|Unsolved problem in physics:|
(more unsolved problems in physics)
The flyby anomaly is a discrepancy between current scientific models and the actual increase in speed (i.e. increase in kinetic energy) observed during a planetary flyby by a spacecraft. In multiple cases, spacecraft have been observed to gain greater speed than scientists have predicted and as yet no convincing explanation has been found. This anomaly has been observed as shifts in the S-band and X-band Doppler and ranging telemetry. Taken together, it causes a significant unaccounted velocity increase of up to 13 mm/s during flybys.
Gravitational assists are valuable techniques for Solar System exploration. Because the success of these flyby maneuvers depends on the geometry of the trajectory, the position and velocity of a spacecraft is continually tracked during its encounter with a planet by the Deep Space Network (DSN).
The flyby anomaly was first noticed during a careful inspection of DSN Doppler data shortly after the Earth flyby of the Galileo spacecraft on 8 December 1990. While the Doppler residuals (observed minus computed data) were expected to remain flat, the analysis revealed an unexpected 66 mHz shift, which corresponds to a velocity increase of 3.92 mm/s at perigee. Investigations of this effect at the Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL), the Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC) and the University of Texas have not yielded a satisfactory explanation. No anomaly was detected after the second Earth flyby of the Galileo spacecraft in December 1992, where the measured velocity decrease matched that expected from atmospheric drag at the lower altitude of 303 km. However, the drag estimates had large error bars, and so an anomalous acceleration could not be ruled out.
On 23 January 1998 the Near Earth Asteroid Rendezvous (NEAR) spacecraft experienced an anomalous velocity increase of 13.46 mm/s after its Earth encounter. Cassini–Huygens gained around 0.11 mm/s in August 1999, and Rosetta gained 1.82 mm/s after its Earth flyby in March 2005.
An analysis of the MESSENGER spacecraft (studying Mercury) did not reveal any significant unexpected velocity increase. This may be because MESSENGER both approached and departed Earth symmetrically about the equator (see data and proposed equation below). This suggests that the anomaly may be related to Earth's rotation.
In November 2009, ESA's Rosetta spacecraft was tracked closely during flyby in order to precisely measure its velocity, in an effort to gather further data about the anomaly, but no significant anomaly was found.
The 2013 flyby of Juno on the way to Jupiter yielded no anomalous acceleration.
In 2018, a careful analysis of the trajectory of the presumed interstellar asteroid ʻOumuamua revealed a small excess velocity as it receded from the Sun. Initial speculation suggested that the anomaly was due to outgassing, though none had been detected.
|Quantity||Galileo I||Galileo II||NEAR||Cassini||Rosetta-I||MESSENGER||Rosetta-II||Rosetta-III||Juno||Hayabusa 2||OSIRIS-REx|
|Speed at infinity, km/s||8.949||8.877||6.851||16.01||3.863||4.056||4.7|
|Speed at perigee, km/s||13.738||—||12.739||19.03||10.517||10.389||12.49||13.34||10.3||8.5|
|Impact parameter, km||11261||12850||8973||22680.49||22319|
|Minimal altitude, km||956||303||532||1172||1954||2336||5322||2483||561||3090||17237|
|Spacecraft mass, kg||2497.1||730.40||4612.1||2895.2||1085.6||2895||2895||~2720||590|
|Trajectory inclination to equator, degrees||142.9||138.9||108.8||25.4||144.9||133.1|
|Deflection angle, degrees||47.46||51.1||66.92||19.66||99.396||94.7||80|
|Speed increment at infinity, mm/s||3.92±0.08||−4.60±1.00||13.46±0.13||−2±1||1.82±0.05||0.02±0.01||~0||~0||0±0.8||?||?|
|Speed increment at perigee, mm/s||2.56±0.05||7.21±0.07||−1.7±0.9||0.67±0.02||0.008±0.004||~0||−0.004±0.044||?||?|
|Gained energy, J/kg||35.1±0.7||92.2±0.9||7.03±0.19||?||?|
Upcoming missions with Earth flybys include BepiColombo with its launch due in October 2018 and its Earth flyby due April 2020.
An empirical equation for the anomalous flyby velocity change was proposed by J. D. Anderson et al.:
where ωE is the angular frequency of the Earth, RE is the Earth radius, and φi and φo are the inbound and outbound equatorial angles of the spacecraft. This formula was derived later by Jean Paul Mbelek from special relativity, leading to one of the possible explanations of the effect. This does not, however, consider the SSN residuals – see "Possible explanations" below.
There have been a number of proposed explanations of the flyby anomaly, including:
- Unaccounted transverse Doppler effect—i.e. the redshift of light source with zero radial and non-zero tangential velocity. However, this cannot explain the similar anomaly in the ranging data.
- A dark-matter halo around Earth.
- A modification of inertia resulting from a Hubble-scale Casimir effect, related to the Unruh effect (MiHsC).
- The impact of general relativity, in its weak-field and linearized form yielding gravitoelectric and gravitomagnetic phenomena like frame-dragging, has been investigated as well: it turns out to be unable to account for the flyby anomaly.
- The classical time-retarded gravity explanation proposed by Joseph C. Hafele.
- Range-proportional excess delay of the telemetry signal revealed by the United States Space Surveillance Network range data in the NEAR flyby. This delay, accounting for the anomaly in both Doppler and range data, as well as the trailing Doppler oscillations, to within 10–20%, points to chirp modes in the reception due to the Doppler rate, predicting a positive anomaly only when the tracking by DSN is interrupted around perigee, and zero or negative anomaly if tracked continuously. No anomaly should occur in Doppler tracked by non-DSN stations.
- The action of a topological torsion current predicting flyby anomalies in retrograde direction, but null-effect when spacecrafts approach the planet in posigrade direction with respect to the planetary sense of rotation.
- The analysis of the Juno flyby looked at analysis errors that could potentially mimic the flyby anomaly. They found that a high precision gravity field (at least 50x50 degree/order) was needed for accurate flyby predictions. Use of a lower precision gravity field (10x10 degree/order, sufficient for launch analysis), would yield a 4.5 mm/sec velocity error.
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- C, Edwards, J. Anderson, P, Beyer, S. Bhaskaran, J. Borders, S. DiNardo, W. Folkner, R. Haw, S. Nandi, F. Nicholson, C. 0ttenhoff, S. Stephens (1993). "TRACKING GALILEO AT EARTH-2 PERIGEE USING THE TRACKING AND DATA RELAY SATELLITE SYSTEM". . The two [measurement] methods yielded similar fits to the data. Within an uncertainty of eight percent, both methods yielded a decrease in velocity along track of −5.9±0.2 mm/s. A priori predictions for the drag-induced velocity change, based on the Jacchia–Roberts model, were −6.2±4.O mm/s , clearly consistent with the observed velocity change. In contrast, DSN data from the December 1990 Earth flyby, at altitude 956 km, indicated an unexplained increase in along-track velocity of 4 mm/s, after accounting for the much smaller drag effects. Given the uncertainty in drag models, we cannot conclusively rule out the possibility that a similar increase occurred at Earth 2. For example, an unmodeled increase of 4 mm/s and a drag decrease of −10 mm/s would be compatible with our results and our a priori atmospheric model. Significantly larger anomalous velocity increases, however, would appear inconsistent with the drag model.
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