Proposed deletion of Unemployment momentum

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The article Unemployment momentum has been proposed for deletion because of the following concern:

It's too soon for an idea proposed in a preprint this month to be notable as a scientific concept; page created with a conflict of interest judging by the username.

While all constructive contributions to Wikipedia are appreciated, pages may be deleted for any of several reasons.

You may prevent the proposed deletion by removing the {{proposed deletion/dated}} notice, but please explain why in your edit summary or on the article's talk page.

Please consider improving the page to address the issues raised. Removing {{proposed deletion/dated}} will stop the proposed deletion process, but other deletion processes exist. In particular, the speedy deletion process can result in deletion without discussion, and articles for deletion allows discussion to reach consensus for deletion. XOR'easter (talk) 00:11, 26 August 2019 (UTC)Reply

Response: I moved the page to my sandbox. User:Stevelihn/sandbox/Unemployment_momentum I am really in no hurry to add the page if there is any objection. I just thought this is a timely matter since the economy is on the cusp of a coming recession.

Quantitative research on economic recessions is indeed timely. However, Wikipedia has rather stringent norms for what can have a stand-alone article devoted to it. In addition, we prefer secondary sources to primary ones; even when scientific research has been published in a peer-review journal, we can't evaluate its significance or its influence without secondary literature (replies, commentaries, reviews, etc.). I see that your paper has been accepted for publication in The R Journal, which is a good start. If you can obtain feedback in verifiable, reliable sources — even blog posts by notable economists commenting on your work — then we can assemble a summary that might fit into an existing Wikipedia article. It's a process, and sometimes a frustrating one. But the nature of Wikipedia is to follow the scientific consensus, not to lead it, even when we as individuals think it needs to be led. XOR'easter (talk) 19:58, 26 August 2019 (UTC)Reply

Response: It looks like I should not have added the unemployment momentum to wikipedia. I work in the industry. Getting paper published in journals isn't a priority in my job. Quantitatively, unemployment momentum is equivalent to about 1/6 of Sahm's unemployment index, which is a simple arithmetic and very easy to understand. But when Sahm's index is transformed to the 12-month momentum, it becomes more obscure to comprehend. Thanks for the note though.

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