Wikipedia:WikiProject New Zealand/politics/New MPs

This page is used by the New Zealand politics taskforce to draft articles for candidates who might be elected. The purpose of this page to have articles ready the moment somebody becomes a member of parliament, as such membership creates inherent notability. Other positions with inherent notability are Auckland councillors, and the mayors of our cities.

This project is never finished. Members are most active just prior to a general election. In between general elections, drafts may be prepared for those candidates who, going by their list ranking, could become eligible for membership due to resignations, expulsion, or death of existing members.

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The 2023 New Zealand general election will elect at least 120 people to the New Zealand House of Representatives. Once elected, they will be notable and warrant a Wikipedia article, but many candidates do not meet notability criteria. There will be a desire to create articles for these potential MPs prior to the election outcome being known, but there is a strong risk of the articles being deleted if they go into the Wikipedia mainspace prematurely.

To this end, the politics taskforce has set up this area where biographies can be created now, so that articles can be moved into mainspace once electoral success has been confirmed. This process also minimises the risk that several editors work on separate drafts for the same person. Use the NZ politician draft banner to clarify that the content is a draft and does not constitute a Wikipedia article. After the election, we will once again make a mass-nomination at DYK of all those new bios that meet the DYK criteria (new, solid referencing, at least 1500 bytes of readable prose).

Feel free to add to the draft biographies listed below, but remember the usual rules that apply for biographies of living persons:

• All contributions should be NPOV,
• All facts should be backed up by inline citation
• Please make an effort to provide properly formatted references.

Since it would be a poor use of time to create draft articles for every single candidate, we want to focus on those with the best chance of election. To get a sense of a candidate's chances, look to:

• party lists,
• polling data, and
• the history of their electorate.

If you are unsure how to do something, please feel free to ask for help on the talk page.

We can continue using this process for new MPs that may enter Parliament through by-elections or through the party list (note that sometimes, it is not known whether the next person on the list accepts being called to Parliament).

Electorate candidates

This table shows how strongly each electorate leans towards the National/ACT and Labour/Green parties, based on the difference between the party vote in the electorate and the nationwide party vote at the 2020 general election, similar to the Cook Partisan Voting Index in the United States. Safe is 10%+ difference, likely is 6–9% difference, lean is 2–5% difference, and swing is 1% or less difference.

Ideally, articles should be created for:

• National candidates in safe/likely National seats.
• Labour candidates in safe/likely Labour seats.
• Both National and Labour candidates in lean/swing seats.

There is no point in creating articles for Labour candidates in safe/likely National seats and vice versa. If safe/likely seats are won by another party, it will most likely be from a strong incumbent MP (e.g. Chris Bishop in Hutt South or Brooke van Velden in Tamaki) rather than a relative unknown.

Safe National	Likely National	Lean National	Swing either way	Lean Labour	Likely Labour	Safe Labour
Bay of Plenty Botany Coromandel East Coast Bays Epsom Kaipara ki Mahurangi North Shore Pakuranga Papakura Port Waikato Selwyn Southland Tāmaki Taranaki-King Country Taupō Tauranga Waikato Waitaki Whangaparāoa	Invercargill Kaikōura Northland Rangitata Rangitīkei Rotorua Upper Harbour	Ilam (+5) New Plymouth (+5) Tukituki (+5) Waimakariri (+5) Wairarapa (+5) Napier (+3) Whangārei (+3) East Coast (+2) West Coast-Tasman (+2)	Hamilton East (N+1) Northcote (N+1) Takanini (N+1) Whanganui (N+1) Ōtaki (0) Hamilton West (L+1) Maungakiekie (L+1)	Mount Roskill (+5) Nelson (+5) Palmerston North (+5)	Auckland Central Banks Peninsula Christchurch Central Hutt South New Lynn Ōhāriu Remutaka Taieri Te Atatū Wigram	Christchurch East Dunedin Kelston Mana Māngere Manurewa Mount Albert Panmure-Ōtāhuhu Rongotai Wellington Central

List of draft biographies

Those links with a leading forward slash are still in draft, whereas those links without that slash are for articles that have been published. The WikiProject New Zealand politics taskforce is implementing and expanding the these draft MP bios.

Projected number of seats is based on the table at Opinion polling for the 2023 New Zealand general election#Forecasts.

ACT

Recent polling suggests ACT could get between 10 and 15 seats (median 11 seats).

Likely candidates:

1. David Seymour (1, Epsom)
2. Brooke van Velden (2)
3. Nicole McKee (3)
4. Todd Stephenson (4)
5. Andrew Hoggard (5)
6. Karen Chhour (6)
7. Mark Cameron (7)
8. Simon Court (8)
9. Parmjeet Parmar (9)
10. Laura Trask (10)
11. Cameron Luxton (11)

Other candidates:

• /Antonia Modkova (12th, Panmure-Ōtāhuhu)
• /Ash Parmar (13th, Hamilton East)
• /Ben Harvey (politician) (15th, Selwyn)
• /Rob Douglas (politican) (16th, Tukituki)
• /Christine Young (politician) (18th, Tauranga)
• /Zane Cozens (19th, Taupō)
• /Leo Foley (New Zealand politician) (20th, Northcote)

Green Party

Recent polling suggests the Green Party could get between 13 and 19 seats (median 16 seats).

Likely candidates:

1. Marama Davidson (1)
2. James Shaw (2)
3. Chlöe Swarbrick (3, Auckland Central)
4. Julie Anne Genter (4)
5. Teanau Tuiono (5)
6. Lan Pham (6)
7. Golriz Ghahraman (7)
8. Ricardo Menéndez March (8)
9. Steve Abel (9)
10. Hūhana Lyndon (10)
11. Efeso Collins (11)
12. Scott Willis (politician) (12)
13. Darleen Tana (13)
14. Kahurangi Carter (14)
15. Celia Wade-Brown (15)
16. Lawrence Xu-Nan (16)
17. /Francisco Hernandez (17)

Other candidates:

• /Benjamin Doyle (Hamilton West, 18th)
• /Mike Davidson (Ilam, 19th)

These draft bios are left over from previous elections:

• /Teall Crossen
• /Jeanette Elley
• /Kate Fulton
• /John Hart (New Zealand politician)
• /David Kennedy (New Zealand politician)
• /Matt Lawrey

Labour Party

Recent polling suggests the Labour Party could get between 33 and 39 seats (median 35 seats).

Likely candidates:

1. Chris Hipkins (1, Remutaka)
2. Kelvin Davis (2, Te Tai Tokerau)
3. Carmel Sepuloni (3, Kelston)
4. Megan Woods (5, Wigram)
5. Damien O'Connor (10, West Coast-Tasman)
6. Peeni Henare (14, Tāmaki Makaurau)
7. Barbara Edmonds (18, Mana)
8. Duncan Webb (20, Christchurch Central)
9. Rino Tirikatene (21, Te Tai Tonga)
10. Deborah Russell (22, New Lynn)
11. Rachel Brooking (23, Dunedin)
12. Jenny Salesa (24, Panmure-Ōtāhuhu)
13. Tangi Utikere (25, Palmerston North)
14. Tracey McLellan (27, Banks Peninsula)
15. Ibrahim Omer (37, Wellington Central)
16. Rachel Boyack (42, Nelson)
17. Michael Wood (45, Mount Roskill)
18. Helen White (47, Mount Albert)
19. Arena Williams (48, Manurewa)
20. Phil Twyford (49, Te Atatū)
21. Ingrid Leary (52, Taieri)
22. Lemauga Lydia Sosene (53, Māngere)
23. /Fleur Fitzsimons (56, Rongotai)
24. Reuben Davidson (57, Christchurch East)
25. Nanaia Mahuta (n/a, Hauraki-Waikato)
26. Greg O'Connor (politician) (n/a, Ōhāriu)
27. Soraya Peke-Mason (n/a, Te Tai Hauāuru)
28. Cushla Tangaere-Manuel (n/a, Ikaroa-Rāwhiti)

The following candidates could be elected depending on which way the marginal electorates swing:

• Grant Robertson (4)
• Jan Tinetti (6)
• Ayesha Verrall (7)
• Willie Jackson (8)
• Willow-Jean Prime (9)
• Adrian Rurawhe (11)
• Andrew Little (12)
• Priyanca Radhakrishnan (15, Maungakiekie)
• Shanan Halbert (28, Northcote)
• /Georgie Dansey (31, Hamilton East)
• Neru Leavasa (38, Takanini)
• Terisa Ngobi (46, Ōtaki)
• Steph Lewis (50, Whanganui)
• /Myra Williamson (62, Hamilton West)

Other candidates:

• /Toni Boynton (39, Waiariki)
• /George Hampton (politician) (41, North Shore)
• /Pare Taikato (54, Bay of Plenty)
• /Estefania Muller-Pallarès (55, Whangaparāoa)
• /Mark Hutchinson (politician) (60, Napier)
• /Oscar Sims (63, Auckland Central)

Draft bios that have been deleted:

• Janette Walker (apparently no longer a member of Labour)

Te Pāti Māori

Recent polling suggests Te Pāti Māori, assuming the party retains Waiariki, could get between 2 and 5 seats (median 4 seats).

Likely candidates:

1. Debbie Ngarewa-Packer (1, Te Tai Hauāuru)
2. Rawiri Waititi (2, Waiariki)
3. Meka Whaitiri (3)
4. Hana-Rawhiti Maipi-Clarke (4, Hauraki-Waikato)

Other candidates:

• Tākuta Ferris (5, Te Tai Tonga)
• Takutai Moana Kemp (6, Tāmaki Makaurau)
• Mariameno Kapa-Kingi (7, Te Tai Tokerau)

N/A

• /Heather Te Au Skipworth

National Party

Recent polling suggests the National Party could get between 39 and 47 seats (median 46 seats).

Likely candidates:

1. Christopher Luxon (1, Botany)
2. Nicola Willis (2)
3. Chris Bishop (3, Hutt South)
4. Shane Reti (4, Whangarei)
5. Paul Goldsmith (5)
6. Louise Upston (6, Taupō)
7. Erica Stanford (7, East Coast Bays)
8. Matt Doocey (8, Waimakariri)
9. Simeon Brown (9, Pakuranga)
10. Judith Collins (10, Papakura)
11. Mark Mitchell (11, Whangaparāoa)
12. Todd McClay (12, Rotorua)
13. Melissa Lee (13)
14. Gerry Brownlee (14)
15. Andrew Bayly (15, Port Waikato†)
16. Penny Simmonds (16, Invercargill)
17. Simon Watts (17, North Shore)
18. Chris Penk (18, Kaipara ki Mahurangi)
19. Nicola Grigg (19, Selwyn)
20. /Nancy Lu (20)
21. Suze Redmayne (21, Rangitīkei)
22. Katie Nimon (22, Napier)
23. Catherine Wedd (23, Tukituki)
24. Tama Potaka (24, Hamilton West)
25. Barbara Kuriger (36, Taranaki-King Country)
26. Dana Kirkpatrick (44, East Coast)
27. Joseph Mooney (53, Southland)
28. Simon O'Connor (54, Tāmaki)
29. Scott Simpson (55, Coromandel)
30. Stuart Smith (56, Kaikōura)
31. Sam Uffindell (57, Tauranga)
32. Tim van de Molen (58, Waikato)
33. Miles Anderson (politician) (59, Waitaki)
34. Mike Butterick (61, Wairarapa)
35. Cameron Brewer (62, Upper Harbour)
36. Hamish Campbell (63, Ilam)
37. David MacLeod (67, New Plymouth)
38. Grant McCallum (68, Northland)
39. James Meager (69, Rangitata)
40. Tom Rutherford (70, Bay of Plenty)

The following candidates could be elected depending on which way the marginal electorates swing:

• Agnes Loheni (25)
• Maureen Pugh (26)
• /Emma Chatterton (27)
• /James Christmas (28)
• /Dale Stephens (New Zealand politician) (29)
• /Siva Kilari (30)
• Vanessa Weenink (40, Banks Peninsula)
• Rima Nakhle (41, Takanini)
• Carl Bates (47, Whanganui)
• Dan Bidois (60, Northcote)
• Tim Costley (64, Ōtaki)
• Greg Fleming (politician) (65, Maungakiekie)
• Ryan Hamilton (New Zealand politician) (66, Hamilton East)

Other candidate bios:

• /Rosemary Bourke (32nd, Mangere) – may get in on the list, safe Labour seat
• /Frances Hughes (33rd, Mana) – may get in on the list, safe Labour seat
• Blair Cameron (35th, Nelson) – may get in on the list, lean Labour seat
• /Tracy Summerfield (37th, Wigram) – may get in on the list, safe Labour seat
• /Hinurewa te Hau (38th, Tāmaki Makaurau) – may get in on the list, likely Labour/Māori seat
• Angee Nicholas (39th, Te Atatū) – may get in on the list, likely Labour seat
• /Mahesh Muralidhar (43rd, Auckland Central) – may get in on the list, likely Labour/Green seat

The draft bios left over from previous elections are:

• /David Elliott (New Zealand politician)
• /Megan Hands
• /Liam Kernaghan
• /Emma Mellow

Draft bios that have been deleted:

• Bala Beeram
• Catherine Chu
• Mark Osborne (politician)
• Misa Fia Turner
• Wayne Walford

New Zealand First

Recent polling suggests New Zealand First may cross the 5% threshold, and could get as many as 11 seats (median 9 seats).

1. Winston Peters (1)
2. Shane Jones (2)
3. Casey Costello (3)
4. Mark Patterson (4)
5. Jenny Marcroft (5)
6. Jamie Arbuckle (6)
7. Andy Foster (7)
8. Tanya Unkovich (8)
9. /David Wilson (New Zealand First politician) (9)

Other candidates:

• /Erika Harvey (10th)
• /Kirsten Murfitt (11th)

The Opportunities Party

Recent polling suggests the The Opportunities Party is below the 5% threshold, so unless they win an electorate seat, they are unlikely to get any seats. In such an event, they could get between 1 and 4 seats.

2023 candidate bios:

• /Ben Peters (politician) (3rd)
• /Nina Su (4th)

List of new candidate bios for DYK

Putting them all in one list so it's easier to see what needs doing. To be DYK ready, a page needs to be 1500 characters 'readable prose' and not a stub:

1. Vanessa Weenink (National)
2. Ryan Hamilton (National)
3. Suze Redmayne (National)
4. Katie Nimon (National)
5. Tim Costley (National)
6. Catherine Wedd (National)
7. Dana Kirkpatrick (National)
8. Tom Rutherford (National)
9. Hamish Campbell (National)
10. Rima Nakhle (National)
11. James Meager (National)
12. Carl Bates (National)
13. David MacLeod (National)
14. Grant McCallum (National)
15. Carlos Cheung (National)
16. Angee Nicholas (National)
17. Greg Fleming (National)
18. Mike Butterick (National)
19. Miles Anderson (National)
20. Jamie Arbuckle (NZF)
21. Casey Costello(NZF)
22. Tanya Unkovich (NZF)
23. Scott Willis (Greens)
24. Darleen Tana (Greens)
25. Reuben Davidson (Labour)
26. Cushla Tangaere-Manuel (Labour)
27. Tākuta Ferris (TPM)
28. Hana-Rawhiti Maipi-Clarke (TPM)
29. Laura Trask (ACT)
30. Cameron Luxton (ACT)
31. Todd Stephenson (ACT)
32. Blair Cameron (National)

See also

• Party lists in the 2023 New Zealand general election
• Candidates in the 2023 New Zealand general election by electorate
• Wikipedia:WikiProject New Zealand/politics/2023 list candidate photos