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2016 Washington gubernatorial election

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The 2016 Washington gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2016, to elect the Governor of Washington, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Washington gubernatorial election, 2016

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  Jay Inslee official portrait (cropped 2).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Jay Inslee Bill Bryant
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 1,760,520 1,476,346
Percentage 54.4% 45.6%

Washington Governor Election Results by County, 2016.svg
County results
Inslee:      50–60%      60–70%
Bryant:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

Governor before election

Jay Inslee
Democratic

Elected Governor

Jay Inslee
Democratic

Under Washington's nonpartisan blanket primary law, all candidates appear on the same ballot, regardless of party. In the August 2 primary, residents voted for one of several candidates from a range of party affiliations. The top two finishers, incumbent governor Jay Inslee (Democratic)[1] and Port of Seattle Commissioner Bill Bryant (Republican), moved on to the November general election, which Inslee won.

Contents

BackgroundEdit

Democratic governor Christine Gregoire declined to seek a third term in 2012. Democratic former U.S. Representative Jay Inslee was elected to succeed her, defeating Republican Rob McKenna, the outgoing Attorney General of Washington, by 51.5% to 48.5%. The last Republican to hold the office of governor was John Spellman in 1985, meaning that Washington has the second longest period (South Dakota has not had a Democratic governor since 1979) of one-party statehouse rule in America.[2]

CandidatesEdit

Democratic PartyEdit

DeclaredEdit

Republican PartyEdit

DeclaredEdit

DeclinedEdit

Third Party and independent CandidatesEdit

DeclaredEdit

  • David Blomstrom (Fifth Republic)[3]
  • Christian Joubert (Holistic)[3]
  • Mary Martin (Socialist Workers)[3]
  • Steve Rubenstein (Independent)

DeclinedEdit

  • Randy Dorn, State Superintendent of Public Instruction[9]

ResultsEdit

Blanket primary election results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jay Inslee (incumbent) 687,412 49.30
Republican Bill Bryant 534,519 38.33
Republican Bill Hirt 48,382 3.47
Democratic Patrick O'Rourke 40,572 2.91
Independent Steve Rubenstein 22,582 1.62
Democratic James Robert Deal 14,623 1.05
Democratic Johnathan Dodds 14,152 1.01
Republican Goodspaceguy 13,191 0.95
Socialist Workers Mary Martin 10,374 0.74
Independent David Blomstrom 4,512 0.32
Independent Christian Joubert 4,103 0.29
Total votes 1,394,422 100

General electionEdit

DebatesEdit

PredictionsEdit

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[11] Solid D November 3, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe D November 7, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[13] Safe D November 3, 2016
Daily Kos[14] Safe D November 7, 2016
Real Clear Politics[15] Lean D November 1, 2016

PollingEdit

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jay
Inslee (D)
Bill
Bryant (R)
Undecided
SurveyMonkey November 1–7, 2016 1,451 ± 4.6% 55% 42% 3%
Insights West November 4–6, 2016 402 ± 4.9% 49% 40% 10%
SurveyMonkey October 31–November 6, 2016 1,292 ± 4.6% 55% 42% 3%
SurveyMonkey October 28–November 3, 2016 944 ± 4.6% 56% 41% 3%
SurveyUSA October 31–November 2, 2016 667 ± 3.9% 50% 43% 6%
SurveyMonkey October 27–November 2, 2016 807 ± 4.6% 56% 41% 3%
SurveyMonkey October 26–November 1, 2016 698 ± 4.6% 55% 41% 4%
SurveyMonkey October 25–31, 2016 745 ± 4.6% 55% 42% 3%
Elway Poll October 20–22, 2016 502 ± 4.5% 51% 39% 10%
KCTS 9/YouGov October 6–13, 2016 750 ± 4.4% 51% 45% 4%
Strategies 360/KOMO News September 29–October 3, 2016 500 ± 4.4% 50% 40% 8%
Elway Poll August 9–13, 2016 500 ± 4.5% 48% 36% 16%
Moore Information May 16–18, 2016 500 ± 4.0% 43% 36% 18%
Elway Poll April 14–17, 2016 503 ± 3.5% 48% 36% 16%
Elway Poll December 28–30, 2015 500 ± 4.5% 39% 30% 31%
Public Policy Polling May 14–17, 2015 879 ± 3.3% 46% 34% 21%

ResultsEdit

Washington gubernatorial election, 2016[16]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Democratic Jay Inslee (incumbent) 1,760,520 54.39% +2.85%
Republican Bill Bryant 1,476,346 45.61% -2.85%
Total votes 3,236,866 100.0% N/A
Democratic hold

ReferencesEdit

  1. ^ "Stockpiling for 2016? Gov. Inslee stages quiet 2014 fundraiser". Seattle Pi. October 26, 2014. Retrieved October 21, 2014.
  2. ^ Connelly, Joel (September 29, 2014). "What 2014 elections say about 2016 governor's race". Seattle Pi. Retrieved October 26, 2014.
  3. ^ a b c d e f g h Camden, Jim (May 23, 2016). "Final list of candidates in the August primary". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved May 24, 2016.
  4. ^ Brunner, Jim (May 14, 2015). "Port Commissioner Bill Bryant announces run for governor". The Seattle Times. Retrieved May 14, 2015.
  5. ^ a b O'Sullivan, Joseph (September 11, 2015). "Hill, Litzow won't challenge Inslee in 2016". The Seattle Times. Retrieved September 14, 2015.
  6. ^ Rosenthal, Brian (February 19, 2013). "Former AG McKenna joins lawfirm". Yakima Herald. Retrieved March 4, 2013.
  7. ^ Cornfield, Jerry (June 6, 2013). "If not McKenna, others could challenge Inslee in 2016". HeraldNet. Archived from the original on July 14, 2014. Retrieved July 10, 2014.
  8. ^ Brunner, Jim (October 16, 2015). "Dave Reichert decides: He won't run against Jay Inslee for governor". The Seattle Times. Retrieved October 16, 2015.
  9. ^ Douglas, C.R. (March 9, 2016). "State schools chief Randy Dorn close to a third-party run for governor". Q13 Fox. Retrieved March 12, 2016.
  10. ^ "August 2, 2016 Primary Results - Governor". Washington Secretary of State. Retrieved August 22, 2016.
  11. ^ "2016 Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 15, 2018.
  12. ^ "Our Final 2016 picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 15, 2018.
  13. ^ "Gubernatorial Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 15, 2018.
  14. ^ "Elections 2015-16". Daily Kos. Retrieved October 15, 2018.
  15. ^ "2016 Election Maps - 2016 Governor Races". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved October 15, 2018.
  16. ^ "November 8, 2016 General Election Results". Washington Secretary of State. Retrieved December 3, 2016.

External linksEdit