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2016 United States Senate election in North Carolina

The 2016 United States Senate election in North Carolina was held November 8, 2016 to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of North Carolina, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Primary elections were held March 15.[1]

United States Senate election in North Carolina, 2016

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  Richard Burr official portrait (cropped 2).jpg Deborah K Ross.jpg
Nominee Richard Burr Deborah K. Ross
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 2,395,376 2,128,165
Percentage 51.06% 45.37%

North Carolina Senate Election Results by County, 2016.svg
County Results

Burr      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

Ross      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

U.S. Senator before election

Richard Burr
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Richard Burr
Republican

Incumbent Republican Senator Richard Burr won re-election to a third term in office against Democratic former State Representative Deborah K. Ross and Libertarian Sean Haugh.

Republican primaryEdit

There had been speculation that Burr might retire,[2] but he said in September 2014 that he was "planning" on running[3] and reaffirmed this in January 2015.[4] If Burr had retired, the seat was expected to draw significant interest, with potential Republican candidates including U.S. Representatives George Holding, Mark Meadows, and Robert Pittenger, Labor Commissioner Cherie K. Berry, Lieutenant Governor Dan Forest, Agriculture Commissioner Steve Troxler, State Senator Philip E. Berger, and former Ambassador to Denmark James P. Cain.[2][3]

CandidatesEdit

DeclaredEdit

DeclinedEdit

PollingEdit

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Richard
Burr
Greg
Brannon
Paul
Wright
Larry
Holmquist
Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 11–13, 2016 749 ±3.6% 48% 20% 4% 3% 24%
High Point University March 9–10, 2016 734 ±2.5% 56% 20% 5% 3% 17%
SurveyUSA March 4–7, 2016 688 ±3.8% 45% 17% 7% 4% 27%
SurveyUSA February 14–16, 2016 437 ±2.8% 45% 14% 6% 6% 30%
Public Policy Polling February 14–16, 2016 597 ±4.0% 56% 13% 4% 3% 24%
High Point University January 30–February 4, 2016 477 ±4.5% 46% 10% 5% 2% 37%
Public Policy Polling January 18–19, 2016 433 ±3.2% 55% 10% 6% 5% 24%

ResultsEdit

Republican primary results[14]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Richard Burr(Incumbent) 622,074 61.41%
Republican Greg Brannon 255,030 25.17%
Republican Paul Wright 85,944 8.48%
Republican Larry Holmquist 50,010 4.94%
Total votes 1,013,058 100.00%

Democratic primaryEdit

CandidatesEdit

DeclaredEdit

DeclinedEdit

PollingEdit

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Kevin
Griffin
Ernest
Reeves
Chris
Rey
Deborah
Ross
Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 11–13, 2016 746 ±3.6% 4% 8% 8% 40% 41%
High Point University March 9–10, 2016 669 ±2.5% 9% 5% 7% 52% 27%
SurveyUSA March 4–7, 2016 687 ±3.8% 7% 6% 9% 34% 44%
SurveyUSA February 14–16, 2016 449 ±2.8% 7% 3% 5% 30% 55%
Public Policy Polling February 14–16, 2016 575 ±4.1% 10% 2% 10% 22% 55%
High Point University January 30–February 4, 2016 478 ±4.5% 6% 4% 5% 19% 66%
Public Policy Polling January 18–19, 2016 461 ±3.2% 14% 3% 10% 19% 55%
Public Policy Polling December 5–7, 2015 555 ±2.8% 15% - 5% 41% 39%
Public Policy Polling October 23–25, 2015 421 ±4.8% 16% - 6% 33% 45%

ResultsEdit

Democratic primary results[44]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Deborah Ross 614,414 62.32%
Democratic Chris Rey 162,869 16.52%
Democratic Kevin Griffin 115,618 11.73%
Democratic Ernest Reeves 93,005 9.43%
Total votes 985,906 100.00%

Libertarian primaryEdit

CandidatesEdit

DeclaredEdit

General electionEdit

CandidatesEdit

DebatesEdit

Dates Location Burr Ross Link
October 13, 2016 Chapel Hill, North Carolina Participant Participant Full debate - C-SPAN

EndorsementsEdit

Richard Burr
U.S. Presidents
U.S. Senators
Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers
Deborah Ross
Presidents
Vice Presidents
U.S. Cabinet members and Cabinet-level officials
U.S. Senators
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers

PredictionsEdit

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[76] Tossup November 2, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[77] Lean R November 7, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[78] Tossup October 21, 2016
Daily Kos[79] Tossup November 3, 2016
Real Clear Politics[80] Tossup November 3, 2016

PollingEdit

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Richard
Burr (R)
Deborah
Ross (D)
Sean
Haugh (L)
Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey November 1–7, 2016 3,126 ±4.6% 43% 47% 6% 4%
New York Times Upshot/Siena College November 4–6, 2016 800 ±3.5% 46% 45% 9%
Quinnipiac University November 3–6, 2016 870 ±3.3% 47% 47% 1% 4%
SurveyMonkey October 31–November 6, 2016 2,865 ±4.6% 44% 47% 6% 3%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing November 1–4, 2016 1,250 ±2.8% 47% 48% 5%
SurveyMonkey October 28–November 3, 2016 2,292 ±4.6% 44% 47% 6% 3%
SurveyMonkey October 27–November 2, 2016 1,886 ±4.6% 44% 47% 6% 3%
Public Policy Polling October 31–November 1, 2016 1,169 ±2.9% 48% 45% 7%
Quinnipiac University October 27–November 1, 2016 602 ±4.0% 45% 49% 1% 5%
SurveyMonkey October 26–November 1, 2016 1,617 ±4.6% 43% 47% 6% 4%
SurveyUSA October 28–31, 2016 659 ±3.9% 49% 43% 2% 6%
SurveyMonkey October 25–31, 2016 1,574 ±4.6% 43% 47% 7% 3%
CBS News/YouGov October 26–28, 2016 992 ±4.1% 44% 44% 1% 10%
Emerson College October 26–27, 2016 650 ±3.8% 48% 44% 3% 6%
Elon University Poll October 23–27, 2016 710 ±3.7% 44% 40% 3% 11%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing October 25–26, 2016 1,273 ±2.8% 45% 48% 7%
NBC/WSJ/Marist October 25–26, 2016 780 LV ±3.5% 48% 48% 2% 3%
1,018 RV ±3.1% 48% 46% 2% 4%
Quinnipiac University October 20–26, 2016 702 ±3.7% 48% 47% 5%
New York Times Upshot/Siena College October 20–23, 2016 792 ±3.5% 46% 47% 7%
Monmouth University October 20–23, 2016 402 ±4.9% 49% 43% 2% 5%
Public Policy Polling October 21–22, 2016 875 ±3.3% 42% 41% 6% 11%
The Times-Picayune/Lucid October 17–18, 2016 924 ±3.0% 46% 44% 10%
SurveyUSA October 14–18, 2016 651 ±3.9% 45% 43% 6% 6%
Civitas Institute (R) October 14–17, 2016 600 ±4.0% 44% 37% 4% 11%
Washington Post/SurveyMonkey October 8–16, 2016 1,191 ±0.5% 42% 48% 7% 3%
CNN/ORC October 10–15, 2016 788 LV ±3.5% 48% 47% 2%
929 RV ±3.0% 46% 49% 1% 2%
NBC/WSJ/Marist October 10–12, 2016 743 LV ±3.6% 46% 46% 2% 6%
1,025 RV ±3.1% 45% 46% 2% 7%
Emerson College October 10–12, 2016 600 ±3.9% 45% 43% 3% 8%
Suffolk University October 10–12, 2016 500 ±4.4% 40% 36% 6% 16%
NCSU Pack Poll October 3–6, 2016 895 ±3.0% 39% 49% 12% 0%
High Point University October 1–6, 2016 479 ±4.5% 47% 42% 6% 4%
SurveyUSA September 29–October 3, 2016 656 ±3.9% 46% 44% 3% 7%
Bloomberg/Selzer September 29–October 3, 2016 805 ±3.5% 44% 46% 11%
Quinnipiac University September 27–October 2, 2016 507 ±4.4% 46% 46% 7%
Elon University Poll September 27–30, 2016 660 ±3.8% 43% 44% 4% 8%
Public Policy Polling September 27–28, 2016 861 ±3.3% 41% 39% 6% 14%
46% 42% 12%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing September 23, 2016 694 ±3.7% 39% 48% 13%
Meredith College September 18–22, 2016 487 ±4.4% 35% 38% 1% 7% 19%
High Point University September 17–22, 2016 404 ±4.9% 45% 43% 4% 6%
FOX News September 18–20, 2016 734 LV ±3.5% 43% 37% 6% 12%
800 RV 42% 36% 7% 13%
Public Policy Polling September 18–20, 2016 1,024 ±3.1% 41% 41% 4% 15%
New York Times Upshot/Siena College September 16–19, 2016 782 ±3.6% 42% 46% 11%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner - Democracy Corps September 10–19, 2016 400 ±4.0% 46% 30% 3% 21%
Elon University Poll September 12–16, 2016 644 ±3.9% 43% 44% 4% 9%
Civitas Institute (R) September 11–12, 2016 600 ±4.0% 44% 39% 2% 15%
Suffolk University September 5–7, 2016 500 ±4.4% 41% 37% 4% 16%
Quinnipiac University August 29–September 7, 2016 751 ±3.6% 49% 43% 8%
CBS News/YouGov August 30–September 2, 2016 1,088 ±4.0% 40% 41% 2% 17%
Emerson College August 27–29, 2016 800 ±3.4% 45% 41% 5% 14%
Public Policy Polling August 26–27, 2016 1,177 ±3.0% 46% 43% 12%
Monmouth University August 20–23, 2016 401 ±4.9% 45% 43% 4% 8%
CNN/ORC August 18–23, 2016 803 ±3.5% 50% 45% 5%
NBC/WSJ/Marist August 4–10, 2016 921 ±3.2% 44% 46% 1% 9%
Public Policy Polling August 5–7, 2016 830 ±3.4% 41% 37% 5% 17%
NBC/WSJ/Marist July 5–11, 2016 907 ±3.3% 48% 41% 1% 10%
Public Policy Polling June 20–21, 2016 947 ±3.2% 40% 37% 5% 18%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner - Democracy Corps June 11–20, 2016 300 ±5.7% 36% 38% 26%
Public Policy Polling May 20–22, 2016 928 ±3.2% 39% 36% 8% 18%
Civitas Institute (R) April 23–25, 2016 600 ±4.0% 39% 38% 7% 16%
Public Policy Polling April 22–24, 2016 960 ±3.2% 40% 36% 7% 17%
Elon University Poll April 10–15, 2016 621 ±3.9% 37% 33% 30%
Public Policy Polling March 18–20, 2016 843 ±3.4% 40% 35% 7% 18%
High Point University March 9–10, 2016 1,576 ±2.5% 48% 41% 11%
SurveyUSA February 14–16, 2016 1,250 ±2.8% 45% 37% 18%
Public Policy Polling February 14–16, 2016 1,291 ±2.7% 43% 37% 20%
Public Policy Polling January 18–19, 2016 948 ±3.2% 43% 33% 23%
Public Policy Polling December 5–7, 2015 1,214 ±2.8% 46% 35% 19%
Public Policy Polling October 23–25, 2015 893 ±3.3% 43% 39% 18%
Public Policy Polling September 24–27, 2015 1,268 ±2.8% 45% 34% 21%
Public Policy Polling Aug 12–16, 2015 957 ±3.2% 43% 36% 21%

ResultsEdit

United States Senate election in North Carolina, 2016 [81]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Republican Richard Burr (incumbent) 2,395,376 51.06% -3.75%
Democratic Deborah Ross 2,128,165 45.37% +2.32%
Libertarian Sean Haugh 167,592 3.57% +1.48%
Total votes 4,691,133 100.0% N/A
Republican hold

See alsoEdit

ReferencesEdit

  1. ^ WRAL: North Carolina primaries officially on March 15 with signing Archived October 2, 2015, at the Wayback Machine
  2. ^ a b c d e Cahn, Emily (December 11, 2013). "Opportunities Now and Later in North Carolina". Roll Call. Retrieved December 11, 2013.
  3. ^ a b c d "Rumors Aside, Burr Says He'll Run Again". National Journal. September 15, 2014. Retrieved September 22, 2014.
  4. ^ "Sen. Burr confirms he will run in 2016". WNCN. January 6, 2015. Retrieved January 8, 2015.
  5. ^ Brannon, Greg (December 21, 2015). "WATCH as I officially file as a Republican candidate for the United States Senate!". Facebook. Retrieved December 21, 2015.
  6. ^ Campbell, Colin (December 21, 2015). "Republican Greg Brannon challenges Richard Burr in second Senate bid". The News & Observer. Retrieved December 21, 2015.
  7. ^ Johnson, Paul B. (September 23, 2015). "Triad Republican to challenge Burr in Senate primary". High Point Enterprise. Retrieved October 13, 2015.[permanent dead link]
  8. ^ Krueger, Sarah (September 24, 2015). "Larry Holmquist enters Senate race, challenging Richard Burr". WGHP. Retrieved October 13, 2015.
  9. ^ "Former judge Wright running for Burr's Senate seat". Asheville Citizen-Times. September 11, 2015. Retrieved September 12, 2015.
  10. ^ Clifton, Brant (June 27, 2015). "#NCSEN: Draft Mark Meadows for, um, SENATE ????". The Daily Haymaker. Retrieved June 28, 2015.
  11. ^ Wynne, John (June 26, 2015). "Best Week in NC Politics: Rep. Mark Meadows". PoliticsNC. Retrieved June 28, 2015.
  12. ^ "Draft effort underway for Mark Meadows for US Senate in NC". RedState. June 27, 2015. Retrieved June 28, 2015.
  13. ^ Barrett, Mark (December 1, 2015). "Mark Meadows files for third term". Asheville Citizen-Times. Retrieved December 3, 2015.
  14. ^ NC State Board of Elections
  15. ^ Leslie, Laura (October 15, 2015). "Durham businessman joining Dem field in US Senate race". WRAL-TV. Retrieved October 29, 2015.
  16. ^ "Candidate Listing" (PDF). North Carolina State Board of Elections. Retrieved December 21, 2015.[permanent dead link]
  17. ^ Woolverton, Paul (September 21, 2015). "Spring Lake Mayor Chris Rey announces run for US Senate". Fayetteville Observer. Retrieved September 21, 2015.
  18. ^ Burns, Matthew (October 14, 2015). "Ex-Wake lawmaker Ross enters US Senate race". WRAL-TV. Retrieved October 14, 2015.
  19. ^ a b c d e f g h i Cheney, Kyle (December 29, 2014). "16 in '16: The new battle for the Senate". Politico. Retrieved December 29, 2014.
  20. ^ a b c d Cahn, Emily (March 13, 2015). "Democrats Prep North Carolina Contingency Plan". Roll Call. Retrieved March 13, 2015.
  21. ^ a b c d Curliss, J. Andrew (March 29, 2015). "Sunday Dome: US Sen. Burr plans fight against... (insert name here)". The News & Observer. Retrieved June 18, 2015.
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  24. ^ Batts, Mat (December 17, 2015). "Group wants Cunningham to run in 8th District for Democrats". The Dispatch. Retrieved December 18, 2015.
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  28. ^ Matt Vasilogambros (April 29, 2013). "What You Need to Know About Obama Transportation Pick Anthony Foxx". National Journal. Archived from the original on September 26, 2013. Retrieved September 9, 2013.
  29. ^ Kelly Cohen (September 17, 2014). "Foxx won't run for Senate in 2016". The Washington Examiner. Retrieved October 2, 2014.
  30. ^ Cahn, Emily; Lesniewski, Niels (June 23, 2015). "Kay Hagan Won't Challenge Richard Burr in 2016". Roll Call. Retrieved June 23, 2015.
  31. ^ Bonner, Lynn (October 13, 2015). "NC Rep. Hall won't run for U.S. Senate". The News & Observer. Retrieved October 13, 2015.
  32. ^ "Candidates file to run for Durham county commissioners, DPS school board". The News & Observer. December 2, 2015. Retrieved December 3, 2015.
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  34. ^ Young, Wesley (September 9, 2015). "Joines announces plans to run for fifth term". Winston-Salem Journal. Retrieved September 10, 2015.
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  38. ^ Roarty, Alex (August 6, 2015). "Heath Shuler Is Exploring a North Carolina Senate Run". National Journal. Retrieved August 7, 2015.
  39. ^ Pathé, Simone (October 5, 2015). "Democrats Still Seek Strong Challenger to Burr in North Carolina". Roll Call. Retrieved October 7, 2015.
  40. ^ Roarty, Alex (June 24, 2015). "Hagan's Decision Leaves Democrats With Few Options in North Carolina". National Journal. Retrieved June 30, 2015.
  41. ^ Wuzzardo, Kevin (July 14, 2015). "Stein Off List of Potential Challengers to Sen. Burr". WWAY. Retrieved July 16, 2015.
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  43. ^ Wuzzardo, Kevin (May 4, 2015). "NC State Auditor Beth Wood Running for Re-election". WWAY. Retrieved August 31, 2015.
  44. ^ NC State Board of Elections
  45. ^ Ziggler, Jed (October 7, 2015). "Sean Haugh: "I Intend to Run for U.S. Senate as a Libertarian in North Carolina in 2016"". Independent Political Report. Retrieved October 13, 2015.
  46. ^ http://www.newsobserver.com/news/politics-government/election/article107530142.html
  47. ^ a b Jeffers, Gromer (October 4, 2016). "Ted Cruz, John Cornyn hosting Dallas fundraiser for U.S. Senate candidates". Dallas News. Retrieved October 7, 2016.
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  53. ^ a b c Din, Benjamin (October 26, 2016). "Elizabeth Warren Stumps for Hillary Clinton, Focuses on Senate Race in N.C." U.S. News & World Report. Retrieved October 29, 2016.
  54. ^ "NC-Sen: Joe Boden goes all in to help Deborah Ross (D) take back the Senate – Daily Kos". Daily Kos. November 2, 2016. Retrieved November 3, 2016.
  55. ^ "NV, NH, NC & PA-Sen: Sen. Barbara Boxer (D. CA) helps these women take back the U.S. Senate". Daily Kos. October 29, 2016. Retrieved November 2, 2016.
  56. ^ "IL, AZ, FL & NC-Sen: Sen. Sherrod Brown (D. OH) gives a grassroots boost to Dems in these races". Daily Kos. September 28, 2016. Retrieved November 3, 2016.
  57. ^ "Kirsten Gillibrand (D. NY) gives Deborah Ross' (D) campaign a boost". Daily Kos. September 2, 2016. Retrieved November 2, 2016.
  58. ^ Parks, Maryalice (October 26, 2016). "Bernie Sanders Is Trying to Be a Kingmaker in Key Congressional Races". ABC News. Retrieved October 29, 2016.
  59. ^ "Nags Head Mayor Bob Edwards is the latest to join Team Deborah". Deborah Ross for US Senate. December 23, 2015. Retrieved January 21, 2016.
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  61. ^ Press, Associated (January 19, 2016). "Ross, Cooper, Coleman get North Carolina AFL-CIO endorsement". WECT. Archived from the original on January 22, 2016. Retrieved January 21, 2016.
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  65. ^ Blatt, Hannah (February 25, 2016). "LCV Action Fund Endorses Deborah Ross for U.S. Senate". League of Conservation Voters. Archived from the original on February 26, 2016. Retrieved October 29, 2016.
  66. ^ McCarter, Joan (August 2, 2016). "North Carolina Democrat Deborah Ross wins key endorsement on support for Social Security, Medicare". Daily Kos. Retrieved October 29, 2016.
  67. ^ Easley, Cameron (September 20, 2016). "Bernie Sanders' Group Endorses Deborah Ross". Morning Consult. Retrieved October 29, 2016.
  68. ^ "Planned Parenthood Action Fund endorses Deborah Ross for U.S. Senate". March 7, 2016. Archived from the original on April 21, 2016. Retrieved October 29, 2016.
  69. ^ Letters (October 20, 2016). "Letter writer: Sierra Club endorses candidates in local elections". Mountain Xpress. Retrieved October 29, 2016.
  70. ^ "U.S. Women's Chamber of Commerce Endorses Deborah Ross for North Carolina U.S. Senate; an Experienced Leader Who Fights for North Carolina's Hard-Working Families". Digital Journal. October 13, 2016. Retrieved October 29, 2016.
  71. ^ "Our choice in North Carolina's U.S. Senate race". The Charlotte Observer. October 18, 2016. Retrieved October 29, 2016.
  72. ^ "Endorsements: Ross for U.S. Senate, Cooper for governor Change needed in Washington and Raleigh". The Charlotte Post. October 26, 2016. Archived from the original on October 29, 2016. Retrieved October 29, 2016.
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  74. ^ "North Carolina's chance for a fresh Senate voice". October 26, 2016. Retrieved October 29, 2016.
  75. ^ "Our Opinion: Deborah Ross for Senate". News & Record. October 24, 2016. Retrieved October 29, 2016.
  76. ^ "2016 Senate Race Ratings for September 9, 2016". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved November 3, 2016.
  77. ^ "2016 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved November 3, 2016.
  78. ^ "2016 Senate Ratings (September 2, 2016)". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 3, 2016.
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  81. ^ "North Carolina Official General Election Results". North Carolina State Board of Elections. November 8, 2016. Retrieved January 4, 2017.

External linksEdit