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2016 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania

The 2016 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania took place on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States elections in which all fifty states and the District of Columbia participated. Pennsylvania voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote.

2016 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania
Flag of Pennsylvania.svg
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  Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg
Nominee Donald Trump Hillary Clinton
Party Republican Democratic
Home state New York New York
Running mate Mike Pence Tim Kaine
Electoral vote 20 0
Popular vote 2,970,733 2,926,441
Percentage 48.18% 47.46%

Pennsylvania Presidential Election Results 2016.svg
County Results

President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Treemap of the popular vote by county.

On April 26, 2016, in the presidential primaries, voters selected the Democratic, Republican, and Green parties' respective nominees for president. Pennsylvania is a closed primary state, meaning voters must have been previously registered with a particular political party in order to vote for one of that parties' candidates, to participate in their respective party primary.[1]

The Republican party candidate was businessman and former host of The Apprentice (an American reality television program), Donald Trump, who won Pennsylvania by 44,292 votes out of more than six million cast, a difference of 0.72% and the narrowest margin in a presidential election for the state in 176 years, since 1840 when William Henry Harrison defeated Martin Van Buren by just 0.12%.

Prior to the election, Pennsylvania was expected to be close as polling showed the results within the margin of error. However, most election experts viewed Pennsylvania as solidly Clinton.[2][3] On Election Day, Pennsylvania swung to Donald Trump. Trump carried 56 of the state's 67 counties, predominantly rural or semi-rural counties, while Clinton carried much of the Philadelphia metropolitan area as well as other cities including Pittsburgh, Harrisburg and Scranton. Nonetheless, some areas of traditional Democratic strength such as Luzerne County, where Wilkes-Barre is located, saw swings in margins of up to 25% toward Donald Trump, making him the first Republican candidate for president to carry Pennsylvania since George H. W. Bush in 1988. 2016 would also be the first presidential election in which Pennsylvania voted to the right of the nation since 1948. Pennsylvania's vote for Donald Trump marked the fall of the Democratic Blue Wall, a block of over 240 electoral votes that voted solidly Democratic from 1992 to 2012.

Pennsylvania had been one of the eleven states to vote twice for Bill Clinton in 1992 and 1996 which Hillary Clinton lost in 2016.

Contents

PrimariesEdit

Democratic primaryEdit

 
Results of the Democratic primary by county.
  Hillary Clinton
  Bernie Sanders
Pennsylvania Democratic primary, April 26, 2016
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Hillary Clinton 935,107 55.61% 106 20 126
Bernie Sanders 731,881 43.53% 83 0 83
Rocky De La Fuente 14,439 0.86% 0 0 0
Total 1,681,427 100% 189 20 209
Source: The Green Papers, Pennsylvania State Elections Official Results

Republican primaryEdit

 
Republican primary results by county.
  Donald Trump
Pennsylvania Republican primary, April 26, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 902,593 56.61% 17 42 59
Ted Cruz 345,506 21.67% 0 4 4
John Kasich 310,003 19.44% 0 3 3
Ben Carson (withdrawn) 14,842 0.93% 0 0 0
Marco Rubio (withdrawn) 11,954 0.75% 0 0 0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn) 9,577 0.60% 0 0 0
Unprojected delegates: 0 5 5
Total: 1,594,475 100.00% 17 54 71
Source: The Green Papers

Green PartyEdit

Pennsylvania held a series of caucuses throughout April, culminating with a meeting on April 30 in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania, where delegates were assigned.[4][5]

Pennsylvania Green Party presidential caucuses, April 17, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage National delegates
  Jill Stein - - 8
William Kreml - - 1
Sedinam Kinamo Christin Moyowasifza Curry - - -
Darryl Cherney - - -
Kent Mesplay - - -
Total - 100.00% 9

Democratic National ConventionEdit

From July 25 to July 28, 2016, Philadelphia hosted the 2016 Democratic National Convention. It was held at the Wells Fargo Center with ancillary meetings at the Pennsylvania Convention Center. Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton was elected as the party's nominee for president by a 59.67% majority of delegates present at the convention roll call, defeating primary rival Senator Bernie Sanders, who received 39.16% of votes from delegates, and becoming the first female candidate to be formally nominated by a major national party as a presidential candidate in the United States. Her running mate, Senator Tim Kaine, the junior United States Senator from Virginia was chosen by delegates as the party's nominee for vice president by acclamation.

General electionEdit

PredictionsEdit

  1. CNN: Leans Clinton[6]
  2. Cook Political Report: Leans Clinton[7]
  3. Electoral-vote.com: Leans Clinton[8]
  4. NBC: Leans Clinton[9]
  5. RealClearPolitics: Tossup[10]
  6. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Leans Clinton[11]

Statewide resultsEdit

United States presidential election in Pennsylvania, 2016
Party Candidate Running mate Votes Percentage Electoral votes
Republican Donald Trump Mike Pence 2,970,733 48.18% 20
Democratic Hillary Clinton Tim Kaine 2,926,441 47.46% 0
Libertarian Gary Johnson William Weld 146,715 2.38% 0
Green Jill Stein Ajamu Baraka 49,941 0.81% 0
Constitution Darrell Castle Scott Bradley 21,572 0.35% 0
Others / Write-In Votes 50,076 0.81% 0
Totals 6,165,478 100.00% 20
Voter turnout (Voting age population) 60.27%
Source: Pennsylvania Department of State

By congressional districtEdit

Trump won 12 of 18 congressional districts, including the 17th district which elected a Democrat.[12]

District Trump Clinton Representative
1st 18% 80% Bob Brady
2nd 8% 90% Chaka Fattah
Dwight Evans
3rd 61% 35% Mike Kelly
4th 59% 37% Scott Perry
5th 62% 34% Glenn Thompson
6th 48% 48% Ryan Costello
7th 47% 49% Patrick Meehan
8th 48% 48% Mike Fitzpatrick
Brian Fitzpatrick
9th 70% 27% Bill Shuster
10th 66% 30% Tom Marino
11th 60% 36% Lou Barletta
12th 59% 38% Keith Rothfus
13th 32% 65% Brendan Boyle
14th 31% 66% Mike Doyle
15th 52% 44% Charlie Dent
16th 51% 44% Joe Pitts
Lloyd Smucker
17th 53% 43% Matt Cartwright
18th 58% 39% Tim Murphy

By countyEdit

County Clinton% Clinton# Trump% Trump# Others% Others# Total
Adams 29.94% 14,219 66.17% 31,423 3.89% 1,847 47,489
Allegheny 56.55% 367,617 39.91% 259,480 3.54% 23,017 650,114
Armstrong 22.70% 7,178 74.27% 23,484 3.02% 956 31,618
Beaver 38.93% 32,531 57.64% 48,167 3.44% 2,873 83,571
Bedford 15.42% 3,645 82.72% 19,552 1.86% 440 23,637
Berks 42.85% 78,437 52.78% 96,626 4.37% 8,002 183,065
Blair 25.42% 13,958 71.27% 39,135 3.31% 1,816 54,909
Bradford 24.77% 6,369 70.57% 18,141 4.66% 1,198 25,708
Bucks 48.52% 167,060 47.74% 164,361 3.74% 12,876 344,297
Butler 29.45% 28,584 66.37% 64,428 4.18% 4,059 97,071
Cambria 29.91% 18,867 67.00% 42,258 3.09% 1,947 63,072
Cameron 24.29% 531 72.69% 1,589 3.02% 66 2,186
Carbon 31.05% 8,936 65.13% 18,743 3.81% 1,097 28,776
Centre 48.71% 37,088 46.32% 35,274 4.97% 3,786 76,148
Chester 52.71% 141,682 43.20% 116,114 4.09% 11,004 268,800
Clarion 24.37% 4,273 71.72% 12,576 3.91% 686 17,535
Clearfield 23.93% 8,200 72.75% 24,932 3.32% 1,139 34,271
Clinton 30.82% 4,744 65.10% 10,022 4.08% 628 15,394
Columbia 31.65% 8,934 63.78% 18,004 4.57% 1,290 28,228
Crawford 29.26% 10,971 66.65% 24,987 4.09% 1,534 37,492
Cumberland 38.72% 47,085 56.80% 69,076 4.49% 5,456 121,617
Dauphin 49.44% 64,706 46.51% 60,863 4.05% 5,303 130,872
Delaware 59.60% 177,402 37.18% 110,667 3.21% 9,565 297,634
Elk 26.71% 3,853 69.49% 10,025 3.80% 548 14,426
Erie 46.99% 58,112 48.57% 60,069 4.45% 5,498 123,679
Fayette 33.38% 17,946 64.33% 34,590 2.29% 1,231 53,767
Forest 26.07% 626 70.10% 1,683 3.83% 92 2,401
Franklin 25.05% 17,465 71.37% 49,768 3.58% 2,498 69,731
Fulton 13.47% 912 84.09% 5,694 2.44% 165 6,771
Greene 28.43% 4,482 68.82% 10,849 2.75% 433 15,764
Huntingdon 23.03% 4,539 73.55% 14,494 3.42% 673 19,706
Indiana 30.52% 11,528 65.89% 24,888 3.58% 1,354 37,770
Jefferson 18.74% 3,650 78.00% 15,192 3.27% 636 19,478
Juniata 17.42% 1,821 79.14% 8,273 3.44% 360 10,454
Lackawanna 50.25% 51,983 46.77% 48,384 2.99% 3,089 103,456
Lancaster 37.78% 91,093 57.20% 137,914 5.02% 12,105 241,112
Lawrence 34.38% 14,009 62.40% 25,428 3.23% 1,316 40,753
Lebanon 30.65% 18,953 65.53% 40,525 3.83% 2,367 61,845
Lehigh 50.51% 81,324 45.77% 73,690 3.71% 5,979 160,993
Luzerne 38.86% 52,451 58.29% 78,688 2.85% 3,844 134,983
Lycoming 25.75% 13,020 70.46% 35,627 3.79% 1,918 50,565
McKean 24.70% 4,025 71.40% 11,635 3.90% 636 16,296
Mercer 35.81% 18,733 60.30% 31,544 3.88% 2,032 52,309
Mifflin 20.84% 3,877 75.77% 14,094 3.39% 630 18,601
Monroe 48.63% 33,918 47.86% 33,386 3.51% 2,448 69,752
Montgomery 58.91% 256,082 37.44% 162,731 3.65% 15,874 434,687
Montour 33.39% 2,857 61.80% 5,288 4.80% 411 8,556
Northampton 46.18% 66,272 49.98% 71,736 3.84% 5,511 143,519
Northumberland 26.73% 9,788 69.43% 25,427 3.84% 1,407 36,622
Perry 21.89% 4,632 73.81% 15,616 4.30% 910 21,158
Philadelphia 82.53% 584,025 15.37% 108,748 2.10% 14,858 707,631
Pike 35.46% 9,256 61.51% 16,056 3.02% 789 26,101
Potter 16.73% 1,302 80.31% 6,251 2.97% 231 7,784
Schuylkill 26.67% 16,770 69.99% 44,001 3.34% 2,098 62,869
Snyder 24.46% 4,002 71.66% 11,725 3.89% 636 16,363
Somerset 20.62% 7,376 76.54% 27,379 2.85% 1,018 35,773
Sullivan 23.92% 750 73.05% 2,291 3.03% 95 3,136
Susquehanna 27.16% 5,123 68.34% 12,891 4.50% 849 18,863
Tioga 21.29% 3,901 74.29% 13,614 4.42% 810 18,325
Union 35.38% 6,180 60.81% 10,622 3.81% 666 17,468
Venango 27.02% 6,309 68.62% 16,021 4.36% 1,018 23,348
Warren 27.91% 5,145 67.68% 12,477 4.40% 812 18,434
Washington 35.80% 36,322 60.51% 61,386 3.69% 3,742 101,450
Wayne 29.18% 7,008 67.63% 16,244 3.19% 766 24,018
Westmoreland 32.78% 59,669 64.01% 116,522 3.22% 5,860 182,051
Wyoming 28.99% 3,811 67.23% 8,837 3.77% 496 13,144
York 33.27% 68,524 62.40% 128,528 4.34% 8,934 205,986

Counties that swung from Democratic to RepublicanEdit

Counties that swung from Republican to DemocraticEdit

See alsoEdit

ReferencesEdit

  1. ^ "About Voting and Elections". Votespa.com. 2015-05-19. Retrieved 2016-04-10.
  2. ^ "Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein". realclearpolitics.com. 2016-11-05.
  3. ^ "Clinton Has Solid Lead in Electoral College; Trump's Winning Map Is Unclear". The New York Times. 2016-11-06. Retrieved 2018-10-30. The final nonpartisan live interview polls there show Mrs. Clinton ahead by a comfortable margin of four to six points. The state will probably be close, but it's quite clear that she has the edge.
  4. ^ "2016 PA Green Party Caucus Information and Schedule". Pennsylvania Green Party. 2016-04-09. Retrieved 2016-04-10.
  5. ^ "#Greens, join us in caucusing and voting for our GP of PA Presidential Candidates in April". Pennsylvania Green Party. 2016-04-09. Retrieved 2016-04-10.
  6. ^ Chalian, David (4 November 2016). "Road to 270: CNN's new election map". CNN. Retrieved 10 February 2019.
  7. ^ "2016 Electoral Scorecard". The Cook Political Report. 7 November 2016. Retrieved 10 February 2019.
  8. ^ "2016 Predicted Electoral Map". Electoral-vote.com. Retrieved 10 February 2019.
  9. ^ Todd, Chuck (7 November 2016). "NBC's final battleground map shows a lead for Clinton". NBC News. Retrieved 10 February 2019.
  10. ^ "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved 10 February 2019.
  11. ^ Sabato, Larry (7 November 2016). "The Crystal Ball's 2016 Electoral College ratings". University of Virginia Center for Politics. Retrieved 10 February 2019.
  12. ^ "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index". The Cook Political Report.

External linksEdit