2010 New Hampshire gubernatorial election
(Redirected from New Hampshire gubernatorial election, 2010)
The 2010 New Hampshire gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2010. Incumbent Democratic Governor John Lynch was re-elected to his fourth and final term.[1]
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
Lynch: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Stephen: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Tie: 40–50% | |||||||||||||||||
|
New Hampshire is one of only two states where the Governor serves for a two-year term, the other being neighboring Vermont. Lynch was re-elected by landslide margins in 2006 and 2008, and enjoyed historically high approval ratings. In early 2010, his approval rating showed a downward trend, with an April poll indicating that his approval had fallen below 50% (44% approve, 42% disapprove).[2] After the primary elections in mid-September, Lynch's approval rating rebounded (51% approve, 38% disapprove).[3]
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- John Lynch, incumbent Governor[4]
- Timothy Robertson, state representative
- Frank Sullivan
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | John Lynch (incumbent) | 49,832 | 87.5 | |
Democratic | Timothy Robertson | 3,771 | 6.6 | |
Democratic | Frank Sullivan | 3,377 | 5.9 | |
Total votes | 56,980 | 97.3 |
Republican primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Frank Robert Emiro Sr., state representative
- Jack Kimball, businessman[6]
- John Stephen, former Health and Human Services Commissioner[7]
- Karen Testerman, conservative activist[6]
Declined
edit- Kelly Ayotte, New Hampshire Attorney General[8]
- Frank Guinta, Mayor of Manchester[9]
- Chuck Morse, former State Senator[10]
- John E. Sununu, former U.S. Senator
Polling
editPoll source | Dates administered | Jack Kimball |
John Stephen |
Karen Testerman |
---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | September 11–12, 2010 | 24% | 45% | 8% |
Public Policy Polling | July 23–25, 2010 | 15% | 26% | 5% |
Public Policy Polling | April 17–18, 2010 | 10% | 29% | 15% |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | John Stephen | 77,962 | 61.6 | |
Republican | Jack Kimball | 31,581 | 24.9 | |
Republican | Karen Testerman | 12,708 | 10.0 | |
Republican | Frank Emiro | 4,394 | 3.5 | |
Total votes | 126,645 | 96.7 |
General election
editCandidates
edit- John Babiarz, Libertarian
- John Lynch, Democratic
- John Stephen, Republican
Predictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Cook Political Report[11] | Tossup | October 14, 2010 |
Rothenberg[12] | Lean D | October 28, 2010 |
RealClearPolitics[13] | Lean D | November 1, 2010 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] | Lean D | October 28, 2010 |
CQ Politics[15] | Likely D | October 28, 2010 |
Polling
editPoll source | Date(s) administered |
John Lynch (D) |
John Stephen (R) |
---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | October 27, 2010 | 51% | 45% |
WMUR/UNH | October 7–12, 2010 | 51% | 38% |
American Research Group | October 3–5, 2010 | 51% | 41% |
Granite State Poll | October 1, 2010 | 51% | 34% |
American Research Group | September 22–26, 2010 | 42% | 40% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 15, 2010 | 48% | 46% |
Public Policy Polling | September 11–12, 2010 | 51% | 39% |
Rasmussen Reports | August 5, 2010 | 50% | 39% |
Public Policy Polling | July 23–25, 2010 | 51% | 34% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 26, 2010 | 47% | 35% |
Public Policy Polling | April 17–18, 2010 | 47% | 36% |
Rasmussen Reports | April 7, 2010 | 47% | 37% |
Rasmussen Reports | March 8, 2010 | 50% | 35% |
Granite State Poll | January 27-February 3, 2010 | 50% | 30% |
Hypothetical polling
- With Kimball
Poll Source | Dates Administered | John Lynch (D) |
Jack Kimball (R) |
---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | July 23–25, 2010 | 52% | 29% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 26, 2010 | 50% | 31% |
Public Policy Polling | April 17–18, 2010 | 47% | 35% |
Rasmussen Reports | April 7, 2010 | 50% | 34% |
Rasmussen Reports | March 8, 2010 | 51% | 32% |
Research 2000 | February 1–3, 2010 | 59% | 13% |
Rasmussen Reports | January 12, 2010 | 51% | 32% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 14, 2009 | 52% | 31% |
- With Morse
Poll Source | Dates Administered | John Lynch (D) |
Chuck Morse (R) |
---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | September 14, 2009 | 51% | 29% |
- With Sununu
Poll Source | Dates Administered | John Lynch (D) |
John Sununu (R) |
---|---|---|---|
Granite State Poll | September 25-October 2, 2009 | 50% | 37% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 14, 2009 | 48% | 43% |
- With Testerman
Poll Source | Dates Administered | John Lynch (D) |
Karen Testerman (R) |
---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | July 23–25, 2010 | 52% | 28% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 26, 2010 | 51% | 32% |
Public Policy Polling | April 17–18, 2010 | 47% | 29% |
Rasmussen Reports | April 7, 2010 | 50% | 33% |
Rasmussen Reports | March 8, 2010 | 54% | 28% |
Rasmussen Reports | January 12, 2010 | 53% | 30% |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | John Lynch (incumbent) | 240,346 | 52.63% | -17.57% | |
Republican | John Stephen | 205,616 | 45.03% | +17.43% | |
Libertarian | John Babiarz | 10,089 | 2.21% | +0.02% | |
Write-in | 537 | <0.01% | N/A | ||
Total votes | 456,588 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Democratic hold |
Counties that swung from Democratic to Republican
edit- Rockingham (largest municipality: Derry)
References
edit- ^ "NH Gov. John Lynch Running for 4th Term - FOX44NOW.COM - Burlington/Plattsburgh News, Weather and Sports". FOX44NOW.COM. Archived from the original on March 1, 2012. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
- ^ "Lynch Leads All Republicans for Re-election in N.H." (PDF). Public Policy Polling. April 23, 2010.
- ^ http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NH_916.pdf [dead link]
- ^ "Gov. Lynch could face difficult re-election bid » New Hampshire » EagleTribune.com, North Andover, MA". Eagletribune.com. April 18, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.[permanent dead link]
- ^ a b "New Hampshire Gubernatorial Primary Results". Politico. September 14, 2010. Retrieved September 14, 2010.
- ^ a b John Distaso (December 9, 2009). "Testerman steps into the ring in governor's race". The Union Leader. Archived from the original on February 20, 2010. Retrieved January 1, 2010.
- ^ "John Stephen for Governor | New Leadership for New Hampshire". Johnstephen.com. Archived from the original on September 15, 2008. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
- ^ "Republicans land top recruit in New Hampshire - The Scorecard". Politico.Com. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
- ^ "Frank Guinta for Congress". Teamguinta.com. July 29, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
- ^ "Downing runs for sheriff, Morse for NH Senate » Latest News » EagleTribune.com, North Andover, MA". Eagletribune.com. May 27, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
- ^ "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ^ "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ^ "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ^ "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ^ "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
External links
edit- Election Division at New Hampshire Secretary of State
- New Hampshire Governor Candidates at Project Vote Smart
- Campaign contributions for 2010 New Hampshire Governor from Follow the Money
- New Hampshire Governor 2010 from OurCampaigns.com
- 2010 New Hampshire Gubernatorial General Election: All Head-to-Head Matchups graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
- Election 2010: New Hampshire Governor from Rasmussen Reports
- 2010 New Hampshire Governor Race from Real Clear Politics
- 2010 New Hampshire Governor's Race from CQ Politics
- Race Profile in The New York Times
- Official campaign sites (Archived)