Raymond Kurzweil (/ˈkɜːrzwl/, KURZ-wyle; born February 12, 1948) is an American computer scientist, author, inventor, and futurist. He is involved in fields such as optical character recognition (OCR), text-to-speech synthesis, speech recognition technology and electronic keyboard instruments. He has written books on health, artificial intelligence (AI), transhumanism, the technological singularity, and futurism. Kurzweil is a public advocate for the futurist and transhumanist movements and gives public talks to share his optimistic outlook on life extension technologies and the future of nanotechnology, robotics, and biotechnology.

Ray Kurzweil
Kurzweil in 2005
Born
Raymond Kurzweil

(1948-02-12) February 12, 1948 (age 76)
New York City, U.S.
Alma materMassachusetts Institute of Technology (B.S.)
Occupations
  • Author
  • Entrepreneur
  • Futurist
  • Inventor
EmployerGoogle
Children2; including Amy Kurzweil
Awards
WebsiteOfficial website Edit this at Wikidata

Kurzweil received the 1999 National Medal of Technology and Innovation, the United States' highest honor in technology, from then President Bill Clinton in a White House ceremony. He was the recipient of the $500 000 Lemelson–MIT Prize for 2001. He was elected a member of the National Academy of Engineering in 2001 for the application of technology to improve human-machine communication. In 2002 he was inducted into the National Inventors Hall of Fame, established by the U.S. Patent Office. He has received 21 honorary doctorates, and honors from three U.S. presidents. The Public Broadcasting Service (PBS) included Kurzweil as one of 16 "revolutionaries who made America" along with other inventors of the past two centuries. Inc. magazine ranked him No. 8 among the "most fascinating" entrepreneurs in the United States and called him "Edison's rightful heir".

Life, inventions, and business career edit

Early life edit

Kurzweil grew up in Queens, New York City. He attended NYC Public Education Kingsbury Elementary School PS188. He was born to secular Jewish parents who had emigrated from Austria just before the onset of World War II. He was exposed via Unitarian Universalism to a diversity of religious faiths during his upbringing.[1][2] His Unitarian church had the philosophy of many paths to the truth – his religious education consisted of studying a single religion for six months before moving on to the next.[3] His father, Fredric, was a concert pianist, a noted conductor, and a music educator. His mother, Hannah was a visual artist. He has one sibling, his sister Enid.

Kurzweil decided at the age of five that he wanted to be an inventor.[4] As a young boy, Kurzweil had an inventory of parts from various construction toys he had been given and old electronic gadgets he'd collected from neighbors. In his youth, Kurzweil was an avid reader of science fiction literature. At the age of eight, nine, and ten, he read the entire Tom Swift Jr. series. At the age of seven or eight, he built a robotic puppet theater and robotic game. He was involved with computers by the age of 12 (in 1960), when only a dozen computers existed in all of New York City, and built computing devices and statistical programs for the predecessor of Head Start.[5] At the age of fourteen, Kurzweil wrote a paper detailing his theory of the neocortex.[6] His parents were involved with the arts, and he is quoted in the documentary Transcendent Man[7] as saying that the household always produced discussions about the future and technology.

Kurzweil attended Martin Van Buren High School. During class, he often held onto his class textbooks to seemingly participate, but instead, focused on his own projects which were hidden behind the book. His uncle, an engineer at Bell Labs, taught young Kurzweil the basics of computer science.[8] In 1963, at age 15, he wrote his first computer program.[9] He created pattern-recognition software that analyzed the works of classical composers, and then synthesized its own songs in similar styles. In 1965 he was invited to appear on the CBS television program I've Got a Secret,[10] where he performed a piano piece that was composed by a computer he also had built.[11] Later that year, he won first prize in the International Science Fair for the invention;[12] Kurzweil's submission to Westinghouse Talent Search of his first computer program alongside several other projects resulted in him being one of its national winners, which allowed him to be personally congratulated by President Lyndon B. Johnson during a White House ceremony. These activities collectively impressed upon Kurzweil the belief that nearly any problem could be overcome.[13]

Mid-life edit

While in high school, Kurzweil had corresponded with Marvin Minsky and was invited to visit him at MIT, which he did. Kurzweil also visited Frank Rosenblatt at Cornell.[14]

He obtained a B.S. in computer science and literature in 1970 at MIT. He went to MIT to study with Marvin Minsky. He took all of the computer programming courses (eight or nine) offered at MIT in the first year and a half.

In 1968, during his second year at MIT, Kurzweil started a company that used a computer program to match high school students with colleges. The program, called the Select College Consulting Program, was designed by him and compared thousands of different criteria about each college with questionnaire answers submitted by each student applicant. Around that time he sold the company to Harcourt, Brace & World for $100,000 (roughly $748,000 in 2020 dollars) plus royalties.[15]

In 1974, Kurzweil founded Kurzweil Computer Products, Inc. and led development of the first omni-font optical character recognition system, a computer program capable of recognizing text written in any normal font. Before that time, scanners had only been able to read text written in a few fonts. He decided that the best application of this technology would be to create a reading machine, which would allow blind people to understand written text by having a computer read it to them aloud. However, this device required the invention of two enabling technologies—the CCD flatbed scanner and the text-to-speech synthesizer. Development of these technologies was completed at other institutions such as Bell Labs, and on January 13, 1976, the finished product was unveiled during a news conference headed by him and the leaders of the National Federation of the Blind. Called the Kurzweil Reading Machine, the device covered an entire tabletop.

Kurzweil's next major business venture began in 1978, when Kurzweil Computer Products began selling a commercial version of the optical character recognition computer program. LexisNexis was one of the first customers, and bought the program to upload paper legal and news documents onto its nascent online databases.

Kurzweil sold his Kurzweil Computer Products to Xerox, where it was known as Xerox Imaging Systems, later known as Scansoft, and he functioned as a consultant for Xerox until 1995. In 1999, Visioneer, Inc. acquired ScanSoft from Xerox to form a new public company with ScanSoft as the new company-wide name. Scansoft merged with Nuance Communications in 2005.

Kurzweil's next business venture was in the realm of electronic music technology. After a 1982 meeting with Stevie Wonder, in which the latter lamented the divide in capabilities and qualities between electronic synthesizers and traditional musical instruments, Kurzweil was inspired to create a new generation of music synthesizers capable of accurately duplicating the sounds of real instruments. Kurzweil Music Systems was founded in the same year, and in 1984, the Kurzweil K250 was unveiled. The machine was capable of imitating a number of instruments, and in tests musicians were unable to discern the difference between the Kurzweil K250 on piano mode from a normal grand piano.[16] The recording and mixing abilities of the machine, coupled with its abilities to imitate different instruments, made it possible for a single user to compose and play an entire orchestral piece.

Kurzweil Music Systems was sold to South Korean musical instrument manufacturer Young Chang in 1990. As with Xerox, Kurzweil remained as a consultant for several years. Hyundai acquired Young Chang in 2006 and in January 2007 appointed Raymond Kurzweil as Chief Strategy Officer of Kurzweil Music Systems.[17]

Concurrent with Kurzweil Music Systems, Kurzweil created the company Kurzweil Applied Intelligence (KAI) to develop computer speech recognition systems for commercial use. The first product, which debuted in 1987, was an early speech recognition program. KAI was sold to Lernout & Hauspie in 1997.[18]

Later life edit

Kurzweil started Kurzweil Educational Systems (KESI) in 1996 to develop new pattern-recognition-based computer technologies to help people with disabilities such as blindness, dyslexia and attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) in school. Products include the Kurzweil 1000 text-to-speech converter software program, which enables a computer to read electronic and scanned text aloud to blind or visually impaired users, and the Kurzweil 3000 program, which is a multifaceted electronic learning system that helps with reading, writing, and study skills.

Kurzweil sold KESI to Lernout & Hauspie. Following the legal and bankruptcy problems of the latter, he and other KESI employees purchased the company back. KESI was eventually sold to Cambium Learning Group, Inc.

 
Raymond Kurzweil at the Singularity Summit at Stanford University in 2006

During the 1990s, Kurzweil founded the Medical Learning Company.[19]

In 1999, Kurzweil created a hedge fund called "FatKat" (Financial Accelerating Transactions from Kurzweil Adaptive Technologies), which began trading in 2006. He has stated that the ultimate aim is to improve the performance of FatKat's A.I. investment software program, enhancing its ability to recognize patterns in "currency fluctuations and stock-ownership trends."[20] He predicted in his 1999 book, The Age of Spiritual Machines, that computers will one day prove superior to the best human financial minds at making profitable investment decisions. In June 2005, Kurzweil introduced the "Kurzweil-National Federation of the Blind Reader" (K-NFB Reader)—a pocket-sized device consisting of a digital camera and computer unit. Like the Kurzweil Reading Machine of almost 30 years before, the K-NFB Reader is designed to aid blind people by reading written text aloud. The newer machine is portable and scans text through digital camera images, while the older machine is large and scans text through flatbed scanning.

In December 2012, Kurzweil was hired by Google in a full-time position to "work on new projects involving machine learning and language processing".[21] He was personally hired by Google co-founder Larry Page.[22] Larry Page and Kurzweil agreed on a one-sentence job description: "to bring natural language understanding to Google".[23]

He received a Technical Grammy on February 8, 2015, specifically for his invention of the Kurzweil K250.[24]

Kurzweil has joined the Alcor Life Extension Foundation, a cryonics company. In the event of his declared death, Kurzweil plans to be perfused with cryoprotectants, vitrified in liquid nitrogen, and stored at an Alcor facility in the hope that future medical technology will be able to repair his tissues and revive him.[25]

Personal life edit

Kurzweil is agnostic about the existence of a soul.[26] On the possibility of divine intelligence, Kurzweil has said "Does God exist? I would say 'Not yet.'"[27]

Kurzweil married Sonya Rosenwald Kurzweil in 1975.[28] Sonya Kurzweil is a psychologist in private practice in Newton, Massachusetts, working with women, children, parents and families. She holds faculty appointments at Harvard Medical School and William James College for Graduate Education in Psychology. Her research interests and publications are in the area of psychotherapy practice. She also serves as an active Overseer at Boston Children's Museum.[29]

He has a son, Ethan Kurzweil, who is a venture capitalist,[30] and a daughter, Amy Kurzweil, a cartoonist.[31][32]

Creative approach edit

Kurzweil said "I realize that most inventions fail not because the R&D department can't get them to work, but because the timing is wrong‍—‌not all of the enabling factors are at play where they are needed. Inventing is a lot like surfing: you have to anticipate and catch the wave at just the right moment."[33][34]

For the past several decades, Kurzweil's most effective and common approach to doing creative work has been conducted during his lucid dreamlike state which immediately precedes his awakening state. He claims to have constructed inventions, solved difficult problems, such as algorithmic, business strategy, organizational, and interpersonal problems, and written speeches in this state.[14]

Books edit

Kurzweil's first book, The Age of Intelligent Machines, was published in 1990. The nonfiction work discusses the history of computer artificial intelligence (AI) and forecasts future developments. Other experts in the field of AI contribute heavily to the work in the form of essays. The Association of American Publishers awarded it the status of Most Outstanding Computer Science Book of 1990.[35]

In 1993, Kurzweil published a book on nutrition called The 10% Solution for a Healthy Life. The book's main idea is that high levels of fat intake are the cause of many health disorders common in the U.S., and thus that cutting fat consumption down to 10% of the total calories consumed would be optimal for most people.

In 1999, Kurzweil published The Age of Spiritual Machines, which further elucidates his theories regarding the future of technology, which themselves stem from his analysis of long-term trends in biological and technological evolution. Much emphasis is on the likely course of AI development, along with the future of computer architecture.

Kurzweil's next book, published in 2004, returned to human health and nutrition. Fantastic Voyage: Live Long Enough to Live Forever was co-authored by Terry Grossman, a medical doctor and specialist in alternative medicine.

The Singularity Is Near, published in 2005, was made into a movie starring Pauley Perrette from NCIS. In February 2007, Ptolemaic Productions acquired the rights to The Singularity Is Near, The Age of Spiritual Machines, and Fantastic Voyage, including the rights to film Kurzweil's life and ideas for the documentary film Transcendent Man,[7] which was directed by Barry Ptolemy.

Transcend: Nine Steps to Living Well Forever,[36] a follow-up to Fantastic Voyage, was released on April 28, 2009.

Kurzweil's book How to Create a Mind was released on November 13, 2012.[37] In it Kurzweil describes his Pattern Recognition Theory of Mind, the theory that the neocortex is a hierarchical system of pattern recognizers, and argues that emulating this architecture in machines could lead to an artificial superintelligence.[38]

Kurzweil's first fiction novel, Danielle: Chronicles of a Superheroine, follows a girl who uses her intelligence and the help of her friends to tackle real-world problems. It follows a structure akin to the scientific method. Chapters are organized as year-by-year episodes from Danielle's childhood and adolescence.[39] The book comes with companion materials, A Chronicle of Ideas, and How You Can Be a Danielle that provide real-world context. The book was released in April 2019.[40]

Kurzweil's latest book, The Singularity Is Nearer, is scheduled to be published in 2024.[41]

Movies edit

In 2010, Kurzweil wrote and co-produced a movie directed by Anthony Waller called The Singularity Is Near: A True Story About the Future, which was based in part on his 2005 book The Singularity Is Near. Part fiction, part non-fiction, the film blends interviews with 20 big thinkers (such as Marvin Minsky) with a narrative story that illustrates some of his key ideas, including a computer avatar (Ramona) who saves the world from self-replicating microscopic robots. In addition to his movie, an independent, feature-length documentary was made about Kurzweil, his life, and his ideas, called Transcendent Man.[7]

In 2010, an independent documentary film called Plug & Pray premiered at the Seattle International Film Festival, in which Kurzweil and one of his major critics, the late Joseph Weizenbaum, argue about the benefits of eternal life.[42]

The feature-length documentary film The Singularity by independent filmmaker Doug Wolens (released at the end of 2012), showcasing Kurzweil, has been acclaimed as "a large-scale achievement in its documentation of futurist and counter-futurist ideas" and "the best documentary on the Singularity to date".[43]

Views edit

The Law of Accelerating Returns edit

In his 1999 book The Age of Spiritual Machines, Kurzweil proposed "The Law of Accelerating Returns", according to which the rate of change in a wide variety of evolutionary systems (including the growth of technologies) tends to increase exponentially.[44] He gave further focus to this issue in a 2001 essay entitled "The Law of Accelerating Returns", which proposed an extension of Moore's law to a wide variety of technologies, and used this to argue in favor of John von Neumann's concept of a technological singularity.[45]

Stance on the future of genetics, nanotechnology, and robotics edit

Kurzweil was working with the Army Science Board in 2006 to develop a rapid response system to deal with the possible abuse of biotechnology. He suggested that the same technologies that are empowering us to reprogram biology away from cancer and heart disease could be used by a bioterrorist to reprogram a biological virus to be more deadly, communicable, and stealthy. However, he suggests that we have the scientific tools to successfully defend against these attacks, similar to the way we defend against computer software viruses. He has testified before Congress on the subject of nanotechnology, advocating that nanotechnology has the potential to solve serious global problems such as poverty, disease, and climate change. "Nanotech Could Give Global Warming a Big Chill".[46]

In media appearances, Kurzweil has stressed the extreme potential dangers of nanotechnology[11] but argues that in practice, progress cannot be stopped because that would require a totalitarian system, and any attempt to do so would drive dangerous technologies underground and deprive responsible scientists of the tools needed for defense. He suggests that the proper place of regulation is to ensure that technological progress proceeds safely and quickly, but does not deprive the world of profound benefits. He stated, "To avoid dangers such as unrestrained nanobot replication, we need relinquishment at the right level and to place our highest priority on the continuing advance of defensive technologies, staying ahead of destructive technologies. An overall strategy should include a streamlined regulatory process, a global program of monitoring for unknown or evolving biological pathogens, temporary moratoriums, raising public awareness, international cooperation, software reconnaissance, and fostering values of liberty, tolerance, and respect for knowledge and diversity."[47]

Health and aging edit

Kurzweil admits that he cared little for his health until age 35, when he was found to suffer from a glucose intolerance, an early form of type II diabetes (a major risk factor for heart disease). Kurzweil then found a doctor, Terry Grossman, who shared his unconventional beliefs and helped him to develop an extreme regimen involving hundreds of pills, chemical intravenous treatments, red wine, and various other methods to attempt to extend his lifespan. In 2007, Kurzweil was ingesting "250 supplements, eight to 10 glasses of alkaline water and 10 cups of green tea" every day and drinking several glasses of red wine a week in an effort to "reprogram" his biochemistry.[48] By 2008, he had reduced the number of supplement pills to 150.[26] By 2015, Kurzweil further reduced his daily pill regimen down to 100 pills.[49]

Kurzweil asserts that in the future, everyone will live forever.[50] In a 2013 interview, he said that in 15 years, medical technology could add more than a year to one's remaining life expectancy for each year that passes, and we could then "outrun our own deaths". Among other things, he has supported the SENS Research Foundation's approach to finding a way to repair aging damage, and has encouraged the general public to hasten their research by donating.[23][51]

Encouraging futurism and transhumanism edit

Kurzweil's standing as a futurist and transhumanist has led to his involvement in several singularity-themed organizations. In December 2004, Kurzweil joined the advisory board of the Machine Intelligence Research Institute.[52] In October 2005, Kurzweil joined the scientific advisory board of the Lifeboat Foundation.[53] On May 13, 2006, Kurzweil was the first speaker at the Singularity Summit at Stanford University in Palo Alto, California.[54] In May 2013, Kurzweil was the keynote speaker at the 2013 proceeding of the Research, Innovation, Start-up and Employment (RISE) international conference in Seoul.

In February 2009, Kurzweil, in collaboration with Google and the NASA Ames Research Center, announced the creation of the Singularity University training center for corporate executives and government officials. The university's self-described mission is to "assemble, educate and inspire a cadre of leaders who strive to understand and facilitate the development of exponentially advancing technologies and apply, focus and guide these tools to address humanity's grand challenges". Using Vernor Vinge's Singularity concept as a foundation, the university offered its first nine-week graduate program to 40 students in 2009.

Kurzweil views the human body as a system of thousands of "programs" and that understanding all of their functions could hold the key towards building a truly sentient AI.[55][56]

Predictions edit

Past predictions edit

Kurzweil's first book, The Age of Intelligent Machines, presents his ideas about the future. Written from 1986 to 1989, it was published in 1990. Building on Ithiel de Sola Pool's "Technologies of Freedom" (1983), Kurzweil claims to have forecast the dissolution of the Soviet Union due to new technologies such as cellular phones and fax machines disempowering authoritarian governments by removing state control over the flow of information.[57] In the book, Kurzweil also extrapolates trends in improving computer chess software performance, predicting that computers would beat the best human players "by the year 2000".[58] In May 1997, IBM's Deep Blue computer defeated chess World Champion Garry Kasparov in a well-publicized chess match.[59]

Kurzweil foresaw the explosive growth in worldwide Internet use that began in the 1990s. At the time when The Age of Intelligent Machines was published, there were only 2.6 million Internet users in the world,[60] and the medium was unreliable, difficult to use, and deficient in content. He also stated that the Internet would explode not only in the number of users but in content as well, eventually granting users access "to international networks of libraries, data bases, and information services". Additionally, Kurzweil claims to have correctly foreseen that the preferred mode of Internet access would inevitably be through wireless systems, and estimated that this development would become practical for widespread use in the early 21st century.

In October 2010, Kurzweil released his report, "How My Predictions Are Faring" in PDF format,[61] analyzing the predictions he made in his book The Age of Intelligent Machines (1990), The Age of Spiritual Machines (1999) and The Singularity is Near (2005). Of the 147 predictions, Kurzweil claimed that 115 were "entirely correct", 12 were "essentially correct", 17 were "partially correct", and only 3 were "wrong". Combining the "entirely" and "essentially" correct, Kurzweil's claimed accuracy rate comes to 86%.

Daniel Lyons, writing in Newsweek magazine, criticized Kurzweil for some of his predictions that turned out to be wrong, such as the economy continuing to boom from the 1998 dot-com through 2009, a US company having a market capitalization of more than $1 trillion by 2009, a supercomputer achieving 20 petaflops, speech recognition being in widespread use and cars that would drive themselves using sensors installed in highways; all by 2009.[62] To the charge that a 20 petaflop supercomputer was not produced in the time he predicted, Kurzweil responded that he considers Google a giant supercomputer, and that it is indeed capable of 20 petaflops.[62]

Forbes magazine claimed that Kurzweil's predictions for 2009 were mostly inaccurate, with 7 failed predictions, 4 partially true predictions, and one correct one. For example, Kurzweil predicted, "The majority of text is created using continuous speech recognition", which was not the case.[63]

Future predictions edit

In 1999, Kurzweil published a second book titled The Age of Spiritual Machines, which goes into more depth explaining his futurist ideas. In it, he states that with radical life extension will come radical life enhancement. He says he is confident that within 10 years we will have the option to spend some of our time in 3D virtual environments that appear just as real as real reality, but these will not yet be made possible via direct interaction with our nervous system. He expounded on his prediction regarding nanorobotics, making the claim of within 20 years having millions of blood-cell sized devices, known as nanobots, inside our bodies fighting diseases, and improving our memory and cognitive abilities. Kurzweil also claims that a machine will pass the Turing test by 2029. Kurzweil states that humans will be a hybrid of biological and non-biological intelligence that becomes increasingly dominated by its non-biological component.[64] In Transcendent Man Kurzweil states "We humans are going to start linking with each other and become a metaconnection; we will all be connected and omnipresent, plugged into a global network that is connected to billions of people and filled with data."[7]

In 2008, Kurzweil said in an expert panel in the National Academy of Engineering that solar power will scale up to produce all the energy needs of Earth's people in 20 years. According to Kurzweil, we only need to capture 1 part in 10,000 of the energy from the Sun that hits Earth's surface to meet all of humanity's energy needs.[65]

Stance on nuclear weapons edit

On a Lex Fridman interview on September 17, 2022, Kurzweil explained his worries about technology being used for violence. When asked about nuclear armaggedon and the Russo-Ukrainian War, Kurzweil stated: "I don't think (nuclear war) is going to happen despite the terrors of that war. It is a possibility but it's unlikely. Even with the tensions we've had with the nuclear power plant that's been taken over. It's very tense but I don't actually see a lot of people worrying that's going to happen. I think we'll avoid that. We had two nuclear bombs go off in (1945) so now we're 77 years later... we've never had another one go off through anger... there are other dangers besides nuclear weapons."[66]

Reception edit

Praise edit

Kurzweil was called "the ultimate thinking machine" by Forbes[67] and a "restless genius"[68] by The Wall Street Journal. PBS included Kurzweil as one of 16 "revolutionaries who made America"[69] along with other inventors of the past two centuries. Inc. magazine ranked him Number 8 among the "most fascinating" entrepreneurs in the US and called him "Edison's rightful heir".[70] Bill Gates called him "the best at predicting the future of artificial intelligence".[71]

Criticism edit

Although technological singularity is a popular concept in science fiction, some authors such as Neal Stephenson[72] and Bruce Sterling have voiced skepticism about its real-world plausibility. Sterling expressed his views on the singularity scenario in a talk at the Long Now Foundation entitled The Singularity: Your Future as a Black Hole.[73][74] Other prominent AI thinkers and computer scientists such as Daniel Dennett,[75] Rodney Brooks,[76] David Gelernter[77] and Paul Allen[78] have also criticized Kurzweil's projections.

In the cover article of the December 2010 issue of IEEE Spectrum, John Rennie criticizes Kurzweil for several predictions that failed to become manifest by the originally predicted date. "Therein lie the frustrations of Kurzweil's brand of tech punditry. On close examination, his clearest and most successful predictions often lack originality or profundity. And most of his predictions come with so many loopholes that they border on the unfalsifiable."[79]

Bill Joy, cofounder of Sun Microsystems, agrees with Kurzweil's timeline of future progress, but thinks that technologies such as AI, nanotechnology and advanced biotechnology will create a dystopian world.[80] Mitch Kapor, the founder of Lotus Development Corporation, has called the notion of a technological singularity "intelligent design for the IQ 140 people... This proposition that we're heading to this point at which everything is going to be just unimaginably different—it's fundamentally, in my view, driven by a religious impulse. And all of the frantic arm-waving can't obscure that fact for me."[20]

Cognitive scientist Douglas Hofstadter has said of Kurzweil's and Hans Moravec's books: "It's an intimate mixture of rubbish and good ideas, and it's very hard to disentangle the two, because these are smart people; they're not stupid."[81]

Biologist PZ Myers has criticized Kurzweil's predictions as being based on "New Age spiritualism" rather than science and says that Kurzweil does not understand basic biology.[82][83] VR pioneer Jaron Lanier has described Kurzweil's ideas as "cybernetic totalism" and has outlined his views on the culture surrounding Kurzweil's predictions in an essay for Edge Foundation entitled One Half of a Manifesto.[43][84] Physicist and futurist Theodore Modis claims that Kurzweil's thesis of a "technological singularity" lacks scientific rigor.[85]

British philosopher John Gray argued that contemporary science is what magic was for ancient civilizations: It gives a sense of hope for those who are willing to do almost anything to achieve eternal life. He quotes Kurzweil's Singularity as one such example, noting that this line of thinking has been present throughout the history of mankind.[86]

HP Newquist wrote in The Brain Makers "Born with the same gift for self-promotion that was a character trait of people like P.T. Barnum and Ed Feigenbaum, Kurzweil had no problems talking up his technical prowess... Ray Kurzweil was not noted for his understatement."[87]

In a 2015 paper, William D. Nordhaus of Yale University used a variety of econometric methods to run six supply-side tests and one demand-side test to track the macroeconomic viability of the required steep rises in information technology. Only two indicated that a Singularity was economically possible and both predicted at least 100 years before it would occur.[88]

Awards and honors edit

  • First place in the 1965 International Science Fair[12] for inventing the classical music synthesizing computer.
  • The 1978 Grace Murray Hopper Award from the Association for Computing Machinery. The award is given annually to one "outstanding young computer professional" and is accompanied by a $35,000 prize.[89] Kurzweil won it for his invention of the Kurzweil Reading Machine.[90]
  • In 1986, Kurzweil was named Honorary chairman for Innovation of the White House Conference on Small Business by President Reagan.
  • In 1987, Kurzweil received an Honorary Doctorate of Music from Berklee College of Music.[91]
  • In 1988, Kurzweil was named Inventor of the Year by MIT and the Boston Museum of Science.[92]
  • In 1990, Kurzweil was voted Engineer of the Year by the over one million readers of Design News Magazine and received their third annual Technology Achievement Award.[92][93]
  • The 1995 Dickson Prize in Science
  • The 1998 "Inventor of the Year" award from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.[94]
  • The 1999 National Medal of Technology.[95] This is the highest award the President of the United States can bestow upon individuals and groups for pioneering new technologies, and the President dispenses the award at his discretion.[96] Bill Clinton presented Kurzweil with the National Medal of Technology during a White House ceremony in recognition of Kurzweil's development of computer-based technologies to help people with disabilities.
  • In 2000, Kurzweil received the Golden Plate Award of the American Academy of Achievement.[97]
  • The 2000 Telluride Tech Festival Award of Technology.[98] Two other individuals also received the same honor that year. The award is presented yearly to people who "exemplify the life, times and standard of contribution of Tesla, Westinghouse and Nunn."
  • The 2001 Lemelson-MIT Prize for a lifetime of developing technologies to help people with disabilities and to enrich the arts.[99] Only one is awarded each year – it is given to highly successful, mid-career inventors. A$500,000 award accompanies the prize.[100]
  • Kurzweil was inducted into the National Inventors Hall of Fame in 2002 for inventing the Kurzweil Reading Machine.[101] The organization "honors the women and men responsible for the great technological advances that make human, social and economic progress possible."[102] Fifteen other people were inducted into the Hall of Fame the same year.[103]
  • The Arthur C. Clarke Lifetime Achievement Award on April 20, 2009, for lifetime achievement as an inventor and futurist in computer-based technologies.[104]
  • In 2011, Kurzweil was named a Senior Fellow of the Design Futures Council.[105]
  • In 2013, Kurzweil was honored as a Silicon Valley Visionary Award winner on June 26 by SVForum.[106]
  • In 2014, Kurzweil was honored with the American Visionary Art Museum's Grand Visionary Award on January 30.[107][108][109]
  • In 2014, Kurzweil was inducted as an Eminent Member of IEEE-Eta Kappa Nu.
  • Kurzweil has received 20 honorary doctorates in science, engineering, music and humane letters from Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, Hofstra University and other leading colleges and universities, as well as honors from three U.S. presidents – Clinton, Reagan and Johnson.[110][111]
  • Kurzweil has received seven national and international film awards including the CINE Golden Eagle Award and the gold medal for Science Education from the International Film and TV Festival of New York.[92]
  • He gave a 2007 keynote speech to the Protestant United Church of Christ in Hartford, Connecticut, alongside Barack Obama, who was then a Presidential candidate.[112][113]

Bibliography edit

Non-fiction edit

Fiction edit

  • Danielle: Chronicles of a Superheroine (2019)

See also edit

Listen to this article (36 minutes)
 
This audio file was created from a revision of this article dated 25 November 2011 (2011-11-25), and does not reflect subsequent edits.

References edit

  1. ^ Press, Xiphias (September 1, 2016). The Universal Mind: The Evolution of Machine Intelligence and Human Psychology. Xiphias Press.
  2. ^ "featured | Reinvent Yourself: the Playboy interview with Ray Kurzweil | Kurzweil". www.kurzweilai.net. Retrieved November 26, 2018.
  3. ^ Kurzweil, Ray (2005). The Singularity Is Near: When Humans Transcend Biology. United States: Viking. pp. Prologue. ISBN 978-0-670-03384-3.
  4. ^ Interview:Ray Kurzweil. Glen Rifken (March 18, 1991). Computerworld – Google Books. Retrieved September 15, 2014.
  5. ^ "On TV, Ray Kurzweil Tells Me How to Build a Brain".
  6. ^ "Ray Kurzweil: "How to Create a Mind: The Secret of Human Thought Revealed" – The Diane Rehm Show from WAMU and NPR". Retrieved September 15, 2014.
  7. ^ a b c d "Answering all your questions about The Technological Singularity". Retrieved October 3, 2017.
  8. ^ "Inventor of the Week". Web.mit.edu. Archived from the original on January 2, 2014. Retrieved April 21, 2011.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  9. ^ "KurzweilAI.net". KurzweilAI.net. Archived from the original on February 22, 2005. Retrieved April 21, 2011.
  10. ^ "Ray Kurzweil Biography and Interview". www.achievement.org. American Academy of Achievement.
  11. ^ a b In Depth with Ray Kurzweil. Book TV. November 5, 2006. Retrieved April 22, 2015.
  12. ^ a b "Alumni Honors". Society for Science and the Public. Archived from the original on July 29, 2012. Retrieved May 18, 2010.
  13. ^ Doug Aamoth (April 2, 2010). "An Interview With Ray Kurzweil". Time. Time Inc. Retrieved September 25, 2014.
  14. ^ a b "Nerd of the Week: Ray Kurzweil – KurzweilAI". Archived from the original on April 18, 2014. Retrieved September 15, 2014.
  15. ^ "Biography of Ray Kurzweil". Kurzweiltech.com. January 13, 1976. Retrieved March 27, 2011.
  16. ^ Donald Byrd and Christopher Yavelow (1986). "The Kurzweil 250 Digital Synthesizer". Computer Music Journal. 10 (1): 64–86. doi:10.2307/3680298. JSTOR 3680298.
  17. ^ "Hyundai names Kurzweil Chief Strategy Officer of Kurzweil Music Systems". Kurzweilai.net. February 1, 2007. Archived from the original on May 13, 2009. Retrieved April 27, 2012.
  18. ^ "LERNOUT & HAUSPIE TO BUY KURZWEIL APPLIED INTELLIGENCE – The New York Times"
  19. ^ "List of Private Companies Worldwide, BusinessWeek". Businessweek.com. Retrieved September 15, 2014.[dead link]
  20. ^ a b O'Keefe, Brian (May 2, 2007). "The Smartest (or the Nuttiest) Futurist on Earth". CNN. Retrieved July 26, 2016.
  21. ^ Letzing, John (December 14, 2012). "Google Hires Famed Futurist Ray Kurzweil". The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved February 13, 2013.
  22. ^ "Exclusive Interview: Ray Kurzweil Discusses His First Two Months at Google". March 19, 2013.
  23. ^ a b "Will Google's Ray Kurzweil Live Forever?". WSJ. April 12, 2013. Retrieved September 15, 2014.
  24. ^ "The Bee Gees, Pierre Boulez, Buddy Guy, George Harrison, Flaco Jimenez, Louvin Brothers and Wayne Shorter honored with the Recording Academy® Lifetime Achievement Award". grammy.org. December 18, 2014. Archived from the original on June 11, 2016. Retrieved February 11, 2015.
  25. ^ Philipkoski, Kirsten (November 18, 2002). "Ray Kurzweil's Plan: Never Die". Wired. Retrieved February 11, 2013.
  26. ^ a b "CNN Transcript". CNN. May 30, 2008. Retrieved January 5, 2016.
  27. ^ The Immortal Ambitions of Ray Kurzweil: A Review of Transcendent Man; Scientific American; John Rennie; February 15, 2011
  28. ^ "Ray Kurzweil, Founder, Chairman & CEO, Kurzweil Technologies – CRN.com". CRN. December 9, 2005. Retrieved September 15, 2014.
  29. ^ "Ask Ray – Article on integrating digital media into children's lives by my wife Sonya Kurzweil, PhD – KurzweilAI". Retrieved September 15, 2014.
  30. ^ Efrati, Amir (March 6, 2013). "Father and Son Peer Into the Future of Tech". The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved October 28, 2014.
  31. ^ "An Oral History Interview with Ray Kurzweil, Part 1 of 4". American Foundation for the Blind. Archived from the original on October 28, 2014. Retrieved October 28, 2014.
  32. ^ Kurzweil, A. (2016). Flying couch: A graphic memoir. Catapult.
  33. ^ "The University of Akron – Speeches & Statements". Archived from the original on April 19, 2014.
  34. ^ "Nanotechnology: Ray Kurzweil Interviewed by Sander Olson". Center for Responsible Nanotechnology. Retrieved September 15, 2014.
  35. ^ Colin, Johnson (December 28, 1998). "Era of Smart People is Dawning". Electronic Engineering Times.
  36. ^ "Transcend: Nine Steps to Living Well Forever". Rayandterry.com. Archived from the original on October 26, 2014. Retrieved October 26, 2014.
  37. ^ "Ray Kurzweil's How to Create a Mind published". KurzweilAInet. November 17, 2012. Retrieved October 26, 2014.
  38. ^ Kurzweil, Ray (2012). How to Create a Mind: The Secret of Human Thought Revealed. New York: Viking Books. ISBN 978-0-670-02529-9.
  39. ^ "Review of Danielle". www.forewordreviews.com. June 27, 2019. Retrieved November 20, 2019.
  40. ^ "Ready to change the world". Retrieved August 14, 2018.
  41. ^ "Amazon.com". Amazon.com. Retrieved October 27, 2023.
  42. ^ "Plug & Pray". December 8, 2010. Retrieved October 17, 2021.
  43. ^ a b "The Singularity: A Documentary by Doug Wolens". Ieet.org. Retrieved October 22, 2013.
  44. ^ Ray Kurzweil, The Age of Spiritual Machines, Viking, 1999, p. 30 and p. 32
  45. ^ "The Law of Accelerating Returns". Archived from the original on January 14, 2015. Retrieved September 15, 2014.
  46. ^ "Nanotech Could Give Global Warming a Big Chill" (PDF). July 2006. Archived from the original on October 23, 2013. Retrieved June 16, 2011.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  47. ^ "Nanotechnology Dangers and Defenses". KurzweilAI. Archived from the original on October 4, 2013. Retrieved July 28, 2013.
  48. ^ "Never Say Die: Live Forever". WIRED. Archived from the original on February 24, 2007. Retrieved September 15, 2014.{{cite magazine}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  49. ^ "The 700-calorie breakfast you should eat if you want to live forever, according to a futurist who spends $1 million a year on pills and eating right". Business Insider. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
  50. ^ "As Humans and Computers Merge … Immortality? | PBS NewsHour | July 10, 2012". PBS. July 3, 2012. Archived from the original on January 22, 2014. Retrieved July 11, 2012.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  51. ^ "Ray Kurzweil At SENS 3 | Video". Exponential Times. August 25, 2011. Retrieved July 28, 2013.
  52. ^ "Board – Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence". Singularity University. Archived from the original on April 21, 2010. Retrieved September 15, 2014.
  53. ^ "Lifeboat Foundation Advisory Boards". Retrieved September 15, 2014.
  54. ^ "Printable version: Smarter than thou? / Stanford conference ponders a brave new world with machines more powerful than their creators". SFGate. May 12, 2006. Retrieved September 15, 2014.
  55. ^ "Sentient AI? Convincing you it's human is just part of LaMDA's job". Healthcare IT News. July 5, 2022. Retrieved July 7, 2022.
  56. ^ Kurzweil, Ray (February 16, 2003). "Human Body Version 2.0". Kurzweilai.et. Retrieved July 7, 2022.
  57. ^ Kurzweil, Ray (1990). The Age of Intelligent Machines. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press. p. 446. ISBN 0-262-11121-7.
  58. ^ Kurzweil, Ray (1990). The Age of Intelligent Machines. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press. p. 133. ISBN 0-262-11121-7.
  59. ^ Weber, Bruce (May 12, 1997). "Swift and Slashing, Computer Topples Kasparov". The New York Times. Retrieved February 13, 2013.
  60. ^ "Fleeing the dot.com era: decline in Internet usage". Archived from the original on June 29, 2012. Retrieved September 15, 2014.
  61. ^ Kurzweil, Ray (October 2010). "How My Predictions Are Faring" (PDF).
  62. ^ a b Lyons, Daniel (May 2009). "I, Robot". Newsweek. Archived from the original on April 13, 2010. Retrieved May 22, 2009.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)via
  63. ^ Kurzweil, Ray (2012). "Ray Kurzweil's Predictions For 2009 Were Mostly Inaccurate". Forbes. Retrieved January 5, 2016.
  64. ^ Eugenios, Jillian (June 3, 2015). "Ray Kurzweil: Humans will be hybrids by 2030". CNNMoney. Retrieved September 1, 2022.
  65. ^ "Solar Power to Rule in 20 Years, Futurists Say". LiveScience. February 19, 2008. Retrieved March 27, 2011.
  66. ^ Ray Kurzweil Singularity Superintelligence and Immortality On The War in Ukraine Lex Fridman Podcast 321. September 17, 2022 – 439,132 views. 53:51 to 55:54 Lex Fridmam.
  67. ^ Pfeiffer, Eric (April 6, 1998) "Start Up". Forbes. Retrieved on January 25, 2013.
  68. ^ Bulkeley, William (June 23, 1989). "Kurzweil Applied Intelligence, Inc". The Wall Street Journal. p. A3A."Among the leaders is Kurzweil, a closely held company run by Raymond Kurzweil, a restless 41-year-old genius who developed both optical character recognition and speech synthesis to make a machine that reads aloud to the blind."
  69. ^ "Who Made America?". PBS. Retrieved February 9, 2013.
  70. ^ "26 Most Fascinating Entrepreneurs". Inc. Retrieved February 9, 2013.
  71. ^ "CNN.com – Gates: Get ready for chip implants – Jul 4, 2005". July 8, 2005. Archived from the original on July 8, 2005. Retrieved September 1, 2022.
  72. ^ Miller, Robin (October 20, 2004). "Neal Stephenson Responds With Wit and Humor". Slashdot. Retrieved August 28, 2008. My thoughts are more in line with those of Jaron Lanier, who points out that while hardware might be getting faster all the time, software is shit (I am paraphrasing his argument). And without software to do something useful with all that hardware, the hardware's nothing more than a really complicated space heater.
  73. ^ Brand, Stewart (June 14, 2004). "Bruce Sterling – "The Singularity: Your Future as a Black Hole"". The Long Now Foundation. Retrieved June 8, 2009.
  74. ^ Sterling, Bruce. "The Singularity: Your Future as a Black Hole". Archived from the original on October 4, 2008. It's an end-of-history notion, and like most end-of-history notions, it is showing its age.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  75. ^ Dennett, Daniel. "The Reality Club: One Half Of A Manifesto". Edge.org. I'm glad that Lanier entertains the hunch that Dawkins and I (and Hofstadter and others) 'see some flaw in logic that insulates [our] thinking from the eschatalogical implications' drawn by Kurzweil and Moravec. He's right. I, for one, do see such a flaw, and I expect Dawkins and Hofstadter would say the same.
  76. ^ Brooks, Rodney. "The Reality Club: One Half Of A Manifesto". Edge.org. Archived from the original on November 7, 2015. Retrieved January 5, 2016. I do not at all agree with Moravec and Kurzweil's predictions for an eschatological cataclysm, just in time for their own memories and thoughts and person hood to be preserved before they might otherwise die.
  77. ^ Transcript of debate over feasibility of near-term AI (moderated by Rodney Brooks): "Gelernter, Kurzweil debate machine consciousness". KurzweilAI.net. Archived from the original on November 7, 2015. Retrieved January 5, 2016.
  78. ^ "Paul Allen: The Singularity Isn't Near". MIT Technology Review. Retrieved July 25, 2022. Kurzweil's reasoning rests on the Law of Accelerating Returns and its siblings, but these are not physical laws. They are assertions about how past rates of scientific and technical progress can predict the future rate. Therefore, like other attempts to forecast the future from the past, these "laws" will work until they don't.
  79. ^ Rennie, John (December 2010). "Ray Kurzweil's Slippery Futurism". IEEE Spectrum. Retrieved August 13, 2012.
  80. ^ Joy, Bill (April 2000). "Why the future doesn't need us". Wired. Retrieved September 21, 2008. ...it was only in the autumn of 1998 that I became anxiously aware of how great are the dangers facing us in the 21st century. I can date the onset of my unease to the day I met Ray Kurzweil...
  81. ^ Ross, Greg. "An interview with Douglas R. Hofstadter". American Scientist. Retrieved August 28, 2008.
  82. ^ Lyons, Daniel (May 2009). "I, Robot". Newsweek. Archived from the original on April 13, 2010. Retrieved July 24, 2009. Still, a lot of people think Kurzweil is completely bonkers and/or full of a certain messy byproduct of ordinary biological functions. They include P. Z. Myers, a biologist at the University of Minnesota, Morris, who has used his blog to poke fun at Kurzweil and other armchair futurists who, according to Myers, rely on junk science and don't understand basic biology. "I am completely baffled by Kurzweil's popularity, and in particular the respect he gets in some circles, since his claims simply do not hold up to even casually critical examination," writes Myers. He says Kurzweil's Singularity theories are closer to a deluded religious movement than they are to science. "It's a New Age spiritualism—that's all it is," Myers says. "Even geeks want to find God somewhere, and Kurzweil provides it for them."{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link) via
  83. ^ Myers, PZ. "Singularitarianism?". Pharyngula blog. Archived from the original on May 8, 2012. Retrieved February 14, 2011.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  84. ^ Lanier, Jaron. "One Half of a Manifesto". Edge.org. Retrieved August 28, 2008.
  85. ^ Modis, T., The Singularity Myth, Technological Forecasting & Social Change, February 2006, pp. 104 – 112 http://www.growth-dynamics.com/articles/Kurzweil_critique.pdf
  86. ^ Gray, John (2011). The Immortalization Commission: Science and the Strange Quest to Cheat Death. Farrar, Straus and Giroux. ISBN 978-0374175061.
  87. ^ Newquist, HP (1994). The Brain Makers. New York, NY: Macmillan/SAMS Press. p. 269. ISBN 0-672-30412-0.
  88. ^ Nordhaus, William D. "Are We Approaching an Economic Singularity? Information Technology and the Future of Economic Growth", Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 2021, Yale University, September 2015
  89. ^ "ACM Awards: Grace Murray Hopper Award". Retrieved September 15, 2014.
  90. ^ "ACM: Fellows Award / Raymond Kurzweil". Archived from the original on April 19, 2012. Retrieved September 15, 2014.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  91. ^ "Curriculum Vitae | KurzweilAI". Archived from the original on July 1, 2014. Retrieved May 9, 2014.
  92. ^ a b c "Ray Kurzweil – KurzweilAI". Retrieved September 15, 2014.
  93. ^ "Engineer of the Year Hall of Fame, 6/12/2007". Archived from the original on January 20, 2008.
  94. ^ "Corporation names new members". MIT News. June 8, 2005. Retrieved September 15, 2014.
  95. ^ "Technology Administration. THE NATIONAL MEDAL OF TECHNOLOGY RECIPIENTS. 1985–2006 Recipients". Archived from the original on September 28, 2007. Retrieved September 15, 2014.
  96. ^ "Technology Administration. THE NATIONAL MEDAL OF TECHNOLOGY. 2007 Events and Activities". Archived from the original on December 18, 2007. Retrieved September 15, 2014.
  97. ^ "Golden Plate Awardees of the American Academy of Achievement". www.achievement.org. American Academy of Achievement.
  98. ^ "Telluride Tech Festival". Archived from the original on October 17, 2011. Retrieved September 15, 2014.
  99. ^ "Winners' Circle: Raymond Kurzweil". Archived from the original on January 2, 2014. Retrieved September 15, 2014.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  100. ^ "Lemelson-MIT Prize". Archived from the original on February 20, 2014. Retrieved September 15, 2014.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  101. ^ Ray Kurzweil Inventor Profile https://web.archive.org/web/20151102094422/http://www.invent.org/hall_of_fame/180.html. Invent.org (February 12, 1948). Retrieved on June 16, 2011.
  102. ^ Hall of Fame Overview https://web.archive.org/web/20151124091911/http://www.invent.org/hall_of_fame/1_0_0_hall_of_fame.asp. Invent.org. Retrieved on June 16, 2011.
  103. ^ Hall of Fame 2002 https://web.archive.org/web/20151102094426/http://invent.org/hall_of_fame/1_1_4_listing_induction.asp?vInduction=2002. Invent.org. Retrieved on June 16, 2011.
  104. ^ "The Arthur C. Clarke Foundation". Clarkefoundation.org. April 20, 2009. Archived from the original on April 5, 2012. Retrieved March 27, 2011.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  105. ^ "Design Futures Council Senior Fellows". Di.net. Archived from the original on November 6, 2007.
  106. ^ "Visionary Awardees Kurzweil, Warrior, Blank, Diamandis: Hear what they had to say about their achievements".
  107. ^ "Ray Kurzweil to be honored with AVAM's Grand Visionary Award at 2014 Gala Celebration" (PDF). Azam.org. Archived from the original (PDF) on April 7, 2014. Retrieved October 26, 2014.
  108. ^ "AVAM's 2014 Gala Celebration Honoring Ray Kurzweil at American Visionary Art Museum – CBS Baltimore's Latest Events Events – Baltimore Events « CBS Baltimore". Eventful. Archived from the original on October 26, 2014. Retrieved September 15, 2014.
  109. ^ "A tour with Ray – Adventure in art and dance at the American Visionary Art Museum award gala honoring Ray Kurzweil – KurzweilAI". Retrieved September 15, 2014.
  110. ^ "Ray Kurzweil biography". KurzweilAINetwork. Archived from the original on February 5, 2014. Retrieved September 25, 2014.
  111. ^ "Raymond Kurzweil". Forbes. Archived from the original on April 23, 2012. Retrieved September 15, 2014.
  112. ^ "The Universal Mind: The Evolution of Machine Intelligence and Human Psychology". Xiphias Press. September 2016.
  113. ^ "First Congregational Church, United Church of Christ, Waterville, Maine message".

External links edit