In preparation for the next presidential elections in Romania, which will take place at the end of 2024 at the latest, various polling companies and organizations in Romania have already conducted a series of opinion polls to measure and track voting intention among the electorate in assembly. The results of all these opinion polls are shown in the annual tables below in this Wikipedia article.
First round graphic representation edit
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First round edit
2024 Opinion polls edit
Poll | Date | Sample | Geoană Ind. |
Ciolacu PSD |
Simion AUR |
Ciucă PNL |
Șoșoacă S.O.S. |
Drulă USR |
Kelemen UDMR |
Cioloș REPER |
Kövesi Ind. |
Others |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AtlasIntel | 5-9 April 2024 | 1,764 | 33.6 | — | 11.8 | — | 10.7 | 10.9 | 1.4 | 6.9 | — | - |
27 | 9.6 | 12.6 | 5 | 10.6 | 11.3 | 0.7 | 6.1 | — | - | |||
27.3 | 9.2 | 12.4 | — | 9.8 | 13.6 | 3.0 | 6.4 | — | - | |||
INSCOP | 14 Feb -5 Mar 2024 | 2,000 | 26.0 | 24.0 | 13.0 | 12.0 | 8.0 | — | 3.0 | — | 9.0 | - |
INSCOP Research | 16-24 jan 2024 | 1,100 | 26.5 | 18.9 | 13.3 | 11.4 | 14.0 | 5.9 | 3.6 | 5.1 | - | 1.3 |
Snap Market Research | 3–8 Jan 2024 | 998 | 12 | 29 | 13 | 8 | 14 | —[a] | 5 | — | 10[b] | 9[c] |
Opinion polls with Geoană (independent) (2023) edit
Poll | Date | Sample | Geoană Ind. |
Ciolacu PSD |
Simion AUR |
Ciucă PNL |
Șoșoacă S.O.S. |
Drulă USR |
Lasconi USR |
Orban FD |
Kelemen UDMR |
Cioloș REPER |
Kövesi Ind. |
Hellvig Ind. |
Others |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
INSCOP | 20–27 Nov 2023 | 1,100 | 26.2 | 20.8 | 14.0 | 12.1 | 14.4 | 4.2 | — | — | 2.4 | 3.9 | — | — | 1.9 |
INSCOP | 23 Oct–2 Nov 2023 | 1,100 | 27.7 | 21.8[d] | 18.9 | — | 10.5 | — | 12.1 | — | 3.1 | 4.3 | — | — | — |
AtlasIntel | 20–29 Oct 2023 | 2,000 | 20.4 | 10.3 | 7.7 | 0.7 | 13.3 | 6.9 | 2.3 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 10.9 | 6.4 | 13.4 |
INSCOP | 15–22 Sep 2023 | 1,550 | 25.3 | 19.5 | 18.7 | 11.2 | 10.1 | 5.6 | — | — | 2.7 | 4.1 | — | — | 3.4 |
AtlasIntel | 27–30 Jan 2023 | 2,000 | 22.6 | — | 10.6 | 4.9 | 6.1 | 8.0 | — | 3.8 | 4.4 | 2.0 | 16.4 | 0.4 | 20.9[e] |
14.6 | 6.2 | 9.7 | 4.6 | 5.5 | 4.5 | — | 5.1 | 2.9 | 5.1 | 16.9 | 0.5 | 24.2[f] | |||
Election | Nov 2019 | — | — | 22.26 | — | 37.82 | — | 15.02 | — | 3.87 | — | — | — | — |
Opinion polls without Geoană (2023) edit
Poll | Date | Sample | Ciucă PNL |
Ciolacu PSD |
Drulă USR |
Kelemen UDMR |
Kövesi Ind. |
Simion AUR |
Șoșoacă S.O.S. |
Cioloș REPER |
Orban FD |
Hellvig Ind. |
Others |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
INSCOP | 20–27 Nov 2023 | 1,100 | 14.1 | 27.4 | 7.1 | 2.7 | — | 18.0 | 19.1 | 6.7 | — | — | 4.9 |
AtlasIntel | 27–30 Jan 2023 | 2,000 | 8.0 | 13.3 | 7.4 | 2.1 | 15.7 | 10.4 | 5.9 | 5.3 | 5.0 | 2.9 | 24.1[g] |
Election | Nov 2019 | — | 37.82 | 22.26 | 15.02 | 3.87 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Opinion polls with potential candidates (before 2023) edit
Poll | Date | Sample | Cîțu | Orban | Ciolacu | Barna | Cioloș | Drulă | Diaconescu | Kelemen | Simion | Șoșoacă | Geoană | Dragnea | Others |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gazeta Civică[1] | 15–31 Jul 2021 | 1,112 | 11.0 | — | 4.0 | — | — | 22.0 | — | 5.0 | — | — | 33.0 | — | 6.0 |
INSOMAR[2] | 1–8 May 2021 | 1,030 | — | 12.03 | 16.1 | 22.00 | 13.4 | — | 8.3 | — | 14.2 | 4.0 | — | 6.6 | 3.37 |
INSOMAR[3] | 8–11 Feb 2021 | 1,030 | 3.0 | 11.4 | 23.0 | 21.04 | 12.6 | — | — | 3.0 | 17.0 | — | — | 0.0 | 8.96 |
Election | Nov 2019 | 37.82 | 22.26 | 15.02 | 5.72 | 3.87 | 0.34 | — | — | 14.97 |
Second round edit
Geoană vs Ciolacu edit
Poll | Date | Sample | Geoană Ind. |
Ciolacu PSD |
---|---|---|---|---|
INSCOP | 14 Feb -5 Mar 2024 | 2,000 | 61.0 | 39.0 |
AtlasIntel | 20–29 Oct 2023 | 2,000 | 64.9 | 35.1 |
Geoană vs Simion edit
Poll | Date | Sample | Geoană Ind. |
Simion AUR |
---|---|---|---|---|
INSCOP | 14 Feb -5 Mar 2024 | 2,000 | 75.0 | 25.0 |
AtlasIntel | 20–29 Oct 2023 | 2,000 | 71.8 | 28.2 |
INSCOP | 15–22 Sep 2023 | 1,550 | 63.5 | 36.5 |
AtlasIntel | 27–30 Jan 2023 | 2,000 | 69.5 | 30.5 |
Geoană vs Ciucă edit
Poll | Date | Sample | Geoană Ind. |
Ciucă PNL |
---|---|---|---|---|
AtlasIntel | 27–30 Jan 2023 | 2,000 | 76.2 | 23.8 |
Geoană vs Kövesi edit
Poll | Date | Sample | Geoană Ind. |
Kövesi Ind. |
---|---|---|---|---|
INSCOP | 14 Feb -5 Mar 2024 | 2,000 | 66.0 | 34.0 |
AtlasIntel | 20–29 Oct 2023 | 2,000 | 61.2 | 38.8 |
AtlasIntel | 27–30 Jan 2023 | 2,000 | 53.1 | 46.9 |
Ciolacu vs Simion edit
Poll | Date | Sample | Ciolacu PSD |
Simion AUR |
---|---|---|---|---|
AtlasIntel | 20–29 Oct 2023 | 2,000 | 69.5 | 30.5 |
INSCOP | 15–22 Sep 2023 | 1,550 | 58.8 | 41.2 |
AtlasIntel | 27–30 Jan 2023 | 2,000 | 54.1 | 45.9 |
Ciolacu vs Drulă edit
Poll | Date | Sample | Ciolacu PSD |
Drulă USR |
---|---|---|---|---|
AtlasIntel | 20–29 Oct 2023 | 2,000 | 50.4 | 49.6 |
Ciolacu vs Ciucă edit
Poll | Date | Sample | Ciolacu PSD |
Ciucă PNL |
---|---|---|---|---|
INSCOP | 14 Feb -5 Mar 2024 | 2,000 | 63.0 | 37.0 |
AtlasIntel | 27–30 Jan 2023 | 2,000 | 51.7 | 48.3 |
Ciolacu vs Kövesi edit
Poll | Date | Sample | Kövesi Ind. |
Ciolacu PSD |
---|---|---|---|---|
AtlasIntel | 20–29 Oct 2023 | 2,000 | 58.6 | 41.4 |
AtlasIntel | 27–30 Jan 2023 | 2,000 | 57.8 | 42.2 |
The first round among Romanian citizens from the Republic of Moldova edit
Poll | Date | Sample | Geoană Ind. |
Ciolacu PSD |
Simion AUR |
Ciucă PNL |
Șoșoacă S.O.S. |
Drulă USR |
Kelemen UDMR |
Cioloș REPER |
Piedone PUSL |
Others/
n/a |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
iDATA | 22 – 26 Apr | 1,006 | 15.0 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 3.4 | 4.8 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 5.5 | 6.1 | 58.0[4] |
34.6 | 7.1 | 5.5 | 7.8 | 11.1 | 1.6[5] | 2.3 | 12.7 | 14.1 | — | |||
CBS-Research | 6 – 13 Apr | 1,008 | 14.1 | 4.7 | 1.0 | 2.4 | 4.1 | 0.9 | — | — | — | 72.8[6] |
51.9 | 17.3 | 3.7 | 15.0 | 14.0 | 3.3 | — | — | — | — |
Notes edit
- ^ In this scenario, USR, PMP, FD and REPER are supporting Kövesi as an independent candidate
- ^ In this scenario, USR, PMP, FD and REPER are supporting Kövesi as an independent candidate
- ^ Dan Chitic (BSR): 7%
- ^ With PNL endorsement
- ^ Don't know 11.1, invalid/blank vote 9.8
- ^ Don't know 13.1, invalid/blank vote 11.1
- ^ Don't know 13.0, invalid/blank vote 11.1
References edit
- ^ "Vă prezentăm cifrele ultimului sondaj pentru Palatul Cotroceni" (in Romanian). Gazeta Civică | Cotidian Național de opinie și atitudine civică!. Archived from the original on 2021-08-04. Retrieved 2021-08-05.
- ^ "Opțiuni politice de mai | INSOMAR.ORG". insomar.org (in Romanian). Retrieved 2021-05-14.
- ^ "SONDAJ INSOMAR. Răsturnare de situație – pe cine vor românii la Cotroceni. Calculele care dau fiori clasei politice". Realitatea de Tulcea. 2021-02-12. [permanent dead link]
- ^ Niciunul dintre cei menționați – 15% Nu știu/Nu răspund – 41,6% Dan Barna – 1,4%
- ^ Dan Barna 3.2%
- ^ 44% dintre respondenți au arătat că nu au decis încă pentru cine ar vota la viitoarele alegeri prezidențiale din România, în timp ce 24,8% nu ar participa la vot. 4.0% NR