Wikipedia

Opinion polling for the 2023 Spanish local elections

In the run up to the 2023 Spanish local elections, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in local entities in Spain. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous local elections, held on 26 May 2019, to the day the next elections will be held, on 28 May 2023.

Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll.

Nationwide polling edit

The table below lists nationwide voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations.

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout                 PNV           PRC Lead
2023 local elections 28 May 2023 — 63.9 28.1 31.6 1.4 6.3 2.0 2.4 7.2 2.5 1.4 1.6 0.8 1.1 0.6 – 0.3 3.5
CIS[1][2] 16–18 May 2023 4,549 ? 30.2 27.9 2.0 8.0 3.7 2.5 8.0 1.4 1.5 1.2 – – – – – 2.3
GAD3/NIUS[3] 8–9 May 2023 1,011 ? 27.2 31.8 1.1 6.0 2.8 3.0 7.5 2.0 1.8 1.5 – – – – – 4.6
CIS[4][5] 10–26 Apr 2023 21,973 ? 31.7 27.3 1.7 7.9 3.4 2.5 6.8 2.4 1.4 1.4 – – – – – 4.4
Data10/OKDiario[6] 24–26 Jan 2023 1,500 ? 27.2 30.2 0.9 10.1 – – 8.6 – – – – – – – – 3.0
GAD3/ABC[7] 1 Sep–23 Nov 2022 12,525 ? 27.7 32.8 1.1 5.3 2.9 3.1 5.8 2.3 1.8 1.5 – – – – – 5.1
CIS (SocioMétrica)[a][8] 11–26 Oct 2022 5,557 54.3 28.5 29.0 1.3 6.5 2.8 3.4 9.4 1.4 2.4 1.5 0.6 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.5
CIS[9][10] ? 32.8 26.8 2.3 8.7 2.6 3.0 5.9 1.5 1.4 1.2 0.5 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1 6.0
2019 local elections 26 May 2019 — 65.2 29.4 22.6 9.2 7.2 4.1 3.9 3.7 2.5 1.8 1.5 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.4 6.8

Sub-national polling edit

Opinion poll results for municipalities in each of Spain's autonomous communities, as well as for the Canarian cabildos insulares and the Balearic island councils, may be found through the following links:

Notes edit

  1. ^ Alternative projection based on raw CIS data.

References edit

  1. ^ "Encuesta flash elecciones municipales 2023 (Estudio nº 3407. Mayo 2023)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 22 May 2023.
  2. ^ "Estimación de voto (Estudio nº 3407. Mayo 2023)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 22 May 2023.
  3. ^ "Barómetro GAD3: el PP ganaría las elecciones municipales con un 31,8% de los votos, 4 puntos más que el PSOE". NIUS (in Spanish). 14 May 2023.
  4. ^ "Preelectoral elecciones municipales y autonómicas 2023. Total municipal (Estudio nº 3402. Abril 2023)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 11 May 2023.
  5. ^ "Estimación de voto. Municipios, grandes ciudades y Comunidades Autónomas (Estudio nº 3402. Abril 2023)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 11 May 2023.
  6. ^ "El PP ganará las municipales por tres puntos a un PSOE lastrado por la imagen de Sánchez". OKDiario (in Spanish). 30 January 2023.
  7. ^ "El PP ganaría las elecciones municipales por cinco puntos al PSOE". ABC (in Spanish). 27 November 2022.
  8. ^ "Recálculo de los datos del CIS. 04/11/2022 (Municipales)". SocioMétrica (in Spanish). 4 November 2022.
  9. ^ "Macroencuesta sobre tendencias en voto municipal. Octubre 2022 (Estudio nº 3382. Octubre 2022)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 4 November 2022.
  10. ^ "Estimación de voto elecciones municipales (Estudio nº 3382. Macroencuesta sobre tendencias en voto municipal. Octubre 2022)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 4 November 2022.
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