File:Social tipping dynamics for stabilizing Earth’s climate by 2050 - Figure 1 - The rate of change in annual greenhouse gas emissions required for net decarbonization.jpg
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Summary
DescriptionSocial tipping dynamics for stabilizing Earth’s climate by 2050 - Figure 1 - The rate of change in annual greenhouse gas emissions required for net decarbonization.jpg
English: The rate of change in annual greenhouse gas emissions required for net decarbonization. Social tipping dynamics in the context of the representative concentration pathways (RCPs) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and the Paris Agreement. Left and Right exhibit the rate of change in CO2 emission per year between 1930 and 2060, and the increase in global mean temperature by 2100 relative to the preindustrial period, respectively, under the four RCPs. The transition to a new net decarbonized state requires shifting from an incremental rise in emissions of 0 to 2% per year to nonlinear decline at the rate of 7% per year and more (6). The figure was created using the RCP emission projections (153) and Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 (CMIP5) temperature projections (154).
Date
Source
Ilona M. Otto, Jonathan F. Donges, Roger Cremades, Avit Bhowmik, Richard J. Hewitt, Wolfgang Lucht, Johan Rockström, Franziska Allerberger, Mark McCaffrey, Sylvanus S. P. Doe, Alex Lenferna, Nerea Morán, Detlef P. van Vuuren, and Hans Joachim Schellnhuber (2020). Social tipping dynamics for stabilizing Earth’s climate by 2050. PNAS 117 (5) 2354-2365. doi:10.1073/pnas.1900577117
Author
Ilona M. Otto, Jonathan F. Donges, Roger Cremades, Avit Bhowmik, Richard J. Hewitt, Wolfgang Lucht, Johan Rockström, Franziska Allerberger, Mark McCaffrey, Sylvanus S. P. Doe, Alex Lenferna, Nerea Morán, Detlef P. van Vuuren, and Hans Joachim Schellnhuber
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Captions
The rate of change in annual greenhouse gas emissions required for net decarbonization.