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User:Kahlores/Sandbox/Israel, election for the 23rd Knesset in one table

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  Speculative poll

Date Polling firm Publisher Note Joint
List 		Labor-
Gesher-Meretz 		Green Blue &
White 		Yisrael
Beiteinu 		Sa'ar
party 		Likud New
Right 		Nat.
Union 		United
J. Home 		Shas UTJ L R
Current seats 13 6 3[a] 1[a] 33 8 32 3 2 2 – 9 7 57 55
28 Feb 2020 Election silence starting end of Friday before election day[1]
15 Jan 2020 Deadline to submit the candidate lists[2]
13 Jan 2020 Midgam Channel 12[3] 13 9 – 34 7 31 6 5 8 7 56 57
Right[b] 13 9 – 34 7 32 10 8 7 56 57
13 Jan 2020 Labor-Gesher and Democratic Union merger[4]
Date Polling firm Publisher Note Joint
List 		Labor-
Gesher 		Dem.
Union 		Green Blue &
White 		Yisrael
Beiteinu 		Sa'ar
party 		Likud New
Right 		Nat.
Union 		United
J. Home 		Shas UTJ L R
10 Jan 2020 Maagar Mochot Israel Hayom[5] 15 5 5 (0.2%) 34 7 30 4 (1%) 5 7 8 59 54
Left[c] 13 11 – 33 7 30 6 (1%) 6 7 7 57 56
URWP[d] 14 5 5 – 33 7 29 5 8 7 7 57 56
Right[b] 14 5 5 – 34 7 29 11 7 8 58 55
9 Jan 2020 Midgam Arutz Sheva[6] URWP[d] 13 5 4 – 34 7 32 6 4 8 7 56 57
NR+NU[e] 13 5 4 – 34 7 32 9 (2.7%) 8 8 56 57
8–9 Jan 2020 Panels Politics Makor Rishon[7] 14 5 (2.4%) – 35 8 31 7 – 4 8 8 54 58
URWP[d] 14 5 (2.4%) – 35 8 31 7 6 7 7 54 58
Yamina[f] 14 5 (2.4%) – 35 8 32 10 (2.1%) 8 8 54 58
Right[b] 14 5 (2.4%) – 35 8 33 10 8 7 54 58
8 Jan 2020 Midgam Walla![8] 13 5 4 (0.2%) 35 8 33 6 (1.1%) (2.8%) 8 8 57 55
Left,[c]
Right[b] 		13 9 – 34 8 32 8 8 8 56 56
7 Jan 2020 Meretz and Democratic Choice agree to run together as the Democratic Union list[9]
2 Jan 2020 Panel Project HaMidgam Channel 13[10] URWP[d] 13 5 4 – 36 6 34 8 (2.9%) 7 7 58 56
Left,[c]
URWP[d] 		13 10 – 35 7 33 8 – 7 7 58 55
2 Jan 2020 Kantar Kan 11[11] URWP[d] 13 6 5 – 35 7 32 5 (3%) 7 8 59 54
2 Jan 2020 Midgam Channel 12[12] 13 5 4[g] (0.0%) 35 8 33 6 (0.9%) (2.6%) 8 8 57 55
URWP[d] 13 5 4[g] (0.0%) 34 7 32 6 4 8 7 56 57
1 Jan 2020 Panels Politics Maariv[13] URWP[d] 13 5 (2.9%) – 36 8 30 6 7 8 7 54 58
Sa'ar,[h]
URWP[d] 		13 4 – – 34 7 6 28 6 7 8 7 51 62
29 Dec 2019 Midgam Channel 12[14] 13 5 4 – 34 8 32 5 4 8 7 56 56
26 Dec 2019 Likud reelects Benjamin Netanyahu as its leader[15]
20 Dec 2019 The Jewish Home and Otzma Yehudit agree to run together[16]
19 Dec 2019 Stav Shaffir announces a run as part of the Green Movement[17]
Date Polling firm Publisher Note Joint
List 		Labor-
Gesher 		Dem.
Union 		Blue &
White 		Yisrael
Beiteinu 		Likud New
Right 		Nat.
Union 		J.
Home 		Otzma
Yehudit 		Shas UTJ L R
19 Dec 2019 Smith 103fm[18] URWP[d] 13 5 4 35 7 32 5 4 8 7 57 56
Sa'ar,[i]
URWP[d] 		13 5 4 33 6 30 8 5 9 7 55 59
18 Dec 2019 Panels Politics Makor Rishon[19] 14 5 (2.1%) 38 7 34 7 (2.7%) (1.6%) 9 7 57 56
Sa'ar[i] 14 5 (2.6%) 34 7 30 10 4 – 8 8 53 60
15 Dec 2019 Kantar Kan 11[20] 13 6 5 35 8 31 6 – – 9 7 59 53
Sa'ar[i] 13 5 5 34 7 27 8 4 – 10 7 57 56
12 Dec 2019 Maagar Mochot Israel Hayom[21] 14 6 4 37 8 31 5 (2%) (1%) 8 7 61 51
Sa'ar[i] 15 5 4 33 7 31 7 (2%) – 11 7 57 56
12 Dec 2019 Midgam Channel 12[22] 13 5 5 35 8 32 6 (2.8%) (1.3%) 8 8 58 54
Sa'ar[i] 13 5 5 35 8 26 9 4 – 8 7 58 54
12 Dec 2019 Smith Maariv[23] URWP[d] 12 5 4 35 7 33 5 4 8 7 56 57
12 Dec 2019 The Knesset is dissolved for lack of a new government[24]
10 Dec 2019 Panel Project HaMidgam Channel 13[25] 13 5 5 37 8 33 6 – – 6 7 60 52
Sa'ar[i] 13 4 5 35 8 29 7 5 – 7 7 57 55
9–10 Dec 2019 Midgam Walla![26] 13 5 4 35 8 33 6 (2.1%) (1.3%) 8 8 57 55
8 Dec 2019 Kantar Kan Radio[27] 13 5 4 35 7 34 6 (2.4%) (1.9%) 8 8 57 56
8 Dec 2019 Kantar Kan 11[28] Sa'ar[i] 13 5 4 33 8 32 8 – – 9 8 55 57
5 Dec 2019 Midgam Channel 12[29] 13 5 5 34 8 33 6 (2.2%) (1.9%) 8 8 57 55
5 Dec 2019 Maagar Mochot 103fm[30] 12 4 4 34 8 32 6 4 – 8 8 54 58
28 Nov 2019 Maagar Mochot Israel Hayom[31] 13 4 4 35 8 33 6 (2%) (1%) 9 8 56 56
28 Nov 2019 Maagar Mochot Maariv[32] 13 4 4 35 8 33 6 – – 9 8 56 56
Sa'ar[i] 14 4 – 33 9 28 12 – – 11 9 51 60
26–27 Nov 2019 Smith Maariv[33] 13 5 5 35 8 33 6 – – 8 7 58 54
Sa'ar[i] 13 5 4 35 7 31 6 4 – 8 7 57 56
26 Nov 2019 Midgam Channel 12[34][35] 13 5 4 34 9 33 6 (2.3%) (1.2%) 8 8 56 55
Sa'ar[i] 13 6 4 35 9 26 9 (2.9%) – 10 8 58 53
25–26 Nov 2019 Midgam Walla![36] 13 5 4 34 8 33 7 (2.3%) (1.2%) 9 7 56 56
25 Nov 2019 Panels Politics Channel 12[37][38] 12 5 4 37 7 30 6 4 – 8 7 58 55
22 Nov 2019 Panel Project HaMidgam
& Statnet 		Channel 13[39][40] 13 4 4 36 8 33 6 4 – 6 6 57 55
21–22 Nov 2019 Maagar Mochot Israel Hayom[41][42] 13 4 6 34 7 33 7 – 8 8 57 56
21 Nov 2019 Kantar Kan 11[43] 12 5 5 33 8 33 5 4 – 7 8 55 57
21 Nov 2019 Attorney General indicts incumbent PM Benjamin Netanyahu on corruption charges[40]
21 Nov 2019 Midgam Channel 12[44] 13 5 5 33 9 33 7 – 8 7 56 55
15 Nov 2019 Maagar Mochot Israel Hayom[45] 13 6 6 33 9 31 5 – 10 7 58 53
10 Nov 2019 Panel Project HaMidgam Channel 13[46] 13 5 4 35 9 34 4 4 – 6 6 57 54
31 Oct 2019 Maagar Mochot 103fm[47] 12 7 5 34 8 33 6 – 9 6 58 54
22 Oct 2019 Panel Project HaMidgam Channel 13[48] 13 5 4 34 8 33 4 5 – 7 7 56 56
10 Oct 2019 The Yamina alliance splits up.
Date Polling firm Publisher Note Joint
List 		Labor-
Gesher 		Dem.
Union 		Blue &
White 		Yisrael
Beiteinu 		Likud Yamina Otzma
Yehudit 		Shas UTJ L R
3–6 Oct 2019 Midgam Walla![49] 13 6 5 33 7 33 7 – 9 7 57 56
Sa'ar[i] 13 6 5 33 7 26 12 – 10 8 57 56
17 Sep 2019 Election results[50] 13 6 5[a] 33 8 32 7 (1.9%) 9 7 57 55


Notes

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  1. ^ a b c Meretz (3 MKs), the Israel Democratic Party (1 MK) and the Green Movement (1 MK) fought the September 2019 elections together under the name Democratic Union.
  2. ^ a b c d In case New Right, National Union-Tkuma, Jewish Home and Otzma Yehudit join together.
  3. ^ a b c In case Labor-Gesher and Meretz join together.
  4. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l In case the Union of Right-Wing Parties of March 2019 is recreated, including Jewish Home, National Union-Tkuma and Otzma Yehudit.
  5. ^ In case New Right and National Union-Tkuma join together.
  6. ^ In case Yamina is reformed.
  7. ^ a b Meretz only (thus without the Israel Democratic Party).
  8. ^ In case Gideon Sa'ar founds a new party.
  9. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k Scenario in which Gideon Sa'ar wins a Likud leadership contest [was eventually held on 26 December, with Sa'ar losing with 27.5%].

References

edit
  1. ^ Cite error: The named reference silence was invoked but never defined (see the help page).
  2. ^ Staff writer (12 December 2019). "As new elections agreed, parties get set for fresh campaigns with budget boost". The Times of Israel. Retrieved 12 December 2019.
  3. ^ Amit Segal (13 January 2020). "סקר מנדטים מעודכן: איך משפיע האיחוד בשמאל ואיחוד אפשרי בימין?". mako (in Hebrew). Retrieved 13 January 2020.
  4. ^ Gil Hoffman (13 January 2020). "Amir Peretz and Nitzan Horowitz reach deal on Labor-Meretz joint ticket". The Jerusalem Post. Retrieved 13 January 2020.
  5. ^ Mati Tuchfeld (10 January 2020). "סקר "ישראל היום" ו"מאגר מוחות": גם איחודים לא משנים את מפת הגושים". Israel Hayom (in Hebrew). Retrieved 10 January 2020.
  6. ^ "סקרים חדשים: רשימה של סמוטריץ והימין החדש מזנקת". Arutz Sheva (in Hebrew). 9 January 2020. Retrieved 9 January 2020.
  7. ^ Shirit Avitan Cohen (9 January 2020). "סקר החיבורים בימין: ריצה בנפרד עשויה להניב שני מנדטים". Makor Rishon (in Hebrew). Retrieved 10 January 2020.
  8. ^ Tal Shalev (9 January 2020). "חיבורים בימין ובשמאל לא ישפיעו משמעותית על מפת הגושים". Walla! (in Hebrew). Retrieved 9 January 2020.
  9. ^ Jacob Magid (7 January 2020). "2 of 3 left-wing slates that make up Democratic Camp ink deal to stick together". The Times of Israel. Retrieved 12 January 2020.
  10. ^ Akiva Novik (2 January 2020). "סקר: כחול לבן מובילה עם 36 מנדטים; 50% מהנשאלים נגד חסינות". Channel 13 (in Hebrew). Retrieved 2 January 2020.
  11. ^ "חדשות הערב 02.01.20: סקר כאן חדשות: רוב הציבור מתנגד לבקשת החסינות של נתניהו | המהדורה המלאה". Kan (in Hebrew). 2 January 2020. Retrieved 2 January 2020.
  12. ^ Amit Segal (2 January 2020). "בחירות 2020 | סקר חדשות 12 לאחר בקשת החסינות של נתניהו: אין שינוי בתמונת הגושים, הליכוד מתחזק". mako (in Hebrew). Retrieved 2 January 2020.
  13. ^ Arik Bender (3 January 2020). "סקר מעריב: כחול לבן פותחת פער של 6 מנדטים מהליכוד". Maariv (in Hebrew). Retrieved 3 January 2020.
  14. ^ Daphna Liel (29 December 2019). "64 יום לבחירות 2020: תיקו בין הגושים, איחוד הבית היהודי ועוצמה יהודית מעל לאחוז החסימה. סקר המנדטים המלא". mako. Retrieved 29 December 2019.
  15. ^ Oliver Holmes (26 December 2019). "Israel: Netanyahu wins landslide in battle for Likud party leadership". The Guardian. Retrieved 27 December 2019.
  16. ^ Rossella Tercatin (20 December 2019). "Religious Zionist Bayit Yehudi and far-right Otzma Yehudit to run together". The Jerusalem Post. Retrieved 20 December 2019.
  17. ^ Staff writer (19 December 2019). "Left-wing MK Shaffir says planning to run independently in elections". The Times of Israel. Retrieved 23 December 2019.
  18. ^ "Poll: Right-wing bloc has 56 seats when headed by Netanyahu". Arutz Sheva. 19 December 2019. Retrieved 19 December 2019.
  19. ^ David Rosenberg (20 December 2019). "Poll: Blue & White surges to 38 seats, Meretz plummets". Arutz Sheva. Retrieved 20 December 2019.
  20. ^ "4th Poll of 2020 Election: Blue & White 35, Likud 31, Joint List 13, Shas 9, Yisrael Beitenu 8, UTJ 7". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 15 December 2019. Retrieved 16 December 2019.
  21. ^ Mati Tuchfeld (12 December 2019). "סקר "ישראל היום": כחול לבן פותחת פער מול הליכוד בראשות נתניהו". Israel Hayom (in Hebrew). Retrieved 13 December 2019.
  22. ^ "1st Poll of 2020 Election: Blue & White 35, Likud 32, Joint List 13, Yisrael Beitenu 8, UTJ 8, Shas 8, HaYamin HeHadash 6". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 12 December 2019. Retrieved 12 December 2019.
  23. ^ Arik Bender (13 December 2019). "סקר "מעריב": כחול לבן 35, הליכוד 33, ליברמן ממשיך להחזיק במפתח". Maariv (in Hebrew). Retrieved 13 December 2019.
  24. ^ Staff writer (12 December 2019). "Israel calls another election for March 2, the third in a year". The Times of Israel. Retrieved 12 December 2019.
  25. ^ "20th Poll of Possible 3rd Election: Blue & White 37, Likud 33, Joint List 13, Yisrael Beitenu 8, UTJ 7, Shas 6, HaYamin HeHadash 6". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 10 December 2019. Retrieved 10 December 2019.
  26. ^ טל שלו (10 December 2019). "סקר וואלה! NEWS: כחול לבן מתחזקת לאחר ביטול הרוטציה בהנהגה". Walla! (in Hebrew). Retrieved 10 December 2019.
  27. ^ "18th Poll of Possible 3rd Election: Blue & White 35, Likud 34, Joint List 13, Shas 8, UTJ 8, Yisrael Beitenu 7, HaYamin HeHadash 6". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 9 December 2019. Retrieved 9 December 2019.
  28. ^ "סער יו"ר הליכוד, בנט מתחזק". Arutz Sheva (in Hebrew). 9 December 2019. Retrieved 10 December 2019.
  29. ^ Daphna Liel (6 December 2019). "מסתמן: הבחירות הבאות - ב-3.3.2020". Mako (in Hebrew). Retrieved 6 December 2019.
  30. ^ Jeremy Saltan (5 December 2019). "16th Poll of Possible 3rd Election: Blue & White 34, Likud 32, Joint List 12, Shas 8, UTJ 8, Yisrael Beitenu 8, HaYamin HeHadash 6". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. Retrieved 5 December 2019.
  31. ^ Jeremy Saltan (28 November 2019). "14th Poll of Possible 3rd Election: Blocs tied at 56-56; Other additional questions answered". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. Retrieved 29 November 2019.
  32. ^ Jeremy Saltan (28 November 2019). "13th Poll of Possible 3rd Election: Blue & White 35, Likud 33, Joint List 13, Shas 9, Yisrael Beitenu 8, UTJ 8, HaYamin HeHadash 6; Scenario Poll gives Saar-led-Likud a Right Bloc of 60". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. Retrieved 28 November 2019.
  33. ^ "סקר מעריב: הליכוד גדול יותר עם נתניהו, אך גוש הימין מתחזק כשסער בראש". Maariv (in Hebrew). 29 November 2019. Retrieved 29 November 2019.
  34. ^ Amit Segal (26 November 2019). "סקר החדשות: כמה מנדטים יביא גדעון סער אם יעמוד בראש הליכוד?". mako (in Hebrew). Retrieved 26 November 2019.
  35. ^ Jeremy Saltan (26 November 2019). "12th Poll of Possible 3rd Election: Blue & White 34, Likud 33, Joint List 13, Yisrael Beitenu 9, Shas 8, UTJ 8, HaYamin HeHadash 6". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. Retrieved 27 November 2019.
  36. ^ טל שלו (26 November 2019). "סקר וואלה! NEWS: נתניהו מביס את סער בקרב מצביעי הליכוד". Walla! (in Hebrew). Retrieved 26 November 2019.
  37. ^ "סקר מנדטים: כחול לבן פותחת פער של שבעה מנדטים על הליכוד". mako (in Hebrew). 26 November 2019. Retrieved 26 November 2019.
  38. ^ David Rosenberg (26 November 2019). "Poll: Blue and White leads Likud, left-wing bloc leads Right". Arutz Sheva. Retrieved 26 November 2019.
  39. ^ Ayala Hasson-Nesher (22 November 2019). "סקר: 56% מאמינים שנתניהו לא יכול להמשיך לכהן; גנץ מתחזק". Channel 13 (in Hebrew). Retrieved 24 November 2019.
  40. ^ a b Staff writer (22 November 2019). "Poll finds most Israelis think Netanyahu must step down now charges announced". The Times of Israel. Retrieved 22 November 2019.
  41. ^ איתן אורקיבי (24 November 2019). "64%: הגשת כתב האישום לא תשנה את ההצבעה שלנו". Israel Hayom (in Hebrew). Retrieved 24 November 2019.
  42. ^ Jeremy Saltan (24 November 2019). "8th Poll of Possible 3rd Election: Blue & White 34, Likud 33, Joint List 13, Shas 8, UTJ 8". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. Retrieved 4 December 2019.
  43. ^ Jeremy Saltan (24 November 2019). "7th Poll of Possible 3rd Election: Likud 33, Blue & White 33, Joint List 12, Yisrael Beitenu 8, UTJ, 8, Shas 7". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. Retrieved 24 November 2019.
  44. ^ Amit Segal (21 November 2019). "סקר אחרי החזרת המנדט: תיקו בצמרת, ליברמן מתחזק‎". mako (in Hebrew). Retrieved 22 November 2019.
  45. ^ "Poll: 40% of Israelis prefer broad government". Arutz Sheva. 15 November 2019. Retrieved 15 November 2019.
  46. ^ "4th Poll of Possible 3rd Election: Blue & White 35, Likud 34, Joint List 13, Yisrael Beitenu 9, Shas 6, UTJ 6". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 10 November 2019. Retrieved 10 November 2019.
  47. ^ Jeremy Saltan (31 October 2019). "3rd Poll of Possible 3rd Election: Blue & White 34, Likud 33, Joint List 12, Shas 9, Yisrael Beitenu 8; Center-Left Bloc at 58". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. Retrieved 1 November 2019.
  48. ^ Staff writer (22 October 2019). "Third election won't break political deadlock in Israel, poll finds". The Times of Israel. Retrieved 22 October 2019.
  49. ^ טל שלו (6 October 2019). "סקר וואלה! NEWS: מחצית מהציבור מתנגד לממשלת אחדות בראשות נתניהו". Walla! (in Hebrew). Retrieved 7 October 2019.
  50. ^ "Elections for the 22nd Knesset". Central Elections Committee. Retrieved 7 October 2019.
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