Bicester and Woodstock (UK Parliament constituency)

Bicester and Woodstock is a proposed constituency of the House of Commons in the UK Parliament.[2] Further to the completion of the 2023 Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies, it will first be contested at the next general election.

Bicester & Woodstock
County constituency
for the House of Commons
CountyOxfordshire
Electorate70,389 (March 2020)[1]
Major settlementsBicester, Kidlington and Woodstock
Current constituency
Created2024
Member of ParliamentNone
SeatsOne
Created fromBanbury (part), Henley (part), Oxford West & Abingdon (part), Witney (part)

Boundaries edit

 
Map of boundaries from 2024

The constituency will be composed of the following (as they existed on 1 December 2020):

  • The District of Cherwell wards of: Bicester East; Bicester North & Caversfield; Bicester South & Ambrosden; Bicester West; Fringford & Heyfords; Kidlington East; Kidlington West; Launton & Otmoor.
  • The District of West Oxfordshire wards of: Eynsham and Cassington; Freeland and Hanborough; North Leigh; Stonesfield and Tackley; Woodstock and Bladon.[3]

It will comprise the following areas:

Polling edit

There have been various MRP national polls giving the results shown below for Bicester & Woodstock.

MRP models of vote share for next UK general election: Bicester & Woodstock
Date Model CON LAB LIB REF GRN Source
14 Jan 2024 YouGov 29% 20% 37% 7% 5% [4][5]
15 Jan 2024 Electoral Calculus 30% 28% 25% 10% 6% [6]
15 Feb 2024 Electoral Calculus 30% 30% 25% 10% 5% [7]
28 March 2024 Electoral Calculus 28% 30% 26% 12% 4% [8]
30 March 2024 Survation 32% 31% 23% 9% 4% [9]
3 April 2024 YouGov 31% 24% 26% 12% 6% [10]

The average of the three models based upon March / early April polling shows the Conservatives in first place on 30%, Labour second on 28% and the Liberal Democrats third on 25%.

Elections edit

Elections in the 2020s edit

Next United Kingdom general election: Bicester and Woodstock
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Rupert Harrison[11]
Green Ian Middleton[12]
Liberal Democrats Calum Miller[13]
Labour Veronica Oakeshott[14]
Reform UK Augustine Obodo[15]
Majority
Turnout
Swing

References edit

  1. ^ "Electorate Figures – Boundary Commission for England" (PDF). Boundary Commission for England. 28 June 2023. Retrieved 28 June 2023.
  2. ^ "The 2023 Review of Parliamentary Constituency Boundaries in England – Volume one: Report – South East | Boundary Commission for England". boundarycommissionforengland.independent.gov.uk. Retrieved 2023-07-15.
  3. ^ "The Parliamentary Constituencies Order 2023". Schedule 1 Part 6 South East region.
  4. ^ "YouGov MRP shows Labour would win 1997-style landslide if election were held today". YouGov. 15 January 2024. Retrieved 15 January 2024.
  5. ^ "Searchable tool: How would your constituency vote in an election tomorrow?". Telegraph Media Group. 14 January 2024. Retrieved 15 January 2024.
  6. ^ "Electoral Calculus January 2024". Electoral Calculus. Retrieved 15 January 2024.
  7. ^ "Electoral Calculus 14 Feb 2024". Retrieved 14 Feb 2024.
  8. ^ "New Seat Details - Bicester and Woodstock". www.electoralcalculus.co.uk. Retrieved 2024-04-07.
  9. ^ "What We Can Learn From Our Latest MRP (and what we can't)". Survation. 2024-03-31. Retrieved 2024-04-07.
  10. ^ "YouGov MRP – Labour now projected to win over 400 seats | YouGov". yougov.co.uk. Retrieved 2024-04-07.
  11. ^ "Harrison selected in Bicester and Woodstock for his ability to "talk about local issues from a national perspective"". Conservative Home. Retrieved 15 January 2024.
  12. ^ "Green Oxfordshire 2024 - Looking forward to 2024". Oxfordshire Green Party. Retrieved 15 January 2024.
  13. ^ "Calum Miller selected for Bicester and Woodstock". Mark Pack. Retrieved 15 January 2024.
  14. ^ "Bicester and Woodstock MP Labour candidate shares vision". Oxford Mail. Retrieved 12 March 2024.
  15. ^ "Bicester and Woodstock Constituency". Reform UK. Retrieved 15 January 2024.