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2021 Salvadoran legislative election

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Legislative elections were held in El Salvador on 28 February 2021 to elect the 84 members of the Legislative Assembly, 20 members of the Central American Parliament and 262 mayors.[1] The result was a landslide victory for the Nuevas Ideas party.

2021 Salvadoran legislative election
El Salvador
← 2018 28 February 2021 2024 →
All 84 seats in the Legislative Assembly
43 seats needed for a majority
Turnout50.25 (Increase 4.5 pp)
Party Leader % Seats +/–
N Xavier Zablah Bukele 66.46 56 +56
ARENA Erick Salguero 12.18 14 −23
FMLN Óscar Ortiz 6.91 4 −19
GANA Nelson Guardado 5.29 5 −5
PCN Manuel Rodriguez 4.08 2 −7
PDC Rodolfo Parker 1.70 1 −2
NT Juan Valiente 1.70 1 +1
V Josué Alvarado 1.01 1 +1
This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below.
Results of the election.
President of the Legislative Assembly before President of the Legislative Assembly after
Mario Ponce
PCN		 Ernesto Castro
N

Electoral system

The 84 members of the Legislative Assembly are elected by open list proportional representation from 14 multi-member constituencies based on the departments, with seats allocated using the largest remainder method.[2]

The 20 members of the Central American Parliament are elected by open list proportional representation in a single nationwide constituency, with seats allocated using the largest remainder method.[3]

Parties

Parliamentary parties

Name Ideology Leader 2018 result
Votes (%) Seats
ARENA Nationalist Republican National conservatism Erick Salguero 41.72%
37 / 84
FMLN Farabundo Martí Socialism Óscar Ortiz 24.54%
23 / 84
GANA Grand Alliance Conservatism Andrés Rovira 11.45%
10 / 84
PCN National Coalition Nationalism Manuel Rodriguez 10.87%
9 / 84
PDC Christian Democratic Christian democracy Rodolfo Parker 5.11%
3 / 84
CD Democratic Change Social democracy Douglas Avilés 0.94%
1 / 84

Non-parliamentary parties

Name Ideology Leader
V Vamos Centrism Josué Alvarado
N New Ideas Populism Xavier Zablah Bukele
NT Neustro Tiempo Humanism John Tennant Wright Sol
DS Salvadoran Democracy Humanism Adolfo Salume Artiñano

Retiring MAs

Sixteen incumbents did not run for re-election in 2021. Those incumbents are:

Party Retirements Department Term
width="1" bgcolor="Template:Democratic Change (El Salvador)/meta/color"| Democratic Change Juan José Martel San Salvador May 1, 2018 – April 30, 2021
width="1" bgcolor="Template:Nationalist Republican Alliance/meta/color"| Nationalist Republican Alliance Norman Quijano
width="1" bgcolor="Template:Nationalist Republican Alliance/meta/color"| Milena Mayorga
width="1" bgcolor="Template:Nationalist Republican Alliance/meta/color"| David Reyes May 1, 2009 – April 30, 2021
width="1" bgcolor="Template:Nationalist Republican Alliance/meta/color"| Patricia Valdivieso May 1, 2015 – April 30, 2021
width="1" bgcolor="Template:Nationalist Republican Alliance/meta/color"| Alejandrina Castro May 1, 2012 – April 30, 2021
width="1" bgcolor="Template:Farabundo Martí National Liberation Front/meta/color"| Farabundo Martí National Liberation Front Karina Sosa
width="1" bgcolor="Template:Nationalist Republican Alliance/meta/color"| Nationalist Republican Alliance Gustavo Escalante La Libertad
width="1" bgcolor="Template:Farabundo Martí National Liberation Front/meta/color"| Farabundo Martí National Liberation Front Manuel Flores
width="1" bgcolor="Template:Farabundo Martí National Liberation Front/meta/color"| Audelia López Chalatenango
width="1" bgcolor="Template:Farabundo Martí National Liberation Front/meta/color"| Rodolfo Martínez San Miguel
width="1" bgcolor="Template:Farabundo Martí National Liberation Front/meta/color"| Margarita López Santa Ana
width="1" bgcolor="Template:Nationalist Republican Alliance/meta/color"| Nationalist Republican Alliance Josué Godoy May 1, 2018 – April 30, 2021
Independent Felissa Cristales La Libertad
width="1" bgcolor="Template:Grand Alliance for National Unity/meta/color"| Grand Alliance for National Unity Francis Zablah May 1, 2009 – April 30, 2021
width="1" bgcolor="Template:Nationalist Republican Alliance/meta/color"| Nationalist Republican Alliance Arturo Simeón Magaña Ahuachapán May 1, 2018 – April 30, 2021

Opinion polls

The following table lists estimates of intention to vote nationwide. Refusals are generally excluded from those of the party's vote, while the wording of the questions and the treatment of the answers "I don't know" and those that do not intend to vote may vary among the voting organizations. When available, seating projections are shown below the percentages in a smaller source.

Nationwide polling

Graphical summary

 
Graph of opinion polls conducted.
  NI
  ARENA
  FMLN
  GANA

Voting intention estimates

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size 		        PCN         Lead
style="background:Template:Nuevas Ideas/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Nationalist Republican Alliance/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Farabundo Martí National Liberation Front/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Grand Alliance for National Unity/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:National Coalition Party (El Salvador)/meta/color ;"|
2021 legislative election 28 Feb 2021 N/A 66.46
56 		12.18
14 		6.91
4 		5.29
5 		4.08
2 		1.70
1 		0.56
0 		1.01
1 		1.70
1 		style="background:Template:Nuevas Ideas/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"|54.28
CIPSECA 28 Jan–1 Feb 2021 – 68 7 2 6 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.5 style="background:Template:Nuevas Ideas/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"|61
CEC-UFG 13–17 Jan 2021 – 64.7 7.1 2.2 3.1 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.6 0.4 style="background:Template:Nuevas Ideas/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"|57.6
CID-Gallup 16 Dec 2020 – 70
60 		6
10 		5
2 		9
6 		3 1 2 0 0 style="background:Template:Nuevas Ideas/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"|61
CEOP-FUNDAUNGO 17 Nov–5 Dec 2020 2,159 60.3 4.9 2.7 4.5 0.6 0.3 – 0.3 0.5 style="background:Template:Nuevas Ideas/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"|55.4
IUDOP 10-24 Nov 2020 911 69.7
58 		4.9
5 		6.5
4 		3.3
2 		0.3
1 		– – 0.3
1 		0.3
1 		style="background:Template:Nuevas Ideas/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"|44.8
CIPSECA 20–25 Oct 2020 – 59 14.0 7.0 13.0 4.0 2.4 – 0.2 0.2 style="background:Template:Nuevas Ideas/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"|45.0
UFG 14 Sep 2020 – 48 4.3 3.3 6.1 1.1 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.2 style="background:Template:Nuevas Ideas/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"|41.9
TResearch 23–27 Jul 2020 1,000 70.4 5 4.4 3.1 – – – 1.7 0.8 style="background:Template:Nuevas Ideas/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"|65.4
CID-Gallup 16 Jan 2020 – 37 10 3 3 – – – – – style="background:Template:Nuevas Ideas/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"|27
CEC-UFG 7–11 Jan 2020 1,292 48.2 5.9 2.6 3.6 0.3 0.4 – 0.2 0.1 style="background:Template:Nuevas Ideas/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"|42.3
IUDOP-UCA 22 Nov–3 Dec 2019 1,265 42.4 6.9 5.2 3.7 – – – – – style="background:Template:Nuevas Ideas/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"|35.5
CID-Gallup 19 Sep 2019 1,206 35 8 6 5 1 – – – – style="background:Template:Nuevas Ideas/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"|27
UFG Datos 1–5 Sep 2019 1,500 38.7 9 3.9 4.1 0.9 0.4 – 0.2 0.4 style="background:Template:Nuevas Ideas/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"|29.7
LPG Datos 21–26 Aug 2019 1,520 32.4 9.3 5.1 3.1 0.7 0.3 0.5 – – style="background:Template:Nuevas Ideas/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"|23.1
CID-Gallup 29 Sep 2018 – – 22 13 39 4 3 – – – style="background:Template:Grand Alliance for National Unity/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"|17
IUDOP-UCA 22 May 2018 1,263 38.5 30 8.9 1 – – – – – style="background:Template:Nuevas Ideas/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"|8.5
2018 legislative election 4 Mar 2018 N/A – 41.7 24.5 11.4 10.8 5.1 0.9 – – style="background:Template:Nationalist Republican Alliance/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"|17.2

Conduct

Controversial discussion between Olivo and Bukele

The Magistrate of the Supreme Electoral Tribunal, Julio Olivo Granadino, has declared himself an opponent of the Government of the President, Nayib Bukele.[4] For this new magistracy in the TSE, Olivo was the first candidate of the preselection proposed by the FMLN. His appointment to said institution faced a lawsuit of unconstitutionality, presented by the constitutional lawyer Salvador Enrique Anaya.

New Ideas candidates refused registration

Through its social networks, the New Ideas political party denounced that the Electoral Board (JED) of the Supreme Electoral Tribunal (TSE) in Cabañas refused to register its candidates so that they could participate in the elections.[5]

Results

Legislative Assembly

 
PartyVotes%Seats+/–
Nuevas Ideas1,430,57854.6746New
Nuevas Ideas–GANA311,72311.9110–
Nationalist Republican Alliance206,3287.889−26
Farabundo Martí National Liberation Front180,8086.914−14
Grand Alliance for National Unity135,2235.175−5
ARENA–DS99,0033.784–
National Coalition Party85,5483.271−8
Nuestro Tiempo44,4011.701New
Christian Democratic Party44,3791.701−1
Vamos26,4921.01–New
PCN–DS21,2110.811–
Democratic Change14,7680.560−1
ARENA–National Coalition Party13,5030.521–1
Independents2,7830.110−1
Total2,616,748100.00830
Registered voters/turnout5,389,017–
Source: TSE

Central American Parliament

 
PartyVotes%Seats+/–
Nuevas Ideas–Democratic Change1,693,55068.1114New
Nationalist Republican Alliance329,03913.233–5
Farabundo Martí National Liberation Front181,4757.301−7
Grand Alliance for National Unity164,4276.611–1
National Coalition Party78,4923.1610
Christian Democratic Party39,3601.580–1
Total2,486,343100.00200
Registered voters/turnout5,389,017–
Source: TSE

References

  1. ^ Big Victory Comes With Big Expectations for El Salvador’s Young New President World Politics Review, 11 February 2019
  2. ^ El Salvador Election Passport
  3. ^ Electoral Legislation - 2021 Elections
  4. ^ "TSE Magistrate, Julio Olivo declares himself a political opponent of the Government of Nayib Bukele". diariolahuella.com. Retrieved 26 October 2020.
  5. ^ "They denounce that the Departmental Electoral Board of the TSE in Cabañas does not want to register candidates from New Ideas". diariolahuella.com. Retrieved 17 November 2020.
   

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