Opinion polling was commissioned throughout the duration of the 43rd New Zealand Parliament in the lead up to the 1993 election by various research organisations.
Graphical summary edit
Individual polls edit
Polls are listed in the table below in chronological order. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between survey firms.
Unless otherwise noted the information is sourced from here:[1]
| Poll | Date[nb 1] | Labour | National | Alliance | NZ First | NewLabour | Social Credit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1990 election result[2] | 27 Oct 1990 | 35.14 | 47.82 | – | – | 5.16 | 0.98 |
| TVNZ Heylen | 8 Dec 1990 | 32 | 50 | – | – | 5 | 1 |
| TVNZ Heylen | 2 Feb 1991 | 38 | 46 | – | – | 4 | 2 |
| TVNZ Heylen | 9 Mar 1991 | 40 | 43 | – | – | 6 | 1 |
| TVNZ Heylen | 6 Apr 1991 | 42 | 36 | – | – | 6 | 1 |
| TVNZ Heylen | 6 May 1991 | 43 | 39 | – | – | 7 | 2 |
| TVNZ Heylen | 8 Jun 1991 | 42 | 35 | – | – | 7 | 3 |
| TVNZ Heylen | 6 July 1991 | 45 | 37 | – | – | 6 | 3 |
| 30 July 1991 – The controversial Mother of all Budgets was delivered by the government | |||||||
| TVNZ Heylen | 3 Aug 1991 | 43 | 34 | – | – | 9 | 1 |
| TVNZ Heylen | 31 Aug 1991 | 47 | 27 | – | – | 9 | 3 |
| TVNZ Heylen | 21 Sep 1991 | 42 | 22 | – | – | 11 | 1 |
| TVNZ Heylen | 19 Oct 1991 | 43 | 30 | – | – | 8 | 2 |
| TVNZ Heylen | 23 Nov 1991 | 41 | 24 | 10 | – | 9 | 2 |
| 1 December 1991 – The Alliance party was formally launched | |||||||
| TVNZ Heylen | 7 Dec 1991 | 36 | 26 | 21 | – | 6 | 1 |
| TVNZ Heylen | 1 Feb 1992 | 38 | 26 | 18 | – | 5 | 2 |
| 15 February 1992 – National narrowly wins the Tamaki by-election after Sir Robert Muldoon's resignation. | |||||||
| TVNZ Heylen | 7 Mar 1992 | 36 | 32 | 16 | – | 4 | 0 |
| TVNZ Heylen | 4 Apr 1992 | 39 | 31 | 10 | – | 4 | 3 |
| TVNZ Heylen | 29 Apr 1992 | 42 | 34 | 10 | – | 3 | 2 |
| TVNZ Heylen | 6 Jun 1992 | 42 | 33 | 21 | – | – | 1 |
| TVNZ Heylen | 3 Jul 1992 | 37 | 37 | 24 | – | – | 0 |
| TVNZ Heylen | 8 Aug 1992 | 41 | 36 | 20 | – | – | 1 |
| TVNZ Heylen | 5 Sep 1992 | 39 | 34 | 26 | – | – | – |
| TVNZ Heylen | 3 Oct 1992 | 42 | 30 | 27 | – | – | – |
| TVNZ Heylen | 7 Nov 1992 | 40 | 30 | 28 | – | – | – |
| TVNZ Heylen | 5 Dec 1992 | 36 | 29 | 33 | – | – | – |
| 12 December 1992 – Labour wins the Wellington Central by-election after Fran Wilde's resignation. | |||||||
| TVNZ Heylen | 6 Feb 1993 | 43 | 33 | 22 | – | – | – |
| TVNZ Heylen | 6 Mar 1993 | 46 | 28 | 22 | – | – | – |
| TVNZ Heylen | 3 Apr 1993 | 48 | 30 | 19 | – | – | – |
| 17 April 1993 – Winston Peters wins the Tauranga by-election as an independent candidate after resigning from both his party and his seat. | |||||||
| TVNZ Heylen | 1 May 1993 | 45 | 29 | 21 | – | – | – |
| TVNZ Heylen | 29 May 1993 | 40 | 29 | 26 | – | – | – |
| TVNZ Heylen | 3 Jul 1993 | 35 | 37 | 21 | – | – | – |
| 18 July 1993 – Peters founds the New Zealand First party and is joined by another former National MP Gilbert Myles. | |||||||
| TVNZ Heylen | 19 Jul 1993 | 33 | 40 | 11 | 12 | – | – |
| TVNZ Heylen | 8 Aug 1993 | 33 | 41 | 10 | 15 | – | – |
| TVNZ Heylen | 4 Sep 1993 | 36 | 39 | 11 | 11 | – | – |
| TVNZ Heylen | 2 Oct 1993 | 37 | 37 | 13 | 12 | – | – |
| TVNZ Heylen | 17 Oct 1993 | 34 | 38 | 16 | 10 | – | – |
| TVNZ Heylen | 31 Oct 1993 | 32 | 39 | 17 | 9 | – | – |
| 1993 election result[3] | 6 Nov 1993 | 34.68 | 35.05 | 18.21 | 8.40 | – | – |
See also edit
Notes edit
- ^ These are the survey dates of the poll, or if the survey dates are not stated, the date the poll was released.
References edit
- ^ "Historical Pollling Data 1974–2021". Patrick Leyland. Retrieved 10 March 2022.
- ^ "New Zealand Elections 1972–1993". New Zealand Election Study. Retrieved 17 December 2011.
- ^ "Elections to the New Zealand House of Representatives". Election Resources on the Internet. Retrieved 17 December 2011.