Opinion polls
editPost-filing
editThe following are results of surveys taken after candidates were confirmed by the Comelec.
- Note: Tables only include confirmed candidates of the Comelec.
BusinessWorld-Social Weather Stations
edit- Among the names found in this list, who will you probably vote for as PRESIDENT of the Philippines, if elections were held today?
| Person | 05-10 Dec '09[1] |
|---|---|
| Aquino | 46.2 |
| de los Reyes | 0.1 |
| Estrada | 16.0 |
| Gordon | 1.1 |
| Madrigal | 0.2 |
| Teodoro | 4.6 |
| Villanueva | 1.1 |
| Villar | 27.0 |
Notes:
- Sample: 2,100. The national estimate was obtained by using area estimates weighted by National Statistics Office medium-population projections for 2009.
- Margin of error: ±2.2%
Pulse Asia
edit- Of the people in this list, who would you vote for as PRESIDENT OF THE PHILIPPINES if the elections of 2010 were held today and they were presidential candidates?
| Person | 08-10 Dec '09[2] |
|---|---|
| Aquino | 45.0 |
| Estrada | 19.0 |
| Gordon | 1.0 |
| Teodoro | 5.0 |
| Villanueva | 1.0 |
| Villar | 23.0 |
| Others | 1.0 |
| None/Refused/Undecided | 4.0 |
Notes:
- Sample: Multistage probability sample of 1,800 representative adults 18 years old and above
- Margin of error: ±2%; 95% confidence level. Subnational estimates for the geographic areas covered in the survey have the following error margins at 95% confidence level: ±6% for Metro Manila, ±4% for the rest of Luzon and ±5% for each of Visayas and Mindanao.
- JC de los Reyes and Jamby Madrigal were not included in the December 2009 survey.
Pre-filing
editThe following are survey results before the deadline of CoC filing.
- Note: Figures assigned with "--" refers that the person either wasn't included among the choices or failed to crack the top positions in the poll.
Pulse Asia
edit- Pulse Asia: Of the people on this list, whom would you vote for as President of the Philippines if the elections were held today and they were presidential candidates?
| Person | 2/21-3/8/'08[3] | 7/1-14/'08[4] | 10/14-27/'08[5] | 5/7-5/14 '09[6] |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| De Castro, Noli | 21.5% | 22% | 18% | 18% |
| Estrada, Joseph | -- | 16% | 17% | 15% |
| Legarda, Loren | 17.5% | 14% | 13% | 7% |
| Escudero, Francis | 13% | 14% | 15% | 17% |
| Roxas, Mar | 10.5% | 8% | 6% | 13% |
| Lacson, Panfilo | 9.9% | 5% | 7% | 4% |
| Villar, Manny | 9.3% | 12% | 17% | 14% |
| No Answer Refused to answer Undecided |
6.8% | -- | -- | 5% |
| Estrada, Jinggoy | 3.3% | -- | -- | -- |
| Trillanes, Antonio IV | 3% | -- | -- | -- |
| Fernando, Bayani | 1.4% | 1% | 1% | |
| Binay, Jejomar | 1.2% | 2% | 1% | 4% |
| Villanueva, Eddie | -- | -- | 1% | 0.3% |
| Gordon, Richard | 0.7% | -- | -- | 1% |
| Esperon, Hermogenes | 0.4% | -- | -- | -- |
| Belmonte, Feliciano | 0.3% | -- | -- | -- |
| Teodoro, Gilbert | 0.3% | -- | -- | 1% |
| Puno, Ronaldo | -- | 0.2% | -- | 1% |
| Ermita, Eduardo | 0.1% | -- | -- | -- |
| Meloto, Antonio | 0.1% | -- | -- | -- |
| Eddie Panlilio | -- | -- | -- | 0.2% |
| Pangilinan, Kiko | -- | -- | -- | 1% |
| Velarde, Mike | -- | -- | -- | 0.3% |
Notes:
- Sample: 1,200, with 300 each for Metro Manila, rest of Luzon, Visayas and Mindanao.
- Margin of error: ±3% for national percentages and ±6% for area percentages
Social Weather Stations
edit- Social Weather Stations: Under the present Constitution, the term of Pres. Arroyo is only up to the year 2010, and there will be an election for President in May 2010. Who in your opinion are the good leaders who should succeed President Arroyo as President?
| Person | Sep '07[7] | Dec '07[7] | Mar '08 | Jun '08 | Nov '08[8] | Dec '08[9] | Mar '09[10] | Jun '09[11] | Sep '09[12] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aquino, Benigno III | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 60% |
| Cayetano, Alan Peter | 1% | 3% | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Binay, Jejomar | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 1% | 4% | 2% |
| De Castro, Noli | 25% | 30% | 35% | 31% | 29% | 31% | 27% | 19% | 8% |
| Estrada, Joseph | 5% | 9% | 14% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 13% | 25% | 18% |
| Escudero, Francis | 13% | 15% | 19% | 14% | 16% | 19% | 23% | 20% | 15% |
| Estrada, Jinggoy | 1% | 2% | -- | -- | 1% | -- | 1% | -- | -- |
| Fernando, Bayani | 5% | 9% | 14% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 13% | -- | 1% |
| Gordon, Richard | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 1% | -- | -- |
| Lacson, Panfilo | 18% | 13% | 12% | 16% | 17% | 14% | 14% | 7% | 2% |
| Legarda, Loren | 44% | 23% | 30% | 26% | 26% | 28% | 25% | 15% | 5% |
| Pangilinan, Francis | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | -- | -- |
| Ramon Revilla | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 1% | -- | -- |
| Roxas, Mar | 9% | 20% | 16% | 13% | 13% | 10% | 15% | 20% | 12% |
| Santiago, Miriam | 3% | 4% | -- | -- | 1% | 1% | 4% | -- | -- |
| Trillanes, Antonio IV | 4% | 3% | -- | -- | 1% | 1% | -- | -- | -- |
| Villar, Manny | 18% | 27% | 17% | 25% | 28% | 27% | 26% | 33% | 37% |
| Don't know | 12% | 12% | 11% | 15% | 9% | 7% | 13% | 7% | 6% |
| Not sure/None | 6% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 12% | 7% | 18% | 4% |
- Participants were allowed to choose up to three persons, hence the numbers would exceed 100%.
- Responses below 2% were excluded.
- Sample: 1,200, with 300 each for Metro Manila, rest of Luzon, Visayas and Mindanao.
- Margin of error: ±3% for national percentages and ±6% for area percentages[15]
- ^ {{cite news|title=BusinessWorld-SWS December 5-10, 2009 Pre-Election Survey |url=http://www.sws.org.ph/pr091222.htm
- ^ {{cite news|title=Pulse Asia's December 2009 Pre-election Survey |url=http://pulseasia.com.ph/pulseasia/story.asp?ID=702
- ^ De Castro is top bet for 2010 polls, Inquirer.net
- ^ abs-cbnnews.com, Erap back in public mind for 2010 polls
- ^ "Pulse Asia: No clear '10 choice". Malaya. Retrieved 2009-01-06.
- ^ http://www.pulseasia.com.ph/resources/photos/table1_2010El_0905.gif
- ^ a b Social Weather Stations
- ^ abs-cbnnews.com, VP de Castro still top presidentiable -- SWS survey
- ^ Survey: De Castro top choice for 2010, Philippine Daily Inquirer, 01/13/2009.
- ^ Noli, Villar, Loren, Chiz top SWS survey on Arroyo successor, GMANews.tv
- ^ Cite error: The named reference
20090722swswas invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
20091014swswas invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ SWS: De Castro, 3 others are top 2010 bets, ABS-CBNNews.com
- ^ sws.org.ph, Second Quarter 2008 Social Weather Survey: Noli De Castro, Loren Legarda, and Manny Villar are the people's top recommendees for 2010
- ^ www.sws.org, Table 1
