Unit root test

In statistics, a unit root test tests whether a time series variable is non-stationary and possesses a unit root. The null hypothesis is generally defined as the presence of a unit root and the alternative hypothesis is either stationarity, trend stationarity or explosive root depending on the test used.

General approachEdit

In general, the approach to unit root testing implicitly assumes that the time series to be tested   can be written as,

 

where,

  •   is the deterministic component (trend, seasonal component, etc.)
  •   is the stochastic component.
  •   is the stationary error process.

The task of the test is to determine whether the stochastic component contains a unit root or is stationary.[1]

Main testsEdit

Other popular tests include:

Unit root tests are closely linked to serial correlation tests. However, while all processes with a unit root will exhibit serial correlation, not all serially correlated time series will have a unit root. Popular serial correlation tests include:

NotesEdit

  1. ^ Kočenda, Evžen; Alexandr, Černý (2014), Elements of Time Series Econometrics: An Applied Approach, Karolinum Press, p. 66, ISBN 978-80-246-2315-3.
  2. ^ Dickey, D. A.; Fuller, W. A. (1979). "Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root". Journal of the American Statistical Association. 74 (366a): 427–431. doi:10.1080/01621459.1979.10482531.

ReferencesEdit