Opinion polling for the 2022 French legislative election

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2022 French legislative election, which were held in two rounds on 12 and 19 June 2022. Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the national polling commission (Commission nationale des sondages) and utilize the quota method.

First round

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Graphical summary

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Local regression of polls conducted
 

Party alliances standings

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Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
LO
NPA
EXG
NUPES DVG
PRG
FGR
ECO PA ENS DVC UDC DVD DLF
LP
RN REC
EXD
REG DIV
PCF LFI PS
Ministry of the Interior
(Le Monde)
12 Jun 2022 1.17%
(1.19%)
25.66%
(26.16%)
3.70%
(3.30%)
2.67%
(–)
25.75%
(25.80%)
1.25%
(1.30%)
11.29%
(11.30%)
2.33%
(1.92%)
1.13%
(1.21%)
18.68%
(18.68%)
4.24%
(4.25%)
1.28%
(1.09%)
0.85%
(3.80%)
Ipsos-Sopra Steria 12 Jun 2022 Projections 1.3% 25.6% 3.7% 2.7% 25.2% 1.3% 13.6% 1.1% 19.1% 4.1% 2.3%
Elabe BFMTV 12 Jun 2022 1.2% 26.2% 3.3% 25.8% 11.1% 1.9% 1.2% 19.1% 4.3% 5.9%
Ifop-Fiducial 12 Jun 2022 1.4% 26.1% 3% 25.6% 11.3% 3.2% 1.1% 19.2% 4.1% 5%
Harris-Interactive 12 Jun 2022 1.5% 25% 5.5% 25% 1% 11.5% 2.5% 1.2% 19% 4.5% 3.3%
Ipsos-Sopra Steria 10 Jun 2022 8,159 1% 27% 3% 2.5% 28% 0.5% 11% 1% 19% 5.5% 1.5%
Harris-Interactive 8–10 Jun 2022 2,078 1% 26% 4% 2% 26% 1% 10% 1% 2% 20% 6% 1%
Ifop-Fiducial 8–9 Jun 2022 1,831 1% 26.5% 3.5% 26% 10% 2% 1.5% 19% 5.5% 5%
Elabe 8–9 Jun 2022 2,000 1.5% 26.5% 3% 27% 11% 1% 1.5% 19.5% 4.5% 4.5%
Cluster17 7–9 Jun 2022 2,608 0.5% 29.5% 2.5% 1.5% 26% 1% 10.5% 1% 1.5% 17.5% 5.5% 1% 2%
OpinionWay-Kéa 5–8 Jun 2022 3,001 1% 25% 3% 1% 2% 28% 11% 1% 1% 18% 6% 3%
YouGov 1–8 Jun 2022 3,306 2% 25% 1% 26% - 9% - 1% 21% 8% 7%
Ipsos-Sopra Steria 6–7 Jun 2022 2,000 1.5% 28% 2.5% 2.5% 27% 0.5% 11% 1% 19.5% 6% 1%
Ipsos-Sopra Steria 3–6 Jun 2022 10,826 1% 27.5% 2% 2.5% 28% 0.5% 11% 1% 20% 5.5% 1%
Ifop-Fiducial 3–6 Jun 2022 1,840 1% 26% 3.5% 25% 11% 2% 2% 21% 5% 4.5%
Harris-Interactive 3–6 Jun 2022 2,355 2% 24% 5% 2% 26% 1% 10% 1% 2% 20% 6% 1%
Cluster17 30 May–1 Jun 2022 2,459 1% 31% 1.5% 27% 10% 2% 19% 5% 1.5% 3%
Elabe 30 May–1 Jun 2022 2,000 1.5% 25% 2.5% 24.5% 12.5% 1.5% 1.5% 22% 4.5% 4.5%
OpinionWay-Kéa 28–31 May 2022 3,008 1% 26% 2% 2% 1% 27% 11% 1% 1% 20% 6% 2%
Harris-Interactive 27–30 May 2022 2,371 2% 24% 4% 2% 27% 1% 9% 1% 1% 21% 7% 1%
Ifop-Fiducial 25–28 May 2022 1,796 1% 25% 4% 27% 10% 1% 2% 21% 6% 3%
Cluster17 24–26 May 2022 2,373 0.5% 30% 2% 26% 10.5% 1.5% 19% 6% 0.5% 4%
OpinionWay-Kéa 19–24 May 2022 2,845 2% 25% 3% 2% 2% 26% 11% 3% 21% 5%
Harris-Interactive 20–23 May 2022 2,331 3% 28% 26% 9% 2% 21% 7% 4%
Cluster17 17–19 May 2022 2,950 0.5% 31% 1% 26% 9% 2% 20% 5.5% 1.5% 3.5%
Ipsos-Sopra Steria 16–19 May 2022 11,247 1% 27% 3% 28% 9% 1% 1% 21% 6% 3%
Elabe 16–18 May 2022 1,793 2% 27.5% 27% 10% 1% 21.5% 5% 6%
OpinionWay-Kéa 14–18 May 2022 3,022 2% 24% 3% 2% 2% 27% 11% 2% 22% 5%
Ifop-Fiducial 13–16 May 2022 1,884 1.5% 27% 26% 11% 2.5% 23% 6% 3%
Harris-Interactive 13–16 May 2022 2,393 3% 29% 26% 10% 1% 23% 5% 3%
Cluster17 10–12 May 2022 2,967 1% 31% 27% 9.5% 2% 19% 5.5% 1% 4%
Ifop-Fiducial 6–9 May 2022 1,691 1.5% 28% 27% 11% 2% 22% 6.5% 2%
1% 2% 18% 6.5% 5.5% 26% 11% 2% 21% 6% 2%
Harris-Interactive 6–9 May 2022 2,406 3% 28% 26% 9% 1% 24% 6% 3%
OpinionWay-Kéa 5–9 May 2022 3,077 2% 23% 3% 2% 2% 26% 12% 2% 23% 5%
Cluster17 3–5 May 2022 3,498 1% 34% 24.5% 8.5% 1.5% 19.5% 5% 2% 4%
Harris-Interactive 29 Apr–2 May 2022 2,366 2% 2% 19% 7% 7% 24% 8% 1% 23% 6% 1%
2% 33% 33% 30% 2%
Cluster17 27–28 Apr 2022 2,659 1% 2% 20% 7.5% 5.5% 24% 7.5% 2% 21% 6% 1% 2.5%
1.5% 27% 7% 23% 9% 2% 21% 6.5% 1% 2%
1% 34% 24% 9.5% 3% 24% 1.5% 3%
Harris-Interactive 24–25 Apr 2022 2,343 1% 3% 19% 8% 5% 24% 8% 1% 23% 7% 1%
2% 33% 33% 31% 1%
2017 election results 11 Jun 2017 0.8% 2.7% 11% (ECO) 9.5% 1.6% 4.3% 0.3% 32.3% 18.8% 2.7% 1.2% 13.2% 0.3% 0.9% 1.9%

Second round

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Seat projections

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Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
NUPES DVG ENS DVC UDC DVD DLF
LP
RN REC EXD REG DIV
PCF LFI PS
Ministry of the Interior
(Le Monde)
19 Jun 2022 131
(142)
22
(13)
245
(246)
4
(5)
64
(64)
10
(9)
1
(1)
89
(89)
0
(0)
0
(1)
10
(6)
1
(1)
Ifop-Fiducial 16–17 Jun 2022 1,399 160–190 5–10 270–300 50–70 6–8 25–45 5–9
Cluster17 16–17 Jun 2022 n/a 170–220 7–10 230–290 3–5 65–75 3–5 40–60 4–7
Ipsos-Sopra Steria 15–16 Jun 2022 1,991 140–180 12–24 265–305 2–4 60–80 20–50 5–10
Elabe 15–16 Jun 2022 1,801 150–200 8–12 255–295 3–5 55–75 2–4 30–50 1–2[a] 5–9
OpinionWay-Kéa 14–16 Jun 2022 1,028 165–210 275–305 60–75 20–40 7–13
Odoxa 14–15 Jun 2022 1,881 179–225 3–7 252–292 42–62 2–8 25–49[b] 2–6
Ifop-Fiducial 14–15 Jun 2022 1,508 180–210 3–7 265–300 40–65 2–6 20–40 3–7
Harris-Interactive 12 Jun 2022 6,492 14–21 97–117 25–41 25–40 2–8 257–297 0–1 45–65 3–8 0–1 23–45 5–10
161–219
Ipsos-Sopra Steria 12 Jun 2022 Exit poll 10–16 96–115 20–30 24–29 15–25 255–295 50–80 20–45 10–17
150–190
Elabe 12 Jun 2022 160–210 7–13 260–295 50–65 2–5 25–35 0–2[c] 9–14
Ipsos-Sopra Steria 10 Jun 2022 8,159 155–190 18–30 275–315 35–55 20–45 5–10
Harris-Interactive 8–10 Jun 2022 2,078 11–18 90–110 22–37 22–38 4–12 265–305 0–2 38–58 3–8 0–1 25–48 0–3 0–1 5–10
145–203
Ifop-Fiducial 8–9 Jun 2022 1,831 180–210 8–12 270–305 40–55 15–35 0–2 8–14
Elabe 8–9 Jun 2022 2,000 165–190 280–320 40–60 25–50 10–15
OpinionWay-Kéa 5–8 Jun 2022 3,001 160–190 290–330 50–70 13–33 0–2 6–11
Ipsos-Sopra Steria 6–7 Jun 2022 2,000 175–215 10–18 260–300 35–55 20–50 5-10
Ipsos-Sopra Steria 3–6 Jun 2022 10,826 160–200 8–18 275–315 30–55 20–55 8–18
Ifop-Fiducial 3–6 Jun 2022 2,000 195–230 4–8 250–290 40–55 20–45 0–2 6–12
Harris-Interactive 3–6 Jun 2022 2,355 9–16 71–97 20–35 20–36 285–335 0–2 38–58 3–8 0–1 30–50 0–3 0–1 3–7
120–184
Elabe 30 May–1 Jun 2022 2,000 155–180 275–315 40–65 35–65 10–15
OpinionWay-Kéa 28–31 May 2022 3,008 160–190 290–330 50–70 13–33 0–2 6–11
Harris-Interactive 27–30 May 2022 2,371 8–15 54–80 18–33 16–32 0–6 300–350 0–1 35–55 3–8 0–1 35–55 0–3 0–1 3–7
96–160
Ifop-Fiducial 25–28 May 2022 1,796 170–205 5–10 275–310 35–55 20–50 1–4 8–15
OpinionWay-Kéa 19–24 May 2022 2,845 155–185 295–335 50–70 14–34 6–11
Harris-Interactive 20–23 May 2022 2,331 9–16 60–86 20–35 18–34 295–345 32–52 0–1 42–68 0–3 3–7
107–171
Ipsos-Sopra Steria 16–19 May 2022 11,247 165–195 290–330 35–65 20–45 5–10
Elabe 16–18 May 2022 1,793 160–185 290–330 25–50 35–65 5–15
OpinionWay-Kéa 14–18 May 2022 3,022 140–170 310–350 50–70 15–35 5–10
Harris-Interactive 13–16 May 2022 2,393 8–15 62–88 20–35 18–34 300–350 35–55 0–1 48–75 0–2 3–7
108–172
Harris-Interactive 6–9 May 2022 2,406 8–15 60–85 20–35 17–33 300–350 30–48 0–1 52–80 0–2 3–7
105–168
OpinionWay-Kéa 5–9 May 2022 3,077 135–165 310–350 50–70 20–40 5–10
Harris-Interactive 29 Apr–2 May 2022 2,366 5–10 25–45 1–5 20–40 338–378 35–65 65–95 3–7
70–90 336–376 110–140 3–7
Harris-Interactive 24–25 Apr 2022 2,343 5–10 25–45 1–5 20–40 328–368 35–65 75–105 3–7
73–93 326–366 117–147 3–7
2017 election 18 Jun 2017 10 17 1 30 11 350 130 6 1 8 1 5 3

See also

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Notes

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  1. ^ DLF, LP, and EXD are included together.
  2. ^ EXD is included.
  3. ^ DLF, LP, and EXD are included together.
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