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Opinion polling for the 2015 United Kingdom general election

Polling results for the 2015 UK General Election, compared to the actual result

In the run up to the general election on 7 May 2015, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules.

The date range for these opinion polls is from 6 May 2010 (the date of the previous general election) to 7 May 2015.

Most opinion polls cover only Great Britain (England, Scotland and Wales). Separate polls covering constituent countries of the UK and English regions are reported further below while polling of individual constituencies and groups of them (such as groups of marginals) is covered in a separate article.

In the event, the actual results proved to be rather different from those indicated by the opinion polls. Opinion polls conducted in the last few months of the campaign, and even in the last few days, had indicated a very close result between the Conservatives and Labour in terms of numbers of votes, suggesting that one of the main parties would have to form a perhaps complex coalition with smaller parties in order to govern.

However the actual results showed a stronger performance by the Conservatives, which gave them an overall majority, since Labour also had a weaker performance than the polls had suggested.[1][2][3] When the exit poll was initially presented, some commentators and politicians doubted it, with Paddy Ashdown even declaring "If this poll is correct I will publicly eat my hat on your programme" in response to the apparently poor results for the Liberal Democrats.[4] The exit poll was eventually proved to have in fact overestimated the Liberal Democrats' performance. If the Survation telephone poll (6 May) had been published it would have produced results within 1% of the election results.

Contents

Graphical summaryEdit

 
15-day average trend line of poll results from 6 May 2010 to 7 May 2015, with each line corresponding to a political party.
  Labour Party
  Conservative Party
  Liberal Democrats
  UK Independence Party
  Green Party

The chart shows the relative state of the parties from 13 May 2010 to 7 May 2015, with each line's colour corresponding to a political party: red for the Labour Party, blue for the Conservative Party, purple for the UK Independence Party, yellow for the Liberal Democrats, and green for the combined Green Party of England and Wales and Scottish Green Party. While not shown here, other parties have on occasion polled higher than one or more of the parties represented, for example in the Lord Ashcroft poll conducted on 17–19 April 2015, where the Scottish National Party polled 6% and the Greens 4%.[5] Each dot represents a party's results from an opinion poll displayed in the table below.

Poll resultsEdit

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order.[6] The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. The 'party lead' column shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. In the instance of a tie, no figure is shaded but both are displayed in bold.

Throughout the 2010-2015 parliament, first and second places have without exception alternated between the Conservatives and Labour. The Liberal Democrats and the UK Independence Party have tended to hold either third or fourth place in each individual poll. The combined Green parties of England and Wales and Scotland have most frequently polled fifth and have on occasions polled fourth – level with or ahead of the UK Independence Party or the Liberal Democrats. Included in the 'others' column are other smaller parties, the largest of which (by votes at the 2010 general election) are the British National Party, the Scottish National Party and Plaid Cymru. Detailed poll results that break down 'others' for some dates in 2014 and 2010 are available in a second table, below.

2015Edit

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab Lib Dem UKIP Green Others Lead
7 May General Election results (GB only)[7][8] 37.8% 31.2% 8.1% 12.9% 3.8% 6.3% 6.6%
5–7 May Populus[9] 3,917 34% 34% 9% 13% 5% 6% Tie
6 May Survation[10](unpublished) 1,045 37% 31% 10% 11% 5% 6% 6%
30 Apr–6 May SurveyMonkey[11] 18,131 34% 28% 7% 13% 8% 9% 6%
5–6 May Lord Ashcroft 3,028 33% 33% 10% 11% 6% 8% Tie
5–6 May Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,186 36% 35% 8% 11% 5% 5% 1%
4–6 May YouGov/The Sun 10,307 34% 34% 10% 12% 4% 6% Tie
5–6 May ComRes/Daily Mail, ITV News 1,007 35% 34% 9% 12% 4% 6% 1%
4–6 May Survation/Daily Mirror[n 1] 4,088 31% 31% 10% 16% 5% 7% Tie
3–6 May ICM/The Guardian[n 2] 2,023 34% 35% 9% 11% 4% 7% 1%
3–6 May ICM/The Guardian[n 3] 1,560 35% 35% 9% 11% 3% 7% Tie
1–6 May Panelbase[12] 3,019 31% 33% 8% 16% 5% 7% 2%
4–5 May Opinium 2,960 35% 34% 8% 12% 6% 5% 1%
4–5 May YouGov/The Sun 2,148 34% 34% 9% 12% 5% 6% Tie
4–5 May Survation/Daily Mirror 1,504 33% 34% 9% 16% 4% 4% 1%
3–5 May ComRes/Daily Mail, ITV News 1,011 35% 32% 9% 14% 4% 6% 3%
3–5 May BMG/May2015.com, New Statesman 1,009 34% 34% 10% 12% 4% 6% Tie
3–4 May YouGov/The Sun 1,664 33% 33% 10% 12% 5% 6% Tie
30 Apr–4 May TNS 1,185 33% 32% 8% 14% 6% 6% 1%
2–3 May YouGov/The Sun 1,789 34% 33% 9% 12% 5% 7% 1%
1–3 May Lord Ashcroft 1,001 32% 30% 11% 12% 7% 9% 2%
1–3 May Populus 2,054 34% 34% 10% 13% 5% 5% Tie
1–2 May YouGov/Sunday Times 1,967 34% 33% 8% 13% 5% 7% 1%
1–2 May Survation/Mail on Sunday 2,128 31% 34% 8% 17% 4% 6% 3%
30 Apr–1 May YouGov/The Sun 1,575 33% 34% 8% 14% 5% 5% 1%
30 Apr–1 May Survation/Daily Mirror 1,117 33% 34% 9% 16% 3% 5% 1%
30 Apr Question Time featuring David Cameron, Nick Clegg and Ed Miliband broadcast on BBC One;
Ask Nicola Sturgeon, Ask Leanne Wood and Ask Nigel Farage programmes also shown
29–30 Apr YouGov/Sun on Sunday 1,970 34% 35% 9% 12% 5% 6% 1%
29–30 Apr Populus 2,016 33% 33% 9% 15% 4% 5% Tie
29–30 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,729 34% 35% 8% 12% 5% 6% 1%
29–30 Apr Panelbase 1,020 32% 34% 8% 17% 4% 7% 2%
28–30 Apr ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror 1,002 33% 33% 8% 13% 7% 6% Tie
28–30 Apr Opinium/The Observer 1,956 35% 34% 8% 13% 5% 5% 1%
28–29 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,823 35% 34% 9% 12% 4% 6% 1%
26–29 Apr Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,010 35% 30% 8% 10% 8% 9% 5%
27–28 Apr ComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail 1,005 35% 35% 7% 11% 6% 6% Tie
27–28 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,749 34% 35% 9% 12% 4% 6% 1%
26–27 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,127 35% 34% 9% 12% 5% 6% 1%
25–27 Apr BMG/May2015.com[13] 1,013 35% 32% 11% 14% 3% 5% 3%
23–27 Apr TNS 1,186 34% 33% 7% 15% 5% 5% 1%
25–26 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,096 33% 34% 8% 14% 5% 6% 1%
24–26 Apr Lord Ashcroft 1,003 36% 30% 9% 11% 7% 7% 6%
24–26 Apr ICM/The Guardian 1,004 35% 32% 9% 13% 5% 6% 3%
24–26 Apr Populus 2,072 33% 36% 8% 14% 5% 4% 3%
24–25 Apr YouGov/Sunday Times 2,271 32% 34% 9% 14% 6% 5% 2%
24–25 Apr Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,004 33% 30% 9% 18% 4% 6% 3%
23–24 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,594 33% 35% 8% 13% 6% 5% 2%
21–24 Apr Opinium/The Observer 1,964 34% 33% 9% 13% 6% 5% 1%
22–23 Apr Populus 2,051 32% 35% 8% 14% 5% 6% 3%
22–23 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,834 33% 35% 8% 13% 6% 6% 2%
22–23 Apr Survation/Daily Mirror 1,205 33% 29% 10% 18% 4% 6% 4%
21–23 Apr Panelbase 1,012 31% 34% 7% 17% 4% 7% 3%
21–22 Apr ComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail 1,003 36% 32% 8% 10% 5% 9% 4%
21–22 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,060 33% 34% 7% 14% 5% 6% 1%
20–21 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,799 35% 34% 7% 13% 5% 6% 1%
19–20 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,078 34% 35% 7% 13% 5% 6% 1%
16–20 Apr TNS 1,199 32% 34% 8% 15% 5% 6% 2%
18–19 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,675 34% 35% 8% 13% 5% 6% 1%
17–19 Apr Lord Ashcroft 1,002 34% 30% 10% 13% 4% 9% 4%
17–19 Apr Populus 2,048 32% 34% 9% 15% 4% 6% 2%
17–19 Apr ICM/The Guardian 1,003 34% 32% 10% 11% 5% 8% 2%
17–18 Apr YouGov/Sunday Times 1,780 33% 36% 8% 13% 5% 5% 3%
16–17 Apr Opinium/The Observer 1,955 36% 32% 8% 13% 5% 6% 4%
16–17 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,713 34% 34% 9% 14% 5% 5% Tie
16–17 Apr Survation/Daily Mirror 1,314 34% 33% 7% 17% 3% 6% 1%
16 Apr Five-way Opposition Leaders' Debate held on BBC One
15–16 Apr Populus 2,048 33% 34% 9% 14% 4% 5% 1%
15–16 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,939 34% 34% 7% 14% 5% 6% Tie
14–16 Apr Panelbase 1,025 33% 34% 8% 16% 4% 5% 1%
14–15 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,894 34% 35% 8% 13% 5% 6% 1%
12–15 Apr Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,000 33% 35% 7% 10% 8% 7% 2%
13–14 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,842 33% 35% 8% 13% 5% 6% 2%
12–13 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,444 33% 34% 8% 13% 6% 5% 1%
9–13 Apr TNS 1,192 34% 32% 9% 14% 5% 6% 2%
11–12 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,717 33% 36% 7% 13% 5% 6% 3%
10–12 Apr Lord Ashcroft 1,003 33% 33% 9% 13% 6% 8% Tie
10–12 Apr ICM/The Guardian 1,042 39% 33% 8% 7% 7% 5% 6%
10–12 Apr Populus 2,036 33% 33% 8% 15% 5% 6% Tie
10–11 Apr YouGov/Sunday Times 1,887 34% 34% 7% 13% 6% 6% Tie
9–10 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,782 33% 35% 8% 13% 5% 5% 2%
8–9 Apr Opinium/The Observer 1,916 36% 34% 7% 11% 6% 6% 2%
8–9 Apr Populus 2,020 31% 33% 8% 16% 6% 7% 2%
8–9 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,938 35% 34% 8% 12% 4% 6% 1%
8–9 Apr Survation/Daily Mirror 1,111 31% 35% 9% 15% 4% 6% 4%
7–9 Apr Panelbase 1,013 31% 37% 8% 16% 4% 4% 6%
7–8 Apr ComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail 1,013 34% 33% 12% 12% 4% 6% 1%
7–8 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,871 34% 35% 8% 13% 5% 5% 1%
6–7 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,672 33% 35% 8% 14% 5% 5% 2%
2–7 Apr TNS 1,207 30% 33% 8% 19% 4% 7% 3%
2–6 Apr Populus 2,008 31% 33% 10% 15% 4% 7% 2%
3–4 Apr YouGov/Sunday Times 1,906 34% 33% 10% 13% 4% 6% 1%
2–3 Apr Opinium/The Observer 1,974 33% 33% 7% 14% 7% 5% Tie
2–3 Apr Survation/Daily Mirror 1,207 31% 33% 9% 18% 3% 6% 2%
2 Apr Seven-way Leaders' Debate on ITV
1–2 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,583 37% 35% 7% 12% 5% 4% 2%
31 Mar–2 Apr Panelbase 1,006 33% 33% 7% 17% 5% 5% Tie
31 Mar–1 Apr Populus 2,057 32% 34% 9% 15% 5% 5% 2%
31 Mar–1 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,678 36% 34% 8% 13% 4% 5% 2%
30–31 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,566 35% 36% 7% 12% 5% 5% 1%
30 Mar Dissolution of Parliament and the official start of the election campaign
29–30 Mar YouGov/The Sun 2,001 35% 35% 8% 12% 5% 5% Tie
26–30 Mar TNS 1,197 33% 32% 8% 16% 5% 7% 1%
28–29 Mar ComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail 1,005 36% 32% 9% 12% 5% 7% 4%
27–29 Mar Lord Ashcroft 1,004 36% 34% 6% 10% 7% 6% 2%
27–29 Mar Populus 2,004 34% 34% 8% 15% 4% 5% Tie
27–28 Mar YouGov/Sunday Times 1,799 32% 36% 8% 13% 6% 5% 4%
26 Mar First TV election interview by Jeremy Paxman with David Cameron and Ed Miliband on Sky and Channel 4
25–26 Mar Populus 2,049 31% 33% 9% 16% 5% 6% 2%
25–26 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,698 36% 34% 7% 13% 5% 5% 2%
24–26 Mar Panelbase 1,007 34% 34% 5% 15% 6% 6% Tie
24–25 Mar Opinium/The Observer 1,959 34% 33% 8% 13% 7% 3% 1%
24–25 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,610 34% 35% 8% 12% 6% 5% 1%
24–25 Mar Survation/Daily Mirror 1,007 32% 33% 8% 18% 4% 5% 1%
23–24 Mar YouGov/The Sun 2,006 35% 35% 8% 12% 6% 4% Tie
22–23 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,641 34% 34% 8% 12% 6% 5% Tie
18–23 Mar YouGov/The Times 8,271 34% 33% 8% 14% 5% 6% 1%
20–22 Mar ComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail 1,001 35% 35% 8% 10% 7% 6% Tie
20–22 Mar Lord Ashcroft 1,003 33% 33% 8% 12% 5% 9% Tie
20–22 Mar Populus 2,035 31% 33% 9% 16% 5% 5% 2%
20–21 Mar Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,008 30% 34% 10% 17% 3% 6% 4%
19–20 Mar YouGov/Sunday Times 1,532 33% 35% 8% 14% 5% 5% 2%
18–19 Mar Opinium/The Observer 1,979 36% 33% 7% 14% 6% 4% 3%
18–19 Mar Populus 2,020 31% 34% 9% 17% 5% 4% 3%
18–19 Mar YouGov/The Sun 2,293 35% 33% 8% 13% 6% 5% 2%
17–18 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,752 33% 34% 8% 14% 6% 5% 1%
16–17 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,830 34% 36% 7% 12% 6% 5% 2%
15–16 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,683 33% 35% 7% 13% 7% 5% 2%
13–16 Mar TNS 1,188 33% 32% 7% 17% 4% 7% 1%
13–15 Mar Lord Ashcroft 1,002 31% 29% 8% 15% 8% 9% 2%
13–15 Mar ICM/The Guardian 1,001 36% 35% 8% 9% 4% 8% 1%
13–15 Mar Populus 2,041 34% 34% 8% 15% 5% 5% Tie
12–13 Mar YouGov/Sunday Times 1,669 34% 34% 7% 14% 5% 6% Tie
11–13 Mar ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday 2,002 33% 35% 7% 16% 4% 5% 2%
11–12 Mar Populus 2,041 29% 32% 8% 18% 6% 7% 3%
11–12 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,619 33% 32% 7% 16% 6% 6% 1%
10–12 Mar Opinium/The Observer 1,947 33% 35% 7% 14% 7% 5% 2%
10–11 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,728 34% 35% 7% 14% 5% 5% 1%
8–11 Mar Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,025 33% 34% 8% 13% 6% 6% 1%
9–10 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,598 33% 31% 8% 15% 6% 6% 2%
8–9 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,745 35% 31% 8% 14% 6% 6% 4%
6–8 Mar Lord Ashcroft 1,003 34% 30% 5% 15% 8% 7% 4%
6–8 Mar Populus 2,026 32% 33% 9% 15% 6% 6% 1%
5–6 Mar YouGov/Sunday Times 1,754 34% 33% 8% 15% 5% 5% 1%
3–6 Mar Opinium/The Observer 1,961 34% 34% 8% 14% 7% 5% Tie
4–5 Mar Populus 2,063 31% 33% 8% 16% 5% 5% 2%
4–5 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,748 31% 35% 6% 15% 8% 4% 4%
3–4 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,544 34% 34% 8% 14% 6% 4% Tie
2–3 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,701 36% 34% 5% 14% 6% 5% 2%
1–2 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,866 35% 32% 7% 15% 6% 5% 3%
27 Feb–1 Mar Lord Ashcroft 1,003 34% 31% 7% 14% 7% 8% 3%
27 Feb–1 Mar Populus 2,056 32% 34% 8% 14% 5% 7% 2%
26–27 Feb YouGov/Sunday Times 1,959 34% 34% 8% 14% 5% 5% Tie
25–27 Feb Populus 2,005 31% 33% 9% 16% 6% 5% 2%
25–26 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,638 33% 34% 8% 13% 6% 6% 1%
24–26 Feb Opinium/The Observer 1,948 34% 35% 6% 14% 6% 6% 1%
24–25 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,581 33% 33% 8% 15% 6% 5% Tie
23–24 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,520 35% 33% 6% 14% 7% 5% 2%
23 Feb Survation/Daily Mirror 1,046 28% 34% 10% 19% 4% 5% 6%
22–23 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,772 33% 33% 8% 13% 7% 5% Tie
20–23 Feb ComRes/Daily Mail 1,004 34% 32% 8% 13% 8% 6% 2%
20–22 Feb Lord Ashcroft 1,004 32% 36% 7% 11% 8% 6% 4%
20–22 Feb Populus 2,059 32% 32% 9% 15% 6% 6% Tie
19–20 Feb YouGov/Sunday Times 1,568 33% 34% 8% 13% 6% 6% 1%
17–20 Feb Opinium/The Observer 1,975 35% 33% 6% 15% 7% 5% 2%
18–19 Feb Populus 2,011 31% 32% 9% 17% 6% 5% 1%
18–19 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,564 32% 33% 9% 15% 6% 5% 1%
17–18 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,743 32% 34% 8% 14% 6% 5% 2%
16–17 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,548 33% 34% 6% 15% 7% 5% 1%
15–16 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,580 32% 32% 6% 16% 8% 5% Tie
12–16 Feb TNS 1,193 28% 35% 6% 18% 7% 6% 7%
13–15 Feb Lord Ashcroft 1,004 30% 31% 9% 16% 8% 6% 1%
13–15 Feb Populus 2,012 31% 33% 10% 15% 5% 5% 2%
13–15 Feb ICM/The Guardian 1,000 36% 32% 10% 9% 7% 7% 4%
12–13 Feb YouGov/Sunday Times 1,620 32% 35% 7% 15% 7% 5% 3%
11–12 Feb ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday 2,017 32% 34% 7% 16% 4% 7% 2%
11–12 Feb Populus 2,055 31% 34% 9% 14% 6% 6% 3%
11–12 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,592 31% 34% 7% 15% 7% 6% 3%
10–12 Feb Opinium/The Observer 1,969 33% 35% 8% 14% 6% 6% 2%
10–11 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,764 32% 33% 7% 15% 7% 6% 1%
9–10 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,677 33% 35% 6% 13% 8% 5% 2%
8–10 Feb Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,010 34% 36% 6% 9% 7% 8% 2%
8–9 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,552 34% 33% 7% 14% 7% 6% 1%
6–8 Feb Lord Ashcroft 1,003 34% 31% 9% 14% 6% 6% 3%
6–8 Feb Populus 2,003 33% 34% 8% 15% 4% 4% 1%
5–6 Feb YouGov/Sunday Times 1,668 32% 33% 7% 15% 8% 5% 1%
3–6 Feb Opinium/The Observer 1,947 32% 34% 7% 15% 8% 4% 2%
4–5 Feb Populus 2,056 31% 34% 8% 16% 5% 6% 3%
4–5 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,719 32% 33% 9% 15% 5% 5% 1%
3–4 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,749 34% 33% 6% 13% 7% 7% 1%
2–3 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,705 33% 33% 7% 14% 7% 5% Tie
1–2 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,630 33% 35% 7% 14% 6% 5% 2%
30 Jan–2 Feb Populus 2,040 31% 34% 8% 14% 5% 6% 3%
29 Jan–2 Feb TNS 1,182 27% 33% 6% 18% 8% 8% 6%
30 Jan–1 Feb Lord Ashcroft 1,002 31% 31% 8% 15% 9% 6% Tie
29–30 Jan YouGov/Sunday Times 1,550 32% 35% 7% 15% 6% 5% 3%
27–30 Jan Opinium/The Observer 1,975 32% 33% 5% 18% 6% 6% 1%
28–29 Jan Populus 2,020 34% 35% 10% 14% 4% 3% 1%
28–29 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,593 34% 34% 6% 14% 7% 5% Tie
27–28 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,548 33% 33% 6% 16% 7% 5% Tie
26–27 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,655 34% 33% 7% 14% 7% 5% 1%
25–26 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,656 34% 33% 6% 15% 7% 5% 1%
23–26 Jan TNS-BMRB/BBC Radio 4 Woman's Hour 975 28% 39% 4% 14% 8% 7% 11%
25 Jan Survation/Daily Mirror 1,014 31% 30% 7% 23% 3% 6% 1%
23–25 Jan ComRes/The Independent[permanent dead link] 1,001 31% 30% 8% 17% 7% 7% 1%
23–25 Jan Populus 2,039 34% 35% 9% 13% 6% 3% 1%
22–25 Jan Lord Ashcroft 1,001 32% 32% 6% 15% 9% 6% Tie
22–23 Jan YouGov/Sunday Times 1,578 32% 32% 7% 15% 7% 6% Tie
21–22 Jan Populus 2,049 32% 36% 9% 13% 6% 4% 4%
21–22 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,640 31% 33% 7% 17% 8% 4% 2%
20–21 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,645 33% 34% 6% 14% 8% 5% 1%
19–20 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,570 32% 30% 8% 15% 10% 5% 2%
18–19 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,747 32% 32% 8% 15% 7% 6% Tie
16–19 Jan ICM/The Guardian 1,002 30% 33% 11% 11% 9% 7% 3%
15–19 Jan TNS 1,188 31% 31% 8% 16% 7% 7% Tie
16–18 Jan Lord Ashcroft 1,004 29% 28% 9% 15% 11% 8% 1%
16–18 Jan Populus 2,036 35% 36% 8% 13% 4% 4% 1%
15–16 Jan YouGov/Sunday Times 1,647 31% 32% 7% 18% 7% 4% 1%
14–15 Jan YouGov/Sun on Sunday 1,763 31% 33% 7% 16% 7% 6% 2%
14–15 Jan ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday 2,023 33% 34% 7% 18% 3% 5% 1%
14–15 Jan Populus 2,070 32% 35% 9% 14% 6% 4% 3%
14–15 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,660 32% 32% 6% 16% 8% 6% Tie
13–15 Jan Opinium/The Observer 1,966 28% 33% 7% 20% 6% 6% 5%
13–14 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,834 32% 34% 6% 15% 7% 6% 2%
12–13 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,782 32% 33% 7% 14% 7% 6% 1%
11–13 Jan Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,010 33% 34% 8% 11% 8% 6% 1%
11–12 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,649 32% 33% 6% 17% 6% 6% 1%
9–11 Jan Lord Ashcroft 1,002 34% 28% 8% 16% 8% 6% 6%
9–11 Jan Populus 2,056 32% 37% 10% 13% 4% 4% 5%
8–9 Jan YouGov/Sunday Times 1,684 32% 32% 7% 18% 6% 5% Tie
7–8 Jan Populus 2,046 33% 34% 8% 14% 6% 5% 1%
7–8 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,753 33% 33% 8% 13% 7% 6% Tie
6–8 Jan TNS 1,201 28% 35% 6% 18% 5% 8% 7%
6–7 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,707 32% 33% 7% 15% 7% 6% 1%
5–6 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,769 33% 33% 7% 13% 8% 5% Tie
4–5 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,728 31% 34% 7% 14% 8% 6% 3%
2–4 Jan Populus 2,046 34% 36% 9% 12% 5% 5% 2%
30 Dec–2 Jan Opinium/The Observer 1,970 32% 33% 8% 17% 4% 7% 1%

2014Edit

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab Lib Dem UKIP Green Others Lead
19–23 Dec Opinium/The Observer[n 4] 2,003 29% 33% 6% 19% 6% 7% 4%
21–22 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,642 32% 36% 6% 16% 5% 5% 4%
19–21 Dec Populus 2,051 35% 35% 9% 12% 4% 5% Tie
18–19 Dec Survation/Daily Mirror 1,009 30% 33% 10% 21% 3% 3% 3%
18–19 Dec YouGov/Sunday Times 2,109 32% 34% 6% 15% 8% 5% 2%
16–19 Dec Opinium/The Observer 1,427 29% 36% 6% 16% 5% 8% 7%
17–18 Dec Populus 2,069 34% 35% 9% 13% 4% 4% 1%
17–18 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,981 30% 35% 6% 16% 8% 4% 5%
16–17 Dec YouGov/The Sun 2,087 33% 33% 8% 14% 7% 5% Tie
15–16 Dec YouGov/The Sun 2,021 33% 34% 6% 16% 6% 5% 1%
12–16 Dec ICM/The Guardian 1,001 28% 33% 14% 14% 5% 6% 5%
14–15 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,648 32% 34% 6% 14% 8% 6% 2%
13–15 Dec Ipsos Mori/Evening Standard 1,012 32% 29% 9% 13% 9% 8% 3%
11–15 Dec TNS 1,180 28% 35% 5% 19% 7% 6% 7%
12–14 Dec ComRes/The Independent[permanent dead link] 1,002 29% 32% 12% 16% 5% 6% 3%
12–14 Dec Populus 2,074 34% 36% 10% 12% 5% 4% 2%
11–12 Dec YouGov/Sunday Times 1,941 32% 32% 7% 16% 7% 5% Tie
10–12 Dec ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent on Sunday 2,014 33% 34% 8% 18% 2% 5% 1%
10–11 Dec Populus 1,140 34% 35% 9% 14% 4% 3% 1%
10–11 Dec YouGov/The Sun 2,088 32% 34% 7% 14% 7% 6% 2%
9–10 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,983 33% 33% 6% 15% 7% 5% Tie
8–9 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,959 32% 32% 8% 15% 7% 5% Tie
7–8 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,925 34% 33% 6% 15% 6% 6% 1%
5–7 Dec Lord Ashcroft 1,001 30% 31% 8% 19% 5% 7% 1%
5–7 Dec Populus 1,323 33% 36% 8% 15% 4% 4% 3%
4–5 Dec YouGov/SundayTimes 1,838 32% 32% 6% 17% 7% 7% Tie
3–4 Dec Opinium/The Observer 1,940 29% 34% 6% 19% 6% 6% 5%
3–4 Dec Populus 1,271 33% 35% 9% 14% 4% 5% 2%
3–4 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,663 31% 32% 7% 15% 8% 6% 1%
2–3 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,925 32% 31% 6% 17% 7% 6% 1%
1–2 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,912 32% 33% 7% 16% 7% 5% 1%
30 Nov–1 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,763 32% 32% 8% 15% 6% 6% Tie
28–30 Nov ComRes/The Independent 1,005 28% 31% 9% 18% 7% 7% 3%
28–30 Nov Lord Ashcroft 1,003 30% 32% 7% 16% 6% 8% 2%
28–30 Nov Populus 2,053 32% 35% 9% 14% 5% 5% 3%
27–28 Nov YouGov/Sunday Times 2,018 32% 34% 7% 15% 6% 6% 2%
26–27 Nov Populus 2,048 32% 37% 9% 14% 4% 5% 5%
26–27 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,970 31% 31% 8% 17% 6% 6% Tie
25–27 Nov TNS 1,194 30% 31% 6% 19% 6% 8% 1%
25–26 Nov YouGov/The Sun 2,067 33% 32% 6% 16% 7% 5% 1%
24–25 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,890 32% 33% 7% 16% 6% 6% 1%
23–24 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,641 30% 34% 6% 18% 6% 6% 4%
14–24 Nov Lord Ashcroft[n 5] 20,011 30% 33% 7% 19% 6% 5% 3%
21–23 Nov Lord Ashcroft 1,004 27% 32% 7% 18% 7% 8% 5%
21–23 Nov Populus 2,049 31% 36% 9% 15% 5% 4% 5%
20–21 Nov YouGov/Sunday Times 1,970 33% 33% 7% 16% 6% 5% Tie
19–21 Nov YouGov/The Sun on Sunday 2,314 33% 34% 8% 15% 5% 4% 1%
20 Nov Rochester and Strood by-election
19–20 Nov Populus 2,013 33% 36% 9% 14% 4% 4% 3%
19–20 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,995 34% 33% 7% 15% 6% 5% 1%
18–20 Nov Opinium/The Observer 1,948 30% 33% 7% 19% 4% 7% 3%
18–19 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,906 34% 33% 7% 14% 6% 6% 1%
17–18 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,975 32% 34% 7% 15% 6% 6% 2%
16–17 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,589 33% 32% 7% 15% 8% 6% 1%
14–17 Nov Opinium[14] 1,947 34% 33% 5% 18% 5% 6% 1%
14–16 Nov Lord Ashcroft 1,004 29% 30% 9% 16% 7% 9% 1%
14–16 Nov Populus 2,054 35% 36% 7% 11% 5% 6% 1%
13–14 Nov YouGov/Sunday Times 1,975 31% 33% 7% 18% 5% 6% 2%
12–14 Nov ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror 2,000 30% 34% 8% 19% 3% 6% 4%
12–13 Nov Populus 2,052 33% 35% 9% 13% 4% 5% 2%
12–13 Nov YouGov/The Sun 2,003 33% 32% 8% 15% 6% 6% 1%
11–12 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,972 32% 35% 7% 15% 6% 4% 3%
10–11 Nov YouGov/The Sun 2,143 33% 34% 7% 15% 6% 6% 1%
9–10 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,656 32% 33% 6% 17% 6% 6% 1%
8–10 Nov Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,011 32% 29% 9% 14% 7% 9% 3%
7–9 Nov ICM/The Guardian 1,002 31% 32% 11% 14% 6% 6% 1%
7–9 Nov Lord Ashcroft 1,005 30% 29% 10% 16% 7% 8% 1%
7–9 Nov Populus 2,047 34% 36% 8% 13% 4% 5% 2%
7 Nov Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,020 29% 34% 6% 23% 4% 4% 5%
6–7 Nov YouGov/Sunday Times 2,022 33% 33% 7% 16% 6% 5% Tie
4–7 Nov Opinium/The Observer 1,980 29% 32% 9% 19% 4% 7% 3%
5–6 Nov Populus 2,011 33% 35% 9% 14% 4% 4% 2%
5–6 Nov YouGov/The Sun 2,041 32% 33% 8% 15% 7% 5% 1%
4–5 Nov YouGov/The Sun 2,047 32% 33% 7% 17% 7% 5% 1%
3–4 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,988 32% 34% 7% 15% 6% 6% 2%
2–3 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,652 33% 34% 8% 15% 5% 5% 1%
31 Oct–2 Nov Lord Ashcroft 1,002 30% 29% 10% 16% 6% 9% 1%
31 Oct–2 Nov Populus 2,019 34% 35% 9% 13% 4% 4% 1%
31 Oct–1 Nov Survation/The Mirror 2,012 27% 31% 9% 24% 3% 6% 4%
30–31 Oct YouGov/Sunday Times 1,808 31% 32% 7% 18% 6% 6% 1%
29–30 Oct Populus 2,035 34% 34% 8% 15% 5% 3% Tie
29–30 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,883 33% 32% 7% 15% 7% 6% 1%
28–29 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,972 31% 34% 6% 17% 7% 5% 3%
27–28 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,052 32% 33% 8% 17% 5% 5% 1%
26–27 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,629 32% 32% 8% 18% 6% 4% Tie
24–26 Oct ComRes/The Independent 1,002 30% 30% 9% 19% 4% 7% Tie
24–26 Oct Lord Ashcroft 1,003 31% 31% 7% 18% 5% 7% Tie
24–26 Oct Populus 2,004 34% 36% 8% 13% 3% 4% 2%
23–24 Oct YouGov/Sunday Times 2,069 33% 33% 7% 16% 6% 6% Tie
21–24 Oct Opinium/The Observer 1,972 33% 33% 6% 18% 4% 5% Tie
22–23 Oct Populus 2,029 33% 35% 9% 15% 3% 4% 2%
22–23 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,020 34% 34% 6% 15% 6% 5% Tie
21–22 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,052 31% 33% 7% 17% 6% 6% 2%
20–21 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,103 32% 33% 8% 16% 5% 5% 1%
19–20 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,727 31% 33% 7% 15% 6% 8% 2%
17–19 Oct Lord Ashcroft 1,000 28% 31% 7% 18% 8% 8% 3%
17–19 Oct Populus 2,058 34% 36% 9% 13% 3% 5% 2%
16–17 Oct YouGov/Sunday Times 1,966 32% 35% 7% 16% 5% 6% 3%
15–16 Oct ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday 996 29% 31% 7% 24% 5% 5% 2%
15–16 Oct ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday 1,004 31% 34% 7% 19% 4% 5% 3%
15–16 Oct Populus 2,031 33% 35% 10% 14% 4% 3% 2%
15–16 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,045 31% 32% 8% 18% 7% 4% 1%
14–15 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,133 31% 33% 7% 19% 5% 5% 2%
13–14 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,144 30% 34% 8% 18% 5% 5% 4%
11–14 Oct Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,002 30% 33% 8% 16% 5% 8% 3%
12–13 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,782 31% 34% 7% 17% 4% 7% 3%
10–12 Oct Lord Ashcroft 1,001 28% 32% 8% 19% 5% 8% 4%
10–12 Oct ICM/The Guardian[15] 1,001 31% 35% 11% 14% 4% 6% 4%
10–12 Oct Populus 2,067 35% 36% 9% 13% 3% 4% 1%
10 Oct Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,003 31% 31% 7% 25% 2% 4% Tie
9–10 Oct YouGov/Sunday Times 2,167 32% 34% 9% 16% 5% 5% 2%
9 Oct Clacton and Heywood and Middleton by-elections.
8–9 Oct Lord Ashcroft 5,059 31% 34% 8% 18% 4% 5% 3%
8–9 Oct Populus 2,055 34% 35% 9% 13% 4% 5% 1%
8–9 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,049 30% 35% 9% 15% 5% 5% 5%
7–9 Oct Opinium/The Observer 1,968 28% 35% 9% 17% 4% 7% 7%
7–8 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,862 33% 34% 7% 14% 6% 6% 1%
6–7 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,155 32% 34% 8% 15% 5% 6% 2%
5–6 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,739 35% 33% 8% 13% 4% 7% 2%
3–5 Oct Lord Ashcroft 1,002 32% 30% 7% 17% 7% 6% 2%
3–5 Oct Populus 2,037 31% 37% 8% 15% 3% 4% 6%
2–3 Oct YouGov/Sunday Times 2,130 36% 34% 7% 13% 5% 5% 2%
1–2 Oct Populus 2,014 33% 38% 8% 13% 3% 4% 5%
1–2 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,133 35% 34% 6% 14% 5% 6% 1%
30 Sep–1 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,068 31% 38% 7% 15% 5% 4% 7%
29–30 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,106 31% 36% 7% 15% 5% 6% 5%
28–29 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,715 31% 36% 7% 16% 4% 6% 5%
26–28 Sep ComRes/Independent 1,007 29% 35% 10% 15% 4% 7% 6%
26–28 Sep Lord Ashcroft 1,000 32% 32% 8% 17% 4% 8% Tie
26–28 Sep Populus 2,024 34% 36% 7% 14% 5% 3% 2%
25–26 Sep YouGov/Sunday Times 1,992 31% 36% 6% 15% 6% 6% 5%
24–26 Sep ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday 2,003 29% 35% 7% 19% 4% 6% 6%
23–26 Sep Opinium/The Observer 1,984 32% 34% 7% 17% 4% 6% 2%
24–25 Sep Populus 2,034 33% 37% 9% 13% 3% 4% 4%
24–25 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,972 31% 37% 7% 13% 5% 7% 6%
23–24 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,117 33% 37% 7% 13% 5% 5% 4%
22–23 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,141 31% 37% 7% 15% 5% 5% 6%
21–22 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,671 33% 35% 7% 14% 5% 6% 2%
19–21 Sep Lord Ashcroft 1,004 27% 33% 9% 17% 6% 8% 6%
19–21 Sep Populus 2,048 33% 37% 9% 12% 4% 4% 4%
19 Sep "No" wins the Scottish independence referendum.
18–19 Sep YouGov/Sunday Times 2,126 31% 36% 7% 16% 5% 5% 5%
17–18 Sep Populus 2,268 32% 36% 9% 15% 4% 5% 4%
17–18 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,072 33% 35% 8% 14% 5% 5% 2%
16–17 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,029 33% 36% 8% 13% 5% 5% 3%
12–17 Sep Lord Ashcroft 8,053 30% 35% 7% 19% 5% 6% 5%
15–16 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,977 34% 37% 7% 12% 6% 4% 3%
12–16 Sep Survation/Bright Blue 1,052 29% 34% 11% 18% 4% 4% 5%
14–15 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,703 31% 35% 7% 15% 6% 5% 4%
12–14 Sep ICM/The Guardian 1,002 33% 35% 10% 9% 7% 6% 2%
12–14 Sep Lord Ashcroft 1,004 33% 33% 9% 14% 6% 6% Tie
12–14 Sep Populus 2,052 34% 35% 9% 13% 3% 5% 1%
12 Sep Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,090 31% 35% 8% 19% 3% 4% 4%
11–12 Sep YouGov/Sunday Times 1,900 32% 35% 7% 15% 6% 6% 3%
10–11 Sep Populus 2,010 33% 37% 9% 13% 2% 4% 4%
10–11 Sep YouGov/TheSun 2,068 31% 35% 7% 16% 5% 6% 4%
9–11 Sep Opinium/The Observer 1,960 29% 37% 7% 19% 4% 5% 8%
9–10 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,122 32% 38% 6% 14% 5% 5% 6%
8–9 Sep YouGov/TheSun 2,099 30% 36% 8% 16% 5% 5% 6%
6–9 Sep Ipsos MORI 1,010 34% 33% 7% 15% 6% 5% 1%
7–8 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,724 31% 36% 8% 16% 5% 4% 5%
5–7 Sep Lord Ashcroft 1,001 28% 35% 8% 18% 6% 5% 7%
5–7 Sep Populus 2,058 34% 36% 9% 12% 4% 6% 2%
4–5 Sep YouGov/Sunday Times 1,961 33% 35% 7% 15% 4% 5% 2%
3–4 Sep Populus 2,026 32% 38% 8% 14% 4% 4% 6%
3–4 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,043 32% 36% 7% 16% 5% 4% 4%
2–3 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,103 33% 36% 7% 14% 5% 5% 3%
1–2 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,068 32% 35% 8% 15% 5% 4% 3%
31 Aug–1 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,704 34% 35% 7% 14% 5% 6% 1%
29–31 Aug ComRes/Independent 1,001 28% 35% 9% 17% 6% 5% 7%
29–31 Aug Populus 2,010 32% 36% 9% 15% 3% 5% 4%
28–29 Aug YouGov/Sunday Times 2,010 32% 36% 7% 16% 4% 4% 4%
26–29 Aug Opinium/The Observer 1,974 30% 36% 7% 16% 4% 7% 6%
27–28 Aug Populus 2,006 35% 34% 8% 13% 5% 4% 1%
27–28 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,046 33% 36% 7% 13% 5% 6% 3%
26–27 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,129 34% 35% 7% 14% 6% 5% 1%
25–26 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,021 33% 37% 8% 13% 5% 5% 4%
22–25 Aug Populus 2,062 32% 38% 8% 15% 3% 4% 6%
21–22 Aug YouGov/Sunday Times 1,866 34% 36% 8% 14% 5% 3% 2%
20–22 Aug ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday 2,058 32% 34% 8% 18% 3% 5% 2%
20–21 Aug Populus 2,065 33% 39% 9% 11% 3% 4% 6%
20–21 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,028 33% 38% 8% 12% 5% 4% 5%
19–20 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,070 34% 38% 9% 11% 4% 4% 4%
18–19 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,036 36% 37% 9% 12% 3% 3% 1%
17–18 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,710 33% 38% 8% 12% 4% 4% 5%
15–17 Aug Populus 2,049 32% 37% 9% 14% 3% 5% 5%
14–15 Aug YouGov/Sunday Times 2,019 34% 38% 7% 13% 4% 4% 4%
12–15 Aug Opinium/The Observer 1,963 28% 32% 10% 21% 4% 6% 4%
13–14 Aug Populus 2,018 32% 35% 9% 14% 5% 7% 3%
13–14 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,984 35% 35% 8% 12% 5% 5% Tie
12–13 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,116 34% 36% 10% 12% 4% 5% 2%
11–12 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,942 35% 38% 8% 11% 4% 3% 3%
10–11 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,676 33% 37% 8% 12% 5% 4% 4%
9–11 Aug Ipsos MORI 1,003 33% 33% 7% 13% 7% 6% Tie
8–11 Aug Populus 2,031 33% 37% 9% 12% 3% 5% 4%
8–10 Aug ICM/The Guardian 1,002 31% 38% 12% 10% 4% 5% 7%
7–8 Aug YouGov/Sunday Times 1,943 33% 37% 8% 13% 4% 4% 4%
6–7 Aug Populus 2,050 36% 35% 9% 11% 3% 5% 1%
6–7 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,016 33% 38% 7% 12% 4% 5% 5%
5–6 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,944 34% 37% 9% 12% 4% 4% 3%
4–5 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,977 33% 38% 8% 12% 4% 5% 5%
3–4 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,617 34% 38% 6% 13% 4% 5% 4%
1–3 Aug Lord Ashcroft 1,002 30% 33% 8% 18% 6% 5% 3%
1–3 Aug Populus 2,021 35% 37% 9% 12% 3% 4% 2%
31 Jul–1 Aug YouGov/Sunday Times 2,083 35% 38% 7% 12% 4% 4% 3%
29 Jul–1 Aug Opinium/The Observer 1,979 32% 35% 7% 15% 5% 7% 3%
30–31 Jul Populus 2,027 35% 36% 8% 13% 4% 4% 1%
30–31 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,023 34% 38% 8% 13% 4% 3% 4%
29–30 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,100 35% 37% 8% 12% 4% 4% 2%
28–29 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,004 34% 35% 8% 12% 6% 5% 1%
27–28 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,658 33% 39% 8% 12% 4% 4% 6%
25–27 Jul ComRes/Independent 1,001 27% 33% 8% 17% 7% 6% 6%
25–27 Jul Lord Ashcroft 1,000 32% 34% 9% 14% 6% 5% 2%
25–27 Jul Populus 2,024 33% 37% 9% 12% 4% 5% 4%
24–25 Jul YouGov/Sunday Times 1,741 35% 36% 8% 13% 5% 3% 1%
23–24 Jul Populus 2,035 35% 37% 9% 9% 4% 6% 2%
23–24 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,065 35% 38% 8% 11% 4% 4% 3%
22–23 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,897 34% 38% 8% 12% 4% 4% 4%
21–22 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,904 34% 37% 7% 14% 5% 4% 3%
20–21 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,107 34% 38% 9% 11% 4% 5% 4%
18–20 Jul Lord Ashcroft 1,007 27% 35% 7% 17% 7% 7% 8%
18–20 Jul Populus 2,035 32% 37% 9% 13% 4% 5% 5%
17–18 Jul YouGov/Sunday Times 2,078 32% 37% 9% 13% 5% 4% 5%
16–18 Jul ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror 2,054 31% 34% 9% 17% 4% 5% 3%
16–17 Jul Populus 2,007 35% 35% 8% 14% 3% 5% Tie
16–17 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,038 32% 39% 8% 13% 4% 4% 7%
15–17 Jul TNS BMRB 1,191 29% 36% 7% 19% 9% 7%
15–17 Jul Opinium/The Observer 1,967 30% 34% 9% 17% 4% 5% 4%
15–16 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,107 33% 36% 9% 13% 4% 4% 3%
14–15 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,072 34% 38% 6% 13% 4% 5% 4%
12–15 Jul Ipsos MORI 1,000 32% 35% 8% 12% 8% 5% 3%
13–14 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,745 35% 38% 8% 10% 4% 5% 3%
11–13 Jul ICM/The Guardian 1,000 34% 33% 12% 9% 4% 7% 1%
11–13 Jul Lord Ashcroft 1,000 32% 36% 7% 14% 6% 6% 4%
11–13 Jul Populus 2,055 34% 37% 9% 12% 5% 3% 3%
10–11 Jul YouGov/Sunday Times 1,963 33% 38% 9% 12% 4% 4% 5%
9–10 Jul Populus 2,052 34% 36% 8% 12% 3% 7% 2%
9–10 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,022 34% 37% 8% 12% 5% 4% 3%
8–9 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,034 32% 36% 10% 12% 5% 4% 4%
7–8 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,072 31% 38% 8% 12% 5% 6% 7%
6–7 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,650 34% 37% 9% 13% 4% 3% 3%
4–6 Jul Lord Ashcroft 1,005 27% 34% 11% 15% 6% 7% 7%
4–6 Jul Populus 2,053 31% 38% 9% 14% 4% 4% 7%
3–4 Jul YouGov/Sunday Times 2,095 34% 36% 8% 13% 5% 4% 2%
2–3 Jul Populus 2,029 34% 35% 9% 14% 4% 4% 1%
2–3 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,611 35% 36% 8% 12% 4% 4% 1%
1–3 Jul Opinium/The Observer 1,946 29% 35% 7% 18% 5% 6% 6%
1–2 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,991 35% 37% 8% 12% 5% 3% 2%
30 Jun–1 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,073 33% 38% 8% 11% 5% 5% 5%
29–30 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,729 35% 37% 8% 12% 3% 5% 2%
27–29 Jun ComRes/Independent 1,005 30% 32% 7% 18% 5% 8% 2%
27–29 Jun Populus 2,049 33% 37% 10% 12% 4% 4% 4%
27–29 Jun Lord Ashcroft 1,006 33% 31% 9% 15% 6% 6% 2%
27 Jun Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,000 27% 36% 7% 22% 5% 3% 9%
26–27 Jun YouGov/Sunday Times 1,936 33% 37% 8% 14% 5% 3% 4%
25–26 Jun Populus 2,021 34% 35% 8% 13% 5% 5% 1%
25–26 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,996 33% 38% 8% 13% 4% 4% 5%
24–25 Jun YouGov/The Sun 2,044 32% 37% 7% 14% 5% 5% 5%
23–24 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,984 33% 36% 8% 15% 4% 4% 3%
22–23 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,652 32% 36% 9% 15% 4% 4% 4%
20–22 Jun Lord Ashcroft 1,006 28% 33% 9% 17% 7% 6% 5%
20–22 Jun Populus 2,062 32% 37% 9% 13% 3% 5% 5%
19–20 Jun YouGov/Sunday Times 2,016 32% 38% 8% 14% 5% 4% 6%
18–19 Jun Populus 2,032 34% 36% 8% 13% 3% 6% 2%
18–19 Jun YouGov/The Sun 2,097 33% 37% 8% 15% 3% 4% 4%
17–19 Jun Opinium/The Observer 1,946 31% 35% 7% 17% 5% 5% 4%
17–18 Jun YouGov/The Sun 2,066 34% 38% 7% 13% 5% 3% 4%
16–17 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,897 34% 37% 7% 13% 4% 6% 3%
14–17 Jun Ipsos MORI 1,001 31% 34% 8% 14% 8% 5% 3%
15–16 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,696 32% 36% 10% 14% 5% 4% 4%
13–15 Jun ICM/The Guardian[15] 1,001 31% 32% 10% 16% 6% 5% 1%
13–15 Jun Lord Ashcroft 1,001 29% 35% 8% 15% 6% 7% 6%
13–15 Jun Populus 2,036 33% 37% 9% 13% 4% 4% 4%
12–13 Jun YouGov/Sunday Times 2,106 33% 37% 8% 13% 5% 4% 4%
11–13 Jun ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror 2,034 32% 34% 7% 18% 4% 5% 2%
11–12 Jun YouGov/The Sun on Sunday 2,337 33% 36% 8% 14% 5% 4% 3%
11–12 Jun Populus 2,051 32% 35% 8% 15% 5% 5% 3%
11–12 Jun YouGov/The Sun 2,183 32% 38% 8% 12% 5% 5% 6%
10–12 Jun TNS BMRB 1,195 29% 35% 6% 23% 7% 6%
10–11 Jun YouGov/The Sun 2,157 34% 36% 6% 14% 5% 5% 2%
9–10 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,974 35% 37% 8% 12% 3% 5% 2%
8–9 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,685 31% 37% 7% 15% 5% 5% 6%
6–8 Jun Lord Ashcroft 1,003 28% 32% 8% 17% 7% 8% 4%
6–8 Jun Populus 2,039 35% 36% 9% 14% 3% 4% 1%
5–6 Jun YouGov/Sunday Times 2,134 33% 37% 7% 14% 5% 4% 4%
4–6 Jun Populus 2,006 34% 35% 9% 14% 5% 4% 1%
5 Jun Newark by-election.
4–5 Jun YouGov/The Sun 2,107 31% 37% 8% 15% 5% 4% 6%
3–5 Jun Opinium/The Observer 1,950 31% 35% 6% 19% 4% 5% 4%
3–4 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,951 32% 37% 7% 13% 5% 5% 5%
2–3 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,962 32% 36% 8% 14% 5% 4% 4%
1–2 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,740 30% 36% 8% 17% 5% 4% 6%
30 May–1 Jun Lord Ashcroft[16] 1,000 25% 34% 6% 19% 7% 8% 9%
30 May–1 Jun Populus 2,062 32% 37% 10% 13% 3% 5% 5%
29–30 May YouGov/Sunday Times 2,090 33% 36% 7% 15% 4% 5% 3%
28–29 May Populus 2,010 34% 35% 9% 14% 4% 4% 1%
28–29 May YouGov/The Sun 2,123 31% 38% 7% 16% 4% 5% 7%
27–28 May YouGov/The Sun 2,109 32% 36% 9% 14% 5% 5% 4%
26–27 May YouGov/The Sun 2,079 32% 34% 8% 15% 5% 5% 2%
23–26 May Populus 2,060 34% 36% 9% 14% 3% 4% 2%
23–25 May Lord Ashcroft[16] 1,000 29% 31% 8% 17% 7% 10% 2%
25 May 2014 European Parliament election results declared.
23 May Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,017 27% 32% 9% 23% 3% 6% 5%
22–23 May YouGov/Sunday Times 1,898 34% 35% 9% 13% 5% 5% 1%
20–23 May Opinium/The Observer 1,968 32% 33% 7% 19% 4% 5% 1%
22 May 2014 United Kingdom local elections.
21–22 May Populus 2,045 34% 36% 9% 14% 3% 4% 2%
21–22 May YouGov/The Sun 1,922 34% 34% 9% 14% 5% 4% Tie
20–21 May YouGov/The Times, The Sun 6,124 33% 36% 9% 13% 4% 5% 3%
19–20 May Survation/Daily Mirror 1,106 28% 34% 9% 20% 3% 6% 6%
19–20 May YouGov/The Sun 1,874 33% 35% 11% 13% 3% 5% 2%
18–19 May YouGov/The Sun 1,740 33% 37% 9% 11% 6% 4% 4%
16–18 May ComRes/Independent 1,008 30% 35% 8% 14% 5% 8% 5%
16–18 May Lord Ashcroft[16] 1,006 29% 35% 9% 14% 5% 7% 6%
16–18 May Populus 2,026 35% 34% 8% 14% 3% 6% 1%
15–16 May YouGov/Sunday Times 1,892 34% 37% 9% 13% 4% 3% 3%
14–15 May ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror[permanent dead link] 2,045 29% 33% 8% 19% 4% 7% 4%
14–15 May YouGov/The Sun 2,083 34% 36% 8% 13% 4% 5% 2%
14–15 May Populus 2,043 32% 36% 10% 13% 3% 6% 4%
13–14 May YouGov/The Sun 1,968 32% 35% 10% 13% 4% 5% 3%
12–13 May YouGov/The Sun 1,977 34% 34% 8% 15% 3% 5% Tie
11–12 May YouGov/The Sun 1,680 35% 36% 9% 14% 3% 5% 1%
10–12 May Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,003 31% 34% 9% 11% 8% 7% 3%
9–11 May ICM/The Guardian[15] 1,000 33% 31% 13% 15% 4% 5% 2%
9–11 May Lord Ashcroft[16] 1,001 34% 32% 9% 15% 5% 6% 2%
9–11 May Populus 2,056 35% 36% 8% 13% 3% 5% 1%
9 May Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,005 28% 33% 10% 20% 3% 6% 5%
8–9 May YouGov/Sunday Times 1,905 31% 38% 9% 13% 4% 5% 7%
7–8 May Populus 2,006 32% 36% 8% 16% 4% 5% 4%
7–8 May YouGov/The Sun 1,875 34% 35% 8% 13% 4% 6% 1%
6–8 May Opinium/The Observer 1,997 29% 33% 9% 20% 4% 5% 4%
6–7 May YouGov/The Sun 1,858 34% 37% 8% 13% 3% 5% 3%
5–6 May YouGov/The Sun 1,933 34% 35% 9% 14% 3% 5% 1%
2–5 May Populus 2,034 33% 36% 8% 14% 4% 5% 3%
2–3 May Survation/Daily Mirror 1,005 33% 34% 8% 18% 4% 3% 1%
1–2 May YouGov/Sunday Times 1,945 33% 36% 9% 15% 4% 3% 3%
30 Apr–1 May YouGov/The Sun on Sunday 1,844 33% 36% 10% 15% 2% 4% 3%
30 Apr–1 May Populus 2,060 34% 35% 9% 14% 3% 5% 1%
30 Apr–1 May YouGov/The Sun 1,813 33% 36% 10% 14% 3% 4% 3%
2 Apr–1 May Populus/Financial Times 18,448 34% 36% 10% 13% 3% 4% 2%
29–30 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,898 31% 37% 9% 15% 3% 5% 6%
28–29 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,804 32% 37% 9% 14% 3% 5% 5%
27–28 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,629 32% 37% 10% 15% 2% 4% 5%
25–27 Apr Populus 2,052 32% 35% 10% 15% 3% 5% 3%
24–25 Apr YouGov/Sunday Times 1,835 31% 36% 9% 15% 4% 5% 5%
22–25 Apr Opinium/The Observer 1,965 32% 34% 7% 18% 3% 6% 2%
23–24 Apr Populus 2,055 35% 35% 9% 13% 3% 5% Tie
23–24 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,072 32% 38% 8% 14% 4% 4% 6%
22–23 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,143 32% 37% 10% 15% 2% 4% 5%
21–22 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,190 34% 37% 10% 12% 2% 5% 3%
17–21 Apr Populus 2,049 33% 36% 10% 13% 3% 4% 3%
16–17 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,884 33% 35% 11% 15% 2% 4% 2%
15–16 Apr Populus 2,069 34% 35% 9% 14% 3% 5% 1%
15–16 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,166 33% 39% 9% 11% 3% 5% 6%
14–15 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,162 34% 37% 10% 13% 2% 4% 3%
13–14 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,541 33% 38% 9% 12% 3% 5% 5%
11–13 Apr ComRes/The Independent 1,000 30% 36% 9% 12% 4% 9% 6%
11–13 Apr ICM/The Guardian[15] 1,000 32% 37% 12% 11% 2% 6% 5%
11–13 Apr Populus 2,011 33% 35% 11% 13% 2% 6% 2%
10–11 Apr YouGov/Sunday Times 2,036 32% 38% 8% 14% 2% 6% 6%
9–10 Apr ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror 2,003 29% 35% 7% 20% 4% 5% 6%
9–10 Apr Populus 2,051 34% 35% 11% 12% 2% 6% 1%
9–10 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,111 32% 38% 8% 14% 2% 5% 6%
8–10 Apr Opinium/The Observer 1,972 30% 36% 7% 18% 3% 6% 6%
8–9 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,061 33% 36% 10% 14% 2% 5% 3%
7–8 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,144 33% 37% 10% 13% 2% 4% 4%
6–7 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,748 33% 36% 10% 14% 2% 5% 3%
5–7 Apr Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,002 31% 37% 9% 15% 3% 4% 6%
4–6 Apr Populus 2,034 34% 37% 9% 14% 3% 4% 3%
4 Apr Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,001 29% 36% 10% 20% 2% 4% 7%
3–4 Apr YouGov/Sunday Times 1,998 34% 39% 9% 12% 2% 4% 5%
2–3 Apr Populus 2,067 33% 37% 10% 13% 2% 5% 4%
2–3 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,076 32% 38% 10% 13% 3% 4% 6%
1–2 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,148 32% 38% 10% 13% 2% 5% 6%
31 Mar–1 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,981 33% 37% 10% 12% 2% 6% 4%
30–31 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,696 34% 37% 11% 13% 2% 5% 3%
28–30 Mar Populus 2,008 34% 37% 10% 11% 3% 5% 3%
5–30 Mar Populus/Financial Times 16,424 34% 37% 9% 12% 3% 5% 3%
27–28 Mar YouGov/Sunday Times 1,916 33% 40% 9% 11% 2% 5% 7%
27–28 Mar Populus 2,066 35% 37% 8% 12% 3% 5% 2%
25–28 Mar Opinium/The Observer 1,936 32% 33% 10% 15% 3% 7% 1%
26–27 Mar YouGov/The Sun 2,039 35% 36% 10% 11% 3% 4% 1%
25–26 Mar YouGov/The Sun 2,070 35% 37% 9% 11% 2% 5% 2%
24–25 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,958 35% 38% 10% 10% 2% 5% 3%
23–24 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,558 36% 38% 10% 10% 2% 4% 2%
21–23 Mar ComRes/Independent 1,024 31% 36% 9% 11% 5% 8% 5%
21–23 Mar Populus 2,039 34% 35% 10% 13% 2% 6% 1%
20–21 Mar YouGov/Sunday Times 2,103 36% 37% 9% 11% 2% 5% 1%
20–21 Mar Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,000 34% 35% 9% 15% 2% 5% 1%
19–20 Mar Populus 2,122 34% 38% 9% 12% 2% 5% 4%
19–20 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,904 34% 39% 10% 10% 2% 5% 5%
18–19 Mar YouGov/The Sun 2,088 33% 38% 11% 11% 3% 4% 5%
17–18 Mar YouGov/The Sun 2,284 34% 38% 11% 11% 3% 4% 4%
16–17 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,919 32% 40% 9% 11% 3% 4% 8%
14–16 Mar Populus 2,053 32% 36% 10% 13% 3% 6% 4%
13–14 Mar YouGov/Sunday Times 1,946 33% 40% 8% 12% 2% 4% 7%
12–13 Mar ComRes/Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror[permanent dead link] 2,001 32% 35% 9% 16% 3% 5% 3%
12–13 Mar Populus 2,053 34% 35% 10% 13% 2% 6% 1%
12–13 Mar YouGov/The Sun 2,098 33% 38% 11% 10% 2% 6% 5%
11–12 Mar Opinium/The Observer 1,971 30% 35% 10% 16% 3% 6% 5%
11–12 Mar YouGov/The Sun 2,095 35% 37% 9% 13% 2% 4% 2%
8–12 Mar Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,000 32% 35% 13% 11% 5% 4% 3%
10–11 Mar YouGov/The Sun 2,040 34% 38% 10% 12% 2% 4% 4%
7–11 Mar ICM/The Guardian[15] 1,003 35% 38% 12% 9% 3% 3% 3%
9–10 Mar YouGov/The Sun 3,195 32% 39% 8% 13% 3% 5% 7%
7–9 Mar Populus 2,058 34% 38% 9% 12% 3% 4% 4%
6–7 Mar YouGov/Sunday Times 2,029 32% 39% 10% 14% 2% 3% 7%
5–6 Mar Populus 2,025 34% 37% 9% 12% 3% 5% 3%
5–6 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,833 31% 40% 9% 13% 3% 4% 9%
4–5 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,868 34% 37% 10% 11% 3% 5% 3%
3–4 Mar YouGov/The Sun 2,041 34% 38% 9% 13% 2% 4% 4%
2–3 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,868 32% 41% 8% 12% 1% 6% 9%
28 Feb–2 Mar ComRes/Independent 1,004 30% 38% 10% 11% 4% 7% 8%
28 Feb–2 Mar Populus 2,055 34% 37% 10% 12% 3% 4% 3%
27–28 Feb YouGov/Sunday Times 2,098 33% 38% 9% 13% 2% 5% 5%
25–28 Feb Opinium/The Observer 1,946 29% 34% 10% 19% 3% 5% 5%
26–27 Feb Populus 1,131 33% 38% 9% 13% 3% 5% 5%
5–27 Feb Populus/Financial Times 14,203 33% 37% 10% 14% 3% 3% 4%
26–27 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,868 34% 39% 8% 12% 3% 4% 5%
25–26 Feb YouGov/The Sun 2,062 34% 40% 10% 11% 3% 4% 6%
24–25 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,936 33% 39% 10% 11% 3% 4% 6%
23–24 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,773 33% 38% 10% 13% 2% 5% 5%
21–23 Feb Populus 2,052 32% 37% 10% 15% 2% 4% 5%
20–21 Feb YouGov/Sunday Times 2,141 32% 39% 8% 12% 2% 6% 7%
19–20 Feb Populus 2,066 32% 38% 9% 13% 3% 5% 6%
19–20 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,756 34% 39% 9% 12% 2% 4% 5%
18–19 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,766 33% 37% 10% 12% 3% 5% 4%
17–18 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,758 33% 40% 8% 12% 3% 4% 7%
16–17 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,645 33% 40% 9% 11% 2% 5% 7%
14–16 Feb Populus 2,031 33% 38% 10% 13% 3% 3% 5%
13–14 Feb YouGov/Sunday Times 1,868 32% 39% 9% 12% 3% 6% 7%
11–14 Feb Opinium/The Observer 1,969 28% 37% 8% 17% 2% 8% 9%
13 Feb Wythenshawe and Sale East by-election.
12–13 Feb Populus 2,015 32% 38% 9% 14% 3% 4% 6%
12–13 Feb ComRes/The Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror 2,031 32% 37% 9% 15% 2% 5% 5%
12–13 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,896 33% 39% 9% 12% 2% 5% 6%
11–12 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,826 32% 39% 8% 13% 2% 6% 7%
10–11 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,899 34% 39% 10% 11% 2% 4% 5%
9–10 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,685 33% 39% 10% 12% 2% 4% 6%
7–9 Feb ICM/The Guardian[15] 1,002 34% 38% 10% 11% 3% 5% 4%
7–9 Feb Populus 2,013 34% 36% 11% 12% 3% 4% 2%
6–7 Feb YouGov/Sunday Times 1,521 35% 39% 10% 10% 3% 3% 4%
5–6 Feb Populus 2,015 33% 36% 9% 15% 2% 5% 3%
5–6 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,911 32% 38% 10% 14% 2% 4% 6%
4–5 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,902 35% 39% 9% 10% 2% 4% 4%
3–4 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,942 33% 39% 8% 13% 3% 4% 6%
2–3 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,741 33% 38% 11% 11% 1% 6% 5%
1–3 Feb Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,012 31% 38% 12% 10% 3% 6% 7%
31 Jan–2 Feb Populus 2,043 32% 41% 11% 9% 3% 4% 9%
30–31 Jan YouGov/Sunday Times 1,885 34% 39% 8% 11% 3% 5% 5%
28–31 Jan Opinium/The Observer 1,972 29% 36% 8% 17% 3% 6% 7%
29–30 Jan Populus 2,044 32% 39% 11% 10% 3% 4% 7%
29–30 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,942 32% 42% 8% 12% 2% 4% 10%
28–29 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,884 35% 38% 10% 11% 2% 4% 3%
27–28 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,814 34% 37% 9% 12% 3% 5% 3%
26–27 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,381 35% 37% 9% 13% 2% 5% 2%
24–26 Jan ComRes/Independent 1,002 32% 33% 9% 14% 5% 7% 1%
24–26 Jan Populus 2,052 33% 40% 11% 8% 3% 5% 7%
23–24 Jan YouGov/Sunday Times 1,859 32% 39% 9% 13% 2% 5% 7%
22–23 Jan Populus 2,051 32% 40% 11% 9% 3% 5% 8%
22–23 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,840 35% 38% 8% 12% 2% 5% 3%
21–22 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,843 32% 40% 8% 12% 3% 5% 8%
20–21 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,961 34% 38% 9% 13% 3% 3% 4%
19–20 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,682 32% 40% 11% 12% 2% 3% 8%
7–20 Jan Lord Ashcroft 20,058 30% 38% 8% 16% 3% 5% 8%
17–19 Jan Populus 2,027 32% 39% 12% 9% 3% 5% 7%
16–17 Jan YouGov/Sunday Times 1,957 33% 39% 8% 13% 2% 5% 6%
15–16 Jan ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent 2,029 30% 35% 8% 19% 3% 5% 5%
15–16 Jan Populus 2,039 33% 40% 13% 9% 2% 3% 7%
15–16 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,981 32% 39% 10% 12% 2% 5% 7%
14–16 Jan Opinium/The Observer 1,930 30% 36% 8% 17% 3% 6% 6%
14–15 Jan Survation/Sky News 1,005 30% 34% 12% 18% 2% 4% 4%
14–15 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,893 33% 39% 10% 12% 2% 4% 6%
13–14 Jan YouGov/The Sun 2,000 34% 37% 9% 13% 2% 5% 3%
11–14 Jan Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,035 30% 39% 13% 11% 3% 4% 9%
12–13 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,762 33% 38% 11% 12% 2% 4% 5%
10–12 Jan ICM/The Guardian[15] 1,005 32% 35% 14% 10% 3% 6% 3%
10–11 Jan Populus 2,079 33% 38% 12% 9% 3% 5% 5%
9–10 Jan YouGov/Sunday Times 1,904 31% 40% 9% 14% 2% 4% 9%
8–9 Jan Populus 2,012 33% 40% 11% 8% 3% 5% 7%
8–9 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,887 32% 38% 9% 13% 2% 6% 6%
7–8 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,958 32% 38% 9% 13% 3% 5% 6%
6–7 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,972 32% 37% 10% 14% 3% 4% 5%
5–6 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,729 32% 40% 9% 12% 2% 5% 8%
3 Jan Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,001 31% 35% 11% 16% 2% 5% 4%
30 Dec–2 Jan Opinium/The Observer 1,939 30% 37% 8% 17% 3% 5% 7%

2013Edit

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab Lib Dem UKIP Green Others Lead
20–22 Dec Populus 2,013 35% 37% 12% 9% 3% 4% 2%
19–20 Dec YouGov/Sunday Times 1,886 34% 40% 9% 11% 2% 4% 6%
18–19 Dec Populus 2,055 32% 40% 12% 8% 3% 5% 8%
18–19 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,784 34% 39% 11% 12% 1% 3% 5%
17–18 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,937 34% 38% 10% 11% 2% 5% 4%
16–17 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,791 33% 41% 10% 11% 2% 3% 8%
15–16 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,666 36% 38% 8% 11% 2% 5% 2%
13–15 Dec ComRes/Independent 1,003 32% 37% 9% 10% 5% 7% 5%
13–15 Dec Populus 2,058 33% 40% 13% 8% 2% 4% 7%
12–13 Dec YouGov/Sunday Times 1,846 32% 38% 9% 13% 2% 6% 6%
11–13 Dec ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent 2,027 29% 36% 8% 18% 4% 5% 7%
10–13 Dec Opinium/The Observer 1,949 30% 37% 8% 16% 4% 5% 7%
11–12 Dec Populus 2,024 33% 38% 13% 9% 3% 4% 5%
11–12 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,902 35% 39% 9% 11% 2% 4% 4%
10–11 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,916 33% 39% 9% 13% 2% 4% 6%
9–10 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,852 34% 39% 9% 12% 2% 4% 5%
8–9 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,766 33% 38% 10% 13% 2% 4% 5%
7–9 Dec Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,011 33% 37% 9% 10% 5% 6% 4%
6–8 Dec ICM/The Guardian 1,001 32% 37% 12% 9% 3% 6% 5%
6–8 Dec Populus 2,027 33% 41% 11% 7% 3% 5% 8%
5–6 Dec YouGov/Sunday Times 1,802 34% 39% 10% 11% 3% 3% 5%
4–5 Dec Populus 2,038 34% 38% 13% 7% 3% 5% 4%
4–5 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,833 29% 41% 9% 14% 2% 5% 12%
3–4 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,943 34% 40% 10% 10% 3% 4% 6%
2–3 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,935 32% 40% 9% 12% 3% 4% 8%
1–2 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,699 32% 38% 10% 12% 2% 6% 6%
29 Nov–1 Dec Populus 2,012 33% 40% 10% 9% 3% 5% 8%
28–29 Nov YouGov/Sunday Times 1,796 30% 38% 10% 15% 2% 5% 8%
26–29 Nov Opinium/The Observer 1,941 28% 35% 8% 19% 4% 6% 7%
27–28 Nov Populus 2,025 35% 38% 12% 7% 3% 5% 3%
27–28 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,817 33% 39% 8% 14% 2% 4% 6%
26–27 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,888 32% 39% 10% 13% 2% 4% 7%
25–26 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,919 32% 39% 10% 12% 3% 4% 7%
24–25 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,681 32% 40% 10% 12% 2% 4% 8%
22–24 Nov ComRes/Independent 1,002 32% 37% 9% 11% 3% 8% 5%
22–24 Nov Populus 2,075 34% 39% 12% 7% 2% 6% 5%
21–22 Nov Survation/Daily Star 1,006 29% 36% 10% 18% 3% 4% 7%
21–22 Nov YouGov/Sunday Times 1,867 33% 40% 9% 11% 2% 5% 7%
20–21 Nov Populus 2,028 33% 38% 11% 11% 2% 5% 5%
20–21 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,909 32% 39% 10% 12% 2% 5% 7%
19–20 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,865 32% 40% 9% 12% 3% 4% 8%
18–19 Nov YouGov/The Sun 2,108 34% 38% 10% 11% 2% 5% 4%
17–18 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,650 32% 39% 11% 12% 2% 4% 7%
15–17 Nov Populus 2,010 32% 41% 10% 9% 2% 6% 9%
14–15 Nov YouGov/Sunday Times 1,851 33% 39% 10% 12% 2% 4% 6%
13–15 Nov ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent 2,023 29% 35% 10% 17% 5% 4% 6%
13–14 Nov Populus 2,051 31% 40% 11% 10% 3% 5% 9%
13–14 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,765 32% 40% 10% 13% 2% 3% 8%
12–14 Nov Opinium/The Observer 1,946 28% 37% 9% 16% 4% 6% 9%
12–13 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,998 31% 39% 9% 13% 2% 6% 8%
11–12 Nov YouGov/The Sun 2,032 32% 42% 8% 10% 3% 5% 10%
10–11 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,752 33% 40% 9% 11% 3% 4% 7%
9–11 Nov Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,019 32% 38% 8% 8% 7% 8% 6%
7–11 Nov TNS BMRB 1,210 30% 38% 8% 12% 4% 7% 8%
8–10 Nov ICM/The Guardian 1,004 30% 38% 13% 10% 3% 7% 8%
8–10 Nov Populus 2,053 31% 39% 11% 10% 3% 6% 8%
4–10 Nov Lord Ashcroft 8,053 30% 39% 8% 16% 3% 5% 9%
7–8 Nov YouGov/Sunday Times 1,878 34% 39% 10% 11% 2% 4% 5%
6–7 Nov Populus 2,019 32% 39% 12% 9% 3% 5% 7%
6–7 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,806 33% 39% 10% 11% 2% 5% 6%
5–6 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,825 33% 40% 9% 12% 3% 4% 7%
4–5 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,876 34% 40% 8% 11% 2% 6% 6%
3–4 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,747 33% 40% 9% 12% 2% 4% 7%
1–3 Nov Populus 2,014 34% 39% 10% 10% 3% 4% 5%
25 Sep–3 Nov Populus 14,701 34% 39% 12% 9% 3% 3% 5%
31 Oct–1 Nov YouGov/Sunday Times 1,885 32% 41% 8% 12% 2% 5% 9%
29 Oct–1 Nov Opinium/The Observer 1,957 31% 37% 7% 16% 3% 6% 6%
30–31 Oct Populus 2,015 33% 40% 11% 9% 2% 5% 7%
30–31 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,671 35% 39% 9% 10% 2% 5% 4%
29–30 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,862 33% 40% 8% 11% 2% 6% 7%
28–29 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,956 33% 39% 10% 11% 2% 5% 6%
27–28 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,736 31% 40% 9% 12% 3% 5% 9%
25–27 Oct ComRes/Independent 1,003 28% 36% 11% 12% 5% 8% 8%
25–27 Oct Populus 2,065 33% 38% 12% 9% 3% 5% 5%
25 Oct Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,000 29% 35% 12% 17% 2% 5% 6%
24–25 Oct YouGov/Sunday Times 1,913 33% 39% 9% 12% 3% 5% 6%
23–24 Oct Populus 2,011 34% 39% 11% 10% 3% 3% 5%
23–24 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,677 32% 38% 10% 13% 3% 5% 6%
22–23 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,895 32% 39% 9% 11% 3% 5% 7%
21–22 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,089 32% 40% 10% 13% 2% 3% 8%
20–21 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,735 33% 38% 9% 13% 2% 4% 5%
18–21 Oct Survation/Free Speech Network 1,004 29% 37% 10% 16% 3% 4% 8%
18–19 Oct Populus 2,018 34% 37% 14% 8% 3% 4% 3%
17–18 Oct YouGov/Sunday Times 2,311 33% 39% 10% 11% 2% 5% 6%
16–18 Oct ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent 2,001 32% 35% 9% 16% 3% 5% 3%
15–18 Oct Opinium/The Observer 1,936 27% 38% 9% 17% 4% 4% 11%
16–17 Oct Populus 2,043 33% 39% 12% 9% 2% 5% 6%
16–17 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,885 34% 40% 9% 11% 2% 4% 6%
15–16 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,914 35% 39% 8% 12% 2% 3% 4%
14–15 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,805 34% 39% 9% 11% 2% 5% 5%
12–15 Oct Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,004 35% 35% 9% 10% 4% 7% Tie
13–14 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,857 37% 38% 10% 10% 2% 3% 1%
10–14 Oct TNS BMRB 1,207 34% 36% 9% 13% 3% 5% 2%
11–13 Oct Populus 2,042 34% 39% 12% 8% 3% 4% 5%
11–13 Oct ICM/The Guardian[15] 1,004 34% 38% 12% 8% 3% 5% 4%
11 Oct Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,017 27% 37% 11% 18% 2% 5% 10%
10–11 Oct YouGov/Sunday Times 1,773 34% 39% 9% 11% 3% 5% 5%
9–10 Oct Populus 2,013 34% 39% 12% 8% 3% 4% 5%
9–10 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,859 33% 40% 10% 11% 2% 4% 7%
8–9 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,907 32% 38% 11% 13% 3% 3% 6%
7–8 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,879 33% 39% 10% 10% 3% 5% 6%
6–7 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,655 35% 39% 9% 10% 3% 3% 4%
4–6 Oct Populus 2,050 33% 40% 10% 10% 3% 4% 7%
3–4 Oct YouGov/Sunday Times 1,985 33% 38% 11% 13% 2% 3% 5%
1–4 Oct Opinium/The Observer 1,948 31% 36% 7% 15% 4% 7% 5%
2–3 Oct Populus 2,014 33% 38% 11% 10% 3% 5% 5%
2–3 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,883 35% 38% 9% 10% 2% 5% 3%
1–2 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,765 34% 40% 9% 10% 3% 4% 6%
30 Sep–1 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,914 31% 41% 8% 12% 2% 5% 10%
29–30 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,717 33% 39% 11% 13% 2% 3% 6%
27–29 Sep ComRes/Independent 1,001 33% 37% 11% 11% 3% 5% 4%
27–29 Sep Populus 2,006 36% 39% 11% 7% 3% 4% 3%
26–27 Sep YouGov/Sunday Times 1,895 31% 42% 9% 13% 2% 4% 11%
25–26 Sep Populus 2,015 34% 37% 12% 9% 2% 6% 3%
25–26 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,840 33% 40% 9% 11% 2% 5% 7%
24–25 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,919 32% 41% 8% 11% 3% 4% 9%
23–24 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,905 34% 39% 10% 10% 3% 4% 5%
22–23 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,763 32% 40% 10% 12% 2% 3% 8%
14 Aug–22 Sep Populus 14,616 33% 38% 12% 9% 3% 5% 5%
20–22 Sep Populus 2,036 33% 39% 14% 9% 2% 3% 6%
19–20 Sep YouGov/Sunday Times 1,956 33% 37% 11% 11% 3% 5% 4%
17–20 Sep Opinium/The Observer 1,929 29% 36% 7% 17% 4% 7% 7%
18–19 Sep Populus 2,043 33% 39% 11% 9% 3% 5% 6%
18–19 Sep ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent 2,003 28% 36% 10% 17% 4% 5% 8%
18–19 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,878 34% 35% 11% 11% 3% 5% 1%
17–18 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,853 36% 36% 10% 12% 2% 4% Tie
16–17 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,792 33% 37% 9% 13% 3% 4% 4%
15–16 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,636 34% 37% 10% 12% 3% 5% 3%
12–16 Sep TNS BMRB 1,224 29% 39% 9% 14% 2% 7% 10%
13–15 Sep ICM/The Guardian[15] 1,000 32% 36% 14% 9% 4% 5% 4%
13–15 Sep Populus 2,053 33% 40% 11% 9% 2% 5% 7%
12–13 Sep YouGov/Sunday Times 1,903 33% 38% 9% 12% 3% 5% 5%
11–12 Sep Populus 2,018 34% 41% 10% 7% 3% 5% 7%
11–12 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,819 34% 38% 8% 13% 3% 5% 4%
10–11 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,719 32% 39% 10% 12% 2% 4% 7%
9–10 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,579 33% 39% 9% 11% 3% 5% 6%
8–9 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,615 33% 38% 8% 14% 3% 4% 5%
7–9 Sep Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,000 34% 37% 10% 11% 3% 5% 3%
6–8 Sep Populus 2,025 34% 37% 13% 9% 2% 5% 3%
5–6 Sep YouGov/Sunday Times 1,916 34% 38% 9% 12% 3% 4% 4%
3–6 Sep Opinium/The Observer 1,942 30% 35% 7% 17% 4% 7% 5%
4–5 Sep Populus 2,036 33% 37% 14% 8% 3% 4% 4%
4–5 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,891 31% 38% 10% 13% 2% 6% 7%
3–4 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,930 33% 39% 10% 12% 2% 5% 6%
2–3 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,978 33% 37% 9% 13% 3% 5% 4%
1–2 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,717 33% 40% 9% 12% 2% 5% 7%
29 Aug–2 Sep TNS BMRB 1,230 28% 39% 11% 13% 3% 7% 11%
30 Aug–1 Sep Lord Ashcroft 1,005 30% 35% 11% 14% 4% 6% 5%
30 Aug–1 Sep ComRes/Independent 2,000 31% 37% 12% 10% 4% 6% 6%
30 Aug–1 Sep Populus 2,020 34% 38% 12% 8% 3% 4% 4%
30–31 Aug YouGov/Sunday Times 1,822 31% 41% 9% 13% 2% 4% 10%
30 Aug Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,002 29% 37% 11% 17% 2% 5% 8%
28–29 Aug Populus 2,041 33% 39% 12% 9% 2% 5% 6%
28–29 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,954 33% 37% 10% 12% 3% 5% 4%
27–28 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,886 34% 37% 11% 12% 2% 5% 3%
26–27 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,991 34% 39% 8% 12% 2% 5% 5%
23–26 Aug Populus 2,044 33% 37% 13% 10% 2% 5% 4%
22–23 Aug YouGov/Sunday Times 1,949 32% 38% 10% 13% 3% 5% 6%
20–23 Aug Opinium/The Observer 1,947 29% 36% 8% 18% 4% 5% 7%
21–22 Aug Populus 2,050 30% 38% 12% 12% 3% 5% 8%
21–22 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,871 32% 39% 11% 10% 2% 5% 7%
20–21 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,858 34% 37% 9% 13% 3% 4% 3%
19–20 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,940 32% 39% 10% 12% 3% 4% 7%
18–19 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,729 31% 38% 10% 14% 3% 6% 7%
16–18 Aug Populus 2,034 32% 38% 12% 11% 3% 4% 6%
15–16 Aug YouGov/Sunday Times 1,866 32% 38% 10% 13% 3% 5% 6%
14–15 Aug Populus 2,050 36% 39% 10% 8% 2% 5% 3%
14–15 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,865 34% 39% 9% 11% 2% 5% 5%
14–15 Aug ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent 2,001 28% 37% 8% 19% 3% 5% 9%
13–14 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,914 32% 38% 11% 13% 2% 4% 6%
12–13 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,960 35% 38% 10% 11% 2% 5% 3%
11–12 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,660 33% 40% 8% 13% 2% 5% 7%
10–12 Aug MORI-Political-Monitor-August-2013.aspx Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,007 30% 40% 10% 11% 6% 3% 10%
9–11 Aug ICM/The Guardian[15] 1,001 32% 35% 14% 10% 3% 5% 3%
9–11 Aug Populus 2,014 33% 39% 12% 10% 2% 4% 6%
8–9 Aug YouGov/Sunday Times 1,834 33% 41% 9% 10% 3% 4% 8%
7–8 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,735 34% 38% 9% 12% 2% 5% 4%
6–8 Aug Opinium/The Observer 1,945 29% 36% 9% 17% 3% 6% 7%
6–7 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,884 31% 39% 11% 11% 4% 4% 8%
5–6 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,979 32% 39% 10% 11% 2% 5% 7%
4–5 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,684 34% 38% 11% 12% 2% 5% 4%
2–4 Aug Populus 2,006 33% 38% 12% 9% 3% 5% 5%
2 Aug Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,001 28% 36% 11% 18% 1% 6% 8%
1–2 Aug YouGov/Sunday Times 1,952 32% 38% 10% 13% 2% 5% 6%
31 Jul–1 Aug Populus 2,027 29% 40% 11% 12% 3% 5% 11%
31 Jul–1 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,995 34% 40% 10% 11% 3% 2% 6%
30–31 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,869 33% 38% 10% 14% 2% 3% 5%
29–30 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,869 34% 40% 11% 10% 2% 4% 6%
28–29 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,751 33% 40% 10% 12% 2% 3% 7%
26–28 Jul Populus 2,049 34% 39% 11% 8% 3% 5% 5%
25–27 Jul ComRes/Independent 1,001 34% 37% 10% 12% 4% 4% 3%
25–26 Jul YouGov/Sunday Times 1,857 33% 39% 10% 11% 2% 5% 6%
23–26 Jul Opinium/The Observer 1,935 28% 39% 8% 16% 3% 6% 11%
24–25 Jul Populus 2,005 32% 39% 11% 10% 3% 5% 7%
24–25 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,817 32% 38% 11% 11% 3% 5% 6%
23–24 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,926 35% 39% 8% 11% 3% 4% 4%
22–23 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,968 32% 39% 11% 12% 2% 4% 7%
21–22 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,710 35% 38% 11% 10% 2% 4% 3%
18–22 Jul TNS BMRB 1,232 28% 38% 9% 16% 2% 7% 10%
19–21 Jul Populus 2,049 32% 39% 12% 9% 2% 6% 7%
18–19 Jul YouGov/Sunday Times 1,877 32% 39% 10% 11% 2% 5% 7%
17–18 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,866 33% 38% 11% 11% 2% 5% 5%
17–18 Jul Populus 2,004 31% 39% 12% 10% 3% 4% 8%
16–17 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,874 31% 37% 12% 13% 3% 5% 6%
15–16 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,965 32% 38% 10% 12% 2% 6% 6%
14–15 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,701 31% 40% 11% 11% 2% 7% 9%
12–14 Jul ICM/The Guardian[17] 1,003 36% 36% 13% 7% 3% 5% Tie
12–14 Jul Populus 2,044 31% 38% 13% 10% 4% 4% 7%
11–12 Jul YouGov/Sunday Times 1,857 30% 41% 10% 13% 2% 4% 11%
11–12 Jul Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,006 28% 36% 9% 20% 4% 3% 8%
10–12 Jul Opinium/The Observer 1,951 27% 38% 6% 19% 4% 6% 11%
10–11 Jul ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent 2,021 28% 36% 8% 18% 4% 6% 8%
9–10 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,955 32% 37% 11% 12% 3% 4% 5%
8–9 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,938 31% 39% 10% 13% 3% 4% 8%
7–8 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,938 34% 40% 10% 10% 2% 4% 6%
4–5 Jul YouGov/Sunday Times 1,660 33% 39% 11% 12% 2% 4% 6%
3–4 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,792 31% 39% 11% 12% 2% 5% 8%
3 Jul Survation/Mirror 1,085 23% 36% 10% 22% 4% 5% 13%
2–3 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,923 32% 40% 9% 13% 2% 4% 8%
1–2 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,967 32% 40% 9% 12% 3% 4% 8%
30 Jun–1 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,620 33% 38% 8% 12% 2% 6% 5%
27–28 Jun YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,967 33% 38% 11% 11% 2% 5% 5%
25–28 Jun Opinium/The Observer 1,954 27% 37% 7% 19% 3% 7% 10%
26–27 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,920 33% 39% 10% 13% 3% 2% 6%
25–26 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,915 31% 42% 11% 10% 3% 4% 11%
24–25 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,860 32% 40% 11% 11% 2% 4% 8%
23–24 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,694 32% 39% 9% 12% 3% 4% 7%
21–23 Jun ComRes/Independent 1,000 30% 36% 10% 14% 5% 4% 6%
20–21 Jun YouGov/Sunday Times 1,916 31% 39% 10% 13% 3% 4% 8%
19–20 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,872 31% 39% 11% 14% 2% 3% 8%
18–19 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,847 32% 38% 10% 13% 2% 4% 6%
17–18 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,921 31% 38% 10% 12% 2% 6% 7%
16–17 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,705 31% 40% 10% 13% 2% 4% 9%
13–14 Jun YouGov/Sunday Times 1,897 30% 39% 10% 14% 2% 5% 9%
12–14 Jun Opinium/The Observer 1,942 27% 36% 7% 20% 3% 8% 9%
12–13 Jun ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent 2,041 26% 35% 10% 19% 4% 6% 9%
12–13 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,861 32% 39% 10% 12% 2% 5% 7%
11–12 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,926 30% 38% 11% 12% 3% 5% 8%
10–11 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,874 30% 38% 9% 16% 3% 4% 8%
9–10 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,689 28% 39% 11% 15% 2% 5% 11%
8–10 Jun Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,023 31% 35% 10% 12% 4% 8% 4%
6–10 Jun TNS BMRB 1,208 27% 36% 8% 19% 3% 7% 9%
7–9 Jun ICM/The Guardian 1,002 29% 36% 12% 12% 2% 8% 7%
6–7 Jun YouGov/Sunday Times 1,836 30% 40% 9% 14% 2% 5% 10%
5–6 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,905 32% 39% 10% 13% 3% 3% 7%
4–5 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,939 30% 39% 10% 14% 3% 4% 9%
3–4 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,974 30% 40% 10% 14% 2% 4% 10%
3 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,387 31% 38% 10% 16% 2% 3% 7%
30 May–3 Jun TNS BMRB 1,190 24% 37% 10% 19% 3% 7% 13%
31 May–2 Jun Lord Ashcroft 1,007 27% 37% 9% 15% 12% 10%
30–31 May YouGov/Sunday Times 1,879 30% 39% 10% 15% 2% 4% 9%
28–31 May Opinium/The Observer 1,948 26% 37% 6% 21% 4% 6% 11%
30 May Survation/Sun on Sunday 1,007 25% 36% 10% 20% 4% 5% 11%
29–30 May YouGov/The Sun 1,928 30% 38% 11% 14% 3% 4% 8%
28–29 May YouGov/The Sun 1,915 30% 37% 11% 14% 3% 5% 7%
17–29 May Lord Ashcroft 20,062 27% 38% 9% 18% 3% 5% 11%
27–28 May YouGov/The Sun 1,995 29% 39% 10% 15% 3% 5% 10%
24–26 May ComRes/Independent 1,000 30% 34% 10% 17% 2% 7% 4%
24 May Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,121 24% 35% 10% 22% 4% 5% 11%
23–24 May YouGov/Sunday Times 1,839 30% 40% 10% 14% 2% 4% 10%
22–24 May ComRes/Open Europe 2,003 26% 37% 9% 20% 3% 5% 11%
22–23 May YouGov/The Sun 1,671 29% 42% 11% 13% 2% 4% 13%
21–22 May YouGov/The Sun 1,810 29% 39% 11% 16% 1% 4% 10%
20–21 May YouGov/The Sun 1,914 27% 38% 10% 16% 4% 5% 11%
19–20 May YouGov/The Sun 1,770 31% 39% 10% 14% 2% 4% 8%
17–18 May Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,000 24% 35% 11% 22% 0% 8% 11%
16–17 May YouGov/Sunday Times 1,809 29% 40% 9% 14% 3% 5% 11%
15–16 May ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent[permanent dead link] 2,017 29% 35% 8% 19% 4% 5% 6%
15–16 May YouGov/The Sun 1,774 31% 39% 9% 15% 2% 4% 8%
14–16 May Opinium/The Observer 1,955 27% 37% 7% 20% 4% 5% 10%
14–16 May TNS BMRB 1,264 28% 37% 7% 18% 4% 6% 9%
14–15 May YouGov/The Sun 1,886 30% 40% 10% 14% 2% 5% 10%
13–14 May YouGov/The Sun 1,900 30% 40% 10% 15% 2% 3% 10%
12–13 May YouGov/The Sun 1,748 31% 38% 10% 14% 2% 5% 7%
11–13 May Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,009 31% 34% 10% 13% 5% 8% 3%
10–12 May ICM/The Guardian 1,001 28% 34% 11% 18% 2% 7% 6%
9–10 May YouGov/Sunday Times 1,945 30% 39% 9% 16% 3% 3% 9%
8–9 May YouGov/The Sun 1,876 30% 39% 10% 14% 2% 4% 9%
7–8 May YouGov/The Sun 1,931 27% 38% 11% 17% 2% 5% 11%
6–7 May YouGov/The Sun 2,000 29% 39% 9% 16% 2% 5% 10%
2–3 May YouGov/Sunday Times 1,959 30% 40% 11% 12% 2% 5% 10%
2 May 2013 United Kingdom local elections, and 2013 South Shields by-election.
1–2 May YouGov/The Sun 1,851 32% 43% 9% 10% 1% 5% 11%
30 Apr–2 May Opinium/The Observer 1,951 28% 35% 9% 17% 4% 7% 7%
30 Apr–1 May YouGov/The Sun 1,784 33% 39% 10% 13% 2% 3% 6%
29–30 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,891 30% 39% 11% 14% 2% 4% 9%
28–29 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,632 30% 39% 11% 14% 3% 4% 9%
26–28 Apr ComRes/Independent 1,001 32% 38% 9% 13% 4% 4% 6%
26–28 Apr Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,001 29% 36% 12% 16% 3% 5% 7%
25–26 Apr YouGov/Sunday Times 1,898 31% 40% 11% 11% 3% 5% 9%
24–25 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,836 32% 40% 11% 12% 2% 3% 8%
23–24 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,997 31% 39% 10% 11% 3% 5% 8%
22–23 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,934 33% 40% 10% 12% 3% 3% 7%
21–22 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,722 32% 39% 11% 13% 2% 4% 7%
18–19 Apr YouGov/Sunday Times 1,903 32% 40% 11% 10% 2% 5% 8%
17–18 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,912 33% 40% 10% 11% 2% 5% 7%
16–18 Apr Opinium/The Observer 1,969 29% 35% 8% 17% 4% 7% 6%
16–17 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,937 30% 41% 10% 12% 2% 5% 11%
15–16 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,952 33% 40% 10% 11% 2% 4% 7%
13–15 Apr Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,010 29% 38% 10% 15% 4% 4% 9%
14–15 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,609 31% 39% 12% 12% 2% 4% 8%
12–14 Apr ICM/The Guardian 1,005 32% 38% 15% 9% 2% 5% 6%
12–13 Apr Angus Reid Public Opinion 2,004 27% 39% 8% 16% 3% 7% 12%
11–12 Apr YouGov/Sunday Times 1,982 31% 42% 12% 11% 2% 3% 11%
10–11 Apr ComRes/Independent/Sunday Mirror 2,012 30% 38% 8% 15% 3% 6% 8%
10–11 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,976 32% 42% 9% 11% 2% 4% 10%
9–10 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,035 28% 42% 12% 11% 2% 5% 14%
8–9 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,893 33% 41% 10% 10% 2% 4% 8%
7–8 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,765 30% 40% 12% 12% 2% 4% 10%
4–8 Apr TNS BMRB 1,184 25% 40% 10% 14% 4% 7% 15%
4–5 Apr YouGov/Sunday Times 1,991 30% 40% 11% 13% 2% 4% 10%
3–4 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,013 30% 42% 11% 12% 2% 4% 12%
2–4 Apr Opinium/The Observer 1,948 28% 38% 8% 17% 3% 6% 10%
2–3 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,994 33% 41% 9% 11% 2% 4% 8%
1–2 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,757 30% 43% 11% 10% 3% 3% 13%
27–28 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,918 29% 42% 11% 13% 2% 3% 13%
26–27 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,867 30% 40% 12% 13% 2% 3% 10%
25–26 Mar YouGov/The Sun 2,047 30% 39% 13% 12% 2% 3% 9%
24–25 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,655 30% 41% 13% 11% 2% 4% 11%
21–25 Mar TNS BMRB 1,204 27% 37% 10% 17% 3% 7% 10%
22–24 Mar ComRes/Independent 1,003 28% 38% 12% 14% 3% 5% 10%
21–22 Mar YouGov/Sunday Times 1,937 30% 41% 12% 12% 2% 3% 11%
20–21 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,925 32% 41% 11% 10% 2% 4% 9%
19–21 Mar Opinium/The Observer 1,958 28% 38% 9% 16% 2% 7% 10%
19–20 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,942 30% 41% 11% 12% 1% 5% 11%
18–19 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,920 31% 41% 11% 11% 2% 4% 10%
17–18 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,779 32% 40% 11% 10% 2% 4% 8%
14–18 Mar TNS BMRB 1,205 26% 39% 13% 13% 2% 6% 13%
14–15 Mar YouGov/Sunday Times 1,918 29% 41% 12% 12% 2% 4% 12%
13–14 Mar ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent 2,015 28% 37% 9% 17% 4% 5% 9%
13–14 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,962 30% 42% 11% 11% 2% 5% 12%
12–13 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,871 31% 40% 11% 12% 3% 4% 9%
11–12 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,969 29% 43% 11% 12% 1% 4% 14%
10–11 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,684 32% 40% 11% 11% 1% 5% 8%
9–11 Mar Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,009 27% 40% 11% 13% 4% 5% 13%
7–11 Mar TNS BMRB 1,191 25% 38% 11% 15% 3% 7% 13%
8–10 Mar ICM/The Guardian 1,002 31% 39% 15% 7% 2% 6% 8%
7–8 Mar YouGov/Sunday Times 1,525 31% 41% 12% 11% 1% 4% 10%
6–7 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,865 32% 41% 11% 11% 2% 4% 9%
5–7 Mar Opinium/The Observer 1,950 27% 39% 8% 17% 3% 6% 12%
5–6 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,964 31% 41% 11% 12% 2% 4% 10%
4–5 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,906 29% 42% 11% 12% 2% 4% 13%
3–4 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,727 31% 40% 12% 12% 1% 5% 9%
28 Feb–4 Mar TNS BMRB 1,194 29% 38% 11% 14% 3% 6% 9%
28 Feb–1 Mar YouGov/Sunday Times 1,897 31% 42% 10% 11% 2% 3% 11%
28 Feb 2013 Eastleigh by-election.
27–28 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,761 29% 42% 12% 11% 2% 4% 13%
26–27 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,966 32% 43% 11% 8% 1% 5% 11%
25–26 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,925 32% 42% 12% 9% 1% 5% 10%
24–25 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,704 32% 44% 10% 8% 2% 4% 12%
22–24 Feb YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,964 32% 43% 11% 9% 2% 3% 11%
22–24 Feb ComRes/Independent 1,005 31% 43% 8% 9% 4% 5% 12%
20–21 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,920 31% 45% 11% 9% 2% 2% 14%
19–21 Feb Opinium/The Observer 1,956 29% 41% 8% 13% 2% 7% 12%
19–20 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,968 33% 43% 9% 10% 2% 3% 10%
18–19 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,855 29% 44% 11% 11% 1% 4% 15%
17–18 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,713 32% 41% 12% 8% 2% 4% 9%
14–18 Feb TNS BMRB 1,211 29% 38% 11% 12% 3% 7% 9%
14–15 Feb YouGov/Sunday Times 1,871 32% 43% 12% 9% 1% 3% 11%
13–14 Feb ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent 2,002 31% 36% 8% 14% 4% 6% 5%
13–14 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,892 31% 42% 11% 10% 2% 3% 11%
12–13 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,946 32% 42% 9% 9% 3% 4% 10%
11–12 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,902 32% 43% 10% 9% 2% 4% 11%
10–11 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,691 31% 42% 11% 9% 2% 5% 11%
9–11 Feb Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,018 30% 42% 7% 9% 4% 8% 12%
7–11 Feb TNS BMRB 1,197 31% 41% 10% 10% 3% 5% 10%
8–10 Feb ICM/The Guardian 1,001 29% 41% 13% 9% 2% 6% 12%
7–8 Feb YouGov/Sunday Times 1,930 32% 41% 11% 9% 2% 5% 9%
6–7 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,917 33% 41% 11% 9% 2% 4% 8%
5–7 Feb Opinium/The Observer 1,953 29% 39% 8% 14% 4% 5% 10%
5–6 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,955 31% 42% 12% 9% 1% 4% 11%
4–5 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,962 32% 42% 11% 8% 2% 5% 10%
3–4 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,712 30% 45% 11% 9% 2% 3% 15%
31 Jan–4 Feb TNS BMRB 1,199 28% 41% 10% 11% 3% 7% 13%
31 Jan–1 Feb YouGov/Sunday Times 2,030 34% 41% 12% 8% 1% 4% 7%
30–31 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,914 32% 44% 10% 8% 2% 3% 12%
29–30 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,939 33% 42% 10% 7% 2% 5% 9%
28–29 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,971 33% 42% 11% 8% 2% 4% 9%
27–28 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,727 35% 41% 10% 9% 2% 3% 6%
25–27 Jan ComRes/Independent 1,002 32% 39% 10% 10% 5% 4% 7%
25 Jan Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,005 31% 38% 10% 14% 2% 5% 7%
24–25 Jan YouGov/Sunday Times 1,943 35% 41% 12% 7% 1% 4% 6%
24–25 Jan Angus Reid Public Opinion 2,004 30% 39% 10% 12% 3% 6% 9%
23–25 Jan ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent 2,035 33% 39% 11% 10% 2% 5% 6%
23–24 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,843 33% 43% 10% 9% 2% 3% 10%
22–24 Jan Opinium/The Observer 1,949 28% 41% 8% 14% 3% 6% 13%
22–24 Jan TNS BMRB 1,237 31% 41% 8% 12% 3% 6% 10%
22–23 Jan YouGov/The Sun 2,045 31% 43% 11% 10% 2% 3% 12%
21–22 Jan YouGov/The Sun 2,119 31% 41% 12% 10% 2% 3% 10%
20–21 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,675 33% 42% 10% 10% 2% 2% 9%
18–20 Jan ICM/The Guardian 1,001 33% 38% 15% 6% 2% 5% 5%
17–18 Jan YouGov/Sunday Times 1,912 33% 42% 11% 7% 2% 5% 9%
16–17 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,887 34% 44% 9% 8% 2% 3% 10%
15–16 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,880 33% 42% 12% 8% 2% 3% 9%
14–15 Jan YouGov/The Sun 2,007 32% 44% 10% 9% 2% 3% 12%
13–14 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,714 31% 44% 11% 9% 2% 3% 13%
12–14 Jan Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,015 30% 43% 8% 9% 3% 8% 13%
11–14 Jan TNS BMRB 1,198 31% 37% 9% 13% 3% 7% 6%
10–11 Jan YouGov/Sunday Times 1,995 31% 44% 11% 8% 2% 4% 13%
10–11 Jan Angus Reid Public Opinion 2,015 27% 42% 10% 11% 3% 6% 15%
8–11 Jan Opinium/The Observer 1,964 31% 41% 7% 12% 2% 9% 10%
9–10 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,971 31% 42% 11% 10% 2% 3% 11%
8–9 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,980 33% 43% 10% 10% 2% 2% 10%
7–8 Jan YouGov/The Sun 2,050 32% 44% 10% 9% 2% 3% 12%
6–7 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,750 32% 41% 11% 9% 2% 5% 9%
4–7 Jan TNS BMRB 1,221 29% 39% 10% 12% 3% 7% 10%
5 Jan Survation/Mail on Sunday 790 29% 38% 11% 16% 3% 4% 9%
3–4 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,988 32% 43% 10% 9% 2% 4% 11%
2–3 Jan YouGov/The Sun 2,005 32% 43% 10% 9% 2% 4% 11%
1–2 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,760 31% 43% 11% 9% 2% 4% 12%

2012Edit

2011Edit

2010Edit

Sub-national pollingEdit

Polling was conducted separately in the constituent countries of the United Kingdom. Of the 650 seats in the House of Commons, England had 533, Scotland had 59, Wales had 40 and Northern Ireland had 18.

Leadership approval pollingEdit

MethodologyEdit

Each polling organisation uses slightly different methodology in their collection of data; a brief description of each company's methods is as follows:

  • Angus Reid Public Opinion collects its data through online internet surveys, and demographically weights its data to be representative of the whole population in terms of age, gender, social class, the region of the country lived in and newspaper readership. Past vote weighting is used, and is calculated separately for respondents from Scotland and respondents from England and Wales, whilst those saying they do not know how they will vote are asked which party they are leaning towards, and any responses to this are used as a full response, whilst those still unsure being discounted from the final calculation of levels of party support.[18]
  • BMG Research[19] is a Birmingham-based social research company which carried out its first political poll from 25 to 27 April 2015 for PoliticsHome,[20] May2015[21] and the Electoral Reform Society, with the voting intention questions being commissioned by May2015.[13] BMG carries out its fieldwork online and weights for past vote and likelihood to vote with people who did not vote at the previous General Election weighted down by 50%.[22] BMG Research is not a member of the British Polling Council but is applying for membership and abides by BPC rules in carrying out opinion polls. It is recognised by the BPC as a market researcher.[23][24]
  • ComRes uses both telephone interviews and online surveys to collect its data; all polls will be conducted using one method exclusively. It is not shown explicitly in the tables in this article whether a particular poll has been conducted by telephone or online but in general those polls with the smaller samples (~1,000) are telephone polls and those with the larger samples (~2,000) were conducted online. The data tables will confirm how the poll was conducted. Whatever the data collection method, all respondents are weighted according to gender, age, social class, household tenure, work status, number of cars owned and whether or not they have taken a foreign holiday in the previous three years. Both telephone and online polls are weighted according to past vote in the last general election, whilst telephone polls also use data from the last 12 ComRes telephone-conducted opinion polls. ComRes compensates for those respondents who says they do not know by asking them instead which party they most clearly identify with, whilst all respondents are weighted according to likelihood to vote on a scale of one to ten, with respondents saying their likelihood of voting is less than four being discounted entirely, and respondents saying their likelihood is more than five being progressively weighted, with a five-out-of-ten likelihood being weighted as half a response and a ten-out-of-ten likelihood being weighted as one whole response.[25]
  • ICM also collects its data through telephone interviews, and also demographically weights its respondents according to their gender, age, social class, household tenure, work status and the region of the country they live in. It weights respondents according to the levels of support a party received in the previous general election and the last 25 ICM opinion polls and, if a past vote is given, this is used to allocate a response to those who say they do not know how they will vote, although such a response is counted as only half of one whole response. ICM also weights its respondents as to how likely they say they are to vote, with respondents who say they are certain to vote given a higher weighting than those who are not as certain, while if a respondent did not vote at the previous general election, their turnout weighting is automatically reduced by half.[26]
  • Ipsos MORI collects its data through telephone interviews, and weights its respondents to be demographically representative of gender, age, social class, work status, work sector, household tenure and the region of the country they live in. Data is not weighted according to the way respondents voted at the previous general election, any respondents who say they do not know how they will vote are discounted, and only the responses of people who says they are certain to vote are included in the final calculation of levels of support for each party.[27]
  • Lord Ashcroft commissions and publishes polls as Lord Ashcroft Polls. On 12 May 2014 he published the first in a series of opinion polls to be published weekly up to the 2015 UK general election.[28] These polls are carried out by telephone, and are past-vote weighted with an allowance for false recall. They are also weighted for likelihood to vote, with a proportion of Don't Knows reallocated to how respondents said they voted at the 2010 general election. The Conservatives, Labour, Liberal Democrats and UKIP are prompted for. Lord Ashcroft does not disclose the organisations which carry out his fieldwork, but states that a number are used.[29] Initially, the methodology of the weekly Ashcroft National Poll was said to be similar to that used by Populus before they moved to polling online.[30] He is not a BPC member; he was initially invited to join[31] but the BPC now states that he is not eligible as he does not work for multiple clients.[32]
  • Opinium surveys are conducted online via web interviewing, drawing a sample of responses from the company's panel of around 30,000 people. This sample is representative of the adult population of Great Britain in the areas of age, gender, regional location, working status and social grade, as according to the latest Office for National Statistics data. Responses from different demographic groups are handled appropriately to compensate for differential response rates in these different groups.[33]
  • Populus conducts its surveys over the telephone, and weights all respondents according to gender, age, social class, household tenure, work status, the number of cars they own, and whether they have taken a foreign holiday in the past three years, to be representative of the whole electorate. Respondents are weighted according to their past vote and the levels of support for each party recorded in the previous 20 Populus opinion polls. Respondents who say they do not know how they will vote are allocated according to how they voted at the last general election, at a reduced weighting of 0.5 for previous Conservative or Labour voters and 0.3 for previous Liberal Democrat voters. All respondents are also weighted according to how likely they are to vote, with those certain to vote given the highest weighting.[34]
  • Survation opinion polling is achieved through online surveys, and all data is weighted to represent the wider population of Great Britain in terms of gender, age, socio-economic group, religion, how the respondent previously voted, and stated likelihood of voting in the next general election. Respondents who are either undecided or refuse to state how they would vote are excluded from the final results, unless they have provided details of how they have voted in the past, in which case, that information is used to adjust the results.[35]
  • TNS-BMRB[n 6] interviews a representative sample of adults aged 18+. All interviews are conducted in respondents' homes, although the voting intention data is collected using self-completion methods. The data is weighted twice: firstly to match population totals for age, sex, social grade, working status, presence of children, 2010 voting patterns and region; and secondly, for voting intention questions only, an additional 'likelihood-to-vote' weight is applied.[36]
  • YouGov collects its data through an online survey, and weights its respondents to be representative of the population as a whole in terms of age, gender, social class, identification with a political party, region of the country and newspaper readership. Respondents are weighted according to how they voted in the previous general election in order to achieve a sample that is reflective of each party's level of support at that election, whilst those respondents who say they do not know who they will vote for are discounted from calculating levels of support for each party.[37]

See alsoEdit

References and notesEdit

Notes
  1. ^ Headline figures published to one decimal place: Con 31.4% Lab 31.4% UKIP 15.7% LD 9.6% Green 4.8 SNP 4.7% Plaid 0.4 Others 1.9%
  2. ^ Final General Election 2015 prediction poll published 7 May 2015 with an additional 463 respondents added to the data published the previous day
  3. ^ Preliminary prediction poll published 6 May 2015
  4. ^ The question asked was "Thinking of the general election in May, for which party will you vote?" rather than Opinium's usual "If there were a general election tomorrow, for which party would you vote?"
  5. ^ This is the VI portion (turnout weighted, Table 4) of Lord Ashcroft's NHS poll, released in January 2015. "VQ.2 If there was a general election tomorrow, which party would you vote for? Base: All respondents expressing an intention to vote (Turnout weighted)"
  6. ^ Since December 2014, TNS's polls have been mostly branded as TNS or TNS Global.

PThe dates when the fieldwork for this poll was carried out are unknown; therefore, the date of publication has been given.

References
  1. ^ Farmer, Ben. "Why the opinion polls got it so wrong, YouGov president explains". The Telegraph. Retrieved 8 May 2015.
  2. ^ Logue, Patrick. "UK Election: Ten key points from the count". Irish Times. Retrieved 8 May 2015.
  3. ^ Bennister, Mark. "UK Election 2015: how the votes stacked up for David Cameron". The Conversation. Retrieved 8 May 2015.
  4. ^ Selby, Jenn. "Paddy Ashdown's hat becomes the unlikely star of election night after the former Lib Dem leader's misguided prediction". The Independent. Retrieved 8 May 2015.
  5. ^ "Ashcroft National Poll: CATI Fieldwork 17-19 April 2015" (PDF). Lord Ashcroft. 20 April 2015. Retrieved 20 April 2015.
  6. ^ "Westminster Voting Intention". UK Opinion Bee. Retrieved 31 January 2015.
  7. ^ "Election 2015: Results - National". BBC. Retrieved 9 May 2015.
  8. ^ "Election 2015: Results - Northern Ireland". BBC. Retrieved 9 May 2015.
  9. ^ Parker, George (5 May 2015). "Parties struggle to break UK election deadlock". Financial Times. Retrieved 11 May 2015.
  10. ^ Lyons Lowe, Damian (8 May 2015). "Snatching defeat from the jaws of victory". Survation. Retrieved 8 May 2015.
  11. ^ Balz, Dan (7 May 2015). "Cameron expected to emerge victorious, survey finds". Washington Post. Retrieved 11 May 2015.
  12. ^ Trevelyan, Mark (6 May 2015). "Panelbase poll on election eve puts Labour 2 points ahead". Reuters. Retrieved 11 May 2015.
  13. ^ a b "BMG Research expands into political polling". 29 April 2015. Retrieved 29 April 2015.
  14. ^ See also "Opinium poll that "slipped out" has CON ahead with the LDs down on 5%". politicalbetting.com. Retrieved 22 November 2014.
  15. ^ a b c d e f g h i j ICM adjust for don't know/refusers by reallocating a proportion of those to the major party they tend to support. Percentage for Greens is based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers.
  16. ^ a b c d Lord Ashcroft adjusts for don't know/refusers by reallocating a proportion of those to the party they tend to support. Before 2 Jun 2014 Ashcroft percentages for Greens are based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers.
  17. ^ ICM adjust for don't know/refusers by reallocating a proportion of those to the major party they tend to support. Percentage for UKIP and Greens is based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers.
  18. ^ "Angus Reid Public Opinion Methodology" (PDF). Angus Reid Public Opinion. 20 July 2011. Retrieved 26 July 2011.
  19. ^ "BMG Research". 4 February 2016. Retrieved 4 February 2016.
  20. ^ "PoliticsHome". 4 February 2016. Retrieved 4 February 2016.
  21. ^ "May2015". 4 February 2016. Retrieved 4 February 2016.
  22. ^ Wells, Anthony (29 April 2015). "BMG, MORI Scotland, Ashcroft constituencies and ComRes marginals". UK Polling Report. Retrieved 2 May 2015.
  23. ^ "Election 2015: New exclusive poll puts Tories three points ahead of Labour". May2015.com. 29 April 2015. Retrieved 5 May 2015.
  24. ^ "Election 2015: New exclusive poll puts Labour and Tories on exactly 33.7 per sent each". May2015.com. 5 May 2015. Retrieved 5 May 2015.
  25. ^ "Public Polling Methodology". ComRes. Retrieved 26 July 2011.
  26. ^ "July Poll for the Guardian" (PDF). ICM Research. Retrieved 26 July 2011.
  27. ^ "Data Collection". Ipsos MORI. Retrieved 26 July 2011.
  28. ^ "Tories lead in my first weekly national poll". Lord Ashcroft Polls. Retrieved 19 May 2014.
  29. ^ "Sheffield Hallam, Doncaster North and Thanet South". Lord Ashcroft Polls. 7 February 2015. Retrieved 9 February 2015.
  30. ^ "Ashcroft – CON 34, LAB 32, LDEM 9, UKIP 15". Anthony Wells. Retrieved 2 November 2014.
  31. ^ "Minutes of the Annual General Meeting 2013". British Polling Council. Retrieved 19 May 2014.
  32. ^ Curtice, John (16 April 2015). "Reading the Polls: Election 2015 and The British Polling Council". British Polling Council. Retrieved 1 May 2015.
  33. ^ "Political Polling". Opinium Research LLP. Retrieved 18 April 2012.
  34. ^ "Populus sampling and weighting methodology". Populus. Retrieved 26 July 2011.
  35. ^ "Survation Poll The Budget Aftermath For The Mail On Sunday". Survation. Retrieved 27 March 2012.
  36. ^ "TNS BMRB Methodology". TNS BMRB. Retrieved 17 December 2012.
  37. ^ "Panel Methodology". YouGov. Retrieved 26 July 2011.

External linksEdit