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2022 United States Senate election in New Hampshire

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The 2022 United States Senate election in New Hampshire will be held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of New Hampshire.[1] The primary election is September 13, 2022.[2]

2022 United States Senate election in New Hampshire
← 2016 November 8, 2022 2028 →
 
Party Democratic Republican
Incumbent U.S. senator

Maggie Hassan
Democratic



Incumbent first-term Democratic U.S. senator Maggie Hassan was first elected in 2016, defeating Republican incumbent Kelly Ayotte with 48.0% of the vote. She has declared her intention to run for a second term.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Maggie Hassan
U.S. Executive Branch Officials
Organizations

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Maggie Hassan (incumbent)
Democratic Paul Krautmann
Democratic John Riggieri
Total votes

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

Don Bolduc
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. Senators
Chuck Morse
State legislators
  • Jess Edwards, state representative[44]
  • Frank McCarthy, former state representative[45]
  • JP Marzullo, former state representative[46]
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers
Kevin Smith
Statewide officials
U.S. Representatives
Organizations
Declined to endorse
State officials

Debates

2022 Republican primary debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Participants
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Don Bolduc Kevin Smith Chuck Morse Vikram Mansharamani Bruce Fenton
1 June 27, 2022 NH Journal Michael Graham, Alicia Xanthopolous, Haris Alic Link[57] P P P P P
2[58] August 16, 2022 Good Morning New Hampshire Jack Heath N/A P P P P P
3[citation needed] P P P N P

Polling

Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Don
Bolduc 		Bruce
Fenton 		Vikram
Mansharamani 		Chuck
Morse 		Kevin
Smith 		Other
[b] 		Margin
Real Clear Politics August 9–29, 2022 August 31, 2022 37.5% 4.5% 3.5% 19.0% 3.5% 32.0% Bolduc +18.5
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Don
Bolduc 		Bruce
Fenton 		Vikram
Mansharamani 		Chuck
Morse 		Kevin
Smith 		Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire August 25–29, 2022 892 (LV) ± 3.3% 43% 5% 5% 22% 3% 2% 20%
Saint Anselm College August 9–11, 2022 820 (RV) ± 3.4% 32% 4% 2% 16% 4% 2% 39%
University of New Hampshire April 14–18, 2022 315 (LV) ± 5.5% 33% 1% – 2% 4% 1% 58%

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Gerard Beloin
Republican John Berman
Republican Donald C. Bolduc
Republican Bruce Fenton
Republican Dennis Lamare
Republican Edmond Laplante
Republican Vikram Mansharamani
Republican Andy Martin
Republican Chuck Morse
Republican Tejasinha Sivalingam
Republican Kevin H. Smith
Total votes

Libertarian convention

 
Jeremy Kauffman, the Libertarian nominee

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated at convention

Independents

Candidates

Declared

  • Geoff Woollacott, businessman[30]
  • Steve Hattamer, Physician[61]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[62] Lean D November 19, 2021
Inside Elections[63] Tilt D July 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[64] Lean D November 3, 2021
Politico[65] Lean D April 1, 2022
RCP[66] Tossup January 10, 2022
Fox News[67] Tossup May 12, 2022
DDHQ[68] Lean D July 20, 2022
538[69] Likely D August 3, 2022

Polling

Maggie Hassan vs. Don Bolduc
Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Maggie
Hassan (D) 		Don
Bolduc (R) 		Other
[d] 		Margin
Real Clear Politics December 10, 2021 – April 18, 2022 April 21, 2022 45.7% 41.7% 12.6% Hassan +4.0
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Maggie
Hassan (D) 		Don
Bolduc (R) 		Other Undecided
Data for Progress (D) June 22 – July 8, 2022 903 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 45% – 6%
Change Research (D)[A] June 24–27, 2022 704 (LV) ± 3.7% 49% 40% – 11%
University of New Hampshire April 14–18, 2022 868 (LV) ± 3.5% 47% 46% 1% 6%
Phillips Academy April 4–8, 2022 533 (A) ± 4.2% 45% 40% – 15%
471 (RV) ± 4.5% 54% 39% – 7%
Saint Anselm College March 23–24, 2022 1,265 (RV) ± 2.8% 44% 39% 7% 10%
Saint Anselm College January 11–12, 2022 1,215 (RV) ± 2.8% 43% 36% 10% 12%
The Trafalgar Group (R) December 10–12, 2021 1,041 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 40% – 14%
University of New Hampshire October 14–18, 2021 979 (LV) ± 3.1% 47% 42% 6% 6%
University of New Hampshire July 15–19, 2021 1,540 (LV) ± 2.5% 51% 41% 1% 6%
University of New Hampshire February 18–22, 2021 1,676 (LV) ± 2.4% 52% 39% 2% 7%
Maggie Hassan vs. Bruce Fenton
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Maggie
Hassan (D) 		Bruce
Fenton (R) 		Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire April 14–18, 2022 868 (LV) ± 3.5% 46% 40% 0% 14%
Maggie Hassan vs. Chuck Morse
Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Maggie
Hassan (D) 		Chuck
Morse (R) 		Other
[e] 		Margin
Real Clear Politics December 10, 2021 – April 18, 2022 April 21, 2022 44.3% 40.0% 15.7% Hassan +4.3
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Maggie
Hassan (D) 		Chuck
Morse (R) 		Other Undecided
Data for Progress (D) June 22 – July 8, 2022 903 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 46% – 5%
University of New Hampshire April 14–18, 2022 868 (LV) ± 3.5% 44% 46% 1% 9%
Phillips Academy April 4–8, 2022 533 (A) ± 4.2% 43% 40% – 17%
471 (RV) ± 4.5% 51% 45% – 6%
Saint Anselm College March 23–24, 2022 1,265 (RV) ± 2.8% 43% 36% 10% 11%
Saint Anselm College January 11–12, 2022 1,215 (RV) ± 2.8% 41% 27% 17% 15%
The Trafalgar Group (R) December 10–12, 2021 1,041 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 38% – 16%
Maggie Hassan vs. Kevin Smith
Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Maggie
Hassan (D) 		Kevin
Smith (R) 		Other
[f] 		Margin
Real Clear Politics March 23 – April 18, 2022 April 21, 2022 44.5% 39.0% 16.5% Hassan +5.5
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Maggie
Hassan (D) 		Kevin
Smith (R) 		Other Undecided
Data for Progress (D) June 22 – July 8, 2022 903 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 45% – 6%
University of New Hampshire April 14–18, 2022 868 (LV) ± 3.5% 45% 44% 1% 10%
Saint Anselm College March 23–24, 2022 1,265 (RV) ± 2.8% 44% 34% 10% 12%
Saint Anselm College January 11–12, 2022 1,215 (RV) ± 2.8% 42% 24% 17% 17%
Hypothetical polling
Maggie Hassan vs. Kelly Ayotte
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Maggie
Hassan (D) 		Kelly
Ayotte (R) 		Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire October 14–18, 2021 979 (LV) ± 3.1% 44% 43% 7% 5%
University of New Hampshire July 15–19, 2021 1,540 (LV) ± 2.5% 49% 45% 3% 3%
University of New Hampshire February 18–22, 2021 1,676 (LV) ± 2.4% 48% 43% 3% 6%
Maggie Hassan vs. Corey Lewandowski
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Maggie
Hassan (D) 		Corey
Lewandowski (R) 		Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire February 18–22, 2021 1,676 (LV) ± 2.4% 53% 34% 3% 9%
Maggie Hassan vs. Corky Messner
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Maggie
Hassan (D) 		Corky
Messner (R) 		Undecided
The Tarrance Group (R)[B] November 16–18, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.5% 47% 45% 8%
Maggie Hassan vs. Chris Sununu
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Maggie
Hassan (D) 		Chris
Sununu (R) 		Other Undecided
Saint Anselm College October 20–22, 2021 1,323 (RV) ± 2.7% 41% 46% 9% 4%
University of New Hampshire October 14–18, 2021 979 (LV) ± 3.1% 42% 45% 6% 6%
Saint Anselm College August 24–26, 2021 1,855 (RV) ± 2.3% 41% 49% 6% 4%
University of New Hampshire July 15–19, 2021 1,540 (LV) ± 2.5% 48% 49% 1% 2%
Saint Anselm College March 4–6, 2021 871 (RV) ± 3.3% 41% 47% 7% 6%
University of New Hampshire February 18–22, 2021 1,676 (LV) ± 2.4% 46% 48% 2% 5%
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Generic
Democrat 		Generic
Republican 		Other Undecided
Phillips Academy April 4–8, 2022 533 (A) ± 4.2% 32% 46% – 22%
471 (RV) ± 4.5% 36% 48% – 16%
The Tarrance Group (R)[B] November 16–18, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.5% 42% 45% – 13%
Maggie Hassan vs. generic opponent
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Maggie
Hassan (D) 		Generic
Opponent 		Undecided
Saint Anselm College August 9–11, 2022 1,898 (RV) ± 2.3% 39% 53% 8%

Notes

  1. ^ Candidate for U.S. Senate in 2010, 2014, 2016, and 2020; candidate for New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district in 2012 and 2018
  2. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  3. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  5. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  6. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
Partisan clients
  1. ^ This poll was sponsored by Future Majority and America’s Future Majority Fund
  2. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Messner's campaign

References

  1. ^ "United States Senate election in New Hampshire, 2022". Ballotpedia. Retrieved January 19, 2021.
  2. ^ "Election Dates". New Hampshire Department of State. Retrieved June 16, 2022.
  3. ^ "Hassan to Seek Second Term in U.S. Senate in 2022". U.S. News & World Report. Associated Press. December 6, 2020. Retrieved January 25, 2021.
  4. ^ a b c "Nh sos".
  5. ^ Steinhauser, Paul (April 23, 2021). "Facing potentially tough 2022 re-election, Hassan gets shoutout from VP Harris". Concord Monitor.
  6. ^ "AIPAC PAC Featured Candidates". AIPAC PAC.
  7. ^ @Maggie_Hassan (March 17, 2022). "Gun violence has affected far too many communities across America. I'm proud to have the support of @Brady_PAC as we work together to push for common-sense gun safety legislation" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  8. ^ "Senate Candidates - Council for a Livable World".
  9. ^ "U.S. Senate Candidates".
  10. ^ "Campaign finance-focused PAC makes first 2022 Senate endorsements". May 13, 2021.
  11. ^ "2022 Feminist Majority PAC Endorsements". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved April 9, 2022.
  12. ^ "Giffords Endorses Maggie Hassan for the US Senate". www.giffords.org. December 16, 2021.
  13. ^ Luneau, Delphine (April 5, 2022). "Human Rights Campaign Endorses Senator Maggie Hassan of New Hampshire for Reelection to U.S. Senate". Human Rights Campaign. Human Rights Campaign.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  14. ^ "2022 Endorsements". Humane Society Legislative Fund.
  15. ^ "Jewish Dems Start 2022 Election Cycle With First Slate of Endorsements". www.jewishdems.org. November 30, 2021. Retrieved December 11, 2021.
  16. ^ Connon, Courtnee (June 10, 2021). "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of U.S. Senate Endorsements in the 2022 Election Cycle". League of Conservation Voters.
  17. ^ Bowman, Bridget (May 13, 2021). "Campaign finance-focused PAC makes first 2022 Senate endorsements". rollcall.com.
  18. ^ "NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Sen. Maggie Hassan for Reelection to the U.S. Senate for New Hampshire". NARAL Pro-Choice America. August 26, 2021.
  19. ^ "NWPC 2022 Endorsed Candidates". National Women's Political Caucus.
  20. ^ Turrentine, Jeff (March 8, 2022). "NRDC Action Fund Endorses These Candidates in the 2022 Elections". Natural Resources Defense Council. Retrieved March 15, 2022.
  21. ^ "NH Primary Source: Hassan among initial round of US Senate endorsements by Planned Parenthood Action Fund". WMUR. October 21, 2021.
  22. ^ "2022 House & Senate Endorsements".
  23. ^ "Endorsed Candidates". proisraelamerica.org.
  24. ^ "Sierra Club Endorsements".
  25. ^ "Politics 1". Archived from the original on February 29, 2000.
  26. ^ "June 9, 2022 New Hampshire Candidacy: Return to Winnipesaukee, FrankenSundae, Portsmouth, Star Island". www.MakeUSAgeeky.com. Retrieved June 23, 2022.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  27. ^ DiStaso, John (November 9, 2020). "Gen. Don Bolduc wastes no time announcing 2022 US Senate candidacy to take on Hassan". Retrieved January 19, 2021.
  28. ^ Schreckinger, Ben (March 23, 2022). "Bitcoiner eyes New Hampshire GOP Senate primary". Politico.
  29. ^ "BITCOIN ADVOCATE BRUCE FENTON ANNOUNCES U.S. SENATE CANDIDACY FOR NEW HAMPSHIRE".
  30. ^ a b "Politics1".
  31. ^ Sexton, Adam (April 21, 2022). "Lincoln entrepreneur Vikram Marshamani joins New Hampshire races for US Senate". WMUR.
  32. ^ DiStaso, John (November 11, 2021). "NH Primary Source: Morse says he's now thinking seriously of making US Senate run". WMUR-TV. Archived from the original on November 12, 2021. Retrieved November 14, 2021.
  33. ^ DiStaso, John (January 9, 2022). "Morse decides to run for US Senate, to file paperwork this week, formal launch later in month". WMUR. Retrieved January 10, 2022.
  34. ^ "FEC Committee Information Sivalingam For Senate". Archived from the original on December 12, 2021.
  35. ^ Chamberlain, Samuel (November 9, 2021). "New Hampshire Gov. Sununu won't run for Senate, in blow to Republicans". New York Post. Retrieved March 5, 2022.
  36. ^ Rogers, Josh (January 11, 2022). "Republican Kevin Smith will enter U.S. Senate primary". NHPR.com. Retrieved January 19, 2022.
  37. ^ DiStaso, John (November 6, 2020). "NH Primary Source: Did Sununu just announce a 2022 US Senate run against Hassan? No, but …". Archived from the original on November 7, 2020. Retrieved January 19, 2021.
  38. ^ Leader, Kevin Landrigan New Hampshire Union. "Sununu says 'definitely open' to 2022 Senate bid". UnionLeader.com. Retrieved February 20, 2021.
  39. ^ DiStaso, John; Sexton, Adam (October 22, 2021). "Sununu says he'll announce US Senate decision in 'next few weeks'". WMUR-TV. Archived from the original on October 29, 2021. Retrieved November 6, 2021.
  40. ^ Manchester, Julia (November 9, 2021). "Sununu passes on US Senate race in New Hampshire". The Hill.
  41. ^ Bernstein, Brittany; Pescaro, Mike (November 9, 2021). "Former Republican Senator Kelly Ayotte Won't Run for New Hampshire Senate Seat in 2022". NBC Boston.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  42. ^ DiStaso, John (September 23, 2021). "NH Primary Source: Pardoned former National Security Advisor Flynn to headline Bolduc event". WMUR-TV. Archived from the original on September 23, 2021. Retrieved September 23, 2021.
  43. ^ Sexton, Adam (March 3, 2022). "Bob Smith endorses Don Bolduc in New Hampshire U.S. Senate race". www.wmur.com. WMUR-TV. Retrieved March 19, 2022.
  44. ^ "United States Army Veteran & State Representative Jess Edwards Endorses Chuck Morse for U.S. Senate". Chuck Morse US Senate. Retrieved August 28, 2022.
  45. ^ "The Honorable Frank McCarthy Endorses Chuck Morse for U.S. Senate". Chuck Morse US Senate. Retrieved August 28, 2022.
  46. ^ "Honorable JP Marzullo Endorses Chuck Morse for U.S. Senate". Chuck Morse US Senate. Retrieved August 28, 2022.
  47. ^ "Coös County Sheriff Brian Valerino Endorses Chuck Morse for U.S. Senate". Chuck Morse US Senate. Retrieved August 28, 2022.
  48. ^ "Morse Endorsed by Sullivan County Sheriff John Simonds". Chuck Morse US Senate. Retrieved August 28, 2022.
  49. ^ "High Sheriff Chuck Massahos Endorses Chuck Morse for U.S. Senate". Chuck Morse US Senate. Retrieved August 28, 2022.
  50. ^ "Ovide Lamontagne Endorses Chuck Morse for U.S. Senate". Chuck Morse US Senate. Retrieved August 28, 2022.
  51. ^ "Morse Endorsed By The National Rifle Association". Chuck Morse US Senate. Retrieved August 28, 2022.
  52. ^ "Union Leader Endorses Chuck Morse for United States Senate". Chuck Morse US Senate. Retrieved August 28, 2022.
  53. ^ "79TH GOVERNOR OF NEW HAMPSHIRE CRAIG BENSON ENDORSES KEVIN SMITH FOR U.S. SENATE". Smith US Senate. Retrieved August 28, 2022.
  54. ^ "Ronny Jackson endorses US Senate candidate Kevin Smith". August 2022.
  55. ^ "National Border Patrol Council's Brandon Judd Embraces White Nationalist "Invasion" and "Replacement Theory"". America's Voice. Retrieved August 28, 2022.
  56. ^ "Sununu says he won't endorse "conspiracy-theory type" Bolduc in Senate Republican primary". August 19, 2022.
  57. ^ https://www.facebook.com/NHJournal/videos/4989480577827549 [user-generated source]
  58. ^ "The Five Major US Senate Republican Candidates Sparred In Our Live Debate On GMNH". The Pulse of NH. Retrieved August 28, 2022.
  59. ^ Kauffman, Jeremy [@jeremykauffman] (January 29, 2022). "It's time to make America New Hampshire #nhpolitics" (Tweet). Retrieved January 29, 2022 – via Twitter.
  60. ^ Marshall, Andrew R. C.; Tanfani, Joseph (August 22, 2022). "New breed of video sites thrives on misinformation and hate". Reuters. Retrieved August 29, 2022.
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  63. ^ "Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
  64. ^ "2022 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved January 28, 2021.
  65. ^ "New Hampshire Senate Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
  66. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2022". RCP. January 10, 2022.
  67. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
  68. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
  69. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
Official campaign websites
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