2016 Oklahoma Democratic presidential primary

The 2016 Oklahoma Democratic presidential primary took place on March 1 in the U.S. state of Oklahoma as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

2016 Oklahoma Democratic presidential primary

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Candidate Bernie Sanders Hillary Clinton
Home state Vermont New York
Delegate count 22 18
Popular vote 174,228 139,443
Percentage 51.88% 41.52%

Results by county
Sanders:      40-50%      50-60%      60-70%
Clinton:      40-50%      50-60%

On the same day, dubbed "Super Tuesday," Democratic primaries were held in ten other states plus American Samoa, while the Republican Party held primaries in eleven states including their own Oklahoma primary.

Opinion polling

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Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Official Primary results March 1, 2016 Bernie Sanders
51.9%
Hillary Clinton
41.5%
Others
6.6%
Monmouth[1]

Margin of error: ± 5.7%
Sample size: 300

February 25–28, 2016 Bernie Sanders
48%
Hillary Clinton
43%
Others / Undecided
9%
Sooner Poll/News 9/News on 6[2]

Margin of error: ± 4.3%
Sample size: 510

February 23–25, 2016 Hillary Clinton
40%
Bernie Sanders
31%
Others / Undecided
29%
Public Policy Polling[3]

Margin of error: ± 4.2%
Sample size: 542

February 14–16,
2016
Hillary Clinton
46%
Bernie Sanders
44%
Undecided 9%
Sooner Poll[4]

Margin of error: ± 5.0%
Sample size: 360

February 6–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton
43.9%
Bernie Sanders
28%
Undecided 28.1%
Sooner Poll[5]

Margin of error: ± 5.1%
Sample size: 369

November 12–15, 2015 Hillary Clinton
46.6%
Bernie Sanders
12.2%
Martin O'Malley
2.2%
Undecided 39.1%
The Oklahoman/Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates[6]

Margin of error: ± 4.3%
Sample size: 550

October 19–22, 2015 Hillary Clinton
30%
Bernie Sanders
21%
Martin O'Malley
1%
Undecided 46%

Results

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Primary date: March 1, 2016
National delegates: 91

Oklahoma Democratic primary, March 1, 2016
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Bernie Sanders 174,228 51.88% 21 1 22
Hillary Clinton 139,443 41.52% 17 1 18
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn) 7,672 2.28%
Keith Judd 4,386 1.31%
Michael Steinberg 4,171 1.24%
Star Locke (withdrawn) 3,458 1.03%
Rocky De La Fuente 2,485 0.74%
Uncommitted 0 2 2
Total 335,843 100% 38 4 42
Source: The Green Papers, Oklahoma State Election Board

Results by county

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County[7] Clinton Votes Sanders Votes
Adair 33.4% 582 55.8% 971
Alfalfa 28.0% 92 58.1% 191
Atoka 28.4% 370 55.4% 723
Beaver 28.9% 52 52.2% 94
Beckham 31.2% 464 55.4% 824
Blaine 37.3% 313 51.8% 435
Bryan 31.2% 1,050 56.8% 1,913
Caddo 36.4% 1,060 53.0% 1,543
Canadian 38.4% 3,357 56.3% 4,922
Carter 32.3% 1,240 55.0% 2,113
Cherokee 38.7% 2,023 55.4% 2,897
Choctaw 29.0% 384 56.4% 745
Cimarron 17.5% 22 54.0% 68
Cleveland 37.6% 10,433 59.3% 16,428
Coal 19.0% 136 63.6% 456
Comanche 44.9% 3,523 48.5% 3,804
Cotton 29.7% 204 56.4% 388
Craig 35.8% 609 54.5% 926
Creek 35.8% 609 50.9% 926
Custer 33.6% 750 57.1% 1,273
Delaware 41.2% 1,447 50.5% 1,773
Dewey 27.5% 134 55.4% 270
Ellis 23.3% 70 64.1% 193
Garfield 41.3% 1,403 52.2% 1,771
Garvin 32.7% 909 54.1% 1,505
Grady 34.2% 1,629 56.2% 2,677
Grant 31.9% 125 57.1% 224
Greer 27.6% 164 55.8% 332
Harmon 37.2% 122 50.9% 167
Harper 26.1% 68 57.9% 151
Haskell 32.8% 475 51.9% 752
Hughes 33.0% 537 53.7% 873
Jackson 38.6% 505 49.8% 652
Jefferson 29.4% 197 51.7% 347
Johnston 24.8% 260 57.8% 606
Kay 38.5% 1,288 53.5% 1,791
Kingfisher 33.2% 268 58.5% 472
Kiowa 34.8% 331 54.0% 514
Latimer 31.2% 499 53.3% 852
Le Flore 33.1% 1,498 50.5% 2,283
Lincoln 38.5% 1,161 53.8% 1,623
Logan 42.1% 1,314 52.7% 1,645
Love 32.0% 314 51.1% 502
Major 34.7% 140 53.2% 215
Marshall 30.3% 400 56.0% 738
Mayes 40.0% 1,659 51.7% 2,144
McClain 35.4% 1,157 57.1% 1,865
McCurtain 28.3% 712 52.3% 1,314
McIntosh 40.2% 1,022 49.6% 1,261
Murray 32.7% 544 54.6% 909
Muskogee 44.8% 3,381 46.6% 3,515
Noble 35.3% 362 54.8% 562
Nowata 38.2% 406 49.9% 530
Okfuskee 36.9% 421 52.3% 1,261
Oklahoma 50.1% 34,255 47.4% 32,368
Okmulgee 45.7% 1,867 46.1% 1,882
Osage 47.5% 2,390 46.2% 2,327
Ottawa 39.3% 972 50.1% 1,238
Pawnee 40.5% 603 51.1% 762
Payne 38.9% 2,622 56.7% 3,829
Pittsburg 31.6% 1,717 55.8% 3,026
Pontotoc 29.6% 1,186 59.8% 2,392
Pottawatomie 37.5% 2,300 55.5% 3,400
Pushmataha 26.7% 317 56.1% 667
Roger Mills 21.6% 100 58.0% 268
Rogers 39.6% 2,810 52.9% 3,757
Seminole 36.0% 932 50.1% 1,194
Sequoyah 36.0% 1,359 49.6% 1,872
Stephens 31.2% 1,174 56.1% 2,108
Texas 31.7% 267 46.7% 393
Tillman 33.2% 214 53.7% 346
Tulsa 47.4% 25,372 49.6% 26,525
Wagoner 43.5% 2,493 49.1% 2,813
Washington 42.4% 1,649 51.6% 2,006
Washita 25.1% 292 60.1% 700
Woods 33.8% 217 56.5% 363
Woodward 30.8% 343 62.4% 694
Total 41.5% 139,338 51.9% 174,054

Analysis

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As he had managed in other primarily white Great Plains states including neighboring Kansas, Bernie Sanders won a convincing ten-point victory in Oklahoma. This marked a clear difference from 2008 when Hillary Clinton had won the state by 21 points against Barack Obama, winning 76 of the state's 77 counties. According to exit polls, Sanders won men 60-33, younger voters 76-23, white voters 56-36, and Independent voters 69-21. Clinton, for her part, won women 48-46, older voters 50-41, non-white voters 56-40, and Democrats 52-43. A majority of voters in the primary said they thought Clinton was not honest or trustworthy, 51-47.[7]

Sanders swept 75 of Oklahoma's 77 counties. He performed strongly in the major cities of Norman, Stillwater, Enid, and Moore. He narrowly edged out Clinton in Tulsa County by a margin of 2.28%. Clinton narrowly won in Oklahoma County (the only county to vote for Obama in the 2008 primary), home to Oklahoma City, and Osage County, home of the Osage Native American tribe.

Sanders won most of the rural, majority white and deeply conservative counties of the state, including those in the Oklahoma Panhandle, Little Dixie, and Southwestern Oklahoma which are among the most radically conservative areas of the nation. The Little Dixie region in particular was the base of President Bill Clinton's support in the 1992 and 1996 elections, as this area consists of socially conservative but economically liberal Democrats, many of whom were drawn to Sanders's opposition to trade deals like NAFTA.

References

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  1. ^ "Monmouth University Poll" (PDF).
  2. ^ "News9/Newson6: Sanders Closes Gap, But Still Trails Clinton In OK".
  3. ^ Silas Allen. "Poll shows Democratic primary race tightening in Oklahoma".
  4. ^ Madison Grady. "SoonerPoll: Clinton remains frontrunner, but Sanders continues to rise".
  5. ^ "EXCLUSIVE POLL: Trump, Clinton Remain Front-runners in Oklahoma". November 20, 2015.
  6. ^ "Poll: Ben Carson leads Republican presidential field in Oklahoma". Retrieved October 29, 2015.
  7. ^ a b "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved June 4, 2018.