 Apr 2017 1,399 49% 15% 36% 80% 1% 19% 41% 29% 30%
Odoxa 26–27 Apr 2017 968 40% 19% 41% 63% 8% 29% 50% 21% 29%
OpinionWay 25–27 Apr 2017 1,790 40% 15% 45% 68% 3% 29% 43% 29% 28%
Harris 25–27 Apr 2017 940 45% 13% 42% 69% 5% 26% 42% 28% 30%
Ifop-Fiducial 24–27 Apr 2017 1,407 45% 16% 39% 81% 2% 17% 45% 24% 31%
OpinionWay 24–26 Apr 2017 1,800 45% 17% 38% 64% 4% 32% 45% 29% 26%
Ifop-Fiducial 23–26 Apr 2017 1,893 47% 18% 35% 81% 6% 13% 43% 28% 29%
OpinionWay 23–25 Apr 2017 2,828 50% 18% 32% 72% 2% 26% 43% 31% 26%
Ifop-Fiducial 23–25 Apr 2017 1,416 48% 19% 33% 83% 7% 10% 47% 26% 27%
Elabe 24 Apr 2017 967 53% 16% 31% 75% 6% 19% 49% 28% 23%
OpinionWay 23–24 Apr 2017 2,222 50% 17% 33% 71% 1% 28% 41% 32% 27%
Ifop-Fiducial 23–24 Apr 2017 846 51% 19% 30% 80% 8% 12% 41% 33% 26%
OpinionWay 23–24 Apr 2017 1,461 55% 22% 23% 83% 3% 14% 44% 38% 18%
Ipsos 23 Apr 2017 1,379 62% 9% 29% 79% 4% 17% 48% 33% 19%
Harris 23 Apr 2017 2,684 52% 12% 36% 76% 3% 21% 47% 23% 30%
Before the first round

By regionEdit

Poll
source
Fieldwork date Sample
size
   
Macron
EM
Le Pen
FN
Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes
Ipsos 30 Apr–2 May 2017 1,156 60% 40%
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 1,154 61% 39%
Ipsos 14–17 Mar 2017 1,180 59% 41%
Bourgogne-Franche-Comté
Ipsos 30 Apr–2 May 2017 429 54.5% 45.5%
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 421 56% 44%
Ipsos 14–17 Mar 2017 423 56% 44%
Brittany
Ipsos 30 Apr–2 May 2017 566 69% 31%
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 567 70% 30%
Ipsos 14–17 Mar 2017 588 72% 28%
Centre-Val de Loire
Ipsos 30 Apr–2 May 2017 449 57% 43%
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 451 65% 35%
Ipsos 14–17 Mar 2017 476 64% 36%
Grand Est
Ipsos 30 Apr–2 May 2017 944 52.5% 47.5%
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 914 55% 45%
Ipsos 14–17 Mar 2017 976 56% 44%
Hauts-de-France
Ipsos 30 Apr–2 May 2017 1,034 52.5% 47.5%
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 986 56% 44%
Ipsos 14–17 Mar 2017 1,019 55% 45%
Île-de-France
Ipsos 30 Apr–2 May 2017 1,602 69% 31%
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 1,689 68% 32%
Ipsos 14–17 Mar 2017 1,621 68% 32%
Normandy
Ipsos 30 Apr–2 May 2017 511 56.5% 43.5%
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 504 63% 37%
Ipsos 14–17 Mar 2017 545 62% 38%
Nouvelle-Aquitaine
Ipsos 30 Apr–2 May 2017 827 63% 37%
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 846 61% 39%
Ipsos 14–17 Mar 2017 853 63% 37%
Occitanie
Ipsos 30 Apr–2 May 2017 856 56.5% 43.5%
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 891 55% 45%
Ipsos 14–17 Mar 2017 928 56% 44%
Pays de la Loire
Ipsos 30 Apr–2 May 2017 692 64% 36%
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 684 68% 32%
Ipsos 14–17 Mar 2017 703 67% 33%
Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur
Ipsos 30 Apr–2 May 2017 708 49.5% 50.5%
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 723 49% 51%
Ipsos 14–17 Mar 2017 755 51% 49%

Hypothetical pollingEdit

The polls listed below include candidates who decided not to run, failed to secure their party's nomination, or did not advance past the first round of the election.

Opinion polls for the first round of votingEdit

Graphical summaryEdit

The averages in the graphs below were constructed using polls containing the candidates listed below conducted by the eight major French pollsters, depending on whether they included the potential candidacy of François Bayrou of the Democratic Movement (MoDem). Bayrou renounced his candidacy on 22 February 2017 and instead proposed an alliance with Emmanuel Macron, which he accepted.[1] Yannick Jadot of Europe Ecology – The Greens (EELV) announced that he would withdraw his candidacy and endorsed Benoît Hamon on 23 February after negotiating a common platform with the Socialist nominee;[2] the agreement was approved by the EELV primary voters on 26 February.[3] The graphs, updated daily with the release of new polls, are smoothed 14-day weighted moving averages, using only the most recent poll conducted by any given pollster within that range (each poll weighted based on recency).

Verified candidatesEdit

This table below lists polls completed since the publication of the official list of candidates on 18 March until the first round vote on 23 April 2017.[4] The publication of first-round polls was prohibited in France after midnight on 21 April.[5]

Poll source Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abstention                      
Arthaud
LO
Poutou
NPA
Mélenchon
FI
Hamon
PS
Macron
EM
Lassalle
Résistons!
Fillon
LR
Dupont-Aignan
DLF
Asselineau
UPR
Le Pen
FN
Cheminade
S&P
1st round result 23 Apr 2017 22.23% 0.64% 1.09% 19.58% 6.36% 24.01% 1.21% 20.01% 4.70% 0.92% 21.30% 0.18%
Odoxa 21 Apr 2017 953 30% 0% 1% 19% 7.5% 24.5% 0.5% 19% 4.5% 1% 23% 0%
BVA 20–21 Apr 2017 1,494 20% 0.5% 1.5% 19.5% 8% 23% 1% 19% 4% 0.5% 23% <0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 18–21 Apr 2017 2,823 27% 0.5% 1.5% 18.5% 7% 24.5% 1% 19.5% 4% 1% 22.5% <0.5%
Odoxa 20 Apr 2017 1,433 0.5% 1.5% 19.5% 6% 25% 1% 19.5% 4% 1% 22% 0%
Ipsos 19–20 Apr 2017 1,401 27% 0.5% 1.5% 19% 7.5% 24% 1.5% 19% 4% 1% 22% <0.5%
Elabe 19–20 Apr 2017 1,445 29% 0.5% 1.5% 19.5% 7% 24% 1% 20% 4% 1% 21.5% <0.5%
OpinionWay 18–20 Apr 2017 2,269 0% 2% 18% 8% 23% 1% 21% 4% 1% 22% 0%
Harris 18–20 Apr 2017 962 0.5% 1.5% 19% 7.5% 24.5% 1% 20% 4% 1% 21% <0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 17–20 Apr 2017 2,810 27% 0.5% 1.5% 18.5% 7% 24% 1.5% 19.5% 4% 1% 22.5% <0.5%
Harris 18–19 Apr 2017 2,812 0.5% 1.5% 19% 7.5% 25% 1% 19% 4% 0.5% 22% <0.5%
BVA 18–19 Apr 2017 1,427 20% 0.5% 1.5% 19% 8.5% 24% 0.5% 19% 3.5% 0.5% 23% <0.5%
OpinionWay 17–19 Apr 2017 2,394 0% 2% 19% 8% 23% 1% 20% 4% 1% 22% 0%
Ifop-Fiducial 16–19 Apr 2017 2,792 28% 0.5% 1.5% 18.5% 7.5% 23.5% 1.5% 19.5% 4% 1% 22.5% <0.5%
OpinionWay 16–18 Apr 2017 2,417 0% 2% 19% 8% 23% 1% 20% 4% 1% 22% 0%
Ifop-Fiducial 14–18 Apr 2017 2,804 29% 0.5% 1.5% 19% 7.5% 23.5% 1% 19.5% 4% 1% 22.5% <0.5%
Ipsos 16–17 Apr 2017 8,274 28% 0.5% 1.5% 19% 8% 23% 1% 19.5% 4% 1% 22.5% <0.5%
Elabe 16–17 Apr 2017 1,438 32% 0.5% 2% 18% 8% 24% 0.5% 19.5% 4% 0.5% 23% <0.5%
OpinionWay 15–17 Apr 2017 2,423 0% 2% 19% 8% 23% 1% 20% 4% 1% 22% 0%
Kantar Sofres 14–17 Apr 2017 1,530 22% 0.5% 2% 18% 8% 24% 1% 18.5% 4% 1% 23% <0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 13–17 Apr 2017 2,796 30% 0.5% 1.5% 19.5% 7.5% 23% 1% 19.5% 4% 1% 22.5% <0.5%
OpinionWay 14–16 Apr 2017 2,168 1% 2% 18% 8% 22% 2% 21% 3% 1% 22% 0%
Ifop-Fiducial* 14–15 Apr 2017 1,851 0.5% 2% 19.5% 8% 23% 1% 19% 4% 1% 22% 0%
Le Terrain** 13–15 Apr 2017 1,139 25% 1% 1.5% 22% 8% 24% 0.5% 17.5% 3.5% 0.5% 21.5% 0%
BVA 12–14 Apr 2017 1,439 23% 1% 1.5% 20% 7.5% 23% 1% 20% 3% 1% 22% <0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 11–14 Apr 2017 2,776 31% 0.5% 2% 19% 8% 22.5% 1% 19% 4% 1% 23% <0.5%
Odoxa 12–13 Apr 2017 950 21% 0% 1.5% 19% 8% 24.5% 1.5% 18.5% 3.5% 0.5% 23% 0%
Ipsos 12–13 Apr 2017 927 34% 0.5% 2% 20% 7.5% 22% 1.5% 19% 3.5% 1.5% 22% 0.5%
OpinionWay 11–13 Apr 2017 1,443 0% 2% 17% 9% 22% 2% 20% 3% 2% 23% 0%
Harris 11–13 Apr 2017 904 <0.5% 1% 19% 8% 24% 1% 20% 4% 1% 22% <0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 10–13 Apr 2017 2,797 31% 0.5% 2% 19% 8.5% 22.5% 1% 19% 3.5% 0.5% 23.5% <0.5%
Elabe 11–12 Apr 2017 1,010 37% 0.5% 2% 18.5% 9% 23.5% 0.5% 20% 3% 0.5% 22.5% <0.5%
OpinionWay 10–12 Apr 2017 1,423 0% 2% 17% 8% 23% 2% 20% 3% 1% 24% 0%
Ifop-Fiducial 9–12 Apr 2017 2,800 32% 0.5% 2% 18.5% 8.5% 22.5% 1.5% 19% 3.5% 0.5% 23.5% <0.5%
OpinionWay 9–11 Apr 2017 1,395 0% 2% 18% 7% 23% 2% 20% 3% 1% 24% 0%
Ifop-Fiducial 7–11 Apr 2017 2,806 32% 0.5% 1.5% 18.5% 8.5% 23% 1% 19% 3.5% 0.5% 24% <0.5%
Elabe 9–10 Apr 2017 1,002 37% 0.5% 2.5% 17% 10% 23% 0.5% 19% 4% 0.5% 23% <0.5%
OpinionWay 8–10 Apr 2017 1,498 0% 2% 18% 8% 23% 2% 19% 3% 1% 24% 0%
Ifop-Fiducial 6–10 Apr 2017 2,616 33% 0.5% 2% 18% 9% 23% 1% 18.5% 4% <0.5% 24% <0.5%
Ipsos 7–9 Apr 2017 1,002 34% 1% 1.5% 18.5% 8% 24% 0.5% 18% 3.5% 1% 24% <0.5%
OpinionWay 7–9 Apr 2017 1,565 0% 2% 18% 9% 23% 1% 19% 3% 1% 24% 0%
Ifop-Fiducial* 7–8 Apr 2017 1,845 32% 1% 2% 19% 8% 23% 1% 18.5% 3.5% 0% 24% 0%
Kantar Sofres 5–7 Apr 2017 1,515 28% 0.5% 2.5% 18% 9% 24% 0.5% 17% 3.5% 1% 24% <0.5%
BVA 5–7 Apr 2017 1,421 23% 1% 1.5% 19% 8.5% 23% 1% 19% 3.5% 0.5% 23% <0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 4–7 Apr 2017 2,246 35% 0.5% 1% 17% 9.5% 23.5% 1% 18.5% 4.5% <0.5% 24.5% <0.5%
Harris 5–6 Apr 2017 928 1% 1% 18% 9% 24% 1% 19% 3% 1% 23% <0.5%
OpinionWay 4–6 Apr 2017 1,589 0% 2% 16% 10% 24% 0% 20% 3% 0% 25% 0%
Ifop-Fiducial 3–6 Apr 2017 2,243 35% 0.5% 1% 16.5% 9.5% 24% 1% 18.5% 4.5% <0.5% 24.5% <0.5%
Odoxa 5 Apr 2017 955 16% 0.5% 2% 18% 9% 23.5% 0.5% 18.5% 4% 1% 23% 0%
Harris 5 Apr 2017 2,097 1% 1% 17% 9% 25% 1% 18% 3% 1% 24% <0.5%
Elabe 5 Apr 2017 995 36% 1% 1.5% 17% 9% 23.5% 1% 19% 4.5% <0.5% 23.5% <0.5%
OpinionWay 3–5 Apr 2017 1,553 0% 1% 16% 10% 24% 0% 20% 3% 1% 25% 0%
Ifop-Fiducial 2–5 Apr 2017 2,245 35% 0.5% 1% 16% 9.5% 24.5% 1% 18% 4.5% <0.5% 25% <0.5%
Harris 3–4 Apr 2017 3,639 1% <0.5% 16% 10% 26% <0.5% 18% 4% 1% 24% <0.5%
OpinionWay 2–4 Apr 2017 1,541 0% 1% 15% 10% 24% 0% 20% 3% 1% 26% 0%
Ifop-Fiducial 31 Mar–4 Apr 2017 2,254 34% 0.5% 0.5% 15.5% 10% 25% 1% 17.5% 4.5% 0.5% 25% <0.5%
OpinionWay 1–3 Apr 2017 1,583 0% 1% 15% 10% 24% 1% 20% 3% 0% 26% 0%
Ifop-Fiducial 30 Mar–3 Apr 2017 2,232 34% 0.5% 0.5% 15% 10% 26% 1% 17% 4% 0.5% 25.5% <0.5%
Ipsos 31 Mar–2 Apr 2017 9,460 34% 1% 1% 15% 10% 25% 1% 17.5% 4% 0.5% 25% <0.5%
OpinionWay 31 Mar–2 Apr 2017 1,624 0% 1% 15% 11% 24% 1% 19% 4% 0% 25% 0%
Ifop-Fiducial 28–31 Mar 2017 2,204 35% 0.5% 1% 15% 10% 26% 0.5% 17.5% 4% 0.5% 25% <0.5%
BVA 29–30 Mar 2017 1,418 24% 1% 0.5% 15% 11.5% 25% 0.5% 19% 3% 0.5% 24% <0.5%
Odoxa 29–30 Mar 2017 969 19% 0% 1.5% 16% 8% 26% 1% 17% 5% 0.5% 25% 0%
OpinionWay 28–30 Mar 2017 1,609 0% 1% 15% 11% 24% 1% 19% 4% 1% 24% 0%
Ifop-Fiducial 27–30 Mar 2017 2,215 36% 0.5% 1% 14.5% 10% 26% 1% 17.5% 4% <0.5% 25.5% <0.5%
Elabe 28–29 Mar 2017 998 41% 0.5% 0.5% 15% 10% 25.5% 1% 18% 4.5% 0.5% 24% 0.5%
OpinionWay 27–29 Mar 2017 1,636 0% 1% 15% 10% 25% 1% 20% 3% 0% 25% 0%
Ifop-Fiducial 26–29 Mar 2017 2,241 37% 0.5% 0.5% 14% 10% 26% 1% 17.5% 4.5% 0.5% 25.5% <0.5%
OpinionWay 26–28 Mar 2017 1,618 0% 1% 15% 10% 25% 1% 20% 3% 0% 25% 0%
Ifop-Fiducial 24–28 Mar 2017 2,231 38% 1% 0.5% 14% 10.5% 25.5% 1% 17.5% 4.5% 0.5% 25% <0.5%
Ipsos 25–27 Mar 2017 1,005 35% 1% 1% 14% 12% 24% 1% 18% 3.5% 0.5% 25% <0.5%
OpinionWay 25–27 Mar 2017 1,599 1% 1% 14% 10% 24% 1% 20% 3% 0% 26% 0%
Le Terrain** 23–27 Mar 2017 1,106 30% 0.8% 2% 19.5% 9% 24.5% 0.3% 15.5% 4% 0.2% 24% 0.2%
Ifop-Fiducial 23–27 Mar 2017 2,235 38% 1% 0.5% 14% 10.5% 25.5% 0.5% 17.5% 5% 0.5% 25% <0.5%
OpinionWay 24–26 Mar 2017 1,676 1% 1% 13% 11% 24% 1% 20% 3% 0% 26% 0%
BVA 22–24 Mar 2017 1,431 24% 0.5% 0.5% 14% 11.5% 26% 1% 17% 4% 0.5% 25% <0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 21–24 Mar 2017 2,225 37% 0.5% 0.5% 13% 10.5% 26% 1% 18% 5% 0.5% 25% <0.5%
OpinionWay 21–23 Mar 2017 1,675 1% 1% 14% 11% 24% 1% 19% 4% 0% 25% 0%
Ifop-Fiducial 20–23 Mar 2017 2,245 36.5% 0.5% 0.5% 12.5% 11% 26% 1% 18% 5.5% <0.5% 25% <0.5%
Harris 21–22 Mar 2017 6,383 <0.5% <0.5% 13.5% 12.5% 26% 1% 18% 4% <0.5% 25% <0.5%
OpinionWay 20–22 Mar 2017 1,672 1% 0% 13% 12% 25% 1% 19% 3% 1% 25% 0%
Ifop-Fiducial 19–22 Mar 2017 1,974 36.5% 0.5% 0.5% 12% 11% 25.5% 1% 18% 5.5% 0.5% 25.5% <0.5%
Elabe 21 Mar 2017 997 38% 0.5% 0.5% 13.5% 11.5% 26% 1% 17% 5% 0.5% 24.5% <0.5%
OpinionWay 19–21 Mar 2017 1,676 1% 1% 12% 13% 24% 1% 19% 3% 0% 26% 0%
Ifop-Fiducial 18–21 Mar 2017 1,695 37% 1% 0.5% 11.5% 11.5% 25.5% 1% 17.5% 5% 0.5% 26% <0.5%
OpinionWay 18–20 Mar 2017 1,667 1% 1% 11% 14% 24% 1% 18% 3% 0% 27% 0%
Ifop-Fiducial 18–20 Mar 2017 935 37.5% 1% 0.5% 11.5% 12.5% 25% 0.5% 18% 4.5% 0.5% 26% <0.5%
Elabe 17–19 Mar 2017 2,847 41% 0.5% 0.5% 13% 13.5% 25.5% 1% 17.5% 3% 0.5% 25% <0.5%
OpinionWay 17–19 Mar 2017 1,593 1% 1% 12% 13% 23% 1% 18% 3% 1% 27% 0%
Ifop-Fiducial and OpinionWay polls in this table are rolling unless otherwise denoted by an asterisk (*); see methodology: Ifop-Fiducial, OpinionWay
Continuous results can be viewed here: Ifop-Fiducial, OpinionWay. Historical data and demographic breakdowns can be viewed here: Ifop-Fiducial
** Uses CATI/random number dialing, unlike all other pollsters, which conduct online surveys; see notices published by the polling commission for March and April

Older pollsEdit

Graphs

2017Edit

2016Edit

2012–2015Edit

By regionEdit

Poll source Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abstention                          
Arthaud
LO
Poutou
NPA
Mélenchon
FI
Jadot
EELV
Hamon
PS
Macron
EM
Bayrou
MoDem
Lassalle
Résistons!
Fillon
LR
Dupont-Aignan
DLF
Asselineau
UPR
Le Pen
FN
Cheminade
S&P
Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes
1st round result 23 Apr 2017 20.66% 0.59% 1.04% 19.24% 6.13% 24.50% 1.27% 20.20% 5.16% 0.99% 20.72% 0.18%
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 1,154 32% 0.5% 1.5% 18.5% 8.5% 24% 1% 18.5% 4% 0.5% 23% <0.5%
Ipsos 14–17 Mar 2017 1,180 35% 1% 1% 10% 12.5% 26.5% 18% 3% 0.5% 27% 0.5%
Ipsos 7–12 Feb 2017 1,327 33% 0.5% 0.5% 11% 2% 14% 23% 20% 3% 26% <0.5%
0.5% 0.5% 10% 2% 14% 19.5% 6% 19.5% 3% 25% <0.5%
Bourgogne-Franche-Comté
1st round result 23 Apr 2017 20.63% 0.74% 1.20% 17.93% 5.66% 21.89% 1.03% 19.70% 5.65% 0.93% 25.09% 0.18%
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 421 34% 0.5% 1% 18% 5.5% 22.5% 0.5% 20% 4% 1% 27% <0.5%
Ipsos 14–17 Mar 2017 423 37% 1% 1% 11% 11% 24.5% 17.5% 2.5% 0.5% 31% <0.5%
Ipsos 7–12 Feb 2017 463 35% 0.5% 0.5% 12% 1% 14% 20.5% 20.5% 2% 29% <0.5%
0.5% 0.5% 12% 1% 13% 17.5% 6% 19.5% 2% 28% <0.5%
Brittany
1st round result 23 Apr 2017 16.51% 0.71% 1.35% 19.28% 9.04% 29.05% 0.95% 19.04% 4.40% 0.67% 15.33% 0.17%
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 567 28% 1.5% 2% 17.5% 10.5% 28.5% 2% 20% 3% 1% 14% <0.5%
Ipsos 14–17 Mar 2017 588 31% 1.5% 0.5% 11% 17.5% 30.5% 18% 2.5% 0.5% 18% <0.5%
Ipsos 7–12 Feb 2017 650 29% 1% 1% 9% 2% 21% 27.5% 20% 2% 16% <0.5%
1% 1% 8.5% 2% 19.5% 24% 7.5% 19.5% 2% 15% <0.5%
Centre-Val de Loire
1st round result 23 Apr 2017 19.71% 0.80% 1.14% 17.67% 5.85% 22.68% 0.95% 21.04% 5.75% 0.85% 23.08% 0.20%
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 451 28% 1% 2% 17.5% 9.5% 26.5% 0.5% 18% 2% 1% 22% <0.5%
Ipsos 14–17 Mar 2017 476 31% 1% 0.5% 11% 12% 27.5% 17% 3% 0.5% 27.5% <0.5%
Ipsos 7–12 Feb 2017 508 31% 0.5% 0.5% 12% 2.5% 14% 22.5% 18% 3% 27% <0.5%
0.5% 0.5% 11.5% 2% 13.5% 19% 7.5% 17% 2% 26.5% <0.5%
Grand Est
1st round result 23 Apr 2017 21.33% 0.82% 1.16% 16.31% 5.09% 20.72% 1.03% 19.73% 6.13% 1.02% 27.78% 0.20%
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 914 30% 1.5% 1.5% 16% 5.5% 21.5% 0.5% 19.5% 5.5% 1% 27.5% <0.5%
Ipsos 14–17 Mar 2017 976 31% 1% 0.5% 10% 8% 26.5% 17% 3.5% 0.5% 33% <0.5%
Ipsos 7–12 Feb 2017 1,044 30% 1% 0.5% 11% 1.5% 10% 23.5% 17% 2.5% 33% <0.5%
1% 0.5% 10.5% 1.5% 9.5% 20% 6.5% 16.5% 2% 32% <0.5%
Hauts-de-France
1st round result 23 Apr 2017 21.80% 0.90% 1.04% 19.59% 5.15% 19.50% 0.69% 16.13% 4.97% 0.81% 31.03% 0.18%
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 986 28% 0.5% 2% 19% 6.5% 21% 0.5% 16.5% 3.5% 0.5% 30% <0.5%
Ipsos 14–17 Mar 2017 1,019 31% 1% 1% 11% 11% 24% 14.5% 2% 0.5% 35% <0.5%
Ipsos 7–12 Feb 2017 1,141 29% 0.5% 1% 12% 1% 12% 22% 14.5% 2% 35% <0.5%
0.5% 1% 11.5% 1% 11.5% 19.5% 5% 14% 2% 34% <0.5%
Île-de-France
1st round result 23 Apr 2017 20.11% 0.42% 0.81% 21.75% 7.64% 28.63% 0.65% 22.19% 4.02% 1.14% 12.57% 0.17%
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 1,689 32% 0.5% 1% 19% 8% 23% 1% 23.5% 5.5% 1% 17.5% <0.5%
Ipsos 14–17 Mar 2017 1,621 35% 0.5% 0.5% 14% 14.5% 27% 18.5% 4.5% 0.5% 20% <0.5%
Ipsos 7–12 Feb 2017 1,790 33% 0.5% 0.5% 14.5% 2% 16% 24.5% 19% 4% 19% <0.5%
0.5% 0.5% 13.5% 2% 15% 21% 7% 18% 4% 18.5% <0.5%
Normandy
1st round result 23 Apr 2017 19.11% 0.80% 1.26% 19.16% 6.01% 22.36% 0.73% 19.57% 5.23% 0.76% 23.93% 0.19%
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 504 28% 0.5% 1% 22% 6.5% 24% 1% 19% 2% 0.5% 23% 0.5%
Ipsos 14–17 Mar 2017 545 29% 1% 0.5% 11.5% 12% 26% 17.5% 3% 0.5% 28% <0.5%
Ipsos 7–12 Feb 2017 576 30% 0.5% 0.5% 13.5% 1% 14% 22% 19% 3.5% 26% <0.5%
0.5% 0.5% 13% 1% 12.5% 19% 7% 17.5% 3% 26% <0.5%
Nouvelle-Aquitaine
1st round result 23 Apr 2017 19.53% 0.63% 1.46% 20.75% 7.09% 25.12% 2.71% 17.79% 4.59% 0.79% 18.89% 0.18%
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 846 28% 1% 1.5% 21.5% 8.5% 20.5% 3% 19.5% 3.5% 0.5% 20.5% <0.5%
Ipsos 14–17 Mar 2017 853 31% 1% 0.5% 13.5% 13.5% 26.5% 18% 3% 0.5% 23% 0.5%
Ipsos 7–12 Feb 2017 938 30% 0.5% 1% 13.5% 3% 16.5% 22% 19.5% 2% 22% <0.5%
0.5% 1% 13.5% 2.5% 16.5% 19% 6% 18.5% 1.5% 21% <0.5%
Occitanie
1st round result 23 Apr 2017 18.96% 0.51% 1.06% 22.14% 6.53% 22.32% 2.28% 17.07% 4.08% 0.86% 22.98% 0.17%
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 891 27% 1% 1.5% 17.5% 9.5% 22.5% 1% 16% 5% 1% 25% <0.5%
Ipsos 14–17 Mar 2017 928 29% 1% 0.5% 11.5% 13.5% 24% 15% 4.5% 1% 29% <0.5%
Ipsos 7–12 Feb 2017 1,008 28% 0.5% 1% 13% 1% 15.5% 22% 15.5% 3.5% 28% <0.5%
0.5% 1% 12.5% 1% 14.5% 20.5% 5% 14.5% 3.5% 27% <0.5%
Pays de la Loire
1st round result 23 Apr 2017 16.73% 0.73% 1.20% 18.41% 6.55% 26.27% 0.78% 23.56% 5.01% 0.71% 16.62% 0.17%
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 684 25% 1.5% 2% 18% 8% 26% <0.5% 22% 5.5% 1% 16% <0.5%
Ipsos 14–17 Mar 2017 703 30% 1.5% 0.5% 10% 12.5% 30% 20% 2.5% 1% 22% <0.5%
Ipsos 7–12 Feb 2017 759 29% 0.5% 0.5% 9% 2.5% 15.5% 25% 23% 3% 21% <0.5%
0.5% 0.5% 8.5% 2.5% 14.5% 22.5% 6.5% 22% 2.5% 20% <0.5%
Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur
1st round result 23 Apr 2017 21.22% 0.38% 0.77% 18.74% 4.12% 18.94% 1.07% 22.37% 4.33% 0.94% 28.17% 0.17%
Ipsos 16–18 Apr 2017 723 27% 0.5% 1% 18.5% 5.5% 16% 0.5% 20.5% 5% 0.5% 31.5% 0.5%
Ipsos 14–17 Mar 2017 755 30% 0.5% 0.5% 11% 9% 20% 19% 3.5% 0.5% 35.5% 0.5%
Ipsos 7–12 Feb 2017 816 30% 0.5% 0.5% 10.5% 1% 11% 19.5% 18% 3% 36% <0.5%
0.5% 0.5% 10% 1% 10.5% 17% 4% 17.5% 3% 36% <0.5%

By constituencyEdit

Poll source Fieldwork date Sample
size
               
Arthaud
LO
Poutou
NPA
Mélenchon
FI
Hamon
PS
Macron
EM
Fillon
LR
Dupont-Aignan
DLF
Le Pen
FN
Constituencies for French residents overseas
BVA 3–11 Mar 2017 2,213 0.5% 0.5% 8% 13% 36% 31% 2% 9%
1st constituency for French residents overseas (Canada, United States)
BVA 3–11 Mar 2017 281 2% 4% 10% 34.5% 36.5% 1% 12%
5th constituency for French residents overseas (Spain, Portugal, Monaco, Andorra)
BVA 3–11 Mar 2017 283 1.5% 7.5% 15.5% 33.5% 29% 2.5% 10.5%
11th constituency for French residents overseas (Asia, Eastern Europe, Oceania)
BVA 3–11 Mar 2017 380 0.5% 7% 8% 33.5% 32% 3% 16%

See alsoEdit

ReferencesEdit

  1. ^ "Présidentielle : Bayrou et Macron, une alliance sous conditions". Le Monde. Agence France-Presse. 22 February 2017. Retrieved 6 March 2017. 
  2. ^ "Yannick Jadot se retire de la course à la présidentielle et rallie Benoît Hamon". Le Monde. Agence France-Presse. 23 February 2017. Retrieved 6 March 2017. 
  3. ^ "Présidentielle : les électeurs écologistes approuvent l’accord entre Hamon et Jadot". Le Monde. 26 February 2017. Retrieved 6 March 2017. 
  4. ^ "Liste officielle des candidats à l'élection présidentielle". Conseil constitutionnel présidentielle 2017. 18 March 2017. Retrieved 18 March 2017. 
  5. ^ "Communiqué commun avec la Commission nationale de Contrôle de la Campagne électorale en vue de l’élection présidentielle". Commission des sondages. 13 April 2017. Retrieved 17 April 2017. 
  6. ^ Alexandre Lemarié; Matthieu Goar (6 March 2017). "Juppé renonce, la droite au bord de la rupture". Le Monde. Retrieved 21 March 2017. 

External linksEdit