Prior to the 2015 general election, various polling organisations conducted opinion polling in specific constituencies. The results of publicised opinion polling for individual constituencies are detailed in this article. However, most opinion polling covers Great Britain, where the results are published in this article here.
Opinion polls were conducted gradually from the months after the previous general election held on 6 May 2010, and increased in frequency before the general election which took place on 7 May 2015. Though most opinion polls published are for general election voting intention, some polls shown are for voting intention in separate by-elections.
Polls of individual constituencies are expensive compared to national polling and were previously an infrequent practice in the UK. However, a large number of individual constituency polls were carried out in this period, most commissioned from independent polling providers by Michael Ashcroft, a Conservative peer and sponsor. In addition to polls listed in this article, other polling of constituencies has been carried out in private, often by political parties.[1]
Given the expense of polling individual constituencies, constituencies are usually only polled if they are of some particular interest, e.g. they are thought to be marginal or facing an impending by-election. The constituencies polled are not necessarily representative of a national average swing. Under the first-past-the-post electoral system true marginal seats are, by definition, decisive as to the election outcome.[2]
Constituency polls edit
England edit
Amber Valley edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | Lib Dem | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 May 2015 | 2015 result | 44.0% | 34.8% | 3.0% | 15.9% | 2.4% | – | 9.2% | |
3–12 Jul 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 34% | 35% | 4% | 23% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
14–20 Apr 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 29% | 41% | 6% | 20% | 2% | 2% | 12% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 45,958 | 38.6% | 37.4% | 14.4% | 2.0% | – | 7.6% | 1.2% |
Bedford edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | Lib Dem | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 May 2015 | 2015 result | 42.6% | 40.2% | 4.2% | 9.6% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 2.4% | |
23–30 Jul 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 28% | 38% | 14% | 15% | 3% | 2% | 10% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 45,102 | 38.9% | 35.9% | 19.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% |
Bermondsey and Old Southwark edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | Lib Dem | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 May 2015 | 2015 result | 11.8% | 43.1% | 34.3% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 0.5% | 8.7% | |
3–13 Sep 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 14% | 35% | 36% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 44,651 | 17.1% | 29.2% | 48.4% | – | 1.6% | 3.7% | 19.1% |
Berwick-upon-Tweed edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | Lib Dem | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 May 2015 | 2015 result | 41.1% | 14.9% | 28.9% | 11.2% | 3.7% | 0.2% | 12.2% | |
21–28 Aug 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 33% | 16% | 30% | 17% | 3% | 1% | 3% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 38,439 | 36.7% | 13.2% | 43.7% | 3.2% | – | 3.2% | 7% |
Birmingham Edgbaston edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | Lib Dem | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 41,293 | 44.8% | 38.3% | 2.9% | 10.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% |
31 Jul–11 Aug 2014 | Ashcroft | 1001 | 48% | 29% | 3% | 12% | 5% | 1% | 19% |
12–18 May 2014 | Ashcroft | 1000 | 44% | 33% | 5% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 11% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 41,571 | 40.6% | 37.6% | 15.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% |
Birmingham Yardley edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | Lib Dem | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 41,313 | 41.6% | 14.0% | 25.6% | 16.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 16.0% |
27–31 Oct 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 31% | 12% | 34% | 19% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 40,850 | 32.2% | 19.2% | 39.6% | 2.9% | – | – | 7.3% |
Blackpool North and Cleveleys edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | Lib Dem | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 39,393 | 36.0% | 44.4% | 2.4% | 14.8% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 8.5% |
30 Mar–4 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 37% | 42% | 3% | 15% | 2% | 1% | 5% |
13–18 Oct 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 32% | 35% | 5% | 24% | 3% | 1% | 3% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 40,591 | 36.5% | 41.8% | 13.3% | 4.1% | - | 4.3% | 5.3% |
Bognor Regis and Littlehampton edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | LD | UKIP | Lab | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 47,116 | 51.3% | 9.0% | 21.7% | 13.8% | 4.1% | 27.9% |
22–24 Nov 2013 | Survation/Alan Bown | 508 | 37% | 11% | 27% | 20% | 5% | 10% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 46,852 | 51.4% | 23.5% | 6.5% | 14.0% | 4.5% | 27.9% |
Bolton West edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 47,576 | 39.0% | 40.6% | 4.0% | 15.3% | - | 1.1% | 1.6% |
23–31 Jul 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 40% | 27% | 8% | 21% | 2% | 2% | 13% |
21–27 Apr 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 41% | 28% | 10% | 17% | 2% | 1% | 13% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 47,576 | 38.5% | 38.3% | 17.2% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Boston and Skegness edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | LD | UKIP | Lab | Green | IFE | BNP | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 43,339 | 43.8% | 2.3% | 33.8% | 16.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 10% |
26 Jan–5 Feb 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 38% | 5% | 35% | 17% | 3% | – | – | 2% | 3% |
5–9 Sep 2014 | Survation/Alan Bown | 342 | 26.2% | 2.0% | 45.5% | 20.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 19.3% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 43,125 | 49.4% | 14.8% | 9.5% | 20.6% | – | – | 5.3% | 0.4% | 28.8% |
Bradford East edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | BNP | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 41,406 | 46.6% | 11.3% | 29.3% | 9.9% | 2.1% | - | 0.5% | 17.1% |
1–21 Jun 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 45% | 12% | 23% | 15% | 2% | – | 3% | 22% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 40,457 | 32.8% | 26.8% | 33.7% | – | – | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
Brent Central edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 45,324 | 62.1% | 20.3% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 41.8% |
11–22 Jun 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 54% | 13% | 19% | 7% | 5% | 1% | 35% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 45,324 | 41.2% | 11.2% | 44.2% | – | 1.5% | 2% | 3.0% |
Brentford and Isleworth edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17–26 Sep 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 32% | 45% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 13% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 53,765 | 37.2% | 33.6% | 23.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% |
Brighton Kemptown edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 45,306 | 39.2% | 40.7% | 3.0% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 0.4% | 1.5% |
11–21 Sep 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 37% | 33% | 6% | 13% | 10% | 1% | 4% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 42,705 | 34.9% | 38.0% | 18.0% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 0.5% | 3.1% |
Brighton Pavilion edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Green | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 54,676 | 41.8% | 27.3% | 22.8% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 0.4% | 14.6% |
11–20 Nov 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 38% | 28% | 21% | 5% | 8% | 1% | 10% |
5–12 Jun 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 32% | 33% | 18% | 5% | 9% | 2% | 1% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 51,834 | 31.3% | 28.9% | 23.7% | 13.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 2.4% |
Bristol North West edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17-23 April 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,005 | 34% | 43% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 0% | 9% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 50,336 | 25.9% | 38.0% | 32.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 5.5% |
Bristol West edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 64,218 | 35.7% | 15.2% | 18.8% | 3.0% | 26.8% | 0.4% | 8.8% |
17-23 April 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 38% | 14% | 20% | 2% | 25% | 1% | 13% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 55,347 | 27.5% | 18.4% | 48.0% | 1.2% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 20.5% |
Broxtowe edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | BNP | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 Jun–4 Jul 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 30% | 39% | 7% | 18% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 9% |
8–13 Apr 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 30% | 44% | 10% | 13% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 14% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 52,727 | 39.0% | 38.3% | 16.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 2.7% | – | 0.7% |
Burnley edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | BNP | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
27–30 Oct 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 11% | 38% | 23% | 25% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 13% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 41,845 | 16.6% | 31.3% | 35.7% | 2.2% | – | 9.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% |
Bury North edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2-14 October 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,004 | 32% | 41% | 5% | 20% | 2% | 1% | 9% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 44,961 | 40.2% | 35.2% | 17% | 2.9% | - | 4.8% | 5% |
Camborne and Redruth edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | MK | OMRLP | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24–26 Mar 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 37% | 24% | 13% | 14% | 8% | – | – | 3% | 13% |
25 Nov 2014 | Survation/University of Exeter | 500 | 30.0% | 22.4% | 6.3% | 33.0% | 6.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 3% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 42,493 | 37.6% | 16.3% | 37.4% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | – | 0.4% | 0.2% |
Cambridge edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24–28 Mar 2015 | Ashcroft | 1000 | 17% | 31% | 40% | 3% | 9% | – | 9% |
3–12 Sep 2014 | Ashcroft | 1000 | 19% | 33% | 32% | 7% | 8% | 1% | 1% |
4–8 Apr 2014 | ICM/Lord Oakeshott | 500 | 18% | 41% | 28% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 13% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 50,130 | 25.6% | 24.3% | 39.1% | 2.4% | 7.6% | 1.0% | 13.5% |
Cannock Chase edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | BNP | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16–24 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,002 | 38% | 32% | 5% | 21% | 3% | – | 1% | 6% |
22–27 Oct 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 32% | 27% | 8% | 30% | 2% | – | 1% | 2% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 45,559 | 33.1% | 40.1% | 17.0% | 3.5% | – | 4.8% | 1.6% | 7% |
Carlisle edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11-16 Jul 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 30% | 41% | 5% | 18% | 3% | 3% | 11% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 42,200 | 39.3% | 37.3% | 15.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
Carshalton and Wallington edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 Oct–6 Nov 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 12% | 23% | 43% | 17% | 3% | 1% | 20% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 45,918 | 8.7% | 36.8% | 48.3% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 11.5% |
Castle Point edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15–24 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 12% | 41% | 2% | 36% | 3% | 5% | 5% |
26 Jan–5 Feb 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,002 | 16% | 37% | 3% | 36% | 2% | 6% | 1% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 45,026 | 14.7% | 44.0% | 9.4% | – | - | 31.9% | 17.0% |
Cheadle edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15–22 Aug 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 19% | 30% | 34% | 13% | 2% | 3% | 4% |
26 May-1 Jun 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,003 | 21% | 29% | 32% | 15% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 52,512 | 9.4% | 40.8% | 47.1% | 2.7% | – | – | 6.3% |
Cheltenham edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 Oct-1 Nov 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 7% | 34% | 42% | 11% | 5% | 1% | 8% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 52,768 | 5.1% | 41.2% | 50.5% | 2.3% | – | 0.9 | 9.3% |
Chippenham edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14-20 Aug 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 39% | 14% | 24% | 16% | 6% | 1% | 15% |
26 May-1 Jun 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 35% | 12% | 26% | 19% | 7% | 1% | 9% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 52,385 | 41.0% | 6.9% | 45.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 2% | 4.8% |
City of Chester edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 Feb-5 Mar 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 45% | 34% | 7% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 11% |
13–18 Oct 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 37% | 36% | 7% | 15% | 5% | 1% | 1% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 46,853 | 35.1% | 40.6% | 19.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 5.5% |
Clacton edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | UKIP | LD | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 44,207 | 36.7% | 14.4% | 44.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | - | 7.8% |
9 Oct 2014 | Clacton by-election Result | 35,365 | 24.6% | 11.2% | 59.7% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 35.1% |
29 Aug–1 Sep 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 27% | 19% | 48% | 3% | 3% | <0.5% | 21% |
29 Aug–1 Sep 2014 | Ashcroft (By-election polling) | 1,001 | 24% | 16% | 56% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 32% |
28–29 Aug 2014 | Survation (By-election polling) | 700 | 20% | 13% | 64% | 2% | 1% | <0.5% | 44% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 43,123 | 53.0% | 25.0% | – | 12.9% | 1.2% | 7.8% | 28.0% |
Cleethorpes edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2-11 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 38% | 36% | 6% | 15% | 3% | 1% | 2% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 44,966 | 42.1% | 32.6% | 18.2% | 7.1% | - | 3.9% | 9.5% |
Colchester edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4–14 Nov 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 17% | 22% | 36% | 18% | 6% | 1% | 14% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 46,139 | 12.3% | 32.9% | 48.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 15.1% |
Colne Valley edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16–22 April 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 35% | 37% | 8% | 11% | 6% | 2% | 2% |
2–12 Feb 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 34% | 33% | 9% | 13% | 9% | 1% | 1% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 55,296 | 26.4% | 37.0% | 28.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 4.7% | 8.7% |
Corby edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10–17 Sep 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 40% | 30% | 5% | 21% | 2% | 2% | 10% |
15 Nov 2012 | Corby by-election Result | 35,665 | 48.4% | 26.6% | 5.0% | 14.3% | 1.1% | 4.6% | 21.8% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 54,180 | 38.6% | 42.2% | 14.5% | – | – | 4.7% | 3.6% |
Crewe and Nantwich edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | UKIP | LD | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2–9 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 38% | 41% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 3% |
22–24 Nov 2013 | Survation/Alan Bown | 500 | 33% | 46% | 11% | 6% | 5% | 13% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 51,084 | 45.8% | 34.0% | 2.8% | 15.0% | 2.3% | 11.8% |
Croydon Central edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | UKIP | LD | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
26-30 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,003 | 44% | 40% | 10% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 4% |
3–12 Mar 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 37% | 41% | 13% | 3% | 5% | 1% | 4% |
14–18 Oct 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 33% | 39% | 19% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 6% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 49,757 | 39.5% | 33.5% | 2.0% | 13.2% | 1.2% | 10.6% | 6.0% |
Derby North edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 May-4 Jun 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 23% | 44% | 17% | 12% | 2% | 2% | 21% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 45,080 | 31.7% | 33% | 28% | 1.8% | – | 5.4% | 1.3% |
Dewsbury edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15-23 Jul 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 30% | 40% | 4% | 18% | 6% | 3% | 10% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 54,008 | 35% | 32.2% | 16.9% | - | 1.6% | 14.3% | 2.8% |
Doncaster North edit
Note: Michael Ashcroft initially published incorrect results for his 18–23 Nov 2014 poll,[3] erroneously showing only a small Labour lead. The corrected poll results are below.
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | BNP | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18–23 Nov 2014 | Ashcroft, Corrected | 1,000 | 13% | 54% | 4% | 25% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 29% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 41,483 | 21.0% | 47.3% | 14.9% | 4.3% | – | 6.8% | 5.6% | 26.3% |
Dover edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2-9 April 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,002 | 32% | 40% | 3% | 20% | 4% | - | 8% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 50,385 | 33.5% | 44% | 15.8% | 3.5% | - | 3.2% | 10.5% |
Dudley North edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | UKIP | LD | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20–27 Nov 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 37% | 24% | 34% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
28 Apr–4 May 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 40% | 24% | 27% | 4% | 5% | 13% |
22–24 Nov 2013 | Survation | 526 | 45% | 25% | 23% | 2% | 5% | 20% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 38,602 | 38.7% | 37.0% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
Dudley South edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7-10 April 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 35% | 39% | 3% | 18% | 4% | 4% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 38,165 | 33% | 43.1% | 15.7% | 8.2% | - | 10.1% |
Ealing Central and Acton edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1–6 Dec 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 34% | 40% | 11% | 6% | 7% | 2% | 6% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 47,200 | 38.0% | 30.1% | 27.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 7.9% |
Eastbourne edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 Aug-5 Sep 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 7% | 25% | 46% | 18% | 2% | 2% | 21% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 52,142 | 4.8% | 40.7% | 47.3% | 2.5% | - | 4.6% | 6.6% |
Eastleigh edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | LD | Con | UKIP | Lab | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20–28 Aug 2014 | Ashcroft | 538 | 40% | 25% | 21% | 12% | 2% | 1% | 15% |
29 May–6 Jun 2014 | Ashcroft | 523 | 39% | 27% | 22% | 10% | 2% | 0% | 12% |
14–17 Apr 2014 | Survation/Alan Bown | 369 | 27.1% | 28.2% | 31.6% | 11.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 3.4% |
28 Feb 2013 | Eastleigh by-election Result | 42,649 | 32.1% | 25.4% | 27.8% | 9.8% | – | 4.9% | 4.3% |
22–24 Feb 2013 | Ashcroft (By-election polling)[a] | 416 | 33% | 28% | 23% | 12% | – | 4% | 5% |
19–22 Feb 2013 | Populus/Times (By-election polling)[a] | 408 | 33% | 28% | 25% | 11% | – | 4% | 5% |
18–22 Feb 2013 | Survation/Mail on Sunday (By-election polling) | 402 | 29% | 33% | 21% | 13% | – | 4% | 4% |
6–8 Feb 2013 | Survation/Mail on Sunday[b] | 321 | 36% | 33% | 16% | 13% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 3% |
4–5 Feb 2013 | Ashcroft (By-election polling)[c] | 314 | 31% | 34% | 15% | 19% | 1% | 1% | 3% |
2–5 Aug 2010 | Ashcroft | 513 | 31% | 43% | – | 20% | – | 6% | 12% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 53,650 | 46.5% | 39.3% | 3.6% | 9.6% | – | 1.0% | 7.2% |
Elmet and Rothwell edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8–13 Dec 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 39% | 35% | 6% | 16% | 3% | 1% | 4% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 55,789 | 42.6% | 34.5% | 16.3% | 2.9% | – | 3.6% | 8.1% |
Enfield North edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17–25 Sep 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 34% | 44% | 3% | 12% | 3% | 3% | 10% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 44,453 | 42.3% | 38.5% | 12.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% |
Erewash edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3-14 Oct 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,003 | 30% | 38% | 5% | 22% | 3% | 2% | 8% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 47,642 | 39.5% | 34.2% | 17.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 5.3% |
Finchley and Golders Green edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7-11 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 43% | 41% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 47,157 | 33.7% | 46% | 17% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 12.3% |
Folkestone and Hythe edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | LD | UKIP | Lab | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3–4 Apr 2014 | Survation/Mail on Sunday | 529 | 36.4% | 9.6% | 32.9% | 17.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.5% |
22–24 Nov 2013 | Survation/Alan Bown | 548 | 35% | 10% | 28% | 21% | 4% | 2% | 7% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 52,800 | 49.4% | 30.3% | 4.6% | 10.8% | 1.2% | 3.6% | 19.1% |
Gloucester edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 Mar–4 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 40% | 36% | 9% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 4% |
24 Sep–2 Oct 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 34% | 33% | 12% | 18% | 3% | 0% | 1% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 50,764 | 39.9% | 35.2% | 19.2% | 3.6% | 1% | 1.1% | 4.8% |
Great Grimsby edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | UKIP | LD | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15–24 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1000 | 42% | 24% | 25% | 5% | 4% | 17% |
20–27 Nov 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 35% | 20% | 34% | 8% | 4% | 1% |
5–11 May 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 38% | 21% | 26% | 10% | 5% | 12% |
18–22 Oct 2013 | Survation | 506 | 40% | 21% | 23% | 11% | 5% | 17% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 32,954 | 32.7% | 30.5% | 6.2% | 22.4% | 8.1% | 2.2% |
Great Yarmouth edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | UKIP | LD | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15–24 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 36% | 34% | 24% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 2% |
11–16 Jul 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 33% | 28% | 32% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
21–27 Apr 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 32% | 31% | 29% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
22–24 Nov 2013 | Survation/Alan Bown | 507 | 27% | 37% | 30% | 3% | 2% | 7% | |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 43,057 | 43.1% | 33.2% | 4.8% | 14.4% | 1.0% | 3.5% | 9.9% |
Halesowen and Rowley Regis edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 Feb–5 Mar 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 37% | 39% | 4% | 15% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
24 Sep–3 Oct 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 34% | 35% | 2% | 24% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 43,979 | 41.2% | 36.6% | 14.8% | 6.4% | – | 1.0% | 4.6% |
Halifax edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12–18 May 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 43% | 26% | 8% | 18% | 2% | 3% | 17% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 43,555 | 37.4% | 34% | 19.1% | 1.5% | - | 8% | 3.4% |
Hampstead and Kilburn edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | UKIP | LD | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 Jul–3 Aug 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 30% | 47% | 2% | 13% | 6% | 1% | 17% |
21–27 Apr 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,003 | 30% | 41% | 3% | 19% | 6% | 0% | 11% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Result | 52,822 | 32.7% | 32.8% | 0.8% | 31.2% | 1.4% | 1% | 0.1% |
Harlow edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2-10 April 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 34% | 44% | 3% | 16% | 2% | 1% | 10% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 53,878 | 33.7% | 44.9% | 13.7% | 3.6% | - | 4.2% | 11.2% |
Harrogate and Knaresborough edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5-12 Jun 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 11% | 41% | 24% | 16% | 8% | 0% | 17% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 53,134 | 6.4% | 45.7% | 43.8% | 2% | - | 2.1% | 1.9% |
Harrow East edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
31 Mar–4 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 40% | 44% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 4% |
1–7 Dec 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 40% | 37% | 6% | 13% | 3% | 0% | 3% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 48,006 | 44.7% | 37.6% | 14.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | – | 7.1% |
Hastings and Rye edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17-25 Sep 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 40% | 31% | 5% | 19% | 3% | 1% | 9% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 49,814 | 37.1% | 41.1% | 15.7% | 2.8% | - | 3.3% | 4% |
Hazel Grove edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4–15 Nov 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 15% | 29% | 35% | 17% | 4% | 6% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 41,981 | 12.5% | 33.6% | 48.8% | 5.1% | – | 15.2% |
Hendon edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18–29 Jun 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 34% | 49% | 4% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 15% |
31 Mar–6 Apr 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 36% | 44% | 7% | 11% | 2% | 1% | 8% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 46,374 | 42.3% | 42.1% | 12.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | – | 0.2% |
Heywood and Middleton edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 Oct 2014 | Heywood and Middleton by-election Result | 28,472 | 40.9% | 12.3% | 5.1% | 38.7% | 3.1% | – | 2.2% |
30 Sep–4 Oct 2014 | Ashcroft (By-election polling) | 1,000 | 47% | 16% | 5% | 28% | 4% | – | 19% |
30 Sep 2014 | Survation/The Sun (By-election polling) | 551 | 50% | 13% | 4% | 31% | 3% | – | 19% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 46,125 | 40.1% | 27.2% | 22.7% | 2.6% | - | 7.4% | 12.9% |
High Peak edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17-23 April 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 38% | 40% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 1% | 2% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 50,337 | 31.6% | 40.9% | 21.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 9.3% |
Hornsey and Wood Green edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 Mar 2015 | Liberal Democrats (fieldwork by Survation) |
325 | 15% | 37% | 36% | 4% | 7% | 1% | 1% |
3–13 Sep 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 14% | 43% | 30% | 3% | 8% | 1% | 13% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 55,042 | 16.7% | 34.0% | 46.5% | – | 2.3% | 0.6% | 12.5% |
Hove edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 52,214 | 39.9% | 42.3% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 1.1% | 2.4% |
1–4 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,002 | 37% | 43% | 5% | 5% | 9% | 1% | 6% |
17–27 Sep 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 34% | 37% | 6% | 11% | 12% | - | 3% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 49,819 | 36.7% | 33.0% | 22.6% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 0.2% | 3.7% |
Ipswich edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 Sep-2 Oct 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 38% | 31% | 6% | 19% | 5% | 1% | 7% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 46,291 | 34.7% | 39.1% | 18.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% |
Keighley edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20-26 Oct 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 37% | 31% | 5% | 23% | 3% | 1% | 6% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 47,692 | 35.8% | 41.9% | 14.8% | 3.1% | - | 4.4% | 6.1% |
Kingston and Surbiton edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 Oct–8 Nov 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 30% | 16% | 38% | 10% | 6% | 1% | 8% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 57,111 | 36.5% | 9.3% | 49.8% | 2.5% | 1% | 0.8% | 13.3% |
Kingswood edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 Mar–3 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 42% | 33% | 5% | 15% | 4% | 1% | 9% |
3-14 Oct 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 34% | 32% | 6% | 23% | 4% | 1% | 2% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 47,906 | 40.4% | 35.3% | 16.8% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% |
Lancaster and Fleetwood edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 Jun-4 Jul 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 27% | 41% | 4% | 18% | 10% | 1% | 14% |
8-13 Apr 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,002 | 29% | 43% | 6% | 12% | 9% | 1% | 14% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 42,701 | 36.1% | 35.2% | 19.1% | 4.4% | – | 2.7% | 0.8% |
Lewes edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 50,540 | 38.0% | 9.9% | 35.9% | 10.7% | 5.5% | - | 2.1% |
11-20 Nov 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 29% | 9% | 37% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 8% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 50,088 | 36.7% | 5% | 52% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 15.3% |
Lincoln edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14-21 Jul 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 39% | 35% | 6% | 17% | 3% | 1% | 4% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 45,721 | 35.2% | 37.5% | 20.2% | 2.2% | - | 4.8% | 2.3% |
Loughborough edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
31 Mar–3 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 45% | 36% | 3% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 9% |
22-25 Oct 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 40% | 37% | 5% | 12% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 52,838 | 41.6% | 34.5% | 18.3% | 1.8% | - | 3.9% | 7.1% |
Manchester Withington edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11–21 Jun 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 56% | 7% | 22% | 4% | 10% | 1% | 34% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 45,075 | 40.5% | 11.1% | 44.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 4.1% |
Mid Dorset and North Poole edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
31 Jul–9 Aug 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 38% | 8% | 32% | 19% | 3% | 1% | 6% |
12–18 May 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 39% | 8% | 32% | 17% | 3% | 1% | 7% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 46,788 | 44.5% | 5.9% | 45.1% | 4.5% | - | - | 0.6% |
Milton Keynes South edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7-10 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 37% | 39% | 8% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 55,333 | 41.6% | 32.2% | 17.7% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 9.4% |
Morecambe and Lunesdale edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1-4 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 36% | 42% | 5% | 12% | 5% | 1% | 6% |
7-11 Jul 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 34% | 37% | 6% | 18% | 4% | 2% | 3% |
14-20 Apr 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 37% | 39% | 5% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 2% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 43,436 | 41.5% | 39.5% | 13.3% | 4.2% | 1.4% | - | 2% |
Morley and Outwood edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5–11 May 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,003 | 41% | 24% | 5% | 20% | 2% | 8% | 17% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 48,856 | 37.6% | 35.3% | 16.8% | 3.1% | - | 7.2% | 2.3% |
Newark edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 Jun 2014 | Newark by-election Result | 38,707 | 45.0% | 17.7% | 3% | 25.9% | 8% | 19% |
2–3 Jun 2014 | Survation | 678 | 42% | 22% | 4% | 27% | 5% | 15% |
27 May–1 Jun 2014 | Ashcroft (By-election polling) | 1,000 | 42% | 20% | 6% | 27% | 5% | 15% |
27–28 May 2014 | Survation/The Sun | 606 | 36% | 27% | 5% | 28% | 5% | 8% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 51,228 | 53.9% | 22.3% | 20.0% | 3.8% | – | 31.5% |
Newton Abbot edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5-12 Jun 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 13% | 39% | 20% | 20% | 7% | 1% | 19% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 48,283 | 7% | 43% | 41.9% | 6.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% |
North Cornwall edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24-29 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,002 | 36% | 5% | 38% | 14% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
12-20 Mar 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,004 | 36% | 6% | 38% | 13% | 6% | 1% | 2% |
15-20 Aug 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 33% | 10% | 33% | 20% | 3% | 1% | Tied |
26 May-1 Jun 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 31% | 8% | 31% | 24% | 5% | 2% | Tied |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 46,844 | 41.7% | 4.2% | 48.1% | 4.9% | - | 1.1% | 6.4% |
North Devon edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24-26 Mar 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 38% | 8% | 31% | 16% | 6% | 2% | 7% |
29 Oct-6 Nov 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 30% | 9% | 29% | 23% | 7% | 2% | 1% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 51,321 | 36% | 7.2% | 47.4% | 7.2% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 11.4% |
North East Cambridgeshire edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 Jan–5 Feb 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 17% | 46% | 7% | 25% | 4% | 1% | 21% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 52,064 | 17.8% | 51.6% | 20% | 5.4% | - | 5.2% | 31.6% |
North East Somerset edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7-11 April 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 28% | 44% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 1% | 16% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 51,203 | 31.7% | 41.3% | 22.3% | 3.4% | 1.3% | - | 9.6% |
North Warwickshire edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18–28 Jun 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 41% | 30% | 2% | 22% | 2% | 2% | 11% |
31 Mar–6 Apr 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 43% | 35% | 3% | 15% | 3% | 1% | 8% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 47,265 | 40.1% | 40.2% | 11.6% | 2.8% | – | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Norwich North edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24-30 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 38% | 36% | 6% | 12% | 8% | 1% | 2% |
4–12 Feb 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 35% | 34% | 5% | 18% | 10% | 0% | 1% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 42,573 | 31.4% | 40.6% | 18.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 9.2% |
Norwich South edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11–21 Jun 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 33% | 18% | 12% | 15% | 20% | 1% | 13% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 47,551 | 28.7% | 22.9% | 29.4% | 2.4% | 14.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
Nuneaton edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | BNP | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 Feb-5 Mar 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 39% | 34% | 4% | 14% | 8% | – | 1% | 5% |
24 Sep–3 Oct 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 39% | 36% | 3% | 19% | 2% | – | 1% | 3% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 44,646 | 36.9% | 41.5% | 15.3% | – | – | 6.3% | - | 4.6% |
Oxford West and Abingdon edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
21–28 Aug 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 18% | 38% | 30% | 9% | 4% | <0.5% | 8% |
30 May–5 Jun 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 18% | 36% | 25% | 11% | 8% | 1% | 11% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 56,480 | 10.6% | 42.3% | 42.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
Pendle edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
31 Mar–4 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 41% | 37% | 8% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 4% |
8–14 Dec 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 36% | 33% | 11% | 17% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 45,045 | 38.9% | 30.9% | 20.2% | 3.3% | – | 6.7% | 8.0% |
Plymouth Moor View edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15–23 Jul 2014 | Ashcroft | 506 | 35% | 26% | 5% | 30% | 2% | 1% | 5% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 41,526 | 37.2% | 33.3% | 16.9% | 7.7% | 1.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% |
Plymouth Sutton & Devonport edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15–23 Jul 2014 | Ashcroft | 506 | 39% | 26% | 6% | 21% | 8% | 1% | 8% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 43,894 | 31.7% | 34.3% | 24.7% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 2.6% |
Portsmouth South edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 Oct–6 Nov 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 20% | 30% | 25% | 17% | 6% | 1% | 5% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 41,264 | 13.7% | 33.3% | 45.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 12.6% |
Redcar edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 Aug–6 Sep 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 44% | 12% | 18% | 23% | 2% | 1% | 21% |
17–19 Apr 2014 | ICM/Lord Oakeshott | 500 | 47% | 15% | 15% | 19% | 2% | 2% | 28% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 41,963 | 32.7% | 13.8% | 45.2% | 4.5% | – | 3.8% | 12.5% |
Rochester and Strood edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15–22 April 2015 | Ashcroft | 1000 | 36% | 24% | 3% | 33% | 4% | 1% | 3% |
20 Nov 2014 | Rochester and Strood by-election Result | 40,065 | 34.8% | 16.8% | 0.9% | 42.1% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 7.3% |
7–10 Nov 2014 | Ashcroft | 543 | 36% | 21% | 2% | 35% | 5% | 1% | 1% |
7–10 Nov 2014 | Ashcroft (By-election polling) | 543 | 32% | 17% | 2% | 44% | 4%[d] | 1% | 12% |
27–28 Oct 2014 | Survation | 1,012 | 33% | 16% | 1% | 48% | 1.7% | 2% | 15% |
17–21 Oct 2014 | ComRes[permanent dead link][e] | 949 | 30% | 21% | 3% | 43% | 2% | 1% | 13% |
4 Oct 2014 | Survation/Mail on Sunday | 677 | 31% | 25% | 2% | 40% | 1% | 0.4% | 9% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 47,971 | 49.2% | 28.5% | 16.3% | – | 1.5% | 4.5% | 20.7% |
Rother Valley edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | UKIP | LD | Green | BNP | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24–29 Nov 2014 | Ashcroft | 480 | 18% | 40% | 34% | 4% | 3% | <0.5% | 2% | 6% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 46,768 | 28.4% | 40.9% | 5.6% | 17.3% | – | 7.7% | – | 12.5% |
Sheffield Hallam edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 May 2015 | ICM/Guardian1 | 501 | 35% | 12% | 42% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 7% |
22–28 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 37% | 15% | 36% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
22–28 Mar 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 36% | 16% | 34% | 7% | 6% | 1% | 2% |
22–29 Jan 2015 | Survation/Unite | 1,011 | 33% | 22% | 23% | 9% | 12% | <0.5% | 10% |
20–22 Nov 2014 | Ashcroft | 962 | 30% | 19% | 27%[f] | 13% | 10% | 1% | 3% |
29 Apr–4 May 2014 | ICM/Lord Oakeshott | 500 | 33% | 24% | 23% | 10% | 8% | 1% | 9% |
1–4 Oct 2010 | Populus/Ashcroft | 1,000 | 31% | 28% | 33% | N/A | N/A | 8% | 2% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Result | 51,135 | 16.1% | 23.5% | 53.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 29.9% |
1: These figures represent the results when respondents were presented with named candidates. When asked to think only about the political parties [the methodology used by the Ashcroft polls] the figures showed a small Labour lead.[4]
Solihull edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
31 Jul–10 Aug 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 12% | 37% | 28% | 16% | 6% | 1% | 9% |
12–18 May 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 12% | 37% | 28% | 16% | 6% | 1% | 9% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 55,129 | 8.9% | 42.6% | 42.9% | 2.2% | – | 3.5% | 0.3% |
Southampton Itchen edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 Feb-7 Mar 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 35% | 30% | 7% | 20% | 8% | – | 5% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 44,412 | 36.8% | 36.3% | 20.8% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
South Basildon and East Thurrock edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 Jan–5 Feb 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 28% | 35% | 3% | 29% | 3% | 1% | 6% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 44,735 | 31.0% | 43.9% | 13.4% | 5.9% | - | 5.9% | 12.9% |
South Swindon edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
22–28 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 37% | 36% | 6% | 16% | 4% | - | 1% |
3–12 Mar 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 36% | 35% | 5% | 19% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
1–6 Dec 2014 | Ashcroft | 508 | 34% | 34% | 7% | 20% | 4% | 1% | Tied |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 47,119 | 41.8% | 34.3% | 17.6% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 7.5% |
South Thanet edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | UKIP | LD | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
22-28 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 34% | 26% | 32% | 3% | 5% | 2% |
22 April 2015 | Survation/Alan Bown [g] | 1,057 | 30% | 26% | 39% | 2% | 3% | 9% |
13-18 March 2015 | ComRes/Chartwell Political Archived 12 April 2015 at the Wayback Machine | 1,003 | 31% | 29% | 30% | 5% | 5% | 1% |
18–20 Feb 2015 | Survation/Alan Bown [g] | 1,011 | 27% | 28% | 38% | 2% | 5% | 10% |
23–24 Nov 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,003 | 33% | 27% | 32% | 4% | 4% | 1% |
11–16 July 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 29% | 29% | 33% | 4% | 5% | 4% |
21–27 April 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 32% | 31% | 27% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
22–24 Nov 2013 | Survation | 515 | 28% | 35% | 30% | 5% | 2% | 5% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 45,933 | 48.0% | 31.4% | 5.5% | 15.1% | – | 16.6% |
South West Surrey edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | LD | UKIP | Lab | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4–5 Dec 2014 | Survation/Unite | 587 | 57% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 1% | 42% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 57,259 | 58.7% | 30.2% | 2.6% | 6.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 28.5% |
St Austell and Newquay edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 Mar 2015 | Ashcroft | 1002 | 32% | 10% | 26% | 20% | 6% | 4% | 6% |
6–16 Aug 2014 | Ashcroft | 493 | 27% | 13% | 26% | 25% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
19–25 May 2014 | Ashcroft[h] | 473 | 32% | 10% | 24% | 25% | 4% | 5% | 7% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 47,238 | 40.0% | 7.2% | 42.7% | 3.7% | – | 6.4% | 2.8% |
Stevenage edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8–13 Dec 2014 | Ashcroft | 497 | 38% | 33% | 7% | 18% | 3% | 0% | 5% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 44,651 | 33.4% | 41.4% | 16.6% | 4.5% | – | 4.1% | 8.0% |
Stockton South edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
31 Mar–4 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1000 | 39% | 44% | 3% | 9% | 1% | 3% | 5% |
6–12 Nov 2014 | Survation/Unite | 571 | 39.1% | 36.5% | 2.8% | 18.2% | 3.1% | 0.2% | 2.6% |
26 Jun–4 Jul 2014 | Ashcroft | 521 | 35% | 38% | 4% | 19% | 2% | 2% | 3% |
7–13 Apr 2014 | Ashcroft | 512 | 36% | 43% | 5% | 12% | 0% | 3% | 7% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 50,284 | 38.9% | 38.3% | 15.1% | 2.9% | – | 4.8% | 0.6% |
Stroud edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11–16 Jul 2014 | Ashcroft | 561 | 30% | 41% | 6% | 11% | 11% | <0.5% | 11% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 57,973 | 40.8% | 38.6% | 15.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 2.2% |
Sutton and Cheam edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6-16 August 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 11% | 27% | 45% | 14% | 3% | 0% | 18% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 48,508 | 7.0% | 42.4% | 45.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% |
Thurrock edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | UKIP | LD | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 49,964 | 33.7% | 32.6% | 31.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% |
17-23 April 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 30% | 31% | 35% | 1% | 3% | 4% |
18–26 June 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,002 | 28% | 30% | 36% | 2% | 4% | 6% |
31 Mar–6 Apr 2014 | Ashcroft | 394 | 27% | 37% | 29% | 4% | 3% | 8% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 45,822 | 36.8% | 36.6% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 0.2% |
Torbay edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 48,079 | 8.7% | 40.7% | 33.8% | 13.6% | 3.2% | 0.0% | 6.9% |
12-21 Mar 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 11% | 33% | 34% | 17% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
27 Aug - 6 Sep 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 15% | 30% | 30% | 21% | 3% | 1% | Tied |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 49,210 | 6.6% | 38.7% | 47.0% | 5.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 8.3% |
Twickenham edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | UKIP | LD | Green | BNP | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11-16 Apr 2014 | ICM/Oakeshott | 501 | 34% | 23% | 5% | 32% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 59,721 | 34.1% | 7.7% | 1.5% | 54.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 20.3% |
Warwick & Leamington edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1–6 Dec 2014 | Ashcroft | 534 | 38% | 34% | 7% | 14% | 7% | <0.5% | 4% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 49,032 | 42.6% | 35.4% | 18.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 7.2% |
Watford edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 56,149 | 43.5% | 26.0% | 18.1% | 9.8% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 17.4% |
11–20 Nov 2014 | Ashcroft | 525 | 30% | 24% | 28% | 14% | 3% | 0% | 2% |
20–28 Aug 2014 | Ashcroft | 525 | 27% | 29% | 25% | 14% | 4% | 1% | 2% |
19 May–6 Jun 2014 | Ashcroft | 524 | 29% | 25% | 24% | 16% | 6% | 0% | 4% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 55,208 | 34.9% | 26.7% | 32.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% |
Weaver Vale edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14-22 Jul 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 32% | 41% | 6% | 18% | 2% | 1% | 9% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 43,990 | 38.5% | 36.3% | 18.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
Wirral West edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24-30 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 43% | 46% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 3% |
3–12 Mar 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 37% | 42% | 5% | 10% | 5% | 1% | 5% |
22–26 Oct 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 38% | 39% | 6% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 39,372 | 42.5% | 36.3% | 16.8% | 2.3% | – | 2.1% | 6.2% |
Witney edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | LD | UKIP | Lab | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2–4 Dec 2014 | Survation/Unite | 531 | 53% | 4% | 19% | 16% | 7% | 1% | 34% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 57,769 | 58.8% | 19.4% | 3.5% | 13.0% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 39.4% |
Worcester edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | BNP | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3–12 Mar 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,002 | 38% | 33% | 4% | 15% | 7% | – | 2% | 5% |
13–19 Oct 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,002 | 34% | 36% | 5% | 17% | 7% | – | 1% | 2% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 48,974 | 39.5% | 33.4% | 19.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 6.1% |
Wyre Forest edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | BNP | ICHC | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11–20 Nov 2014 | Ashcroft | 518 | 32% | 16% | 7% | 27% | 5% | <1% | - | 13% | 5% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 50,899 | 36.9% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 2.9% | – | 2.2% | 31.7% | – | 5.2% |
Wythenshawe and Sale East edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | UKIP | Con | LD | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 Feb 2014 | Wythenshawe by-election Result | 23,961 | 55.3% | 18.0% | 14.5% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 37.3% |
3–5 Feb 2014 | Ashcroft (By-election polling) | 1,009 | 61% | 15% | 14% | 5% | 4% | 46% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 40,751 | 44.1% | 3.4% | 25.6% | 22.3% | 4.6% | 18.6% |
Northern Ireland edit
Belfast East edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | DUP | APNI | UUP | PUP | TUV | SF | UKIP | Green | SDLP | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 39,682 | 49.3% | 42.8% | – | – | – | 2.1% | – | – | 0.3% | 2.8% | 6.5% |
12–28 Jan 2015 | LucidTalk[permanent dead link] | 820 | 34.4% | 28.7% | 14.6% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 34,488 | 32.8% | 37.2% | 21.2% | – | 5.4% | 2.4% | – | – | 1.1% | – | 4.4% |
Scotland edit
Airdrie and Shotts edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 44,286 | 7.7% | 34.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | - | 53.9% | 0.3% | 19.8% |
14–22 Jan 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 7% | 39% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 47% | 0% | 8% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 35,849 | 8.7% | 58.2% | 8.1% | – | – | 23.5% | 1.5% | 34.6% |
Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 52,209 | 19.8% | 27.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | - | 48.8% | - | 21.6% |
10–19 Feb 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 21% | 31% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 42% | 1% | 11% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 45,893 | 25.5% | 47.1% | 9.3% | – | – | 18.0% | – | 21.6% |
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 55,038 | 36.0% | 4.9% | 18.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 36.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% |
13-16 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 30% | 9% | 28% | 3% | 1% | 29% | 0% | 1% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 40,014 | 33.8% | 10.2% | 45.4% | 1.2% | – | 9.2% | 0.3% | 11.6% |
Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 50,698 | 6.3% | 33.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | - | 56.6% | - | 22.7% |
7–17 Jan 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 6% | 43% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 46% | 1% | 3% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 41,635 | 8.1% | 66.6% | 8.5% | – | – | 16.8% | – | 49.8% |
Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 49,382 | 7.9% | 30.0% | 2.2% | - | - | 59.9% | - | 29.9% |
14–22 Jan 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 6% | 34% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 52% | 1% | 18% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 41,150 | 8.3% | 57.2% | 9.5% | – | – | 23.8% | 1.2% | 33.3% |
Dumfries and Galloway edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 55,432 | 29.9% | 24.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | – | 41.4% | – | 11.5% |
19–26 Feb 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,002 | 30% | 28% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 34% | 0% | 4% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 52,173 | 31.6% | 45.9% | 8.8% | 1.3% | – | 12.3% | – | 14.3% |
Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 52,134 | 39.8% | 14.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 38.3% | - | 1.5% |
24-29 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 31% | 17% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 42% | - | 11% |
9-15 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 34% | 20% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 36% | 1% | 2% |
10–19 Feb 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 34% | 18% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 34% | 1% | Tied |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 45,892 | 38.0% | 28.9% | 19.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 10.8% | – | 9.1% |
Dundee West edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 44,714 | 8.6% | 23.7% | 2.4% | - | 2.7% | 61.9% | 0.7% | 38.2% |
23–30 Jan 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 6% | 25% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 59% | 0% | 34% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 37,126 | 9.3% | 48.5% | 11.4% | – | – | 28.9% | 1.9% | 19.6% |
East Dunbartonshire edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 54,871 | 8.6% | 12.3% | 36.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 40.3% | - | 4.0% |
10-16 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 12% | 16% | 29% | 1% | 1% | 40% | 0% | 11% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 47,948 | 15.5% | 34.1% | 38.7% | 1.1% | – | 10.5% | - | 4.6% |
East Renfrewshire edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 56,825 | 21.9% | 34.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | – | 40.6% | 6.5% |
24-30 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 20% | 36% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 39% | 3% |
11-16 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,002 | 25% | 31% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 40% | 9% |
16–26 Feb 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 26% | 34% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 33% | 1% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 51,181 | 30.4% | 50.8% | 9.2% | 0.7% | – | 8.9% | 20.4% |
Edinburgh North and Leith edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 - 17 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 14% | 29% | 6% | 1% | 6% | 43% | 0% | 14% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 47,356 | 14.9% | 37.5% | 33.8% | – | 2.2% | 9.6% | 1.6% | 3.5% |
Edinburgh South edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 - 17 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 16% | 34% | 8% | 1% | 4% | 37% | 1% | 3% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 43,801 | 21.6% | 34.7% | 34.0% | – | 2.0% | 7.7% | - | 0.7% |
Edinburgh South West edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11–19 Feb 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 19% | 27% | 4% | 2% | 7% | 40% | 0% | 13% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 45,462 | 24.3% | 42.8% | 18.0% | – | 1.9% | 12.2% | 0.8% | 18.6% |
Glasgow Central edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5–10 Jan 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 5% | 35% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 45% | 2% | 10% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 30,572 | 7.1% | 52.0% | 16.4% | 0.8% | 2.6% | 17.5% | 3.6% | 34.5% |
Glasgow East edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5–8 Jan 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 4% | 37% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 51% | 2% | 14% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 32,164 | 4.5% | 61.6% | 5.0% | 0.6% | – | 24.7% | 3.5% | 36.8% |
Glasgow North edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5–10 Jan 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 5% | 33% | 4% | 1% | 11% | 45% | 1% | 12% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 29,613 | 7.1% | 44.5% | 31.3% | – | 3.2% | 11.9% | 2.0% | 13.2% |
Glasgow North East edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5–8 Jan 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 4% | 46% | 1% | 5% | 4% | 39% | 1% | 7% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 29,409 | 5.3% | 68.3% | 7.7% | – | – | 14.1% | 4.4% | 54.2% |
Glasgow North West edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7–17 Jan 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 7% | 38% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 44% | 1% | 6% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 35,582 | 9.9% | 54.1% | 15.8% | – | 2.5% | 15.3% | 2.5% | 38.3% |
Glasgow South edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7–16 Jan 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 9% | 33% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 48% | 1% | 15% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 40,094 | 11.5% | 51.7% | 11.8% | – | 2.4% | 20.1% | 2.5% | 31.6% |
Glasgow South West edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11-16 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,003 | 6% | 34% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 55% | 1% | 21% |
7–15 Jan 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 4% | 42% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 45% | 1% | 3% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 31,781 | 6.6% | 62.5% | 9.0% | – | – | 16.3% | 5.5% | 46.2% |
Gordon edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
22–29 Jan 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,002 | 11% | 14% | 26% | 4% | 1% | 43% | 1% | 17% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 48,775 | 18.7% | 20.1% | 36.0% | – | 1.5% | 22.2% | 1.4% | 13.8% |
Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and Strathspey edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20–29 Jan 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 10% | 13% | 21% | 4% | 1% | 50% | 1% | 29% |
23–26 May 2014 | ICM/Oakeshott | 500 | 12% | 25% | 16% | 7% | 4% | 32% | 3% | 7% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 47,086 | 13.3% | 22.1% | 40.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 18.7% | 2.5% | 18.6% |
Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19–26 Feb 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 7% | 39% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 45% | 0% | 6% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 45,802 | 9.3% | 64.5% | 9.3% | 1.7% | – | 14.3% | 0.9% | 50.2% |
Motherwell and Wishaw edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14–22 Jan 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 5% | 39% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 50% | 1% | 11% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 39,123 | 9.4% | 61.1% | 9.8% | – | – | 18.2% | 1.6% | 42.9% |
North East Fife edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10-16 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 16% | 9% | 30% | 4% | 1% | 43% | 1% | 13% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 40,064 | 21.8% | 17.1% | 44.3% | 2.6% | - | 14.2% | - | 22.6% |
Paisley and Renfrewshire South edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 46,226 | 7.6% | 38.6% | 2.2% | – | – | 50.9% | 0.6% | 12.3% |
11-16 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,005 | 6% | 39% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 50% | 1% | 11% |
22–29 Jan 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 6% | 40% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 48% | 1% | 8% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 39,998 | 9.9% | 59.6% | 9.5% | – | – | 18.1% | 2.9% | 41.5% |
Ross, Skye and Lochaber edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9-15 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 7% | 6% | 33% | 2% | 3% | 48% | 1% | 15% |
16–26 Feb 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 8% | 9% | 35% | 2% | 5% | 40% | 1% | 5% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 34,838 | 12.2% | 15.1% | 52.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 15.1% | 0.8% | 37.5% |
West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11–19 Feb 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 25% | 10% | 20% | 3% | 2% | 39% | 0% | 14% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 45,195 | 30.3% | 13.6% | 38.4% | 0.9% | – | 15.7% | 1.1% | 8.1% |
West Dunbartonshire edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14–22 Jan 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 6% | 38% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 47% | 1% | 9% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 42,266 | 7.7% | 61.3% | 8.1% | 1.6% | – | 20.1% | 1.2% | 41.2% |
Wales edit
Brecon and Radnorshire edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Plaid | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 Oct–1 Nov 2014 | Ashcroft | 553 | 8% | 15% | 27% | 31% | 17% | 2% | 0% | 4% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 38,845 | 2.5% | 10.5% | 36.5% | 46.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 9.6% |
Cardiff Central edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Plaid | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19–22 Sep 2014 | Ashcroft | 542 | 9% | 36% | 17% | 24% | 9% | 5% | <0.5% | 12% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 36,151 | 3.4% | 28.8% | 21.6% | 41.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 12.6% |
Cardiff North edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Plaid | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18–27 Jun 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 7% | 41% | 30% | 6% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 11% |
31 Mar–6 Apr 2014 | Ashcroft | 461 | 7% | 41% | 34% | 8% | 8% | 1% | <0.5% | 7% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 47,630 | 3.3% | 37.1% | 37.5% | 18.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Plaid | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8–13 Dec 2014 | Ashcroft | 515 | 16% | 29% | 33% | 4% | 14% | 3% | 1% | 4% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 40,507 | 10.4% | 32.7% | 41.1% | 12.1% | 2.8% | – | 0.9% | 8.5% |
Vale of Glamorgan edit
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Plaid | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2–12 Feb 2015 | Ashcroft | 532 | 12% | 32% | 38% | 4% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 6% |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 48,667 | 5.5% | 32.9% | 41.8% | 15.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 8.8% |
Multiple constituency polling edit
Some polls are carried out in specified subsets of marginal constituencies. Most of the polls for Michael Ashcroft were compilations of polls in individual constituencies.
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | No of Seats surveyed |
Incumbents by party | Sample size | Con | Lab | UKIP | LD | Green | Others |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1–14 Dec 2014 | Ashcroft | 8 | 8 Con | 8,000 | 36% | 35% | 14% | 6% | 5%[i] | 2% |
20–29 Nov 2014 | Ashcroft | 4 | 4 Lab | 4,002 | 22% | 37% | 33% | 5% | 2%[j] | 1% |
15–24 Nov 2014 | ComRes/ITV News[permanent dead link] | 40 | 25 Con, 15 Lab | 743 | 31% | 39% | 18% | 7% | 4% | <0.5% |
2–27 Oct 2014 | Ashcroft | 12 | 12 Con | 12,008 | 32% | 35% | 23% | 5% | 4% | 1% |
10 Sep–3 Oct 2014 | Ashcroft | 11 | 11 Con | 11,002 | 32% | 38% | 18% | 5% | 5% | 1% |
18–26 Sep 2014 | ComRes/ITV News[permanent dead link] | 40 | 25 Con, 15 Lab | 766 | 30% | 41% | 17% | 6% | 5% | 2% |
31 Jul–14 Sep 2014 | Ashcroft | 5 | 5 LibDem | 5,000 | 15% | 38% | 10% | 28% | 6% | 3% |
31 Jul–6 Sep 2014 | Ashcroft | 17 | 2 Con, 15 LibDem | 8,909 | 32% | 13% | 17% | 32% | 4% | 1% |
11 Jul–11 Aug 2014 | Ashcroft | 8 | 8 Con | 8,005 | 30% | 40% | 8% | 17% | 5% | 1% |
11 Jul–11 Aug 2014 | Ashcroft | 4 | 4 Lab | 4,001 | 30% | 43% | 9% | 13% | 4% | 1% |
18 Jun–16 Jul 2014 | Ashcroft | 14 | 14 Con | 14,004 | 31% | 38% | 4% | 21% | 4% | 2% |
18–25 Jun 2014 | ComRes/ITV News[permanent dead link] | 40 | 25 Con, 15 Lab | 795 | 31% | 36% | 17% | 7% | 6% | 3% |
11–22 Jun 2014 | Ashcroft | 4 | 4 LD | 1,963 | 12% | 47% | 10% | 19% | 9% | 2% |
11 May–14 Jun 2014 | Ashcroft | 17 | 6 Con, 11 LibDem | 8,728 | 33% | 14% | 18% | 28% | 6%[d] | 1% |
15–20 May 2014 | ComRes/Independent[permanent dead link] | 40 | 25 Con, 15 Lab | 1,030 | 33% (−4) | 35% (−2) | 17% (+14) | 8% (−10) | 4% | 2% |
31 Mar–18 May 2014 | Ashcroft | 26 | 14 Con, 12 Lab | 26,025 | 29% | 41% | 18% | 8% | 4% | |
1 Aug–5 Sep 2013 | Ashcroft | 40 | 40 Con | 12,809 | 30% | 35% | 12% | 13% | 10% |
Explanatory notes edit
The Lord Ashcroft polls typically ask two voting intention questions, with the second question asking the respondent to think "specifically about your own constituency and the candidates who are likely to stand there".[2] This latter question is reported in the tables above.
Most polling companies are members of the British Polling Council and abide by its disclosure rules; however, Michael Ashcroft, who commissioned many of these polls, is not a BPC member, despite having been invited to join. However, he contracts the conduct of his polls to BPC members.[5]
See also edit
Notes edit
- ^ a b Percentages for UKIP/Others based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers
- ^ Percentage for Greens based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers
- ^ Percentages for UKIP/Green/Others based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers
- ^ a b Based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers
- ^ By-election polling
- ^ This poll originally, erroneously, showed a small lead for the LDs: see http://lordashcroftpolls.com/2015/02/sheffield-hallam-doncaster-north-thanet-south/#more-7536
- ^ a b Candidates named in the poll.
- ^ Share for Greens based on a table that did not further prompt "don't know" and refusers.
- ^ Based on a mean of the (non-aggregated) shares of 3%, 9%, 3%, 3%, 3%, 5%, 3% and 7% in the eight constituencies
- ^ Based on non-aggregated shares of 3%, 2%, 2% and 2% in the four constituencies
References edit
- ^ Patrick Wintour (19 February 2015). "Lib Dem polling brings hope of future coalition role". The Guardian.
- ^ a b "Introducing the New Statesman Political Index: Lib Dems to win at least 30 seats". New Statesman. 8 June 2021.
- ^ "Ed Miliband and Doncaster North: a correction (and apology) – Lord Ashcroft Polls". lordashcroftpolls.com. Archived from the original on 2 December 2014. Retrieved 2 December 2014.
- ^ Sheffield Hallam Constituency Poll for The Guardian Archived 7 May 2015 at the Wayback Machine - ICM Media Centre, 4 May 2015
- ^ "Sheffield Hallam, Doncaster North and Thanet South". Michael Ashcroft. Archived from the original on 9 February 2015. Retrieved 7 February 2015."Minutes of the Annual General Meeting 2013". British Polling Council. Archived from the original on 19 May 2014. Retrieved 19 May 2014.
P – The dates when the fieldwork for this poll was carried out is unknown, therefore the date of publication has been given.
External links edit
- Ipsos Mori archive of all pollsters' polls
- British Polling Council
- Electoral Calculus
- UK Polling Report Blog
- UK Polling Report – 2015 Election Guide Archived 21 March 2015 at the Wayback Machine
- ICM Polls
- Populus Polls
- Political Polls
- ComRes Polls
- Angus Reid Public Opinion