2003 Bavarian state election

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The 2003 Bavarian state election was held on 21 September 2003 to elect the members to the 15th Landtag of Bavaria. The Christian Social Union (CSU) led by Minister-President Edmund Stoiber achieved the largest majority in German history, winning 69% of the seats in the Landtag. This election was the first and to date only time a single party won a two-thirds supermajority of seats in any German state parliament. The CSU also won its largest proportion of the popular vote since 1974, at 60.7%.

2003 Bavarian state election

← 1998 21 September 2003 2008 →

All 180 seats in the Landtag of Bavaria
91 seats needed for a majority
Turnout10,248,735 (57.1%)
Decrease 12.7%
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Edmund Stoiber Franz Maget Sepp Daxenberger
Party CSU SPD Greens
Last election 123 seats, 52.9% 67 seats, 28.7% 14 seats, 5.7%
Seats won 124 41 15
Seat change Increase 1 Decrease 26 Increase 1
Popular vote 6,217,864 2,012,265 793,050
Percentage 60.7% 19.6% 7.7%
Swing Increase 7.8% Decrease 9.1% Increase 2.1%

Results for the single-member constituencies.

Minister-President before election

Edmund Stoiber
CSU

Elected Minister-President

Edmund Stoiber
CSU

The election was marked by a major decline in turnout, falling by almost 13 points to 57%. As a result, despite achieving its best result in decades, the CSU won 230,000 votes fewer than it had in the 1998 election.

Parties

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The table below lists parties represented in the 14th Landtag of Bavaria.

Name Ideology Leader(s) 1998 result
Votes (%) Seats
CSU Christian Social Union in Bavaria
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern
Christian democracy Edmund Stoiber 52.9%
123 / 204
SPD Social Democratic Party of Germany
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands
Social democracy Franz Maget 28.7%
67 / 204
Grüne Alliance 90/The Greens
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
Green politics Sepp Daxenberger 5.7%
14 / 204

Opinion polling

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Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
CSU SPD Grüne FW FDP Others Lead
2003 state election 21 Sep 2003 60.7 19.6 7.7 4.0 2.6 5.4[a] 41.1
Infratest dimap 6–10 Sep 2003 1,000 59 20 8 4 4 5 39
Forsa 1–5 Sep 2003 1,006 61 20 8 4 7 41
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 1–4 Sep 2003 1,033 60 22 8 4 3 3 38
Forsa 4–8 Aug 2003 1,001 61 21 8 3 7 40
Forsa 1–11 Jul 2003 1,266 59 24 8 3 6 35
Infratest dimap 14–18 May 2003 1,000 60 22 8 4 6 38
GMS 13–18 Feb 2003 1,004 60.0 23.0 6.5 0.5 4.0 6.0[b] 37
Infratest dimap 2–5 Jan 2003 1,000 61 24 7 3 5 37
Infratest dimap 31 Jul–4 Aug 2002 1,000 57 26 5 5 7 31
Infratest dimap 3–7 Apr 2002 1,000 55 28 5 4 8[c] 27
Infratest dimap 7–12 Jan 2002 1,000 56 27 6 4 7[d] 29
GMS 15 Nov–21 Dec 2001 2,014 55.0 27.5 5.0 1.5 3.5 7.5[e] 27.5
Infratest dimap 9–13 Jul 2001 1,000 54 29 7 3 7[f] 25
Infratest dimap 3–6 Jan 2001 1,000 54 28 7 4 7[g] 26
Infratest dimap 26 Jun–1 Jul 2000 1,000 57 27 6 3 7[h] 30
Infratest dimap 3–7 Jan 2000 1,000 60 25 5 1 9[i] 35
Infratest dimap August 1999 ? 60 24 5 2 9[j] 36
1998 state election 13 Sep 1998 52.9 28.7 5.7 3.7 1.7 7.3[k] 24.2

Election result

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Summary of the 21 September 2003 election results for the Landtag of Bavaria
 
PartyVotes%+/–Seats+/–
Christian Social Union (CSU)6,217,86460.67+7.8124+1
Social Democratic Party (SPD)2,012,26519.63-9.141-26
Alliance 90/The Greens (Grüne)793,0507.74+2.115+1
Free Voters of Bavaria (FW)411,3064.01+0.40±0
Free Democratic Party (FDP)263,7312.57+0.90±0
The Republicans (REP)229,4642.24-1.40±0
Ecological Democratic Party (ÖDP)200,1031.95+0.20±0
Bavaria Party (BP)77,3900.76±0.00±0
Others43,5620.430±0
Total10,248,735100.00180
Popular vote
CSU
60.67%
SPD
19.63%
B'90/GRÜNE
7.74%
FW
4.01%
FDP
2.57%
Other
5.38%
Landtag seats
CSU
68.89%
SPD
22.78%
B'90/GRÜNE
8.33%

Notes

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  1. ^ 2.2% REP, 2.0% ÖDP, 1.2% Other
  2. ^ 1.0% PDS, 0.5% REP, 0.5% ÖDP, 4.0% Other
  3. ^ 2% Right-wing parties, 6% Other
  4. ^ 2% Right-wing parties, 5% Other
  5. ^ 3.0% PRO, 1.0% REP, 1.0% PDS, 0.5% ÖDP, 2.0% Other
  6. ^ 2% Right-wing parties, 5% Other
  7. ^ 2% Right-wing parties, 5% Other
  8. ^ 2% Right-wing parties, 5% Other
  9. ^ 3% Right-wing parties, 6% Other
  10. ^ 3% Right-wing parties, 6% Other
  11. ^ 3.6% REP, 1.8% ÖDP, 1.9% Other

Sources

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