User:Kahlores/Sandbox/Estonia

In the run up to the next Estonian parliamentary election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Estonia. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 3 March 2019.

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each poll is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's color. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded.

Graphical Summary

30 day moving average trend line of Estonian polls towards the election in 2023, each line corresponds to a political party.

Polling Results

For the events during these years, see 2019 in Estonia and 2020 in Estonia.

Fieldwork	Polling firm	Sample size	SDE	Kesk	Green	E200	Ref	I	TULE	EKRE	Others	Lead	Gov.	Opp.
09 – 15 Sep 2020	Norstat	≥1,000	9.1	22.5	2.5	9.7	32.5	5.8	1.4	13.8	2.7	10.0	42.1	55.2
02 – 09 Sep 2020	Norstat	≥1,000	8.3	26.2	2.0	8.4	33.3	4.6	0.8	15.5	0.9	7.1	46.3	52.8
25 – 31 Aug 2020	Norstat	≥1,000	8.8	24.5	3.3	7.6	33.0	4.0	1.2	16.2	1.4	8.5	44.7	53.9
20 Aug 2020	Upon the merger of the Biodiversity Party (ERE) and the Estonian Free Party (EVA), the Estonian Party of the Future (TULE) was established.
Fieldwork	Polling firm	Sample size	SDE	Kesk	Green	E200	Ref	I	EVA	EKRE	Others	Lead	Gov.	Opp.
17 – 25 Aug 2020	Norstat	≥1,000	6.7	20.9	1.3	9.9	35.5	5.8	0.7	16.1	3.1	14.6	42.8	54.1
12 – 24 Aug 2020	Turu-uuringute AS	1003	10	26	2	9	23	5	0	20	1	3	51	48
10 – 17 Aug 2020	Norstat	≥1,000	9.8	22.9	2.3	7.9	33.0	6.1	0.6	15.4	2.0	7.1	44.4	53.6
Aug 2020	Kantar Emor	1,268	13	17	2	14	30	5	1	17	3	13	39	58
04 – 10 Aug 2020	Norstat	≥1,000	8.4	19.4	1.2	9.4	32.1	6.2	1.1	19.0	3.2	12.7	44.6	52.2
27 Jul – 03 Aug 2020	Norstat	≥1,000	8.8	22.5	2.6	6.8	33.0	5.9	0.9	18.4	1.1	10.5	46.8	52.1
21 – 28 Jul 2020	Norstat	≥1,000	8.7	24.1	2.2	6.8	31.2	6.4	0.6	18.6	1.4	7.1	49.1	49.5
16 - 22 Jul 2020	Kantar Emor	-	9	17	3	14	31	6	0	18	2	13	41	57
14 – 20 Jul 2020	Norstat	≥1,000	8.7	23.5	2.3	6.9	34.0	5.6	0.3	16.8	1.9	10.5	45.9	52.2
07 – 13 Jul 2020	Norstat	≥1,000	10.2	23.2	2.2	7.5	32.3	4.4	0.4	15.8	4.0	9.1	43.4	52.6
29 Jun – 06 Jul 2020	Norstat	≥1,000	9.2	22.9	2.5	9.6	32.1	6.1	0.6	14.8	2.2	9.2	43.8	54
16 – 22 Jun 2020	Norstat	≥1,000	9.3	26.1	1.3	9.2	30.3	5.9	0.9	16.0	1.2	4.2	48	51
9 – 16 Jun 2020	Norstat	≥1,000	7.6	27.0	2.4	7.4	31.7	5.9	0.4	16.3	1.3	4.7	49.2	49.5
9 – 15 Jun 2020	Turu-uuringute AS	1004	8	27	2	9	33	3	0	16	1	6	46	55
Jun 2020	Kantar Emor	1,268	10	19	3	13	28	5	0	19	3	9	43	54
1 – 8 Jun 2020	Norstat	≥1,000	7.6	22.8	3.4	7.2	30.3	4.7	0.4	20.3	3.3	7.5	47.8	48.9
25 May – 1 Jun 2020	Norstat	≥1,000	9.3	24.5	1.4	7.7	30.8	5.6	0.3	16.7	3.7	6.3	46.8	49.5
18 – 25 May 2020	Norstat	≥1,000	7.4	27.1	3.8	7.3	32.4	6.3	0.4	12.4	2.9	5.3	45.8	51.3
14 - 20 May 2020	Kantar Emor	1,268	12	20	2	14	24	4	0	22	2	2	46	52
12 – 18 May 2020	Norstat	≥1,000	7.3	26.0	2.0	8.5	30.8	4.6	1.1	16.7	3.0	4.8	47.3	49.7
7 – 15 May 2020	Turu-uuringute AS	1004	7	27	2	8	30	6	0	15	1	3	48	51
06 – 12 May 2020	Norstat	≥1,000	8.3	25.0	2.3	8.2	29.1	5.9	0.2	18.0	3.8	4.1	48.9	48.3
24 Apr – 5 May 2020	Norstat	≥1,000	9.3	23.8	2.7	8.6	29.8	4.6	0.8	19.2	1.2	6.0	47.6	51.2
21 – 27 Apr 2020	Norstat	≥1,000	8.1	27.8	2.1	6.2	29.3	5.3	0.7	18.1	3.0	1.5	51.2	45.8
20 - 22 Apr 2020	Kantar Emor	1,280	10	18	3	14	30	4	2	19	3	12	42	55
15 – 20 Apr 2020	Norstat	≥1,000	8.2	22.3	2.3	6.5	34.6	5.2	0.2	18.1	2.4	12.3	45.6	52.0
7 – 14 Apr 2020	Norstat	≥1,000	8.0	23.5	1.8	8.4	32.9	6.3	0.4	16.3	2.4	9.4	46.1	51.5
6 – 7 Apr 2020	Turu-uuringute AS	1000	8	24	2	11	27	7	1	17	3	3	48	49
31 Mar – 6 Apr 2020	Norstat	≥1,000	7.6	25.7	2.1	8.0	33.5	5.1	0.7	14.1	3.2	7.8	44.9	51.9
24 – 30 Mar 2020	Norstat	≥1,000	6.8	30.4	2.2	7.7	29.7	4.1	0.5	15.9	2.7	0.7	50.4	46.9
18 – 23 Mar 2020	Norstat	≥1,000	8.6	26.1	3.2	7.2	29.6	5.4	0.3	16.9	2.7	3.5	48.4	48.9
12 - 18 Mar 2020	Kantar Emor	1118	12	17	3	13	29	4	−	21	2	8	42	56
10 – 16 Mar 2020	Norstat	≥1,000	7.2	26.2	1.8	9.4	30.7	6.3	0.2	16.5	1.7	4.5	49.0	49.7
6 – 16 Mar 2020	Turu-uuringute AS	1056	9	22	3	12	26	6	1	20	1	4	48	51
04 – 09 Mar 2020	Norstat	≥1,000	10.5	21.6	2.8	8.9	29.5	6.1	0.5	16.9	3.2	7.9	44.6	52.2
26 Feb – 02 Mar 2020	Norstat	≥1,000	7.0	24.2	2.5	6.6	33.2	5.8	0.7	16.3	3.3	9.0	46.3	50.4
19 – 26 Feb 2020	Norstat	≥1,000	10.2	19.3	2.1	7.5	33.2	6.9	0.5	18.4	1.9	13.9	44.6	53.5
1 - 22 Feb 2020	Kantar Emor	—	12	18	3	14	31	4	−	17	1	13	39	60
13 – 18 Feb 2020	Norstat	≥1,000	7.9	22.4	3.0	9.8	30.9	6.0	0.7	18.0	1.3	8.5	46.4	52.3
6 – 17 Feb 2020	Turu-uuringute AS	808	10	24	2	9	25	5	−	16	1	1	45	54
04 – 11 Feb 2020	Norstat	≥1,000	6.7	20.0	3.3	9.2	33.8	7.3	0.5	17.5	1.8	13.8	44.8	53.4
28 Jan – 03 Feb 2020	Norstat	≥1,000	10.2	20.8	2.7	8.5	35.1	5.9	0.3	15.6	1.0	14.3	42.3	56.7
23 – 27 Jan 2020	Norstat	≥1,000	10.7	19.3	4.1	8.5	35.9	6.0	0.4	12.7	2.4	16.6	38.0	59.6
1 - 31 Jan 2020	Kantar Emor	—	14	17	3	9	30	8	1	16	2	13	41	57
17 – 27 Jan 2020	Turu-uuringute AS	808	10	24	3	8	25	7	1	18	1	1	49	50
16 – 24 Jan 2020	Norstat	≥1,000	9.3	22.8	2.9	7.2	35.0	5.6	1.1	14.6	1.4	12.2	43.0	55.6
8 – 14 Jan 2020	Norstat	≥1,000	8.5	24.3	3.5	7.0	32.2	8.4	0.6	12.9	2.2	7.9	45.6	52.2
3 – 7 Jan 2020	Norstat	≥1,000	8.2	23.6	2.6	7.3	34.1	6.3	0.6	15.8	1.5	10.5	45.7	52.8
18 – 23 Dec 2019	Norstat	≥1,000	11.9	22.0	3.4	7.2	30.3	5.9	0.9	16.1	2.4	8.3	44.0	53.6
11 – 17 Dec 2019	Norstat	≥1,000	11.8	22.5	3.2	6.8	34.3	5.4	0.1	13.5	2.4	11.8	41.4	56.2
5 – 12 Dec 2019	Kantar Emor	1,407	13.7	17.9	2	7.7	34.8	6.3	—	15.6	2	9.2	39.8	58.2
2 – 9 Dec 2019	Norstat	≥1,000	9.0	21.1	3.2	6.6	35.4	6.0	0.4	16.3	1.9	14.3	43.4	54.7
28 Nov–9 Dec 2019	Turu-uuringute AS	1,014	10	25	3	5	29	5	1	17	5	4	47	48
25 – 29 Nov 2019	Norstat	≥1,000	10.4	23.5	3.8	2.9	36.4	8.1	0.5	11.9	2.3	12.9	43.5	53.6
18 – 25 Nov 2019	Norstat	≥1,000	9.8	24.0	3.5	5.0	36.1	6.8	0.5	12.2	2.1	12.1	43.0	54.9
11 – 15 Nov 2019	Norstat	≥1,000	9.5	26.1	1.7	3.8	35.4	7.2	0.1	12.6	3.8	9.3	45.9	50.3
7 – 13 Nov 2019	Kantar Emor	1,407	16.2	16.2	4	9.5	27.7	6.2	1	18.5	1.7	9.2	40.9	57.4
31 Oct– 12 Nov 2019	Turu-uuringute AS	1,019	11	23	2	7	30	5	1	17	1	7	45.0	54
5 – 11 Nov 2019	Norstat	≥1,000	10.9	24.3	3.5	3.4	32.6	6.5	0.2	17.5	1.0	8.3	48.3	50.7
28 Oct– 5 Nov 2019	Norstat	≥1,000	8.2	22.9	3.2	5.0	36.2	5.8	0.8	15.8	1.8	13.3	44.5	53.7
22–28 Oct 2019	Norstat	≥1,000	6.3	23.4	2.9	5.1	36.1	5.5	0.6	17.7	2.0	12.7	46.6	51.4
15–21 Oct 2019	Norstat	≥1,000	7.4	23.4	2.7	4.5	36.3	6.6	0.3	15.6	2.9	14.9	45.6	51.5
10–16 Oct 2019	Kantar Emor	1,182	12.4	17.6	2.9	9.4	32.5	6.2	—	16.6	1.7	14.9	40.4	57.9
9–14 Oct 2019	Norstat	≥1,000	8.3	25.8	2.3	5,6	30.7	7.1	0.4	17.6	1.4	4.9	50.5	48.1
3 - 13 Oct 2019	Turu-uuringute AS	1,040	9	22	3	7	32	6	1	17	—	10	45.0	54.0
1–8 Oct 2019	Norstat	≥1,000	9.2	22.2	2.4	6.1	35.6	6.5	0.6	15.2	2.1	13.4	43.9	54.0
25–30 Sep 2019	Norstat	≥1,000	8.3	24.3	2.8	6.2	32.7	7.4	0.6	15.6	2.1	8.4	47.3	50.6
18–23 Sep 2019	Norstat	≥1,000	8.6	20.7	3.4	4.2	37.1	5.4	0.6	18.3	1.8	17.0	44.4	53.8
11–19 Sep 2019	Kantar Emor	1,161	11.0	16.5	5	7.5	32.8	7.0	—	18.4	1	14.4	41.9	57.5
10–17 Sep 2019	Norstat	≥1,000	6.4	24.0	3.7	5.2	33.5	7.2	0.1	17.0	2.3	13.5	48.2	49.5
5–16 Sep 2019	Turu-uuringute AS	1,040	9	21	2	5	32	6	1	19	1	11	45.0	53.0
3–9 Sep 2019	Norstat	≥1,000	9.1	23.7	2.6	5.0	33.9	7.8	0.6	15.1	2.1	10.2	46.6	50.8
27 Aug–2 Sep 2019	Norstat	≥1,000	9.3	24.6	1.3	4.8	35.9	6.5	0.2	14.8	2.6	11.3	45.9	51.5
21–26 Aug 2019	Norstat	≥1,000	9.0	23.7	2.6	4.5	34.3	6.2	0.8	15.2	3.6	10.6	45.1	51.3
15–21 Aug 2019	Kantar Emor	1,161	13.0	16.0	—	6.9	36.8	4.8	—	17.6	—	19.2	43.3	56.7
9–20 Aug 2019	Turu-uuringute AS	1,000	8	22	3	5	34	7	1	16	1	12	45.0	54.0
13–19 Aug 2019	Norstat	≥1,000	10.9	23.0	1.8	4.1	33.9	7.1	0.7	16.9	1.7	10.9	47.0	51.7
5–12 Aug 2019	Norstat	≥1,000	10.0	22.0	3.9	3.5	33.5	9.1	0.3	16.4	1.1	11.5	47.5	51.2
30 Jul–5 Aug 2019	Norstat	≥1,000	8.1	18.9	2.8	4.2	41.0	8.8	0.8	12.7	3.0	22.1	40.1	56.9
22–30 Jul 2019	Norstat	≥1,000	12.0	17.8	1.9	4.0	36.2	7.1	0.6	17.7	2.6	18.4	42.6	54.8
18–24 Jul 2019	Kantar Emor	1,305	10.8	15.3	—	7.9	34.5	6.8	—	19.4	—	15.1	41.5	53.2
15–22 Jul 2019	Norstat	≥1,000	7.6	18.3	2.7	4.4	39.1	7.7	0.2	16.6	3.6	20.8	42.6	54.0
8–15 Jul 2019	Norstat	≥1,000	8.7	16.4	2.7	4.0	37.7	11.0	1.1	15.8	2.7	21.3	43.2	54.2
2–8 Jul 2019	Norstat	≥1,000	11.0	22.3	2.5	4.3	31.9	8.2	0.9	18.0	1.0	9.6	48.5	50.6
26 Jun–1 Jul 2019	Norstat	≥1,000	9.8	20.8	2.1	5.3	34.3	9.2	0.2	17.5	0.7	13.5	47.5	51.7
11–19 Jun 2019	Norstat	≥1,000	13.6	20.2	1.7	4.0	37.7	5.6	0.3	15.2	1.6	17.5	41.0	57.3
6–13 Jun 2019	Kantar Emor	1,129	12.8	14.7	3.0	8.3	36.0	6.9	0	16.7	1.0	19.3	38.3	60.1
4–11 Jun 2019	Norstat	≥1,000	9.4	21.4	2.6	5.8	30.3	8.7	1.4	19.1	1.0	8.9	49.2	49.5
28 May–10 Jun 2019	Turu-uuringute AS	1,000	11	19	1	4	32	9	1	18	1	13	46	49
27 May–3 Jun 2019	Norstat	≥1,000	12	23	3	3	30	8	0	19	1	7	50	48
20–27 May 2019	Norstat	≥1,000	11.7	19.5	2.4	4.6	33.0	10.4	0.4	16.8	1.1	13.5	46.7	52.1
26 May 2019	2019 European Parliament election in Estonia
20–23 May 2019	Kantar Emor	1,390	12.1	14.7	—	11.8	30.6	7.9	—	15.0	—	15.6	37.6	54.4
14–20 May 2019	Norstat	≥1,000	9.4	21.5	2.2	5.3	28.6	8.8	0.7	22.0	1.5	6.6	52.3	46.2
2–15 May 2019	Turu-uuringute AS	2,037	10	20	3	8	27	10	1	17	1	7	47	49
6–13 May 2019	Norstat	≥1,000	12.2	19.4	4.5	5.1	31.8	8.0	0.3	16.2	2.0	12.4	43.6	53.9
7–9 May 2019	Kantar Emor	1,271	12.9	15.3	-	11.5	33.5	6.1		16.9	3.8	16.6	38.3	57.9
29 Apr–7 May 2019	Norstat	≥1,000	10.8	19.9	2.5	6.0	35.6	8.3	0.5	15.0	1.6	15.7	43.2	55.4
22–29 Apr 2019	Norstat	≥1,000	8.5	18.5	3.4	7.2	33.6	7.6	0.3	19.1	1.9	14.5	45.2	53.0
24 Apr 2019	The Jüri Ratas' second cabinet is formed by the Centre, EKRE and Pro Patria.
15–22 Apr 2019	Norstat	≥1,000	8.4	20.1	2.6	5.4	32	9.2	0.7	20.1	0.7	11.9	49.4	49.1
10–15 Apr 2019	Kantar Emor	1,000	11.4	17	2.7	10.3	32.3	8.5	1.1	15.4	-	15.3	40.9	57.8
8–15 Apr 2019	Norstat	1,000	10.1	19.4	2.5	5.9	34.6	7.3	0.3	18	1.6	16	44.7	53.4
18 Mar–15 Apr 2019	Norstat	4,014	9.2	20.6	2.3	5.8	33.0	9.4	–	17.9	1.8	12.4	47.9	50.3
1–8 Apr 2019	Norstat	1,000	8.0	22.5	3.0	4.8	33.4	11.6	0.5	14.8	1.3	10.9	48.9	49.7
25–29 Mar 2019	Norstat	1,000	10.1	20.5	1.7	5.5	32.5	9.0	0.6	19.1	1.0	12.0	48.6	50.4
18–24 Mar 2019	Norstat	1,000	9.3	19.5	2.1	7.2	31.9	8.9	0.9	18.8	1.5	12.4	47.2	51.4
14–21 Mar 2019	Kantar Emor	1,214	11	17	3	10	32	7	0.3	18	1.7	14.0	42.0	56.3
5–18 Mar 2019	Turu-uuringute AS	1,004	9	24	1	5	27	11	1	21	1	3.0	56.0	43.0
11–15 Mar 2019	Norstat	1,000	9.0	19.4	1.7	6.5	36.9	11.2	0.6	12.6	2.1	17.5	43.2	54.7
12–13 Mar 2019	Kantar Emor	752	12.5	19.4	1.7	8.5	30	7.3	0.6	18.1	2.2	10.6	44.8	53.3
5–11 Mar 2019	Norstat	1,000	9.1	21.2	1.7	4.4	31.9	11.4	1.1	18.1	1.2	10.7	50.7	48.2
3 Mar 2019	Election Results	N/A	9.8	23.1	1.8	4.4	28.9	11.4	1.2	17.8	1.6	5.7	52.3	46.1
			10	26	0	0	34	12	0	19		8.0	57	44

References

Category:Opinion polling in Estonia Estonia