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United States presidential election in Kansas, 2008

The 2008 United States presidential election in Kansas took place on November 4, 2008, and was part of the 2008 United States presidential election. Voters chose 6 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

United States presidential election in Kansas, 2008

← 2004 November 4, 2008 2012 →
  John McCain official portrait 2009.jpg Obama portrait crop.jpg
Nominee John McCain Barack Obama
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Arizona Illinois
Running mate Sarah Palin Joe Biden
Electoral vote 6 0
Popular vote 699,655 514,765
Percentage 56.48% 41.55%

Kansas presidential election results 2008.svg
County Results

President before election

George W. Bush
Republican

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic

Kansas was won by Republican nominee John McCain by a 14.9% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 17 news organizations considered this a state McCain would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state. He won all but three counties and one congressional district in the state.

As of 2016, this is the last time that Crawford County went for the Democratic candidate in a presidential election.

Contents

CaucusesEdit

CampaignEdit

PredictionsEdit

There were 17 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day:

  1. D.C. Political Report: Republican[1]
  2. Cook Political Report: Solid Republican[2]
  3. Takeaway: Solid McCain[3]
  4. Election Projection: Solid McCain[4]
  5. Electoral-vote.com: Strong Republican[5]
  6. Washington Post: Solid McCain[6]
  7. Politico: Solid McCain[7]
  8. Real Clear Politics: Solid McCain[8]
  9. FiveThirtyEight.com: Solid McCain[6]
  10. CQ Politics: Safe Republican[9]
  11. New York Times: Solid Republican[10]
  12. CNN: Safe Republican[11]
  13. NPR: Solid Republican[6]
  14. MSNBC: Solid McCain[6]
  15. Fox News: Republican[12]
  16. Associated Press: Republican[13]
  17. Rasmussen Reports: Safe Republican[14]

PollingEdit

McCain won every pre-election poll. Since March 16, McCain won each poll with a double-digit margin and at least 47% of the vote.[15]

FundraisingEdit

John McCain raised a total of $1,219,074 in the state. Barack Obama raised $1,548,322.[16]

Advertising and visitsEdit

Obama spent $62,108. McCain and his interest groups spent $13,693.[17] Neither campaign visited the state.[18]

AnalysisEdit

Kansas has always been a Republican stronghold at the presidential level, voting for GOP nominees in all but seven elections since statehood. The last Democratic presidential nominee to carry the Sunflower State was Lyndon B. Johnson in his landslide election in 1964. Although the state did receive attention from Barack Obama, whose mother was born in Kansas, it wasn't enough to overcome the deeply planted GOP roots in the state. John McCain carried Kansas by a comfortable 15-percent margin of victory. McCain's margin of victory in Kansas, however, was less than that of George W. Bush who carried the state in 2004 with 62% of the vote over John Kerry's 36.62% showing in the state - a 10-point swing to the Democrats in 2008.

Obama only won three counties - Crawford (home to Pittsburg), Douglas (home to Lawrence), and Wyandotte (home to Kansas City). The first two were home to large college populations, while Wyandotte had a significant African-American population. He did, however, succeed in winning 41 percent of the state's popular vote. Only two other Democrats have cracked the 40 percent barrier in the state since Johnson's 1964 landslide (Jimmy Carter in 1976 and Michael Dukakis in 1988).

To highlight its status as a reliably red state, former State Treasurer Lynn Jenkins, a Republican, ousted incumbent Democratic U.S. Representative Nancy Boyda to win back Kansas's 2nd Congressional District seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Jenkins received 50.80% of the vote to Boyda's 45.97%. At the same time, incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Pat Roberts was reelected with 60.06% of the vote over former Democratic U.S. Representative Jim Slattery. Republicans also made gains in the Kansas Senate, picking up one seat.

As of the 2016 presidential election, this is the last election in which Crawford County voted for the Democratic candidate.

ResultsEdit

United States presidential election in Kansas, 2008[19]
Party Candidate Running mate Votes Percentage Electoral votes
Republican John McCain Sarah Palin 699,655 56.48% 6
Democratic Barack Obama Joe Biden 514,765 41.55% 0
Independent Ralph Nader Matt Gonzalez 10,527 0.85% 0
Libertarian Bob Barr Wayne Allyn Root 6,706 0.54% 0
Reform Chuck Baldwin Darrell Castle 4,148 0.33% 0
Write-ins Write-ins 3,037 0.24% 0
Green Cynthia McKinney (write-in) Rosa Clemente 35 0.00% 0
Totals 1,238,873 100.00% 6
Voter turnout (Voting age population) 60.8%

Results breakdownEdit

By countyEdit

County Obama% Obama# McCain% McCain# Others% Others# Total
Allen County 37.36% 2,189 60.62% 3,552 2.01% 118 5,859
Anderson County 32.40% 1,175 65.14% 2,362 2.45% 89 3,626
Atchison County 45.07% 3,241 52.72% 3,791 2.21% 159 7,191
Barber County 24.29% 598 74.45% 1,833 1.26% 31 2,462
Barton County 27.38% 3,027 70.56% 7,802 2.06% 228 11,057
Bourbon County 35.30% 2,394 62.53% 4,240 2.17% 147 6,781
Brown County 30.10% 1,317 68.21% 2,985 1.69% 74 4,376
Butler County 32.86% 9,159 65.13% 18,155 2.01% 559 27,873
Chase County 27.67% 383 70.52% 976 1.81% 25 1,384
Chautauqua County 21.65% 401 76.57% 1,418 1.78% 33 1,852
Cherokee County 37.19% 3,594 60.90% 5,886 1.91% 185 9,665
Cheyenne County 21.56% 323 76.64% 1,148 1.80% 27 1,498
Clark County 21.14% 245 77.39% 897 1.47% 17 1,159
Clay County 24.89% 1,009 73.95% 2,998 1.16% 47 4,054
Cloud County 27.70% 1,233 70.12% 3,121 2.18% 97 4,451
Coffey County 26.49% 1,121 72.16% 3,054 1.35% 57 4,232
Comanche County 19.92% 194 78.54% 765 1.54% 15 974
Cowley County 36.35% 5,012 61.59% 8,492 2.05% 283 13,787
Crawford County 49.50% 7,957 48.12% 7,735 2.38% 383 16,075
Decatur County 22.16% 343 76.81% 1,189 1.03% 16 1,548
Dickinson County 27.95% 2,422 70.16% 6,081 1.89% 164 8,667
Doniphan County 31.29% 1,115 66.55% 2,372 2.16% 77 3,564
Douglas County 64.42% 34,398 33.58% 17,929 2.01% 1,071 53,398
Edwards County 24.54% 333 73.32% 995 2.14% 29 1,357
Elk County 25.31% 363 72.66% 1,042 2.02% 29 1,434
Ellis County 32.22% 4,010 65.94% 8,207 1.85% 230 12,447
Ellsworth County 28.97% 851 68.79% 2,021 2.25% 66 2,938
Finney County 31.63% 3,275 66.89% 6,926 1.48% 153 10,354
Ford County 33.74% 2,991 64.64% 5,730 1.61% 143 8,864
Franklin County 37.76% 4,433 60.30% 7,079 1.93% 227 11,739
Geary County 43.13% 3,491 55.50% 4,492 1.37% 111 8,094
Gove County 18.41% 261 80.11% 1,136 1.48% 21 1,418
Graham County 22.84% 325 74.49% 1,060 2.67% 38 1,423
Grant County 23.86% 635 74.97% 1,995 1.16% 31 2,661
Gray County 20.58% 436 77.54% 1,643 1.89% 40 2,119
Greeley County 20.27% 151 79.33% 591 0.40% 3 745
Greenwood County 27.29% 622 71.04% 1,619 1.67% 38 2,279
Hamilton County 21.26% 233 77.01% 844 1.73% 19 1,096
Harper County 26.32% 736 71.49% 1,999 2.18% 61 2,796
Harvey County 40.47% 6,318 57.68% 9,006 1.85% 289 15,613
Haskell County 17.71% 278 81.34% 1,277 0.96% 15 1,570
Hodgeman County 19.25% 211 78.92% 865 1.82% 20 1,096
Jackson County 36.91% 2,308 60.95% 3,811 2.14% 134 6,253
Jefferson County 39.58% 3,542 58.32% 5,220 2.10% 188 8,950
Jewell County 19.76% 313 77.71% 1,231 2.53% 40 1,584
Johnson County 44.84% 127,091 53.85% 152,627 1.31% 3,714 283,432
Kearny County 20.85% 309 78.21% 1,159 0.94% 14 1,482
Kingman County 26.28% 963 71.04% 2,603 2.67% 98 3,664
Kiowa County 17.62% 200 80.35% 912 2.03% 23 1,135
Labette County 42.51% 3,839 55.38% 5,001 2.11% 191 9,031
Lane County 18.79% 193 79.26% 814 1.95% 20 1,027
Leavenworth County 43.33% 13,255 54.89% 16,791 1.78% 545 30,591
Lincoln County 21.88% 347 75.91% 1,204 2.21% 35 1,586
Linn County 30.86% 1,425 66.84% 3,086 2.30% 106 4,617
Logan County 15.63% 225 82.43% 1,187 1.94% 28 1,440
Lyon County 45.88% 5,924 51.88% 6,698 2.24% 289 12,911
Marion County 29.72% 1,801 68.64% 4,159 1.63% 99 6,059
Marshall County 35.42% 1,784 62.69% 3,157 1.89% 95 5,036
McPherson County 31.51% 4,218 66.77% 8,937 1.72% 230 13,385
Meade County 18.49% 357 79.75% 1,540 1.76% 34 1,931
Miami County 37.34% 5,742 61.01% 9,382 1.65% 253 15,377
Mitchell County 21.89% 701 76.18% 2,440 1.94% 62 3,203
Montgomery County 31.19% 4,338 66.94% 9,309 1.87% 260 13,907
Morris County 31.93% 907 66.00% 1,875 2.08% 59 2,841
Morton County 16.33% 229 82.24% 1,153 1.43% 20 1,402
Nemaha County 26.72% 1,432 71.23% 3,817 2.05% 110 5,359
Neosho County 35.64% 2,563 62.19% 4,473 2.17% 156 7,192
Ness County 18.95% 289 79.15% 1,207 1.90% 29 1,525
Norton County 20.58% 497 77.76% 1,878 1.66% 40 2,415
Osage County 33.59% 2,534 63.89% 4,820 2.52% 190 7,544
Osborne County 20.88% 403 77.20% 1,490 1.92% 37 1,930
Ottawa County 22.81% 704 75.28% 2,323 1.91% 59 3,086
Pawnee County 30.64% 882 67.59% 1,946 1.77% 51 2,879
Phillips County 19.69% 525 78.93% 2,105 1.39% 37 2,667
Pottawatomie County 26.42% 2,599 70.44% 6,929 3.14% 309 9,837
Pratt County 30.88% 1,294 67.35% 2,822 1.77% 74 4,190
Rawlins County 17.62% 273 80.50% 1,247 1.87% 29 1,549
Reno County 37.40% 9,916 60.77% 16,112 1.83% 484 26,512
Republic County 23.96% 640 74.05% 1,978 1.98% 53 2,671
Rice County 28.92% 1,163 69.14% 2,780 1.94% 78 4,021
Riley County 45.64% 10,495 52.66% 12,111 1.70% 391 22,997
Rooks County 18.08% 468 79.91% 2,068 2.01% 52 2,588
Rush County 28.30% 504 68.78% 1,225 2.92% 52 1,781
Russell County 22.35% 736 76.19% 2,509 1.46% 48 3,293
Saline County 35.92% 8,186 62.16% 14,165 1.92% 437 22,788
Scott County 14.73% 321 83.66% 1,823 1.61% 35 2,179
Sedgwick County 42.72% 82,337 55.44% 106,849 1.83% 3,530 192,716
Seward County 27.98% 1,493 71.05% 3,791 0.97% 52 5,336
Shawnee County 48.99% 41,235 49.27% 41,476 1.74% 1,466 84,177
Sheridan County 18.46% 254 80.52% 1,108 1.02% 14 1,376
Sherman County 25.44% 688 72.45% 1,959 2.11% 57 2,704
Smith County 20.24% 446 77.99% 1,719 1.77% 39 2,204
Stafford County 26.13% 542 72.08% 1,495 1.78% 37 2,074
Stanton County 22.73% 188 75.94% 628 1.33% 11 827
Stevens County 13.31% 283 85.33% 1,815 1.36% 29 2,127
Sumner County 32.44% 3,353 65.17% 6,737 2.39% 247 10,337
Thomas County 21.43% 787 77.24% 2,837 1.33% 49 3,673
Trego County 25.13% 420 73.31% 1,225 1.56% 26 1,671
Wabaunsee County 29.42% 1,036 68.02% 2,395 2.56% 90 3,521
Wallace County 11.94% 96 85.82% 690 2.24% 18 804
Washington County 22.11% 659 75.44% 2,248 2.45% 73 2,980
Wichita County 16.00% 163 82.43% 840 1.57% 16 1,019
Wilson County 28.39% 1,170 69.16% 2,850 2.45% 101 4,121
Woodson County 32.02% 512 65.98% 1,055 2.00% 32 1,599
Wyandotte County 69.73% 39,865 28.87% 16,506 1.40% 798 57,169

By congressional districtEdit

John McCain carried three of the state’s four congressional districts.

District McCain Obama Representative
1st 68.60% 29.61% Jerry Moran
2nd 54.87% 43.20% Nancy Boyda (110th Congress)
Lynn Jenkins (111th Congress)
3rd 48.01% 50.59% Dennis Moore
4th 58.38% 39.72% Todd Tiahrt

ElectorsEdit

Technically the voters of Kansas cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Kansas is allocated 6 electors because it has 4 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 6 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 6 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them.[20] An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 15, 2008, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 6 were pledged to John McCain and Sarah Palin:[21]

  1. Tom Arpke
  2. Jeff Colyer
  3. David Kensinger
  4. Kris Kobach
  5. Mike Pompeo
  6. Helen Van Etten

ReferencesEdit

  1. ^ D.C.'s Political Report: The complete source for campaign summaries
  2. ^ Presidential | The Cook Political Report Archived May 5, 2015, at the Wayback Machine.
  3. ^ Adnaan (2008-09-20). "Track the Electoral College vote predictions". The Takeaway. Archived from the original on April 22, 2009. Retrieved 2009-11-14.
  4. ^ Election Projection: 2008 Elections - Polls, Projections, Results
  5. ^ Electoral-vote.com: President, Senate, House Updated Daily
  6. ^ a b c d Based on Takeaway
  7. ^ POLITICO's 2008 Swing State Map - POLITICO.com
  8. ^ RealClearPolitics - Electoral Map
  9. ^ CQ Politics | CQ Presidential Election Maps, 2008 Archived June 14, 2009, at the Wayback Machine.
  10. ^ "Electoral College Map". The New York Times. Retrieved May 26, 2010.
  11. ^ "October – 2008 – CNN Political Ticker - CNN.com Blogs". CNN. Retrieved May 26, 2010.
  12. ^ "Winning the Electoral College". Fox News. April 27, 2010.
  13. ^ roadto270
  14. ^ Election 2008: Electoral College Update - Rasmussen Reports™
  15. ^ Election 2008 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections
  16. ^ Presidential Campaign Finance
  17. ^ "Map: Campaign Ad Spending - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com". CNN. Retrieved May 26, 2010.
  18. ^ "Map: Campaign Candidate Visits - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com". CNN. Retrieved May 26, 2010.
  19. ^ "Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections". Retrieved 2013-01-13.
  20. ^ "Electoral College". California Secretary of State. Archived from the original on October 30, 2008. Retrieved 2008-11-01.
  21. ^ Kansas Secretary of State - 2008 Presidential Electors

See alsoEdit