Glenn Brier (April 26, 1913 - January 2, 1998) was an American statistician, weather forecaster and academic.
Biography edit
Brier was born in Woodbridge, Virginia, on April 26, 1913, and died on January 2, 1998.[1] He married Josephine Hartz and had three children: Richard Paul, Katherine and David.[2]
Career edit
Brier worked for the Office of Meteorological Research of the U.S. Weather Bureau, at the U.S. Department of Commerce, from 1939 up to the 1980s.[3][4]
Legacy edit
Brier is best known for creating a scoring rule to measure the accuracy of forecasts, which is known as a Brier score.[5][6] Because of his work, the score and Brier himself are widely cited by academics related not only to weather-forecasting, but by researchers in several other fields of forecasting, decision science, and various disciplines.[7] [8]
References edit
- ^ "Glenn W Brier". AncientFaces. Retrieved 2023-03-07.
- ^ "Richard Brier Obituary (1943 - 2022) - Austin, VA - Daily Progress". Legacy.com. Retrieved 2023-03-10.
- ^ "News and Notes". Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 40 (8): 429–433. 1959. Bibcode:1959BAMS...40..429.. doi:10.1175/1520-0477-40.8.429. ISSN 0003-0007. JSTOR 26245043. Retrieved 2023-03-08.
- ^ Brier, Glenn W. (1990). "A Historical and Personal Perspective of Model Evaluations in Meteorology". Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 71 (3): 349–351. ISSN 0003-0007. JSTOR 26227528. Retrieved 2023-03-14.
- ^ Brier (1950). "Verification of Forecasts Expressed in Terms of Probability" (PDF). Monthly Weather Review. 78 (1): 1–3. Bibcode:1950MWRv...78....1B. doi:10.1175/1520-0493(1950)078<0001:vofeit>2.0.co;2. Archived from the original (PDF) on 2017-10-23.
- ^ Brier, Glenn Wilson (1944). "Verification of a forecaster's confidence and the use of probability statements in weather forecasting". Monthly Weather Review.
- ^ Karger, Ezra; Atanasov, Pavel D.; Tetlock, Philip (2022-01-05). Improving Judgments of Existential Risk: Better Forecasts, Questions, Explanations, Policies. Rochester, NY: Social Science Research Network. SSRN 4001628. Retrieved 2022-01-06.
- ^ Lerch, Sebastian; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis L.; Ravazzolo, Francesco; Gneiting, Tilmann (2015-12-31). "Forecaster's Dilemma: Extreme Events and Forecast Evaluation". EGU General Assembly Conference Abstracts: 14330. arXiv:1512.09244. Bibcode:2015EGUGA..1714330L.