2016 Connecticut Democratic presidential primary

The 2016 Connecticut Democratic presidential primary were held on April 26 in the U.S. state of Connecticut as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

2016 Connecticut Democratic presidential primary

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  Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg Bernie Sanders September 2015 cropped.jpg
Candidate Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders
Home state New York Vermont
Delegate count 28 27
Popular vote 170,045[1] 152,379
Percentage 51.80% 46.42%

Connecticut Democratic Presidential Primary Election Results by County, 2016.svg
Election results by county.
  Hillary Clinton
  Bernie Sanders

The Democratic Party's primaries in Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania and Rhode Island were held the same day, as are Republican primaries in the same five states, including their own Connecticut primary.

Opinion pollingEdit

Poll source Date 1st 2nd Other
Official Primary Results April 26, 2016 Hillary Clinton
51.8%
Bernie Sanders
46.4%
Others / Uncommitted
1.8%
Public Policy Polling[2]

Margin of error: ± 3.7%
Sample size: 709

April 22–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton
48%
Bernie Sanders
46%
Others / Undecided
6%
Quinnipiac[3]

Margin of error: ± 3.0%
Sample size: 1,037

April 12–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton
51%
Bernie Sanders
42%
Others / Undecided
8%
Emerson College[4]

Margin of error: ± 5.2%
Sample size: 356

April 10–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton
49%
Bernie Sanders
43%
Others / Undecided
3%
Emerson College Polling Society[5]

Margin of error: ± 6%
Sample size: 251 LV

November 17, 2015 Hillary Clinton
49.6%
Bernie Sanders
30.7%
Martin O’Malley 9.1%
Other 3.2%
Undecided 6.6%
Quinnipiac University[6]

Margin of error: ± 4%
Sample size: 610

October 7–11, 2015 Hillary Clinton
35%
Bernie Sanders
25%
Joe Biden 18%
Lincoln Chafee 0%
Lawrence Lessig 0%
Martin O’Malley 0%
Jim Webb 0%
Other 1%
Wouldn't vote 6%
Undecided 12%
Hillary Clinton
47%
Bernie Sanders
29%
Jim Webb 1%
Lincoln Chafee 0%
Lawrence Lessig 0%
Martin O’Malley 0%
Other 1%
Wouldn't vote 6%
Undecided 16%
Quinnipiac University[7]

Margin of error: ± 4.6%
Sample size: 459

March 6–9, 2015 Hillary Clinton
53%
Elizabeth Warren
15%
Joe Biden 8%
Bernie Sanders 2%
Martin O’Malley 1%
Jim Webb 1%
Other 2%
Wouldn't vote 3%
Undecided 15%

ResultsEdit


e • d 2016 Democratic Party's presidential nominating process in Connecticut
– Summary of results –
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Hillary Clinton 170,045 51.80% 28 15 43
Bernie Sanders 152,379 46.42% 27 0 27
Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente 960 0.29% 0 0 0
Uncommitted 4,871 1.48% 0 1 1
Total 328,255 100% 55 16 71
Source: The Green Papers, Connecticut Secretary of State - Official Primary Results

Results by countyEdit

County[8] Clinton % Sanders %
Fairfield 46,387 61.0% 29,596 39.0%
Hartford 47,823 54.3% 40,183 45.7%
Litchfield 6,643 42.4% 9,022 57.6%
Middlesex 8,498 46.4% 9,829 53.6%
New Haven 38,830 51.7% 36,259 48.3%
New London 10,518 44.5% 13,142 55.5%
Tolland 5,609 39.1% 8,737 60.9%
Windham 3,676 40.7% 5,352 59.3%
Total 170,045 51.8% 152,379 46.4%

AnalysisEdit

Clinton managed a five-point-win in Connecticut, a state she had narrowly lost to Barack Obama eight years earlier. She relied on turnout in larger cities, including Hartford (which she won 51-47), New Haven, and Bridgeport.[9] She managed a large win in Greenwich, bolstered by support from more affluent Democrats[10] and won in the New York City suburbs as a whole 59-40. Sanders held Clinton to a narrow margin statewide, thanks to his support in rural areas which he won 63-37.[11]

In terms of demographics, Clinton won the African American vote 69-30, older voters 62-35, and the votes of women 57-41. Clinton also won women with children 55-44, and women without children 58-40. Sanders won the youth vote by an overwhelming margin of 66-34, the votes of men 55-43, and won the Caucasian vote (74% of the electorate) by a narrow 50-48 margin. Sanders won among voters with an income of less than 50k and 100k, with Clinton winning more affluent voters.[12]

In terms of political ideology, Clinton won liberals 52-48 and moderates/conservatives 53-43. Clinton won Democrats 60-39 but lost self-identified independents to Sanders 74-23.

Clinton's stance on gun control resonated with voters in the wake of the Sandy Hook Elementary School Shooting in Newtown, Connecticut.[13]

ReferencesEdit

  1. ^ "Connecticut Secretary of State - Official Primary Results" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 2016-12-03. Retrieved 2016-06-25.
  2. ^ "Clinton, Sanders close in CT/PA/RI; Trump Headed for Big Wins" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. April 25, 2016. Retrieved April 25, 2016.
  3. ^ "TRUMP LEADS, KASICH TOPS CRUZ IN CONNECTICUT GOP RACE, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS; WOMEN, BLACKS GIVE CLINTON LEAD AMONG DEMOCRATS" (PDF). Retrieved 2016-04-20.
  4. ^ "TRUMP COULD SWEEP CONNECTICUT; SANDERS IN STRIKING DISTANCE; KASICH BEATS BERNIE, HILLARY" (PDF). Retrieved 2016-04-12.
  5. ^ "Emerson College Poll" (PDF). Emerson College Polling Society. Retrieved 2015-11-18.
  6. ^ "Release Detail". Quinnipiac University. Retrieved 2015-10-13.
  7. ^ "Release Detail". Quinnipiac University. Retrieved 2015-07-09.
  8. ^ http://www.ct.gov/sots/lib/sots/electionservices/statementofvote_pdfs/april_2016_democratic_ppp_sov.pdf
  9. ^ "Connecticut Primary Election Results". Retrieved 2016-08-07.
  10. ^ "Greenwich Presidential Primary Results: Who Did Residents Vote For?". Retrieved 2016-08-07.
  11. ^ "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved 2016-09-25.
  12. ^ "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved 2016-08-31.
  13. ^ "NBC: Clinton wins CT Dem. primary". Retrieved 2016-08-07.