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United States presidential approval rating

Approval rating of President Trump As of June 8 2019. [1]
  Approval rating of 60–69%
  Approval rating of 50–59%
  Approval rating of 40–49%
  Approval rating of 30–39%
  Approval rating of 20–29%
  Approval rating of 10–19%

In the United States, presidential job approval ratings were introduced by George Gallup in the late 1930s (most likely 1937) to gauge public support for the President of the United States during his term. An approval rating is a percentage determined by a polling which indicates the percentage of respondents to an opinion poll who approve of a particular person or program. Typically, an approval rating is given to a politician based on responses to a poll in which a sample of people are asked whether they approve or disapprove of that particular political figure. A question might ask:

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?[2]

Like most surveys that predict opinions, individual poll results may be inaccurate. Many unscientific approval rating systems exist that show inaccurate statistics. Examples that self select, such as online questions are of this type. However, the aggregate approval rating is generally accepted by statisticians, as a statistically valid indicator of the comparative changes in the popular United States mood regarding a President.

In contemporary politics, presidential job approval is highly partisan. Barack Obama in his last year as sitting president achieved a job approval of 70 to 90 among Democrats and 10 to 15 among Republicans,[3] while President Donald Trump in 2018 has a job approval of 80 to 90 among Republicans and 5 to 10 among Democrats.[2] Gallup polling has found that 46% of Americans are either "Democrats or Democratic leaners" while 39% are either "Republicans or Republican leaners".[4]

Contents

President Donald TrumpEdit

Most recent polls for President Donald Trump[5][6][7]

Polling group Date Approval Disapproval Unsure Net +/- Sample size[7] Population[7]
Rasmussen Reports[a][8] July 10–14, 2019 46% 52% 2% -6% ≈1,500 Likely voters
Ipsos/Reuters[9] July 8–9, 2019 41% 54% 4% -13% 1,115 All adults
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[b][10] July 7–9, 2019 45% 52% 3% -7% 800 Registered voters
ABC News/Washington Post[c][11] June 28–July 1, 2019 44% 53% 3% -6% 1,008 All adults
CNN[d][12] June 28–30, 2019 43% 52% 5% -9% 1,613 All adults
Gallup Poll[e][13] June 19–30, 2019 41% 54% 5% -14% 1,018 All adults
Monmouth University[14] June 12–17, 2019 41% 50% 9% -9% 751 All adults
Suffolk University/USA Today[15] June 11–15, 2019 49% 48% 3% +1% 1,000 Registered voters
Fox News [f][16] June 9–12, 2019 45% 53% 3% -8% 1,001 Registered voters
Quinnipiac University[17] June 6–10, 2019 42% 53% 5% -11% 1,214 Registered voters
NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist[18] May 31–June 4, 2019 41% 49% 10% -8% 944 All adults
Kaiser Family Foundation[g][19] May 30–June 4, 2019 43% 55% 2% -12% 1,206 All adults
CBS News [g][20] May 17–20, 2019 41% 52% 6% -11% 1,101 All adults
Pew Research Center[h][21] March 20–25, 2019 40% 55% 5% -15% 1,503 All adults

Historical comparisonEdit

Historical Gallup Poll approval highs and lows for each President since 1937[22][23][24][i]

Order President Highest approval Lowest approval High –
Low
Highest disapproval Highest margin Lowest margin Final poll Approval
average[22]
Polls
per year
45[25][26][27][28] Trump 46 (04/30/19)[26] 35 (10/29/17, 12/01/17)[25] 11 62 (10/29/17, 10/30/17, 12/01/17) [25] 1 (01/24/17) [25] -29 (10/29/17, 12/01/17) [25] 39[27]
44[29][30] Obama 69 (01/24/09) 38 (09/05/14)[j] 31 57 (10/10/14) 56 (01/23-24/09) −18 (10/10/14) 59 (01/19/17) 47.9 48.4
43[31] G. W. Bush 90 (9/21/01) 25 (10/05/08, 10/12/08, 11/02/08) 65 71 (10/10/08) 83 (09/22/01) −46 (10/12/08) 34 (01/11/09) 49.4 33.7
42[32] Clinton 73 (12/19/98) 37 (06/06/93) 36 54 (09/07/94) 45 (12/17/00) −14 (09/07/94) 66 (01/14/01) 55.1 28.5
41[33] G. H. W. Bush 89 (02/28/91) 29 (08/02/92, 10/13/92) 60 60 (07/31/92) 82 (03/03/91) −30 (08/02/92, 10/13/92) 56 (01/11/93) 60.9 39.5
40[34] Reagan 71 (01/30/86) 35 (01/31/83) 36 56 (01/28/83) 52 (01/30/86) −21(01/31/83) 63 (12/29/88) 52.8 37.0
39[35] Carter 74 (03/15/77) 28 (06/26/79, 10/02/79) 46 59 (06/26/79) 66 (03/15/77) −31 (06/26/79) 34 (12/08/80) 45.5 22.7
38[36] Ford 70 (08/13/74) 36 (03/25/75) 34 46 (04/15/75, 11/18/75) 67 (08/13/74) −7 (02/25/75, 03/25/75, 04/15/75) 53 (12/13/76) 47.2 14.7
37[37] Nixon 66 (01/23/73) 24 (01/02/74) 42 66 (08/05/74) 57 (03/17/69) −42 (08/05/74) 24 (08/05/74) 49.1 17.7
36[38] Johnson 79 (03/05/64) 34 (08/12/68) 45 52 (08/12/68) 75 (12/10/63) −18 (08/12/68) 49 (01/06/69) 55.1 15.3
35[39] Kennedy 83 (03/05/62) 56 (09/10/63) 27 30 (09/12/63, 11/08/63) 78 (03/05/62) 27 (09/10/63) 58 (11/13/63) 70.1 13.7
34[40] Eisenhower 77 (11/22/55, 12/19/56) 47 (03/25/58) 30 36 (03/25/58) 66 (04/02/53, 12/19/56) 12 (03/25/58) 59 (12/13/60) 65.0 14.4
33[41] Truman 87 (08/22/45) 22 (11/16/51, 02/14/52) 65 67 (01/06/52) 85 (08/22/45) −43 (01/04/52) 32 (12/16/52) 45.4 8.4
32[42] F. D. Roosevelt 83 (01/08/42) 48 (08/18/39) 35 46 (05/22/38, 05/29/38, 11/07/38) 73 (01/23/42) 65 (12/15/43) 63

GraphsEdit

Gallup Poll graphs of approval ratings for Presidents of the United States

See alsoEdit

NotesEdit

  1. ^ Rolling 3-day average of 500 likely voters each day; no neutral/unsure choice.
  2. ^ Conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R).
  3. ^ Conducted by Langer Research Associates of New York, N.Y. and Abt Associates of Rockville, MD.
  4. ^ Conducted by SSRS.
  5. ^ Monthly averages.
  6. ^ Conducted by Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R).
  7. ^ a b Conducted by SSRS of Glen Mills, Pennsylvania.
  8. ^ Conducted by Abt Associates.
  9. ^ Only the results of Gallup polls are included as no other poll results exist for presidents before President Clinton.
  10. ^ Last of eight, sometimes overlapping, 3-day averages.

ReferencesEdit

  1. ^ "Tracking Trump: The President's Standing Across America". Morning Consult. Retrieved June 8, 2019.
  2. ^ a b "Presidential Approval Ratings – Donald Trump". Gallup. Retrieved February 13, 2017.
  3. ^ "Presidential Approval Ratings -- Barack Obama". Gallup. Retrieved October 14, 2018.
  4. ^ "Gallup Historical Trends: Party Affiliation". GALLUP News. Gallup Inc. Retrieved October 23, 2017.
  5. ^ "President Trump: Job Ratings". PollingReport.com. Retrieved December 26, 2018.
  6. ^ "President Trump Job Approval". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved December 26, 2018.
  7. ^ a b c "How (un)popular is Donald Trump?". fivethirtyeight.com. Retrieved December 26, 2018.
  8. ^ "Trump Approval Index History". Retrieved February 26, 2018.
  9. ^ "Trump approval at reuters.com". Retrieved June 17, 2017.
  10. ^ "NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey" (PDF). July 14, 2019.
  11. ^ "Washington Post-ABC News poll, June 28–July 1, 2019" (PDF). July 10, 2019.
  12. ^ "CNN June 2019" (PDF). July 2, 2019.
  13. ^ "Trump Job Approval". Retrieved January 10, 2018.
  14. ^ "All The President's Trends". June 20, 2019.
  15. ^ "Suffolk University/USA TODAY Final" (PDF). June 24, 2019.
  16. ^ "Fox News Poll". June 28, 2019.
  17. ^ "Top Dems Lead Trump In Head-To-Head Matchups, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Democratic Primary Race Narrows As Biden Goes Flat". June 11, 2019.
  18. ^ "NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll of 944 National Adults" (PDF). June 7, 2019.
  19. ^ "KFF Health Tracking Poll – June 2019". June 21, 2019.
  20. ^ "Americans Feel Good About the Economy and Give Trump Credit". May 22, 2019.
  21. ^ "MARCH 2019 POLITICAL SURVEY" (PDF). March 28, 2019.
  22. ^ a b "Presidential Approval Ratings – Gallup Historical Statistics and Trends". Gallup. Retrieved August 16, 2011.
  23. ^ Lydia Saad (March 29, 2017). "Trump's Approval Rating Unusually Low, Unusually Early". Gallup. Retrieved April 1, 2017.
  24. ^ The American Presidency Project at UC Santa Barbara.
  25. ^ a b c d e "Gallup Daily: Trump Job Approval". Gallup. Retrieved January 27, 2017.
  26. ^ a b "Trump Job Approval (Weekly)". Gallup. Retrieved January 22, 2018.
  27. ^ a b "Presidential Approval Ratings -- Donald Trump". Gallup. Retrieved October 9, 2018.
  28. ^ Jeffrey M. Jones (April 24, 2018). "Trump's Fifth-Quarter Job Approval Up; Still Historically Low". Gallup.
  29. ^ Graphical display and numbers of Gallup "daily tracking" polls
  30. ^ "Presidential Approval Ratings -- Barack Obama".
  31. ^ "Gallup.com". Gallup.com. Retrieved August 16, 2011.
  32. ^ "Presidential Approval Ratings -- Bill Clinton". gallup.com. Retrieved January 26, 2017.
  33. ^ "Presidential Job Approval for George H. W. Bush". American Presidency Project.
  34. ^ "Presidential Job Approval for Ronald Reagan". American Presidency Project.
  35. ^ "Presidential Job Approval for Jimmy Carter". American Presidency Project.
  36. ^ "Presidential Job Approval for Gerald Ford". American Presidency Project.
  37. ^ "Presidential Job Approval for Richard Nixon". American Presidency Project.
  38. ^ "Presidential Job Approval for Lyndon B. Johnson". American Presidency Project.
  39. ^ "Presidential Job Approval for John F. Kennedy". American Presidency Project.
  40. ^ Presidential Job Approval for "Dwight D. Eisenhower". American Presidency Project.
  41. ^ "Presidential Job Approval for Harry S. Truman". American Presidency Project.
  42. ^ "Presidential Job Approval for Franklin D. Roosevelt". American Presidency Project.

External linksEdit