Wikipedia

Hiniduma Polling Division

The Hiniduma Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Galle Electoral District, in the Southern Province, Sri Lanka.

Hiniduma
Polling Division
Location of Hiniduma
Coordinates: 6°18′35″N 80°20′52″E / 6.309662°N 80.347707°E / 6.309662; 80.347707
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceSouthern Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictGalle Electoral District
Area
 • Total442.46 km2 (170.83 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total96,823
 • Density219/km2 (570/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-07E

Presidential Election Results edit

Summary edit

The winner of Hiniduma has matched the final country result 6 out of 8 times. Hence, Hiniduma is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Hiniduma Galle Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 1.78% SLPP 9.49%
2015 UPFA UPFA 1.99% NDF 9.89%
2010 UPFA UPFA 0.16% UPFA 5.56%
2005 UPFA UPFA 1.85% UPFA 6.21%
1999 PA PA 0.28% PA 3.59%
1994 PA PA 2.74% PA 3.77%
1988 SLFP SLFP 3.78% UNP 3.00%
1982 UNP UNP 4.03% UNP 2.06%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/8 6/8 2.08% 8/8 5.45%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election edit

Party Hiniduma[4] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 54,299 62.66% 466,148 64.26% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 28,046 32.37% 217,401 29.97% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 2,479 2.86% 27,006 3.72% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,827 2.11% 14,803 2.04% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 86,651 99.29% 725,358 99.20% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 624 0.71% 5,878 0.80% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 87,275 87.02% 731,236 85.15% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 100,295 858,749 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election edit

Party Hiniduma[5] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 47,464 57.58% 377,126 55.64% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 34,022 41.27% 293,994 43.37% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 942 1.14% 6,691 0.99% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 82,428 99.05% 677,811 99.05% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 790 0.95% 6,516 0.95% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 83,218 82.59% 684,327 80.46% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 100,757 850,549 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election edit

Party Hiniduma[6] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 47,987 63.60% 386,971 63.69% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 26,061 34.54% 211,633 34.83% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,405 1.86% 9,017 1.48% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 75,453 99.40% 607,621 99.38% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 457 0.60% 3,765 0.62% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 75,910 80.55% 611,386 77.82% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 94,245 785,663 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election edit

Party Hiniduma[7] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 42,304 56.46% 347,233 58.41% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 31,489 42.03% 239,320 40.26% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,136 1.52% 7,915 1.33% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 74,929 99.13% 594,468 99.08% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 654 0.87% 5,540 0.92% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 75,583 84.78% 600,008 79.86% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 89,156 751,327 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election edit

Party Hiniduma[8] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 35,712 54.85% 281,154 54.91% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 25,292 38.85% 195,906 38.26% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 3,183 4.89% 27,257 5.32% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 922 1.42% 7,702 1.50% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 65,109 98.68% 512,019 98.14% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 873 1.32% 9,716 1.86% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 65,982 83.78% 521,735 77.43% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 78,752 673,785 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election edit

Party Hiniduma[9] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 34,003 58.59% 285,398 61.40% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 23,216 40.00% 173,282 37.28% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 819 1.41% 6,135 1.32% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 58,038 98.21% 464,815 98.49% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 1,059 1.79% 7,112 1.51% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 59,097 79.50% 471,927 73.01% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 74,337 646,373 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election edit

Party Hiniduma[10] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLFP 22,347 49.47% 148,615 53.09% 2,289,857 44.95%
UNP 22,029 48.77% 124,912 44.62% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLMP 794 1.76% 6,417 2.29% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 45,170 98.38% 279,944 98.43% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 745 1.62% 4,461 1.57% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 45,915 70.30% 284,405 49.34% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 65,310 576,390 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election edit

Party Hiniduma[11] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 27,209 55.73% 211,544 50.23% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 19,649 40.25% 180,925 42.96% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 1,629 3.34% 20,962 4.98% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 334 0.68% 7,707 1.83% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 48,821 98.78% 421,138 98.78% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 605 1.22% 5,198 1.22% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 49,426 86.60% 426,336 81.84% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 57,075 520,909 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results edit

Summary edit

The winner of Hiniduma has matched the final country result 5 out of 7 times. Hence, Hiniduma is a Weak Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Hiniduma Galle Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UPFA UPFA 1.46% UNP 4.39%
2010 UPFA UPFA 1.72% UPFA 5.62%
2004 UPFA UPFA 1.26% UPFA 6.65%
2001 PA UNP 0.96% UNP 3.62%
2000 PA PA 0.94% PA 3.00%
1994 PA PA 1.27% PA 3.64%
1989 UNP UNP 2.95% UNP 5.43%
Matches/Mean MAE 5/7 6/7 1.51% 7/7 4.62%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election edit

Party Hiniduma[14] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 39,237 51.16% 312,518 50.07% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 33,999 44.33% 265,180 42.49% 5,098,916 45.77%
JVP 3,020 3.94% 37,778 6.05% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 441 0.57% 8,659 1.39% 82,852 0.74%
Valid Votes 76,697 97.33% 624,135 97.63% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 2,094 2.66% 15,107 2.36% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 78,800 78.21% 639,318 78.00% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 100,757 819,666 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election edit

Party Hiniduma[15] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 40,083 68.26% 305,307 66.17% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 15,616 26.59% 120,101 26.03% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 2,717 4.63% 33,663 7.30% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 309 0.53% 2,317 0.50% 32,313 0.40%
Valid Votes 58,725 94.14% 461,388 95.05% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 3,657 5.86% 24,013 4.95% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 62,382 66.19% 485,401 61.67% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 94,245 787,139 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election edit

Party Hiniduma[16] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 38,633 57.25% 306,385 56.58% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 27,440 40.66% 209,399 38.67% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 1,119 1.66% 22,826 4.22% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 291 0.43% 2,901 0.54% 60,066 0.65%
Valid Votes 67,483 93.92% 541,511 94.69% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 4,371 6.08% 30,380 5.31% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 71,854 83.22% 571,891 79.81% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 86,343 716,609 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election edit

Party Hiniduma[17] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 30,151 44.68% 232,931 42.98% 3,330,815 37.19%
UNP 29,666 43.97% 238,989 44.10% 4,086,026 45.62%
JVP 6,717 9.95% 61,806 11.41% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 942 1.40% 8,188 1.51% 143,033 1.60%
Valid Votes 67,476 95.69% 541,914 95.66% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 3,042 4.31% 24,561 4.34% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 70,518 84.65% 566,475 81.09% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 83,302 698,558 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election edit

Party Hiniduma[18] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 34,278 51.74% 264,601 50.08% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 26,629 40.19% 212,055 40.14% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 4,493 6.78% 41,620 7.88% 518,725 6.03%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 852 1.29% 10,072 1.91% 250,489 2.91%
Valid Votes 66,252 N/A 528,348 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election edit

Party Hiniduma[19] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 33,648 55.45% 277,956 56.39% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 26,099 43.01% 203,268 41.24% 3,498,370 44.04%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 939 1.55% 11,690 2.37% 159,429 2.01%
Valid Votes 60,686 95.67% 492,914 95.96% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 2,747 4.33% 20,763 4.04% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 63,433 85.33% 513,677 79.57% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 74,337 645,559 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election edit

Party Hiniduma[20] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 25,466 52.05% 183,962 50.40% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 22,597 46.19% 152,096 41.67% 1,785,369 31.90%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 863 1.76% 28,947 7.93% 502,202 8.97%
Valid Votes 48,926 94.31% 365,005 93.94% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,954 5.69% 23,536 6.06% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 51,880 80.49% 388,541 68.03% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 64,452 571,146 9,374,164

Demographics edit

Ethnicity edit

The Hiniduma Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (95.9%) . In comparison, the Galle Electoral District (which contains the Hiniduma Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (94.4%) [1]

Ethnicity in Hiniduma[1]

  Sinhalese (95.9%)
  Sri Lankan Tamil (2.8%)
  Indian Tamil (1.3%)
  Other (0.0%)

Religion edit

The Hiniduma Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (95.7%) . In comparison, the Galle Electoral District (which contains the Hiniduma Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (93.9%) [1]

Religion in Hiniduma[1]

  Buddhist (95.7%)
  Hindu (3.1%)
  Other (1.2%)

References edit

  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Hiniduma and the Galle Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Hiniduma and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Hiniduma and the Galle Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Hiniduma and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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