2010 United States Senate election in Oregon

2010 United States Senate election in Oregon
	County results ; Wyden: 40-50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% ; Huffman: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70%
U.S. senator before election; Ron Wyden; Democratic	Elected U.S. Senator ; Ron Wyden; Democratic

The 2010 United States Senate election in Oregon was held on November 2, 2010, alongside other elections to the United States Senate in other states, as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Ron Wyden won re-election to a third full term by a landslide margin of 18 points, despite the national Republican midterm wave. As of 2022, this is the only senate election since 1998 in which Deschutes County has not supported the Democratic candidate (albeit by a plurality).

Democratic primary

Candidates

Pavel Goberman, fitness instructor and mentalist, perennial candidate^[1]
Loren Hooker, farmer^[1]
Ron Wyden, incumbent U.S. Senator

Polling

Poll source	Dates administered	Ron Wyden	Loren Hooker	Pavel Goberman	Undecided
Survey USA^[2]	May 7–9, 2010	80%	9%	4%	8%

Results

Oregon Democratic U.S. Senate primary results^[3]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Ronald Wyden (Incumbent)	323,652	89.55%
	Democratic	Loren Hooker	25,152	6.75%
	Democratic	Pavel Goberman	9,985	2.68%
	Democratic	Write Ins	3,782	1.02%
Total votes			376,353	100.00%

Republican primary

Candidates

Shane Dinkel, U.S. Army officer and farm worker^[1]
Jim Huffman, Lewis & Clark Law School law professor^[4]
Loren Later, businessman^[1]
Robin Parker, businessman^[1]
Thomas Stutzman, real estate broker^[1]
Keith Waldron, farmer and truck driver^[1]
Walter Woodland, woodworker^[1]

Polling

Poll source	Dates administered	Jim Huffman	Thomas Stutzman	Keith Waldron	Robin Parker	Undecided
Survey USA^[2]	May 7–9, 2010	20%	11%	9%	6%	43%

Results

Results by county

Huffman

20–30%
30–40%
40–50%
50–60%
60–70%

Dinkel

20–30%

Oregon Republican U.S. Senate primary results^[3]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Jim Huffman	110,450	41.70
	Republican	Loren Later	39,753	15.01
	Republican	G. Shane Dinkel	36,760	13.88
	Republican	Thomas Stutzman	31,859	12.03
	Republican	Keith Waldron	24,602	9.29
	Republican	Robin Parker	14,637	5.53
	Republican	Walter Woodland	4,417	1.67
		Miscellaneous	2,363	0.89
Total votes			264,841	100

General election

Candidates

Bruce Cronk (Working Families), retired electrician^[5]
Marc Delphine (Libertarian), financial planner and LGBT and Tea Party activist^[5]^[6]
Jim Huffman (Republican), Lewis & Clark Law School law professor^[5]
Rick Staggenborg (Progressive), physician and founder of Soldiers For Peace^[5]
Ron Wyden (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Senator^[5]

Campaign

Wyden, a popular incumbent with a 52% approval rating in a July poll,^[7] touted bipartisanship and promised to hold town-hall meetings annually in each of Oregon's 36 counties and to open offices outside of Portland and Salem.^[8] A Survey USA poll taken a few days before the election showed that 23% of Republicans supported Wyden.^[9]

Huffman, widely considered as an underdog, financed his own campaign. He defended bonuses for Wall Street executives and questioned global warming.^[10]

Debates

The first debate took place on October 21, 2010, in Medford, Oregon and was broadcast by KOBI-TV. Only the two major-party candidates, Huffman and Wyden, participated in the debate.^[11] The second debate, which was hosted by the City Club of Portland at the Governor Hotel, took place on October 22. The debate played live on KOIN and re-aired on Oregon Public Broadcasting later that night.^[12]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
Cook Political Report^[13]	Solid D	October 26, 2010
Rothenberg^[14]	Safe D	October 22, 2010
RealClearPolitics^[15]	Likely D	October 26, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[16]	Safe D	October 21, 2010
CQ Politics^[17]	Safe D	October 26, 2010

Polling

Poll source	Dates administered	Jim Huffman (R)	Ron Wyden (D)
Rasmussen Reports^[18]	February 16, 2010	35%	49%
Rasmussen Reports^[19]	May 24, 2010	38%	51%
Survey USA^[20]	June 7–9, 2010	38%	51%
Rasmussen Reports^[21]	June 17, 2010	37%	47%
Davis, Hibbits and Midghall^[22]	June 21, 2010	32%	50%
Rasmussen Reports^[23]	July 26, 2010	35%	51%
Survey USA^[24]	July 25–27, 2010	35%	53%
Rasmussen Reports^[25]	August 22, 2010	36%	56%
Rasmussen Reports^[26]	September 8, 2010	35%	53%
Survey USA^[27]	September 12–14, 2010	38%	54%
Rasmussen Reports^[28]	October 10, 2010	36%	52%
Survey USA^[29]	October 12–14, 2010	34%	56%
Public Policy Polling^[30]	October 17, 2010	40%	56%
Rasmussen Reports^[28]	October 25, 2010	42%	53%
Survey USA^[31]	October 23–28, 2010	32%	57%

Fundraising

Candidate (party)	Receipts	Disbursements	Cash on hand	Debt
Ron Wyden (D)	$5,529,660	$4,820,297	$1,827,374	$0
James Huffman (R)	$2,227,784	$1,576,662	$651,118	$1,350,000
Marc Delphine (L)	$4,728	$4,805	$221	$0
Source: Federal Election Commission^[32]

Results

General election results^[33]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Ronald Wyden (Incumbent)	825,507	57.22%
	Republican	Jim Huffman	566,199	39.25%
	Working Families	Bruce Cronk	18,940	1.31%
	Libertarian	Marc Delphine	16,028	1.11%
	Progressive	Rick Staggenborg	14,466	1.00%
	Write-In		1,448	0.10%
Total votes			1,442,588	100.0%
	Democratic hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Baker (largest city: Baker City)
Crook (largest city: Prineville)
Curry (largest city: Brookings)
Douglas (largest city: Roseburg)
Deschutes (largest city: Bend)
Jefferson (largest city: Madras)
Josephine (largest city: Grants Pass)
Klamath (largest city: Klamath Falls)
Lake (largest city: Lakeview)
Linn (largest city: Albany)
Morrow (largest city: Boardman)
Sherman (largest city: Wasco)
Umatilla (largest city: Hermiston)
Union (largest city: La Grande)
Wallowa (largest city: Enterprise)
Wheeler (largest city: Fossil)

References

^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h "Candidate Filings, United States Senate election". Oregon Secretary of State. Retrieved February 12, 2010.
^ ^a ^b Survey USA
^ ^a ^b "Official Results May 2010 Primary Election". sos.oregon.gov. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
^ Mapes, Jeff (March 4, 2010). "Lewis & Clark law professor Jim Huffman announces run against Oregon Sen. Ron Wyden". The Oregonian. Retrieved March 5, 2010.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e "Candidate Filings, Governor (2010 General Election)". Oregon Secretary of State. Retrieved September 13, 2010.
^ "Etsy - Your place to buy and sell all things handmade, vintage, and supplies". Archived from the original on July 14, 2011. Retrieved November 3, 2010.
^ "SurveyUSA News Poll #16824".
^ http://www.statesmanjournal.com/article/20101028/NEWS/10280337/1001/news#ixzz14WlSG8xm ^{[permanent dead link]}
^ "SurveyUSA Election Poll #17610".
^ Duara, Nigel (November 3, 2010). "Ore. Democrat holds Senate seat against professor". The Washington Post.
^ "Wyden, challenger debate tonight". The Mail Tribune. Southern Oregon Media Group. October 21, 2010. Retrieved October 21, 2010.
^ Graves, Bill (October 8, 2010). "Challenger Jim Huffman champions limited government in quest to unseat Ron Wyden". The Oregonian. Oregon Live LLC. Retrieved October 21, 2010.
^ "Senate". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
^ "Senate Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
^ "Battle for the Senate". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
^ "2010 Senate Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
^ "Race Ratings Chart: Senate". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
^ Rasmussen Reports
^ Rasmussen Reports
^ Survey USA
^ Rasmussen Reports
^ Davis, Hibbits and Midghall
^ Rasmussen Reports
^ Survey USA
^ Rasmussen Reports
^ Rasmussen Reports
^ Survey USA
^ ^a ^b Rasmussen Reports
^ Survey USA
^ Public Policy Polling
^ Survey USA
^ "2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Oregon". fec.gov. Retrieved July 25, 2010. ^{[permanent dead link]}
^ "November 2, 2010, General Election Abstracts of Votes". Oregon Secretary of State. Retrieved December 3, 2010.

External links

Elections Division of the Oregon Secretary of State
U.S. Congress candidates for Oregon at Project Vote Smart
Oregon U.S. Senate 2010 from OurCampaigns.com
Campaign contributions from Open Secrets
2010 Oregon Senate General Election: Jim Huffman (R) vs Ron Wyden (D) graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
Election 2010: Oregon Senate from Rasmussen Reports
2010 Oregon Senate Race from Real Clear Politics
2010 Oregon Senate Race from CQ Politics
Race profile from The New York Times

Official campaign websites

Bruce Cronk for U.S. Senate
Marc Delphine for U.S. Senate Archived March 6, 2010, at the Wayback Machine
Jim Huffman for U.S. Senate
Ron Wyden for U.S. Senate

[sos-1] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h "Candidate Filings, United States Senate election". Oregon Secretary of State. Retrieved February 12, 2010.

[Survey_USA-2] Survey USA

[state1-3] "Official Results May 2010 Primary Election". sos.oregon.gov. Retrieved June 14, 2010.

[huff-4] Mapes, Jeff (March 4, 2010). "Lewis & Clark law professor Jim Huffman announces run against Oregon Sen. Ron Wyden". The Oregonian. Retrieved March 5, 2010.

[sosgen-5] "Candidate Filings, Governor (2010 General Election)". Oregon Secretary of State. Retrieved September 13, 2010.

[6] "Etsy - Your place to buy and sell all things handmade, vintage, and supplies". Archived from the original on July 14, 2011. Retrieved November 3, 2010.

[7] "SurveyUSA News Poll #16824".

[8] ttp://www.statesmanjournal.com/article/20101028/NEWS/10280337/1001/news#ixzz14WlSG8xm ^{[permanent dead link]}

[9] "SurveyUSA Election Poll #17610".

[10] Duara, Nigel (November 3, 2010). "Ore. Democrat holds Senate seat against professor". The Washington Post.

[11] "Wyden, challenger debate tonight". The Mail Tribune. Southern Oregon Media Group. October 21, 2010. Retrieved October 21, 2010.

[12] Graves, Bill (October 8, 2010). "Challenger Jim Huffman champions limited government in quest to unseat Ron Wyden". The Oregonian. Oregon Live LLC. Retrieved October 21, 2010.

[13] "Senate". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 26, 2010.

[14] "Senate Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 26, 2010.

[15] "Battle for the Senate". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 26, 2010.

[16] "2010 Senate Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 26, 2010.

[17] "Race Ratings Chart: Senate". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 26, 2010.

[18] Rasmussen Reports

[19] Rasmussen Reports

[20] Survey USA

[21] Rasmussen Reports

[22] Davis, Hibbits and Midghall

[23] Rasmussen Reports

[24] Survey USA

[25] Rasmussen Reports

[26] Rasmussen Reports

[27] Survey USA

[Rasmussen_Reports-28] Rasmussen Reports

[29] Survey USA

[30] Public Policy Polling

[31] Survey USA

[32] "2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Oregon". fec.gov. Retrieved July 25, 2010. ^{[permanent dead link]}

[33] "November 2, 2010, General Election Abstracts of Votes". Oregon Secretary of State. Retrieved December 3, 2010.

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