Integrated Resource Plan

The Integrated Resource Plan (IRP) is a plan aimed at estimating South Africa's electricity demand. It takes into account how the demand of electricity will be met and the expense of such a demand.[1] The plan refers to electricity generation and expansion programmes.

In formulating the National Development Plan, the Department of Energy gazetted the Integrated Resource Plan 2010-2030 (IRP 2010) in March 2011; this forecasted the energy demand for the 20-year period. In October 2019, IRP 2019 was gazetted; this updates the energy forecast from 2019 to the year 2030.[2][1] In 2023, a draft IRP 2023 plan was released for the period 2030-2050.[3]

Objectives

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The IRP was indicated to be a living document that would be revised and updated regularly.[4] Updated plans were released in 2019 and 2023, after the first in IRP in 2010.[1] The stated objectives of the IRP are:

  • Make electricity inexpensive
  • Reduce green house gas emissions
  • Reduce water usage
  • Electricity generation from different sources

History

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IRP 2023

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In December 2023, Cabinet approved the draft Integrated Resource Plan 2023. IRP 2023 takes into account two time horizons, 2030 and 2050. The plan includes significantly altered metrics that forecast a change in the electricity demand projection for the period 2030-2050; some of which are the cost of implementing new power generation technologies, shutting down of coal plants after 2035 and Eskom's forecasted energy availability factor.[3]

The present-to-2030 horizon is based on how far along current REIPPPP projects are in bringing electricity onto the grid.[3]

The 2031-2050 horizon focuses on implementing different types of stable and sustainable energy supply, and carbon capture.[3]

Implementation

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As of IRP 2019, 9910.37 MW have been procured by the Renewable Energy Independent Power Producer Procurement Programme and are in use on the country's electrical grid.[1]

The following capacity has been commissioned as part of Eskom's build programme: 1 332 MW at Ingula Pumped Storage Scheme, 1 588 MW at Medupi, 800 MW at Kusile, and 100 MW at Sere Wind Farm. In total, 18 000 MW have been resourced as additional capacity.[1]

See also

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References

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  1. ^ a b c d e Mantashe, Samson Gwede (2019). IRP 2019 (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 2022-04-29.
  2. ^ "Cliffe Dekker Hofmeyr - The Integrated Resource Plan 2019: A promising future roadmap for generation capacity in South Africa". www.cliffedekkerhofmeyr.com. Retrieved 2022-05-10.
  3. ^ a b c d "Statement on the Cabinet Meeting of 8 December 2023 | South African Government". www.gov.za. Retrieved 2023-12-14.
  4. ^ "Programmes: Integrated Resource Plan | Department: Energy | REPUBLIC OF SOUTH AFRICA". www.energy.gov.za. Retrieved 2022-05-10.